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Finnish Mental Hospital Study
         (soy oil replacing dairy fat in habitual diet)



                 Published as two separate papers:

                                                     WOMEN
             Miettinen M et al. Dietary prevention of coronary heart
           disease in women: the Finnish mental hospital study. Int J
                       Epidemiol.1983 Mar;12(1):17-25.




                                       MEN
                Turpeinen O et al. Dietary prevention of coronary heart
                   disease: the Finnish Mental Hospital Study. Int J
                          Epidemiol. 1979 Jun;8(2):99-118.
Page 1     http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Pronutritionist’s background
 •       In recent meta-analyses, saturated fat intake was not linked to coronary
         heart disease (CHD) incidence (Siri-Tarino et al. 2010, Skeaff & Miller J
         . 2009 and Mente et al. 2009)
 •       Another meta-analysis based on the randomized outcome trials,
         demonstrated a lower incidence of CHD if saturated fat was replaced by
         polyunsaturated fat (Mozaffarian et al. 2010)
 •       The results of Mozaffarian’s meta-analysis were heavily driven by two
         outlier studies: a) Finnish Mental Hospital Study (FMHS) and b) Oslo
         Diet-Heart
 •       Validity of the findings in Finnish Mental Hospital study has been
         questioned by Ramsden et al. 2010. Also, a recent Cochrane meta-
         analysis excluded FMHS from the analysis due to “non-randomization” (
         Hooper et al. 2011)

 •       Finnish Mental Hospital is still a landmark trial in Diet Heart hypothesis,
         but how does it stand the test of time?

Page 2      Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Methods (schematic)
Randomization of the order of
which hospital to start with the
active treatment (SCL diet)

                 Soy oil (SCL) diet in                                       Dairy fat (NORM) diet in
                 Hospital N (Nikkilä)                                        Hospital N



                                                        “reverse of diets”,
           y. 1959      6 years                             ie. hospital               6 years                 y. 1971

                                                        kitchens changed
                                                                roles

                 Dairy fat (NORM) diet in                                    Soy oil (SCL) diet in
                 Hospital K (Kellokoski)                                     Hospital K



        SCL = Serum Cholesterol Lowering Diet with soy oil filled skim milk and “soft margine”
        NORM= Whole milk, butter and “ordinary margarine”
        Patient admission to hospitals was not randomized
        Page 3   Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Methods (patients)
•   A cluster –”randomized” controlled clinical trial. Non blinded
•   Only 2 Clusters: hospital K and hospital N
•   Cross-over design with NO wash out period in between
•   Primary prevention (CHD was excluded in these analyses).
•   Primary outcomes: CHD and serum total cholesterol
•   Hospitalized mental patients. The hospitalization was not covering the whole six
    year period for the most
•   A hospitalization period per arm could vary from 6 months to 6 years (“In the final
    assessment subjects whose period of the hospitalization was less than six months
    were excluded”), and discontinuous stay was allowed as far as the patients “were
    present minimum 50 % of the time interval between their first admission and the
    last discharge”
•   Some subjects were discharged and were free to eat anything they wanted after
    discharge, ie. during the home stay
•   Age at the outset: 34-64 men and 44-64 for women
•   Length: 6 years per arm (ie. 12 years alltogether)
•   Era: 1959-1971

     Page 4   Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Methods (diet)
•     Feeding study, all food during hospital stay was provided
•     Discontinuous stay was allowed, but no food instructions were given for
      periods after discharge, ie. for home stay
•     Analysis of diet: direct measure of the food provided (not the food consumed)
      and fatty acid composition of adipose tissue (fat sample covering 13 % of
      females and 34-40 % of males)
•     Primary changes in diet:
       – Control (NORM): Continued use of whole milk as drink, butter and
          “ordinary margarine”
       – Active (SCL*): Skim milk blended with soy oil (“filled milk”) and “soft
          margarine” in stead of “ordinary margarine” and butter
       – No other changes were too be done, ie. Total fat content was not be
          changed
•     Aim: to replace dairy fat as far as possible by PUFA containing soy oil

    *) Serum Cholesterol Lowering


       Page 5   Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Methods
(patient journeys, 5 eligible examples)

         A) Patient staying in hospital N for the both periods (12 years)



