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Principal Solar Institute
                          You Be the Judge:
          A Ratings Tool for Selecting the Best PV Module




 Matthew Thompson, Ph.D.          Kenneth Allen                    Steve Hegedus, Ph.D.
      Executive Director       Chief Operating Officer          Institute of Energy Conversion
   Principal Solar Institute     Principal Solar, Inc.              University of Delaware




                                       Hosted by
                                       Rick Borry, Ph.D.
                                       Chief Scientist, Principal Solar Institute
PV Module Rating System
               Matthew A. Thompson Ph.D.
               December 18, 2012
Why Principal Solar Created a
PV Module Rating

  Principal Solar, Inc. needed a simple, comprehensive
   metric to use in their due diligence process.
     – Lifetime Energy Production is only one item in a long
       checklist for potential acquisitions.
     – It is essential for a utility operator to understand Lifetime
       Energy Production.
  Any purchaser of PV modules can use the PSI PV
   Module Rating in their own comparative cost-benefit
   analysis.
History of the Approach

  Lifetime Energy
   Production
    – The quantity of energy a
      PV module is expected to
      produce in 25 years.
    – A calculated quantity
      based on PV module
      characteristics, and a
      model of irradiance and
      temperatures.
The Seven Characteristics

   Available to the public through organizations such as the
    California Electric Commission, and datasheets provided by PV
    module manufacturers.
   Seven characteristics of PV modules that affect energy
    production:
     –   Actual Maximum Power vs. Advertised: “Actual” is Vmp x Imp, STC
     –   Negative Power Tolerance: Actual maximum power is reduced
     –   Nominal Operating Cell Temperature: NOCT
     –   Temperature Coefficient at Maximum Power: Gamma
     –   Power at Low to High Irradiance Ratio: Low power is 200 W/m2 incident
     –   Total Area Efficiency: Energy produced divided by module area
     –   Annual Power Reduction: Manufacturer’s 25 year power warranty
Modeling the LEP

   PV module characteristics that affect energy production
    depend on Irradiance and Temperature.
   The Phase 1 model samples representative ranges of values
    for these conditions.
PSI PV Module Rating is Comparative


  The impact on energy of each PV module
   characteristic is calculated hourly through the model
   of irradiance and temperature over a 25 year period.
   The result is divided by the energy that would be
   produced by an ideal PV module to determine the
   PSI PV Module Rating:
       PSI Rating = Calculated Module LEP / Calculated Ideal Module LEP

  The Rating is a comprehensive metric for comparing
   the energy performance of PV modules.
Phase 2 Model

   Models under development will include regional insolation
   levels and historical temperature data. This enhancement
   will show in a comparative way how PV modules’
   performance is affected by region.
The Comprehensive PSI Rating

  The PSI Rating is most useful as a side-by-side
   comparison of energy production performance.
   The PSI Rating does not include:
     –   Manufacturer financial strength
     –   Pricing
     –   Delivery
     –   Reliability
     –   System components
     –   Regional differences (until Phase 2)
Ranking and Rating PV Modules


  The Principal Solar Institute Rating webpages
  provide:
   –   Two classifications: Crystalline and Thin Film
   –   Rank within classification
   –   PV Module Rating, a comparative number based on LEP
   –   Percentile Rank: across 10,000 modules, both
       classifications
Conclusion

 The PSI PV Module Rating is a comparative score
  based on Lifetime Energy Production.
 PSI does not currently test PV modules, but uses
  publicly available test data.
 Developing a model with regional conditions.
 Working to develop interactions with University,
  Industry and Government.
 We welcome feedback and suggestions.
Application of the
PSI PV Module Rating
                Kenneth G. Allen, COO
                Principal Solar Incorporated
                December 18, 2012
Direct Comparison
           Nameplate rating of PV modules does not provide the
           detail needed to differentiate Lifetime Energy Production.


            Model                Type           Power (W)      PSI Rating

  “A”       …275            Poly-crystalline        275             8.6

  “B”      …275P…           Poly-crystalline        275             7.8


  Lifetime Energy Production from “A” is (8.6/7.8) = 110% of “B”
  A 10% difference is a substantial difference to a utility operator
Energy Cost Comparison – Small Project
                   Assume you have a list of available PV modules. Go
                   to the PSI Ratings website and pick the highest rated
                   one, then make a comparison to others of interest.


