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1. Electric Vehicle Traction Batteries 2012-2022
This comprehensive report has detailed assessments and forecasts for all the sectors using and
likely to use traction batteries. There are chapters on heavy industrial, light
industrial/commercial, mobility for the disabled, two wheel and allied, pure electric cars, hybrid
cars, golf cars, military, marine and other. The profusion of pictures, diagrams and tables pulls
the subject together to give an independent view of the future ten years. Unit sales, unit prices
and total market value are forecast for each sector for 2012-2022. The replacement market is
quantified and ten year technology trends by sector are in there too, with a view on winning and
losing technologies and companies.
This is the essential reference book for those who are anywhere in the hybrid and pure electric
vehicle value chain. Those making materials, cells, battery sets or vehicles, researchers,
legislators and market analysts will find it invaluable.
The whole picture
With vehicle traction batteries it is important to look at the whole picture and this report does it
for the first time. The rapidly growing market for traction batteries will exceed $55 billion in
only ten years. However that spans battery sets up to $500,000 each with great sophistication
needed for military, marine and solar aircraft use. Huge numbers of low cost batteries are being
used for e-bikes but even here several new technologies are appearing. The largest replacement
market is for e-bikes today and the value market for replacement batteries will not be dominated
by cars when these batteries last the life of the car - something likely to happen within ten years.
The trends are therefore complex and that is why IDTechEx has analyzed them with great care.
Vehicle manufacturers are often employing new battery technology first in their forklifts or e-
bikes, not cars, yet there is huge progress with car batteries as well - indeed oversupply is
probable in this sector at some stage. The mix is changing too. The second largest volume of
electric vehicles made in 2010 was mobility aids for the disabled but in ten years time it will be
hybrid cars. The market for car traction batteries will be larger than the others but there will only
be room for six or so winners in car batteries and other suppliers and users will need to dominate
their own niches to achieve enduring growth and profits. Strategy must be decided now.
In this report, researched in 2010 and 2012 and frequently updated, we analyse the successes, the
needs, the statistics and the market potential for traction batteries for all the major applications.
This has never been done before. It is important to look at the whole picture because traction
battery manufacturers typically sell horizontally across many applications and electric vehicle
manufacturers increasingly make versions for many applications - heavy industrial, on road,
leisure and so on. Indeed, the smarter putative suppliers will choose the sectors that best leverage
their strengths rather than join the herd and be obliterated by corporations of up to $100 billion in
size enjoying prodigious government support.

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traction-batteries-2012-2022.html
Report Details:
Published: July 2012
No. of Pages: 325
Price : Single User License: US$ 3995
Table of contents
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
1.1. The decade of hybrid vehicles
1.2. Market 2012-2022
1.3. Replacement business
1.3.1. Replacement market
1.3.2. Lithium polymer electrolyte now important
1.3.3. Winning chemistry
1.3.4. Winning lithium traction battery manufacturers
1.3.5. Making lithium batteries safe
1.4. Price war
1.5. Massive investments
1.6. Largest sectors
1.7. Market for EV components
1.8. Who is winning in lithium-ion traction batteries - and why
1.8.1. The needs have radically changed
1.8.2. It started with cobalt
1.8.3. Great variety of recipes
1.8.4. Other factors
1.8.5. Check with reality
1.8.6. Lithium winners today and soon
1.8.7. Reasons for winning
1.8.8. Winner will be Toyota?
1.8.9. Lithium polymer electrolyte now important
1.8.10. Genuinely Solid State Traction Batteries
1.8.11. Winning chemistry
1.8.12. Titanate establishes a place for Li-ion anodes

3. 1.8.13. Laminar structure
2. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Definitions, scope, history
2.2. The EV value chain
2.3. Pure electric vs hybrid vehicles
2.4. Battery cells, modules, packs
2.5. Construction of battery packs
2.5.1. Changing factors
2.5.2. NiMH vs lithium
2.5.3. Replacement traction battery pack market 2011-2021
2.5.4. Plug in hybrids take over from mild hybrids
2.6. Pure electric and hybrid converge
2.6.1. Two options converge
2.7. Fuel cells
2.8. The ideal car traction battery pack
2.9. Traction batteries today
2.10. First generation lithium traction batteries
2.11. Second generation lithium traction batteries
2.12. The future
2.12.1. Third generation lithium traction batteries
2.12.2. Trends in energy storage vs battery pack voltage
2.12.3. Companies wishing to make the new batteries
2.13. How to improve lithium traction batteries
2.13.1. Basic needs
2.13.2. Life
2.13.3. Safety
2.14. USA and Europe play catch up
2.15. Technological leapfrog
2.16. Academic research and small companies
2.17. Industrial leverage
2.17.1. Major funding can have strange impacts
2.17.2. Rapid profits for some
2.17.3. Impediments
2.18. Benefits of EVs
2.19. Traction battery design considerations
2.20. Future evolution of hybrids and pure electric cars
2.20.1. Specification changes
2.20.2. Move to high voltage
2.20.3. Battery performance over time - battery life
2.20.4. Battery state of charge
2.20.5. Depth of discharge affects life
2.20.6. Capacity rating

4. 2.20.7. Daily depth of discharge
2.20.8. Charging and discharging rates
2.21. Requirements - hybrids vs pure electric
2.21.1. Plug in requirements align with pure electric cars
2.21.2. Hybrids need power and pure electrics need capacity - for now
2.21.3. Parallel hybrids differ
2.21.4. Plug in hybrids try to be the best of both worlds
2.21.5. Watt hours per mile
2.21.6. Charging rates
2.21.7. Custom packaging
2.22. Fast charging batteries and infrastructure
3. PROGRESS WITH NEW GENERATION LITHIUM TRACTION BATTERIES
3.1. Introduction
3.2. Lithium manganese
3.3. Lithium iron phosphate
3.4. Lithium air and lithium metal
3.5. Lithium sulfur
3.5.1. Other challenges
4. HEAVY INDUSTRIAL EVS
4.1. Examples of battery suppliers to this sector
4.1.1. GE USA
4.1.2. East Penn Manufacturing Corporation USA
4.1.3. Furukawa Battery Japan
4.1.4. Nissan lithium forklift Japan
4.1.5. Balqon lithium heavy duty vehicles USA
4.2. Listing of manufacturers
4.3. Market size
4.4. Heavy industrial traction battery market forecasts 2011 to 2021
5. LIGHT INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL EVS
5.1.1. Sub categories
5.1.2. Buses
5.2. Examples of battery suppliers to this sector
5.2.1. A123 Systems
5.2.2. Axeon UK
5.2.3. Eaton Corporation USA
5.2.4. KD Advanced Battery Group Dow USA Kokam Korea
5.2.5. Lithium Technology Corporation/GAIA USA
5.2.6. MAGNA STEYR AG & Co KG Austria
5.2.7. Valence Technologies USA
5.2.8. Lishen Power Battery China

5. 5.3. Market drivers
5.3.1. Governments get involved
5.4. Importance of batteries and power trains
5.4.1. Freightliner and Enova
5.4.2. China Vehicles Company
5.4.3. Ford Transit
5.5. EVs for local services
5.6. Airport EVs
5.7. Small people-movers
5.8. Light industrial aids
5.8.1. Heavy duty on-road trucks become hybrids
5.9. Listing of manufacturers
5.10. Light industrial / commercial traction battery market forecasts 2011-2021
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