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IBM Institute for Business Value
Thinking like a customer
Your cognitive future in the retail industry
IBM Retail
IBM Retail solutions offer long-standing commitment and investment
in leading-edge mobile partnerships, cognitive computing solution
development, acquisitions and research that provide disruptive
creativity and take a new approach (new business models) to solve
business problems. Solutions include integrated systems of record,
systems of engagement and systems of execution that span all phases
of the consumer’s brand experience and all channels of brand
interaction to consistently deliver on the promise of customer-centric
retailing. Deep industry experience—combined with software,
consulting and infrastructure—enables IBM to deliver the integrated
solutions needed to unite physical and digital worlds, supported by an
extensive, collaborative and innovative business partner ecosystem.
IBM Watson
Watson is a cognitive system that enables a new partnership between
people and computers that enhances and scales human expertise.
For more information about IBM’s Watson, visit ibm.com/Watson.
Executive Report
Retail and Watson
Executive summary
The retail industry is experiencing unprecedented change. Over the past decade, emergence
of technology-enabled “smarter consumers” has upended traditional retail business models.
The days when department stores or large discount chains targeted promotions to mass
audiences according to broad-brush definitions of age, gender and income are giving way to
market segments composed of single individuals.1
In response, many retailers have attempted to ride the wave of technological disruption by
using predictive analytics to discover how to better reach today’s empowered customer,
generate higher revenues and gain a much broader and deeper perspective of shifting
marketplace mandates.
However, as the quantity of customer data continues to grow, retail executives fear that
existing analytics capabilities are not sufficient to gain the necessary insights to fully meet
ever-growing and ever-changing customer imperatives. Customers today are demanding
completely personalized shopping experiences – in which products, services and
communications are delivered to them at the time, place and medium of their choosing.
Cognitive computing, with its near real-time learning and decision support, provides a new
set of capabilities that can open fresh opportunities for the retail industry by scaling human
expertise. Cognitive is already helping retailers provide more personalized experiences, and it
is poised to enable a broader range of innovation that promises to redefine the retail industry.
Our research, based on a survey of 100 retail executives from around the world, reveals that
cognitive solutions are already helping organizations across industries realize value. Retail
leaders recognize the potential to transform their industry, and they are set to exploit cognitive
capabilities to accomplish this.
Cognitive + retail = the future
Welcome to the age of cognitive computing, where
intelligent machines simulate human brain capabilities
to help solve society’s most vexing problems. For retail,
cognitive computing has already arrived, and its
potential to transform the industry is enormous.
Cognitive systems are driving more personalized
shopping experiences and helping unearth customer
trends. Our research reveals that retail leaders globally
are poised to embrace this groundbreaking technology
more holistically and, by doing so, will redefine the
future in retail.
1
Conquering industry forces
The retail industry is experiencing unprecedented disruption. Retailers must embrace new
technologies to address these changes. In the recent past, the store was the cornerstone of all
retail transactions. However, new and sophisticated digital technologies have helped shift the
entire retail paradigm. Today, whether retailers like it or not, brick-and-mortar stores are often
used for “showrooming,” in which customers compare products in-store and then purchase
online. Retailers that focus only on brick-and-mortar stores are under serious threat.2
Five specific forces are changing the retail landscape:
Expanding customer expectations: Customers are empowered and their expectations
continually evolve and expand. Customers expect retailers to offer convenient, responsive and
personalized services. For example, a recent IBM study revealed that 48 percent of customers
say it is important for retailers to provide on-demand personalized promotions when online,
while 45 percent want the same options in store.3
Customers are increasingly demanding that
they, not retailers, control the shopping process; they want to discover and purchase products
how, when and where they want.
Self-serve retail: Customers are assuming ever-greater ownership over their personal retail
journeys. Today’s customers have almost limitless choices in their discovery and inspiration
about what to buy. They are not constrained by time of day or location in transacting.
Customers use numerous self-help technologies in their interaction with retailers – price
checkers, self-checkout payment lanes, mobile apps and payments, and information kiosks,
to name just a few. This trend will only increase in the future.
91%
of retail executives familiar with cognitive
computing believe it will play a disruptive
role in their organization
83%
of retail executives familiar with cognitive
computing believe it will have a critical
impact on the future of their organization
94%
of retail executives familiar with cognitive
computing intend to invest in cognitive
capabilities
2	 Thinking like a customer
What is cognitive computing?
Cognitive computing is a new computation
paradigm that…
•	Learns and builds knowledge from various
structured and unstructured sources of
information
•	Understands natural language and interacts
more naturally with humans
•	Captures the expertise of top performers
and accelerates the development of expertise
in others
•	Enhances the cognitive processes of
professionals to help improve decision-making
•	Elevates the quality and consistency of
decision-making across an organization.
Technological progress: Technology has redefined the ways in which retailers interact with
customers. Yet, many retail organizations struggle to keep up with technological change. More
than 80 percent of retailers agree that having mobile apps represents a key advantage over
the competition.4
Customers say that a digital device will influence 50 percent of their in-store
purchases.5
Seventy-four percent of U.S. smartphone owners say they would be more likely to
shop at a store offering key functions and services via an app.6
Eroding margins: Prices of many consumer goods have been falling, driven by intensified
competition and global sourcing. At the same time, retailers have been experiencing cost
inflation in rents, salaries and strategic investments in such areas as technology. Retailers
are also expressing growing concern about declining customer loyalty and profitability.
For example, a leading retailer notes that its profitability online is less than half compared
to in-store.7
Security breaches: Incidence and implications of identity theft and credit card fraud
have increased.8
Malware attacks targeting point-of-sale systems and systems of record,
in particular, are becoming more common.
Disruption to focus
It is clear that retailers need to map a clear path to navigate this environmental disruption.
To help retailers achieve this, we identified three underlying themes relating to communication
and collaboration, innovation, and decisions and outcomes (see Figures 1 and 2).
3
Engage: Today’s customers want speed, transparency and personal interaction with their
retailers. Although a majority of retail executives in our survey understand these demands, a
significant gap exists between customer expectations and the ability of retailers to deliver.
Retailers find it especially difficult to resolve customer issues because of a lack of standard
procedures and insufficient skilled resources. Many retailers lack capabilities to use the vast
amount of customer data available to create insights, find patterns and deliver relevant
experiences.
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
Figure 1
From disruption, three focus areas have come to light for the retail industry
Engage
Provide better collaboration between
with suppliers, partners and
customers and enables seamless
experience across channels
Discover
Provide ability to digest vast
amounts of data to identify new
avenues and implement new ideas
Decide
Provide contextual,
evidence-backed recommendations,
with changing business models, cost
structures and customer behavior
4	 Thinking like a customer
Discover: Although 59 percent of retail executives in our study actively pursue industry-model
innovation, they are challenged by aggressive return on investment (ROI) expectations and
lack of sufficient skills. Nearly six in ten of retailers surveyed indicated that ROI expectations
are overly aggressive. More than half indicated they have insufficient business modeling/
business case skills. And nearly half said they have insufficient human resources.
