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Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Ramzi Touchan University of Arizona


 Photograph: Ramzi Touchan
Monday, March 7, 2011
Dendroclimatology in Algeria


 Photograph: Ramzi Touchan
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: Ramzi Touchan, University of Arizona
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
ENVIRONMENTAL
                          QUESTIONS


Monday, March 7, 2011
rising temperatures



                                earthquakes



                                                                      floods




                        insect ecology
                                                     water quantity




                                              forest fires




Monday, March 7, 2011
CLIMATE
                        RECONSTRUCTION


Monday, March 7, 2011
rain gauges




                                                                            tree rings




            empirical comparisons between tree-ring and climate data


 Source: Hughes and Funkhouser, 1998
Monday, March 7, 2011
Ring-width
    index



            correlation coefficients as a measure of climate signal



Monday, March 7, 2011
Correlation functions illustrating assocations between tree growth and climate



Monday, March 7, 2011
‘Reconstructing climate’ based on statistical associations



Monday, March 7, 2011
R E C O N S T R U C T I N G T E M P E R AT U R E




Monday, March 7, 2011
2010 Jan-Aug temperature anomaly h p://www.giss.nasa.gov/
Monday, March 7, 2011
Photograph: Marianna
Monday, March 7, 2011
NASA global temperature record h p://www.giss.nasa.gov/
Monday, March 7, 2011
Temperature-sensitive trees Northeastern Alaska
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Brian Luckman University of Western Ontario



Monday, March 7, 2011
St. George, S., and Luckman, B.H. 2001.
                        Extracting a paleotemperature record from Picea
                        engelmannii treeline sites in the central
                        Canadian Rockies. Canadian Journal of Forest
                        Research 31, 457-470.




Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
THE PRINCIPLE OF
                        ECOLOGICAL AMPLITUDE
                        A tree species may grow and reproduce over a certain range of
                        habitats; that range is described as its ecological amplitude.
                        Trees that grow near the margins or limits of their ecological
                        amplitude are o en sensitive to changes in their environment.




Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
empirical comparisons




Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
“HIGH”
                           and
                          “LOW”
                        FREQUENCY

Monday, March 7, 2011
Photograph: Gigi Tagliapietra
Monday, March 7, 2011
“HIGH” FREQUENCY




 Photograph: protographer23
Monday, March 7, 2011
“LOW” FREQUENCY




 Photograph: Phil Moore
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
CORRELATION
                         FUNCTION


Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
most sites




 Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
most sites



                                        furthest
                                         north




 Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
most sites



                                        furthest
                                         north




      ‘oddball’
         site



 Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
LINEAR
                        REGRESSION


Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: St. George and Luckman, 2001
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: D’Arrigo et al., 2006
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: D’Arrigo et al., 2006
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: Osborne and Briffa, 2006
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: Osborne and Briffa, 2006
Monday, March 7, 2011
LINEAR
                        REGRESSION


Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2007
Monday, March 7, 2011
Photograph: Mark Anbinder
Monday, March 7, 2011
SURFACE TEMPERATURE
                        RECONSTRUCTIONS
                        FOR T H E LAS T 2 , 00 0 Y E A R S


                                               NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
                                                         OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES



Monday, March 7, 2011
the ‘divergence problem’ is defined as the tendency for
              tree growth at some previously temperature-limited
              northern sites to demonstrate a weakening in mean
              temperature response in recent decades.




 Source: D’Arrigo et al., 2008
Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: D’Arrigo et al., 2008
Monday, March 7, 2011
“Trees are not thermometers or rain gagues.” Keith Briffa and colleagues



Monday, March 7, 2011
Source: D’Arrigo et al., 2008
Monday, March 7, 2011
Monday, March 7, 2011

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GEOG3839.12, Temperature reconstructions