      Model            Type          Power      PSI        Cost       # PV      2kW
                                      (W)      Rating     ($/W)                Cost ($)
“A”   …250p…      Poly-crystalline     250       8.7        1.0        8        2000

“B”   …P200A…    Mono-crystalline      200       6.9        0.9        10       1800


       Lifetime Energy Production of “A” is (8.7/6.9) = 126% of “B”
       Lifetime Energy Cost of “B” is (8.7/6.9)x( $1800/$2000) = 113% of “A”
       In this case lower upfront cost, but higher cost of energy produced
Conclusion
The PSI PV Module Rating:
  – is a comprehensive, comparative metric based on
    Lifetime Energy Production
  – is a performance metric, unlike the nameplate
    wattage rating
  – allows for a quantified cost-benefit analysis
kWhr/kW Performance: Comparison of Reported
Field Data from Different PV Module Technologies
                                Steve Hegedus
                                Institute of Energy Conversion
                                University of Delaware
                                December 18, 2012
Outline
Introduction to IEC
Why kWhr/kWSTC as a metric?
Scope of literature review
Critical issues in determining kWhr and kWSTC
Interpretation: measurement variability, TCE, LLE
Summary




                           17
Institute of Energy Conversion at U of Delaware

 Founded in 1972 to perform thin-film PV research
 World’s oldest continuously operating
  solar research facility
 First 10% efficient thin film solar cell (1980)                  6 chamber
 Dept of Energy University Center of Excellence                   PECVD
  for Photovoltaic Research and Education (1992)
 Soft funded - government and industry contracts                  First flexible
 Over 20 deposition systems, complete integrated PV R&D           10% cell
  lab: film growth, device fab, characterization
 2012 staff: 15 professional/tech, 5 post doc,
  >14 grad students (4 depts)
 Fundamental science, engineering, tech transfer
  and workforce supply                           4x4” monolithic
                                                  interconnected
                                                 CIGS minimodule
                                          18
IEC Technology Thrust Areas

 Thin film polycrystalline CuInGaSe2-based (CIGS) solar cells
    Wide bandgap alloys (Ag, S), flexible R2R vs glass, high temp substrates

 Thin film polycrystalline CdTe solar cells
    Higher temperature substrate + TCO

 Silicon-based solar cells
    Front and back heterojunction (a-Si/c-Si): first SHJ-IBC cell
    Thin film tandem a-Si and nc-Si at higher growth rate

 Reliability and stability; D-H under light and voltage bias
 Characterization: in-line monitoring, device imaging/mapping
                                       19
I. Why kWhr/kWSTC as a metric?
kWhr: energy produced over time (1 vs 20 yr)
   Directly related to how much $ someone will be paid (PPA,
    contract) or will save (offset electric bill)
   Includes effects of varying weather, degradation, shading,
    dust, seasonal annealing
kWSTC : power produced by module at STC
   Directly relates to how much someone paid for modules
    typically $/WSTC based on initial power rating
   Standard Test Conditions (STC: 1 kW/m2, 25°C module,
    AM1.5 spectra) may occur a few minutes a year
   Largest source of uncertainty has been initial kWSTC
                              20
II. Why kWhr/kWSTC as a metric?

kWhr/kWSTC units of ‘hours’: equivalent to # hours the
 array produced STC rated power
Must be specified over specific time (typ. 1 year)
Sometimes called final yield YF
kWhr can be DC or AC (after inverter)
Typical kWhr values: assume 5 hrs equivalent ‘1 sun’
 irradiance per day, 20% system and module losses
         kWhr= (5 hrs ‘1 sun’ per day) x 365 day/year x 0.8
            = 1460 kWhrs/year