Retailers face challenges in identifying the right value proposition that can win them customer
loyalty. As well, they are confronted with challenges in identifying technology and innovation
that can differentiate them from others and help them create new, different and sustainable
business models.
Decide: Almost half of the retail executives we surveyed report a lack of confidence in making
strategic business decisions.
Such strategic decision-making is especially difficult in circumstances where retailers lack
understanding about how to use data and analytics to support decisions. For example, many
struggle with aspects of merchandising strategy, including synthesizing data on volumes,
markdowns, promotion coupons and multi-channel campaigns.
Engage
Major areas in which retailers are not competent
enough in delivering customer service
Discover
Key challenges in pursuing disruptive innovation
Decide
47 percent of retail executives are not strong
in making strategic business decisions
Speed of resolution
65%
Personalized experience
60%
Enabling self service
57%
Overly aggressive ROI expectations
57%
Insufficient business case/modeling skills
52%
Lack of quality/reliable data
51%
Insufficient skilled human resources
48%
Quality of service
56%
Figure 2
Retailers face challenges in customer service, disruptive innovation and
making strategic business decisions
5
Cognitive opportunity in retail
Traditional analytics, while effective across many areas, are constrained in exploiting the full
value of exponentially expanding data. Big data has been called the new natural resource.9
And this resource continues to rapidly grow in volume, variety and complexity. Business data
is estimated to double every 1.2 years.10
Many retailers lack capabilities to make full use of
available data, thereby creating a performance gap (see Figure 3).
Figure 3
Bridging the performance gap
Performance gap
Achievement
...but riding by the constraints of limited capabilities,
organization achievements would be at slower pace
Opportunity
...new ways of working, operating, thinking
Change
The four Vs of data (Volume, variety, velocity, veracity)
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
6	 Thinking like a customer
Cognitive computing allows organizations to bridge this performance gap, overcoming
limitations of both humans and systems. The human brain can consume and process only a
limited amount of information. People are also prone to physical and mental fatigue, as well as
mistakes. Traditional analytical systems struggle with ambiguity. The traditional paradigm of
computing is pre-programmed and rigid, unable to learn, reason, relate or interact in natural
language. Cognitive systems, however, build knowledge and learn. They understand natural
language, and they reason and interact more naturally with human beings.
Retail executives agree that cognitive computing has the potential to radically change the
industry. Among retail leaders familiar with the technology, 91 percent believe it will play a
disruptive role in the industry, and 83 percent believe it will have a critical impact on the future
of their businesses. Further, 94 percent of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing
say that their organizations are likely to invest in cognitive technologies in the near future
(see Figure 4).
of retail executives familiar with cognitive
computing believe it will have a critical impact on
the future of their business
83%
91%
of retail executives familiar with cognitive
computing believe it will
play a disruptive role in the industry
of retail executives familiar with cognitive
computing are likely to invest in cognitive
capabilities in the future
1-2 years
3-4 years
=5 years
6%
39%
49%
94%
Figure 4
Cognitive computing has the potential to radically change
the retail industry
7
Engagement capabilities
Cognitive systems can fundamentally change the way humans and systems interact and
significantly extend the capabilities of humans by leveraging their ability to provide expert
assistance. They provide advice by developing deep domain insight and bringing this
information to people in a timely, natural and usable way. Cognitive systems can play the
role of an assistant – albeit one that does note require sleep – and can consume vast
amounts of structured and unstructured information, can reconcile ambiguous and even
self-contradictory data, and can learn.
Retailers can use cognitive to understand shoppers’ behavior, search their intent and guide
them with personalized advice and accurate product recommendations. As a result, retailers
will gain deep insights using data from disparate sources that can help them to provide highly
tailored experiences to the customers.
Engage
Cognitive solution can help in provide rich customer experiences
Cognitive applications are already in market, helping enriching customer experience:
•	RedAnt uses cognitive to let employees easily identify individual customers’ buying
preferences by analyzing demographics, purchase history and wish lists, as well as product
information, local pricing, customer reviews and tech specs.11
•	Sellpoints, a provider of e-commerce and customer engagement solutions, has introduced
Natural Selection, a new app powered by cognitive computing that helps users to better
understand individual shopper preferences and intent. Instead of complicated questions or
surveys, the app allows consumers to ask questions in natural language, quickly returning a
set of relevant and personalized offers in just two taps or clicks.12
8	 Thinking like a customer
Discover
Cognitive can help discover valuable insights for retailers
Cognitive systems are already in market helping retailers find valuable insights for their
customers:
•	 NextUser uses cognitive computing to find user preferences so that the marketers can
better personalize communications to individual users.13
•	 StatSocial analyzes social and blog content to understand consumer demographics,
affinities, and personality types. It can enable the brands and marketers to understand
intrinsic needs and values of their customers.14
Discover capabilities
Retailers around the world have access to huge volumes of information from internal and
external sources. This access provides organizations with opportunities to find valuable and
useful insights across vast amounts of information available within or external to the
enterprise.
By analyzing diverse data, cognitive can provide a complete view of customers. Cognitive
can analyze behavior and discover personality insights to help retailers more effectively run
campaigns and promotions.
9
Decide
Major global digital technology company uses cognitive to generate insights
to make fundamental changes in its business15
In the light of major technological shifts in imaging products, one corporation decided to
make fundamental changes in its business: marketing operations, customer call center and
product development.
The company wanted to understand how people of all ages relate to digital visualizations.
As well, it wanted to analyze other customer communications to obtain a holistic sense of
the thoughts, feelings, opinions and sensibilities of its customer base.
The company deployed a content analytics solution to analyze customer sentiment on
social media and the voice of the customer through the company’s call center. Using the
solution, the corporation quickly identifies problems to determine solutions (for example,
why the shutter speed was high or a printer connection was bad).
As a consequence, the company hopes to achieve a major increase in the operating profits
through 2016.
Decision capabilities
Cognitive systems aid in decision-making and reduce human bias by offering better,
evidence-based recommendations. They continually evolve based on new information,
outcomes and actions. Current cognitive systems perform more as advisors by suggesting
a set of options to human users, who use information gathered and analyzed through
cognitive, to make business decisions.
These systems are helping retail professionals make more informed and timely decisions.
For example, cognitive can help in fraud and threat detection, increasing customer confidence
and loyalty. And it can help retailers better optimize supply chain and inventory management.
