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Dr. Tabakian’s Political Science 7
    Modern World Governments – Spring 2013
     Supplemental Power Point Material #11
LECTURE HIGHLIGHTS (1)
•   State Interdependence
•   Foreign Policy Impacts Domestic Politics
•   International Organizations
•   Towards European Integration
•   Why Some Don’t Embrace Democracy
•   From Wilson’s 14 Points to The United Nations
•   Institutions Remain Strong Post-Cold War
•   Human Rights As Foreign Policy
•   Conventional Forces
•   Types Of Forces
•   Evolving Technologies
•   Terrorism
LECTURE HIGHLIGHTS (2)
•   Weapons Of Mass Destruction
•   Nuclear Weapons
•   Examples of Nuclear Weapons
•   Ballistic Missiles & Other Delivery Systems
•   Chemical & Biological Weapons
•   Proliferation
•   Nuclear Strategy & Arms Control
•   Military Economies
•   Control Of Military Forces
•   Stabilization
•   Instability
STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (1)
Societal interdependence addresses situations in which
events within one society affect events in another.
Government involvement in instigating these events does
not have to take place for this to occur. Transnational
relations helped to encourage interdependency between
states. Nation-states interdependent on one another
presented each with economic and political trade-offs
whereas gains in one may lead to the weakening of another.
Economic gains that may be derived from external sources
that are able to produce them more efficiently while only
retaining those industries that are efficient may allow a state
to achieve higher overall productivity. This comes at a price
when a state becomes so dependent on foreign sources of
goods that it affects how its foreign policy is conducted.
STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (2)
As a state becomes more interdependent on one another it
also serves to prevent it from acting overly aggressive
against those states that it has become dependent.
Interdependence reversed the low levels of political
optimism beginning in the 1970s that established linkages
between the West, Latin America, and Asia and culminated
with the collapse of the Soviet Union.
STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (3)
Simple interdependency is morphing into a complex
interdependence that was uniting economic and political interests of
states into one cohesive block. War among the advanced states
became unthinkable as interdependence made it ever more costly.
Interdependent world of liberal-democratic states can at some point
in time lead to world peace. Regardless of these economic forces,
security concerns as well as the drive for national honor can
overrule the costs associated with breaking linkages. Countries that
wish to attract foreign investments or accrue technological
innovations have to wear a “golden straitjacket”. This is a set of
policies that include balanced budgets, economic deregulation, free
trade, a stable currency and most importantly an overall
transparency so that people can predict the overall direction of a
country.
STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (4)
Societal and economic interdependence can interlink the
domestic policies of two nation-states. Take the example of
Canada and the United States. The high degree of societal
interdependence assures that Canada will be strongly affected
by American policies. The most powerful nation-state can
more affect the policies of another country interdependent on
its society as the US and Canada example shows.
STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (5)
Underlying most analyses of world politics and international
organization is the state-centric approach. This makes two
assumptions:
(1) Governments remain the most significant actors in world
    politics.
(2) Governments are unified actors. Transgovernmental is a
    reference to direct interactions between agencies
    (government subunits) of different governments where
    those agencies act relatively autonomously from central
    governmental control.
FOREIGN POLICY IMPACTS
          DOMESTIC POLITICS (1)
The quest continues for researchers to explain conflict and
integration in a fashion that allows for the political sciences to
understand how the relationship between the structure of the
international system and the patterns of foreign policy impacts
domestic politics and political structures of a given country’s
foreign policy. Understanding these international – domestic
linkages would further allow researchers to study decision-
making and bureaucratic process and how they affect foreign
policy behavior. Scholars have sought to explain how the
international system affects domestic political systems and
subsystems.
FOREIGN POLICY IMPACTS
          DOMESTIC POLITICS (2)
Realists are prone to argue that the anarchic international
system affects domestic policies and those subservient
systems, as national survival requires the functions of the
nation-state to coordinate its policies. Neo-realists would
argue that it works both ways with the international system
affecting domestic policies and vice versa. National-interests
do not merely have to deal with survival, but also other
interests that may vary according to moral, economic or even
the quest for additional resources for consumption.
FOREIGN POLICY IMPACTS
          DOMESTIC POLITICS (3)
Kenneth Waltz refers to globalization as a homogenization
process that equalizes prices, products, wages, wealth, rates
of interest and profit margins. It is a movement that can spark
resistance both within the United States as well as around the
world. This can come from religious fundamentalists, and
labor unions. Thomas Friedman would disagree with Tip
O’Neill’s assertion that “all politics are local”. Friedman would
say this was wrong, for all politics is now global in nature, “The
electronic herd turns the whole world into a parliamentary
system, in which every government lives under the fear of a
no-confidence vote from the herd”. It is interesting to point out
here that most economies remain local. In fact those countries
with the largest economies do most of their business
domestically.
