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Power	
  Purchase	
  Agreement	
  	
  	
                                   ì	
  
Regulatory	
  and	
  Commercial	
  Key	
  Issues	
  	
  




                                                       PGREG	
  April	
  2012	
  	
  

                                                             Raluca	
  Dirjan	
  
Agenda	
  
ì  Outcome	
  

ì  How	
  is	
  electricity	
  different	
  than	
  other	
  commodi5es?	
  

ì  Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolu5on	
  and	
  Impact	
  	
  

ì  Regulatory	
  concerns	
  	
  

ì  	
  Contractual	
  issues	
  	
  

ì  	
  Q&A	
  

	
  
Outcome	
  
ì  Understand	
  the	
  basic	
  concepts	
  of	
  electricity	
  
    and	
  the	
  electricity	
  industry	
  chain	
  	
  
ì  Appreciate	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  in	
  the	
  electricity	
  
    market	
  
ì  Map	
  the	
  main	
  regulatory	
  concerns	
  	
  

ì  Familiarise	
  with	
  the	
  key	
  provisions	
  of	
  a	
  PPA	
  	
  
Why	
  a	
  PPA	
  workshop?	
  
ì  Ques5on	
  to	
  YOU	
  
Why	
  a	
  PPA	
  workshop?	
  
ì    WB:	
  the	
  only	
  thing	
  that	
  kept	
  the	
  lights	
  on	
  in	
  CEE,	
  Russia	
  and	
  Central	
  Assia	
  has	
  
      been	
  the	
  recession	
  	
  

ì    Massive	
  rounds	
  of	
  investments	
  are	
  needed	
  to	
  replace	
  the	
  exis5ng	
  capaci5es	
  that	
  
      had	
  been	
  mostly	
  built	
  before	
  the	
  1980s	
  	
  	
  

ì    In	
  addi5on:	
  substan5al	
  RES-­‐E	
  capaci5es	
  are	
  expected	
  to	
  crop	
  up	
  across	
  the	
  
      region	
  by	
  2020	
  and	
  beyond	
  to	
  keep	
  up	
  with	
  the	
  EU	
  policies	
  on	
  climate	
  change	
  
      and	
  security	
  of	
  supply	
  	
  	
  	
  

ì    Prac5oners	
  can	
  face	
  LTSC	
  issues	
  in	
  at	
  least	
  3	
  different	
  constella5ons:	
  
      ì     legacy	
  of	
  the	
  pre-­‐liberalisa5on	
  era	
  
      ì     the	
  new	
  PPAs	
  as	
  an	
  effect	
  of	
  the	
  first	
  step	
  of	
  liberalisa5on	
  –	
  opening	
  up	
  the	
  
             genera5on	
  for	
  compe55on	
  –	
  the	
  IPP,	
  BOTs	
  and	
  the	
  award	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  on	
  a	
  long-­‐term	
  
             basis	
  
      ì     new	
  built	
  projects	
  (typically	
  project	
  financed	
  -­‐	
  off	
  balance	
  sheet):	
  where	
  the	
  
             wholesalers	
  /	
  suppliers	
  /	
  large	
  industrial	
  consumers	
  would	
  enter	
  into	
  long-­‐term	
  PPA	
  
             with	
  the	
  generator,	
  and	
  this	
  would	
  secure	
  a	
  revenue	
  stream	
  to	
  service	
  to	
  debt	
  for	
  
             financing	
  the	
  project	
  	
  	
  
How	
  is	
  electricity	
  different	
  than	
  other	
  
                                                   commodities	
  ?	
  (1)	
  
ì  Truth	
  no	
  1:	
  electricity	
  cannot	
  be	
  stored	
  –	
  all	
  electricity	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  
      generated	
  when	
  is	
  needed	
  –	
  when	
  demand	
  varies	
  over	
  the	
  course	
  of	
  a	
  
      day,	
  genera5on	
  needs	
  to	
  vary	
  exactly	
  at	
  the	
  same	
  5me	
  	
  	
  

ì  Truth	
  no	
  2:	
  electricity	
  takes	
  the	
  path	
  of	
  least	
  resistance	
  –	
  it	
  is	
  virtually	
  
      impossible	
  to	
  command	
  electricity	
  to	
  take	
  a	
  certain	
  path,	
  the	
  thicker	
  
      the	
  cable	
  the	
  more	
  electricity	
  will	
  want	
  to	
  flow	
  through	
  that	
  cable	
  and	
  
      not	
  through	
  a	
  skinny	
  cable	
  –	
  final	
  consumers	
  simply	
  get	
  whatever	
  
      electricity	
  happens	
  to	
  be	
  flowing	
  by	
  their	
  appliances	
  at	
  the	
  5me	
  they	
  
      switch	
  on	
  the	
  lights	
  	
  

ì  Truth	
  no	
  3:	
  electricity	
  travels	
  at	
  the	
  speed	
  of	
  light	
  –	
  each	
  second	
  
      output	
  has	
  be	
  to	
  precisely	
  matched	
  to	
  demand	
  –	
  if	
  not,	
  frequency	
  falls	
  
      and	
  bad	
  things	
  happen,	
  including	
  blackouts	
  	
  
How	
  is	
  electricity	
  different	
  than	
  other	
  
                                                   commodities	
  ?	
  (2)	
  
ì  Electricity	
  as	
  opposed	
  to	
  almost	
  any	
  other	
  commodity	
  (gas	
  is	
  the	
  
      closest	
  it	
  can	
  get)	
  needs	
  at	
  all	
  5mes	
  coordina5on:	
  day-­‐ahead,	
  
      intra-­‐day	
  and	
  in	
  real	
  5me	
  

ì  No	
  maaer	
  how	
  liberalised	
  is	
  a	
  market	
  the	
  SO	
  has	
  to	
  be	
  in	
  charge	
  
      at	
  all	
  5mes	
  –	
  telling	
  the	
  plants	
  when	
  to	
  run,	
  when	
  to	
  increase	
  or	
  
      decrease	
  output	
  and	
  when	
  to	
  stop	
  	
  	
  

ì  SO	
  has	
  to	
  make	
  sure	
  that:	
  	
  
      ì  Load	
  is	
  met	
  at	
  all	
  5mes	
  
      ì  Relieve	
  conges5ons	
  on	
  the	
  transmission	
  system	
  
      ì  Call	
  for	
  reserves	
  and	
  use	
  them	
  when	
  necessary	
  	
  	
  
      	
  
Electricity	
  Industry	
  Chain	
  in	
  a	
  Liberalised	
  Market	
  

ì  5/6	
  main	
  ac5vi5es:	
  
    ì  ProducCon	
  or	
  GeneraCon	
  
    ì  Transmission	
  =	
  high	
  voltage	
  level	
  transport	
  	
  
    ì  DistribuCon	
  =	
  low	
  voltage	
  level	
  transport	
  	
  
    ì  Supply	
  =	
  selling	
  electricity	
  to	
  the	
  final	
  consumer	
  	
  
    ì  Trading	
  =	
  selling	
  and	
  buying	
  electricity	
  on	
  the	
  wholesale	
  market	
  
    ì  Metering	
  –	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  supply	
  or	
  distribu5on	
  ac5vity	
  in	
  some	
  
          jurisdic5ons	
  (mostly	
  all	
  CEE),	
  or	
  on	
  its	
  own	
  in	
  others	
  (Nord	
  Pool	
  
          markets	
  and	
  UK).	
  In	
  a	
  perfectly	
  reliable	
  market	
  metering	
  should	
  be	
  
          separate	
  from	
  supply	
  /	
  distribu5on	
  	
  
Electricity	
  Contractual	
  Chain	
  (1)	
  	
  

                      Generator	
  
           PPA	
                                     Merchant	
  Power	
  Plant	
  
                                  Spot	
  sale	
  
Wholesaler	
                                               Spot	
  market	
  
                              Spot	
  purchase	
  

                 Wholesale	
  contract	
  
  Retailer	
  


        Consumer	
  tariffs	
  (ini5ally)	
  now	
  Retail	
  Contracts	
  
        	
  
Consumer	
  
Electricity	
  Contractual	
  Chain	
  (2)	
  

ì  PPA	
  
    ì  sale	
  of	
  electricity	
  from	
  a	
  single	
  generator	
  to	
  a	
  wholesale	
  company	
  
        (can	
  be	
  another	
  generator	
  or	
  trader	
  or	
  even	
  end-­‐consumer	
  
        typically	
  non-­‐household)	
  	
  
    ì  Wholesaler	
  buyer	
  purchases	
  the	
  G	
  output	
  (kWh)	
  
    ì  Wholesaler	
  may	
  buy	
  the	
  output	
  of	
  many	
  generators	
  under	
  many	
  
        different	
  PPAs	
  (certainty	
  this	
  is	
  the	
  case	
  with	
  RES-­‐E	
  –	
  very	
  many	
  
        generators	
  at	
  small	
  capaci5es)	
  

ì  Wholesale	
  Market	
  	
  
    ì  Electricity	
  from	
  the	
  wholesalers	
  is	
  sold/purchased	
  either	
  OTC	
  or	
  on	
  
        the	
  spot	
  markets/power	
  exchanges	
  	
  	
  
    ì  These	
  trades	
  allow	
  wholesalers	
  to	
  balance	
  their	
  porholio	
  on	
  the	
  
        short	
  term	
  –	
  since	
  electricity	
  cannot	
  be	
  stored	
  
Electricity	
  Contractual	
  Chain	
  (2)	
  

ì  Wholesale	
  Contracts	
  
    ì  Wholeseller	
  sells	
  to	
  another	
  one	
  or	
  to	
  another	
  retailer	
  via	
  a	
  
        wholesale	
  contract	
  	
  
    ì  Ability	
  to	
  call	
  on	
  the	
  spot	
  markets	
  allows	
  the	
  wholesale	
  to	
  offer	
  to	
  
        the	
  retailers	
  firm	
  sales	
  for	
  a	
  defined	
  quan5ty	
  at	
  a	
  fixed	
  priced	
  	
  
    ì  Deriva5ve	
  contracts	
  on	
  electricity	
  	
  
    ì  Compe55on	
  at	
  this	
  level	
  of	
  the	
  market	
  tends	
  to	
  encourage	
  
        innova5on	
  in	
  the	
  terms	
  offered	
  to	
  the	
  retailers	
  	
  

ì  Retail	
  Contracts	
  (iniCally	
  Tariffs)	
  	
  
      ì  Electricity	
  is	
  sold	
  to	
  final	
  consumers	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (1)	
  

ì  Prior	
  to	
  liberalisa5on	
  start-­‐up	
  (mid	
  1990s	
  in	
  con5nental	
  Europe	
  and	
  
      mid	
  1980s	
  UK)	
  –	
  ver5cally	
  integrated	
  companies	
  carried	
  out	
  all	
  the	
  5/6	
  
      businesses	
  (listed	
  on	
  slide	
  8)	
  typically	
  serving	
  certain	
  regions	
  
ì  Transport	
  –	
  as	
  the	
  only	
  natural	
  monopoly	
  remained	
  regulated	
  	