10	 Thinking like a customer
The way forward
Despite the enthusiasm for cognitive, retailers should realize there is often a steep learning
curve. In terms of system implementation and user interaction, cognitive systems are
fundamentally different than traditional programmatic systems.16
Retailers are particularly
concerned about having the right skills and expertise to move forward. There are three
critical success factors for cognitive computing pioneers (see Figure 5).
Figure 5
Organizations with cognitive computing experience have identified three critical action areas for success
Source: IBM Institute for Business Value.
Define the value1
 Find the right opportunity.
 Define the value proposition
and chart a course for
cognitive.
 Be realistic about value
realization.
Prepare the foundation2
 Invest in human talent.
 Build and help ensure a
quality corpus.
 Consider policy, process
requirements and impacts.
Manage the change3
 Ensure executive involvement
in the cognitive journey.
 Communicate the cognitive
vision at all levels.
 Continue to raise the
cognitive IQ of the
organization.
11
Define the value
Early planning helps create the greatest return on investment of resources. Defining the value
of cognitive to your organization is critical and includes several steps:
Find the right opportunity – Cognitive solutions are well suited to a defined set of challenges.
Retail organizations need to analyze the specific problem to determine if cognitive capabilities
are necessary and appropriate:
•	 Does the challenge involve a process or function that today takes humans an inordinate
amount of time in making a decision or thinking through a problem, such as seeking timely
answers and insights from various information sources – for example, social media,
purchase history and weather reports?
•	 Is there a need for users to interact with the system in natural language (such as a customer
on a mobile device trying to find the right product suitable to his/her specific need)?
•	 Does it involve a process or function that requires providing transparency and supporting
evidence for ranked responses to questions and queries (such as procurement decisions
in a retail chain)?
Define the value proposition and chart a course for cognitive – Identify both the differentiated
value provided by cognitive computing and the business value up front – from quicker
decisions about budget allocations to cost savings. In addition, establish a cognitive
computing vision and roadmap with executive-level support. Continuously communicate
roadmap progress with appropriate executives and stakeholders, such as employees and
business partners.
12	 Thinking like a customer
Be realistic about value realization – The benefits of cognitive computing systems are not
realized in a single “big bang” at the time of initial deployment. Rather, these systems are
evolutionary and improve and can lead to increasing value over time. Communicate this reality
to stakeholders and specify benefits for the organization, customers and business partners.
Consider using a phased rollout or deploying the solution to a subset of trusted users who
understand the technology’s evolutionary nature.
Lay the foundation
Prepare the foundation for a successful cognitive computing solution implementation by
focusing on the following:
Invest in human talent – Cognitive solutions are “trained,” not programmed, as they “learn”
with interactions, results and new pieces of information to help organizations scale expertise.
Often referred to as supervised learning, this labor-intensive training process requires the
commitment of human subject-matter-experts (SMEs).
In addition to domain expertise, a cognitive implementation also requires expertise in natural
language processing, machine learning, database administration, systems implementation
and integration, interface design and change management. An additional intangible “skill” is
required for team members: intellectual curiosity. The learning process never ends for the
system, the users or the organization.
For large retail organizations, forming a cognitive computing center of excellence may help
to secure the required talents and repeat the success.
13
Build and maintain a quality corpus – Cognitive systems are only as good as their data. Invest
adequate time in selecting data to be included in the corpus, which might include structured
(such as purchase history) and unstructured (such as social media) data from multiple
databases and other data sources and even real-time data feeds and social media. Data
will likely emanate from new and untapped sources as well, including social media, economic
reports and weather updates. In addition, invest in records digitization to secure the future
of your organization’s corpus, focusing on both historical and new documentation.
Consider policy, process requirements and impacts – Assess any potential impact on
processes and how people work. Because users interact with cognitive systems in entirely
different ways than traditional input/output systems, processes and job roles could be
impacted. In addition, consider whether any data policy changes are necessary. Obtaining
necessary data could test the boundaries of existing data-sharing policies and might require
new or modifications to existing policies, regulations and agreements.
Manage the change
Compared to traditional programmable systems, cognitive systems are a whole new
ballgame. As such, change management is more critical than ever – even more so in an
industry already experiencing so much change across its ecosystem.
Confirm executive involvement in the cognitive journey – Executive involvement should begin
with active participation in defining the cognitive vision and roadmap and continue throughout
the journey. This includes executive participation in regular reviews of incremental progress
and value realization.
14	 Thinking like a customer
Communicate the cognitive vision at all levels – Because cognitive computing is new and not
completely understood by most, regular communication at all levels is critical.
Communications should consider all stakeholders, including executives, employees,
customers and business partners, in the complex retail ecosystem that may be impacted.
Address any fears, uncertainties and doubts head on, and leverage executive sponsors to
reinforce the value of cognitive to the organization’s mission.
Continue to raise the cognitive IQ of the organization – Education is critical to assuring that
cognitive is understood and adopted. Of particular importance is managing expectations
related to system-generated recommendations. Cognitive systems are probabilistic (where
several possible outcomes exist, with assigned probabilities) and not deterministic (where
every input has fixed outcomes). While accuracy rates will improve as a system learns over
time, the rate will never reach 100 percent. Educate stakeholders early on about accuracy
rates and conduct regular reviews on incremental improvements.
15
Ready or not? Ask yourself these questions
•	 How do you plan to create more engaging and personalized experiences for your
customers?
•	 How do you assess the extent to which you use your structured and unstructured
data effectively across all business lines and functions?
•	 What is the cognitive computing IQ of your organization? How aware is staff of cognitive
computing, and of its benefits?
•	 What capabilities do you require in order to support and manage cognitive computing
services in your organization?
•	 How would you implement cognitive computing in your organization? Have you thought of
what your business and operating models would look like? How would you measure the
success of cognitive computing in achieving your strategic goals?
•	 How do you plan to secure senior management commitment for a cognitive computing
business case?
For more information
To learn more about this IBM Institute for Business
Value study, please contact us at iibv@us.ibm.com.
Follow @IBMIBV on Twitter, and for a full catalog of our
research or to subscribe to our monthly newsletter,
visit: ibm.com/iibv
Access IBM Institute for Business Value executive
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The right partner for a changing world
At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing
together business insight, advanced research and
technology to give them a distinct advantage in
today’s rapidly changing environment.
IBM Institute for Business Value
The IBM Institute for Business Value, part of IBM Global
Business Services, develops fact-based strategic
insights for senior business executives around critical
public and private sector issues.
16	 Thinking like a customer
About the authors
Gary Davis is the Global Retail Leader within the IBM Institute for Business Value. He brings
more than 30 years of experience working in the global retail industry with some of the most
well-known companies. Gary has been an executive in the merchandising, operations and IT
organizations of various retailers. He can be reached at gsdavis@us.ibm.com.