TOWARDS EUROPEAN
              INTEGRATION (1)
The European Union is a supranational organization of 27
European member states. With the goal of establishing
political and economic union, some member states—
particularly the United Kingdom—fear the establishment of a
pan-European “superstate.” As the European Union has
expanded from 15 members when it was created in 1995, to
27 members in 2007 (and with still more members on the
horizon), it addresses a greater number of policy areas and is
an increasingly important actor on the world stage.
TOWARDS EUROPEAN
               INTEGRATION (2)
Discussions to develop a new European
Constitution began in 1994. While progress
was quickly made in some areas, in other
areas negotiations faltered. As of 2007, the
future of the new European Constitution is
uncertain. Already, twenty EU members
have ratified the Constitution, and several
others are in the process of ratifying the
document. However, to come into force, the
European Constitution has to be ratified by
all EU member states, and voters in France
and the Netherlands have already rejected
the Constitution in popular referenda.
WHY SOME DON’T EMBRACE
             DEMOCRACY
Consolidated democracies possess capitalist economies with
less certain democracies making slow progress in this regard,
while authoritarian governments are most likely to shun from
economic reform. Various reasons exist why some countries
have failed to fully embrace liberal and free-market reforms. First,
the public may have different opinions about these reforms that
may or may not be equally shared by opposition forces. Second,
how the transition to liberal and free-market reforms are
undertaken can affect the decision of authoritarian elites to trade
in their political capital for economic gains. Third, the method of
the transition to capitalism can determine what side wins or
loses. Fourth, degrees of nationalism can determine whether
political leaders are able to hold their society together during the
tribulation transformation to democracy.
WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (1)
World War I, or commonly referred to at that time as the Great
War, originated in Europe due to mounting militant nationalism
that had been escalating for decades. With the immediate
cause of the war being the assassination of Archduke
Ferdinand of Austria-Hungary by Gavrilo Princip, a 19-year old
Serbian nationalist, in Sarajevo on June 18, 1914. As the war
began to spread across Europe, President Woodrow Wilson
appeared before a joint session of Congress on April 2, 1917
to ask for a declaration of war against Germany.
WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (2)
President Woodrow Wilson addressed the United States
Congress on January 8, 1918 to enunciate American war aims
construed in “The Fourteen Points”, with the last point
establishing “A general association of nations…affording
mutual guarantees of political independence and territorial
integrity to great and small states alike.” However, only the
world’s acceptance of all 14 points could the establishment of
a general association of nations be made. Woodrow Wilson’s
proclamation that America’s entrance into World War I was a
crusade to “make the world safe for democracy” would in turn
present an opportunity for his 14 points to construct and
maintain world peace.
WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (3)
Wilson had borne witness to the frightfulness of war. Born in
Virginia in 1856, the son of a Presbyterian minister who during
the Civil War was a pastor in Augusta, Georgia, and during
Reconstruction a professor in the charred city of Columbia,
South Carolina. In time, Woodrow Wilson established a
philosophy based upon Communitarianism measured in part
through Idealism. Perhaps the last American President to
enter into office professing such beliefs, it had a profound
impact on those policies pursued by his Administration.
WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (4)
The Communitarianism methodology of Woodrow Wilson
emanates throughout “The Fourteen Points”, through his
enunciation of secret dialogues among nation states, his
attempt to offer suggestions of reconciliation to those nation
states that continue to maintain disputes among neighbors, as
well as the call for a newly established world order consisting
of a general association of nations for purpose of affording
mutual guarantees. However, one may also witness the
underlying idealist methodology of Wilson, for “The Fourteen
Points” does not reflect human nature, or in this case the
relationships of nation states. Wilson’s proposition is based
upon his communitarianist-idealist theories on the good of
man, not the harsh realities of human nature.
WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (5)
“The Fourteen Points” does not reflect the reality of the times
during which it was authored, for there still remained issues that
required nation states to address, whether militarily or
diplomatically. It can be argued quite effectively that “The Fourteen
Points” was the actual starting point of what is today the United
Nations. However, what Woodrow Wilson proposed is certainly not
the consortium of mutual goodwill and understanding among
nation states. Human nature remains prevalent, so we shall
continue to live in a world that harbors a consortium of nation
states bidding to achieve dominance among neighbors. As we
have yet to achieve a worldwide higher consciousness among
mankind that would allow unity among nation states, it is
understood that Woodrow Wilson’s philosophy was certainly
ahead of not only his time, but for generations to come.
INSTITUTIONS REMAIN STRONG
           POST-COLD WAR
Neo-liberalism institutionalism accurately proclaimed that
NATO, the European Union and other institutions would not
disappear following the end of the Cold War as realists had
incorrectly assumed. Institutionalist research even drew on US
politics to understand why these organizations like NATO
continued to exist. One argument is that member states saw it
to be in their best interests to remain committed to institutions
which preserved level playing fields as well as serving as
guarantees to their security. Institutionalist thinking has even
launched research programs within International Political
Economy over the past 15 years that made students aware of
relationships existing between interests, power, and
institutions.