                                  21
Scope of Literature Survey
 Widely reported for >20 years that thin film (TF) PV modules
  have higher kWhr/kW performance compared to c-Si modules
 Consistent with some well-established fundamental
  differences but magnitude of advantage often too large
    Most obvious difference is that TF devices have smaller negative
     temperature coefficient of efficiency (TCE); i.e. lower loss in efficiency
     at higher module temperature
 Many different TF materials, processes and device structures
 Recently new c-Si device architectures
    Higher efficiency (>20%) and lower TCE
 Asked to write a review of published performance data
  comparing TF and c-Si module field data for new Wiley WIRE
  Energy and Environmental (abstract at end)
                                        22
Typical data from 2 widely referenced studies
from 1990’s: 3 European cities, 4 technologies

                                      I grouped all different
                                       modules by technology
                                      Mallorca: sunniest, hottest
                                      Lugano: moderate
                                      Oxford: cloudiest, coolest
                                      Mono and multi Si similar
                                      TF a-Si and CIGS similar
                                      TF a-Si and CIGS higher by
                                       16-20% all 3 locations!!!

       From: Hegedus, Review of photovoltaic module energy yield (kWh/kW):
      comparison of crystalline Si and thin film technologies,
                                    23
      Wiley WIREs Energy Environ 2012. doi: 10.1002/wene.61
Select sources of field data comparing module
technologies – not complete!
 2007-2010 study by Univ Cyprus (Nicosia) and Univ Stuttgart: compared 13
  module technologies in both locations (Makrides, Georghiou, Zinsser,
  Schubert)
     Detailed reports of YF, degradation, detectors, tracking, STC rating issues
 Consultant Steve Ransome Consulting Ltd (SRCL, UK)
     Wide range of EU and US data, variability, uncertainty, predictive models
 Two Japanese studies of different PV technologies
     Ito et al: Hokuto City: 20 systems of 10-100 kW
     Ueda et al: Ota City: 553 residential rooftop systems
 Arizona Public Service and Tucson Electric Power (c-Si only)
     Moore, Post et al: detailed YF, O+M costs, fixed vs 1 axis vs 2 axis tracking, 2 kW to 3.5 MW
 PV Trade Mag Photon International (Aachen DE)
     130 modules on test, 97% are c-Si, very small difference in YF :~5-7%



                                                24
Examples of kWhr/kW data from different
studies: Japan and Cyprus
YF for 20 arrays of 10-30 kW in Hokuto      YF for 11 arrays of ∼1 kW in Nicosia,
Japan monitored from 2008-2009*.            Cyprus over 2007–2009**




                Hegedus WIRE review. Data from
                *Ito et al, Prog in Photovoltaics 19 (2011) 878-886.
                                           25
                **Makrides et al, Prog in Photovoltaics 20 (2011)
I. Meteorological conditions are coupled:
complicated trade-off on module output

What happens when clouds/humidity reduce incident
 solar irradiance on the module?
    1st order effect: ~ linear decrease in output (-)
    Less light: lower module T, less T-related loss (+)
    Less light: less current, less I2R power loss in module (+)
    More scattered light: collection of indirect light (±)
    More scattered light: spectra shifts to blue, advantage for
     cells with high bandgap, high blue response (±)
    Changes with low light intensity grouped together as
     Low Light Efficiency (LLE) =Eff (200 W/m2) / Eff (1000 W/m2)
                                 26
II. Meteorological conditions are coupled:
trade-off between LLE and TCE

 Model output with real weather
  data for hot sunny and cool cloudy
  locations*
 Compare typical values of LLE and
  TCE for TF and c-Si PV
 Graph: 5-6% gain in kWhr/kW
  performance for TF over c-Si
 Trade-off between LLE, TCE

    Technology TCE          LLE
    c-Si         -0.45%/°C 0.95
    TF           -0.25%/°C 1.05
                       *From Hegedus WIRE review, data taken from
                                      27
                       Ransome et al Proc 37th IEEE PVSC Seattle 2011
Uncertainty in kWSTC and irradiance

kWSTC                       Irradiance
   Manu. rated power can          Pyranometers ±2% with
    range ±10% or 0/+3%             annual calibration
   Flash test individual          Compare results from 2
    module can be ±2% for           locations same detector:
    c-Si, ±3% for TF                ±4%
   Stabilization and pre-         Differences in dust
    biasing (IEC standard)          accumulation, T, shading
   Short vs long term             Si detector more sensitive
    degradation                     to spectrum, T but cheaper