         B) Patient staying in hospital N for the NORM period but just 3,1 years



         C) Patient staying in hospital K for 4,5 years


         D) Patient staying in hospital N for 5,5 years


         E) Patient staying in hospital N for 3 years and in K for 3,5 years as shorter periods (say
         7 months minimum) in discontinuous manner (and having home stay for 5,5 years)




Page 6     Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Women 1/5)

• Totally 591 subjects were accepted into the analysis
• Results are mixture of cross over design (31 % of
  patients) and parallel design (69 % of patients)
• 45 % of subjects remained in the study for either six year
  period, ie. drop out rate is 55 % for a single six year
  period
• High drop out was partly due to intended “rejuvenation of
  cohorts” at time of reversal of diets (discharging oldest
  patients and admitting younger patients)
• 31 % of subjects were present during both six year
  periods



Page 7      Miettinen M et al. 1983   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Women 2/5)
                 Presence of patients at hospitals
                Soy oil (SCL) diet in                              Dairy fat (NORM) diet in
                Hospital N                                         Hospital N



                   2.88 years                                          4.06 years
   Mean
 periods of
observation
                   4.02 years                                         3.77 years
                Dairy fat (NORM) diet in                           Soy oil (SCL) diet in
                Hospital K                                         Hospital K


   Page 8     Miettinen M et al. 1983      http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Women 3/5)
Dietary changes
                     SCL diet           NORM diet                        Δ during SCL
                     (soy oil diet)     (dairy fat diet)                 diet (%)
Total fat            110 g              107 g                            +3%
SFA                  27.3 g             54.7 g                           -50 %
MUFA                 36.8 g             33.3 g                           +11 %
PUFA                 40.5 g             13.6 g                           +197 %
Cholesterol          282 mg             480 mg                           -41 %
Trans fat            N/A                N/A                              N/A
Carbohydrates        N/A                N/A                              N/A
Protein              N/A                N/A                              N/A
Fiber                N/A                N/A                              N/A
Other nutrients      N/A                N/A                              N/A
Page 9        Miettinen M et al. 1983   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Women 4/5)
Total cholesterol (covering 384 patients
ie. 65 % of all subjects)
                                Total cholesterol Δ during SCL diet (%)
                                (mean of two
                                hospitals)
SCL Diet                        6.1 mmol/L                    -12,8 % lower during
                                (240 mg/dl)                      SCL soy oil diet
NORM DIET                       7.1 mmol/L
                                (275 mg/dl)




Page 10     Miettinen M et al. 1983       http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Women 5/5)
Coronary death and composite coronary end point
(incidence/ 1000 person years) /Intrahospital (mean)

                                                P=0.07*
                                                Δ - 37 %




                                           NS



          *) adjusted with weight. Without weight adjustment p =0.04
Page 11          Miettinen M et al. 1983            http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Men 1/5)

• Totally 676 subjects were accepted into the analysis
• Results are mixture of cross over design (36 % of
  patients) and parallel design (64 % of patients)
• 53 % of subjects remained in the study for either six year
  period, ie. drop out rate is 47 % for a single six year
  period
• High drop out was partly due to intended “rejuvenation of
  cohorts” at time of reversal of diets (discharging oldest
  patients and admitting younger patients)
• 36 % of subjects were present during both six year
  periods



Page 12    Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Men 2/5)
                  Presence of patients at hospitals
                Soy oil (SCL) diet in                              Dairy fat (NORM) diet in
                Hospital N                                         Hospital N



                   4.39 years                                          4.42 years
   Mean
 periods of
observation
                   4.38 years                                        4.11 years
                Dairy fat (NORM) diet in                           Soy oil (SCL) diet in
                Hospital K                                         Hospital K


   Page 13    Turpeinen O et al. 1979      http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Men 3/5)
Dietary changes (same for both sexes!?)
                      SCL diet          NORM diet                        Δ during SCL
                      (soy oil diet)    (dairy fat diet)                 diet (%)
Total fat             110 g             107 g                            +3%
SFA                   27.3 g            54.7 g                           -50 %
MUFA                  36.8 g            33.3 g                           +11 %
PUFA                  40.5 g            13.6 g                           +197 %
Cholesterol           282 mg            480 mg                           -41 %
Trans fat             N/A               N/A                              N/A
Carbohydrates         372 g             379 g                            -2%
Protein               110 g             107 g                            +3%
Fiber                 N/A               N/A                              N/A