Anthony Marshall is Research Director and Strategy Leader for the IBM Institute for Business
Value. Anthony has consulted extensively with U.S. and global clients, working with numerous
top-tier organizations in innovation management, digital strategy, transformation and
organizational culture. He has also worked in regulation economics, privatization and MA.
Anthony can be reached at anthony2@us.ibm.com.
Keith Mercier is the Global Retail Leader for IBM Watson. He brings more than 30 years of
specialty retail experience including functional expertise in strategy, marketing, stores,
operations, ecommerce, wholesale and business development. As vice president/general
manager for a leading global retailer, Keith gained practical operating experience and has built
long-term strategies that drive financial growth and deliver customer value. He can be
reached at kdmercier@us.ibm.com.
Dr. Sandipan Sarkar is the Cognitive Computing Leader of IBM Institute for Business
Value. In a career that has spanned over two decades and various technical leadership
roles, he has been responsible for crafting cutting-edge technical solutions and thought
leadership to address intriguing business problems. Sandipan holds a Ph.D. in computer
science and engineering from Jadavpur University in India. His research interests include
computational linguistics, information retrieval and machine learning. He can be reached
at sandipan.sarkar@in.ibm.com.
17
Contributors and acknowledgments
The authors offer thanks to the following individuals for their contributions: Michael Holmes
of IBM Watson Group; and Amarenda Hota, and Anupama Shukla of IBM Global Business
Services.
The authors also would like to recognize the report’s executive stakeholders: Jay Bellissimo,
General Manager, Client Experience, IBM Watson Group; and Shanker Ramamurthy, Global
Managing Partner, Business Analytics and Strategy.
Study approach and methodology
As a follow up to the initial IBM Your cognitive future research study, we conducted additional
research in early 2015 to dive deeper into select industries and explore opportunities for
cognitive. Through a survey conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit, IBM gained
insights from more than 800 executives from around the world representing a variety of
industries, including 100 from retail industry, plus others from healthcare, banking, insurance,
retail, telecommunications, life sciences, consumer products, and oil and gas. The study also
included interviews with subject matter experts across IBM divisions, as well as supplemental
desk research.
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
10%
5%
Australia
Brazil
Canada
China
France
Germany
India
Japan
Mexico
Netherlands
Singapore
South Africa
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
Geographic
(% of respondents)
12%
12%
11%
12%
12%
10%
10%
10%
10%
Industry
(% of respondents)
Healthcare
Banking
Insurance
Retail
Government
Telecommunications
Life Sciences
Consumer Products
Oil and Gas
United States
Other
18	 Thinking like a customer
Related publications
Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing
changes the way we live and work, Part I: The evolution of cognitive.” IBM Institute for
Business Value. January 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/
thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/
Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing
changes the way we live and work, Part II: Kick-starting your cognitive journey.” IBM Institute
for Business Value. March 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/
thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/
Notes and sources
1 	 Klena, Kali and Danny Edsall. “Shoppers disrupted: Retailing through the noise.”
IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/
thoughtleadership/shoppersdisrupted/
2 	“2015 Retail Outlook.” CIT and Harris Poll. http://www.cit.com/wcmprod/groups/
content/@wcm/@cit/documents/images/2015-retail-outlook-report.pdf
3 	Klena, Kali and Danny Edsall. “Shoppers disrupted: Retailing through the noise.”
IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/
thoughtleadership/shoppersdisrupted/
4 	“2015 Retail Outlook.” CIT and Harris Poll. http://www.cit.com/wcmprod/groups/
content/@wcm/@cit/documents/images/2015-retail-outlook-report.pdf
19
5 	“Deloitte’s 2014 annual holiday survey (infographic): Making a list, clicking it twice.”
Deloitte University Press. October 28, 2014. http://dupress.com/articles/holiday-retail-
sales-2014-infographic/?id=us:2el:3dc:dup976:eng:retail:dholiday14:dcpromo
6	 Kirschner, Bryan and Pablo Kenney. “Run, Don’t Walk: Chasing Customer Expectations.”
Apigee Institute Report. 2014. https://pages.apigee.com/rs/apigee/images/apigee-
institute-report-run-dont-walk-chasing-customer-expectations-in-retail.pdf
7	 Kapner, Suzanne. “How the Web Drags on Some Retailers: Costs of Shipping, Returns
and Handling Pinch Results; Europe’s Primark Stays Offline.” The Wall Street Journal.
December1,2014.http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-the-web-drags-on-some-retailers-
1417477790
8 “Target’s Data Breach: The Largest Retail Hack in U.S. History.” Bloomberg Visual Data.
http://www.bloomberg.com/infographics/2014-05-14/target-data-breach.html; “True
Cost of Fraud 2015 Study: Merchants Contend with Increasing Fraud Losses as Remote
Channels Prove Especially Challenging.” LexisNexis Risk Solutions. http://www.
lexisnexis.com/risk/insights/true-cost-fraud.aspx
9 	 Picciano, Bob. “Why big data is the new natural resource.” Forbes. June 30, 2014. http://
www.forbes.com/sites/ibm/2014/06/30/why-big-data-is-the-new-natural-resource/
10 	“Big Data and the Creative Destruction of Today’s Business Models.” ATKearney. http://
www.atkearney.in/documents/10192/698536/Big+Data+and+the+Creative
+Destruction+of+Todays+Business+Models.pdf/f05aed38-6c26-431d-8500-
d75a2c384919
20	 Thinking like a customer
11 	 “IBM Announces Watson Mobile Developer Challenge Winners.” IBM Press Release.
June 3, 2014. https://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/44057.wss
12 	 “IBM Invests in WayBlazer and Sellpoints to Advance Watson Powered Apps in Online
Travel and Shopping.” IBM Press Release. May 19, 2015.https://www- 03.ibm.com/press/
us/en/pressrelease/46950.wss
13 	 “NextUser Taps IBM Watson to Improve Marketing Strategies and Personalize User
Experiences.” Reuters. June 9, 2015. Available at: http://www.reuters.com/article/
idUSnMKW47VMra+1cc+MKW20150609
14 	 “StatSocial Partners with IBM Watson to Bring Cognitive Computing to Social Media
Data.” PRWeb. November 18, 2015. http://www.prweb.com/releases/2015/11/
prweb13086321.htm
15 	 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on IBM case studies and client interviews.
16 	 “IBM Global Technology Outlook 2014.” IBM Research. 2014.
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and IBM does not independently verify, validate or audit such data. The
results from the use of such data are provided on an “as is” basis and
IBM makes no representations or warranties, express or implied.