                             28
Effect of ± manufacturers rating on tolerances:
results from Nicosia and Stuttgart, different module
technologies




                          * Zinnser et al Proc 35th IEEE PVSC 2010
                             29
Effect of uncertainty in
determining initial kWSTC
 Three methods of
  measuring initial kWSTC
     Manu. rating, flash test, and
      field rating (over 1 yr)
 Data for Stuttgart below for
  range of kWhr/kW
 Cannot distinguish using
  manu rating!
range         Manu.     Flash   Field
kWhr/kW       18%       12%     9%
uncertainty   ±4-18       ±4-    ±4
                          8%
Zinnser et al Proc 35th IEEE PVSC 2010

                                         30
Summary

 Comparison of field data complicated by uncertainty in
  module kWSTC rating and irradiance
 Experts estimate ±5% is best uncertainty we can achieve at
  present (same location)
    Comparing data from different locations has much larger uncertainty
     due to detector, calibration, module rating procedures, weather
 Response to meteorological conditions complicated
    Depends on module technology and location
    TCE and LLE 2nd order, weaker compared to linear dependence on
     irradiance, most important in hotter climates
    But responsible for ~3-6% advantage for CdTe, advanced Si (HIT, IBC)


                                     31
Questions and Discussion

 Please enter your questions in the chat window.




 Matthew Thompson, Ph.D.          Kenneth Allen                    Steve Hegedus, Ph.D.
      Executive Director       Chief Operating Officer          Institute of Energy Conversion
   Principal Solar Institute     Principal Solar, Inc.              University of Delaware




                                       Hosted by
                                       Rick Borry, Ph.D.
                                       Chief Scientist, Principal Solar Institute
kWhr/kW Performance: Comparison of Reported
Field Data from Different PV Module Technologies
          APPENDIX – EXTRA SLIDES
                       33
Power rating uncertainties

Quoted from paper by Zinsser* (Univ Stuttgart) titled “Rating of Annual
Energy Yield More Sensitive to Reference STC Power than Module
Technology”

“If we assume an error of ±3% in STC power measurement (calibration)
and ±2% for the energy determination (detector), there could be a
difference of 10% between the annual yield of two PV systems at the
same location. . . . For thin film technologies, the error is even bigger due
to nominal power variations. The worst case would be comparing two
thin film technologies on the basis of rated power at different locations.
The tolerance of (±10%) plus flasher measurement error (±6%) plus
energy measurement error (±2%) plus irradiance measurement error
(±2%) sum up to a possible total difference of 40%.”


                                    * Zinnser et al Proc 35th IEEE PVSC 2010
                                       34
Abstract of Hegedus review paper “Review of photovoltaic
module energy yield (kWh/kW): comparison of crystalline Si and
thin film technologies” Wiley WIREs Energy Environ 2012. doi:
10.1002/wene.61




                               35
Brief comparison of PV module technologies


Module      Mono       HIT         IBC c-Si   a-Si       CIGS      CdTe
Technology or          c-Si        (Sun-      (1J, 2J,             (First
            multi-Si   (Sanyo)     power)     3J)                  Solar)
STC Eff (%) 14-18      18-20       18-21      6-9        8-12      9-12
Manu-       Many       1           1          Many       2         1
facturers
TCE (%/°C) -(0.45-     -0.30       -0.36     -(0.20-     -(0.35-   -0.25
            0.50)                            0.25)       0.45)
Comment Std Si         Adv. c-Si   Adv. c-Si TF-         TF-       #1 TF-
            wafer      heterojnctn all-back many         Pilot     Single
            process                contact versions      scale     Source


                                  36

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You Be the Judge: A Ratings Tool for Selecting the Best Solar Module

