SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 32
Sachin Kumar
L-2012-BS-05-MBA(AB)
Management of any project involves
planning, coordination and control of a
number of interrelated activities with
limited resources.
Furthermore, it becomes necessary to
incorporate any change from the initial
plan as they occur, and immediately know
the effects of the change
Network analysis is a common name for a
number of associated projects which need
planning and control procedures which
based on the concept of network.
It provides a framework which :
• defines the job to be done,
• integrates them in a logical time sequence and
finally,
• affords a system of dynamic control over the
progress of the plan
Network analysis helps in all the phases of
project management. There phases are mainly
Planning
Scheduling
Controling
Identify the distinct activities,
 Determine their durations and inter
dependencies
 Construct a network diagram,
Determine minimum overall project duration
(using the network diagram),
Identify the tasks critical (i.E. Essential) to this
minimum duration.
Construct schedule (‘time chart’),
Schedule contains start and finish times for
each activity, and
Evaluate cost-time trade-offs (evaluate
effects of putting extra money, people or
machines in a particular task in order to
shorten project duration).
Monitor/control project by use of network
diagram,
Follow progress of the various activities
Make adjustment where appropriate (as
network analysis make the planning
susceptible to change in original plan)
There are mainly two types of networking
techniques which are used in project
evaluation
CPM – Critical Path Method
PERT – Project Evaluation and Review
Technique
CPM is akin to PERT as both techniques
use similar network models and methods
are have the same general purpose.
But CPM is primarily concerned with the
trade-off between cost and time.
It has been applied mostly to projects that
employ fairly stable technology and are
relatively risk free.
Hence its orientation is ‘deterministic’
PERT is eminently suitable for
• research and development and programmes,
aerospace projects,
• other projects involving new technology.
In such projects the time required for
completing various jobs or activities can be
highly variable.
Hence the orientation of PERT is
probabilistic
 The PERT/CPM is capable of giving answers to
the following questions to the project manager :
 When will the project be finished ?
 When is each individual part of the scheduled to
start and finish ?
 Of the numerous jobs in the project, which one
must be timed to avoid being late ?
 Is it possible to shift resources to critical jobs of the
project from other non-critical jobs of the project
without affecting the overall completion time of the
project ?
 Among all the jobs in the project, where should
management concentrate its efforts at one time ?
 In order to represent a project network, two
basic elements are used which are node and
activity.
 A circle called “node”, represents an event.
 An event describes a checkpoint.
 It does not symbolize the performance of
work, bit it represents the point in time in
which the event is accomplished.
 An arrow, called “arc”, represents an activity-a
recognizable part of the project.
 It involve mental or physical work and require time
and resources for its completion.
 The network will try to reflect all the relationships
between the activities.
• Arrow direction indicates general progression in
time – tail events represent start while head
events represent end of activities
The simple rules govern the construction of a project
network :
 Each activity must be represented by only one directed
arc or arrow.
 No two activities can begin and end on the same two
nodes circle
 There should be no loops in the network.
• Events are identified by numbers while activities are
represented by their starting and ending events
 Dummy activities are Tasks that must be
completed in sequence but that don’t require
resources or completion time are considered to
have event dependency.
 These are represented by dotted lines with arrows
and are called dummy activities.
 To explain it, we will consider the following
ACTIVITY IMMEDIATE
PREDECESSOR
A
.........................
B .........................
C A, B
D B
Activity Imm. Pred. Activity Imm. Pred.
A - G C, F
B - H B
C - I E, H
D A, B J E, H
E B K C, D, F, J
F B L K
A
C
B
E
H
F
D
G
I
J
K
L
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 8
9
 Critical path refers to the longest path of a given
project network
 Duration of a project is given by the length of the
critical path
 Activities on a critical path are called critical
activities while remaining activities are non-critical