HUMAN RIGHTS AS FOREIGN POLICY
The rise of international law and the recognition of universal
human rights have in turn affected those processes available
for states to control. To sum up, it can be argued that we are
approaching a time when a world of regions maintain states
that remain sovereign, yet committed to universal principles
that in turn create new political arenas that maintain relations
between actors. Glocalization assists us with understanding
how this is taking place. The theory focuses on the
relationships among units that according to John Mearsheimer
“are transforming the identities, interests, and strategies of
actors through a combination of global and local processes
and are thus adding new political actors and processes to an
increasingly global politics.” Human rights has become a
fundamental principle of American Foreign Policy.
CONVENTIONAL FORCES (1)
• State leaders involved in a conflict can use various
  kinds of leverage to reach a more favorable
  outcome:
   – Nonviolent levers – foreign aid, economic
     sanctions, and personal diplomacy, etc.
   – Violent levers – violent actions such as sending
     out armies, suicide bombers, or missiles.
      • Costly to the sender and receiver and tend to
        be a last resort.
      • Declining in use over time.
CONVENTIONAL FORCES (2)
• Most states, however, still devote vast
  resources to military capabilities.
   – Defending territories.
   – Deter attack.
   – Compel other states to behave certain
     ways by threatening an attack.
   – Humanitarian assistance for disasters.
   – Surveillance of drug trafficking.
   – Repression of political dissent.
CONVENTIONAL FORCES (3)
• Great powers continue to dominate the
  makeup of world military forces.
• Military capabilities divide into three types:
  – conventional forces.
  – irregular forces.
  – weapons of mass destruction.
TYPES OF FORCES (1)
• Most wars involve a struggle to control territory.
   – The fundamental purpose of conventional forces
     is to take, hold, or defend territory.
• Armies:
   – Infantry: foot soldiers who use assault rifles and
     other light weapons.
• Counter-insurgency:
   – Includes programs to “win the hearts and minds”
     of populations so they stop sheltering the
     guerrillas.
   – Guerrillas often use landmines, which continue to
     harm populations even after the war is over.
TYPES OF FORCES (2)
• Navies:
   – Adapted primarily to control passage through the
     seas and to attack land near coastlines.
   – Aircraft carries – instruments of power projections
• Air Forces:
   – Strategic bombing of land or sea targets, close air
     support, interception of other aircraft, reconnaissance,
     and airlift.
• Logistics and intelligence:
   – GPS.
   – NSA.
   – Budgets of U.S. intelligence agencies: $44 billion
     (2005).
EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES
• The resort to force in international conflicts now
  has more profound costs and consequences
  than in the past, causing massive destruction
  and economic ruin.
• Military engagements now occur across greater
  standoff distances between opposing forces.
   – Missiles
• Electronic warfare.
• Stealth technology.
TERRORISM (1)
• Political violence that targets civilians
  deliberately and indiscriminately.
   – But one person’s freedom fighter is
     another’s terrorist.
   – Shadowy world of faceless enemies and
     irregular tactics marked by extreme
     brutality.
TERRORISM (2)
• Primary effect of terrorism is psychological:
  – World Trade Center.
  – Violation of norms of the international
    system.
• State-sponsored terrorism:
  – Use of terrorist groups by states.
  – Libya example.
  – North Korea, Iran, Syria, Sudan, and Cuba.
WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION
• Comprise three general types: nuclear, chemical
  and biological.
   – Enormously lethal; no discrimination in whom
     they kill.
• Serve different purposes than conventional
  weapons:
   – Deter attack by giving state leaders the
     means to influence great pain against a
     would-be conqueror or destroyer.
   – Symbolic equalizer for middle powers
   – For terrorists, their purpose is to kill a great
     many people.
NUCLEAR WEAPONS
• Fission weapons:
   – Two elements can be split or fissioned: uranium-235
     and plutonium.
   – Obstacle often is finding fissionable material
   – Plutonium bomb is more difficult to build than a
     uranium one.
• Fusion weapons:
   – Extremely expensive and technically demanding.
   – No splitting of atoms, but rather fusing two together to
     make one larger one, releasing energy.
• Heat and radiation.
• Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP).
• Nuclear winter.
EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (1)
The United States possesses the most
advanced military hardware known to
man. Here is a sample of our
overwhelming nuclear firepower. All
footage of launches and warhead
detonations are made courtesy of The
United States Department of Energy.
This agency is responsible for
maintaining our nation’s nuclear
stockpile. Students will be asked the
following question following this video
presentation: “What prevents the
United States from utilizing its full
military capacity?
EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (2)
 The Soviet Union holds title to the world’s largest
 nuclear warhead detonation. “TSAR Bomba” was
 the largest nuclear weapon ever constructed or
 detonated. This three stage weapon was actually
 a 100 megaton bomb design, but the uranium
 fusion stage tamper of the tertiary (and possibly
 the secondary) stage(s) was replaced by one(s)
 made of lead. This reduced the yield by 50% by
 eliminating the fast fissioning of the uranium
 tamper by the fusion neutrons, and eliminated
 97% of the fallout (1.5 megatons of fission,
 instead of about 51.5 Mt), yet still proved the full
 yield design. It was the "cleanest" weapon ever
 tested with 97% of the energy coming from
 fusion reactions. The drop area was over land at
 the Mityushikha Bay test site, on the west coast
 of Novaya Zemlya Island, above test field D-2,
 near Cape Sukhoy Nos.
EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (3)
 The United States Department Of
 Defense and the Office of Civil
 Defense commissioned “About
 Fallout” to educate citizens about
 the effects of fallout. This film was
 produced in 1963, during the Cold
 War. Students should keep in mind
 that the film offers a very optimistic
 view of nuclear warfare.
EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (5)
 The United States Air Force,
 Special     Weapons    Project
 Agency commissioned “The
 Medical Aspects Of Nuclear
 Radiation” in 1950. The film
 urges people to not have a
 fatalistic view about nuclear
 radiation.    Students should
 recognize the true message
 behind this film” Nuclear war
 may be inevitable. We can
 survive nuclear war”.
BALLISTIC MISSILES & OTHER
         DELIVERY SYSTEMS
• Delivery systems for getting nuclear weapons to
  their targets are the basis of states’ nuclear
  arsenals and strategies.
   – Ballistic missiles.
   – Intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs).
   – Short-range ballistic missiles.
   – Cruise missiles.
   – Missile Technology Control Regime:
      • Industrialized states try to limit the flow of
        missile-relevant technologies to states in
        the global South.
CHEMICAL & BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS
• A chemical weapon releases chemicals that disable
  and kill people.
   – Range from tear gas to nerve gas.
   – Indiscriminate about whom they kill.
   – Use has been rare.
   – Chemical Weapons Convention (1992).
• Biological weapons:
   – Resemble chemical weapons, except they use
     microorganisms or biologically derived toxins.
   – Biological Weapons Convention (1972).
PROLIFERATION (1)
• The spread of weapons of mass
  destruction into the hands of more actors.
• Two sides to the proliferation argument:
   – Realists – not worried.
   – Others put less faith in the rationality of
     state leaders and are very concerned.
• Selling of technology with proliferation
  potential.
PROLIFERATION (2)
• Arms races in regional conflicts and rivalries.
• Non-Proliferation Treaty (1968).
• International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
   – UN agency based in Vienna charged with
     inspecting the nuclear power industry in
     member states to prevent secret military
     diversions of nuclear materials.
NUCLEAR STRATEGY & ARMS CONTROL
 • Nuclear strategy refers to:
    – decisions about how many nuclear weapons to
      deploy.
    – what delivery systems to put them on.
    – what policies to adopt regarding the circumstances in
      which they should be used.
 • Deterrence:
    – Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD).
 • Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI).
 • Antiballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty (1972).
 • Strategic Arms Limitation Treaties (SALT).
 • Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT).
MILITARY ECONOMIES (1)
• Given the range of military capabilities available
  to states (at various costs), how much and what
  types should state leaders choose to acquire?
• Economics of military spending is not so
  favorable.
   – Long run: allocating economic resources for
     military purposes deprives the rest of the
     economy and reduces its growth.
   – Tradeoff: increasing their available military
     leverage and increasing their overall
     economic health.
MILITARY ECONOMIES (2)
• Economic conversion.
• Arms imports by states in the global South:
   – Make up more than half of all arms sales.
   – Of all international arms exports, a third come
     from the United States, with Russia and Britain
     ranked next.
   – Worldwide, these three countries and France
     together    account     for   three-quarters  of
     international arms sales.
   – Globally, arms sales have declined in the post-
     Cold War era.
CONTROL OF MILITARY FORCES (1)
• Coordination of many individuals performing
  many different military functions in many
  locations. This refers to controlling the military.
   – Chain of command
   – Value of military hierarchy
   – Discipline
   – Training
   – Group solidarity
   – Logistical support
   – Role of accurate information
CONTROL OF MILITARY FORCES (2)
• Human error:
  – Friendly fire.
• Military governments:
  – Most common in poor countries, where the
    military may be the only large modern
    institution in the country.
  – Coup d’etat is the seizure of political power by
    domestic military forces – a change of political
    power outside the state’s constitutional order.
      • Outcome difficult to predict.
      • Difficulty gaining popular legitimacy.
• Civilian-military relations.
CONTROL OF MILITARY FORCES (3)
• NATO forces operate under strong civilian
  control.
• Covert operations.
• Role of private companies to provide
  services to military.
• World order is evolving even as military
  technologies do.
STABILIZATION
Sudden instability is the greatest threat to humanity for it
threatens to cause irreparable harm to the individual. One
may never consider harming another person in a state of
nature. Elimination of one’s sustenance throws the
individual into a state of war, because their survival is now
threatened. Nation-states consist of multiple spheres of
interest in turn consisting of individual units consisting of
people. As survival is the primary goal of man, so it is the
ultimate pursuit of nation-states. The primary concern is
that of stability. This philosophy has prevented a major war
from taking place over the last sixty years. Instability is the
primary cause of all conflict both within and between
nation-states.