  • 1. Principal Solar Institute You Be the Judge: A Ratings Tool for Selecting the Best PV Module Matthew Thompson, Ph.D. Kenneth Allen Steve Hegedus, Ph.D. Executive Director Chief Operating Officer Institute of Energy Conversion Principal Solar Institute Principal Solar, Inc. University of Delaware Hosted by Rick Borry, Ph.D. Chief Scientist, Principal Solar Institute
  • 2. PV Module Rating System Matthew A. Thompson Ph.D. December 18, 2012
  • 3. Why Principal Solar Created a PV Module Rating Principal Solar, Inc. needed a simple, comprehensive metric to use in their due diligence process. – Lifetime Energy Production is only one item in a long checklist for potential acquisitions. – It is essential for a utility operator to understand Lifetime Energy Production. Any purchaser of PV modules can use the PSI PV Module Rating in their own comparative cost-benefit analysis.
  • 4. History of the Approach  Lifetime Energy Production – The quantity of energy a PV module is expected to produce in 25 years. – A calculated quantity based on PV module characteristics, and a model of irradiance and temperatures.
  • 5. The Seven Characteristics  Available to the public through organizations such as the California Electric Commission, and datasheets provided by PV module manufacturers.  Seven characteristics of PV modules that affect energy production: – Actual Maximum Power vs. Advertised: “Actual” is Vmp x Imp, STC – Negative Power Tolerance: Actual maximum power is reduced – Nominal Operating Cell Temperature: NOCT – Temperature Coefficient at Maximum Power: Gamma – Power at Low to High Irradiance Ratio: Low power is 200 W/m2 incident – Total Area Efficiency: Energy produced divided by module area – Annual Power Reduction: Manufacturer’s 25 year power warranty
  • 6. Modeling the LEP  PV module characteristics that affect energy production depend on Irradiance and Temperature.  The Phase 1 model samples representative ranges of values for these conditions.
  • 7. PSI PV Module Rating is Comparative The impact on energy of each PV module characteristic is calculated hourly through the model of irradiance and temperature over a 25 year period.  The result is divided by the energy that would be produced by an ideal PV module to determine the PSI PV Module Rating: PSI Rating = Calculated Module LEP / Calculated Ideal Module LEP The Rating is a comprehensive metric for comparing the energy performance of PV modules.
  • 8. Phase 2 Model Models under development will include regional insolation levels and historical temperature data. This enhancement will show in a comparative way how PV modules’ performance is affected by region.
  • 9. The Comprehensive PSI Rating The PSI Rating is most useful as a side-by-side comparison of energy production performance.  The PSI Rating does not include: – Manufacturer financial strength – Pricing – Delivery – Reliability – System components – Regional differences (until Phase 2)
  • 10. Ranking and Rating PV Modules The Principal Solar Institute Rating webpages provide: – Two classifications: Crystalline and Thin Film – Rank within classification – PV Module Rating, a comparative number based on LEP – Percentile Rank: across 10,000 modules, both classifications
  • 11. Conclusion The PSI PV Module Rating is a comparative score based on Lifetime Energy Production. PSI does not currently test PV modules, but uses publicly available test data. Developing a model with regional conditions. Working to develop interactions with University, Industry and Government. We welcome feedback and suggestions.
  • 12. Application of the PSI PV Module Rating Kenneth G. Allen, COO Principal Solar Incorporated December 18, 2012
  • 13. Direct Comparison Nameplate rating of PV modules does not provide the detail needed to differentiate Lifetime Energy Production. Model Type Power (W) PSI Rating “A” …275 Poly-crystalline 275 8.6 “B” …275P… Poly-crystalline 275 7.8 Lifetime Energy Production from “A” is (8.6/7.8) = 110% of “B” A 10% difference is a substantial difference to a utility operator
  • 14. Energy Cost Comparison – Small Project Assume you have a list of available PV modules. Go to the PSI Ratings website and pick the highest rated one, then make a comparison to others of interest. Model Type Power PSI Cost # PV 2kW (W) Rating ($/W) Cost ($) “A” …250p… Poly-crystalline 250 8.7 1.0 8 2000 “B” …P200A… Mono-crystalline 200 6.9 0.9 10 1800 Lifetime Energy Production of “A” is (8.7/6.9) = 126% of “B” Lifetime Energy Cost of “B” is (8.7/6.9)x( $1800/$2000) = 113% of “A” In this case lower upfront cost, but higher cost of energy produced
  • 15. Conclusion The PSI PV Module Rating: – is a comprehensive, comparative metric based on Lifetime Energy Production – is a performance metric, unlike the nameplate wattage rating – allows for a quantified cost-benefit analysis
