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Jamais Cascio
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Amplify Talk
1.
re•making tomorrow
JAMAIS CASCIO JUNE 2009
2.
What if we
really COULD change the future for the better?
3.
4.
THREE NUMBERS
5.
74,000 50
3
6.
74,000
7.
74,000 Years Ago
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
50
13.
50 Year Scenario
14.
Jamais Casio
Research Affiliate Institute for the Future Ten-Year Forecast Annual Retreat April 20–21, 2009 © 2009 Institute for the Future. All rights reserved. | SR-1229 12
15.
WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION
BANK FAILURES MASS UNEMPLOYMENT POLITICAL INSTABILITY
16.
GLOBAL WAR TRIGGERED BY
MISCOMMUNICATION WIDESPREAD CHEMICAL WARFARE NEW MILITARY TECHNOLOGIES
17.
DEADLY PANDEMIC
MILLIONS DIE A GENERATION LOST BURNS ITSELF OUT
18.
ANOTHER WORLD-WIDE DEPRESSION
HYPER-INFLATION RISE OF TOTALITARIAN GOVERNMENTS RADICAL ECONOMIC EXPERIMENTS
19.
EVEN LARGER WORLD
WAR EVERY CONTINENT INVOLVED GENOCIDE AS A WEAPON CULMINATES IN A NUCLEAR ATTACK
20.
HOW LIKELY IS
THIS SCENARIO?
21.
HOW LIKELY IS
THIS SCENARIO? IT ALREADY HAPPENED.
22.
THE “LONG DEPRESSION,”
1870S-1890S 19 4
23.
WORLD WAR I
20 5
24.
GREAT INFLUENZA
21 6
25.
GREAT DEPRESSION
22 7
26.
WORLD WAR II
23 8
27.
THIS CENTURY’S CHALLENGES...
28.
climate disruption
29.
climate disruption
30.
resource collapse
31.
resource collapse
32.
financial meltdown
33.
financial meltdown
34.
the rise of
the post- hegemonic era
35.
the rise of
the post- hegemonic era
36.
37.
AND REFUGEES AND PANDEMICS AND
TOPSOIL DEGRADATION AND OVERPOPULATION AND REGIONAL WARS AND BIOTERROR AND NANOTERROR AND SPAM AND...
38.
39.
40.
RESILIENCE
41.
RESILIENCE RESILIENCE: THE CAPACITY
OF A SYSTEM TO TOLERATE DISTURBANCE WITHOUT COLLAPSING, TO WITHSTAND SHOCKS, TO REBUILD ITSELF WHEN NECESSARY, AND TO IMPROVE ITSELF WHEN POSSIBLE.
42.
43.
flexibility
44.
45.
46.
47.
48.
participation
49.
50.
51.
52.
53.
interconnection
54.
55.
56.
57.
58.
augmented awareness
59.
60.
61.
62.
63.
catalytic innovation
64.
65.
66.
67.
68.
69.
70.
71.
72.
73.
74.
75.
76.
77.
3
78.
3%
79.
80.
81.
82.
THE BIG PICTURE
83.
84.
85.
86.
JAMAIS CASCIO CASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM WWW.OPENTHEFUTURE.COM
TWITTER: @CASCIO
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