Financial analysis fortum oyj provides a full range of energy related products and services. the company's activities cover the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat and steam
Financial analysis fortum oyj provides a full range of energy related products and services. the company's activities cover the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat and steam
1. 03.05.2013
Ticker: Fortum OYJ Benchmark:
Currency: Helsinki: FUM1V, Currency: EUR OMXHCap (HEXP)
Sector: Utilities Industry: Electric Utilities Year:
Telephone 358-10-4511 Revenue (M) Business Segments in EUR Sales (M) Geographic Segments in EUR Sales (M)
Website www.fortum.com No of Employees Power Generation 2119 Nordic 4641
Address P.O. Box 1 Espoo, 00048 Finland Heat 1610 Russia 1029
Share Price Performance in EUR Distribution 1033 Poland 220
Price 14.53 1M Return -4.8% Russian Operations 1030 Other European Countries 200
52 Week High 15.66 6M Return 5.3% Markets 667 Estonia 69
52 Week Low 12.02 52 Wk Return -4.9% Other 203 Sweden
52 Wk Beta 0.73 YTD Return 9.4% Netting of Nord Pool Transactions -503 Norway
Credit Ratings
Bloomberg IG5
S&P A- Date 27.11.2012 Outlook NEG
Moody's A2 Date 15.07.2005 Outlook NEG
Fitch A- Date 05.10.2009 Outlook NEG
Valuation Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
P/E 12.8x 15.4x 8.3x 8.9x 11.2x 11.7x 11.2x
EV/EBIT 12.8x 15.0x 12.4x 12.4x - - -
EV/EBITDA 10.0x 11.5x 9.3x 8.9x 8.6x 8.6x 8.4x
P/S 3.1x 3.2x 2.4x 2.0x 2.0x 2.0x 1.9x
P/B 2.1x 2.4x 1.5x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x 1.2x
Div Yield 5.3% 4.4% 6.1% 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 6.5%
Profitability Ratios %
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12 12/13E 12/14E 12/15E
Gross Margin - - - - 43.6 41.9 43.5
EBITDA Margin 42.9 38.0 38.9 38.3 38.6 37.5 37.3
Operating Margin 33.5 29.0 29.0 27.5 27.8 26.4 26.0
Profit Margin 24.1 20.6 28.7 22.9 18.1 17.2 17.3
Return on Assets 6.5 6.2 7.9 5.9 5.0 4.8 4.2
Return on Equity 16.4 16.0 19.8 14.2 11.1 10.4 10.2
Leverage and Coverage Ratios
12/09 12/10 12/11 12/12
Current Ratio 1.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 Current Capitalization in EUR
Quick Ratio 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.7 Common Shares Outstanding (M) 888.4
EBIT/Interest 7.6 9.3 6.3 5.7 Market Capitalization (M) 12908.0
Tot Debt/Capital 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 Cash and ST Investments (M) 1719.0
Tot Debt/Equity 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 Total Debt (M) 9152.0
Eff Tax Rate % 17.4 16.2 16.4 4.6 Preferred Equity (M) 0.0
LT Investments in Affiliate Companies (M) 0.0
Investments (M) 667.0
Enterprise Value (M) 21008.0
Fortum Oyj provides a full range of energy related products and services. The
Company's activities cover the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat
and steam, as well as the operation of power plants, and energy-related services.
Fortum operates worldwide but mainly in Northern Europe.