  

ì  GeneraCon,	
  wholesale	
  trading,	
  retail	
  supply	
  –	
  progressively	
  opened	
  to	
  
      compeCCon	
  	
  	
  

ì  Liberalisa5on	
  in	
  UK	
  was	
  driven	
  by	
  the	
  poli5cal	
  belief	
  of	
  the	
  then	
  
      Thatcher	
  cabinet	
  (inspired	
  by	
  the	
  America	
  model)	
  that	
  liberalisa5on	
  
      and	
  priva5sa5on	
  are	
  inherently	
  a	
  superior	
  market	
  model	
  
ì  Liberalisa5on	
  in	
  Europe	
  was	
  driven	
  by	
  the	
  Commission	
  compe55on	
  
      policies	
  and	
  the	
  belief	
  in	
  the	
  European	
  single	
  market	
  model	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (2)	
  
                                       Liberalisation	
  Start-­‐up	
  1990	
  
ì  First	
  Electricity	
  Direc5ve	
  96/92/EC	
  –	
  introduced	
  a	
  separa5on	
  
    between	
  the	
  regulated	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  market	
  (networks)	
  and	
  the	
  
    compeCCve	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  market	
  (G,	
  T	
  and	
  S)	
  
     ì  Removed	
  legal	
  monopolies	
  –	
  allowed	
  large	
  consumers	
  to	
  choose	
  
          their	
  supplier	
  (“eligibility”	
  concept)	
  
     ì  TPA	
  –	
  obliged	
  ver5cally	
  integrated	
  companies	
  to	
  negoCate	
  TPA	
  to	
  
         their	
  transmission	
  and	
  distribu5on	
  networks	
  	
  
     ì  Unbundling	
  (accoun5ng	
  &	
  management)	
  –	
  minimum	
  level	
  of	
  
         separa5on	
  of	
  the	
  network	
  business	
  from	
  the	
  genera5on	
  and	
  
         supply	
  business	
  of	
  the	
  ver5cally	
  integrated	
  companies	
  	
  	
  	
  

ì  Gradual	
  market	
  opening	
  è	
  significant	
  differences	
  between	
  MSs	
  
    regarding	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  their	
  market	
  opening	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (3)	
  
       PPAs	
  in	
  the	
  context	
  of	
  Liberalisation	
  Start-­‐up	
  1990	
  
ì  Despite	
  their	
  vital	
  role	
  for	
  the	
  liberalisa5on	
  LTSC	
  are	
  almost	
  
     absent	
  in	
  electricity	
  &	
  gas	
  secondary	
  legisla5on	
  at	
  that	
  5me	
  	
  

ì  COM	
  started	
  to	
  look	
  into	
  LTSC	
  in	
  mid	
  –	
  late	
  1990s	
  to	
  limit	
  their	
  
     dura5on	
  –	
  not	
  hamper	
  on	
  opening	
  the	
  markets	
  to	
  compe55on	
  	
  

ì  Some	
  precedents:	
  rule	
  of	
  thumb	
  –	
  15	
  years	
  (eg:	
  Electricidade	
  de	
  
     Portugal/Pego;	
  Isab	
  Energy/Enel;	
  Rosen)	
  

ì  BUT	
  no	
  methodologies	
  had	
  been	
  displayed	
  for	
  the	
  analysis	
  of	
  
     the	
  foreclosure	
  effects	
  	
  

ì  Market	
  players	
  already	
  anCcipated	
  since	
  late	
  1990s	
  that	
  a	
  15	
  
     year	
  dura5on	
  will	
  probably	
  not	
  be	
  acceptable	
  anymore	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (4)	
  	
  
                                    2nd	
  Wave	
  of	
  Liberalisation	
  

ì  2nd	
  Electricity	
  Direc5ve	
  (2003/54/EC)	
  and	
  Cross	
  
   Border	
  Electricity	
  Trading	
  Regula5on	
  
   (1228/2003)	
  
   ì  aimed	
  at	
  full	
  market	
  opening	
  (all	
  consumers,	
  
       including	
  house-­‐hold)	
  
   ì  regulated	
  (as	
  opposed	
  to	
  nego5ated)	
  TPA	
  	
  
   ì  mandatory	
  set	
  up	
  on	
  NRAs	
  
   ì  legal	
  unbundling	
  (not	
  only	
  accoun5ng	
  &	
  
       management)	
  
       	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (5)	
  	
  
             PPA	
  in	
  the	
  context	
  of	
  2nd	
  Wave	
  of	
  Liberalisation	
  
ì  2004	
  onwards	
  relevant	
  cases	
  on	
  LTSC	
  generally	
  concerned	
  long-­‐
     term	
  reservaCon	
  rights	
  on	
  cross-­‐border	
  interconnectors	
  signed	
  
     before	
  liberalisa5on	
  

ì  some	
  MSs	
  introduced	
  effec5ve	
  measures	
  leading	
  to	
  compe55on:	
  	
  
     ì  UK	
  –	
  state	
  owned	
  generator	
  split	
  into	
  compe55ve	
  companies	
  and	
  
         Virtual	
  Power	
  Plants,	
  ie:	
  capacity	
  release	
  programmes	
  	
  	
  
     ì  Italy	
  –	
  market	
  share	
  caps	
  for	
  the	
  incumbents	
  	
  	
  

ì  BUT	
  the	
  issue	
  of	
  LTSC	
  was	
  sCll	
  not	
  addressed	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (6)	
  	
  
                                                        Sector	
  Inquiry	
  2007	
  
ì  The	
  SI	
  was	
  launched	
  in	
  2005	
  and	
  responded	
  to	
  concerns	
  of	
  the	
  
     consumers	
  and	
  new	
  entrants	
  in	
  the	
  sector	
  

ì  The	
  final	
  report	
  iden5fied	
  serious	
  shortcomings	
  affec5ng	
  
     trading:	
  
     ì  Concentra5on	
  and	
  market	
  power	
  
     ì  Ver5cal	
  foreclosure	
  
     ì  Lack	
  of	
  market	
  integra5on	
  
     ì  Lack	
  of	
  transparency	
  è         informa5on	
  asymmetry	
  and	
  distrust	
  in	
  
         the	
  pricing	
  mechanism	
  
     ì  S5ll	
  regulated	
  prices/tariffs	
  for	
  the	
  end	
  consumers	
  	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (7)	
  	
  
                          PPAs	
  in	
  the	
  context	
  of	
  the	
  Sector	
  Inquiry	
  2007	
  	
  
ì    SI	
  looked	
  at	
  PPAs	
  –	
  longer	
  than	
  3	
  years	
  and	
  /	
  or	
  that	
  are	
  tacitly	
  renewed	
  è	
  ver5cal	
  foreclosure	
  between	
  genera5on	
  and	
  
      retail	
  generally	
  reduces	
  the	
  incen5ves	
  to	
  trade	
  on	
  the	
  wholesale	
  markets	
  è	
  as	
  it	
  affects:	
  	
  
      ì         Price	
  forma5on	
  on	
  the	
  spot	
  market	
  	
  
      ì         Liquity	
  (the	
  lack	
  of)	
  –	
  illiquid	
  wholesale	
  markets	
  =	
  barrier	
  to	
  entry	
  &	
  high	
  price	
  vola5lity	
  	
  	
  
      ì         LTSC	
  between	
  par5es	
  with	
  opposite	
  market	
  posi5ons	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  MS	
  tend	
  to	
  reduce	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  open	
  long	
  and	
  short	
  
                 posi5ons	
  needed	
  to	
  be	
  closed	
  on	
  the	
  wholesale	
  market	
  trading	
  	
  	
  
      ì         LTSC	
  export	
  /	
  import	
  –	
  add	
  or	
  reduce	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  electricity	
  that	
  is	
  available	
  for	
  trading	
  in	
  a	
  given	
  MS:	
  
                 ì      LTSC	
  imports	
  may	
  mi5gate	
  the	
  effects	
  of	
  the	
  domes5c	
  	
  market	
  foreclosure	
  	
  
                 ì      LTSC	
  exports	
  may	
  aggravate	
  such	
  affects	
  	
  	
  

ì    SI	
  –	
  Remedies	
  
      ì         Generally:	
  Full	
  and	
  combined	
  use	
  of	
  the	
  Commission’s	
  powers,	
  in	
  close	
  co-­‐opera5on	
  with	
  the	
  NRAs	
  
                 ì      An5trust	
  Rules	
  (Ar5cle	
  101,	
  102	
  and	
  106	
  TFEU)	
  
                 ì      Merger	
  (Regula5on	
  139/2004)	
  
                 ì      State	
  Aid	
  (Ar5cles	
  107	
  and	
  108	
  TFEU)	
  
      ì         For	
  PPAs:	
  SI	
  confirmed	
  the	
  ver5cal	
  tying	
  of	
  markets	
  by	
  LTSC	
  as	
  a	
  priority	
  for	
  review	
  of	
  case	
  situa5ons	
  under	
  compe55on	
  
                 law	
  and	
  for	
  providing	
  guidance	
  where	
  required	
  
                 ì      When	
  LTSC	
  concluded	
  by	
  dominant	
  companies	
  foreclose	
  the	
  market	
  è	
  potenCal	
  infringement	
  of	
  the	
  AnCtrust	
  Rules	
  unless	
  there	
  are	
  
                         “countervailing	
  efficiencies	
  benefiCng	
  consumers”	
  –	
  in	
  the	
  analysis	
  of	
  the	
  LTSC	
  sunk	
  investments	
  made	
  by	
  the	
  parCes	
  are	
  considered	
  –	
  
                         Commission	
  Guidelines	
  on	
  the	
  applicaCon	
  of	
  ArCcle	
  81(3)	
  [now	
  arCcle	
  101	
  (3)	
  TFEU]	
  	
  	
  
      	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (8)	
  	
  
                                     	
  Relevant	
  Case	
  Law	
  following	
  the	
  SI	
  	
  
ì  Lessons	
  learnt	
  	
  
      ì  There	
  is	
  no	
  EU	
  legisla5on,	
  guidelines,	
  etc	
  to	
  ban	
  outright	
  LTSC	
  
      ì  the	
  COM	
  will	
  deal	
  with	
  LTSC	
  only	
  if	
  they	
  may	
  substan5ally	
  affect	
  trade	
  
          between	
  MS	
  	
  -­‐	
  for	
  the	
  rest	
  of	
  the	
  cases	
  it	
  is	
  up	
  to	
  the	
  na5onal	
  authori5es	
  to	
  
          get	
  involved	
  
      ì  as	
  long	
  as	
  the	
  market	
  share	
  of	
  the	
  companies	
  involved	
  does	
  not	
  exceed	
  15%	
  
          they	
  are	
  considered	
  de	
  minimis	
  and	
  do	
  not	
  fall	
  under	
  the	
  jurisdic5on	
  of	
  the	
  
          COM,	
  unless	
  the	
  agreement	
  contains	
  “black-­‐listed”	
  restrains	
  	
  	
  
      ì  “Black-­‐listed”	
  clauses	
  –	
  considered	
  illegal	
  in	
  several	
  decisions	
  	
