Poker Odds and Probabilities<br /> in Online Casino Poker
1. Poker Odds and Probabilities
in Online Casino Poker
Poker is a game of chance. The success of famous players is not simply due to luck. It is
crucial to know when and how to respond to the course of a game and how to juggle with the
probabilities of poker to be a winner in the long run. The main concept refers to the chances
in relation to the possible cases.
How to calculate your chances
Outs
In poker, "outs" refer to the cards that save you after the cards are dealt and you realize that
you are missing a map (in color or number). The gain does not depend on a single card. The
winning cards are your outs. For example, you have 5 and 6 of spades and your opponent
has 7 and 10 of hearts. The flop is 8, 9, 10 (9 and 10 of spades). At this point, you are beaten
by your opponent (he has a pair of tens). But you know that you will be victorious if you have
a color on the turn or river. Therefore, your outs are A, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, J, Q and K of spades.
Your outs are formed by these nine cards of the same color, plus three other cads that can
complete your straight. So you have a total of 12 "outs" or enhancement cards.
Odds
The odds are also called "scores" in poker. A rating is often denoted x: y (read "x" against
"y"). Fractional, "x" represents the gain and "y" represents the loss. In Europe, it is the other
way around ("x" stands for loss and "y" for gains).
There is a relationship between the probability (often expressed in %) and the cost. Consider
the simple example of dice. You have 1 chance in 6 to get a 3 (6 being the number of
possible cases). This means that your probability is 1/6 = 0.17 (17%) in Europe. This value is
usually set at 5: 1 (you can lose 5 times out of the 6 possible outcomes).
Calculate your odds
The odds should be calculated in all poker games, whether online or offline. Follow the
example of the outs. There are 13 cards of one color in poker, so there are 52 cards in total.
You have 2 cards in hand (5 and 6 of spades). The flop is 8, 9, 10 (9 and 10 of spades). So
you expect to win 12 cards. The probability of improving the hand is 12/47 = 0.25 = 25%. You
have about one chance in four (you win once in four rounds). The probability is higher for one
card. Suppose you have two cards and you are aiming at achieving a color and winning the
pot. You have 2 cards in hand (5 and 6 of spades). The flop is 8, 9, 10 (with nine of spades).
Your outs are A, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 10, J, Q, K (10 cards). There are 47 cards in total (= 52 cards -
your two cards of the flop -3). The probability represents the chance that your gain (that is to
2. say you have two cards of spades) is 10/47 x 9/46 = 0.04 or 4%. Note that the first draw
includes 10 picks out of 47 cards and the next draw contains 9 spades (assuming the first
attempt is successful) out of 46 remaining cards.
Pot odds
Pot odds represent the amount of the pot compared to the amount you must bet to complete
your hand. In practice, it is the ratio between the amount you invest and the amount already
in the pot. For example, if the amount in the pot is 60 EUR and you bet 10 EUR, the pot odds
are 70:10.
You need to pay 10 EUR to continue the game and try to win 70 EUR (60 EUR + 10 EUR the
bet of the player before you).
Implied odds
Implied odds represent the amount you could win compared to the amount you need to pay
to continue the game, provided that your hand is complete. You can watch the opponent’s
play style and then predict what he will do.
You can then include your investment in your calculations (you think or are sure that he will
pay). For example, you can put 10, 60, 40 EUR in the pot and he will pay. The implied odds
are 10 to 110 (or 1:11). You pay 10 EUR and try to win 110 EUR (= 10 EUR + 60 EUR the
opponent's pot + 40 EUR). Raising by less than 1: 11 would be advantageous if the implied
odds are accurate.
Test Your Opponent
You need to understand why players are aggressive when they have certain hands and why
they are more passive when they have other hands. When do poker players dare to raise
and re-raise? When do they fold? But the most important thing is that you learn how to figure
out what hands your opponents have and how you should play to address their various
behaviors.
Various attitudes
3. Aggressiveness
You need to be aggressive in order to discern the attitudes and behavior of your opponents
and to understand how they play. Aggressiveness is very effective solution. You should bet
more and restart as many times as your hand permits. The other players will be forced to
react. This will help you guess how strong their hands and character are.
Passiveness
A passive player almost never raises. He follows the raiser satisfied, he does not hesitate to
lie, but he only raises very rarely and acts even less when it comes to re-raising. It is easy to
identify a passive player, but you still have to be careful because it is difficult to know what
kind of hand he has based on his actions. He is a very dangerous player when he has a
strong hand.
