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Café Scientifique: 11 November 2013
‘John Snow Bicentenary,
Cholera Epidemiology,
the Isle of Wight and Haiti’.
My talk - not just a narrative
account of medical history!
Modest aim of presentation :
to give insight into how science advances
& to provoke discussion
Greatest Doctor of all time?
Type question into
Greatest Doctor of all time?
Greatest Doctor of all time?
Hospital Doctor
Asked its readership in March 2003
Greatest Doctor ever?
Greatest Doctor ever:
1. John Snow (1813-1858)
2. Hippocrates (460-370 BC)
3. Dame Cicely Saunders (1918-2005)
John Snow –
London’s number 1 Anaesthetist
End 1846 ‘Ether’
arrives from Boston
1847 Book ‘On the
Inhalation of the
Vapour of Ether in
Surgical Operations’
Anaesthetist to royalty
1853 Provided anaesthetic for the birth
of Prince Leopold (no. 8)
‘Dr Snow gave that blessed chloroform
and the effect was soothing, quieting,
and delightful beyond measure’
1857 Birth of Princess Beatrice (no. 9)
(1858 Posthumous book
‘On Chloroform and Other Anaesthetics’
Snow is said to have given 11,000
anaesthetics without a death)
Reputation:
Anaesthetics –
not enough to
account for increasing
veneration of Snow
during last century
Reputation:
Anaesthetics –
not enough to
account for increasing
veneration of Snow
during last century

Cholera - But why did Snow bother?
John Snow Pub

But he was teetotal
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

John Snow Lecture Theatre
College of the University of Durham
Founded 2001
Waves of cholera/deaths
E & W IOW
1832
22k
2
1848/9 53k 188
1854
20k
35
1866
14k 125

(Snow)
Apprentice in Sunderland

Used IOW data

Broad Street
South London water supply
Dead
Snow
• Had a strong conviction
that cholera was
transmissible by water,
food and person-to-person
• Applied the science then
available
• But his findings not
endorsed by the medical or
political establishment
Transmission via water
1850: JS founding
member of the
Epidemiological
Society of London
Snow called in Hassall
Hassall’s 1854 illustration of
rice-water evacuations

Great missed opportunity
Filippo Pacini

Pacini now acknowledged as
discoverer of cholera organism
Work of Louis Pasteur and
Robert Koch was to follow
Broad Street Pump

Rev Henry Whitehead
Context provided by modern historians

Paper 1990:
‘Who made
John Snow
a hero’
Charles Creighton
1894 ‘History of epidemics
in Great Britain’
Two volumes
16 000 pages
One sentence on Snow
Major Greenwood
1934 ‘Epidemics
and Crowd Diseases’
Chapter on Cholera
But no mention of Snow
Historians point out:
• in the 1840s and 50s there was much
confusion over cholera
• Many ‘pet theories’ were published
• Snow’s work did not lead to a scientific
revolution
Snow was made famous
by Hampton Frost
• 1936 republished second edition
of ‘Snow on Cholera’
• Used Snow’s outbreak maps
as a John Hopkins class exercise
• Hampton’s pupils wrote the
textbooks of the second half
of the 20th century
Good story:
• Poor boy made good
• Solitary medical genius
• Public Health hero
Good scientist?
Tom Koch: John Snow –
• Rushed to print
• Misused data
(Snow did not endear himself
to Thomas Wakley)

