SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 9
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
Protect and Grow Wealth with Convertible Bonds
      A Way to Improve Yields with Lower Risks in Any Investor’s Portfolio
                                           Prepared by:
                           Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC®
              CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER (TM) Professional

        Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser
                      Amesbury, MA Wilmington, MA

                          Office: 978-388-0020 or 617-398-7494
                                   CELL: 978-621-8268
                          steve@ClearViewWealthAdvisors.com

                         Fee-Only * Five-Star Rating * Board-Certified




© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
Convertible Bonds: An Overlooked Asset Class

       “If you stay out of stocks, you might miss the rally. If you buy stocks, you might get
       creamed in another slump. But convertible(s)…let you have it both ways.”
                                                                            From Forbes Magazine

Convertible Bonds may be unfamiliar to most investors but they are a great tool for helping to
minimize certain risks in almost any investment portfolio.

Convertible Bonds can be an important part of any portfolio and can be structured to
accommodate any investor risk profile.

For an investor who is seeking an income-producing portfolio, they can provide an
enhancement to a traditional fixed-income portfolio. For a more growth-oriented portfolio, using
Convertible Bonds helps provide upside potential while receiving some income return. And in
uncertain times of higher volatility or sideways markets, including this asset class helps
investors protect their core holdings.

Whether an investor is concerned with stock market volatility or a market environment with
higher interest rates or inflation, Convertible Bonds provide an attractive alternative to traditional
stocks or bonds.

Convertible Securities: A Hybrid Investment
Convertible securities include both convertible bonds and convertible preferred stocks.

Convertible Bonds are hybrid investment vehicles that offer the best of both worlds — income
now like a bond and the potential to capture appreciation later like a stock.

Convertible Bonds – A Bond with an Option
The basic feature of any convertible security is its ability to be converted. Like a chameleon
changing color, the security can change from one type of investment to another. In the case of a
Convertible Bond, an investor can exercise the option to exchange the security for a
predetermined amount of shares in the common stock of the issuing company.

The bond’s issuing documents outlines this predetermined amount as a conversion ratio. For
example, if one is holding a bond with a conversion ratio of 10:1, then each bond can be
exchanged for ten shares of common stock.

The bond investor may be limited to when the exchange can be done. The issuing company
also typically reserves the right to call the bond and force a conversion.

   Strengths
       Original investment cannot go lower than the market value of the bond;
         the stock price does not matter until you exercise your option to convert
         into stock.
       Convertibles can be purchased through tax-deferred retirement
         accounts.
       Convertibles gain popularity in times of uncertainty. The best time to buy
         a convertible is typically when interest rates are high and stock prices are
         low. It is also advantageous when stock market direction is uncertain and

© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
other fixed income yields are relatively low.

   Weaknesses
      The return on the bond or preferred stock is usually quite low.
      "Forced conversion" can occur when the company makes you convert
        your bond into stock. It is important to track when these bonds are
        callable.

   Three Main Uses
       Capital Appreciation
       Safe Investment Compared to Other Options
       Tax-Deferred Investment Shelters Income Received


This chart illustrates the performance of a convertible bond as the stock price rises. Notice that
the price of the bond begins to rise as the stock price approaches the conversion price. At this
point your convertible performs similarly to a stock option. As the stock price moves up or
becomes extremely volatile, so does the bond.




                                   Source: Investopedia (http://www.investopedia.com/articles/01/052301.asp)

It is important to remember that convertible bonds closely follow the underlying stock's price.
The exception occurs when the share price goes down substantially. In this case, at the time of
the bond's maturity, bond holders would receive no less than the par value, typically $1,000.

Why Companies May Issue Convertible Bonds
Convertible Bonds have evolved. In the past, many were issued by smaller companies that did
not have other means of accessing capital. Over the past 15 years, Convertible Bonds have
become more prevalent among larger brand name firms as well. Established companies have
turned to adding Convertible Bonds to their mix of financing options to lower the company’s
overall cost of capital. The coupon on a Convertible Bond is typically lower than a straight bond.
It also avoids diluting the Earnings Per Share (EPS) of common stock and may help in delaying
loss of control of a company by issuance of a new block of common stock.




© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
Get Paid While You Wait
Convertible Bonds offer investors a fixed yield like any other bond. This regular income offers
better downside protection than simply holding the stock. They also have a feature that allows
the bondholder to trade in the bond for a certain amount of stock on a predetermined date. This
feature makes Convertible Bonds advantageous during inflationary times when stock prices
might be increasing and other bonds drop in value. During market corrections or bear markets,
investors receive interest while waiting for the next recovery or bull market.

Like any other bond, there is underlying credit risk of the issuer. The opportunity to convert also
means that the Convertible Bond may track the stock more closely and have higher volatility
than straight bonds. Yet the hybrid nature of this investment provides corresponding benefits.

Convertible Bond Advantages

Solid Total Returns Compared to Fixed-Income Options

As an asset class, Convertible Bonds have been around for more than 150 years. Since
December 1973 through mid-2010, the Convertible Bond index has had total returns (interest
plus appreciation) of 2736%, outpacing the government/corporate bond index by 943% and hi-
yield (aka junk) bond index of 1585% (BofA/Merrill Lynch Convertible Research, 6/30/10).

Solid Performance and Better Risk-Adjusted Returns Compared to Straight Equities

Historically, equities have offered a higher average annualized return compared to bonds. Yet
this higher potential comes with its own risks. To participate in the upside may require going
through uncertain periods subjecting a portfolio to wild fluctuations.

For those with time on their side who are able to control their emotions, a portfolio may be able
to recover. But most individual investors are too emotional when it comes to investing and not
prepared to lose. Emotion can sabotage their longer term investment plans.

 Research shows and common sense supports that what matters most in investing is how much
you keep. Avoiding losses is easier than trying to make up lost ground.

Convertibles offer downside protection which may provide ballast to a portfolio and avoid the
need to “play catch-up” by taking other undue risks with a portfolio that has suffered a
drawdown caused by a market turn.

This chart shows that investing in convertibles offers an advantage that can help balance out a
portfolio especially in the recent up and down and sideways markets of this most recent decade.
Clearly relying solely on any one asset class has its risks. In this case large company equities
as represented by the familiar S&P 500 index have not offered a strong performance for the
risks associated with them over the charted period.

Through June 2010                      S&P Total Return              BOA/ML A0V0 Index

15 Years                                              6.24%                     7.34%

10 Years                                             -1.59%                     2.30%

(Source: Morningstar, Inc. and Wellesley Investment Advisors, Inc)


© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
Solid Returns During the “Lost Decade”

During the last decade Convertible Bonds have proven resilient and a safe harbor compared to
most other equity categories. In the ten-year stretch ending July 2010 after three major stock
busts which saw the cumulative return on the S&P 500 come in at a negative 7.37%, the Bank
of America/Merrill Lynch All Convertible index returned a total 32.64%. (Source: Financial
Advisor magazine, November 2010, “Considering Convertibles,” Kahn, p. 119). 

Asset Classes Compared

                                       1 Year          3 Year          5 Year         10 Year

                                       22.64%          -6.79%          17.70%         22.84%

                                       23.38%          -30.78%         -6.73%         -27.19%

                                       14.43%          -26.62%         -3.90%         -14.77%



                                       21.50%          -23.65%         1.93%          34.99%

          Thru 6/30/2010

Source: Wellesley Investment Advisers and BofA Merrill Lynch Convertible Dept., 6/30/10

Convertibles generally did better than their underlying stocks without the same level of exposure
to market volatility or negative returns evident in long-only stock investing.

Reasonable Holding Periods

In the past the opportunity to convert was limited or required a long holding period. Many now
offer windows to convert to stock that are relatively short: 3 to 5 years, reducing the Convertible
Bond investor’s needed holding period to cash out and get his money back with interest or a
stock gain.

Non-Correlated to the Stock Market Adding to Diversification

One goal of diversification for investors is to reduce the impact of exposure to volatile markets.
By spreading assets into different asset classes, the overall risk of the portfolio is reduced even
if the risks associated with the individual components may be high.

The challenge in a global market where more and more asset classes and economies are
becoming ever more interdependent is finding an asset class that still is non-correlated,
meaning an investment that won’t track the direction of another; one that zigs when other
investment asset classes zag.