Players who play everything
These players think that all games must be played regardless of their hands. They even bet if
they have bad hands. At the same time, there is no guarantee that they will win if they have
strong hands. Generally, the behavior of novices or those who just want to have fun is not
studied. But you should stay alert because they can get good cards at any time and take you
by surprise. Opportunity makes this type of player extremely dangerous.
The tight player
This player is not necessarily great. He often bets when he does not have too strong hands.
You must be wary because he is a great player who does not attack without being sure that
he has the weapons he needs to win, especially since he has time to observe your gameplay
when he is not involved in the game.
Reactions of players when you attack
4. Remember that in poker the purpose of any attack is to provoke a reaction from the opponent
so that you can guess what hand he has.
Folding
There is nothing to report: your opponent does not have a strong enough hand (this reaction
is very common). Or he may be testing you. The latter option would be rather risky for you
because you are focused on the game, he is focused on you and you will make mistakes.
Followers
In poker, it is very important not to jump to conclusions. You can keep a weak hand in the
game hoping to get a good combination after the flop. A strong hand can mislead you and
determine you to bet more. It is best to study your opponent’s position or wait a second
before deciding anything.
Raising and re-raising
Usually, there is at least one opponent who has a strong hand and is testing you. You are
faced with two alternatives. The first one is to surrender, which means that you leave the
game because you think your opponent has a stronger hand than yours. You will see if you
were right or if he was bluffing at the end of the game. The second alternative is to play his
game and re-raise to test his hand. The tension is quite elevated in this case. You need to
control your emotions and stay focused. Otherwise, the players who are out of the game may
take the opportunity to write down your weaknesses. But whatever the attitudes of your
opponents, you should watch the way they play and their reactions to your attacks. You need
to analyze each player objectively and subjectively before making any decision.
Adapt to the Opponent's Game
5. It is very important to remember that poker is a strategy game in which psychology plays a
very important role. Understanding the table and the other players increases your chances of
winning. Therefore, you need to know how to adapt your game according to the positions
taken by the other players. This way, you will limit your losses and maximize your winnings.
Adapt your game to the table
The characteristics of the tight table
The style of the table is revealed from the first rounds of play. If the players are cautious, you
are sitting at a tight table. This means that the players at this table play tight, so logical
thinking and concentration are at their peak here. The hands are studied extensively, so the
last turns, that is to say, the flops are very often disputed.
The game strategy to adopt
The general principle of poker is that it is played on a large table. The bets made at this table
are usually small, so the jackpot is difficult to increase. So do not expect to win a lot of money
at this type of table. The gains will peck slowly, so patience is required.
Maximum concentration is also required at this table because your opponents are always on
guard. Your opponents do not always come forth and a lot of players at the table start lying
after the first set. However, they often show good and very good hands when they come
forward and continue to raise, so you should not get all confident and bluff because tight
players are often very strong and believe in their cards and gameplay. In short, you will not
deal with bluffers.
Accommodation at a large table
Recognize a large table
Unlike at tight tables, the atmosphere around large tables is very animated. Actually you
have everything you need at these tables. The bets are connected, sometimes without any
real sense, as players bet and re-raise. The pot on the table is often a result of this.
Game strategies at a large table
You must play tight no matter what the scenario at a large table is. Just bet, let the pot grow
and raise when your hand is strong. The advantage of a large table is that the pot builds up
very quickly. Many players bluff when they play at large tables, so you need to follow the
course of the game to identify a certain pattern.
Many players reveal their cards when the flop is revealed. Large tables provide additional
6. information on the hands of other players and thus on their gameplay.
Adapting to the players
You should always look for clues that reveal the temperament and personality of the other
players at the table. Every detail can change the game and help you make the right
decisions. You need to check out how strong a player is, how he deals with stress, especially
if you are playing at a tight table where the duels are more tensioned. This will allow you to
assess whether your bluffs will work or not and if you are taking too many risks.
In poker, it is wrong to think that winning a game is all about having the best hand of all
players. The best solution at a poker table is to eliminate all the other players just before the
flop and grab the pot without having to reveal your cards.
You do not have to adapt only to the gameplay of your opponents, but also to their stack. A
player will tend not to venture when his hand is average if his stack is low, so take advantage
of his bluffs and win the money. Those who still have a huge stack are less cautious and take
more risks (they buy the right to see your cards even though they know that their hand is
lower).
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