21
Your cognitive future in retail industry

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Your cognitive future in retail industry

  • 1. IBM Institute for Business Value Thinking like a customer Your cognitive future in the retail industry
  • 2. IBM Retail IBM Retail solutions offer long-standing commitment and investment in leading-edge mobile partnerships, cognitive computing solution development, acquisitions and research that provide disruptive creativity and take a new approach (new business models) to solve business problems. Solutions include integrated systems of record, systems of engagement and systems of execution that span all phases of the consumer’s brand experience and all channels of brand interaction to consistently deliver on the promise of customer-centric retailing. Deep industry experience—combined with software, consulting and infrastructure—enables IBM to deliver the integrated solutions needed to unite physical and digital worlds, supported by an extensive, collaborative and innovative business partner ecosystem. IBM Watson Watson is a cognitive system that enables a new partnership between people and computers that enhances and scales human expertise. For more information about IBM’s Watson, visit ibm.com/Watson. Executive Report Retail and Watson
  • 3. Executive summary The retail industry is experiencing unprecedented change. Over the past decade, emergence of technology-enabled “smarter consumers” has upended traditional retail business models. The days when department stores or large discount chains targeted promotions to mass audiences according to broad-brush definitions of age, gender and income are giving way to market segments composed of single individuals.1 In response, many retailers have attempted to ride the wave of technological disruption by using predictive analytics to discover how to better reach today’s empowered customer, generate higher revenues and gain a much broader and deeper perspective of shifting marketplace mandates. However, as the quantity of customer data continues to grow, retail executives fear that existing analytics capabilities are not sufficient to gain the necessary insights to fully meet ever-growing and ever-changing customer imperatives. Customers today are demanding completely personalized shopping experiences – in which products, services and communications are delivered to them at the time, place and medium of their choosing. Cognitive computing, with its near real-time learning and decision support, provides a new set of capabilities that can open fresh opportunities for the retail industry by scaling human expertise. Cognitive is already helping retailers provide more personalized experiences, and it is poised to enable a broader range of innovation that promises to redefine the retail industry. Our research, based on a survey of 100 retail executives from around the world, reveals that cognitive solutions are already helping organizations across industries realize value. Retail leaders recognize the potential to transform their industry, and they are set to exploit cognitive capabilities to accomplish this. Cognitive + retail = the future Welcome to the age of cognitive computing, where intelligent machines simulate human brain capabilities to help solve society’s most vexing problems. For retail, cognitive computing has already arrived, and its potential to transform the industry is enormous. Cognitive systems are driving more personalized shopping experiences and helping unearth customer trends. Our research reveals that retail leaders globally are poised to embrace this groundbreaking technology more holistically and, by doing so, will redefine the future in retail. 1
  • 4. Conquering industry forces The retail industry is experiencing unprecedented disruption. Retailers must embrace new technologies to address these changes. In the recent past, the store was the cornerstone of all retail transactions. However, new and sophisticated digital technologies have helped shift the entire retail paradigm. Today, whether retailers like it or not, brick-and-mortar stores are often used for “showrooming,” in which customers compare products in-store and then purchase online. Retailers that focus only on brick-and-mortar stores are under serious threat.2 Five specific forces are changing the retail landscape: Expanding customer expectations: Customers are empowered and their expectations continually evolve and expand. Customers expect retailers to offer convenient, responsive and personalized services. For example, a recent IBM study revealed that 48 percent of customers say it is important for retailers to provide on-demand personalized promotions when online, while 45 percent want the same options in store.3 Customers are increasingly demanding that they, not retailers, control the shopping process; they want to discover and purchase products how, when and where they want. Self-serve retail: Customers are assuming ever-greater ownership over their personal retail journeys. Today’s customers have almost limitless choices in their discovery and inspiration about what to buy. They are not constrained by time of day or location in transacting. Customers use numerous self-help technologies in their interaction with retailers – price checkers, self-checkout payment lanes, mobile apps and payments, and information kiosks, to name just a few. This trend will only increase in the future. 91% of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will play a disruptive role in their organization 83% of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will have a critical impact on the future of their organization 94% of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing intend to invest in cognitive capabilities 2 Thinking like a customer
  • 5. What is cognitive computing? Cognitive computing is a new computation paradigm that… • Learns and builds knowledge from various structured and unstructured sources of information • Understands natural language and interacts more naturally with humans • Captures the expertise of top performers and accelerates the development of expertise in others • Enhances the cognitive processes of professionals to help improve decision-making • Elevates the quality and consistency of decision-making across an organization. Technological progress: Technology has redefined the ways in which retailers interact with customers. Yet, many retail organizations struggle to keep up with technological change. More than 80 percent of retailers agree that having mobile apps represents a key advantage over the competition.4 Customers say that a digital device will influence 50 percent of their in-store purchases.5 Seventy-four percent of U.S. smartphone owners say they would be more likely to shop at a store offering key functions and services via an app.6 Eroding margins: Prices of many consumer goods have been falling, driven by intensified competition and global sourcing. At the same time, retailers have been experiencing cost inflation in rents, salaries and strategic investments in such areas as technology. Retailers are also expressing growing concern about declining customer loyalty and profitability. For example, a leading retailer notes that its profitability online is less than half compared to in-store.7 Security breaches: Incidence and implications of identity theft and credit card fraud have increased.8 Malware attacks targeting point-of-sale systems and systems of record, in particular, are becoming more common. Disruption to focus It is clear that retailers need to map a clear path to navigate this environmental disruption. To help retailers achieve this, we identified three underlying themes relating to communication and collaboration, innovation, and decisions and outcomes (see Figures 1 and 2). 3
  • 6. Engage: Today’s customers want speed, transparency and personal interaction with their retailers. Although a majority of retail executives in our survey understand these demands, a significant gap exists between customer expectations and the ability of retailers to deliver. Retailers find it especially difficult to resolve customer issues because of a lack of standard procedures and insufficient skilled resources. Many retailers lack capabilities to use the vast amount of customer data available to create insights, find patterns and deliver relevant experiences. Source: IBM Institute for Business Value. Figure 1 From disruption, three focus areas have come to light for the retail industry Engage Provide better collaboration between with suppliers, partners and customers and enables seamless experience across channels Discover Provide ability to digest vast amounts of data to identify new avenues and implement new ideas Decide Provide contextual, evidence-backed recommendations, with changing business models, cost structures and customer behavior 4 Thinking like a customer
