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© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies for Nidera by John Roach August 17, 2009
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.  7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL  33487 800-622-7628 [email_address]   http://www.roachag.com
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Why were grain prices so bullish in May and June?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. World Soybean Crop down 27.4 million tons - 34% of entire U.S. Crop
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Weak Dollar from Feb to June 09 then stopped going lower Traders’ 1 st  Target
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. March Intentions March Intentions
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],In Addition We Had
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why Have Prices dropped?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. What do the Fundamentals Look Like Now?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. World Soybean Crop is forecast  31.5 Million tons bigger than last year
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Bean Situation and Price Outlook
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Corn Situation and Price Outlook
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Wheat Situation and Price Outlook
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. How Should I Market My Crops?
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sales Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],[object Object],Rule # 1
[object Object],© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Both Lines Over 75 = Roach Ag Sell Signal
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals Your Digital Thermometer For Prices
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals 56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Split your bushels into between 4 or 5 increments and sell one increment of each on each Sell Signal  Rule # 2
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. ,[object Object],Rule # 3
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity -  Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
© Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.  7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL  33487 800-622-7628 [email_address]   http://www.roachag.com

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Nidera In Chicago 8 17 2009

  • 1. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies for Nidera by John Roach August 17, 2009
  • 2. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. 7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL 33487 800-622-7628 [email_address] http://www.roachag.com
  • 3. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Why were grain prices so bullish in May and June?
  • 4. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. World Soybean Crop down 27.4 million tons - 34% of entire U.S. Crop
  • 5.
  • 6. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. March Intentions March Intentions
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. What do the Fundamentals Look Like Now?
  • 10. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. World Soybean Crop is forecast 31.5 Million tons bigger than last year
  • 11. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 12. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 13. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 14. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 15. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 16. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 17. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 18. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 19. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 20. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 21. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 22.
  • 23. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 24. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 25. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 26. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 27. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 28. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 29. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 30. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 31. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 32. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 33. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 34. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 35.
  • 36. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 37. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 38. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 39. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 40. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 41. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 42. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 43.
  • 44. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. How Should I Market My Crops?
  • 45.
  • 46. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 47. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals Your Digital Thermometer For Prices
  • 51. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal
  • 52. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals 56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)
  • 53. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Split your bushels into between 4 or 5 increments and sell one increment of each on each Sell Signal Rule # 2
  • 54.
  • 55. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 56. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 57. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 58. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 59. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 60. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 61. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 62. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 63. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 64. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 65. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 66. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
  • 67. © Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. 7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL 33487 800-622-7628 [email_address] http://www.roachag.com