The following chart highlights the correlation between bonds, convertibles and the broader stock
market represented by the S&P 500. Given the hybrid nature of Convertible Bonds, they show
that they are in between both stock and bond asset classes.
© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
S&P 500 TR Index        Barclay’s Agg Bond      BofA MLV0A0 Index
                                                               Index

           S&P 500 TR Index                       1                      -                        -

           Barclay’s Agg Bond                    0.01                    1                        -
           Index

           BofA MLV0A0 Index                     0.67                   .01                      1

           Source: Morningstar, Inc.




           Performance During Rising Interest Rate Environment

           During Fed tightening, Convertible Bonds have performed well. It is inevitable that interest rates
           will rise from their historically low rates with or without inflation. While the value of other
           government and high-quality corporate bonds will suffer when interest rates rise, Convertible
           Bonds will likely hold their value, continue to pay out interest and offer the potential of greater
           return when converted to stock compared to only holding long equities or other types of bonds.

           During two of the last 4 major Fed tightening cycles over the past 22 years, the returns on the
           Convertible Bonds index (Merrill Lynch V0A0) have shown clear advantages in two periods,
           competitive returns in a third and a loss in only one.




                                                                                                        Merrill Lynch
                                          Fed Policy Rate                              S&P 500          V0A0 Index

                                                                      Interest
Start          End           Duration     Start                       Rate
Date           Date          (months)     Value         End Value     Increase         Change (%)       Change (%)

03/29/88       02/24/89      11           6.50          9.75          3.25%            10.38%           11.20%

02/04/94       02/01/95      12           3.00          6.00          3.00%            0.13%            -8.46%

06/30/99       05/16/00      11           4.75          6.50          1.75%            6.80%            26.47%

06/30/04       06/29/06      24           1.00          5.25          4.25%            11.58%           8.67%




           © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
Convertible Bond Risks

No investment is perfect and convertibles are no different.

As with any bond there is the underlying credit risk of the issuer. In the event of a company
default, there is the risk of losing one’s investment. A mitigating factor is that bondholders are
first in line to receive proceeds from a company liquidation which is not an option for
stockholders.

As noted earlier there is the risk that the issuing company may force a conversion by calling the
bond. This may occur at an inopportune time for an investor who was relying upon the income
stream generated by the bond. And the conversion to the underlying stock may not be
appropriate for an individual investor’s risk profile which may require selling the stock and result
in an unexpected capital gain if the bond was not previously held in a tax-deferred account.

The market float for Convertible Bonds is small compared to the value of equities and other
bonds. According to BIS (2004) reports, the total float of issues was under $400 billion. While
ideal for a niche investing strategy, the limited size of the market can make it susceptible to
freeze-ups in the market. This has happened in 1998 and 2005 and more dramatically in 2008.

Convertible Bonds have been a favorite of hedge fund traders. By 2008, nearly 75% of all
issuance was held by hedge funds. As liquidity and investor appetite for risk dried up in late
2008, this lead to highly leveraged hedge funds in need of cash and liquidity to dump their
holdings at steep price declines and even losses resulting in a 35% fall in the Barclays Capital
US Convertible Bond Index for 2008.




© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
An Illustration of a Convertible Bond Strategy in Action
Fundamental analysis is key to implementing a Convertible Bond strategy.

Because this is a niche area it lends itself to highly specialized investment managers who have
the research bench and resources to execute a strategy over entire business cycles. This is
more of a hands-on approach rather than an index approach.

Some of the key elements to this approach are:

      Focusing on “investment grade” stocks

      Find convertibles with attractive provisions: short time period until call, put or maturity

      Identifying companies with profits growing 10% + per year and strong corporate balance
       sheets with a ten year history of stability or strengthening

      Analysis of the macroeconomic conditions and how they may impact the bond being
       issued

An Example of What Can Happen When a Stock Appreciates: The Home Run *

Home Depot (HD), 3.25% coupon convertible bond

                                    Convertible Bond        Stock



November 25, 1996                   $995.00                 $51.88

Purchased Home Depot                Price Paid Per          before split
3.25% convertible bond              Bond
                                                            $17.29
Due 10/1/01 – Convertible to
43.402 shares HD                                            after 3:2 and 2:1
                                                            splits

October 1, 1999                     $3,011.95               $69.79

Sold Home Depot convertible         Per bond                Including dividends
bond before Call Date                                       of $0.23

Callable 10/2/99


GAIN (LOSS)                         202.71%

Interest Income                     9.25%                   303.64%



In hindsight, a stockholder would have received a higher return compared to buying the
convertible and converting. While the convertible provides a cap on the upside, it offered
income and downside protection.

© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
An Example of What Can Happen When a Stock Depreciates: The Strike Out *

AOL Time Warner, 0% convertible bond

                                         Convertible Bond   Stock



November 30, 2000                        $501.25            $40.61

Purchased AOL 0%                         Price Paid Per     Per share
convertible bond                         Bond

Due 12/6/2019 – Convertible
to 5.834 shares of AOL
(Put on 12/6/2004 at $639.76
per bond)


March 28, 2002                           $548.75            $23.65
Sold AOL 0%
convertible bond                         Per bond           Per share




GAIN (LOSS)                              9.47%              - 47.16%



      *   Source: Wellesley Investment Advisers

Holding the stock would have resulted in a significant loss in value. Hedging strategies could
have been employed which would increase the cost of holding. Opting for the convertible bond
provided income and an opportunity to exercise the “put” by converting to the stock. The
convertible provides a floor under the stock which reduces the investor’s risk.

Conclusions

Convertible Bonds provide opportunities to build and protect wealth in uncertain times. They
offer investors compelling reasons to add them to their portfolio mix:

1. Higher yield than most equities (presently > 3.5%)

2. Potential to capture appreciation

3. Enhanced diversification and lower potential risk resulting from low correlation with stocks
    and bonds

4. Track record of preserving capital

5.   Unlike other bonds, Convertible Bonds have generally performed well during periods of
      increasing interest rates or inflationary periods.

© Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Mehr von Steve Stanganelli

Paying Less for College: Funding the Tab
Paying Less for College: Funding the TabPaying Less for College: Funding the Tab
Paying Less for College: Funding the TabSteve Stanganelli
 
Paying for College While Saving Your Retirement
Paying for College While Saving Your RetirementPaying for College While Saving Your Retirement
Paying for College While Saving Your RetirementSteve Stanganelli
 
Saving on College: Debunking Financial Aid Myths
Saving on College: Debunking Financial Aid MythsSaving on College: Debunking Financial Aid Myths
Saving on College: Debunking Financial Aid MythsSteve Stanganelli
 
2011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 2011
2011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 20112011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 2011
2011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 2011Steve Stanganelli
 
Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...
Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...
Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...Steve Stanganelli
 
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletterSteve Stanganelli
 
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletterSteve Stanganelli
 
Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010Steve Stanganelli
 
Using Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase Income
Using Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase IncomeUsing Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase Income
Using Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase IncomeSteve Stanganelli
 
Reinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear View
Reinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear ViewReinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear View
Reinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear ViewSteve Stanganelli
 
Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010Steve Stanganelli
 
Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]
Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]
Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]Steve Stanganelli
 
Turning Your Real Estate Business Into Your Retirement
Turning Your Real Estate Business Into Your RetirementTurning Your Real Estate Business Into Your Retirement
Turning Your Real Estate Business Into Your RetirementSteve Stanganelli
 
Wedding Album Proof For Kristin&Steven
Wedding Album Proof For Kristin&StevenWedding Album Proof For Kristin&Steven
Wedding Album Proof For Kristin&StevenSteve Stanganelli
 
Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007
Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007
Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007Steve Stanganelli
 
Medicaid And Protecting Wealth In Retirement
Medicaid And Protecting Wealth In RetirementMedicaid And Protecting Wealth In Retirement
Medicaid And Protecting Wealth In RetirementSteve Stanganelli
 
401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management
401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management
401k Program Options for Fiduciary ManagementSteve Stanganelli
 

Mehr von Steve Stanganelli (17)

Paying Less for College: Funding the Tab
Paying Less for College: Funding the TabPaying Less for College: Funding the Tab
Paying Less for College: Funding the Tab
 
Paying for College While Saving Your Retirement
Paying for College While Saving Your RetirementPaying for College While Saving Your Retirement
Paying for College While Saving Your Retirement
 
Saving on College: Debunking Financial Aid Myths
Saving on College: Debunking Financial Aid MythsSaving on College: Debunking Financial Aid Myths
Saving on College: Debunking Financial Aid Myths
 
2011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 2011
2011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 20112011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 2011
2011 06 ViewPoint Newsletter for June 2011
 
Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...
Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...
Creating and Protecting Retirement Income_ Finding Income in Unexpected Place...
 