  • 7. Discover: Although 59 percent of retail executives in our study actively pursue industry-model innovation, they are challenged by aggressive return on investment (ROI) expectations and lack of sufficient skills. Nearly six in ten of retailers surveyed indicated that ROI expectations are overly aggressive. More than half indicated they have insufficient business modeling/ business case skills. And nearly half said they have insufficient human resources. Retailers face challenges in identifying the right value proposition that can win them customer loyalty. As well, they are confronted with challenges in identifying technology and innovation that can differentiate them from others and help them create new, different and sustainable business models. Decide: Almost half of the retail executives we surveyed report a lack of confidence in making strategic business decisions. Such strategic decision-making is especially difficult in circumstances where retailers lack understanding about how to use data and analytics to support decisions. For example, many struggle with aspects of merchandising strategy, including synthesizing data on volumes, markdowns, promotion coupons and multi-channel campaigns. Engage Major areas in which retailers are not competent enough in delivering customer service Discover Key challenges in pursuing disruptive innovation Decide 47 percent of retail executives are not strong in making strategic business decisions Speed of resolution 65% Personalized experience 60% Enabling self service 57% Overly aggressive ROI expectations 57% Insufficient business case/modeling skills 52% Lack of quality/reliable data 51% Insufficient skilled human resources 48% Quality of service 56% Figure 2 Retailers face challenges in customer service, disruptive innovation and making strategic business decisions 5
  • 8. Cognitive opportunity in retail Traditional analytics, while effective across many areas, are constrained in exploiting the full value of exponentially expanding data. Big data has been called the new natural resource.9 And this resource continues to rapidly grow in volume, variety and complexity. Business data is estimated to double every 1.2 years.10 Many retailers lack capabilities to make full use of available data, thereby creating a performance gap (see Figure 3). Figure 3 Bridging the performance gap Performance gap Achievement ...but riding by the constraints of limited capabilities, organization achievements would be at slower pace Opportunity ...new ways of working, operating, thinking Change The four Vs of data (Volume, variety, velocity, veracity) Source: IBM Institute for Business Value. 6 Thinking like a customer
  • 9. Cognitive computing allows organizations to bridge this performance gap, overcoming limitations of both humans and systems. The human brain can consume and process only a limited amount of information. People are also prone to physical and mental fatigue, as well as mistakes. Traditional analytical systems struggle with ambiguity. The traditional paradigm of computing is pre-programmed and rigid, unable to learn, reason, relate or interact in natural language. Cognitive systems, however, build knowledge and learn. They understand natural language, and they reason and interact more naturally with human beings. Retail executives agree that cognitive computing has the potential to radically change the industry. Among retail leaders familiar with the technology, 91 percent believe it will play a disruptive role in the industry, and 83 percent believe it will have a critical impact on the future of their businesses. Further, 94 percent of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing say that their organizations are likely to invest in cognitive technologies in the near future (see Figure 4). of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will have a critical impact on the future of their business 83% 91% of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing believe it will play a disruptive role in the industry of retail executives familiar with cognitive computing are likely to invest in cognitive capabilities in the future 1-2 years 3-4 years =5 years 6% 39% 49% 94% Figure 4 Cognitive computing has the potential to radically change the retail industry 7
  • 10. Engagement capabilities Cognitive systems can fundamentally change the way humans and systems interact and significantly extend the capabilities of humans by leveraging their ability to provide expert assistance. They provide advice by developing deep domain insight and bringing this information to people in a timely, natural and usable way. Cognitive systems can play the role of an assistant – albeit one that does note require sleep – and can consume vast amounts of structured and unstructured information, can reconcile ambiguous and even self-contradictory data, and can learn. Retailers can use cognitive to understand shoppers’ behavior, search their intent and guide them with personalized advice and accurate product recommendations. As a result, retailers will gain deep insights using data from disparate sources that can help them to provide highly tailored experiences to the customers. Engage Cognitive solution can help in provide rich customer experiences Cognitive applications are already in market, helping enriching customer experience: • RedAnt uses cognitive to let employees easily identify individual customers’ buying preferences by analyzing demographics, purchase history and wish lists, as well as product information, local pricing, customer reviews and tech specs.11 • Sellpoints, a provider of e-commerce and customer engagement solutions, has introduced Natural Selection, a new app powered by cognitive computing that helps users to better understand individual shopper preferences and intent. Instead of complicated questions or surveys, the app allows consumers to ask questions in natural language, quickly returning a set of relevant and personalized offers in just two taps or clicks.12 8 Thinking like a customer
  • 11. Discover Cognitive can help discover valuable insights for retailers Cognitive systems are already in market helping retailers find valuable insights for their customers: • NextUser uses cognitive computing to find user preferences so that the marketers can better personalize communications to individual users.13 • StatSocial analyzes social and blog content to understand consumer demographics, affinities, and personality types. It can enable the brands and marketers to understand intrinsic needs and values of their customers.14 Discover capabilities Retailers around the world have access to huge volumes of information from internal and external sources. This access provides organizations with opportunities to find valuable and useful insights across vast amounts of information available within or external to the enterprise. By analyzing diverse data, cognitive can provide a complete view of customers. Cognitive can analyze behavior and discover personality insights to help retailers more effectively run campaigns and promotions. 9
  • 12. Decide Major global digital technology company uses cognitive to generate insights to make fundamental changes in its business15 In the light of major technological shifts in imaging products, one corporation decided to make fundamental changes in its business: marketing operations, customer call center and product development. The company wanted to understand how people of all ages relate to digital visualizations. As well, it wanted to analyze other customer communications to obtain a holistic sense of the thoughts, feelings, opinions and sensibilities of its customer base. The company deployed a content analytics solution to analyze customer sentiment on social media and the voice of the customer through the company’s call center. Using the solution, the corporation quickly identifies problems to determine solutions (for example, why the shutter speed was high or a printer connection was bad). As a consequence, the company hopes to achieve a major increase in the operating profits through 2016. Decision capabilities Cognitive systems aid in decision-making and reduce human bias by offering better, evidence-based recommendations. They continually evolve based on new information, outcomes and actions. Current cognitive systems perform more as advisors by suggesting a set of options to human users, who use information gathered and analyzed through cognitive, to make business decisions. These systems are helping retail professionals make more informed and timely decisions. For example, cognitive can help in fraud and threat detection, increasing customer confidence and loyalty. And it can help retailers better optimize supply chain and inventory management. 10 Thinking like a customer