 A project can have more than one critical path as
well
 Critical activities are so called because their
timely completion is critical to the completion of
the project in time
 Critical activities can not be delayed while non-
critical activities have some cushion available
Information on the activities required for a
project is as follows:
Draw the network and calculate the earliest
start(ES), earliest finish(EF), latest
start(LS), and latest finish(LF) times of each
of the activities.
Name A B C D E F G H I J K
Activities
Node
1-2 1-3 1-4 2-5 3-5 3-6 3-7 4-6 5-7 6-8 7-
8
Duration
(Days)
2 7 8 3 6 10 4 6 2 5 6
i - j t ES EF LS LF slack
1-2 2 0 2 9 11 7
1-3 7 0 7 0 7 0
1-4 8 0 8 3 11 3
2-5 3 2 5 11 14 9
3-5 6 7 13 8 14 1
3-6 10 7 17 7 17 0
3-7 4 7 11 12 16 5
4-6 6 8 14 11 17 3
5-7 2 13 1 14 16 15
6-8 5 17 22 17 22 0
7-8 6 15 21 16 22 1
 Critical Path: 1-3-6-8
 Critical Activities: B F J
 Project Duration: 22 days
 Non-critical Activities: A C E G H I K
B 7
C 8
D 3
E 6
G 4
H 6
F 10
I 2
K 6
J 5
1
2
3
4
5
6
7 8
 Total float is the amount of time by which an activity may
be delayed without delaying the project completion
Caution: interpret total floats of activities carefully - all can
not be used independently
 Free float is that part of total float which can be used
without affecting floats of the succeeding activities
 Independent float is the amount of time which can be
used without affecting the head and the tail events
Total Float ≥ Free Float ≥ Independent Float
 Total float
= Latest start time of the activity – Earliest start time of the activity
 Free float
= Earliest start time of the next activity – Earliest finish time of the
activity
 Interfering float
= Total float – Free float
 Independent float
= Earliest start time of the next activity – Latest finish time of the
preceding activity – Duration of the activity
= Free float – Tail event slack, or zero, whichever is higher
i - j t ES EF LS LF TF FF lnF
1-2 2 0 2 9 11 9 0 0
1-3 7 0 7 0 7 0 0 0
1-4 8 0 8 3 11 3 0 0
2-5 3 2 5 11 14 9 8 0
3-5 6 7 13 8 14 1 0 0
3-6 10 7 17 7 17 0 0 0
3-7 4 7 11 12 16 5 4 4
4-6 6 8 14 11 17 3 3 0
5-7 2 13 15 14 16 1 0 0
6-8 5 17 22 17 22 0 0 0
7-8 6 15 21 16 22 1 1 0
For each activity, the model usually
includes three times estimates
• Optimistic time (a) - generally the shortest time in
which the activity can be completed under ideal,
favorable conditions
• Most likely time (m) - the completion time under
the normal conditions, having the highest
probability.
• Pessimistic time (b) - the longest time under worst,
externally unfavorable conditions, which an
activity might require
The expected time for each activity can be
approximated using the following weighted
average
Expected time = (Optimistic + 4 x Most
likely + Pessimistic) / 6
te=(a+4m+b)/6
Variance is [(b – a )/6]2
 The owner of a chain of fast-food restaurants is
considering a new computer system for accounting
and inventory control. A computer company sent the
following information about the system installation:
Activity Immediate
Predecess
or
Most
Optimistic
Most likely Most
Pessimisti
c
A - 4 6 8
B A 5 7 15
C A 4 8 12
D B 15 20 25
E B 10 18 26
F C 8 9 16
G E 4 8 12
H D,F 1 2 3
I G,H 6 7 8
Critical activities: A B E G I
Project duration = 6+8+18+8+7 = 47 days
Project variance = 4/9 + 25/9 + 64/9 + 16/9 + 1/9 = 110/9
Project standard deviation = √(110/9) = 3.496
Example
Activity a m b te σ2
A 4 6 8 6 4/9*
B 5 7 15 8 25/9*
C 4 8 12 8 16/9
D 15 20 25 20 25/9
E 10 18 26 18 64/9*
F 8 9 16 10 16/9
G 4 8 12 8 16/9*
H 1 2 3 2 1/9
I 6 7 8 7 1/9*
For Pr (completion in 55 days): Z = (X - µ)/σ
Z = (55 – 47)/3.496 = 2.29.
Now, Area to the left of Z = 2.29 is 0.5+0.4890 = 0.9890
For Pr (completion with 0.90 chance):
Z corresponding to area 0.40 (between µ and X) is 1.28.
Thus, 1.28 = (X – 47)/3.496 and X = 51.47 or 52 app.
The project should start 52 days before due date
Project Network
A
B
C
E
F
D
H
G
I
 Especially useful when scheduling and controlling
large projects
 Straightforward concept and not mathematically
complex
 Graphical networks help to perceive relationships
among project activities
 Critical path and slack time analyses help pinpoint
activities that need to be closely watched
 Project documentation and graphics point out who
is responsible for various activities
 Applicable to a wide variety of projects
 Useful in monitoring not only schedules but costs
as well
Project activities have to be clearly defined,
independent, and stable in their relationships
Precedence relationships must be specified and
networked together
Time estimates tend to be subjective and are
subject to fudging by managers
There is an inherent danger of too much
emphasis being placed on the longest or critical
path
Pert and CPM

