5. Future.
This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as
a means of communication. The device is of no value.
—Western Union, 1876
Innovation.Disruption.Technology.
6. Future.
—Thomas Watson, IBM Chairman, 1943
Innovation.Disruption.Technology.
I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
7. Future.
—Ken Olson, President, Chairman & Founder, DEC, 1977
Innovation.Disruption.Technology.
There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home.
8. Future.
—Decca Recording Company on the Beatles, 1962
Innovation.Disruption.Technology.
We don’t like their sound, and guitar music in on the way out.
10. Future.
You cannot connect the dots looking forward.
You can only connect them looking them backwards.
—Steve Jobs, 2005
Innovation.Disruption.Technology.
20. Emerging computing.
From 1,500,000,000 PCs to 3,000,000,000 smartphones.
1,000,000,000 mobile-first and -only.
75% of literate population to have a smartphone in 2017.
32. Emerging entropy.
“The acceleration of information has reached a point!
where it’s totally out of control and nobody can stop!
it.”— Robert Anton Wilson
41. Emerging adoption.
1870 1900 2000
46 years
35 years
31 years
26 years
16 years
13 years
7 years
2014
Electricity
Telephone
Radio
Television
PC
Cell
Web
45. Emerging crash of price.
YouTube v. Television
Automation + Accelerated deflation + Accelerated adoption.
Crash of retail.
The “physical” framing is crashing under information.
46. Emerging crash of jobs.
Automation + Emerging Markets + Accelerated deflation.
Greece: 57% youth unemployment.
Spain: 54% youth unemployment.
Unemployment and under-employment
47% of existing jobs likely be automated in next 20 years.
16 years old today? 36 jobs.
The “job” framing is crashing under information.
47. Emerging crash of middle-class.
BSing of jobs.
Owners of capital capture the world’s income.
Real wages do not grow anymore.
Rise of 0.01%.
Rise of luxury.
The “average” framing is crashing under information.
48. Emerging crash of growth.
GDP is flat.
The “traditional” framing is crashing under information.
49. Emerging crash of institutions.
Education doesn’t deliver the promise of a job.
Government can’t provide for the people.
The “top-down” framing is crashing under information.
55. Emerging trust.
Networks enable openness, transparency and trust.
We know institutions can’t provide anymore.
We substitute for those institutions.
We fight protectionism.
We look for meaning in information.
57. Emerging information.
Rise of information as a substitute for capital.
Rise of information as a substitute for market research.
Rise of information as pre-purchase mechanism.
Rise of information as validation, ledger.
Rise of extreme flattening of means of production.
58. Emerging values.
Rise of ownership leveraging.
Rise of ownership for access trade-off.
Rise of experience over ownership.
Rise of new marketplaces.
61. Emerging values.
The internet is a city.
The internet is a community.
The internet is an experience.
The internet is an agora.
The internet is a home.
79. Emerging reality.
Music was never owned. It can’t be devalued.
We value what we experience.
Rise of luxury.
Crash of ownership.
Rise of experience.
80. Emerging reality.
Music was never owned. It can’t be devalued.
We value what we experience.
Rise of luxury.
Crash of ownership.
Rise of experience.
Music was always an experience.
84. Emerging qualities.
The amount of progress computers will make in the next few years
is equal to the progress they have made since the very beginning.
We are not the computers anymore.
96. Emerging leverages.
Leverage reach of networks.
Leverage information as capital.
Leverage people-to-people marketplaces.
Leverage communities.
Leverage flat means of productions.
102. Emerging hope.
“…the idea of the future being different from the present is so repugnant
to our conventional modes of thought and behavior that we, most of us,
— John Manyard Keynes
offer a great resistance to acting on it in practice.”
104. Emerging hope.
The album was the framing.
The EP was the framing.
The jukebox was the framing.
Do not think inside the box.
105. Emerging hope.
The album was the framing.
The EP was the framing.
The jukebox was the framing.
Do not think inside the box.
Do not think outside the box. There’s no box.
106. Hello.I’m Paul from Intelligenc #DarkerMusicTalksr.
Music was my first love
…and it will be my last.
I’m a bad musician.