  
             ì  Unclear	
  termina5on	
  rights	
  
             ì  Fidelity	
  rebates	
  
             ì  Tacit	
  renewal	
  	
  	
  
      ì     If	
  the	
  market	
  share	
  of	
  at	
  least	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  contracCng	
  parCes	
  exceeds	
  30%	
  -­‐	
  
             COM	
  conducts	
  a	
  full-­‐blown	
  compe55on	
  analysis	
  of	
  the	
  an5-­‐compe55ve	
  
             effects	
  of	
  the	
  LTSC	
  to	
  decide	
  whether	
  it	
  infringes	
  EC	
  compe55on	
  law	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (9)	
  	
  
                                       	
  Relevant	
  Case	
  Law	
  following	
  the	
  SI	
  	
  
ì    Full-­‐blown	
  analysis	
  –	
  elements	
  considered:	
  
      ì     Market	
  characteris5cs	
  –	
  level	
  of	
  ver5cal	
  integra5on	
  	
  
             ì     First	
  element	
  to	
  be	
  assessed	
  
             ì     Looks	
  at	
  poten5al	
  entry	
  in	
  supply	
  and	
  demand,	
  and	
  dominance	
  	
  	
  
      ì     Dura5on	
  
             ì  is	
  s5ll	
  an	
  enduring	
  ques5on	
  for	
  energy	
  policies	
  in	
  liberalised	
  markets	
  	
  
             ì  but	
  acceptance	
  by	
  the	
  COM	
  will	
  mainly	
  depend	
  on	
  the	
  compe55on	
  posi5on	
  of	
  the	
  counterparty	
  
             ì  the	
  COM	
  is	
  suspicious	
  of	
  contracts	
  longer	
  than	
  5	
  years	
  and	
  considers	
  that	
  efficiencies	
  generally	
  do	
  
                 not	
  offset	
  foreclosure	
  effects	
  beyond	
  this	
  limit	
  	
  
             ì  The	
  COM	
  also	
  takes	
  a	
  more	
  strict	
  approach	
  for	
  the	
  producer/trader	
  contracts	
  (rather	
  than	
  for	
  the	
  
                 fuel	
  supply	
  contracts,	
  ie:	
  mostly	
  gas	
  supply	
  agreements)	
  	
  
      ì     Volumes	
  	
  
      ì     Exclusivity	
  clause	
  –	
  par5cularly	
  an	
  issue	
  when	
  the	
  customer/buyer	
  represents	
  a	
  big	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  
             total	
  demand	
  	
  
      ì     Take-­‐or-­‐Pay	
  (ToP)	
  –	
  one	
  of	
  main	
  reasons	
  why	
  LTSC	
  dry	
  out	
  the	
  spot	
  market;	
  w/o	
  the	
  flexibility	
  
             mechanism	
  of	
  a	
  ToP	
  clause	
  buyer	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  go	
  on	
  the	
  spot	
  markets	
  to	
  sell	
  the	
  surplus	
  /	
  buy	
  the	
  
             missing	
  quan55es	
  –	
  but	
  ToP	
  and	
  flexibility	
  mechanisms	
  are	
  not	
  banned	
  per	
  se	
  	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (10)	
  	
  
                                      	
  Relevant	
  Case	
  Law	
  following	
  the	
  SI	
  	
  
ì    Once	
  a	
  PPA/PPAs	
  porholio	
  is	
  considered	
  likely	
  to	
  create	
  significant	
  an5-­‐
      compe55ve	
  effects	
  è	
  analyse	
  the	
  poten5al	
  efficiency	
  gains	
  and	
  run	
  a	
  balancing	
  
      exercise	
  	
  

ì    In	
  theory	
  for	
  long-­‐term	
  PPAs	
  to	
  be	
  cleared	
  by	
  the	
  COM	
  they	
  should:	
  
      ì     SubstanCally	
  improve	
  economic	
  efficiency	
  
             ì  Already	
  recognised	
  by	
  the	
  COM:	
  investment	
  and	
  entry	
  considered	
  to	
  have	
  contributed	
  
                   to	
  the	
  success	
  of	
  the	
  liberalisa5on	
  	
  	
  
      ì     Give	
  a	
  fair	
  share	
  of	
  benefits	
  to	
  the	
  final	
  consumers	
  
             ì  if	
  the	
  long-­‐term	
  contract	
  secures	
  a	
  lower	
  price	
  for	
  the	
  buyer	
  which	
  is	
  then	
  reflected	
  in	
  
                   lowers	
  bills	
  for	
  the	
  consumers	
  
      ì     Indispensable	
  or	
  at	
  least	
  proporConal	
  to	
  the	
  achievement	
  of	
  the	
  efficiency	
  gains	
  
             ì  Can	
  only	
  be	
  judged	
  on	
  a	
  case	
  by	
  case	
  basis,	
  but	
  favourable	
  precedent	
  a	
  price	
  formula	
  
                 benefited	
  the	
  generator	
  –	
  explicitly	
  considered	
  by	
  the	
  COM	
  an	
  efficiency	
  to	
  benefit	
  
                 from	
  an	
  exemp5on	
  under	
  Ar5cle	
  101	
  (3)	
  
             ì  Na5onal	
  compe55on	
  authori5es	
  are	
  s5ll	
  struggling	
  with	
  this	
  criteria	
  	
  
      ì     Not	
  afford	
  the	
  parCes	
  the	
  possibility	
  to	
  eliminate	
  compeCCon	
  in	
  respect	
  of	
  a	
  
             substan5al	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  products	
  in	
  ques5on	
  	
  
      ì     Public	
  service	
  obligaCon	
  	
  	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (11)	
  	
  
                                                                           	
  Remedies	
  
ì  If	
  efficiency	
  gains	
  do	
  not	
  seem	
  to	
  clearly	
  offset	
  an5-­‐compe55ve	
  effects	
  
      LT	
  PPA	
  can	
  s5ll	
  be	
  accepted	
  provided	
  sa5sfactory	
  remedies	
  can	
  be	
  
      imposed	
  or	
  nego5ated	
  	
  
ì  	
  Typical	
  compe55on	
  remedies:	
  
    ì  Amending	
  the	
  PPA:	
  dele5ng	
  exclusivity,	
  limi5ng	
  the	
  dura5on,	
  reducing	
  
           the	
  volume	
  (100%	
  to	
  70%)	
  
    ì  Forbidding	
  any	
  ver5cal	
  M&As	
  to	
  a	
  dominant	
  company	
  for	
  a	
  certain	
  
           number	
  of	
  years	
  
    ì  Note:	
  security	
  of	
  supply	
  argument	
  in	
  today’s	
  world	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  be	
  
           accepted	
  only	
  for	
  gas	
  supply	
  agreements	
  and	
  to	
  a	
  lesser	
  extent	
  for	
  PPAs	
  

ì  Energy	
  specific	
  remedies:	
  
    ì  Virtual	
  Power	
  Plants	
  (VPPs),	
  ie	
  capacity	
  release:	
  forced	
  dominant	
  firms	
  to	
  
        make	
  capacity	
  op5ons	
  available	
  for	
  a	
  pre-­‐determined	
  5me	
  horizon	
  
        (Synergen	
  case)	
  	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (12)	
  	
  
       	
  Distrigaz	
  &	
  EDF	
  –	
  reliable	
  precedents	
  but	
  not	
  enough	
  	
  
Cases	
                                            Distrigaz	
  2007	
                           EDF	
  2009	
  
Max	
  duraCon	
                                   5	
  years	
                                  5	
  years	
  
%	
  of	
  sales	
  to	
  come	
  back	
  on	
     70%	
                                         65%	
  	
  
the	
  market	
  every	
  year	
  (ie:	
  
annual	
  VPP)	
  
Contract	
  Clause	
  	
                           No	
  des5na5on	
  clause	
  	
               No	
  des5na5on	
  clause	
  	
  
DuraCon	
  of	
  commitments	
  	
                 4	
  years	
  for	
  Distrigaz	
  under	
     10	
  years	
  for	
  EDF	
  under	
  40%	
  
                                                   40%	
  market	
  share	
                      of	
  the	
  market	
  share	
  
Monitoring	
  of	
  Commitments	
  	
   Annual	
  report	
                                       Annual	
  report	
  &	
  
                                                                                                 Independent	
  Auditor	
  	
  
Others	
  	
                                       Effec5ve	
  right	
  to	
  contract	
          Effec5ve	
  right	
  to	
  contract	
  
                                                   with	
  alterna5ve	
  supplier	
              with	
  alterna5ve	
  supplier	
  	
  
Commitments	
  may	
  be	
  reopened	
  if	
  material	
  changes	
  in	
  the	
  na6onal	
  law	
  or	
  the	
  market	
  
context	
  
Market	
  Structure	
  Ÿ	
  Evolution	
  and	
  Impact	
  (13)	
  	
  
                                                     	
  Certain	
  uncertainties	
  	
  
ì  Mul5ple-­‐step	
  approach	
  to	
  analyse	
  long-­‐term	
  PPAs	
  has	
  emerged	
  
     ater	
  the	
  2007	
  SI	
  but	
  no	
  holisCc	
  approach	
  dedicated	
  to	
  PPAs	
  yet	
  

ì  Strong	
  emphasis	
  on	
  investment	
  but	
  no	
  robust	
  methodology	
  to	
  
     ar5culate	
  short	
  and	
  long-­‐term	
  efficiency	
  criteria	
  

ì  Balancing	
  between	
  an5-­‐compe55ve	
  effects	
  and	
  efficiencies	
  
     remains	
  largely	
  at	
  the	
  discreCon	
  of	
  the	
  COM	
  

ì  Lack	
  of	
  predictability	
  –	
  ul5mate	
  effect	
  detrimental	
  to	
  crea5on	
  of	
  
     the	
  Internal	
  Energy	
  Market,	
  investment	
  in	
  new	
  capaci5es,	
  and	
  
     on	
  the	
  prices	
  to	
  end-­‐consumers	
  	
  
3rd	
  Electricity	
  Directive	
  	
  
                                                                    What’s	
  new	
  for	
  PPAs	
  
ì    Substan5ally	
  increased	
  powers	
  of	
  the	
  Na5onal	
  Regulatory	
  Authori5es	
  (NRAs):	
  
      ì    Issue	
  binding	
  decisions	
  on	
  electricity	
  undertakings	
  	
  
      ì    Carry	
  out	
  inves5ga5ons	
  into	
  the	
  func5oning	
  of	
  the	
  electricity	
  markets	
  
      ì    Decide	
  and	
  impose	
  any	
  necessary	
  and	
  proporConate	
  measures	
  to	
  promote	
  effecCve	
  
            compeCCon	
  and	
  ensure	
  the	
  proper	
  funcConing	
  of	
  the	
  market	
  	
  
      ì    Cooperate	
  with	
  the	
  na5onal	
  compe55on	
  authori5es	
  and	
  the	
  Commission	
  in	
  
            conduc5ng	
  an	
  inves5ga5on	
  rela5ng	
  to	
  compe55on	
  law	
  
      ì    Impose	
  effecCve,	
  proporConate	
  and	
  dissuasive	
  penalCes	
  on	
  the	
  electricity	
  
            undertakings	
  that	
  don’t	
  comply	
  with	
  their	
  obligaCons	
  under	
  the	
  DirecCve	
  or	
  with	
  
            any	
  legally	
  binding	
  decision	
  of	
  the	
  NRAs	
  itself	
  or	
  of	
  the	
  ACER	
  or	
  to	
  propose	
  that	
  a	
  
            competent	
  court	
  imposes	
  such	
  penal5es	
  	
  
      ì    Create	
  appropriate	
  and	
  efficient	
  mechanisms	
  for	
  regula5on,	
  control	
  and	
  transparency	
  
            to	
  avoid	
  any	
  abuse	
  of	
  dominant	
  posi5on,	
  in	
  par5cular	
  to	
  the	
  detriment	
  of	
  consumers	
  	
  

ì    but	
  the	
  NRAs	
  are	
  bound	
  to	
  respect	
  the	
  contractual	
  freedom	
  regarding	
  long-­‐term	
  
      contracts	
  provided	
  they	
  are	
  compaCble	
  with	
  EU	
  law	
  and	
  consistent	
  with	
  EU	
  
      policies	
  
What	
  is	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  a	
  PPA	
  in	
  a	
  liberalised	
  market	
  ?	
  