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
 
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
2010 12 viewpoint 4 page newsletter
 
Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for November and December 2010
 
Using Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase Income
Using Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase IncomeUsing Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase Income
Using Convertible Bonds to Protect Portfolios and Increase Income
 
Reinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear View
Reinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear ViewReinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear View
Reinventing Your Retirement New Realities For New Challenges For Clear View
 
Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010
Viewpoint Newsletter for July 2010
 
Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]
Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]
Retire In A Day Workshop [Compatibility Mode]
 
Turning Your Real Estate Business Into Your Retirement
Turning Your Real Estate Business Into Your RetirementTurning Your Real Estate Business Into Your Retirement
Turning Your Real Estate Business Into Your Retirement
 
Wedding Album Proof For Kristin&Steven
Wedding Album Proof For Kristin&StevenWedding Album Proof For Kristin&Steven
Wedding Album Proof For Kristin&Steven
 
Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007
Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007
Comparison Of Domestic Asset Protection Trust Statutes Thru 07 2007
 
Medicaid And Protecting Wealth In Retirement
Medicaid And Protecting Wealth In RetirementMedicaid And Protecting Wealth In Retirement
Medicaid And Protecting Wealth In Retirement
 
401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management
401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management
401k Program Options for Fiduciary Management
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Current Economic situation of Pakistan .pptx
Current Economic situation of Pakistan .pptxCurrent Economic situation of Pakistan .pptx
Current Economic situation of Pakistan .pptxuzma244191
 
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentfactical
 
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfStock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfMichael Silva
 
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintGovernor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintSuomen Pankki
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...First NO1 World Amil baba in Faisalabad
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithAdamYassin2
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfMichael Silva
 
《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》
《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》
《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》rnrncn29
 
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...yordanosyohannes2
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...amilabibi1
 
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...Amil Baba Dawood bangali
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarHarsh Kumar
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHenry Tapper
 
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdfBPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdfHenry Tapper
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)ECTIJ
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办fqiuho152
 
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGeckoCoinGecko
 
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
 
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdffca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdfHenry Tapper
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Current Economic situation of Pakistan .pptx
Current Economic situation of Pakistan .pptxCurrent Economic situation of Pakistan .pptx
Current Economic situation of Pakistan .pptx
 
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
 
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdfStock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck FOR 4/17 video.pdf
 
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintGovernor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
 
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Pakistan Authentic No 1 Amil Baba In Karachi No 1...
 
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam SmithClassical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
Classical Theory of Macroeconomics by Adam Smith
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
 
《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》
《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》
《加拿大本地办假证-寻找办理Dalhousie毕业证和达尔豪斯大学毕业证书的中介代理》
 
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
AfRESFullPaper22018EmpiricalPerformanceofRealEstateInvestmentTrustsandShareho...
 
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
Amil Baba In Pakistan amil baba in Lahore amil baba in Islamabad amil baba in...
 
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
 
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh KumarThe Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
The Triple Threat | Article on Global Resession | Harsh Kumar
 
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview documentHouse of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
House of Commons ; CDC schemes overview document
 
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdfBPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
 
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
(办理原版一样)QUT毕业证昆士兰科技大学毕业证学位证留信学历认证成绩单补办
 
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
2024 Q1 Crypto Industry Report | CoinGecko
 
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
Economic Risk Factor Update: April 2024 [SlideShare]
 
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdffca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
fca-bsps-decision-letter-redacted (1).pdf
 
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
🔝+919953056974 🔝young Delhi Escort service Pusa Road
 