FUM1V FH
6'159
10'313
Company Analysis - Overview
31%
22%14%
14%
9%
3%
7%
Power Generation
Heat
Distribution
Russian Operations
Markets
Other
Netting of Nord Pool Transactions
75%
17%
4% 3%1%
Nordic
Russia
Poland
Other European Countries
Estonia
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2. Fortum OYJ
Target price in EUR
Date Buy Hold Sell Date Price Target Price Broker Analyst Recommendation Target Date
30-Apr-13 40% 31% 29% 3-May-13 14.53 14.86 JPMorgan NATHALIE F CASALI neutral 14.00 2-May-13
29-Mar-13 44% 28% 28% 2-May-13 14.02 14.86 AlphaValue MYRIAM COHEN buy 18.00 2-May-13
28-Feb-13 46% 26% 29% 1-May-13 14.11 14.90 Inderes JUHA KINNUNEN buy 16.00 27-Apr-13
31-Jan-13 50% 21% 29% 30-Apr-13 14.11 14.90 Pohjola Bank Plc (ESN) HENRI PARKKINEN accumulate 16.00 26-Apr-13
31-Dec-12 52% 21% 27% 29-Apr-13 14.02 14.90 Goldman Sachs DEBORAH WILKENS Buy/Neutral 19.00 26-Apr-13
30-Nov-12 53% 22% 25% 26-Apr-13 14.06 14.95 Macquarie ROBERT SCHRAMM-FUCHS outperform 16.00 26-Apr-13
31-Oct-12 50% 25% 25% 25-Apr-13 14.19 15.15 Nordea Equity Research PASI VAISANEN buy 17.00 26-Apr-13
28-Sep-12 53% 25% 22% 24-Apr-13 14.26 15.18 Handelsbanken KARRI RINTA reduce 14.00 26-Apr-13
31-Aug-12 56% 21% 24% 23-Apr-13 14.13 15.18 FIM SANNA KAJE accumulate 16.00 26-Apr-13
31-Jul-12 56% 18% 26% 22-Apr-13 13.95 15.18 Evli Bank Plc MARKKU JARVINEN accumulate 16.00 26-Apr-13
29-Jun-12 51% 20% 29% 19-Apr-13 13.93 15.28 Exane BNP Paribas BENJAMIN LEYRE outperform 18.00 26-Apr-13
31-May-12 46% 29% 26% 18-Apr-13 13.64 15.28 Barclays PETER BISZTYGA underweight 13.52 26-Apr-13
17-Apr-13 13.77 15.30 Danske Markets ANTTI KOSKIVUORI hold 14.00 26-Apr-13
16-Apr-13 13.88 15.39 Deutsche Bank JAMES BRAND hold 13.00 25-Apr-13
15-Apr-13 15.01 15.50 Morgan Stanley EMMANUEL TURPIN Equalwt/In-Line 15.00 25-Apr-13
12-Apr-13 15.03 15.50 ABG Sundal Collier PETTER NYSTROM buy 18.00 25-Apr-13
11-Apr-13 15.12 15.50 SEB Enskilda JUHA ISO-HERTTUA sell 12.60 25-Apr-13
10-Apr-13 15.39 15.50 Carnegie TIMO HEINONEN hold 25-Apr-13
9-Apr-13 15.14 15.50 S&P Capital IQ CLIVE ROBERTS hold 14.00 25-Apr-13
8-Apr-13 15.09 15.50 DNB Markets HAAKON LEVY buy 16.50 25-Apr-13
5-Apr-13 15.35 15.50 Pareto Securities TEEMU VAINIO buy 15.50 22-Apr-13
4-Apr-13 15.34 15.50 Commerzbank Corporates & Markets TANJA MARKLOFF reduce 13.00 18-Apr-13
3-Apr-13 15.25 15.50 Raymond James EMMANUEL RETIF outperform 15.60 17-Apr-13
2-Apr-13 15.29 15.36 Credit Suisse ZOLTAN FEKETE neutral 14.20 22-Mar-13
1-Apr-13 14.75 15.36 Kepler Capital Markets INGO BECKER hold 15.00 22-Mar-13
29-Mar-13 14.75 15.36 HSBC ADAM DICKENS underweight 14.00 21-Mar-13
28-Mar-13 14.75 15.36 Main First Bank AG ANDREAS THIELEN underperform 14.50 15-Feb-13
27-Mar-13 14.83 15.49 Berenberg Bank TEAM COVERAGE hold 14.30 5-Feb-13
26-Mar-13 14.77 15.49 EVA Dimensions AUSTIN BURKETT underweight 17-Jan-13
25-Mar-13 14.91 15.49 Swedbank PETRI KARHUNKOSKI strong buy 18.50 7-Nov-12
Company Analysis - Analysts Ratings
Buy and Sell Recommendations vs Price and Target Price
46%
51% 56% 56% 53% 50% 53% 52% 50% 46% 44% 40%
29% 20%
18% 21% 25%
25% 22% 21% 21% 26% 28%
31%
26% 29% 26% 24% 22% 25% 25% 27% 29% 29% 28% 29%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
mai.12 juin.12 juil.12 août.12 sept.12 oct.12 nov.12 déc.12 janv.13 févr.13 mars.13 avr.13
BrokerRecommendation
0
5
10
15
20
25
Price
Buy Hold Sell Price Target Price
Brokers' Target Price
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
JPMorgan
AlphaValue
Inderes
PohjolaBank
Plc(ESN)Goldman
Sachs
Macquarie
NordeaEquity
Research
Handelsbanken
FIM
EvliBankPlc
ExaneBNP
Paribas
Barclays
Danske
Markets
DeutscheBank
MorganStanley
ABGSundal
Collier
SEBEnskilda