ì  Contract	
  for	
  the	
  sale	
  of	
  Energy	
  and	
  Availability	
  from	
  a	
  generator	
  to	
  a	
  
       wholesaler,	
  retailer	
  or	
  directly	
  to	
  the	
  end	
  consumer	
  	
  

ì  Tradi5onally	
  a	
  PPA	
  recognizes	
  that	
  the	
  valuable	
  service	
  provided	
  by	
  a	
  power	
  
       plant	
  is	
  availability,	
  not	
  the	
  actual	
  produc5on	
  of	
  energy	
  

ì  But	
  in	
  a	
  reliable	
  wholesale	
  liberalised	
  market	
  it	
  is	
  OK	
  for	
  the	
  G	
  to	
  be	
  paid	
  only	
  
       for	
  the	
  actual	
  running	
  5me	
  –	
  G	
  takes	
  over	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  market	
  risk	
  as	
  well	
  

ì  In	
  today’s	
  energy	
  markets	
  both	
  the	
  price	
  risk	
  and	
  the	
  volume	
  risk	
  have	
  
       become	
  freely	
  nego5able	
  clauses	
  –	
  it	
  all	
  boils	
  down	
  to	
  the	
  specific	
  features	
  of	
  
       each	
  market	
  
       ì  The	
  more	
  func5onal	
  and	
  reliable	
  the	
  wholesale	
  market	
  is	
  the	
  less	
  risks	
  the	
  
           buyer	
  has	
  to	
  take	
  over	
  –	
  buyers	
  in	
  liberalised	
  market	
  gained	
  more	
  bargaining	
  
           power	
  –	
  the	
  net	
  effect	
  should	
  be	
  that	
  the	
  end-­‐consumers	
  will	
  be	
  happier	
  as	
  
           the	
  prices	
  should	
  go	
  down	
  or	
  at	
  least	
  not	
  go	
  higher	
  than	
  they	
  could	
  have	
  
           been	
  should	
  the	
  market	
  not	
  have	
  been	
  liberalised	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (1)	
  
                                                              Outline	
  
ì  Contract	
  Charge	
  (Pricing)	
  

ì  Dispatching	
  	
  

ì  Volume	
  

ì  Underperformance	
  	
  	
  

ì  Take	
  of	
  Pay	
  (ToP)	
  

ì  Exchange	
  Rate	
  (currency	
  risk)	
  

ì  Opera5on	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (2)	
  
                           Contract	
  Charge	
  –	
  Energy	
  Charge	
  
ì    Pricing	
  principle	
  =	
  pass	
  through	
  costs	
  legi5mately	
  incurred	
  and	
  pay	
  the	
  G	
  an	
  
      appropriate	
  profit	
  for	
  the	
  service	
  	
  
      ì     Energy	
  charge	
  –	
  designed	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  variable	
  costs	
  (eg:	
  fuel	
  price)	
  
      ì     Capacity	
  (or	
  availability	
  charge)	
  –	
  designed	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  the	
  fixed	
  costs	
  of	
  the	
  power	
  
             plant	
  

ì    Energy	
  charge	
  =	
  €	
  /	
  kWh	
  =	
  price	
  paid	
  per	
  unit	
  of	
  incremental	
  output	
  	
  	
  
      ì     Price	
  Formula	
  =	
  breakdown	
  based	
  on	
  the	
  costs	
  of	
  the	
  fuel	
  and	
  the	
  efficiency	
  rate	
  (ie:	
  
             rate	
  of	
  conversa5on	
  of	
  a	
  thermal	
  unit	
  into	
  electricity)	
  
             ì  VC	
  =	
  AE/	
  TE	
  
             ì  VC	
  =	
  variable	
  costs,	
  ie:	
  fuel,	
  other	
  variable	
  costs	
  
             ì  AE	
  =	
  Actual	
  Efficiency	
  (expressed	
  in	
  kWh)	
  
             ì  TE	
  =	
  Targeted	
  Efficiency	
  	
  
      ì     Just	
  a	
  single	
  price	
  per	
  kWh	
  –	
  different	
  prices	
  at	
  different	
  stages	
  of	
  opera5on	
  (eg:	
  start-­‐
             up	
  price,	
  different	
  levels	
  of	
  output	
  price,	
  seasonal	
  price)	
  
             ì  Implies	
  a	
  certain	
  efficiency	
  level	
  
      ì     Can	
  include	
  a	
  penalty	
  element	
  –	
  if	
  the	
  G	
  fail	
  to	
  generate	
  as	
  instructed	
  by	
  the	
  
             dispatcher	
  to	
  encourage	
  to	
  keep	
  the	
  market	
  balanced	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (3)	
  
              Contract	
  Charge	
  –	
  Availability	
  Charge	
  
ì    Capacity/	
  Availability	
  Charge	
  –	
  2	
  main	
  roles	
  
      ì        Provide	
  extra	
  revenue	
  to	
  the	
  G	
  to	
  cover	
  the	
  capital	
  and	
  other	
  fixed	
  costs	
  which	
  are	
  not	
  covered	
  by	
  the	
  
                energy	
  price	
  per	
  kWh	
  
      ì        Provide	
  incen5ves	
  for	
  the	
  G	
  to	
  be	
  available	
  at	
  5mes	
  when	
  the	
  system	
  needs	
  genera5on	
  capacity	
  	
  
      ì        Availability	
  is	
  measured	
  in	
  MWh,	
  ie:	
  a	
  MW	
  of	
  availability	
  for	
  an	
  hour	
  	
  	
  

ì    Steps	
  to	
  nego5ate	
  availability	
  payments:	
  
      ì        Step	
  1:	
  agree	
  on	
  a	
  Target	
  Level	
  of	
  Availability	
  (T)	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  MW	
  level	
  and	
  number	
  of	
  hours	
  per	
  year,	
  Ty	
  
                =	
  Target	
  per	
  year	
  and	
  Th	
  =	
  Target	
  per	
  hour	
  in	
  a	
  year	
  
      ì        Step	
  2:	
  Fixed	
  Annual	
  Payment	
  (F)	
  –	
  to	
  be	
  paid	
  if	
  the	
  G	
  achieves	
  the	
  target	
  level	
  of	
  availability,	
  but	
  it	
  
                should	
  cover	
  the	
  fixed	
  costs	
  for	
  one	
  year	
  +	
  normal	
  rate	
  of	
  profit	
  	
  
      ì        Step	
  3:	
  Availability	
  Bonuses	
  and	
  PenalAes	
  above	
  or	
  below	
  the	
  target	
  level	
  (Ah)	
  –	
  meant	
  to	
  keep	
  the	
  G	
  
                under	
  a	
  con5nuous	
  pressure	
  to	
  ensure	
  that	
  the	
  capacity	
  is	
  maintained	
  and	
  available,	
  but	
  the	
  buyer	
  
                should	
  not	
  pay	
  more	
  than	
  the	
  capacity	
  is	
  worth	
  to	
  the	
  system	
  

ì    How	
  much	
  is	
  the	
  capacity	
  of	
  a	
  G	
  worth	
  to	
  the	
  system?	
  =	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  the	
  G’s	
  output	
  to	
  the	
  system	
  –	
  
      price	
  paid	
  for	
  the	
  G’s	
  output	
  under	
  the	
  PPA	
  
      ì        The	
  value	
  of	
  the	
  G’s	
  output	
  to	
  the	
  system	
  in	
  any	
  hour	
  =	
  the	
  cost	
  incurred	
  by	
  the	
  whole	
  system	
  if	
  the	
  
                generator	
  decreases	
  its	
  output	
  
      ì        the	
  G’s	
  lack	
  of	
  output	
  will	
  be	
  replaced	
  by	
  output	
  from	
  another	
  G	
  –	
  if	
  this	
  output	
  is	
  more	
  expensive	
  the	
  
                value	
  if	
  called	
  System	
  Marginal	
  Cost	
  	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (4)	
  
                                                                       	
  Dispatching	
  	
  
ì    Energy	
  charge	
  is	
  a	
  key	
  determinant	
  of	
  the	
  paaern	
  of	
  dispatching	
  –	
  ideally	
  
      generators	
  should	
  run	
  in	
  merit	
  order,	
  ie:	
  only	
  the	
  generators	
  with	
  the	
  lowest	
  
      variable	
  costs	
  should	
  be	
  genera5ng	
  to	
  meet	
  demand	
  =	
  golden	
  rule	
  of	
  dispatching	
  
      in	
  a	
  liberalised	
  market	
  	
  

ì    If	
  the	
  energy	
  price	
  is	
  above	
  the	
  variable	
  costs	
  of	
  the	
  power	
  plant	
  the	
  	
  incen5ve	
  for	
  
      efficient	
  dispatching	
  is	
  lost	
  	
  	
  

ì    Naturally	
  a	
  G	
  wants	
  to	
  run	
  at	
  all	
  5mes	
  regardless	
  of	
  the	
  costs	
  of	
  the	
  other	
  
      generators	
  on	
  the	
  system	
  and	
  even	
  if	
  the	
  power	
  plant	
  displaces	
  other	
  cheaper	
  
      generators	
  	
  

ì    BUT	
  to	
  keep	
  the	
  prices	
  for	
  the	
  end	
  consumer	
  lower	
  the	
  dispatcher	
  (SO/MO)	
  needs	
  
      to	
  dispatch	
  according	
  to	
  the	
  merit	
  order,	
  ie:	
  star5ng	
  with	
  the	
  cheapest	
  capacity	
  
      for	
  any	
  given	
  hour	
  and	
  going	
  upwards	
  5ll	
  it	
  meets	
  the	
  demand	
  	
  

