Slides for talk given at Amplify09 in Sydney, Australia.

1. re•making tomorrow
JAMAIS CASCIO
JUNE 2009

2. What if we really COULD change
the future for the better?

4. THREE NUMBERS

5. 74,000
50
3

6. 74,000

7. 74,000
Years
Ago

12. 50

13. 50
Year
Scenario

14. Jamais Casio
Research Affiliate
Institute for the Future
Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat
April 20–21, 2009
© 2009 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1229
12

15. WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION
BANK FAILURES
MASS UNEMPLOYMENT
POLITICAL INSTABILITY

16. GLOBAL WAR
TRIGGERED BY MISCOMMUNICATION
WIDESPREAD CHEMICAL WARFARE
NEW MILITARY TECHNOLOGIES

17. DEADLY PANDEMIC
MILLIONS DIE
A GENERATION LOST
BURNS ITSELF OUT

18. ANOTHER WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION
HYPER-INFLATION
RISE OF TOTALITARIAN GOVERNMENTS
RADICAL ECONOMIC EXPERIMENTS

19. EVEN LARGER WORLD WAR
EVERY CONTINENT INVOLVED
GENOCIDE AS A WEAPON
CULMINATES IN A NUCLEAR ATTACK

20. HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO?

21. HOW LIKELY IS THIS SCENARIO?
IT ALREADY HAPPENED.

22. THE “LONG DEPRESSION,” 1870S-1890S
19 4

23. WORLD WAR I
20 5

24. GREAT INFLUENZA
21 6

25. GREAT DEPRESSION
22 7

26. WORLD WAR II
23 8

27. THIS CENTURY’S
CHALLENGES...

28. climate disruption

29. climate disruption

30. resource collapse

31. resource collapse

32. financial meltdown

33. financial meltdown

34. the rise of the post-
hegemonic era

35. the rise of the post-
hegemonic era

37. AND REFUGEES
AND PANDEMICS
AND TOPSOIL DEGRADATION
AND OVERPOPULATION
AND REGIONAL WARS
AND BIOTERROR
AND NANOTERROR
AND SPAM
AND...

40. RESILIENCE

41. RESILIENCE
RESILIENCE: THE CAPACITY OF A SYSTEM TO
TOLERATE DISTURBANCE WITHOUT
COLLAPSING, TO WITHSTAND SHOCKS, TO
REBUILD ITSELF WHEN NECESSARY, AND TO
IMPROVE ITSELF WHEN POSSIBLE.

43. flexibility

48. participation

53. interconnection

58. augmented
awareness

63. catalytic innovation

77. 3

78. 3%

82. THE BIG PICTURE

86. JAMAIS CASCIO
CASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM
WWW.OPENTHEFUTURE.COM
TWITTER: @CASCIO