  • 16. kWhr/kW Performance: Comparison of Reported Field Data from Different PV Module Technologies Steve Hegedus Institute of Energy Conversion University of Delaware December 18, 2012
  • 17. Outline Introduction to IEC Why kWhr/kWSTC as a metric? Scope of literature review Critical issues in determining kWhr and kWSTC Interpretation: measurement variability, TCE, LLE Summary 17
  • 18. Institute of Energy Conversion at U of Delaware  Founded in 1972 to perform thin-film PV research  World’s oldest continuously operating solar research facility  First 10% efficient thin film solar cell (1980) 6 chamber  Dept of Energy University Center of Excellence PECVD for Photovoltaic Research and Education (1992)  Soft funded - government and industry contracts First flexible  Over 20 deposition systems, complete integrated PV R&D 10% cell lab: film growth, device fab, characterization  2012 staff: 15 professional/tech, 5 post doc, >14 grad students (4 depts)  Fundamental science, engineering, tech transfer and workforce supply 4x4” monolithic interconnected CIGS minimodule 18
  • 19. IEC Technology Thrust Areas  Thin film polycrystalline CuInGaSe2-based (CIGS) solar cells  Wide bandgap alloys (Ag, S), flexible R2R vs glass, high temp substrates  Thin film polycrystalline CdTe solar cells  Higher temperature substrate + TCO  Silicon-based solar cells  Front and back heterojunction (a-Si/c-Si): first SHJ-IBC cell  Thin film tandem a-Si and nc-Si at higher growth rate  Reliability and stability; D-H under light and voltage bias  Characterization: in-line monitoring, device imaging/mapping 19
  • 20. I. Why kWhr/kWSTC as a metric? kWhr: energy produced over time (1 vs 20 yr)  Directly related to how much $ someone will be paid (PPA, contract) or will save (offset electric bill)  Includes effects of varying weather, degradation, shading, dust, seasonal annealing kWSTC : power produced by module at STC  Directly relates to how much someone paid for modules typically $/WSTC based on initial power rating  Standard Test Conditions (STC: 1 kW/m2, 25°C module, AM1.5 spectra) may occur a few minutes a year  Largest source of uncertainty has been initial kWSTC 20
  • 21. II. Why kWhr/kWSTC as a metric? kWhr/kWSTC units of ‘hours’: equivalent to # hours the array produced STC rated power Must be specified over specific time (typ. 1 year) Sometimes called final yield YF kWhr can be DC or AC (after inverter) Typical kWhr values: assume 5 hrs equivalent ‘1 sun’ irradiance per day, 20% system and module losses kWhr= (5 hrs ‘1 sun’ per day) x 365 day/year x 0.8 = 1460 kWhrs/year 21
  • 22. Scope of Literature Survey  Widely reported for >20 years that thin film (TF) PV modules have higher kWhr/kW performance compared to c-Si modules  Consistent with some well-established fundamental differences but magnitude of advantage often too large  Most obvious difference is that TF devices have smaller negative temperature coefficient of efficiency (TCE); i.e. lower loss in efficiency at higher module temperature  Many different TF materials, processes and device structures  Recently new c-Si device architectures  Higher efficiency (>20%) and lower TCE  Asked to write a review of published performance data comparing TF and c-Si module field data for new Wiley WIRE Energy and Environmental (abstract at end) 22
  • 23. Typical data from 2 widely referenced studies from 1990’s: 3 European cities, 4 technologies  I grouped all different modules by technology  Mallorca: sunniest, hottest  Lugano: moderate  Oxford: cloudiest, coolest  Mono and multi Si similar  TF a-Si and CIGS similar  TF a-Si and CIGS higher by 16-20% all 3 locations!!! From: Hegedus, Review of photovoltaic module energy yield (kWh/kW): comparison of crystalline Si and thin film technologies, 23 Wiley WIREs Energy Environ 2012. doi: 10.1002/wene.61
  • 24. Select sources of field data comparing module technologies – not complete!  2007-2010 study by Univ Cyprus (Nicosia) and Univ Stuttgart: compared 13 module technologies in both locations (Makrides, Georghiou, Zinsser, Schubert)  Detailed reports of YF, degradation, detectors, tracking, STC rating issues  Consultant Steve Ransome Consulting Ltd (SRCL, UK)  Wide range of EU and US data, variability, uncertainty, predictive models  Two Japanese studies of different PV technologies  Ito et al: Hokuto City: 20 systems of 10-100 kW  Ueda et al: Ota City: 553 residential rooftop systems  Arizona Public Service and Tucson Electric Power (c-Si only)  Moore, Post et al: detailed YF, O+M costs, fixed vs 1 axis vs 2 axis tracking, 2 kW to 3.5 MW  PV Trade Mag Photon International (Aachen DE)  130 modules on test, 97% are c-Si, very small difference in YF :~5-7% 24