ì    So	
  for	
  efficient	
  dispatching	
  the	
  dispatcher	
  needs	
  to	
  know	
  the	
  actual	
  variable	
  cost	
  
      of	
  genera5on	
  –	
  Energy	
  Charge	
  in	
  a	
  PPA	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  set	
  as	
  close	
  as	
  possible	
  to	
  the	
  
      actual	
  cost	
  of	
  the	
  fuel	
  burnt	
  for	
  genera5ng	
  1	
  KWh	
  +	
  some	
  allowance	
  for	
  O	
  &	
  M	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (5)	
  
                                                                                 	
  Volume	
  	
  	
  
ì  Either	
  all	
  produc5on	
  of	
  a	
  plant	
  or	
  specified	
  calcula5on	
  of	
  volume	
  	
  

ì  BUT	
  a	
  minimum	
  volume	
  under	
  a	
  long-­‐term	
  PPA	
  is	
  established	
  by	
  a	
  provision	
  
      guaranteeing	
  	
  
      ì  a	
  minimum	
  number	
  of	
  running	
  hours	
  (most	
  PPAs	
  link	
  the	
  volume	
  provision	
  to	
  
          availability	
  rather	
  than	
  actual	
  running	
  –	
  but	
  the	
  laaer	
  is	
  equally	
  possible),	
  and	
  
      ì  that	
  number	
  will	
  be	
  paid	
  for	
  –	
  even	
  if	
  the	
  plant	
  is	
  called	
  on	
  for	
  a	
  shorter	
  5me	
  	
  

ì  Obtaining	
  a	
  guarantee	
  of	
  availability	
  from	
  the	
  plant	
  builder	
  would	
  insulate	
  the	
  
      G	
  –	
  but	
  in	
  prac5ce	
  it	
  is	
  unlikely	
  for	
  a	
  full	
  guarantee	
  to	
  be	
  given	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  
      insurance	
  premium	
  the	
  builder	
  itself	
  would	
  have	
  to	
  pay	
  

ì  Aaen5on	
  must	
  be	
  paid	
  for	
  those	
  jurisdic5ons	
  where	
  full	
  unbundling	
  of	
  the	
  
      generator	
  and	
  the	
  dispatcher	
  has	
  not	
  been	
  done	
  yet	
  
      ì  Why?	
  In	
  5mes	
  of	
  low	
  demand	
  the	
  dispatcher	
  is	
  faced	
  with	
  the	
  choice	
  
          between	
  running	
  the	
  output	
  of	
  the	
  G	
  and	
  switching	
  off	
  his	
  own	
  plant	
  	
  	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (6)	
  
                                                           Underperformance	
  
ì  Technically	
  each	
  power	
  plant	
  is	
  built	
  to	
  provide	
  a	
  certain	
  capacity,	
  but	
  
      if	
  it	
  is	
  not	
  able	
  to	
  produce	
  that	
  capacity	
  the	
  PPA	
  will	
  have	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  
      the	
  alloca5on	
  of	
  underperformance	
  	
  
ì  if	
  Volume	
  clause	
  says	
  “all	
  output”	
  the	
  buyer	
  is	
  taking	
  the	
  full	
  risk	
  of	
  
      underperformance	
  
ì  in	
  reality	
  the	
  buyer	
  is	
  unlikely	
  to	
  take	
  100%	
  of	
  the	
  risk	
  under	
  all	
  
      circumstances,	
  especially	
  not	
  all	
  technical	
  failure	
  risks:	
  the	
  plant	
  is	
  
      unavailable	
  because	
  the	
  turbine	
  does	
  not	
  work	
  –	
  the	
  buyer	
  will	
  want	
  
      some	
  degree	
  of	
  recourse	
  to	
  the	
  manufacturer	
  	
  
ì  if	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  cap	
  on	
  the	
  liability	
  of	
  the	
  manufacturer	
  –	
  since	
  the	
  buyer	
  is	
  
      not	
  a	
  party	
  to	
  that	
  contract	
  and	
  if	
  it	
  agrees	
  to	
  take	
  over	
  100%	
  of	
  the	
  
      underperformance	
  risk-­‐	
  seller	
  should	
  expect	
  a	
  lower	
  rate	
  of	
  profit	
  
      under	
  the	
  Fixed	
  Annual	
  Payment	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (7)	
  
                                                                            ToP	
  
ì  the	
  buyer	
  agrees	
  to	
  purchase	
  over	
  specified	
  period	
  a	
  minimum	
  volume	
  
     of	
  the	
  output	
  at	
  an	
  agreed	
  price,	
  and	
  it	
  is	
  expected	
  to	
  pay	
  for	
  it	
  
     regardless	
  of	
  taking	
  it	
  or	
  not	
  (but	
  usually	
  only	
  if	
  the	
  G	
  had	
  available	
  
     capacity	
  to	
  deliver	
  and	
  was	
  willing	
  to	
  do	
  so)	
  
ì  Typically	
  a	
  100%	
  ToP	
  is	
  jus5fiable	
  only	
  when	
  there	
  is	
  no	
  wholesale	
  
     market	
  (spot	
  or	
  OTC)	
  where	
  the	
  G	
  can	
  sell	
  the	
  excess	
  not	
  taken	
  by	
  the	
  
     buyer	
  –	
  hence	
  such	
  a	
  clause	
  would	
  not	
  be	
  commercially	
  arguable	
  in	
  
     preay	
  much	
  any	
  of	
  the	
  MSs	
  
ì  Careful	
  with	
  the	
  enforceability	
  of	
  the	
  ToP	
  –	
  in	
  those	
  jurisdicitons	
  
     where	
  adequate	
  considera5on	
  is	
  an	
  essen5al	
  contractual	
  element	
  (if	
  
     the	
  PPA	
  is	
  under	
  English	
  law	
  –	
  no	
  prob:	
  basic	
  principle	
  of	
  common	
  law	
  
     the	
  courts	
  are	
  not	
  concerned	
  with	
  the	
  adequacy	
  of	
  considera5on,	
  it	
  is	
  
     totally	
  acceptable	
  that	
  the	
  par5es	
  are	
  “smart”	
  enough	
  to	
  enter	
  into	
  a	
  
     “bad	
  bargain”)	
  	
  	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (8)	
  
                                          ToP	
  –	
  Flexibility	
  Mechanisms	
  	
  
ì  2	
  essen5al	
  flexibility	
  mechanisms:	
  allow	
  for	
  a	
  Buyer’s	
  ToP	
  obliga5on	
  to	
  be	
  
      averaged	
  over	
  the	
  life	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  
      ì  Make-­‐Up	
  	
  
      ì  Carry	
  forward	
  	
  

ì  Make-­‐up:	
  	
  
      ì  once	
  a	
  buyer	
  has	
  made	
  a	
  payment	
  in	
  one	
  year	
  (and	
  taken	
  less)	
  the	
  volumes	
  
          will	
  go	
  into	
  a	
  “Make-­‐up	
  bank”	
  
      ì  If	
  in	
  the	
  next	
  year	
  the	
  Buyer	
  has	
  taken	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  that	
  year	
  before	
  the	
  
          year	
  end	
  he	
  can	
  then	
  start	
  to	
  take	
  for	
  free	
  if	
  he	
  needs	
  to	
  up	
  to	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  
          the	
  outstanding	
  “Make-­‐up	
  bank”	
  

ì  Carry-­‐forward:	
  
      ì  if	
  the	
  buyer	
  takes	
  more	
  than	
  the	
  ToP	
  amount	
  in	
  one	
  year	
  –	
  receives	
  a	
  credit	
  
          for	
  the	
  overtake	
  	
  
      ì  If	
  he	
  then	
  takes	
  less	
  in	
  another	
  year	
  this	
  is	
  set-­‐off	
  against	
  the	
  “Carry	
  Forward	
  
          Balance”	
  from	
  the	
  previous	
  year	
  	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (9)	
  
                                                               Exchange	
  Rate	
  Risk	
  	
  
ì  This	
  exists	
  in	
  almost	
  all	
  new	
  built	
  power	
  plants	
  projects	
  outside	
  the	
  Eurozone	
  	
  

ì  Depending	
  on	
  the	
  par5es	
  the	
  project	
  costs	
  are	
  in	
  one	
  or	
  more	
  currencies	
  
       whilst	
  the	
  revenues	
  of	
  the	
  plant	
  is	
  in	
  the	
  local	
  currency	
  	
  
ì  Problem	
  is	
  the	
  issue	
  can	
  appear	
  over	
  5me,	
  ie:	
  3-­‐5	
  years	
  along	
  the	
  line	
  	
  

ì  Role	
  of	
  the	
  PPA	
  is	
  to	
  make	
  sure	
  the	
  generator	
  receives	
  the	
  same	
  value	
  of	
  
       considera5on	
  irrespec5ve	
  of	
  movements	
  in	
  the	
  exchange	
  rate	
  	
  

ì  Achieved	
  by	
  compelling	
  the	
  buyer	
  to	
  pay	
  in	
  the	
  same	
  currency	
  as	
  the	
  costs	
  	
  

ì  Another	
  problem:	
  if	
  the	
  local	
  currency	
  deteriorates	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  power	
  under	
  
       the	
  PPA	
  rises	
  –	
  making	
  alterna5ve	
  local	
  sources	
  more	
  aarac5ve	
  for	
  the	
  buyer	
  	
  
ì  In	
  prac5ce	
  this	
  risk	
  is	
  shared	
  between	
  the	
  seller	
  and	
  the	
  buyer	
  (if	
  the	
  buyer	
  is	
  
       not	
  a	
  state	
  owned	
  company	
  –	
  that	
  can	
  afford	
  to	
  produce	
  a	
  Gov	
  guarantee	
  –	
  
       and	
  here	
  we	
  aface	
  State	
  aid	
  rules)	
  	
  
Key	
  Contractual	
  Issues	
  (10)	
  
                                                            Operation	
  	
  
ì  To	
  keep	
  the	
  lights	
  on	
  PPAs	
  have	
  to	
  fit	
  within	
  the	
  market	
  
     architecture	
  and	
  the	
  Grid	
  Code	
  arrangements	
  of	
  the	
  market	
  they	
  
     operate	
  in	
  
ì  The	
  G	
  needs	
  to	
  know	
  when	
  to	
  switch	
  on	
  and	
  off	
  the	
  plant	
  

ì  The	
  MO	
  /	
  TSO	
  needs	
  to	
  know	
  in	
  advance	
  what	
  the	
  available	
  
     capacity	
  will	
  be	
  
ì  Reserve	
  capacity	
  needs	
  to	
  be	
  considered	
  for	
  transmission	
  and	
  
     distribu5on	
  constrains	
  	
  	
  
ì  Conclusion:	
  across	
  MSs	
  market	
  designs	
  and	
  Grid	
  Codes	
  are	
  
     different	
  –	
  be	
  comfortable	
  that	
  the	
  par5es	
  and	
  the	
  advisors	
  
     understand	
  them	
  before	
  nego5a5ng	
  a	
  PPA	
  
Qs	
  Time!	
  

ì  Many	
  Thanks!	
  