Protecting and growing a portfolio with convertible bonds

  • 1. Protect and Grow Wealth with Convertible Bonds A Way to Improve Yields with Lower Risks in Any Investor’s Portfolio Prepared by: Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER (TM) Professional Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC, a Registered Investment Adviser Amesbury, MA Wilmington, MA Office: 978-388-0020 or 617-398-7494 CELL: 978-621-8268 steve@ClearViewWealthAdvisors.com Fee-Only * Five-Star Rating * Board-Certified © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 2. Convertible Bonds: An Overlooked Asset Class “If you stay out of stocks, you might miss the rally. If you buy stocks, you might get creamed in another slump. But convertible(s)…let you have it both ways.” From Forbes Magazine Convertible Bonds may be unfamiliar to most investors but they are a great tool for helping to minimize certain risks in almost any investment portfolio. Convertible Bonds can be an important part of any portfolio and can be structured to accommodate any investor risk profile. For an investor who is seeking an income-producing portfolio, they can provide an enhancement to a traditional fixed-income portfolio. For a more growth-oriented portfolio, using Convertible Bonds helps provide upside potential while receiving some income return. And in uncertain times of higher volatility or sideways markets, including this asset class helps investors protect their core holdings. Whether an investor is concerned with stock market volatility or a market environment with higher interest rates or inflation, Convertible Bonds provide an attractive alternative to traditional stocks or bonds. Convertible Securities: A Hybrid Investment Convertible securities include both convertible bonds and convertible preferred stocks. Convertible Bonds are hybrid investment vehicles that offer the best of both worlds — income now like a bond and the potential to capture appreciation later like a stock. Convertible Bonds – A Bond with an Option The basic feature of any convertible security is its ability to be converted. Like a chameleon changing color, the security can change from one type of investment to another. In the case of a Convertible Bond, an investor can exercise the option to exchange the security for a predetermined amount of shares in the common stock of the issuing company. The bond’s issuing documents outlines this predetermined amount as a conversion ratio. For example, if one is holding a bond with a conversion ratio of 10:1, then each bond can be exchanged for ten shares of common stock. The bond investor may be limited to when the exchange can be done. The issuing company also typically reserves the right to call the bond and force a conversion. Strengths  Original investment cannot go lower than the market value of the bond; the stock price does not matter until you exercise your option to convert into stock.  Convertibles can be purchased through tax-deferred retirement accounts.  Convertibles gain popularity in times of uncertainty. The best time to buy a convertible is typically when interest rates are high and stock prices are low. It is also advantageous when stock market direction is uncertain and © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 3. other fixed income yields are relatively low. Weaknesses  The return on the bond or preferred stock is usually quite low.  "Forced conversion" can occur when the company makes you convert your bond into stock. It is important to track when these bonds are callable. Three Main Uses  Capital Appreciation  Safe Investment Compared to Other Options  Tax-Deferred Investment Shelters Income Received This chart illustrates the performance of a convertible bond as the stock price rises. Notice that the price of the bond begins to rise as the stock price approaches the conversion price. At this point your convertible performs similarly to a stock option. As the stock price moves up or becomes extremely volatile, so does the bond. Source: Investopedia (http://www.investopedia.com/articles/01/052301.asp) It is important to remember that convertible bonds closely follow the underlying stock's price. The exception occurs when the share price goes down substantially. In this case, at the time of the bond's maturity, bond holders would receive no less than the par value, typically $1,000. Why Companies May Issue Convertible Bonds Convertible Bonds have evolved. In the past, many were issued by smaller companies that did not have other means of accessing capital. Over the past 15 years, Convertible Bonds have become more prevalent among larger brand name firms as well. Established companies have turned to adding Convertible Bonds to their mix of financing options to lower the company’s overall cost of capital. The coupon on a Convertible Bond is typically lower than a straight bond. It also avoids diluting the Earnings Per Share (EPS) of common stock and may help in delaying loss of control of a company by issuance of a new block of common stock. © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 4. Get Paid While You Wait Convertible Bonds offer investors a fixed yield like any other bond. This regular income offers better downside protection than simply holding the stock. They also have a feature that allows the bondholder to trade in the bond for a certain amount of stock on a predetermined date. This feature makes Convertible Bonds