  • 13. The way forward Despite the enthusiasm for cognitive, retailers should realize there is often a steep learning curve. In terms of system implementation and user interaction, cognitive systems are fundamentally different than traditional programmatic systems.16 Retailers are particularly concerned about having the right skills and expertise to move forward. There are three critical success factors for cognitive computing pioneers (see Figure 5). Figure 5 Organizations with cognitive computing experience have identified three critical action areas for success Source: IBM Institute for Business Value. Define the value1  Find the right opportunity.  Define the value proposition and chart a course for cognitive.  Be realistic about value realization. Prepare the foundation2  Invest in human talent.  Build and help ensure a quality corpus.  Consider policy, process requirements and impacts. Manage the change3  Ensure executive involvement in the cognitive journey.  Communicate the cognitive vision at all levels.  Continue to raise the cognitive IQ of the organization. 11
  • 14. Define the value Early planning helps create the greatest return on investment of resources. Defining the value of cognitive to your organization is critical and includes several steps: Find the right opportunity – Cognitive solutions are well suited to a defined set of challenges. Retail organizations need to analyze the specific problem to determine if cognitive capabilities are necessary and appropriate: • Does the challenge involve a process or function that today takes humans an inordinate amount of time in making a decision or thinking through a problem, such as seeking timely answers and insights from various information sources – for example, social media, purchase history and weather reports? • Is there a need for users to interact with the system in natural language (such as a customer on a mobile device trying to find the right product suitable to his/her specific need)? • Does it involve a process or function that requires providing transparency and supporting evidence for ranked responses to questions and queries (such as procurement decisions in a retail chain)? Define the value proposition and chart a course for cognitive – Identify both the differentiated value provided by cognitive computing and the business value up front – from quicker decisions about budget allocations to cost savings. In addition, establish a cognitive computing vision and roadmap with executive-level support. Continuously communicate roadmap progress with appropriate executives and stakeholders, such as employees and business partners. 12 Thinking like a customer
  • 15. Be realistic about value realization – The benefits of cognitive computing systems are not realized in a single “big bang” at the time of initial deployment. Rather, these systems are evolutionary and improve and can lead to increasing value over time. Communicate this reality to stakeholders and specify benefits for the organization, customers and business partners. Consider using a phased rollout or deploying the solution to a subset of trusted users who understand the technology’s evolutionary nature. Lay the foundation Prepare the foundation for a successful cognitive computing solution implementation by focusing on the following: Invest in human talent – Cognitive solutions are “trained,” not programmed, as they “learn” with interactions, results and new pieces of information to help organizations scale expertise. Often referred to as supervised learning, this labor-intensive training process requires the commitment of human subject-matter-experts (SMEs). In addition to domain expertise, a cognitive implementation also requires expertise in natural language processing, machine learning, database administration, systems implementation and integration, interface design and change management. An additional intangible “skill” is required for team members: intellectual curiosity. The learning process never ends for the system, the users or the organization. For large retail organizations, forming a cognitive computing center of excellence may help to secure the required talents and repeat the success. 13
  • 16. Build and maintain a quality corpus – Cognitive systems are only as good as their data. Invest adequate time in selecting data to be included in the corpus, which might include structured (such as purchase history) and unstructured (such as social media) data from multiple databases and other data sources and even real-time data feeds and social media. Data will likely emanate from new and untapped sources as well, including social media, economic reports and weather updates. In addition, invest in records digitization to secure the future of your organization’s corpus, focusing on both historical and new documentation. Consider policy, process requirements and impacts – Assess any potential impact on processes and how people work. Because users interact with cognitive systems in entirely different ways than traditional input/output systems, processes and job roles could be impacted. In addition, consider whether any data policy changes are necessary. Obtaining necessary data could test the boundaries of existing data-sharing policies and might require new or modifications to existing policies, regulations and agreements. Manage the change Compared to traditional programmable systems, cognitive systems are a whole new ballgame. As such, change management is more critical than ever – even more so in an industry already experiencing so much change across its ecosystem. Confirm executive involvement in the cognitive journey – Executive involvement should begin with active participation in defining the cognitive vision and roadmap and continue throughout the journey. This includes executive participation in regular reviews of incremental progress and value realization. 14 Thinking like a customer
  • 17. Communicate the cognitive vision at all levels – Because cognitive computing is new and not completely understood by most, regular communication at all levels is critical. Communications should consider all stakeholders, including executives, employees, customers and business partners, in the complex retail ecosystem that may be impacted. Address any fears, uncertainties and doubts head on, and leverage executive sponsors to reinforce the value of cognitive to the organization’s mission. Continue to raise the cognitive IQ of the organization – Education is critical to assuring that cognitive is understood and adopted. Of particular importance is managing expectations related to system-generated recommendations. Cognitive systems are probabilistic (where several possible outcomes exist, with assigned probabilities) and not deterministic (where every input has fixed outcomes). While accuracy rates will improve as a system learns over time, the rate will never reach 100 percent. Educate stakeholders early on about accuracy rates and conduct regular reviews on incremental improvements. 15
  • 18. Ready or not? Ask yourself these questions • How do you plan to create more engaging and personalized experiences for your customers? • How do you assess the extent to which you use your structured and unstructured data effectively across all business lines and functions? • What is the cognitive computing IQ of your organization? How aware is staff of cognitive computing, and of its benefits? • What capabilities do you require in order to support and manage cognitive computing services in your organization? • How would you implement cognitive computing in your organization? Have you thought of what your business and operating models would look like? How would you measure the success of cognitive computing in achieving your strategic goals? • How do you plan to secure senior management commitment for a cognitive computing business case? For more information To learn more about this IBM Institute for Business Value study, please contact us at iibv@us.ibm.com. Follow @IBMIBV on Twitter, and for a full catalog of our research or to subscribe to our monthly newsletter, visit: ibm.com/iibv Access IBM Institute for Business Value executive reports on your tablet by downloading the free “IBM IBV” mobile device and phone apps from your app store. The right partner for a changing world At IBM, we collaborate with our clients, bringing together business insight, advanced research and technology to give them a distinct advantage in today’s rapidly changing environment. IBM Institute for Business Value The IBM Institute for Business Value, part of IBM Global Business Services, develops fact-based strategic insights for senior business executives around critical public and private sector issues. 16 Thinking like a customer