Page 14       Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Men 4/5)
Total cholesterol (covering 384 patients
ie. 65 % of all subjects)
                                Total cholesterol Δ during SCL diet (%)
                                (mean of two
                                hospitals)
SCL Diet                        5.8 mmol/L                    -15,5 % lower during
                                (226 mg/dl)                      SCL soy oil diet
NORM DIET                       6.8 mmol/L
                                (267 mg/dl)




Page 15     Turpeinen O et al. 1979       http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Results (Men 5/5)
Coronary death and composite coronary end point
(incidence/ 1000 person years) /Intrahospital (mean)

                                P=0.008
                                Δ - 44 %

                               NS




Page 16   Turpeinen O et al. 1979          http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Pronutritionist’s discussion (1/4)
 •    Finnish Mental Hospital was the second study to show that replacing
      saturated fat with polyunsaturated fat would decrease the incidence of
      coronary heart disease among men by 44 % while lowering serum total
      cholesterol by 16 %.
 •    The same effects were not demonstrated among women even if the trend
      was in line with the results among men (p = 0,07 for weight corrected).
      Total cholesterol was lowered by 13 % among women during the soy oil
      diet
 •    The results may not be applicable to modern era for many reasons:
          –    During the soy oil diet PUFA intake was near to current intake at population level in
               Finland, ie. 22 grams for women and 31 grams for men. It is impossible to further
               decrease saturated fat intake in modern diet by 27 grams as it was done in the study.
               Thus re-production of the results seems impossible with current background diet. In
               contrast, increasing SFA intake by 30 g from the current level might increase CHD
               occurrence
          –    Soy oil is currently abandoned as cooking oil and replaced by canola and olive oil
          –    Trans fat content of diets was not calculated even if harder “ordinary margarine” was
               replaced by a “softer margarine” during SCD diet (soy oil) diet
          –    Use of old fashioned and pro-arrhythmic psychotropic drugs was unevenly distributed
               and may cause bias (Ramsden et al. 2010)
Page 17       Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Pronutritionist’s discussion (2/4)
       Weaknesses
                                          Stated (actual)                             Comment
Drop out rate                             Up to 55 % / 6 year                         Max 20 % is acceptable
                                          (no intention to treat analysis)            (Dumville 2006)


Mix of parallel and cross over            1/3 of patients within Cross Over           Mixture of designs is not scientifically sound
design                                    2/3 of patients only in Paralell set        even is researchers highlighted interhospital
                                          up                                          analyses
“Carry on” effect of SFA in               Not discussed                               Bias in SCD diet during second period
interhospital analysis
Intermittent hospitalization              Only mean presence reported:                Subjects ate food at home 2-3 years / each
                                          3-4 years / 6 years                         6 year period of study

Home food was not controlled              Not discussed                               Subject ate whatever they wanted when
                                                                                      discharged
Trans fat effect unknown                  Not discussed                               Ramsden et el. 2011 argue the “soft
                                                                                      margarine” induced a big decrease in
                                                                                      industrial trans fat intake in Hosp N during
                                                                                      1st period

No real randomization                     Cluster randomization.                      Each hospital served its own geographic
                                          Cluster 1: Hospital K                       population. Patients were drawn to hospitals
                                          Cluster 2: Hospital N                       without randomization


       Page 18    Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Pronutritionist’s discussion (3/4)
Strengths of FMHS
• Pure fat modification trial (no changes in milk proteins,
  meat, fish, fiber, vegetable/fruit intake)
• Primary prevention study
• Meals were provided when patients stayed in hospital and
  a substantial change took place in SFA intake (decrease of
  27 grams, circa 10 E % during soy oil diet)
• For men (only) comparisons were done both intrahospital
  and interhospital and also for the first and second 6 year
  period separately giving congruent results
• Mortality results were published as an additional (3rd) paper
  in Lancet (Miettinen et al. 1972). Mortality was decreased
  among males but not among females. Mortality decreased
  – 53 % among males.

