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Farming & Food Systems for a  carbon, water, energy and nutrient constrained world CCRSPI Conference, MCG 17.2.11 Andrew Campbell   Research Institute for Environment & Livelihoods Charles Darwin University
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Energy ,[object Object],[object Object],“ we have to leave oil before oil leaves us, and we have to prepare ourselves for that day”   Dr Fatih Birol, Chief Economist IEA,  3 August 2009 “ The challenge of feeding 7 or 8 billion people while oil supplies are falling is stupefying. It’ll be even greater if governments keep pretending that it isn’t going to happen.”  George Monbiot, The Guardian 16.11.09 IEA World Energy Outlook 2010 acknowledges peak oil “imminent”
Water ,[object Object],[object Object]
Water, energy, and GDP from Proust, Dovers, Foran, Newell, Steffen & Troy (2007)  Energy  & GDP Water   & GDP Water and energy have historically been closely coupled with GDP in Australia Our challenge now is to radically reduce the energy, carbon and water-intensity of our economy
Climate-energy-water feedbacks from Proust, Dovers, Foran, Newell, Steffen & Troy (LWA 2007)  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Profound technical challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2.  Big picture reflections ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],http://www.dpmc.gov.au/media/speech_2009_07_15.cfm
Reflections (2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.  Farming and food systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
We need a third agricultural revolution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Murrumbidgee Irrigation  - a current case ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Coliban Water Greenhouse Gas Emissions ,[object Object],[object Object]
Coliban Water emissions per Megalitre ,[object Object],[object Object]
Woody biomass energy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CRC Future Farm Industries energy trees ,[object Object],[object Object]
“ Carbon plus” wool, beef and sheep meat
Transition to carbon-neutral,  energy-positive, water-smart rural landscapes
Forestry integrated with farming  vs replacing farming
Forestry integrated with farming  vs replacing farming
The integration imperative ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Putting   landscapes back together ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
and a complementary food policy overhaul  ,[object Object],http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
A food policy agenda (2) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
A food policy agenda (3) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
A food policy agenda (4) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
A food policy agenda (5) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
4.  KNOWLEDGE ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Types of Response ,[object Object],[object Object],Source:  FFI CRC EverCrop
What sorts of knowledge do we need? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What sorts of knowledge do we need (2)? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How might we acquire that knowledge? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Leadership ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*  André Gide, 1925  Les Faux-Monnayeurs (The Counterfeiters) ”
Take home messages ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For more info e.g.  Paddock to Plate Policy Propositions for Sustainable Food Systems Powerful Choices  (with Barney Foran) A Climate Change Primer for Regional NRM Managing Australian Soils  www.triplehelix.com.au

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Food & farming systems ccrspi 17.2.11

  • 1. Farming & Food Systems for a carbon, water, energy and nutrient constrained world CCRSPI Conference, MCG 17.2.11 Andrew Campbell Research Institute for Environment & Livelihoods Charles Darwin University
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Water, energy, and GDP from Proust, Dovers, Foran, Newell, Steffen & Troy (2007) Energy & GDP Water & GDP Water and energy have historically been closely coupled with GDP in Australia Our challenge now is to radically reduce the energy, carbon and water-intensity of our economy
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. “ Carbon plus” wool, beef and sheep meat
  • 20.
  • 21. Transition to carbon-neutral, energy-positive, water-smart rural landscapes
  • 22. Forestry integrated with farming vs replacing farming
  • 23. Forestry integrated with farming vs replacing farming
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. A food policy agenda (2) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
  • 28. A food policy agenda (3) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
  • 29. A food policy agenda (4) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
  • 30. A food policy agenda (5) http://www.acfonline.org.au/articles/news.asp?news_id=2401
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. For more info e.g. Paddock to Plate Policy Propositions for Sustainable Food Systems Powerful Choices (with Barney Foran) A Climate Change Primer for Regional NRM Managing Australian Soils www.triplehelix.com.au

Editor's Notes

  1. Climate, Water and Energy are converging as ‘issues’ of public policy concern.  Moreover, they overlap with many other issues including food, human health, carbon, soil, planning, infrastructure, emergency management, national security and so on.  Yet our standard response at a policy level is to deal with such issues separately.  We default to disaggregate and delineate ‘turf’, rather than to focus on the intersections, interactions, interfaces and interstices between them, where more fruitful insights and pathways might be found.  Terry Moran, in a lecture to the IPAA last year, noted that “... The APS still generates too much policy within single departments and agencies to address challenges that span a range of departments and agencies…  We are not good at recruiting creative thinkers. ”  A similar observation could be made about the way we fund and manage research.   This presentation will explore the types of knowledge required to help us to capture the great opportunities that this convergence conveys, and how we might go about acquiring and sharing such knowledge.  It will do so using contemporary case studies at a regional level.  For organisations like water utilities and irrigation companies, the climate-water-energy nexus is not an abstract concept, but an everyday reality that has huge implications for business viability, right now.
  2. The world needs to double food production over the next forty years, using less land and water, and paying much higher real prices for energy and nutrients. At the same time, we have to deal with climate change — the biggest market failure of all time — by undertaking radical economic reform in decoupling carbon emissions from economic growth. Australia is one of the countries most affected by climate change, Victoria is one of the most affected parts of Australia, and agriculture is among the most affected sectors of the economy. There will be intense pressures to change Victorian farming systems: to cope with a warming, drying, less reliable climate; to respond to greenhouse policy changes; to meet market demands and community expectations; and to adapt to demographic change. There is a grave risk that rural landscapes will be caught in a dreadful squeeze between a drying climate, and stressed farming systems and rural communities undergoing rapid reform. The habitat fragmentation, the death of paddock trees, the loss of wetlands and the consequent pressures on wildlife that we have seen in recent decades are likely to accelerate, desolating rural landscapes. Unless � Unless we find much more effective ways of reconnecting native vegetation across rural landscapes, and of securing water to maintain ecological function. This means finding ways of working landscape restoration into and around farming systems, and making it pay for people to do so. This presentation will explore the likely drivers of change in Victorian rural landscapes over coming decades and the most prospective options for large scale and rapid landscape restoration and buffering. The future is not some place we are going to, but one we are creating. Paths to it are made, not found.