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One of the fastest growing asset classes over the last decade has been insured risk transfer or reinsurance. The issuance of insurance linked securities(ILS) has exploded, mostly in the form of Cat Bonds which pay a high yield (ranging from 3 to 25% based on the type of insured risks underlying the structure) and offer an extremely low beta (0.0 correlation in many instances). But despite the dramatic growth of ILS, a viable exchange traded futures market for hedging, spreading or outright speculation within the risk transfer asset class still does not exist. There have been several notable attempts by the CME/CBOT and Bermuda Commodities Exchanges to launch a variety of products, but to date, the ultimate prize of a liquid ILS index future has yet to be obtained. The reasons as such have been well documented by the academic community, the most important of which being the enigma of ILS basis risk. That is an incalculable gap between the actual payoff of the hedge (ILS index future) to the actual performance of your underlying (ILS). Although every futures product contains a certain amount of basis risk, it is the inability to measure the basis of ILS products driven by the trailing nature of claims vs the time decay of futures which has kept traders at bay, killing the valuable liquidity necessary for a successful futures product. However, I have developed a solution to the problem, which I generically call the ILF (Insurance Linked Futures) Index and I am here to give it to the financial community, with the hopes that it can become eventually become a reality. The benefits of a new liquid form of risk transfer to the financial community would be a lower cost of insurance, an expansion of covered risks into emerging economies, and a higher rate of sustainable growth for the world economy. The evidence of the last point would start at the ground level, where the struggling farmer in the African interior could now obtain crop insurance previously too expensive. This would enable him to take the risks necessary to expand his farm beyond his 1 tiny acre. Eventually this would lead to a cycle that breaks the chain of poverty (always one drought away from ruin) by transferring the risk of losing his tiny but growing enterprise to the financial markets. Ultimately, the butterfly effect of new found wealth would enable him to send his kids to better schools or upgrade his farm equipment. Upward mobility of the lower class is the key to increasing the velocity of money around the third world. This would be one giant step towards ending world poverty. I hope it falls into capable hands. For those who are intrigued, please take a few moments to enjoy the slide presentation embedded on my profile page. You can easily contact me if you have any questions.
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One of the fastest growing asset classes over the last decade has been insured risk transfer or reinsurance. The issuance of insurance linked securities(ILS) has exploded, mostly in the form of Cat Bonds which pay a high yield (ranging from 3 to 25% based on the type of insured risks underlying the structure) and offer an extremely low beta (0.0 correlation in many instances). But despite the dramatic growth of ILS, a viable exchange traded futures market for hedging, spreading or outright speculation within the risk transfer asset class still does not exist. There have been several notable attempts by the CME/CBOT and Bermuda Commodities Exchanges to launch a variety of products, but to date, the ultimate prize of a liquid ILS index future has yet to be obtained. The reasons as such have been well documented by the academic community, the most important of which being the enigma of ILS basis risk. That is an incalculable gap between the actual payoff of the hedge (ILS index future) to the actual performance of your underlying (ILS). Although every futures product contains a certain amount of basis risk, it is the inability to measure the basis of ILS products driven by the trailing nature of claims vs the time decay of futures which has kept traders at bay, killing the valuable liquidity necessary for a successful futures product. However, I have developed a solution to the problem, which I generically call the ILF (Insurance Linked Futures) Index and I am here to give it to the financial community, with the hopes that it can become eventually become a reality. The benefits of a new liquid form of risk transfer to the financial community would be a lower cost of insurance, an expansion of covered risks into emerging economies, and a higher rate of sustainable growth for the world economy. The evidence of the last point would start at the ground level, where the struggling farmer in the African interior could now obtain crop insurance previously too expensive. This would enable him to take the risks necessary to expand his farm beyond his 1 tiny acre. Eventually this would lead to a cycle that breaks the chain of poverty (always one drought away from ruin) by transferring the risk of losing his tiny but growing enterprise to the financial markets. Ultimately, the butterfly effect of new found wealth would enable him to send his kids to better schools or upgrade his farm equipment. Upward mobility of the lower class is the key to increasing the velocity of money around the third world. This would be one giant step towards ending world poverty. I hope it falls into capable hands. For those who are intrigued, please take a few moments to enjoy the slide presentation embedded on my profile page. You can easily contact me if you have any questions.
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