More Related Content

What's hot

Chapter 12(cpm pert)
Chapter 12(cpm pert)Chapter 12(cpm pert)
Chapter 12(cpm pert)
Debanjan15
 

What's hot (20)

Critical path method
Critical path methodCritical path method
Critical path method
 
PROJECT SCHEDULE
PROJECT SCHEDULEPROJECT SCHEDULE
PROJECT SCHEDULE
 
Difference between PERT and CPM
Difference between PERT and CPMDifference between PERT and CPM
Difference between PERT and CPM
 
Pert and its applications
Pert and its applicationsPert and its applications
Pert and its applications
 
Pert Cpm Nis
Pert   Cpm NisPert   Cpm Nis
Pert Cpm Nis
 
Critical path method (cpm)
Critical path method (cpm)Critical path method (cpm)
Critical path method (cpm)
 
Pert & Cpm
Pert & CpmPert & Cpm
Pert & Cpm
 
Critical path method(cpm)
Critical path method(cpm)Critical path method(cpm)
Critical path method(cpm)
 
Network Techniques
Network TechniquesNetwork Techniques
Network Techniques
 
PERT-CPM : PROJECT MANAGEMENT TOOLS
PERT-CPM : PROJECT MANAGEMENT TOOLSPERT-CPM : PROJECT MANAGEMENT TOOLS
PERT-CPM : PROJECT MANAGEMENT TOOLS
 
Chapter 12(cpm pert)
Chapter 12(cpm pert)Chapter 12(cpm pert)
Chapter 12(cpm pert)
 
Cpm n pert
Cpm n pertCpm n pert
Cpm n pert
 
Project management techniques
Project management techniquesProject management techniques
Project management techniques
 
crashing of project
crashing of project crashing of project
crashing of project
 
Critical Path Method: Activities And Events, Float/Slacks
Critical Path Method: Activities And Events, Float/SlacksCritical Path Method: Activities And Events, Float/Slacks
Critical Path Method: Activities And Events, Float/Slacks
 
Project Planning
Project PlanningProject Planning
Project Planning
 
Network analysis
Network analysisNetwork analysis
Network analysis
 
Cpm and pert
Cpm and pertCpm and pert
Cpm and pert
 
Network Techniques for Project Management
Network Techniques for Project ManagementNetwork Techniques for Project Management
Network Techniques for Project Management
 
Pert and cpm
Pert and cpmPert and cpm
Pert and cpm
 

Similar to Pert and CPM

Pb602 operation management chapter 7
Pb602  operation management chapter 7Pb602  operation management chapter 7
Pb602 operation management chapter 7
Akihisa Akimoto
 
Lec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptx
Lec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptxLec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptx
Lec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptx
NegeseTeklearegay
 
Lec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project scheduling
Lec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project schedulingLec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project scheduling
Lec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project scheduling
Syed Hamza
 
(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)
(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)
(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)
hannahpepino1
 

Similar to Pert and CPM (20)

Cpm n pert lecture 1
Cpm n pert lecture 1Cpm n pert lecture 1
Cpm n pert lecture 1
 
Pb602 operation management chapter 7
Pb602  operation management chapter 7Pb602  operation management chapter 7
Pb602 operation management chapter 7
 
Ch 5.pptx
Ch 5.pptxCh 5.pptx
Ch 5.pptx
 
PERT AND CPM PROJECT MANAGEMENT
PERT AND CPM PROJECT MANAGEMENTPERT AND CPM PROJECT MANAGEMENT
PERT AND CPM PROJECT MANAGEMENT
 