Page 19   Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
Pronutritionist’s discussion (4/4)
 Conclusion
• FMHS delivered robust results among men but with serious
  inherent methodological issues
     – Mean study period per arm 3-4 years, ie. 2-3 years shorter than
       intention
     – Drop out rate (attrition) unacceptably high (up to 55 %)
     – Not genuinely randomized
     – Many subjects were discharged and re-hospitalized several times (and
       had whatever food they wanted at home)
     – Change in trans fat intake was not taken into consideration (hard
       “ordinary margarine” was switched to soft margarine during SCL Diet
       only)
• Background diet and use oils has changed since 1960s
• The study is clearly a ”outlier” in the context of other similar
  trials and the results must be interpreted with extreme
  caution due to methodological problems

 Page 20   Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979   http://www.facebook.com/pron
                                                               utritionist
Read also about
     Oslo Diet Heart Study
       Click for slides here




21                www.pronutritionist.net
Follow me

            http://twitter.com/pronutritionist
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             http://www.pronutritionist.net

     Reijo Laatikainen, Authorized Nutritionist, MBA




22                          19/02/13

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Finnish mental hospital Study

  • 1. Finnish Mental Hospital Study (soy oil replacing dairy fat in habitual diet) Published as two separate papers: WOMEN Miettinen M et al. Dietary prevention of coronary heart disease in women: the Finnish mental hospital study. Int J Epidemiol.1983 Mar;12(1):17-25. MEN Turpeinen O et al. Dietary prevention of coronary heart disease: the Finnish Mental Hospital Study. Int J Epidemiol. 1979 Jun;8(2):99-118. Page 1 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 2. Pronutritionist’s background • In recent meta-analyses, saturated fat intake was not linked to coronary heart disease (CHD) incidence (Siri-Tarino et al. 2010, Skeaff & Miller J . 2009 and Mente et al. 2009) • Another meta-analysis based on the randomized outcome trials, demonstrated a lower incidence of CHD if saturated fat was replaced by polyunsaturated fat (Mozaffarian et al. 2010) • The results of Mozaffarian’s meta-analysis were heavily driven by two outlier studies: a) Finnish Mental Hospital Study (FMHS) and b) Oslo Diet-Heart • Validity of the findings in Finnish Mental Hospital study has been questioned by Ramsden et al. 2010. Also, a recent Cochrane meta- analysis excluded FMHS from the analysis due to “non-randomization” ( Hooper et al. 2011) • Finnish Mental Hospital is still a landmark trial in Diet Heart hypothesis, but how does it stand the test of time? Page 2 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 3. Methods (schematic) Randomization of the order of which hospital to start with the active treatment (SCL diet) Soy oil (SCL) diet in Dairy fat (NORM) diet in Hospital N (Nikkilä) Hospital N “reverse of diets”, y. 1959 6 years ie. hospital 6 years y. 1971 kitchens changed roles Dairy fat (NORM) diet in Soy oil (SCL) diet in Hospital K (Kellokoski) Hospital K SCL = Serum Cholesterol Lowering Diet with soy oil filled skim milk and “soft margine” NORM= Whole milk, butter and “ordinary margarine” Patient admission to hospitals was not randomized Page 3 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 4. Methods (patients) • A cluster –”randomized” controlled clinical trial. Non blinded • Only 2 Clusters: hospital K and hospital N • Cross-over design with NO wash out period in between • Primary prevention (CHD was excluded in these analyses). • Primary outcomes: CHD and serum total cholesterol • Hospitalized mental patients. The hospitalization was not covering the whole six year period for the most • A hospitalization period per arm could vary from 6 months to 6 years (“In the final assessment subjects whose period of the hospitalization was less than six months were excluded”), and discontinuous stay was allowed as far as the patients “were present minimum 50 % of the time interval between their first admission and the last discharge” • Some subjects were discharged and were free to eat anything they wanted after discharge, ie. during the home stay • Age at the outset: 34-64 men and 44-64 for women • Length: 6 years per arm (ie. 12 years alltogether) • Era: 1959-1971 Page 4 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 5. Methods (diet) • Feeding study, all food during hospital stay was provided • Discontinuous stay was allowed, but no food instructions were given for periods after discharge, ie. for home