  • 19. About the authors Gary Davis is the Global Retail Leader within the IBM Institute for Business Value. He brings more than 30 years of experience working in the global retail industry with some of the most well-known companies. Gary has been an executive in the merchandising, operations and IT organizations of various retailers. He can be reached at gsdavis@us.ibm.com. Anthony Marshall is Research Director and Strategy Leader for the IBM Institute for Business Value. Anthony has consulted extensively with U.S. and global clients, working with numerous top-tier organizations in innovation management, digital strategy, transformation and organizational culture. He has also worked in regulation economics, privatization and MA. Anthony can be reached at anthony2@us.ibm.com. Keith Mercier is the Global Retail Leader for IBM Watson. He brings more than 30 years of specialty retail experience including functional expertise in strategy, marketing, stores, operations, ecommerce, wholesale and business development. As vice president/general manager for a leading global retailer, Keith gained practical operating experience and has built long-term strategies that drive financial growth and deliver customer value. He can be reached at kdmercier@us.ibm.com. Dr. Sandipan Sarkar is the Cognitive Computing Leader of IBM Institute for Business Value. In a career that has spanned over two decades and various technical leadership roles, he has been responsible for crafting cutting-edge technical solutions and thought leadership to address intriguing business problems. Sandipan holds a Ph.D. in computer science and engineering from Jadavpur University in India. His research interests include computational linguistics, information retrieval and machine learning. He can be reached at sandipan.sarkar@in.ibm.com. 17
  • 20. Contributors and acknowledgments The authors offer thanks to the following individuals for their contributions: Michael Holmes of IBM Watson Group; and Amarenda Hota, and Anupama Shukla of IBM Global Business Services. The authors also would like to recognize the report’s executive stakeholders: Jay Bellissimo, General Manager, Client Experience, IBM Watson Group; and Shanker Ramamurthy, Global Managing Partner, Business Analytics and Strategy. Study approach and methodology As a follow up to the initial IBM Your cognitive future research study, we conducted additional research in early 2015 to dive deeper into select industries and explore opportunities for cognitive. Through a survey conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit, IBM gained insights from more than 800 executives from around the world representing a variety of industries, including 100 from retail industry, plus others from healthcare, banking, insurance, retail, telecommunications, life sciences, consumer products, and oil and gas. The study also included interviews with subject matter experts across IBM divisions, as well as supplemental desk research. 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 5% Australia Brazil Canada China France Germany India Japan Mexico Netherlands Singapore South Africa Spain Sweden United Kingdom Geographic (% of respondents) 12% 12% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 10% 10% Industry (% of respondents) Healthcare Banking Insurance Retail Government Telecommunications Life Sciences Consumer Products Oil and Gas United States Other 18 Thinking like a customer
  • 21. Related publications Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes the way we live and work, Part I: The evolution of cognitive.” IBM Institute for Business Value. January 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/ Sarkar, Sandipan, and David Zaharchuk. “Your cognitive future, How next-gen computing changes the way we live and work, Part II: Kick-starting your cognitive journey.” IBM Institute for Business Value. March 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ thoughtleadership/cognitivefuture/ Notes and sources 1 Klena, Kali and Danny Edsall. “Shoppers disrupted: Retailing through the noise.” IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ thoughtleadership/shoppersdisrupted/ 2 “2015 Retail Outlook.” CIT and Harris Poll. http://www.cit.com/wcmprod/groups/ content/@wcm/@cit/documents/images/2015-retail-outlook-report.pdf 3 Klena, Kali and Danny Edsall. “Shoppers disrupted: Retailing through the noise.” IBM Institute for Business Value. May 2015. http://www-935.ibm.com/services/us/gbs/ thoughtleadership/shoppersdisrupted/ 4 “2015 Retail Outlook.” CIT and Harris Poll. http://www.cit.com/wcmprod/groups/ content/@wcm/@cit/documents/images/2015-retail-outlook-report.pdf 19
  • 22. 5 “Deloitte’s 2014 annual holiday survey (infographic): Making a list, clicking it twice.” Deloitte University Press. October 28, 2014. http://dupress.com/articles/holiday-retail- sales-2014-infographic/?id=us:2el:3dc:dup976:eng:retail:dholiday14:dcpromo 6 Kirschner, Bryan and Pablo Kenney. “Run, Don’t Walk: Chasing Customer Expectations.” Apigee Institute Report. 2014. https://pages.apigee.com/rs/apigee/images/apigee- institute-report-run-dont-walk-chasing-customer-expectations-in-retail.pdf 7 Kapner, Suzanne. “How the Web Drags on Some Retailers: Costs of Shipping, Returns and Handling Pinch Results; Europe’s Primark Stays Offline.” The Wall Street Journal. December1,2014.http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-the-web-drags-on-some-retailers- 1417477790 8 “Target’s Data Breach: The Largest Retail Hack in U.S. History.” Bloomberg Visual Data. http://www.bloomberg.com/infographics/2014-05-14/target-data-breach.html; “True Cost of Fraud 2015 Study: Merchants Contend with Increasing Fraud Losses as Remote Channels Prove Especially Challenging.” LexisNexis Risk Solutions. http://www. lexisnexis.com/risk/insights/true-cost-fraud.aspx 9 Picciano, Bob. “Why big data is the new natural resource.” Forbes. June 30, 2014. http:// www.forbes.com/sites/ibm/2014/06/30/why-big-data-is-the-new-natural-resource/ 10 “Big Data and the Creative Destruction of Today’s Business Models.” ATKearney. http:// www.atkearney.in/documents/10192/698536/Big+Data+and+the+Creative +Destruction+of+Todays+Business+Models.pdf/f05aed38-6c26-431d-8500- d75a2c384919 20 Thinking like a customer
  • 23. 11 “IBM Announces Watson Mobile Developer Challenge Winners.” IBM Press Release. June 3, 2014. https://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/44057.wss 12 “IBM Invests in WayBlazer and Sellpoints to Advance Watson Powered Apps in Online Travel and Shopping.” IBM Press Release. May 19, 2015.https://www- 03.ibm.com/press/ us/en/pressrelease/46950.wss 13 “NextUser Taps IBM Watson to Improve Marketing Strategies and Personalize User Experiences.” Reuters. June 9, 2015. Available at: http://www.reuters.com/article/ idUSnMKW47VMra+1cc+MKW20150609 14 “StatSocial Partners with IBM Watson to Bring Cognitive Computing to Social Media Data.” PRWeb. November 18, 2015. http://www.prweb.com/releases/2015/11/ prweb13086321.htm 15 IBM Institute for Business Value analysis based on IBM case studies and client interviews. 16 “IBM Global Technology Outlook 2014.” IBM Research. 2014. GBE03731-USEN-01 © Copyright IBM Corporation 2016 IBM Global Business Services Route 100 Somers, NY 10589 Produced in the United States of America January 2016 IBM, the IBM logo and ibm.com are trademarks of International Business Machines Corp., registered in many jurisdictions worldwide. Other product and service names might be trademarks of IBM or other companies. A current list of IBM trademarks is available on the Web at “Copyright and trademark information” at www.ibm.com/legal/ copytrade.shtml. This document is current as of the initial date of publication and may be changed by IBM at any time. Not all offerings are available in every country in which IBM operates. The information in this document is provided “as is” without any warranty, express or implied, including without any warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and any warranty or condition of non-infringement. IBM products are warranted according to the terms and conditions of the agreements under which they are provided. This report is intended for general guidance only. It is not intended to be a substitute for detailed research or the exercise of professional judgment. IBM shall not be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any organization or person who relies on this publication. The data used in this report may be derived from third-party sources and IBM does not independently verify, validate or audit such data. The results from the use of such data are provided on an “as is” basis and IBM makes no representations or warranties, express or implied. 21