Cpm pert
Cpm pertCpm pert
Cpm pert
 
Project management
Project managementProject management
Project management
 
Lec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptx
Lec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptxLec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptx
Lec - 3 Construction_Management_Time_Estimation_2014_summer23.pptx
 
Project Management & Engineering Economics
Project Management & Engineering EconomicsProject Management & Engineering Economics
Project Management & Engineering Economics
 
chapter 6.ppt
chapter 6.pptchapter 6.ppt
chapter 6.ppt
 
Unit 3 PERT.pptx in related to supply chain
Unit 3 PERT.pptx in related to supply chainUnit 3 PERT.pptx in related to supply chain
Unit 3 PERT.pptx in related to supply chain
 
PMP Project Management Basics Tutorial For Beginners
PMP Project Management Basics Tutorial For BeginnersPMP Project Management Basics Tutorial For Beginners
PMP Project Management Basics Tutorial For Beginners
 
PROJECT-SCHEDULING-pptx.pptx
PROJECT-SCHEDULING-pptx.pptxPROJECT-SCHEDULING-pptx.pptx
PROJECT-SCHEDULING-pptx.pptx
 
Lec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project scheduling
Lec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project schedulingLec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project scheduling
Lec 9 & 10 chapter 5 project scheduling
 
Pert cpm
Pert cpmPert cpm
Pert cpm
 
Pert cpm
Pert cpmPert cpm
Pert cpm
 
Chapter 6 project management
Chapter 6 project managementChapter 6 project management
Chapter 6 project management
 
Cpm module iii reference
Cpm module iii referenceCpm module iii reference
Cpm module iii reference
 
Nce603 mod unit2
Nce603 mod unit2Nce603 mod unit2
Nce603 mod unit2
 
(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)
(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)
(PROGRAM EVALUATION AND REVIE TECHNIQUE)
 
Chapter 3.pptx
Chapter 3.pptxChapter 3.pptx
Chapter 3.pptx
 

More from Sachin Kapoor (7)

ਨਾਂਵ
ਨਾਂਵਨਾਂਵ
ਨਾਂਵ
 
ਗੁਰੂ ਗੋਬਿੰਦ ਸਿੰਘ ਜੀ
ਗੁਰੂ ਗੋਬਿੰਦ ਸਿੰਘ ਜੀਗੁਰੂ ਗੋਬਿੰਦ ਸਿੰਘ ਜੀ
ਗੁਰੂ ਗੋਬਿੰਦ ਸਿੰਘ ਜੀ
 
Basics of punjab
Basics of punjabBasics of punjab
Basics of punjab
 
Interviewing skills
Interviewing skillsInterviewing skills
Interviewing skills
 
ABC ANALYSIS
ABC ANALYSISABC ANALYSIS
ABC ANALYSIS
 
Laws and regulations related to food industries
Laws and regulations related to food industries Laws and regulations related to food industries
Laws and regulations related to food industries
 
Customer relationship management
Customer relationship managementCustomer relationship management
Customer relationship management
 

Recently uploaded

Architecting Cloud Native Applications
Architecting Cloud Native ApplicationsArchitecting Cloud Native Applications
Architecting Cloud Native Applications
WSO2
 
Cloud Frontiers: A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FME
Cloud Frontiers:  A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FMECloud Frontiers:  A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FME
Cloud Frontiers: A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FME
Safe Software
 

Recently uploaded (20)

[BuildWithAI] Introduction to Gemini.pdf
[BuildWithAI] Introduction to Gemini.pdf[BuildWithAI] Introduction to Gemini.pdf
[BuildWithAI] Introduction to Gemini.pdf
 
Elevate Developer Efficiency & build GenAI Application with Amazon Q​
Elevate Developer Efficiency & build GenAI Application with Amazon Q​Elevate Developer Efficiency & build GenAI Application with Amazon Q​
Elevate Developer Efficiency & build GenAI Application with Amazon Q​
 
Architecting Cloud Native Applications
Architecting Cloud Native ApplicationsArchitecting Cloud Native Applications
Architecting Cloud Native Applications
 
