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Udayan Banerjeehttp://setandbma.wordpress.com/
Farmville Farmers Outnumber Real Farmers ---                   WHY?
Angry Birds passes one billion download –-                 WHY?
On 21st November, 2011, Kolaveri became the ‘most          searched video’ on YouTube ---                      WHY?
After two and a half year of near hibernation our Yammerusage suddenly took off without any internal promotion ---        ...
Answer – We don’t know!We don’t know why something go viralWe cannot predict itWe cannot prescribe a formulaBUT –We can be...
Till the discovery of Black Swan in Australia in the 18th century everybodythought swans are only white                  B...
Hyper-Connected World     Social Networking  Wireless Communication          Search       Hyperlinking   Personal Computin...
We live in a Hyper-Connected worldAndHyper-connectivity leads to …
By the age of 5 our brain size reaches about 80% for the         adult size --- What happens after that? We develop interc...
In last 32,000 years our brain size has decreased --- Does it                  make us less intelligent?        Our intell...
Hyper-Connectivity Gives rise to an intelligence of it own               Where 2 + 2 may be 22!
Is there a predefined architecture?Is there a flight plan?            Is there a search algorithm?
Hyper-Connectivity … … leads to unexpected event …  … which changes our world view …  … which alters our business strategy...
Peak of Inflated                   Expectation                                                        Gartner Hype Cycle a...
Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies - 2011
Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies - 2011                   2011           2011            20072010           ...
Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies – 2007-11          Technology               Climbing the slope            F...
Success of Technologies are becomingunexpected and are driven my individual users     You notice it only when it succeeds ...
Like a Stealth Bomber it hit you without notice!             … and …
Consumers may adopt     them first!                      … but why should you care?
In the Hyper-connected world …     … can you afford NOT to connect with your customer?
As the world around us have changed     So has the use of Information Technology
Phase I                                          Was about automating manual                                        proces...
BusinessStrategyEnterpriseArchitectureTechnology                 In Phase II               Technology was                 ...
What about Phase III?   Information Technology is now part of every                         Product and Service
TESCO’s virtual supermarket in a subway stationTriggered by the proliferation ofsmartphones that can read QR Codes
In Phase IIIBusinessStrategy           Technology adoption by the customer                       can dictate our business ...
Question to all Enterprise ArchitectAre you ready for this change?
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Should cloud & mobility alter your approach to Enterprise Architecture

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Farmville Farmers Outnumber Real Farmers --- WHY? Angry Birds passes one billion download –- WHY?

We don’t know! We don’t know why something go viral. We cannot prescribe a formula. BUT – We can be sure similar unexpected events will happen again … and … again … and … again.

We live in a Hyper-Connected world.

Hyper-Connectivity gives rise to an intelligence of it own where 2 + 2 may be 22!

Hyper-Connectivity leads to unexpected events which changes our world view ... alters our business strategy ... alters our technology adoption cycle.

Do traditional technology adoption model like "Technology Adoption Lifecycle" formulated by Everett Rogers & Geoffrey Moore or the "Hype-Cycle" formulated by Gartner reflect the current reality?

In Gartner’s "Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies" -

2011: only 1 of the 7 technologies mentioned in "climbing the slope of enlightenment" ever went through the "peak of inflated expectation".

2007 to 2011: only 3 of the 15 technologies ever mentioned in "climbing the slope of enlightenment" ever went through the "peak of inflated expectation". Almost two-third of them originated in the consumer space.
Success of Technologies are becoming unexpected and are driven my individual users. You notice it only when it succeeds.

You are suddenly hit by the success like a "Stealth Bomber". Like a Stealth Bomber it hit you without notice! And you will find that your customers have already adopted the technology.

But why should you care?

You should care because in the Hyper-connected world … can you afford NOT to connect with you customer?

As the world around us have changed ... so has the use of Information Technology.

Over the years IT has gone through 3 phases:

Phase I: Was about automating manual processes like payroll & accounting

Phase II: Was about Information Systems … about providing the right information for decision making

Phase III: Was about Information Technology being part of every Product and Service

In Phase II - Business Strategy lead to Enterprise Architecture and Choice of Technology was secondary to EA.

In Phase III - Technology Adoption around us modifies our Business Strategy!

Question to all Enterprise Architect --- Are you ready for this change?

