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DemoCamp17.Toronto.Canada




Ignite Presentation,        ThomasPurves.com
Led by: Thomas Purves         WirelessNorth.ca
Why I’m here. An Infamous Chart.
                       Posted April 2007

                       Touched a nerve

                       Tens of thousands of visitors

                       150 Blog comments

                       100s of links

                       Hundreds more comments
                       on Digg and other sites

                       Front page of Digg

                       Somewhat remarkable for a
                       post related to Canadian
                       Telecom regulatory policy.
Why Wireless Matters

Innovation – Wireless IS the new last mile
 All computing is moving to the cloud, the web
 The network is the computer (finally)
 BUT this future of computing relies ubiquitous
  connectivity
 Prevalent, ubiquitous, affordable wired and
  wireless connectivity
 Culture and Economic growth (what sectors
  do not now depend on computers and
  connectivity)
Canadian Landscape

   Some of worst data rates in the developed
    world.
   A country of Blackberry addicts, but low
    accessibility to most advanced devices.
   Dominated by on-deck content and services,
    crap accessibility to open content, open services.
   High pricing to consumers, lagging wireless
    penetration, lagging adoption behaviours
Devices are overpriced in Canada
Contract lengths are obscene

   Canada is the only country with 3 year
    contracts

   6, 12, 18, 24 month contracts standard
    everywhere else
New Devices are transforming
Wireless Except in Canada
Why does Canada suck?

   Only one GSM carrier
   Little competitive behaviour
   Small market w/ no foreign ownership
   Curse of blackberry
   CRTC + industry Canada asleep at switch

   On the bright side it could be worse: Cuba,
    North Korea for example have far less access
    than we have
Victims of our own crackberry
addiction



   Canadian success story
   Poor browser
   Is really good at email
   Email is so 1999
   Appeals to a lucrative niche w/ moderate
    data needs but high willingness to pay
Since the Chart, has it gotten any
better?
   YES Telus Unlimited PC card data access $75/month

   YES Bell / Telus unlimited “on device” browsing. At
    least on Some devices, other restrictions

   NO Roger’s unlimited plans shuts off the internet to
    third party apps. Rogers data rates have gone UP
    from 30$ / MB to


      $50 / MB (WTF!)
How much is $50/MB (WTF!) ?

   Cost to fill equivalent of a 1.44MB floppy drive
    circa 1992? $72 + GST/PST
   Cost to fill equivalent of a $30 2GB MicroSD
    card? $102,400 + GST/PST
   Cost to listen to a single mp3 (5MB) streaming?
    $250 + GST/PST
   Data cost per hour at theoretical HSPA speed?
    (3.7Mbs)? $1260 / Hour + GST/PST
The last time in the history of computing
anything cost $50/MB
What can we do about it?




New spectrum Auctions has created opportunities for
   • New wireless policies
   • New wireless entrants
   • New / Disruptive Business models

Cost to play
    • About 1.5 to 2 Billion CAD
    • Expensive, risky
What is Canada’s Future?
Future of wireless - Optimism

   “The rosy future: new entrants kick ass, telus
   goes gsm too, iphones come to canada, cheap
   highly capable and android and other devices
   from china flood into Canada, spectrum auction
                 1. Optimistic pt1
   comes with just the right rules/incentives to
   open up the mobile platform to widespread
   innovation, Rim comes out with a great
   browser. Canada leapfrogs UK / US on the way
   to 4G...
Future of wireless - Optimism


    ...by 2015 canada is exporting its model to
    other countries as a world leader in services,
    network operation, and hand set manufacture.
    A company that goes on to become the next
                  1.   Optimistic pt2
    great facebook/google/microsoft is founded in
    a dorm room in 2010 in canada is now fertile
    ground for experiments in uber-connectivity”
Future of wireless – Not Optimism


    “THE GLOOM FUTURE: the auction fails. new
    entrants tied up in litigation over tower
    sharing never achieving rollout, spectrum goes
    fallow, a series of dithering governments
                    2.
    forestalls the 700mhz auction,pt1 on any
                           Pessimistic
                                       fails
    other effective measure of stimulate
    competition or openness and access...
Future of wireless – Not Optimism


    ... bell telus rogers use their complete domination
    of the pipes to lock down media distribution in
    canada on wired and wireless pipes though
    descriminatory pricing and all hope of net
    neutrality dies in canada. At birth all canadians are
                     2.     Pessimistic pt2
    allocated 10mb of outside internet access. Canadas
    productivity gap with the US widens, eventually
    Castro dies and north and south korea reunite and
    both these countries have greater freedom of
    access to the internet than canadians.”
What to Do about it

   Be aware of what you are missing
   Don’t sign up for a 3 year data plan
   Talk or write to your MP (it works)
   Buy an unlocked phone
   Support the new entrants (if they are better)
   Build kick-ass mobile apps anyway, and sell to
    the global market
   Stay in touch: WirelessNorth.ca