Vector Search -An Introduction in Oracle Database 23ai.pptx
Vector Search -An Introduction in Oracle Database 23ai.pptxVector Search -An Introduction in Oracle Database 23ai.pptx
Vector Search -An Introduction in Oracle Database 23ai.pptx
 
Cloud Frontiers: A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FME
Cloud Frontiers:  A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FMECloud Frontiers:  A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FME
Cloud Frontiers: A Deep Dive into Serverless Spatial Data and FME
 
Apidays New York 2024 - The Good, the Bad and the Governed by David O'Neill, ...
Apidays New York 2024 - The Good, the Bad and the Governed by David O'Neill, ...Apidays New York 2024 - The Good, the Bad and the Governed by David O'Neill, ...
Apidays New York 2024 - The Good, the Bad and the Governed by David O'Neill, ...
 
Biography Of Angeliki Cooney | Senior Vice President Life Sciences | Albany, ...
Biography Of Angeliki Cooney | Senior Vice President Life Sciences | Albany, ...Biography Of Angeliki Cooney | Senior Vice President Life Sciences | Albany, ...
Biography Of Angeliki Cooney | Senior Vice President Life Sciences | Albany, ...
 
Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...
Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...
Apidays New York 2024 - The value of a flexible API Management solution for O...
 
Introduction to Multilingual Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG)
Introduction to Multilingual Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG)Introduction to Multilingual Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG)
Introduction to Multilingual Retrieval Augmented Generation (RAG)
 
Boost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdf
Boost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdfBoost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdf
Boost Fertility New Invention Ups Success Rates.pdf
 
WSO2's API Vision: Unifying Control, Empowering Developers
WSO2's API Vision: Unifying Control, Empowering DevelopersWSO2's API Vision: Unifying Control, Empowering Developers
WSO2's API Vision: Unifying Control, Empowering Developers
 
Six Myths about Ontologies: The Basics of Formal Ontology
Six Myths about Ontologies: The Basics of Formal OntologySix Myths about Ontologies: The Basics of Formal Ontology
Six Myths about Ontologies: The Basics of Formal Ontology
 
Connector Corner: Accelerate revenue generation using UiPath API-centric busi...
Connector Corner: Accelerate revenue generation using UiPath API-centric busi...Connector Corner: Accelerate revenue generation using UiPath API-centric busi...
Connector Corner: Accelerate revenue generation using UiPath API-centric busi...
 
EMPOWERMENT TECHNOLOGY GRADE 11 QUARTER 2 REVIEWER
EMPOWERMENT TECHNOLOGY GRADE 11 QUARTER 2 REVIEWEREMPOWERMENT TECHNOLOGY GRADE 11 QUARTER 2 REVIEWER
EMPOWERMENT TECHNOLOGY GRADE 11 QUARTER 2 REVIEWER
 
FWD Group - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
FWD Group - Insurer Innovation Award 2024FWD Group - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
FWD Group - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Exploring Multimodal Embeddings with Milvus
Exploring Multimodal Embeddings with MilvusExploring Multimodal Embeddings with Milvus
Exploring Multimodal Embeddings with Milvus
 
ICT role in 21st century education and its challenges
ICT role in 21st century education and its challengesICT role in 21st century education and its challenges
ICT role in 21st century education and its challenges
 
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data DiscoveryTrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
TrustArc Webinar - Unlock the Power of AI-Driven Data Discovery
 
DBX First Quarter 2024 Investor Presentation
DBX First Quarter 2024 Investor PresentationDBX First Quarter 2024 Investor Presentation
DBX First Quarter 2024 Investor Presentation
 
Artificial Intelligence Chap.5 : Uncertainty
Artificial Intelligence Chap.5 : UncertaintyArtificial Intelligence Chap.5 : Uncertainty
Artificial Intelligence Chap.5 : Uncertainty
 