advantageous during inflationary times when stock prices might be increasing and other bonds drop in value. During market corrections or bear markets, investors receive interest while waiting for the next recovery or bull market. Like any other bond, there is underlying credit risk of the issuer. The opportunity to convert also means that the Convertible Bond may track the stock more closely and have higher volatility than straight bonds. Yet the hybrid nature of this investment provides corresponding benefits. Convertible Bond Advantages Solid Total Returns Compared to Fixed-Income Options As an asset class, Convertible Bonds have been around for more than 150 years. Since December 1973 through mid-2010, the Convertible Bond index has had total returns (interest plus appreciation) of 2736%, outpacing the government/corporate bond index by 943% and hi- yield (aka junk) bond index of 1585% (BofA/Merrill Lynch Convertible Research, 6/30/10). Solid Performance and Better Risk-Adjusted Returns Compared to Straight Equities Historically, equities have offered a higher average annualized return compared to bonds. Yet this higher potential comes with its own risks. To participate in the upside may require going through uncertain periods subjecting a portfolio to wild fluctuations. For those with time on their side who are able to control their emotions, a portfolio may be able to recover. But most individual investors are too emotional when it comes to investing and not prepared to lose. Emotion can sabotage their longer term investment plans. Research shows and common sense supports that what matters most in investing is how much you keep. Avoiding losses is easier than trying to make up lost ground. Convertibles offer downside protection which may provide ballast to a portfolio and avoid the need to “play catch-up” by taking other undue risks with a portfolio that has suffered a drawdown caused by a market turn. This chart shows that investing in convertibles offers an advantage that can help balance out a portfolio especially in the recent up and down and sideways markets of this most recent decade. Clearly relying solely on any one asset class has its risks. In this case large company equities as represented by the familiar S&P 500 index have not offered a strong performance for the risks associated with them over the charted period. Through June 2010 S&P Total Return BOA/ML A0V0 Index 15 Years 6.24% 7.34% 10 Years -1.59% 2.30% (Source: Morningstar, Inc. and Wellesley Investment Advisors, Inc) © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 5. Solid Returns During the “Lost Decade” During the last decade Convertible Bonds have proven resilient and a safe harbor compared to most other equity categories. In the ten-year stretch ending July 2010 after three major stock busts which saw the cumulative return on the S&P 500 come in at a negative 7.37%, the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch All Convertible index returned a total 32.64%. (Source: Financial Advisor magazine, November 2010, “Considering Convertibles,” Kahn, p. 119). Asset Classes Compared 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year 22.64% -6.79% 17.70% 22.84% 23.38% -30.78% -6.73% -27.19% 14.43% -26.62% -3.90% -14.77% 21.50% -23.65% 1.93% 34.99% Thru 6/30/2010 Source: Wellesley Investment Advisers and BofA Merrill Lynch Convertible Dept., 6/30/10 Convertibles generally did better than their underlying stocks without the same level of exposure to market volatility or negative returns evident in long-only stock investing. Reasonable Holding Periods In the past the opportunity to convert was limited or required a long holding period. Many now offer windows to convert to stock that are relatively short: 3 to 5 years, reducing the Convertible Bond investor’s needed holding period to cash out and get his money back with interest or a stock gain. Non-Correlated to the Stock Market Adding to Diversification One goal of diversification for investors is to reduce the impact of exposure to volatile markets. By spreading assets into different asset classes, the overall risk of the portfolio is reduced even if the risks associated with the individual components may be high. The challenge in a global market where more and more asset classes and economies are becoming ever more interdependent is finding an asset class that still is non-correlated, meaning an investment that won’t track the direction of another; one that zigs when other investment asset classes zag. The following chart highlights the correlation between bonds, convertibles and the broader stock market represented by the S&P 500. Given the hybrid nature of Convertible Bonds, they show that they are in between both stock and bond asset classes. © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 6. S&P 500 TR Index Barclay’s Agg Bond BofA MLV0A0 Index Index S&P 500 TR Index 1 - - Barclay’s Agg Bond 0.01 1 - Index BofA MLV0A0 Index 0.67 .01 1 Source: Morningstar, Inc. Performance During Rising Interest Rate Environment During Fed tightening, Convertible Bonds have performed well. It is inevitable that interest rates will rise from their historically low rates with or without inflation. While the value of other government and high-quality corporate bonds will suffer when interest rates rise, Convertible Bonds will likely hold their value, continue to pay out interest and offer the potential of greater return