Carnegie
S&PCapitalIQ
DNBMarkets
Pareto
SecuritiesCommerzbank
Corporates&Raymond
James
CreditSuisse
KeplerCapital
Markets
HSBC
MainFirstBank
AGBerenberg
BankEVA
Dimensions
Swedbank
CACheuvreux
Natixis
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3. 03.05.2013
Fortum OYJ
Ownership Statistics Geographic Ownership Distribution
Shares Outstanding (M) 888.4 Finland 87.55%
Float United States 3.04%
Short Interest (M) Luxembourg 2.10%
Short Interest as % of Float Norway 1.22%
Days to Cover Shorts Sweden 1.20%
Institutional Ownership 68.42% Unknown Country 0.98%
Retail Ownership 31.55% Switzerland 0.80%
Insider Ownership 0.03% Others 3.11%
Institutional Ownership Distribution
Government 77.70%
Investment Advisor 12.93%
Insurance Company 5.49%
Other 2.14%
Pricing data is in EUR Others 1.74%
Top 20 Owners:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source Country
REPUBLIC OF FINLAND 450'932'988 0 6'552'056'316 50.76% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
ILMARINEN MUTUAL PEN 13'467'550 0 195'683'502 1.52% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
VARMA MUTUAL PENSION 8'324'300 0 120'952'079 0.94% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
FINLAND STATE PENSIO 7'268'387 0 105'609'663 0.82% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
SOCIAL INSUR INSTITU 7'195'896 0 104'556'369 0.81% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
BLACKROCK 6'511'764 -700 94'615'931 0.73% 01.05.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
CITY OF KURIKKA 6'203'500 0 90'136'855 0.70% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
MANDATUM LIFE INSURA 4'954'834 0 71'993'738 0.56% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
STATE STREET 4'874'884 23'704 70'832'065 0.55% 02.05.2013 ULT-AGG UNITED STATES
VANGUARD GROUP INC 4'864'048 -144'664 70'674'617 0.55% 31.03.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
PICTET ASSET MANAGEM 4'732'124 -630'470 68'757'762 0.53% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG BRITAIN
NORDEA INVESTMENT FU 4'540'294 -134'003 65'970'472 0.51% 28.03.2013 MF-AGG FINLAND
OPPENHEIMERFUNDS INC 3'359'544 0 48'814'174 0.38% 28.02.2013 MF-AGG UNITED STATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG 3'081'997 -526'406 44'781'416 0.35% 31.03.2013 MF-AGG GERMANY
LOCAL GOVERNMENT PEN 2'951'403 0 42'883'886 0.33% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
ING INTERNATIONAL AD 2'829'932 273'154 41'118'912 0.32% 31.01.2013 MF-AGG LUXEMBOURG
SWISS NATIONAL BANK 2'669'409 0 38'786'513 0.30% 31.10.2012 Research SWITZERLAND
SOCIETY OF SWEDISH L 2'195'400 0 31'899'162 0.25% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
OP DELTA FUND 2'160'000 0 31'384'800 0.24% 31.10.2012 Research FINLAND
OP-FOCUS NON UCITS F 2'075'000 0 30'149'750 0.23% 31.10.2012 Research n/a
Top 5 Insiders:
Holder Name Position Position Change Market Value % of Ownership Report Date Source
KUULA TAPIO TEUVO 101'232 1'470'901 0.01% 31.12.2011 Co File
KARTTINEN TIMO 55'015 799'368 0.01% 31.12.2011 Co File
LAAKSONEN JUHA OLAVI 40'861 593'710 0.01% 31.12.2011 Co File
FRISK MIKAEL 28'473 413'713 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
LANGER PER 12'751 185'272 0.00% 31.12.2011 Co File
Company Analysis - Ownership
Ownership Type
68%
32%
0%
Institutional Ownership Retail Ownership Insider Ownership
Geographic Ownership
88%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1% 1%
3%
Finland United States Luxembourg
Norway Sweden Unknown Country
Switzerland Others
Institutional Ownership
78%
5%
2%2%
13%
Government Investment Advisor Insurance Company
Other Others
TOP 20 ALL
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