Pert and CPM

  • 2. Management of any project involves planning, coordination and control of a number of interrelated activities with limited resources. Furthermore, it becomes necessary to incorporate any change from the initial plan as they occur, and immediately know the effects of the change
  • 3. Network analysis is a common name for a number of associated projects which need planning and control procedures which based on the concept of network. It provides a framework which : • defines the job to be done, • integrates them in a logical time sequence and finally, • affords a system of dynamic control over the progress of the plan
  • 4. Network analysis helps in all the phases of project management. There phases are mainly Planning Scheduling Controling
  • 5. Identify the distinct activities,  Determine their durations and inter dependencies  Construct a network diagram, Determine minimum overall project duration (using the network diagram), Identify the tasks critical (i.E. Essential) to this minimum duration.
  • 6. Construct schedule (‘time chart’), Schedule contains start and finish times for each activity, and Evaluate cost-time trade-offs (evaluate effects of putting extra money, people or machines in a particular task in order to shorten project duration).
  • 7. Monitor/control project by use of network diagram, Follow progress of the various activities Make adjustment where appropriate (as network analysis make the planning susceptible to change in original plan)
  • 8. There are mainly two types of networking techniques which are used in project evaluation CPM – Critical Path Method PERT – Project Evaluation and Review Technique
  • 9. CPM is akin to PERT as both techniques use similar network models and methods are have the same general purpose. But CPM is primarily concerned with the trade-off between cost and time. It has been applied mostly to projects that employ fairly stable technology and are relatively risk free. Hence its orientation is ‘deterministic’
  • 10. PERT is eminently suitable for • research and development and programmes, aerospace projects, • other projects involving new technology. In such projects the time required for completing various jobs or activities can be highly variable. Hence the orientation of PERT is probabilistic
  • 11.  The PERT/CPM is capable of giving answers to the following questions to the project manager :  When will the project be finished ?  When is each individual part of the scheduled to start and finish ?  Of the numerous jobs in the project, which one must be timed to avoid being late ?  Is it possible to shift resources to critical jobs of the project from other non-critical jobs of the project without affecting the overall completion time of the project ?  Among all the jobs in the project, where should management concentrate its efforts at one time ?
  • 12.
  • 13.  In order to represent a project network, two basic elements are used which are node and activity.  A circle called “node”, represents an event.  An event describes a checkpoint.  It does not symbolize the performance of work, bit it represents the point in time in which the event is accomplished.
  • 14.  An arrow, called “arc”, represents an activity-a recognizable part of the project.  It involve mental or physical work and require time and resources for its completion.  The network will try to reflect all the relationships between the activities. • Arrow direction indicates general progression in time – tail events represent start while head events represent end of activities
  • 15. The simple rules govern the construction of a project network :  Each activity must be represented by only one directed arc or arrow.  No two activities can begin and end on the same two nodes circle  There should be no loops in the network. • Events are identified by numbers while activities are represented by their starting and ending events
  • 16.  Dummy activities are Tasks that must be completed in sequence but that don’t require resources or completion time are considered to have event dependency.  These are represented by dotted lines with arrows and are called dummy activities.  To explain it, we will consider the following ACTIVITY IMMEDIATE PREDECESSOR A ......................... B ......................... C A, B D B
  • 17. Activity Imm. Pred. Activity Imm. Pred. A - G C, F B - H B C - I E, H D A, B J E, H E B K C, D, F, J F B L K A C B E H F D G I J K L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
  • 18.  Critical path refers to the longest path of a given project network  Duration of a project is given by the length of the critical path  Activities on a critical path are called critical activities while remaining activities are non-critical  A project can have more than one critical path as well  Critical activities are so called because their timely completion is critical to the completion of the project in time  Critical activities can not be delayed while non- critical activities have some cushion available