INSTABILITY – A NIGHTMARE SCENARIO
Sudden instability results in the
potential destruction of a relationship.
Everyone has experienced the
negative    effects    of     instability.
Relationships between loved ones is
just one of many examples. One
major cause of rampant instability is
the breakdown of communication
between spheres. This is a video
documentary titled “First Strike”. It
presents a nightmare scenario
resulting from souring relations
between the United States and the
Soviet Union.

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Political Science 7 – International Relations - Power Point #11

  • 1. Dr. Tabakian’s Political Science 7 Modern World Governments – Spring 2013 Supplemental Power Point Material #11
  • 2. LECTURE HIGHLIGHTS (1) • State Interdependence • Foreign Policy Impacts Domestic Politics • International Organizations • Towards European Integration • Why Some Don’t Embrace Democracy • From Wilson’s 14 Points to The United Nations • Institutions Remain Strong Post-Cold War • Human Rights As Foreign Policy • Conventional Forces • Types Of Forces • Evolving Technologies • Terrorism
  • 3. LECTURE HIGHLIGHTS (2) • Weapons Of Mass Destruction • Nuclear Weapons • Examples of Nuclear Weapons • Ballistic Missiles & Other Delivery Systems • Chemical & Biological Weapons • Proliferation • Nuclear Strategy & Arms Control • Military Economies • Control Of Military Forces • Stabilization • Instability
  • 4. STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (1) Societal interdependence addresses situations in which events within one society affect events in another. Government involvement in instigating these events does not have to take place for this to occur. Transnational relations helped to encourage interdependency between states. Nation-states interdependent on one another presented each with economic and political trade-offs whereas gains in one may lead to the weakening of another. Economic gains that may be derived from external sources that are able to produce them more efficiently while only retaining those industries that are efficient may allow a state to achieve higher overall productivity. This comes at a price when a state becomes so dependent on foreign sources of goods that it affects how its foreign policy is conducted.
  • 5. STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (2) As a state becomes more interdependent on one another it also serves to prevent it from acting overly aggressive against those states that it has become dependent. Interdependence reversed the low levels of political optimism beginning in the 1970s that established linkages between the West, Latin America, and Asia and culminated with the collapse of the Soviet Union.
  • 6. STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (3) Simple interdependency is morphing into a complex interdependence that was uniting economic and political interests of states into one cohesive block. War among the advanced states became unthinkable as interdependence made it ever more costly. Interdependent world of liberal-democratic states can at some point in time lead to world peace. Regardless of these economic forces, security concerns as well as the drive for national honor can overrule the costs associated with breaking linkages. Countries that wish to attract foreign investments or accrue technological innovations have to wear a “golden straitjacket”. This is a set of policies that include balanced budgets, economic deregulation, free trade, a stable currency and most importantly an overall transparency so that people can predict the overall direction of a country.
  • 7. STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (4) Societal and economic interdependence can interlink the domestic policies of two nation-states. Take the example of Canada and the United States. The high degree of societal interdependence assures that Canada will be strongly affected by American policies. The most powerful nation-state can more affect the policies of another country interdependent on its society as the US and Canada example shows.
  • 8. STATE INTERDEPENDENCY (5) Underlying most analyses of world politics and international organization is the state-centric approach. This makes two assumptions: (1) Governments remain the most significant actors in world politics. (2) Governments are unified actors. Transgovernmental is a reference to direct interactions between agencies (government subunits) of different governments where those agencies act relatively autonomously from central governmental control.
  • 9. FOREIGN POLICY IMPACTS DOMESTIC POLITICS (1) The quest continues for researchers to explain conflict and integration in a fashion that allows for the political sciences to understand how the relationship between the structure of the international system and the patterns of foreign policy impacts domestic politics and political structures of a given country’s foreign policy. Understanding these international – domestic linkages would further allow researchers to study decision- making and bureaucratic process and how they affect foreign policy behavior. Scholars have sought to explain how the international system affects domestic political systems and subsystems.
  • 10. FOREIGN POLICY IMPACTS DOMESTIC POLITICS (2) Realists are prone to argue that the anarchic international system affects domestic policies and those subservient systems, as national survival requires the functions of the nation-state to coordinate its policies. Neo-realists would argue that it works both ways with the international system affecting domestic policies and vice versa. National-interests do not merely have to deal with survival, but also other interests that may vary according to moral, economic or even the quest for additional resources for consumption.
  • 11. FOREIGN POLICY IMPACTS DOMESTIC POLITICS (3) Kenneth Waltz refers to globalization as a homogenization process that equalizes prices, products, wages, wealth, rates of interest and profit margins. It is a movement that can spark resistance both within the United States as well as around the world. This can come from religious fundamentalists, and labor unions. Thomas Friedman would disagree with Tip O’Neill’s assertion that “all politics are local”. Friedman would say this was wrong, for all politics is now global in nature, “The electronic herd turns the whole world into a parliamentary system, in which every government lives under the fear of a no-confidence vote from the herd”. It is interesting to point out here that most economies remain local. In fact those countries with the largest economies do most of their business domestically.
