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Overruns in Offshore Projects: Toward
Productivity and Performance Improvement
Professor Peter ED Love                                                 6th February 2012




  Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
  CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Offshore projects
Between 1993-2003 (Merrow, 2003)
 1 in 8 major offshore projects with a CAPEX ranging from
  US$1 million to US$3 billion a financial disaster
 Exceed cost and/or schedule by 40% or producing less
  than 50% of production capacity

2010 (Det Norske Veritas, DNV)
 On average experience a cost overrun of 35%, and 7
  months behind schedule


                                                                      Why?
Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Recurrent factors contributing to
          cost overruns include:
 Poor scope definition                                                   ≈US$3.8b        US$5.2b
 Optimistic scheduling of design,
  engineering and construction
 Placing of orders before
  engineering is complete
 Implementation of new
  technology without qualification
 Poor interface management
 Fabrication yards having to build
  competence and resources
  during the project
                                                                        Hibernia Platform – construction costs alone
                                                                        increased by US$870 million
  Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
  CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Forms of waste in offshore projects

                                                                          Changes, errors, omissions → rework
                                                                            Estimates of rework costs found to
                                                                             range from 10 to 50% of CAPEX
                                                                            Lower rework in new build FPSOs
                                                                            Design errors materialize during
                                                                             operation

                                                             Non-value
                                                                            Downtime:
                                                                               Inspection of ballast, cargo tanks, and propeller shafts,
                                                              adding           which involves the mobilization of inspection teams.
                                                             activities




Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Preliminary observations

 Common design errors found during maintenance and
  inspection of FPSOs include:
             • Bow –inadequate structural design and consideration
               of environmental loadings
             • Breakdown of coating systems – poor selection and
               application
             • Tank – inadequate construction techniques




Footer text - slideshow title                                         30.07.2010
Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Generic dynamics of rework
                                                                                  Relationship contracting
     Project scope




                                                                                                  •   Negative impact of
                                                                                                      workflow
                                                                                                  •   Production pressure

                                                                               Production
FPSO interface with
subsea/topside/vessel/pipeline
The „+‟, and „-‟, respectively, classifies positive and negative consequences of an increase of
 Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
 CRICOS Provider Code 00301J                   the original variable on the relying variable.
Design errors: Sleipner A failure




Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
                                                                      Loss resulted in 2 year delay, loss of
                                                                      structure and revenue US$780m
• Eliminate wasteful practices                                                             • Optimize resources
• Streamline production flow                                                               • Improve efficiency




                                                                       Lean construction
                                 “Way to design production systems to minimize waste
                                 (materials, time, and effort) to generate maximum value”

 Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
 CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Re-think project delivery
• Remove lowest cost – go for
  value
• Eliminate competitive
  tendering
• Introduce performance
  measurement into contracts
• Integrated project teams
• Improve workflow
  predictability ( eliminate buffers/wasted capacity)
                                                                       Source: Lean Construction Institute


 Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
 CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
BIM: From 3D → nD modelling
A methodology to manage the essential design and project data
      in digital format throughout the an assets life cycle




Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Augmented reality




Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Dynamic planning: real-time
                                           RFID                       Sensors and tracking




Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology
CRICOS Provider Code 00301J

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Peter Ed Love Offshore Technology Conference

  • 1. Overruns in Offshore Projects: Toward Productivity and Performance Improvement Professor Peter ED Love 6th February 2012 Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 2. Offshore projects Between 1993-2003 (Merrow, 2003)  1 in 8 major offshore projects with a CAPEX ranging from US$1 million to US$3 billion a financial disaster  Exceed cost and/or schedule by 40% or producing less than 50% of production capacity 2010 (Det Norske Veritas, DNV)  On average experience a cost overrun of 35%, and 7 months behind schedule Why? Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 3. Recurrent factors contributing to cost overruns include:  Poor scope definition ≈US$3.8b US$5.2b  Optimistic scheduling of design, engineering and construction  Placing of orders before engineering is complete  Implementation of new technology without qualification  Poor interface management  Fabrication yards having to build competence and resources during the project Hibernia Platform – construction costs alone increased by US$870 million Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 4. Forms of waste in offshore projects Changes, errors, omissions → rework  Estimates of rework costs found to range from 10 to 50% of CAPEX  Lower rework in new build FPSOs  Design errors materialize during operation Non-value  Downtime: Inspection of ballast, cargo tanks, and propeller shafts, adding which involves the mobilization of inspection teams. activities Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 5. Preliminary observations  Common design errors found during maintenance and inspection of FPSOs include: • Bow –inadequate structural design and consideration of environmental loadings • Breakdown of coating systems – poor selection and application • Tank – inadequate construction techniques Footer text - slideshow title 30.07.2010 Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 6. Generic dynamics of rework Relationship contracting Project scope • Negative impact of workflow • Production pressure Production FPSO interface with subsea/topside/vessel/pipeline The „+‟, and „-‟, respectively, classifies positive and negative consequences of an increase of Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J the original variable on the relying variable.
  • 7. Design errors: Sleipner A failure Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J Loss resulted in 2 year delay, loss of structure and revenue US$780m
  • 8. • Eliminate wasteful practices • Optimize resources • Streamline production flow • Improve efficiency Lean construction “Way to design production systems to minimize waste (materials, time, and effort) to generate maximum value” Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 9. Re-think project delivery • Remove lowest cost – go for value • Eliminate competitive tendering • Introduce performance measurement into contracts • Integrated project teams • Improve workflow predictability ( eliminate buffers/wasted capacity) Source: Lean Construction Institute Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 10. BIM: From 3D → nD modelling A methodology to manage the essential design and project data in digital format throughout the an assets life cycle Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 11. Augmented reality Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 12. Dynamic planning: real-time RFID Sensors and tracking Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J
  • 13. Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J