  • 25. Examples of kWhr/kW data from different studies: Japan and Cyprus YF for 20 arrays of 10-30 kW in Hokuto YF for 11 arrays of ∼1 kW in Nicosia, Japan monitored from 2008-2009*. Cyprus over 2007–2009** Hegedus WIRE review. Data from *Ito et al, Prog in Photovoltaics 19 (2011) 878-886. 25 **Makrides et al, Prog in Photovoltaics 20 (2011)
  • 26. I. Meteorological conditions are coupled: complicated trade-off on module output What happens when clouds/humidity reduce incident solar irradiance on the module?  1st order effect: ~ linear decrease in output (-)  Less light: lower module T, less T-related loss (+)  Less light: less current, less I2R power loss in module (+)  More scattered light: collection of indirect light (±)  More scattered light: spectra shifts to blue, advantage for cells with high bandgap, high blue response (±)  Changes with low light intensity grouped together as Low Light Efficiency (LLE) =Eff (200 W/m2) / Eff (1000 W/m2) 26
  • 27. II. Meteorological conditions are coupled: trade-off between LLE and TCE  Model output with real weather data for hot sunny and cool cloudy locations*  Compare typical values of LLE and TCE for TF and c-Si PV  Graph: 5-6% gain in kWhr/kW performance for TF over c-Si  Trade-off between LLE, TCE Technology TCE LLE c-Si -0.45%/°C 0.95 TF -0.25%/°C 1.05 *From Hegedus WIRE review, data taken from 27 Ransome et al Proc 37th IEEE PVSC Seattle 2011
  • 28. Uncertainty in kWSTC and irradiance kWSTC Irradiance  Manu. rated power can  Pyranometers ±2% with range ±10% or 0/+3% annual calibration  Flash test individual  Compare results from 2 module can be ±2% for locations same detector: c-Si, ±3% for TF ±4%  Stabilization and pre-  Differences in dust biasing (IEC standard) accumulation, T, shading  Short vs long term  Si detector more sensitive degradation to spectrum, T but cheaper 28
  • 29. Effect of ± manufacturers rating on tolerances: results from Nicosia and Stuttgart, different module technologies * Zinnser et al Proc 35th IEEE PVSC 2010 29
  • 30. Effect of uncertainty in determining initial kWSTC  Three methods of measuring initial kWSTC  Manu. rating, flash test, and field rating (over 1 yr)  Data for Stuttgart below for range of kWhr/kW  Cannot distinguish using manu rating! range Manu. Flash Field kWhr/kW 18% 12% 9% uncertainty ±4-18 ±4- ±4 8% Zinnser et al Proc 35th IEEE PVSC 2010 30
  • 31. Summary  Comparison of field data complicated by uncertainty in module kWSTC rating and irradiance  Experts estimate ±5% is best uncertainty we can achieve at present (same location)  Comparing data from different locations has much larger uncertainty due to detector, calibration, module rating procedures, weather  Response to meteorological conditions complicated  Depends on module technology and location  TCE and LLE 2nd order, weaker compared to linear dependence on irradiance, most important in hotter climates  But responsible for ~3-6% advantage for CdTe, advanced Si (HIT, IBC) 31
  • 32. Questions and Discussion Please enter your questions in the chat window. Matthew Thompson, Ph.D. Kenneth Allen Steve Hegedus, Ph.D. Executive Director Chief Operating Officer Institute of Energy Conversion Principal Solar Institute Principal Solar, Inc. University of Delaware Hosted by Rick Borry, Ph.D. Chief Scientist, Principal Solar Institute
  • 33. kWhr/kW Performance: Comparison of Reported Field Data from Different PV Module Technologies APPENDIX – EXTRA SLIDES 33
  • 34. Power rating uncertainties Quoted from paper by Zinsser* (Univ Stuttgart) titled “Rating of Annual Energy Yield More Sensitive to Reference STC Power than Module Technology” “If we assume an error of ±3% in STC power measurement (calibration) and ±2% for the energy determination (detector), there could be a difference of 10% between the annual yield of two PV systems at the same location. . . . For thin film technologies, the error is even bigger due to nominal power variations. The worst case would be comparing two thin film technologies on the basis of rated power at different locations. The tolerance of (±10%) plus flasher measurement error (±6%) plus energy measurement error (±2%) plus irradiance measurement error (±2%) sum up to a possible total difference of 40%.” * Zinnser et al Proc 35th IEEE PVSC 2010 34
  • 35. Abstract of Hegedus review paper “Review of photovoltaic module energy yield (kWh/kW): comparison of crystalline Si and thin film technologies” Wiley WIREs Energy Environ 2012. doi: 10.1002/wene.61 35
  • 36. Brief comparison of PV module technologies Module Mono HIT IBC c-Si a-Si CIGS CdTe Technology or c-Si (Sun- (1J, 2J, (First multi-Si (Sanyo) power) 3J) Solar) STC Eff (%) 14-18 18-20 18-21 6-9 8-12 9-12 Manu- Many 1 1 Many 2 1 facturers TCE (%/°C) -(0.45- -0.30 -0.36 -(0.20- -(0.35- -0.25 0.50) 0.25) 0.45) Comment Std Si Adv. c-Si Adv. c-Si TF- TF- #1 TF- wafer heterojnctn all-back many Pilot Single process contact versions scale Source 36