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Power Purchase Agreement Workshop

  • 1. Power  Purchase  Agreement       ì   Regulatory  and  Commercial  Key  Issues     PGREG  April  2012     Raluca  Dirjan  
  • 2. Agenda   ì  Outcome   ì  How  is  electricity  different  than  other  commodi5es?   ì  Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolu5on  and  Impact     ì  Regulatory  concerns     ì   Contractual  issues     ì   Q&A    
  • 3. Outcome   ì  Understand  the  basic  concepts  of  electricity   and  the  electricity  industry  chain     ì  Appreciate  the  role  of  the  PPA  in  the  electricity   market   ì  Map  the  main  regulatory  concerns     ì  Familiarise  with  the  key  provisions  of  a  PPA    
  • 4. Why  a  PPA  workshop?   ì  Ques5on  to  YOU  
  • 5. Why  a  PPA  workshop?   ì  WB:  the  only  thing  that  kept  the  lights  on  in  CEE,  Russia  and  Central  Assia  has   been  the  recession     ì  Massive  rounds  of  investments  are  needed  to  replace  the  exis5ng  capaci5es  that   had  been  mostly  built  before  the  1980s       ì  In  addi5on:  substan5al  RES-­‐E  capaci5es  are  expected  to  crop  up  across  the   region  by  2020  and  beyond  to  keep  up  with  the  EU  policies  on  climate  change   and  security  of  supply         ì  Prac5oners  can  face  LTSC  issues  in  at  least  3  different  constella5ons:   ì  legacy  of  the  pre-­‐liberalisa5on  era   ì  the  new  PPAs  as  an  effect  of  the  first  step  of  liberalisa5on  –  opening  up  the   genera5on  for  compe55on  –  the  IPP,  BOTs  and  the  award  of  the  PPA  on  a  long-­‐term   basis   ì  new  built  projects  (typically  project  financed  -­‐  off  balance  sheet):  where  the   wholesalers  /  suppliers  /  large  industrial  consumers  would  enter  into  long-­‐term  PPA   with  the  generator,  and  this  would  secure  a  revenue  stream  to  service  to  debt  for   financing  the  project      
  • 6. How  is  electricity  different  than  other   commodities  ?  (1)   ì  Truth  no  1:  electricity  cannot  be  stored  –  all  electricity  needs  to  be   generated  when  is  needed  –  when  demand  varies  over  the  course  of  a   day,  genera5on  needs  to  vary  exactly  at  the  same  5me       ì  Truth  no  2:  electricity  takes  the  path  of  least  resistance  –  it  is  virtually   impossible  to  command  electricity  to  take  a  certain  path,  the  thicker   the  cable  the  more  electricity  will  want  to  flow  through  that  cable  and   not  through  a  skinny  cable  –  final  consumers  simply  get  whatever   electricity  happens  to  be  flowing  by  their  appliances  at  the  5me  they   switch  on  the  lights     ì  Truth  no  3:  electricity  travels  at  the  speed  of  light  –  each  second   output  has  be  to  precisely  matched  to  demand  –  if  not,  frequency  falls   and  bad  things  happen,  including  blackouts    
  • 7. How  is  electricity  different  than  other   commodities  ?  (2)   ì  Electricity  as  opposed  to  almost  any  other  commodity  (gas  is  the   closest  it  can  get)  needs  at  all  5mes  coordina5on:  day-­‐ahead,   intra-­‐day  and  in  real  5me   ì  No  maaer  how  liberalised  is  a  market  the  SO  has  to  be  in  charge   at  all  5mes  –  telling  the  plants  when  to  run,  when  to  increase  or   decrease  output  and  when  to  stop       ì  SO  has  to  make  sure  that:     ì  Load  is  met  at  all  5mes   ì  Relieve  conges5ons  on  the  transmission  system   ì  Call  for  reserves  and  use  them  when  necessary        
  • 8. Electricity  Industry  Chain  in  a  Liberalised  Market   ì  5/6  main  ac5vi5es:   ì  ProducCon  or  GeneraCon   ì  Transmission  =  high  voltage  level  transport     ì  DistribuCon  =  low  voltage  level  transport     ì  Supply  =  selling  electricity  to  the  final  consumer     ì  Trading  =  selling  and  buying  electricity  on  the  wholesale  market   ì  Metering  –  part  of  the  supply  or  distribu5on  ac5vity  in  some   jurisdic5ons  (mostly  all  CEE),  or  on  its  own  in  others  (Nord  Pool   markets  and  UK).  In  a  perfectly  reliable  market  metering  should  be   separate  from  supply  /  distribu5on    
  • 9. Electricity  Contractual  Chain  (1)     Generator   PPA   Merchant  Power  Plant   Spot  sale   Wholesaler   Spot  market   Spot  purchase   Wholesale  contract   Retailer   Consumer  tariffs  (ini5ally)  now  Retail  Contracts     Consumer  
  • 10. Electricity  Contractual  Chain  (2)   ì  PPA   ì  sale  of  electricity  from  a  single  generator  to  a  wholesale  company   (can  be  another  generator  or  trader  or  even  end-­‐consumer   typically  non-­‐household)     ì  Wholesaler  buyer  purchases  the  G  output  (kWh)   ì  Wholesaler  may  buy  the  output  of  many  generators  under  many   different  PPAs  (certainty  this  is  the  case  with  RES-­‐E  –  very  many   generators  at  small  capaci5es)   ì  Wholesale  Market     ì  Electricity  from  the  wholesalers  is  sold/purchased  either  OTC  or  on   the  spot  markets/power  exchanges       ì  These  trades  allow  wholesalers  to  balance  their  porholio  on  the   short  term  –  since  electricity  cannot  be  stored  
  • 11. Electricity  Contractual  Chain  (2)   ì  Wholesale  Contracts   ì  Wholeseller  sells  to  another  one  or  to  another  retailer  via  a   wholesale  contract     ì  Ability  to  call  on  the  spot  markets  allows  the  wholesale  to  offer  to   the  retailers  firm  sales  for  a  defined  quan5ty  at  a  fixed  priced     ì  Deriva5ve  contracts  on  electricity     ì  Compe55on  at  this  level  of  the  market  tends  to  encourage   innova5on  in  the  terms  offered  to  the  retailers     ì  Retail  Contracts  (iniCally  Tariffs)     ì  Electricity  is  sold  to  final  consumers    
  • 12. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (1)   ì  Prior  to  liberalisa5on  start-­‐up  (mid  1990s  in  con5nental  Europe  and   mid  1980s  UK)  –  ver5cally  integrated  companies  carried  out  all  the  5/6   businesses  (listed  on  slide  8)  typically  serving  certain  regions   ì  Transport  –  as  the  only  natural  monopoly  remained  regulated     ì  GeneraCon,  wholesale  trading,  retail  supply  –  progressively  opened  to   compeCCon       ì  Liberalisa5on  in  UK  was  driven  by  the  poli5cal  belief  of  the  then   Thatcher  cabinet  (inspired  by  the  America  model)  that  liberalisa5on   and  priva5sa5on  are  inherently  a  superior  market  model   ì  Liberalisa5on  in  Europe  was  driven  by  the  Commission  compe55on   policies  and  the  belief  in  the  European  single  market  model          
  • 13. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (2)   Liberalisation  Start-­‐up  1990   ì  First  Electricity  Direc5ve  96/92/EC  –  introduced  a  separa5on   between  the  regulated  part  of  the  market  (networks)  and  the   compeCCve  part  of  the  market  (G,  T  and  S)   ì  Removed  legal  monopolies  –  allowed  large  consumers  to  choose   their  supplier  (“eligibility”  concept)   ì  TPA  –  obliged  ver5cally  integrated  companies  to  negoCate  TPA  to   their  transmission  and  distribu5on  networks     ì  Unbundling  (accoun5ng  &  management)  –  minimum  level  of   separa5on  of  the  network  business  from  the  genera5on  and   supply  business  of  the  ver5cally  integrated  companies         ì  Gradual  market  opening  è  significant  differences  between  MSs   regarding  the  level  of  their  market  opening    
  • 14. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (3)   PPAs  in  the  context  of  Liberalisation  Start-­‐up  1990   ì  Despite  their  vital  role  for  the  liberalisa5on  LTSC  are  almost   absent  in  electricity  &  gas  secondary  legisla5on  at  that  5me     ì  COM  started  to  look  into  LTSC  in  mid  –  late  1990s  to  limit  their   dura5on  –  not  hamper  on  opening  the  markets  to  compe55on     ì  Some  precedents:  rule  of  thumb  –  15  years  (eg:  Electricidade  de   Portugal/Pego;  Isab  Energy/Enel;  Rosen)   ì  BUT  no  methodologies  had  been  displayed  for  the  analysis  of   the  foreclosure  effects     ì  Market  players  already  anCcipated  since  late  1990s  that  a  15   year  dura5on  will  probably  not  be  acceptable  anymore    
  • 15. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (4)     2nd  Wave  of  Liberalisation   ì  2nd  Electricity  Direc5ve  (2003/54/EC)  and  Cross   Border  Electricity  Trading  Regula5on   (1228/2003)   ì  aimed  at  full  market  opening  (all  consumers,   including  house-­‐hold)   ì  regulated  (as  opposed  to  nego5ated)  TPA     ì  mandatory  set  up  on  NRAs   ì  legal  unbundling  (not  only  accoun5ng  &   management)    
  • 16. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (5)     PPA  in  the  context  of  2nd  Wave  of  Liberalisation   ì  2004  onwards  relevant  cases  on  LTSC  generally  concerned  long-­‐ term  reservaCon  rights  on  cross-­‐border  interconnectors  signed   before  liberalisa5on   ì  some  MSs  introduced  effec5ve  measures  leading  to  compe55on:     ì  UK  –  state  owned  generator  split  into  compe55ve  companies  and   Virtual  Power  Plants,  ie:  capacity  release  programmes       ì  Italy  –  market  share  caps  for  the  incumbents       ì  BUT  the  issue  of  LTSC  was  sCll  not  addressed    
  • 17. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (6)     Sector  Inquiry  2007   ì  The  SI  was  launched  in  2005  and  responded  to  concerns  of  the   consumers  and  new  entrants  in  the  sector   ì  The  final  report  iden5fied  serious  shortcomings  affec5ng   trading:   ì  Concentra5on  and  market  power   ì  Ver5cal  foreclosure   ì  Lack  of  market  integra5on   ì  Lack  of  transparency  è informa5on  asymmetry  and  distrust  in   the  pricing  mechanism   ì  S5ll  regulated  prices/tariffs  for  the  end  consumers      