  • 19. Information on the activities required for a project is as follows: Draw the network and calculate the earliest start(ES), earliest finish(EF), latest start(LS), and latest finish(LF) times of each of the activities. Name A B C D E F G H I J K Activities Node 1-2 1-3 1-4 2-5 3-5 3-6 3-7 4-6 5-7 6-8 7- 8 Duration (Days) 2 7 8 3 6 10 4 6 2 5 6
  • 20. i - j t ES EF LS LF slack 1-2 2 0 2 9 11 7 1-3 7 0 7 0 7 0 1-4 8 0 8 3 11 3 2-5 3 2 5 11 14 9 3-5 6 7 13 8 14 1 3-6 10 7 17 7 17 0 3-7 4 7 11 12 16 5 4-6 6 8 14 11 17 3 5-7 2 13 1 14 16 15 6-8 5 17 22 17 22 0 7-8 6 15 21 16 22 1
  • 21.  Critical Path: 1-3-6-8  Critical Activities: B F J  Project Duration: 22 days  Non-critical Activities: A C E G H I K B 7 C 8 D 3 E 6 G 4 H 6 F 10 I 2 K 6 J 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 22.  Total float is the amount of time by which an activity may be delayed without delaying the project completion Caution: interpret total floats of activities carefully - all can not be used independently  Free float is that part of total float which can be used without affecting floats of the succeeding activities  Independent float is the amount of time which can be used without affecting the head and the tail events Total Float ≥ Free Float ≥ Independent Float
  • 23.  Total float = Latest start time of the activity – Earliest start time of the activity  Free float = Earliest start time of the next activity – Earliest finish time of the activity  Interfering float = Total float – Free float  Independent float = Earliest start time of the next activity – Latest finish time of the preceding activity – Duration of the activity = Free float – Tail event slack, or zero, whichever is higher
  • 24. i - j t ES EF LS LF TF FF lnF 1-2 2 0 2 9 11 9 0 0 1-3 7 0 7 0 7 0 0 0 1-4 8 0 8 3 11 3 0 0 2-5 3 2 5 11 14 9 8 0 3-5 6 7 13 8 14 1 0 0 3-6 10 7 17 7 17 0 0 0 3-7 4 7 11 12 16 5 4 4 4-6 6 8 14 11 17 3 3 0 5-7 2 13 15 14 16 1 0 0 6-8 5 17 22 17 22 0 0 0 7-8 6 15 21 16 22 1 1 0
  • 25. For each activity, the model usually includes three times estimates • Optimistic time (a) - generally the shortest time in which the activity can be completed under ideal, favorable conditions • Most likely time (m) - the completion time under the normal conditions, having the highest probability. • Pessimistic time (b) - the longest time under worst, externally unfavorable conditions, which an activity might require
  • 26. The expected time for each activity can be approximated using the following weighted average Expected time = (Optimistic + 4 x Most likely + Pessimistic) / 6 te=(a+4m+b)/6 Variance is [(b – a )/6]2
  • 27.  The owner of a chain of fast-food restaurants is considering a new computer system for accounting and inventory control. A computer company sent the following information about the system installation: Activity Immediate Predecess or Most Optimistic Most likely Most Pessimisti c A - 4 6 8 B A 5 7 15 C A 4 8 12 D B 15 20 25 E B 10 18 26 F C 8 9 16 G E 4 8 12 H D,F 1 2 3 I G,H 6 7 8
  • 28. Critical activities: A B E G I Project duration = 6+8+18+8+7 = 47 days Project variance = 4/9 + 25/9 + 64/9 + 16/9 + 1/9 = 110/9 Project standard deviation = √(110/9) = 3.496 Example Activity a m b te σ2 A 4 6 8 6 4/9* B 5 7 15 8 25/9* C 4 8 12 8 16/9 D 15 20 25 20 25/9 E 10 18 26 18 64/9* F 8 9 16 10 16/9 G 4 8 12 8 16/9* H 1 2 3 2 1/9 I 6 7 8 7 1/9*
  • 29. For Pr (completion in 55 days): Z = (X - µ)/σ Z = (55 – 47)/3.496 = 2.29. Now, Area to the left of Z = 2.29 is 0.5+0.4890 = 0.9890 For Pr (completion with 0.90 chance): Z corresponding to area 0.40 (between µ and X) is 1.28. Thus, 1.28 = (X – 47)/3.496 and X = 51.47 or 52 app. The project should start 52 days before due date Project Network A B C E F D H G I
  • 30.  Especially useful when scheduling and controlling large projects  Straightforward concept and not mathematically complex  Graphical networks help to perceive relationships among project activities  Critical path and slack time analyses help pinpoint activities that need to be closely watched  Project documentation and graphics point out who is responsible for various activities  Applicable to a wide variety of projects  Useful in monitoring not only schedules but costs as well
  • 31. Project activities have to be clearly defined, independent, and stable in their relationships Precedence relationships must be specified and networked together Time estimates tend to be subjective and are subject to fudging by managers There is an inherent danger of too much emphasis being placed on the longest or critical path