30. 2016: RENEWABLES CHEAPER THAN COAL
• Solar/wind is now < than new fossil fuel in 30+ countries.
• Renewable energy now accounts for 25% of the world’s power
• Coal will not recover; Petroleum is not far behind.
38. GIGAFACTORY OPENED FOR BUSINESS
Annual battery production capacity of 35 gigawatt-hrs (GWh).
“100 Giga-factories would give humanity enough
battery capacity to go fully renewable.”
- Elon Musk
48. Source: Sun Yat-sen University, China
Fall 2017; Chinese
researchers have cured the
world’s first genetic disease
by using CRISPR editing of
the DNA of human embryos.
Scientists altered lab-made
embryos to remove the blood
disease beta-thalassemia.
(Embryos were not implanted)
CRISPR USED TO CURE GENETIC DISEASE
49. ENGINEERED T-CELL THERAPY
Yielding “Extraordinary” success on specific cancers:
• 50% of Lymphoma patients went into remission
• 80% of non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma
• 94% complete remission with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL)
50. AGING IS REVERSIBLE – IN
HUMAN CELLS & LIVE MICE
Researchers at the Salk Institute were able
to turn adult cells back into embryonic-like
ones, in aging mice and in-vitro human
cells, extended the life of a mouse.
Human trials expected within 10 years
“Ageing is a plastic process and more
amenable to therapeutic interventions
than we previously thought.”
- Dr. Izpisua Belmonte, Salk Institute
63. “Why are you so positive
about the future? Don’t
you watch the news?”
ABUNDANCE:
The Future Is Better Than You Think
64. (1) Global Income
(2) Lifespan
(3) Food
(4) Energy
(5) Transportation
(6) Communications
(1) Global Income
(2) Lifespan
(3) Food
(4) Energy
(5) Transportation
(6) Communications
Evidence for Abundance
65. Why do some people think
that the world is worse
today?
We Romanticize the Past
66. Let’s Look at the Reality of
Humanity’s History
• Famine
• Plague
• War
67. Famine in the Past
Resulting from bad weather & ruined Harvests
• France in 1692 – 1694
• ~2.8 million French died
from starvation (15% of the
population)
68. Plague in the Past
Black Death ravages Asia, Europe, & N. America
• Black Death in the 1330’s
• 40% of England wiped out
• 200 Million killed globally
69. War in the Past
Millions killed by violence – Peace seen as temporary
• Human violence caused 15%
of deaths in ancient
agricultural societies
• ~100x decrease in
homicides in Europe
between 1200 – 2000 AD
72. % OF WORLD POP. LIVING IN EXTREME POVERTY (1820 – 2015)
Source: World Poverty in Absolute numbers, Max Roser, World Bank
People Living in Extreme Poverty
Share of people living in extreme poverty Share of people not in extreme poverty
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
1880 19401820 19001840 1860 1920 1960 20151980 2000
73. LITERATE AND ILLITERATE WORLD POPULATION (1800 – 2014)
Source: Literate World Population (Our World in Data based on OECD & UNESCO)
% Literate Population
World - Literate World Population World - Illiterate World Population
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
%ofPopulation
1800 1880 19401820 19001840 1860 1920 1960 20141980 2000
74. GLOBAL VACCINATION PERCENTAGE (DPT3) (1980 – 2015)
Source: https://ourworldindata.org/vaccination/
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
1980 2000 20151985 20051990 1995 2010
World - Vaccinated World - Not vaccinated
Absolute Relative
75. GLOBAL CHILD MORTALITY – FIRST 5 YEARS (1800 – 2015)
Source: Gapminder and World Bank
% Mortality Rate for Children under 5
0%
100%
20%
40%
60%
80%
90%
10%
30%
50%
70%
1800 1880 19401820 19001840 1860 1920 1960 20151980 2000
World - Share dying in first 5 years World - Share surviving first 5 years of life
76. Source: Historical Statistics of the United States, Series B-148; and Health, United States, 1998, Table 45.
MATERNAL MORTALITY RATES
Deathsper1,000LiveBirths
1900 2000
0
900
1950 19801920
300
600
1940 19701910 1960 19901930
77. GLOBAL AVERAGE LIFE EXPECTANCY (1543 – 2011)
Source: https://ourworldindata.org/life-expectancy/
Lifeexpectancyatbirth(inyears)
0
50
10
20
30
40
80
60
70
1543 1700 1800 1900 20111600
Canada Ethiopia Germany India Japan South Korea United Kingdom United States
81. Source: Human Security Report Project, The Peace Research Institute of Oslo
World-WideBattleDeaths
0
25
5
10
15
20
Colonial Interstate Civil Civil (with foreign intervention)
THE WANING OF WAR
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000