Veröffentlicht in: Technologie, Business
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Should cloud & mobility alter your approach to Enterprise Architecture

  1. 1. Udayan Banerjeehttp://setandbma.wordpress.com/
  2. 2. Farmville Farmers Outnumber Real Farmers --- WHY?
  3. 3. Angry Birds passes one billion download –- WHY?
  4. 4. On 21st November, 2011, Kolaveri became the ‘most searched video’ on YouTube --- WHY?
  5. 5. After two and a half year of near hibernation our Yammerusage suddenly took off without any internal promotion --- WHY?
  6. 6. Answer – We don’t know!We don’t know why something go viralWe cannot predict itWe cannot prescribe a formulaBUT –We can be sure similar unexpected events willhappen again … and … again … and … again
  7. 7. Till the discovery of Black Swan in Australia in the 18th century everybodythought swans are only white Black Swan = Expect the Unexpected
  8. 8. Hyper-Connected World Social Networking Wireless Communication Search Hyperlinking Personal Computing Wired Communication
  9. 9. We live in a Hyper-Connected worldAndHyper-connectivity leads to …
  10. 10. By the age of 5 our brain size reaches about 80% for the adult size --- What happens after that? We develop interconnections among the brain cells – the learning, the intelligence is in the interconnection
  11. 11. In last 32,000 years our brain size has decreased --- Does it make us less intelligent? Our intelligence is in the interconnectivity – Inside the brain, derived from social interaction
  12. 12. Hyper-Connectivity Gives rise to an intelligence of it own Where 2 + 2 may be 22!
  13. 13. Is there a predefined architecture?Is there a flight plan? Is there a search algorithm?
  14. 14. Hyper-Connectivity … … leads to unexpected event … … which changes our world view … … which alters our business strategy … … which alters our technology adoption cycle …
  15. 15. Peak of Inflated Expectation Gartner Hype Cycle and Technology Adoption Lifecycle Plotted together Technology Trigger Slope of EnlightenmentExpectation Plateau of Productivity Trough of Disillusionment Do they work any more? Time Adoption Rate Everett Rogers & Geoffrey Moore
  16. 16. Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies - 2011
  17. 17. Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies - 2011 2011 2011 20072010 2010 Appeared directly in 2010 First appeared in “Slope of Enlightenment” “Trough of Disillusionment”
  18. 18. Gartner’s Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies – 2007-11 Technology Climbing the slope First Appeared inEnterprise Instant Messaging 2007 “Sliding through the trough” on 2006Basic Web Services 2008 Appeared directlySOA 2008 “Sliding through the trough” on 2004Tablet PC 2008 2003 or earlierCorporate Blogging 2009 “Sliding through the trough” on 2008Electronic Paper 2009 2003 or earlierWikis 2009 2004Biometric Authentication Methods 2010 Appeared directlyInteractive TV 2010 “Sliding through the trough” on 2010Internet Micropayment Systems 2010 Appeared directlyPredictive Analytics 2010 Appeared directlyConsumerization 2011 Appeared directlyIdea Management 2011 “Sliding through the trough” on 2007Mobile Application Stores 2011 “Sliding through the trough” on 2010QR/Color Code 2011 Appeared directly
  19. 19. Success of Technologies are becomingunexpected and are driven my individual users You notice it only when it succeeds You are suddenly hit by the success like a …
  20. 20. Like a Stealth Bomber it hit you without notice! … and …
  21. 21. Consumers may adopt them first! … but why should you care?
  22. 22. In the Hyper-connected world … … can you afford NOT to connect with your customer?
  23. 23. As the world around us have changed So has the use of Information Technology
  24. 24. Phase I Was about automating manual processes like payroll & accounting Phase II Was about Information Systems …about providing the right information for decision making
  25. 25. BusinessStrategyEnterpriseArchitectureTechnology In Phase II Technology was Secondary
  26. 26. What about Phase III? Information Technology is now part of every Product and Service
  27. 27. TESCO’s virtual supermarket in a subway stationTriggered by the proliferation ofsmartphones that can read QR Codes
  28. 28. In Phase IIIBusinessStrategy Technology adoption by the customer can dictate our business strategyEnterprise TechnologyArchitecture AdoptionTechnology Business Strategy Enterprise In Phase III Architecture Technology may become primary
  29. 29. Question to all Enterprise ArchitectAre you ready for this change?

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