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The Next 25 Years
The Future of
Online Learning
▪ Futurist
▪ Strategy advisor
▪ Author
@rossdawson
Humans and machines
Who can we become?
"He not busy being born
is busy dying“
Bob Dylan
Finite players play within boundaries
Infinite players play with boundaries
- James Carse
Acceleration
Leadership
Work
Transformation
Structure
Evolution
Learning
Interfaces
Acceleration
Consistent exponential growth
Ideas connecting and procreating
Arxiv monthly submissions
Data explosion
Beating humans
Machines teach themselves
Source: Electronic Frontier Foundation
Always getting better
A voracious appetite for data
Source: EasySolutions
Interfaces
Reality or virtual reality?
Beyond human perception
Interacting remotely
The next interface beyond smartphones
Data on our eyes
Source: Grau et al/ PLOS
Brain-to-brain communication
Structure
Brain Internet
Applications
Organisations Industries
Proteins Actors
Society
PoliticsContagion
Networks everywhere
“Ranked by market value, 60 of the
world’s 100 largest corporations
earn at least half of their revenue
from platform markets”
- Prof. Thomas Eisenmann, Harvard Business School
enable
value-creating interactions
between
external
producers and consumers,
based on an
open infrastructure
and
governance structures
Adapted from: Platform Revolution, Parker, van Alstyne and Choudhary
Platforms
The many layers of platforms
Technology standards
City-as-Platform
Company-as-Platform
Platform business models
Social platforms
Technology platforms
Learning-as-Platform
Government-as-Platform
Value is created across ecosystems
The conditions for emergent value
Work
Continuous job destruction and creation
Work can be done anywhere
Automating manual tasks
Expertise
Creativity
Image: ^rika^
Relationships
Source: Ross Dawson, Commonwealth Bank Jobs and Skills of the Future Report
Capabilities and skills for the future
Evolution
Distraction and fragmented attention
Neuroplasticity and the evolution of our minds
Awareness practices
Cognitive offloading
Supporting higher-order human capabilities
Interface
Model
quality
Transparency
Data
quality
Assessment
Decision
factors
ConfidenceFormat
Visual
presentation
Human
Ethics
Synthesis Sense-making Judgment
Context Insight
AI
Defined decisions Optimization
Personalization
Conversational interfaces
Assessment
Tapping our human potential
Conscious evolution
Learning
Education pays
Source: D.H. Autor, Science
Knowledge and information
Image: Guido Heltko
Cognitive diversity
For the unique individual
Workflow learning
Connected learning
Peer learning
Scalable collaborative learning
Transformation
Framing the future
Source: Imperial College London, What’s Next
Taking calculated risks
Culture of experimentation
Source: UBI Global
Structures for innovation
Roadmaps and consistent communication
Source: Malaysia Ministry of Education
Leadership
The only way
you can control your destiny
is to be more flexible
than your environment
- The Law of Requisite Variety
Connecting the global brain
Vision What world do we want to create? What might be
possible?
Foundations What institutions, business models, platforms and
systems will enable this vision? What is missing now?
Roadblocks What is blocking the potential? How can we take
away or bypass these blocks?
Paths What possible paths forward could allow us to reach our
vision? What is most feasible? What are milestones?
Collaboration What collaboration is needed between who? How
can we foster and enable that collaboration?
Action What action today can be taken? What action can you
take to enable the potential of the vision?
Creating the future together
“It is not in the stars to hold our destiny
but in ourselves”
William Shakespeare
Acceleration
Leadership
Work
Transformation
Structure
Evolution
Learning
Interfaces
Keynote slides: The Future of Learning

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