stay • Analysis of diet: direct measure of the food provided (not the food consumed) and fatty acid composition of adipose tissue (fat sample covering 13 % of females and 34-40 % of males) • Primary changes in diet: – Control (NORM): Continued use of whole milk as drink, butter and “ordinary margarine” – Active (SCL*): Skim milk blended with soy oil (“filled milk”) and “soft margarine” in stead of “ordinary margarine” and butter – No other changes were too be done, ie. Total fat content was not be changed • Aim: to replace dairy fat as far as possible by PUFA containing soy oil *) Serum Cholesterol Lowering Page 5 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 6. Methods (patient journeys, 5 eligible examples) A) Patient staying in hospital N for the both periods (12 years) B) Patient staying in hospital N for the NORM period but just 3,1 years C) Patient staying in hospital K for 4,5 years D) Patient staying in hospital N for 5,5 years E) Patient staying in hospital N for 3 years and in K for 3,5 years as shorter periods (say 7 months minimum) in discontinuous manner (and having home stay for 5,5 years) Page 6 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 7. Results (Women 1/5) • Totally 591 subjects were accepted into the analysis • Results are mixture of cross over design (31 % of patients) and parallel design (69 % of patients) • 45 % of subjects remained in the study for either six year period, ie. drop out rate is 55 % for a single six year period • High drop out was partly due to intended “rejuvenation of cohorts” at time of reversal of diets (discharging oldest patients and admitting younger patients) • 31 % of subjects were present during both six year periods Page 7 Miettinen M et al. 1983 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 8. Results (Women 2/5) Presence of patients at hospitals Soy oil (SCL) diet in Dairy fat (NORM) diet in Hospital N Hospital N 2.88 years 4.06 years Mean periods of observation 4.02 years 3.77 years Dairy fat (NORM) diet in Soy oil (SCL) diet in Hospital K Hospital K Page 8 Miettinen M et al. 1983 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 9. Results (Women 3/5) Dietary changes SCL diet NORM diet Δ during SCL (soy oil diet) (dairy fat diet) diet (%) Total fat 110 g 107 g +3% SFA 27.3 g 54.7 g -50 % MUFA 36.8 g 33.3 g +11 % PUFA 40.5 g 13.6 g +197 % Cholesterol 282 mg 480 mg -41 % Trans fat N/A N/A N/A Carbohydrates N/A N/A N/A Protein N/A N/A N/A Fiber N/A N/A N/A Other nutrients N/A N/A N/A Page 9 Miettinen M et al. 1983 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 10. Results (Women 4/5) Total cholesterol (covering 384 patients ie. 65 % of all subjects) Total cholesterol Δ during SCL diet (%) (mean of two hospitals) SCL Diet 6.1 mmol/L -12,8 % lower during (240 mg/dl) SCL soy oil diet NORM DIET 7.1 mmol/L (275 mg/dl) Page 10 Miettinen M et al. 1983 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 11. Results (Women 5/5) Coronary death and composite coronary end point (incidence/ 1000 person years) /Intrahospital (mean) P=0.07* Δ - 37 % NS *) adjusted with weight. Without weight adjustment p =0.04 Page 11 Miettinen M et al. 1983 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 12. Results (Men 1/5) • Totally 676 subjects were accepted into the analysis • Results are mixture of cross over design (36 % of patients) and parallel design (64 % of patients) • 53 % of subjects remained in the study for either six year period, ie. drop out rate is 47 % for a single six year period • High drop out was partly due to intended “rejuvenation of cohorts” at time of reversal of diets (discharging oldest patients and admitting younger patients) • 36 % of subjects were present during both six year periods Page 12 Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 13. Results (Men 2/5) Presence of patients at hospitals Soy oil (SCL) diet in Dairy fat (NORM) diet in Hospital N Hospital N 4.39 years 4.42 years Mean periods of observation 4.38 years 4.11 years Dairy fat (NORM) diet in Soy oil (SCL) diet in Hospital K Hospital K Page 13 Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 14. Results (Men 3/5) Dietary changes (same for both sexes!?) SCL diet NORM diet Δ during SCL (soy oil diet) (dairy fat diet) diet (%) Total fat 110 g 107 g +3% SFA 27.3 g 54.7 g -50 % MUFA 36.8 g 33.3 g +11 % PUFA 40.5 g 13.6 g +197 % Cholesterol 282 mg 480 mg -41 % Trans fat N/A N/A N/A Carbohydrates 372 g 379 g -2% Protein 110 g 107 g +3% Fiber N/A N/A N/A Page 14 Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 15. Results (Men 4/5) Total cholesterol (covering 384 patients ie. 65 % of all subjects) Total cholesterol Δ during SCL diet (%) (mean of two hospitals) SCL Diet 5.8 mmol/L -15,5 % lower during (226 mg/dl) SCL soy oil diet NORM