6. TheREXpedition.com
Two Paths
Knowledge engineers + experts
Explicit rules
Mainstream in many areas
Nice audit trail
Expert SystemsNeural Networks
“Learn” from big datasets
Calculation intensive
Sometimes amazing results
No audit trail
7. TheREXpedition.com
Two Paths
Knowledge engineers + experts
Explicit rules
Mainstream in many areas
Nice audit trail
Expert SystemsNeural Networks
“Learn” from big datasets
Calculation intensive
Sometimes amazing results
No audit trail
1969
15. TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers”
Huge datasets
HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs
Breakthrough performance
Narrow domains
Kevin Kelly: “Cognification”
16. TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers”
Huge datasets
HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs
Breakthrough performance
Narrow domains
Artificial General Intelligence?
Kevin Kelly: “Cognification”
17. TheREXpedition.com
Machine Intelligence
Got better, too, but not as much
Expert SystemsDeep Learning
Many “hidden layers”
Huge datasets
HW: CPUs to GPUs to TPUs
Breakthrough performance
Narrow domains
Superintelligence?Artificial General Intelligence?
Kevin Kelly: “Cognification”
18. TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
Jetsons
Elysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity
• No jobs
• No meaning
• Surveillance
FALC
Fully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
19. TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
Jetsons
Elysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity
• No jobs
• No meaning
• Surveillance
• Jobs always appear!
• AI won’t be so bad
• Privacy is so 60s…
FALC
Fully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
20. TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
Jetsons
Elysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity
• No jobs
• No meaning
• Surveillance
• Jobs always appear!
• AI won’t be so bad
• Privacy is so 60s…
FALC
Fully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
21. TheREXpedition.com
Our Future with AI
Utopia Dystopia
2017
Leisure
Abundance
Skynet
Westworld
WALL-E
Her
Jetsons
Elysium
The Circle Black Mirror
Efficiency
Singularity Singularity
• Scarcity
• No jobs
• No meaning
• Surveillance
• Jobs always appear!
• AI won’t be so bad
• Privacy is so 60s…
FALC
Fully Automated
Luxury Communism
2037
CMMC
PPPP
??
28. TheREXpedition.com
Jobs at Risk
• Driving (27%!)
• Retail
• Thinking: writing, legal
• Full-time work disappearing (gigs)
• The Precariat
• Tasks, not jobs
33. TheREXpedition.com
Humans vs. Software
• Get tired
• Get sick
• Ask for raises
• Get cranky
• Retire
• Doesn’t do any of those
• Keeps getting better
• Keeps getting cheaper
• Perfectly replicable
Humans Software