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National Security & National Interests – Implications & Response Jan 2009 M. Rajaram
Agenda National Security & National Interests – Definitions & Dimensions Trends & Responses – A Discussion on India’s responses over the years India’s Neighbourhood – Situation Analysis & India’s Options
National Security & National Interests – Definitions & Dimensions
What is National Security? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What is National Interest? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
National Security Paradigm National Security Economic Geo Political Military Socio-Cultural National Goals National Interests National Strength Science & Technology Science & Technology Science & Technology Science & Technology
Trends & Responses – A Discussion on India’s responses over the years
Dimensions- Trends & Responses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1948 Situation Map
India’s Outer Buffers-Caroe
Caroe’s Seven Power Circles
Dimensions- Trends & Responses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Oil Pipelines from Central Asia
Of the total 54 million urban households in India,  31% are in SEC A and B categories representing a large market Urban Households - Socio-Economic Categories (%) : 25.79 m : 11.54 m : 4.52 m : 5.23 m : 4.30 m : 2.76 m Total Urban Households: 54 million
Dimensions- Trends & Responses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
India’s population is young with a vast majority (61%) being under the age of 30 Source: Tata Statistical Outline of India, Marketing White Book 2006 Age-Wise Distribution Of Population Rural Urban Population distribution Male (Outer Circle) Female (Inner Circle)
Dimensions- Trends & Responses ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modern Great Game
India’s Neighbourhood – Situation Analysis & India’s Options Afghanistan
Natoization of Afghanistan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Indian Role in Afghanistan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Afghanistan in Pak sights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Afghanistan in Pak sights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],India needs to watch the situation and be ready to counter any moves
India’s Neighbourhood – Situation Analysis & India’s Options Pakistan
Economic Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
US Elections and Pakistan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Western Alternative plans for Pakistan remapping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bernard Lewis Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ralph Peters ,[object Object]
Pashtun Plan-I ,[object Object],[object Object]
New Pashtunistan Billboards ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Indian Claim in 1947 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Most Likely
Indian Options For PIP ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PIP= Peaceful Implosion of Pakistan
Indian Perspective ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prognosis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Prognosis Continued ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Alternate Prognosis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
India’s Neighbourhood – Situation Analysis & India’s Options China
The “Other” Clash of Civilizations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
India’s Neighbourhood – Situation Analysis & India’s Options Nepal, Myanmar, Bangladesh & Sri Lanka
India’s other Neighbourhood states ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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National Security & National Interests – Implications