  • 12. TOWARDS EUROPEAN INTEGRATION (1) The European Union is a supranational organization of 27 European member states. With the goal of establishing political and economic union, some member states— particularly the United Kingdom—fear the establishment of a pan-European “superstate.” As the European Union has expanded from 15 members when it was created in 1995, to 27 members in 2007 (and with still more members on the horizon), it addresses a greater number of policy areas and is an increasingly important actor on the world stage.
  • 13. TOWARDS EUROPEAN INTEGRATION (2) Discussions to develop a new European Constitution began in 1994. While progress was quickly made in some areas, in other areas negotiations faltered. As of 2007, the future of the new European Constitution is uncertain. Already, twenty EU members have ratified the Constitution, and several others are in the process of ratifying the document. However, to come into force, the European Constitution has to be ratified by all EU member states, and voters in France and the Netherlands have already rejected the Constitution in popular referenda.
  • 14. WHY SOME DON’T EMBRACE DEMOCRACY Consolidated democracies possess capitalist economies with less certain democracies making slow progress in this regard, while authoritarian governments are most likely to shun from economic reform. Various reasons exist why some countries have failed to fully embrace liberal and free-market reforms. First, the public may have different opinions about these reforms that may or may not be equally shared by opposition forces. Second, how the transition to liberal and free-market reforms are undertaken can affect the decision of authoritarian elites to trade in their political capital for economic gains. Third, the method of the transition to capitalism can determine what side wins or loses. Fourth, degrees of nationalism can determine whether political leaders are able to hold their society together during the tribulation transformation to democracy.
  • 15. WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (1) World War I, or commonly referred to at that time as the Great War, originated in Europe due to mounting militant nationalism that had been escalating for decades. With the immediate cause of the war being the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand of Austria-Hungary by Gavrilo Princip, a 19-year old Serbian nationalist, in Sarajevo on June 18, 1914. As the war began to spread across Europe, President Woodrow Wilson appeared before a joint session of Congress on April 2, 1917 to ask for a declaration of war against Germany.
  • 16. WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (2) President Woodrow Wilson addressed the United States Congress on January 8, 1918 to enunciate American war aims construed in “The Fourteen Points”, with the last point establishing “A general association of nations…affording mutual guarantees of political independence and territorial integrity to great and small states alike.” However, only the world’s acceptance of all 14 points could the establishment of a general association of nations be made. Woodrow Wilson’s proclamation that America’s entrance into World War I was a crusade to “make the world safe for democracy” would in turn present an opportunity for his 14 points to construct and maintain world peace.
  • 17. WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (3) Wilson had borne witness to the frightfulness of war. Born in Virginia in 1856, the son of a Presbyterian minister who during the Civil War was a pastor in Augusta, Georgia, and during Reconstruction a professor in the charred city of Columbia, South Carolina. In time, Woodrow Wilson established a philosophy based upon Communitarianism measured in part through Idealism. Perhaps the last American President to enter into office professing such beliefs, it had a profound impact on those policies pursued by his Administration.
  • 18. WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (4) The Communitarianism methodology of Woodrow Wilson emanates throughout “The Fourteen Points”, through his enunciation of secret dialogues among nation states, his attempt to offer suggestions of reconciliation to those nation states that continue to maintain disputes among neighbors, as well as the call for a newly established world order consisting of a general association of nations for purpose of affording mutual guarantees. However, one may also witness the underlying idealist methodology of Wilson, for “The Fourteen Points” does not reflect human nature, or in this case the relationships of nation states. Wilson’s proposition is based upon his communitarianist-idealist theories on the good of man, not the harsh realities of human nature.
  • 19. WILSON’S 14 POINTS TO THE UN (5) “The Fourteen Points” does not reflect the reality of the times during which it was authored, for there still remained issues that required nation states to address, whether militarily or diplomatically. It can be argued quite effectively that “The Fourteen Points” was the actual starting point of what is today the United Nations. However, what Woodrow Wilson proposed is certainly not the consortium of mutual goodwill and understanding among nation states. Human nature remains prevalent, so we shall continue to live in a world that harbors a consortium of nation states bidding to achieve dominance among neighbors. As we have yet to achieve a worldwide higher consciousness among mankind that would allow unity among nation states, it is understood that Woodrow Wilson’s philosophy was certainly ahead of not only his time, but for generations to come.
  • 20. INSTITUTIONS REMAIN STRONG POST-COLD WAR Neo-liberalism institutionalism accurately proclaimed that NATO, the European Union and other institutions would not disappear following the end of the Cold War as realists had incorrectly assumed. Institutionalist research even drew on US politics to understand why these organizations like NATO continued to exist. One argument is that member states saw it to be in their best interests to remain committed to institutions which preserved level playing fields as well as serving as guarantees to their security. Institutionalist thinking has even launched research programs within International Political Economy over the past 15 years that made students aware of relationships existing between interests, power, and institutions.