  • 18. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (7)     PPAs  in  the  context  of  the  Sector  Inquiry  2007     ì  SI  looked  at  PPAs  –  longer  than  3  years  and  /  or  that  are  tacitly  renewed  è  ver5cal  foreclosure  between  genera5on  and   retail  generally  reduces  the  incen5ves  to  trade  on  the  wholesale  markets  è  as  it  affects:     ì  Price  forma5on  on  the  spot  market     ì  Liquity  (the  lack  of)  –  illiquid  wholesale  markets  =  barrier  to  entry  &  high  price  vola5lity       ì  LTSC  between  par5es  with  opposite  market  posi5ons  in  the  same  MS  tend  to  reduce  the  amount  of  open  long  and  short   posi5ons  needed  to  be  closed  on  the  wholesale  market  trading       ì  LTSC  export  /  import  –  add  or  reduce  the  amount  of  electricity  that  is  available  for  trading  in  a  given  MS:   ì  LTSC  imports  may  mi5gate  the  effects  of  the  domes5c    market  foreclosure     ì  LTSC  exports  may  aggravate  such  affects       ì  SI  –  Remedies   ì  Generally:  Full  and  combined  use  of  the  Commission’s  powers,  in  close  co-­‐opera5on  with  the  NRAs   ì  An5trust  Rules  (Ar5cle  101,  102  and  106  TFEU)   ì  Merger  (Regula5on  139/2004)   ì  State  Aid  (Ar5cles  107  and  108  TFEU)   ì  For  PPAs:  SI  confirmed  the  ver5cal  tying  of  markets  by  LTSC  as  a  priority  for  review  of  case  situa5ons  under  compe55on   law  and  for  providing  guidance  where  required   ì  When  LTSC  concluded  by  dominant  companies  foreclose  the  market  è  potenCal  infringement  of  the  AnCtrust  Rules  unless  there  are   “countervailing  efficiencies  benefiCng  consumers”  –  in  the  analysis  of  the  LTSC  sunk  investments  made  by  the  parCes  are  considered  –   Commission  Guidelines  on  the  applicaCon  of  ArCcle  81(3)  [now  arCcle  101  (3)  TFEU]          
  • 19. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (8)      Relevant  Case  Law  following  the  SI     ì  Lessons  learnt     ì  There  is  no  EU  legisla5on,  guidelines,  etc  to  ban  outright  LTSC   ì  the  COM  will  deal  with  LTSC  only  if  they  may  substan5ally  affect  trade   between  MS    -­‐  for  the  rest  of  the  cases  it  is  up  to  the  na5onal  authori5es  to   get  involved   ì  as  long  as  the  market  share  of  the  companies  involved  does  not  exceed  15%   they  are  considered  de  minimis  and  do  not  fall  under  the  jurisdic5on  of  the   COM,  unless  the  agreement  contains  “black-­‐listed”  restrains       ì  “Black-­‐listed”  clauses  –  considered  illegal  in  several  decisions     ì  Unclear  termina5on  rights   ì  Fidelity  rebates   ì  Tacit  renewal       ì  If  the  market  share  of  at  least  one  of  the  contracCng  parCes  exceeds  30%  -­‐   COM  conducts  a  full-­‐blown  compe55on  analysis  of  the  an5-­‐compe55ve   effects  of  the  LTSC  to  decide  whether  it  infringes  EC  compe55on  law    
  • 20. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (9)      Relevant  Case  Law  following  the  SI     ì  Full-­‐blown  analysis  –  elements  considered:   ì  Market  characteris5cs  –  level  of  ver5cal  integra5on     ì  First  element  to  be  assessed   ì  Looks  at  poten5al  entry  in  supply  and  demand,  and  dominance       ì  Dura5on   ì  is  s5ll  an  enduring  ques5on  for  energy  policies  in  liberalised  markets     ì  but  acceptance  by  the  COM  will  mainly  depend  on  the  compe55on  posi5on  of  the  counterparty   ì  the  COM  is  suspicious  of  contracts  longer  than  5  years  and  considers  that  efficiencies  generally  do   not  offset  foreclosure  effects  beyond  this  limit     ì  The  COM  also  takes  a  more  strict  approach  for  the  producer/trader  contracts  (rather  than  for  the   fuel  supply  contracts,  ie:  mostly  gas  supply  agreements)     ì  Volumes     ì  Exclusivity  clause  –  par5cularly  an  issue  when  the  customer/buyer  represents  a  big  part  of  the   total  demand     ì  Take-­‐or-­‐Pay  (ToP)  –  one  of  main  reasons  why  LTSC  dry  out  the  spot  market;  w/o  the  flexibility   mechanism  of  a  ToP  clause  buyer  will  have  to  go  on  the  spot  markets  to  sell  the  surplus  /  buy  the   missing  quan55es  –  but  ToP  and  flexibility  mechanisms  are  not  banned  per  se      
  • 21. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (10)      Relevant  Case  Law  following  the  SI     ì  Once  a  PPA/PPAs  porholio  is  considered  likely  to  create  significant  an5-­‐ compe55ve  effects  è  analyse  the  poten5al  efficiency  gains  and  run  a  balancing   exercise     ì  In  theory  for  long-­‐term  PPAs  to  be  cleared  by  the  COM  they  should:   ì  SubstanCally  improve  economic  efficiency   ì  Already  recognised  by  the  COM:  investment  and  entry  considered  to  have  contributed   to  the  success  of  the  liberalisa5on       ì  Give  a  fair  share  of  benefits  to  the  final  consumers   ì  if  the  long-­‐term  contract  secures  a  lower  price  for  the  buyer  which  is  then  reflected  in   lowers  bills  for  the  consumers   ì  Indispensable  or  at  least  proporConal  to  the  achievement  of  the  efficiency  gains   ì  Can  only  be  judged  on  a  case  by  case  basis,  but  favourable  precedent  a  price  formula   benefited  the  generator  –  explicitly  considered  by  the  COM  an  efficiency  to  benefit   from  an  exemp5on  under  Ar5cle  101  (3)   ì  Na5onal  compe55on  authori5es  are  s5ll  struggling  with  this  criteria     ì  Not  afford  the  parCes  the  possibility  to  eliminate  compeCCon  in  respect  of  a   substan5al  part  of  the  products  in  ques5on     ì  Public  service  obligaCon        
  • 22. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (11)      Remedies   ì  If  efficiency  gains  do  not  seem  to  clearly  offset  an5-­‐compe55ve  effects   LT  PPA  can  s5ll  be  accepted  provided  sa5sfactory  remedies  can  be   imposed  or  nego5ated     ì   Typical  compe55on  remedies:   ì  Amending  the  PPA:  dele5ng  exclusivity,  limi5ng  the  dura5on,  reducing   the  volume  (100%  to  70%)   ì  Forbidding  any  ver5cal  M&As  to  a  dominant  company  for  a  certain   number  of  years   ì  Note:  security  of  supply  argument  in  today’s  world  is  likely  to  be   accepted  only  for  gas  supply  agreements  and  to  a  lesser  extent  for  PPAs   ì  Energy  specific  remedies:   ì  Virtual  Power  Plants  (VPPs),  ie  capacity  release:  forced  dominant  firms  to   make  capacity  op5ons  available  for  a  pre-­‐determined  5me  horizon   (Synergen  case)    
  • 23. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (12)      Distrigaz  &  EDF  –  reliable  precedents  but  not  enough     Cases   Distrigaz  2007   EDF  2009   Max  duraCon   5  years   5  years   %  of  sales  to  come  back  on   70%   65%     the  market  every  year  (ie:   annual  VPP)   Contract  Clause     No  des5na5on  clause     No  des5na5on  clause     DuraCon  of  commitments     4  years  for  Distrigaz  under   10  years  for  EDF  under  40%   40%  market  share   of  the  market  share   Monitoring  of  Commitments     Annual  report   Annual  report  &   Independent  Auditor     Others     Effec5ve  right  to  contract   Effec5ve  right  to  contract   with  alterna5ve  supplier   with  alterna5ve  supplier     Commitments  may  be  reopened  if  material  changes  in  the  na6onal  law  or  the  market   context  
  • 24. Market  Structure  Ÿ  Evolution  and  Impact  (13)      Certain  uncertainties     ì  Mul5ple-­‐step  approach  to  analyse  long-­‐term  PPAs  has  emerged   ater  the  2007  SI  but  no  holisCc  approach  dedicated  to  PPAs  yet   ì  Strong  emphasis  on  investment  but  no  robust  methodology  to   ar5culate  short  and  long-­‐term  efficiency  criteria   ì  Balancing  between  an5-­‐compe55ve  effects  and  efficiencies   remains  largely  at  the  discreCon  of  the  COM   ì  Lack  of  predictability  –  ul5mate  effect  detrimental  to  crea5on  of   the  Internal  Energy  Market,  investment  in  new  capaci5es,  and   on  the  prices  to  end-­‐consumers    
  • 25. 3rd  Electricity  Directive     What’s  new  for  PPAs   ì  Substan5ally  increased  powers  of  the  Na5onal  Regulatory  Authori5es  (NRAs):   ì  Issue  binding  decisions  on  electricity  undertakings     ì  Carry  out  inves5ga5ons  into  the  func5oning  of  the  electricity  markets   ì  Decide  and  impose  any  necessary  and  proporConate  measures  to  promote  effecCve   compeCCon  and  ensure  the  proper  funcConing  of  the  market     ì  Cooperate  with  the  na5onal  compe55on  authori5es  and  the  Commission  in   conduc5ng  an  inves5ga5on  rela5ng  to  compe55on  law   ì  Impose  effecCve,  proporConate  and  dissuasive  penalCes  on  the  electricity   undertakings  that  don’t  comply  with  their  obligaCons  under  the  DirecCve  or  with   any  legally  binding  decision  of  the  NRAs  itself  or  of  the  ACER  or  to  propose  that  a   competent  court  imposes  such  penal5es     ì  Create  appropriate  and  efficient  mechanisms  for  regula5on,  control  and  transparency   to  avoid  any  abuse  of  dominant  posi5on,  in  par5cular  to  the  detriment  of  consumers     ì  but  the  NRAs  are  bound  to  respect  the  contractual  freedom  regarding  long-­‐term   contracts  provided  they  are  compaCble  with  EU  law  and  consistent  with  EU   policies  
  • 26. What  is  the  role  of  a  PPA  in  a  liberalised  market  ?   ì  Contract  for  the  sale  of  Energy  and  Availability  from  a  generator  to  a   wholesaler,  retailer  or  directly  to  the  end  consumer     ì  Tradi5onally  a  PPA  recognizes  that  the  valuable  service  provided  by  a  power   plant  is  availability,  not  the  actual  produc5on  of  energy   ì  But  in  a  reliable  wholesale  liberalised  market  it  is  OK  for  the  G  to  be  paid  only   for  the  actual  running  5me  –  G  takes  over  some  of  the  market  risk  as  well   ì  In  today’s  energy  markets  both  the  price  risk  and  the  volume  risk  have   become  freely  nego5able  clauses  –  it  all  boils  down  to  the  specific  features  of   each  market   ì  The  more  func5onal  and  reliable  the  wholesale  market  is  the  less  risks  the   buyer  has  to  take  over  –  buyers  in  liberalised  market  gained  more  bargaining   power  –  the  net  effect  should  be  that  the  end-­‐consumers  will  be  happier  as   the  prices  should  go  down  or  at  least  not  go  higher  than  they  could  have   been  should  the  market  not  have  been  liberalised            