Editor's Notes

  1. Scheduled time (:00) – Welcome to $WebinarTitle. We have several people still joining the audio portion of the webinar, so we’ll get started in a couple minutes.[Start recording]Start + :02 – Hello I’m Rick Borry and will be your host today. Before we get started, I have a few housekeeping notes. This webinar is XX minutes long. All participants are muted, but if you have trouble hearing the audio, you can send a text chat to me via the chat dialog in the lower right corner of your viewer window. Also, if you have any questions you can send those to me via text chat at any time. I will collect all questions and ask them of the presenter at the end of the session. The webinar is being recorded, and it will be posted online along with a copy of the slides later today.Today’s webinar is “Solar Energy in the Military”. This webinar is part of the Principal Solar Institute webinar series, for professional installers, developers, owners, and operators of solar systems. We thank XX and YY for sponsoring this webinar. [Host should go on mute]
  2. The Principal Solar Institute was created by Principal Solar Incorporated to foster unbiased thought leadership that elevates the solar industry.
  3. The Principal Solar Institute was created by Principal Solar Incorporated to foster unbiased thought leadership that elevates the solar industry.
  4. The Principal Solar Institute was created by Principal Solar Incorporated to foster unbiased thought leadership that elevates the solar industry.
  5. Scheduled time (:00) – Welcome to $WebinarTitle. We have several people still joining the audio portion of the webinar, so we’ll get started in a couple minutes.[Start recording]Start + :02 – Hello I’m Rick Borry and will be your host today. Before we get started, I have a few housekeeping notes. This webinar is XX minutes long. All participants are muted, but if you have trouble hearing the audio, you can send a text chat to me via the chat dialog in the lower right corner of your viewer window. Also, if you have any questions you can send those to me via text chat at any time. I will collect all questions and ask them of the presenter at the end of the session. The webinar is being recorded, and it will be posted online along with a copy of the slides later today.Today’s webinar is “Solar Energy in the Military”. This webinar is part of the Principal Solar Institute webinar series, for professional installers, developers, owners, and operators of solar systems. We thank XX and YY for sponsoring this webinar. [Host should go on mute]