  • 21. HUMAN RIGHTS AS FOREIGN POLICY The rise of international law and the recognition of universal human rights have in turn affected those processes available for states to control. To sum up, it can be argued that we are approaching a time when a world of regions maintain states that remain sovereign, yet committed to universal principles that in turn create new political arenas that maintain relations between actors. Glocalization assists us with understanding how this is taking place. The theory focuses on the relationships among units that according to John Mearsheimer “are transforming the identities, interests, and strategies of actors through a combination of global and local processes and are thus adding new political actors and processes to an increasingly global politics.” Human rights has become a fundamental principle of American Foreign Policy.
  • 22. CONVENTIONAL FORCES (1) • State leaders involved in a conflict can use various kinds of leverage to reach a more favorable outcome: – Nonviolent levers – foreign aid, economic sanctions, and personal diplomacy, etc. – Violent levers – violent actions such as sending out armies, suicide bombers, or missiles. • Costly to the sender and receiver and tend to be a last resort. • Declining in use over time.
  • 23. CONVENTIONAL FORCES (2) • Most states, however, still devote vast resources to military capabilities. – Defending territories. – Deter attack. – Compel other states to behave certain ways by threatening an attack. – Humanitarian assistance for disasters. – Surveillance of drug trafficking. – Repression of political dissent.
  • 24. CONVENTIONAL FORCES (3) • Great powers continue to dominate the makeup of world military forces. • Military capabilities divide into three types: – conventional forces. – irregular forces. – weapons of mass destruction.
  • 25. TYPES OF FORCES (1) • Most wars involve a struggle to control territory. – The fundamental purpose of conventional forces is to take, hold, or defend territory. • Armies: – Infantry: foot soldiers who use assault rifles and other light weapons. • Counter-insurgency: – Includes programs to “win the hearts and minds” of populations so they stop sheltering the guerrillas. – Guerrillas often use landmines, which continue to harm populations even after the war is over.
  • 26. TYPES OF FORCES (2) • Navies: – Adapted primarily to control passage through the seas and to attack land near coastlines. – Aircraft carries – instruments of power projections • Air Forces: – Strategic bombing of land or sea targets, close air support, interception of other aircraft, reconnaissance, and airlift. • Logistics and intelligence: – GPS. – NSA. – Budgets of U.S. intelligence agencies: $44 billion (2005).
  • 27. EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES • The resort to force in international conflicts now has more profound costs and consequences than in the past, causing massive destruction and economic ruin. • Military engagements now occur across greater standoff distances between opposing forces. – Missiles • Electronic warfare. • Stealth technology.
  • 28. TERRORISM (1) • Political violence that targets civilians deliberately and indiscriminately. – But one person’s freedom fighter is another’s terrorist. – Shadowy world of faceless enemies and irregular tactics marked by extreme brutality.
  • 29. TERRORISM (2) • Primary effect of terrorism is psychological: – World Trade Center. – Violation of norms of the international system. • State-sponsored terrorism: – Use of terrorist groups by states. – Libya example. – North Korea, Iran, Syria, Sudan, and Cuba.
  • 30. WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION • Comprise three general types: nuclear, chemical and biological. – Enormously lethal; no discrimination in whom they kill. • Serve different purposes than conventional weapons: – Deter attack by giving state leaders the means to influence great pain against a would-be conqueror or destroyer. – Symbolic equalizer for middle powers – For terrorists, their purpose is to kill a great many people.
  • 31. NUCLEAR WEAPONS • Fission weapons: – Two elements can be split or fissioned: uranium-235 and plutonium. – Obstacle often is finding fissionable material – Plutonium bomb is more difficult to build than a uranium one. • Fusion weapons: – Extremely expensive and technically demanding. – No splitting of atoms, but rather fusing two together to make one larger one, releasing energy. • Heat and radiation. • Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP). • Nuclear winter.
  • 32. EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (1) The United States possesses the most advanced military hardware known to man. Here is a sample of our overwhelming nuclear firepower. All footage of launches and warhead detonations are made courtesy of The United States Department of Energy. This agency is responsible for maintaining our nation’s nuclear stockpile. Students will be asked the following question following this video presentation: “What prevents the United States from utilizing its full military capacity?
  • 33. EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (2) The Soviet Union holds title to the world’s largest nuclear warhead detonation. “TSAR Bomba” was the largest nuclear weapon ever constructed or detonated. This three stage weapon was actually a 100 megaton bomb design, but the uranium fusion stage tamper of the tertiary (and possibly the secondary) stage(s) was replaced by one(s) made of lead. This reduced the yield by 50% by eliminating the fast fissioning of the uranium tamper by the fusion neutrons, and eliminated 97% of the fallout (1.5 megatons of fission, instead of about 51.5 Mt), yet still proved the full yield design. It was the "cleanest" weapon ever tested with 97% of the energy coming from fusion reactions. The drop area was over land at the Mityushikha Bay test site, on the west coast of Novaya Zemlya Island, above test field D-2, near Cape Sukhoy Nos.