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(Feb 2008) The State Of Wireless In Canada Sucks Toronto Democamp17 Thomas Purves

  • 1. DemoCamp17.Toronto.Canada Ignite Presentation, ThomasPurves.com Led by: Thomas Purves WirelessNorth.ca
  • 2. Why I’m here. An Infamous Chart. Posted April 2007 Touched a nerve Tens of thousands of visitors 150 Blog comments 100s of links Hundreds more comments on Digg and other sites Front page of Digg Somewhat remarkable for a post related to Canadian Telecom regulatory policy.
  • 3. Why Wireless Matters Innovation – Wireless IS the new last mile  All computing is moving to the cloud, the web  The network is the computer (finally)  BUT this future of computing relies ubiquitous connectivity  Prevalent, ubiquitous, affordable wired and wireless connectivity  Culture and Economic growth (what sectors do not now depend on computers and connectivity)
  • 4.
  • 5. Canadian Landscape  Some of worst data rates in the developed world.  A country of Blackberry addicts, but low accessibility to most advanced devices.  Dominated by on-deck content and services, crap accessibility to open content, open services.  High pricing to consumers, lagging wireless penetration, lagging adoption behaviours
  • 7. Contract lengths are obscene  Canada is the only country with 3 year contracts  6, 12, 18, 24 month contracts standard everywhere else
  • 8. New Devices are transforming Wireless Except in Canada
  • 9. Why does Canada suck?  Only one GSM carrier  Little competitive behaviour  Small market w/ no foreign ownership  Curse of blackberry  CRTC + industry Canada asleep at switch  On the bright side it could be worse: Cuba, North Korea for example have far less access than we have
  • 10. Victims of our own crackberry addiction  Canadian success story  Poor browser  Is really good at email  Email is so 1999  Appeals to a lucrative niche w/ moderate data needs but high willingness to pay
  • 11. Since the Chart, has it gotten any better?  YES Telus Unlimited PC card data access $75/month  YES Bell / Telus unlimited “on device” browsing. At least on Some devices, other restrictions  NO Roger’s unlimited plans shuts off the internet to third party apps. Rogers data rates have gone UP from 30$ / MB to $50 / MB (WTF!)
  • 12. How much is $50/MB (WTF!) ?  Cost to fill equivalent of a 1.44MB floppy drive circa 1992? $72 + GST/PST  Cost to fill equivalent of a $30 2GB MicroSD card? $102,400 + GST/PST  Cost to listen to a single mp3 (5MB) streaming? $250 + GST/PST  Data cost per hour at theoretical HSPA speed? (3.7Mbs)? $1260 / Hour + GST/PST
  • 13. The last time in the history of computing anything cost $50/MB
  • 14. What can we do about it? New spectrum Auctions has created opportunities for • New wireless policies • New wireless entrants • New / Disruptive Business models Cost to play • About 1.5 to 2 Billion CAD • Expensive, risky
  • 16. Future of wireless - Optimism “The rosy future: new entrants kick ass, telus goes gsm too, iphones come to canada, cheap highly capable and android and other devices from china flood into Canada, spectrum auction 1. Optimistic pt1 comes with just the right rules/incentives to open up the mobile platform to widespread innovation, Rim comes out with a great browser. Canada leapfrogs UK / US on the way to 4G...
  • 17. Future of wireless - Optimism ...by 2015 canada is exporting its model to other countries as a world leader in services, network operation, and hand set manufacture. A company that goes on to become the next 1. Optimistic pt2 great facebook/google/microsoft is founded in a dorm room in 2010 in canada is now fertile ground for experiments in uber-connectivity”
  • 18. Future of wireless – Not Optimism “THE GLOOM FUTURE: the auction fails. new entrants tied up in litigation over tower sharing never achieving rollout, spectrum goes fallow, a series of dithering governments 2. forestalls the 700mhz auction,pt1 on any Pessimistic fails other effective measure of stimulate competition or openness and access...
  • 19. Future of wireless – Not Optimism ... bell telus rogers use their complete domination of the pipes to lock down media distribution in canada on wired and wireless pipes though descriminatory pricing and all hope of net neutrality dies in canada. At birth all canadians are 2. Pessimistic pt2 allocated 10mb of outside internet access. Canadas productivity gap with the US widens, eventually Castro dies and north and south korea reunite and both these countries have greater freedom of access to the internet than canadians.”
  • 20. What to Do about it  Be aware of what you are missing  Don’t sign up for a 3 year data plan  Talk or write to your MP (it works)  Buy an unlocked phone  Support the new entrants (if they are better)  Build kick-ass mobile apps anyway, and sell to the global market  Stay in touch: WirelessNorth.ca