when converted to stock compared to only holding long equities or other types of bonds. During two of the last 4 major Fed tightening cycles over the past 22 years, the returns on the Convertible Bonds index (Merrill Lynch V0A0) have shown clear advantages in two periods, competitive returns in a third and a loss in only one. Merrill Lynch Fed Policy Rate S&P 500 V0A0 Index Interest Start End Duration Start Rate Date Date (months) Value End Value Increase Change (%) Change (%) 03/29/88 02/24/89 11 6.50 9.75 3.25% 10.38% 11.20% 02/04/94 02/01/95 12 3.00 6.00 3.00% 0.13% -8.46% 06/30/99 05/16/00 11 4.75 6.50 1.75% 6.80% 26.47% 06/30/04 06/29/06 24 1.00 5.25 4.25% 11.58% 8.67% © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 7. Convertible Bond Risks No investment is perfect and convertibles are no different. As with any bond there is the underlying credit risk of the issuer. In the event of a company default, there is the risk of losing one’s investment. A mitigating factor is that bondholders are first in line to receive proceeds from a company liquidation which is not an option for stockholders. As noted earlier there is the risk that the issuing company may force a conversion by calling the bond. This may occur at an inopportune time for an investor who was relying upon the income stream generated by the bond. And the conversion to the underlying stock may not be appropriate for an individual investor’s risk profile which may require selling the stock and result in an unexpected capital gain if the bond was not previously held in a tax-deferred account. The market float for Convertible Bonds is small compared to the value of equities and other bonds. According to BIS (2004) reports, the total float of issues was under $400 billion. While ideal for a niche investing strategy, the limited size of the market can make it susceptible to freeze-ups in the market. This has happened in 1998 and 2005 and more dramatically in 2008. Convertible Bonds have been a favorite of hedge fund traders. By 2008, nearly 75% of all issuance was held by hedge funds. As liquidity and investor appetite for risk dried up in late 2008, this lead to highly leveraged hedge funds in need of cash and liquidity to dump their holdings at steep price declines and even losses resulting in a 35% fall in the Barclays Capital US Convertible Bond Index for 2008. © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 8. An Illustration of a Convertible Bond Strategy in Action Fundamental analysis is key to implementing a Convertible Bond strategy. Because this is a niche area it lends itself to highly specialized investment managers who have the research bench and resources to execute a strategy over entire business cycles. This is more of a hands-on approach rather than an index approach. Some of the key elements to this approach are:  Focusing on “investment grade” stocks  Find convertibles with attractive provisions: short time period until call, put or maturity  Identifying companies with profits growing 10% + per year and strong corporate balance sheets with a ten year history of stability or strengthening  Analysis of the macroeconomic conditions and how they may impact the bond being issued An Example of What Can Happen When a Stock Appreciates: The Home Run * Home Depot (HD), 3.25% coupon convertible bond Convertible Bond Stock November 25, 1996 $995.00 $51.88 Purchased Home Depot Price Paid Per before split 3.25% convertible bond Bond $17.29 Due 10/1/01 – Convertible to 43.402 shares HD after 3:2 and 2:1 splits October 1, 1999 $3,011.95 $69.79 Sold Home Depot convertible Per bond Including dividends bond before Call Date of $0.23 Callable 10/2/99 GAIN (LOSS) 202.71% Interest Income 9.25% 303.64% In hindsight, a stockholder would have received a higher return compared to buying the convertible and converting. While the convertible provides a cap on the upside, it offered income and downside protection. © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010
  • 9. An Example of What Can Happen When a Stock Depreciates: The Strike Out * AOL Time Warner, 0% convertible bond Convertible Bond Stock November 30, 2000 $501.25 $40.61 Purchased AOL 0% Price Paid Per Per share convertible bond Bond Due 12/6/2019 – Convertible to 5.834 shares of AOL (Put on 12/6/2004 at $639.76 per bond) March 28, 2002 $548.75 $23.65 Sold AOL 0% convertible bond Per bond Per share GAIN (LOSS) 9.47% - 47.16% * Source: Wellesley Investment Advisers Holding the stock would have resulted in a significant loss in value. Hedging strategies could have been employed which would increase the cost of holding. Opting for the convertible bond provided income and an opportunity to exercise the “put” by converting to the stock. The convertible provides a floor under the stock which reduces the investor’s risk. Conclusions Convertible Bonds provide opportunities to build and protect wealth in uncertain times. They offer investors compelling reasons to add them to their portfolio mix: 1. Higher yield than most equities (presently > 3.5%) 2. Potential to capture appreciation 3. Enhanced diversification and lower potential risk resulting from low correlation with stocks and bonds 4. Track record of preserving capital 5. Unlike other bonds, Convertible Bonds have generally performed well during periods of increasing interest rates or inflationary periods. © Steve Stanganelli, CFP®, CRPC® and Clear View Wealth Advisors, LLC 2010