DIET 6.8 mmol/L (267 mg/dl) Page 15 Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 16. Results (Men 5/5) Coronary death and composite coronary end point (incidence/ 1000 person years) /Intrahospital (mean) P=0.008 Δ - 44 % NS Page 16 Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 17. Pronutritionist’s discussion (1/4) • Finnish Mental Hospital was the second study to show that replacing saturated fat with polyunsaturated fat would decrease the incidence of coronary heart disease among men by 44 % while lowering serum total cholesterol by 16 %. • The same effects were not demonstrated among women even if the trend was in line with the results among men (p = 0,07 for weight corrected). Total cholesterol was lowered by 13 % among women during the soy oil diet • The results may not be applicable to modern era for many reasons: – During the soy oil diet PUFA intake was near to current intake at population level in Finland, ie. 22 grams for women and 31 grams for men. It is impossible to further decrease saturated fat intake in modern diet by 27 grams as it was done in the study. Thus re-production of the results seems impossible with current background diet. In contrast, increasing SFA intake by 30 g from the current level might increase CHD occurrence – Soy oil is currently abandoned as cooking oil and replaced by canola and olive oil – Trans fat content of diets was not calculated even if harder “ordinary margarine” was replaced by a “softer margarine” during SCD diet (soy oil) diet – Use of old fashioned and pro-arrhythmic psychotropic drugs was unevenly distributed and may cause bias (Ramsden et al. 2010) Page 17 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 18. Pronutritionist’s discussion (2/4) Weaknesses Stated (actual) Comment Drop out rate Up to 55 % / 6 year Max 20 % is acceptable (no intention to treat analysis) (Dumville 2006) Mix of parallel and cross over 1/3 of patients within Cross Over Mixture of designs is not scientifically sound design 2/3 of patients only in Paralell set even is researchers highlighted interhospital up analyses “Carry on” effect of SFA in Not discussed Bias in SCD diet during second period interhospital analysis Intermittent hospitalization Only mean presence reported: Subjects ate food at home 2-3 years / each 3-4 years / 6 years 6 year period of study Home food was not controlled Not discussed Subject ate whatever they wanted when discharged Trans fat effect unknown Not discussed Ramsden et el. 2011 argue the “soft margarine” induced a big decrease in industrial trans fat intake in Hosp N during 1st period No real randomization Cluster randomization. Each hospital served its own geographic Cluster 1: Hospital K population. Patients were drawn to hospitals Cluster 2: Hospital N without randomization Page 18 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 19. Pronutritionist’s discussion (3/4) Strengths of FMHS • Pure fat modification trial (no changes in milk proteins, meat, fish, fiber, vegetable/fruit intake) • Primary prevention study • Meals were provided when patients stayed in hospital and a substantial change took place in SFA intake (decrease of 27 grams, circa 10 E % during soy oil diet) • For men (only) comparisons were done both intrahospital and interhospital and also for the first and second 6 year period separately giving congruent results • Mortality results were published as an additional (3rd) paper in Lancet (Miettinen et al. 1972). Mortality was decreased among males but not among females. Mortality decreased – 53 % among males. Page 19 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist
  • 20. Pronutritionist’s discussion (4/4) Conclusion • FMHS delivered robust results among men but with serious inherent methodological issues – Mean study period per arm 3-4 years, ie. 2-3 years shorter than intention – Drop out rate (attrition) unacceptably high (up to 55 %) – Not genuinely randomized – Many subjects were discharged and re-hospitalized several times (and had whatever food they wanted at home) – Change in trans fat intake was not taken into consideration (hard “ordinary margarine” was switched to soft margarine during SCL Diet only) • Background diet and use oils has changed since 1960s • The study is clearly a ”outlier” in the context of other similar trials and the results must be interpreted with extreme caution due to methodological problems Page 20 Miettinen M et al. 1983 & Turpeinen O et al. 1979 http://www.facebook.com/pron utritionist
  • 21. Read also about Oslo Diet Heart Study Click for slides here 21 www.pronutritionist.net
  • 22. Follow me http://twitter.com/pronutritionist http://www.facebook.com/pronutritionist http://www.pronutritionist.net Reijo Laatikainen, Authorized Nutritionist, MBA 22 19/02/13