  • 34. EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (3) The United States Department Of Defense and the Office of Civil Defense commissioned “About Fallout” to educate citizens about the effects of fallout. This film was produced in 1963, during the Cold War. Students should keep in mind that the film offers a very optimistic view of nuclear warfare.
  • 35. EXAMPLES OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS (5) The United States Air Force, Special Weapons Project Agency commissioned “The Medical Aspects Of Nuclear Radiation” in 1950. The film urges people to not have a fatalistic view about nuclear radiation. Students should recognize the true message behind this film” Nuclear war may be inevitable. We can survive nuclear war”.
  • 36. BALLISTIC MISSILES & OTHER DELIVERY SYSTEMS • Delivery systems for getting nuclear weapons to their targets are the basis of states’ nuclear arsenals and strategies. – Ballistic missiles. – Intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). – Short-range ballistic missiles. – Cruise missiles. – Missile Technology Control Regime: • Industrialized states try to limit the flow of missile-relevant technologies to states in the global South.
  • 37. CHEMICAL & BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS • A chemical weapon releases chemicals that disable and kill people. – Range from tear gas to nerve gas. – Indiscriminate about whom they kill. – Use has been rare. – Chemical Weapons Convention (1992). • Biological weapons: – Resemble chemical weapons, except they use microorganisms or biologically derived toxins. – Biological Weapons Convention (1972).
  • 38. PROLIFERATION (1) • The spread of weapons of mass destruction into the hands of more actors. • Two sides to the proliferation argument: – Realists – not worried. – Others put less faith in the rationality of state leaders and are very concerned. • Selling of technology with proliferation potential.
  • 39. PROLIFERATION (2) • Arms races in regional conflicts and rivalries. • Non-Proliferation Treaty (1968). • International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). – UN agency based in Vienna charged with inspecting the nuclear power industry in member states to prevent secret military diversions of nuclear materials.
  • 40. NUCLEAR STRATEGY & ARMS CONTROL • Nuclear strategy refers to: – decisions about how many nuclear weapons to deploy. – what delivery systems to put them on. – what policies to adopt regarding the circumstances in which they should be used. • Deterrence: – Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). • Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI). • Antiballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty (1972). • Strategic Arms Limitation Treaties (SALT). • Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT).
  • 41. MILITARY ECONOMIES (1) • Given the range of military capabilities available to states (at various costs), how much and what types should state leaders choose to acquire? • Economics of military spending is not so favorable. – Long run: allocating economic resources for military purposes deprives the rest of the economy and reduces its growth. – Tradeoff: increasing their available military leverage and increasing their overall economic health.
  • 42. MILITARY ECONOMIES (2) • Economic conversion. • Arms imports by states in the global South: – Make up more than half of all arms sales. – Of all international arms exports, a third come from the United States, with Russia and Britain ranked next. – Worldwide, these three countries and France together account for three-quarters of international arms sales. – Globally, arms sales have declined in the post- Cold War era.
  • 43. CONTROL OF MILITARY FORCES (1) • Coordination of many individuals performing many different military functions in many locations. This refers to controlling the military. – Chain of command – Value of military hierarchy – Discipline – Training – Group solidarity – Logistical support – Role of accurate information
  • 44. CONTROL OF MILITARY FORCES (2) • Human error: – Friendly fire. • Military governments: – Most common in poor countries, where the military may be the only large modern institution in the country. – Coup d’etat is the seizure of political power by domestic military forces – a change of political power outside the state’s constitutional order. • Outcome difficult to predict. • Difficulty gaining popular legitimacy. • Civilian-military relations.
  • 45. CONTROL OF MILITARY FORCES (3) • NATO forces operate under strong civilian control. • Covert operations. • Role of private companies to provide services to military. • World order is evolving even as military technologies do.
  • 46. STABILIZATION Sudden instability is the greatest threat to humanity for it threatens to cause irreparable harm to the individual. One may never consider harming another person in a state of nature. Elimination of one’s sustenance throws the individual into a state of war, because their survival is now threatened. Nation-states consist of multiple spheres of interest in turn consisting of individual units consisting of people. As survival is the primary goal of man, so it is the ultimate pursuit of nation-states. The primary concern is that of stability. This philosophy has prevented a major war from taking place over the last sixty years. Instability is the primary cause of all conflict both within and between nation-states.
  • 47. INSTABILITY – A NIGHTMARE SCENARIO Sudden instability results in the potential destruction of a relationship. Everyone has experienced the negative effects of instability. Relationships between loved ones is just one of many examples. One major cause of rampant instability is the breakdown of communication between spheres. This is a video documentary titled “First Strike”. It presents a nightmare scenario resulting from souring relations between the United States and the Soviet Union.