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15/3 -17 impact exponential technologies

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Presentation about exponential technologies for data scientists. The first public SU Chapter Dubai presentation and focus on AI

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15/3 -17 impact exponential technologies

  1. 1. Technology is determining our future Paul Epping, Chapter lead March 15th Chapter SU Dubai presentation
  2. 2. Who or what will be thinking for me? #SUChapterDubai
  3. 3. The Millennium Project: 63 Nodes...and two regional networks in Europe and Latin America Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training. are groups of experts and institutions that connect global and local views in: Tunisi a Yerevan Sri Lanka
  4. 4. When you change the way you look at things, the things you look at will change Wayne Dyre
  5. 5. Driver of exponential growth of technology
  6. 6. Geological Clock 6 12 3 1 9 2 Proterozoic ? Multicellar Animals Landplants Mammals Humans 4.5 billion years
  7. 7. First tools
  8. 8. Extermination of big mammals On the move Extension of our stomach Fire
  9. 9. The last 10 seconds
  10. 10. 14
  11. 11. Exponential technological growth at reduced cost for performance Bandwidth Storage Cost Computing Cost 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 $ per gB per Sec. $ per 1M transistors $ per gB 1992 Today $ Time Video conferencing Digital camera GPS Scanning Calculator Cloud storage Digital dictaphone Music player Video player Etc. Software solutions for free
  12. 12. A gap that we usually don’t conceive as a gap
  13. 13. Examples of exponential technologies Cognitivecomputing Nano technology Digital biology Genomics Energy 3D printing Digitization Robotics
  14. 14. The law of acceleration returns will be seen at the intersections of exponential technologies
  15. 15. Credit: Frank Diana Intersections
  16. 16. Effect that we see, experience All technology that will digitize, add information to itDigitize 1 Stages of innovation to understand that disruption is just one phase The 6 D’s according to P. Diamandis In the early stage small doublings => once it hits the knee you’re 10 doublings away from a thousand, twenty doublings to reach a million; thirty doublings to get to a billion Deceptive 2 Any innovation that creates a new market and disrupts an existing one Disruptive 3 You don’t have separated solutions (flashlight, GPS or camera,….) Instead => apps on your smartphone Dematerializatio n 5 You can reach very quickly very large groups of peopleDemocratization 6 An existing product or service will available for free or way cheaper (Uber, Airbnb, FB, Skype, Whatsapp, etc) Demonetizatio n 4 ReshapedourworldRevolutionizeour world
  17. 17. Examples of results on the intersections
  18. 18. Bob Radocy at Cybathlon
  19. 19. Ultrasound in your pocket
  20. 20. Philips Minicare
  21. 21. Develop and demonstratehow humanscan collaborate with powerful AI technologies to tackle the world’s grand challenges
  22. 22. xPrize: 21 medical conditions (10 required, 5 elective) including diabetes anemia, sleep apnea, atrial fibrillation, RR (should weight < 5 pounds)
  23. 23. Mercy Virtual 36 Safe watch (2006); Telestroke; Virtual Hospitalists; Home Monitoring (3800 patients)
  24. 24. A look inside
  25. 25. 24/7 Connectivity: The Internet of Medical Things 38 Always-on personalized connected health services at the point of care Population health management
  26. 26. Perceived Benefits and Negative Consequences of 12 Emerging Technologies (WEF’17) 75 % will affect HC!
  27. 27. Now Tomorrow Interne t Now we can make the “math” ourselves
  28. 28. Artificial intelligence
  29. 29. The neocortex as differentiator 100 million modules built for pattern recognition
  30. 30. Dendrites generate nearly 10 times more electrochemical spikes than neuron cell bodies Computational power bigger than thought
  31. 31. AI start ups in the US, 2016 =>160 Since 2012 => 648
  32. 32. Smoldering fires underground
  33. 33. Three forms of Artificial Intelligence 1. Artificial Narrow Intelligence 2. Artificial General Intelligence 3. Artificial Super Intelligence These three are often lumped together as AI This confuses the discussion about AI
  34. 34. Professor Stephen Hawking (Photo Credit: NASA/Paul Alers) www.gizmag.com
  35. 35. Our brains are getting augmented, but socially we are weakening Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http:/ / host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http:/ / host. dom ain.tl d
  36. 36. And all connected to the internet… Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d Ca rri er 12: 34 PMWeb Page Title http: // host. dom ain.tl d
  37. 37. Steve Jobs and Bill Gates 1991 By 2030-2050 millions of people could become augmented geniuses, and what could they create?
  38. 38. Do “they” really understand….??
  39. 39. Brains are in!Our future Hybrid Synthetic Brain?
  40. 40. AI will dominate us… and now? R L Merge typical human values like love, liberty, democracy, compassion, tolerance with AI. This inheritance will be an opportunity for a better world.
  41. 41. Asilomar AI principles Research Issues Goal Funding Culture Race avoidance Science Politics link Non- subversion Ethics & Values AI Arms race Shared prosperity Liberty & Privacy Human values Responsi bility Safety Human control Shared benefit Personal privacy Value alignment Judicial transpare ncy Failure transpare ncy Longer term Issues Recursive Self- improvem ent Common good Risks Import ance Capability caution
  42. 42. Singularity?
  43. 43. Singularity?
  44. 44. The 6 Epochs: Evolution works through indirection: it creates a capability and then uses that capability to evolve the next stage. 16-03-17 63
  45. 45. My key learnings • Change yourself or you will be changed • Exponential growth of technology will force us to change gears • Unprecedented confluence of disruptive technologies (synthetic biology, AI, nano, sensors, robots, etc.) will improve our physical health • Machines will surpass human intelligence soon and cross an irreversible point • No future for diseases: genomics – nano - AI- digital biology • Merging human values with AI for co-existential sustainability • Lost of millions of jobs < 10 years, but are we ready to focus on opportunities (education)? • By 2020 we have 2 billion new minds joining the internet, 2 billion inventors… • Many organizations build their strategies on linear foundations whereas the exponential world is around the corner. New business models are needed • There will be a world of abundance, but who will benefit from that? • Technology encourages superficiality (millenniums)
  46. 46. Influential books (must reads … if you have time)
  47. 47. In the end it’s all about ideas ……. let ideas meet each other
  48. 48. .Thank You . © 2017 Singularity University Paul Epping PaulEpping PaulEpping

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