  • 27. Key  Contractual  Issues  (1)   Outline   ì  Contract  Charge  (Pricing)   ì  Dispatching     ì  Volume   ì  Underperformance       ì  Take  of  Pay  (ToP)   ì  Exchange  Rate  (currency  risk)   ì  Opera5on    
  • 28. Key  Contractual  Issues  (2)   Contract  Charge  –  Energy  Charge   ì  Pricing  principle  =  pass  through  costs  legi5mately  incurred  and  pay  the  G  an   appropriate  profit  for  the  service     ì  Energy  charge  –  designed  to  pay  for  variable  costs  (eg:  fuel  price)   ì  Capacity  (or  availability  charge)  –  designed  to  pay  for  the  fixed  costs  of  the  power   plant   ì  Energy  charge  =  €  /  kWh  =  price  paid  per  unit  of  incremental  output       ì  Price  Formula  =  breakdown  based  on  the  costs  of  the  fuel  and  the  efficiency  rate  (ie:   rate  of  conversa5on  of  a  thermal  unit  into  electricity)   ì  VC  =  AE/  TE   ì  VC  =  variable  costs,  ie:  fuel,  other  variable  costs   ì  AE  =  Actual  Efficiency  (expressed  in  kWh)   ì  TE  =  Targeted  Efficiency     ì  Just  a  single  price  per  kWh  –  different  prices  at  different  stages  of  opera5on  (eg:  start-­‐ up  price,  different  levels  of  output  price,  seasonal  price)   ì  Implies  a  certain  efficiency  level   ì  Can  include  a  penalty  element  –  if  the  G  fail  to  generate  as  instructed  by  the   dispatcher  to  encourage  to  keep  the  market  balanced    
  • 29. Key  Contractual  Issues  (3)   Contract  Charge  –  Availability  Charge   ì  Capacity/  Availability  Charge  –  2  main  roles   ì  Provide  extra  revenue  to  the  G  to  cover  the  capital  and  other  fixed  costs  which  are  not  covered  by  the   energy  price  per  kWh   ì  Provide  incen5ves  for  the  G  to  be  available  at  5mes  when  the  system  needs  genera5on  capacity     ì  Availability  is  measured  in  MWh,  ie:  a  MW  of  availability  for  an  hour       ì  Steps  to  nego5ate  availability  payments:   ì  Step  1:  agree  on  a  Target  Level  of  Availability  (T)  in  terms  of  MW  level  and  number  of  hours  per  year,  Ty   =  Target  per  year  and  Th  =  Target  per  hour  in  a  year   ì  Step  2:  Fixed  Annual  Payment  (F)  –  to  be  paid  if  the  G  achieves  the  target  level  of  availability,  but  it   should  cover  the  fixed  costs  for  one  year  +  normal  rate  of  profit     ì  Step  3:  Availability  Bonuses  and  PenalAes  above  or  below  the  target  level  (Ah)  –  meant  to  keep  the  G   under  a  con5nuous  pressure  to  ensure  that  the  capacity  is  maintained  and  available,  but  the  buyer   should  not  pay  more  than  the  capacity  is  worth  to  the  system   ì  How  much  is  the  capacity  of  a  G  worth  to  the  system?  =  the  value  of  the  G’s  output  to  the  system  –   price  paid  for  the  G’s  output  under  the  PPA   ì  The  value  of  the  G’s  output  to  the  system  in  any  hour  =  the  cost  incurred  by  the  whole  system  if  the   generator  decreases  its  output   ì  the  G’s  lack  of  output  will  be  replaced  by  output  from  another  G  –  if  this  output  is  more  expensive  the   value  if  called  System  Marginal  Cost      
  • 30. Key  Contractual  Issues  (4)    Dispatching     ì  Energy  charge  is  a  key  determinant  of  the  paaern  of  dispatching  –  ideally   generators  should  run  in  merit  order,  ie:  only  the  generators  with  the  lowest   variable  costs  should  be  genera5ng  to  meet  demand  =  golden  rule  of  dispatching   in  a  liberalised  market     ì  If  the  energy  price  is  above  the  variable  costs  of  the  power  plant  the    incen5ve  for   efficient  dispatching  is  lost       ì  Naturally  a  G  wants  to  run  at  all  5mes  regardless  of  the  costs  of  the  other   generators  on  the  system  and  even  if  the  power  plant  displaces  other  cheaper   generators     ì  BUT  to  keep  the  prices  for  the  end  consumer  lower  the  dispatcher  (SO/MO)  needs   to  dispatch  according  to  the  merit  order,  ie:  star5ng  with  the  cheapest  capacity   for  any  given  hour  and  going  upwards  5ll  it  meets  the  demand     ì  So  for  efficient  dispatching  the  dispatcher  needs  to  know  the  actual  variable  cost   of  genera5on  –  Energy  Charge  in  a  PPA  needs  to  be  set  as  close  as  possible  to  the   actual  cost  of  the  fuel  burnt  for  genera5ng  1  KWh  +  some  allowance  for  O  &  M  
  • 31. Key  Contractual  Issues  (5)    Volume       ì  Either  all  produc5on  of  a  plant  or  specified  calcula5on  of  volume     ì  BUT  a  minimum  volume  under  a  long-­‐term  PPA  is  established  by  a  provision   guaranteeing     ì  a  minimum  number  of  running  hours  (most  PPAs  link  the  volume  provision  to   availability  rather  than  actual  running  –  but  the  laaer  is  equally  possible),  and   ì  that  number  will  be  paid  for  –  even  if  the  plant  is  called  on  for  a  shorter  5me     ì  Obtaining  a  guarantee  of  availability  from  the  plant  builder  would  insulate  the   G  –  but  in  prac5ce  it  is  unlikely  for  a  full  guarantee  to  be  given  due  to  the   insurance  premium  the  builder  itself  would  have  to  pay   ì  Aaen5on  must  be  paid  for  those  jurisdic5ons  where  full  unbundling  of  the   generator  and  the  dispatcher  has  not  been  done  yet   ì  Why?  In  5mes  of  low  demand  the  dispatcher  is  faced  with  the  choice   between  running  the  output  of  the  G  and  switching  off  his  own  plant        
  • 32. Key  Contractual  Issues  (6)   Underperformance   ì  Technically  each  power  plant  is  built  to  provide  a  certain  capacity,  but   if  it  is  not  able  to  produce  that  capacity  the  PPA  will  have  to  deal  with   the  alloca5on  of  underperformance     ì  if  Volume  clause  says  “all  output”  the  buyer  is  taking  the  full  risk  of   underperformance   ì  in  reality  the  buyer  is  unlikely  to  take  100%  of  the  risk  under  all   circumstances,  especially  not  all  technical  failure  risks:  the  plant  is   unavailable  because  the  turbine  does  not  work  –  the  buyer  will  want   some  degree  of  recourse  to  the  manufacturer     ì  if  there  is  a  cap  on  the  liability  of  the  manufacturer  –  since  the  buyer  is   not  a  party  to  that  contract  and  if  it  agrees  to  take  over  100%  of  the   underperformance  risk-­‐  seller  should  expect  a  lower  rate  of  profit   under  the  Fixed  Annual  Payment    
  • 33. Key  Contractual  Issues  (7)   ToP   ì  the  buyer  agrees  to  purchase  over  specified  period  a  minimum  volume   of  the  output  at  an  agreed  price,  and  it  is  expected  to  pay  for  it   regardless  of  taking  it  or  not  (but  usually  only  if  the  G  had  available   capacity  to  deliver  and  was  willing  to  do  so)   ì  Typically  a  100%  ToP  is  jus5fiable  only  when  there  is  no  wholesale   market  (spot  or  OTC)  where  the  G  can  sell  the  excess  not  taken  by  the   buyer  –  hence  such  a  clause  would  not  be  commercially  arguable  in   preay  much  any  of  the  MSs   ì  Careful  with  the  enforceability  of  the  ToP  –  in  those  jurisdicitons   where  adequate  considera5on  is  an  essen5al  contractual  element  (if   the  PPA  is  under  English  law  –  no  prob:  basic  principle  of  common  law   the  courts  are  not  concerned  with  the  adequacy  of  considera5on,  it  is   totally  acceptable  that  the  par5es  are  “smart”  enough  to  enter  into  a   “bad  bargain”)        
  • 34. Key  Contractual  Issues  (8)   ToP  –  Flexibility  Mechanisms     ì  2  essen5al  flexibility  mechanisms:  allow  for  a  Buyer’s  ToP  obliga5on  to  be   averaged  over  the  life  of  the  PPA   ì  Make-­‐Up     ì  Carry  forward     ì  Make-­‐up:     ì  once  a  buyer  has  made  a  payment  in  one  year  (and  taken  less)  the  volumes   will  go  into  a  “Make-­‐up  bank”   ì  If  in  the  next  year  the  Buyer  has  taken  the  amount  of  that  year  before  the   year  end  he  can  then  start  to  take  for  free  if  he  needs  to  up  to  the  amount  of   the  outstanding  “Make-­‐up  bank”   ì  Carry-­‐forward:   ì  if  the  buyer  takes  more  than  the  ToP  amount  in  one  year  –  receives  a  credit   for  the  overtake     ì  If  he  then  takes  less  in  another  year  this  is  set-­‐off  against  the  “Carry  Forward   Balance”  from  the  previous  year      
  • 35. Key  Contractual  Issues  (9)   Exchange  Rate  Risk     ì  This  exists  in  almost  all  new  built  power  plants  projects  outside  the  Eurozone     ì  Depending  on  the  par5es  the  project  costs  are  in  one  or  more  currencies   whilst  the  revenues  of  the  plant  is  in  the  local  currency     ì  Problem  is  the  issue  can  appear  over  5me,  ie:  3-­‐5  years  along  the  line     ì  Role  of  the  PPA  is  to  make  sure  the  generator  receives  the  same  value  of   considera5on  irrespec5ve  of  movements  in  the  exchange  rate     ì  Achieved  by  compelling  the  buyer  to  pay  in  the  same  currency  as  the  costs     ì  Another  problem:  if  the  local  currency  deteriorates  the  price  of  power  under   the  PPA  rises  –  making  alterna5ve  local  sources  more  aarac5ve  for  the  buyer     ì  In  prac5ce  this  risk  is  shared  between  the  seller  and  the  buyer  (if  the  buyer  is   not  a  state  owned  company  –  that  can  afford  to  produce  a  Gov  guarantee  –   and  here  we  aface  State  aid  rules)    
  • 36. Key  Contractual  Issues  (10)   Operation     ì  To  keep  the  lights  on  PPAs  have  to  fit  within  the  market   architecture  and  the  Grid  Code  arrangements  of  the  market  they   operate  in   ì  The  G  needs  to  know  when  to  switch  on  and  off  the  plant   ì  The  MO  /  TSO  needs  to  know  in  advance  what  the  available   capacity  will  be   ì  Reserve  capacity  needs  to  be  considered  for  transmission  and   distribu5on  constrains       ì  Conclusion:  across  MSs  market  designs  and  Grid  Codes  are   different  –  be  comfortable  that  the  par5es  and  the  advisors   understand  them  before  nego5a5ng  a  PPA  
  • 37. Qs  Time!   ì  Many  Thanks!