But he was right!
First 1848/49 IOW death from cholera
20th Dec 1848: The surgeon of the Cowes
District reported to the Guardians of the Poor
that a case of malignant Cholera he had under
his care had terminated fatally.
The name of the Individual was
Charles Nutkins, a sailor, 27 years
of age who returned on the
evening of the 15th December
from Rotterdam via London and
Southampton and died in the
night of the 16th.
National enquiry conducted in 1849 of previous
year’s outbreak by Provincial Medical and
Surgical Association
Published a questionnaire in its Journal
Few responded but
Mr Bloxam of
Newport did
Read by Snow who contacted Mr Bloxam for more detail
Snow published the Carisbrooke cluster in the
second edition of his ‘On the Mode’ as an
example of the transmission of Cholera via food
12 January 2010: Haitian Earthquake
Moment magnitude scale 7.0
Depth 8 to 10 Km
15 Km southwest of Port-au-Prince
220,000 killed
Haitian Earthquake
2010 Haitian outbreak of Cholera
No evidence of cholera in Haiti before 2010
Since Oct 2010, has killed 8,361 (17 Oct 2013)
Haitian outbreak of Cholera:
Sudden, and initially localised

Artibonite
District
UN: ‘the main task is to control the outbreak
not look for the source’
Jan 2011
New England Journal of Medicine
‘Haitian outbreak
strain shares
ancestry with
recent South Asian
strains and not
those circulating
in Latin America
and East Africa’
UN independent panel report
‘The sanitation conditions at the (Nepalese)
camp were not sufficient to prevent faecal
contamination’
UN independent panel report
The outbreak could not have occurred ‘without
simultaneous water, sanitation and health
care system deficiencies’
‘Outbreak caused by the confluence of
circumstances - not the fault of or deliberate
action of a group or individual’
(Oct 2013: Haitian strain found in Mexico)
Tom Koch
‘Science is not about
being right but
convincing others you
are right’
Tom Koch
‘When in the thick of another epidemic, raise a
glass of lemonade to John Snow,
but follow it with
a chaser for all the
other alcoholics
who laboured in
the field’
Questions/Conclusion
• John Snow is venerated by the specialty of public
health – but should he be? Should science have
heroes?
• As a scientist, is it enough just to be right?
• The Isle of Wight’s connection with cholera and
Snow’s bicentenary (Carisbrooke cluster/Hassall
at Ventnor/Queen Victoria) have been
commemorated - just in time.
• Organism genetics (bacteria ‘fingerprinting’)
is revolutionising outbreak investigation.
"You and I", he (Snow) would
say to me, "may not live to see
the day, and my name may be
forgotten when it comes, but
the time will arrive when great
outbreaks of cholera will be
things of the past; and it is the
knowledge of the way in which
the disease is propagated which
will cause them to disappear.“
Rev Henry Whitehead at his
farewell dinner

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John snow and cholera dr paul bingham - isle of wight cafe scientifique - nov 2013

  • 1. Café Scientifique: 11 November 2013 ‘John Snow Bicentenary, Cholera Epidemiology, the Isle of Wight and Haiti’.
  • 2. My talk - not just a narrative account of medical history! Modest aim of presentation : to give insight into how science advances & to provoke discussion
  • 3. Greatest Doctor of all time? Type question into
  • 4. Greatest Doctor of all time?
  • 5. Greatest Doctor of all time?
  • 6. Hospital Doctor Asked its readership in March 2003 Greatest Doctor ever?
  • 7. Greatest Doctor ever: 1. John Snow (1813-1858) 2. Hippocrates (460-370 BC) 3. Dame Cicely Saunders (1918-2005)
  • 8. John Snow – London’s number 1 Anaesthetist End 1846 ‘Ether’ arrives from Boston 1847 Book ‘On the Inhalation of the Vapour of Ether in Surgical Operations’
  • 9. Anaesthetist to royalty 1853 Provided anaesthetic for the birth of Prince Leopold (no. 8) ‘Dr Snow gave that blessed chloroform and the effect was soothing, quieting, and delightful beyond measure’ 1857 Birth of Princess Beatrice (no. 9) (1858 Posthumous book ‘On Chloroform and Other Anaesthetics’ Snow is said to have given 11,000 anaesthetics without a death)
  • 10. Reputation: Anaesthetics – not enough to account for increasing veneration of Snow during last century
  • 11. Reputation: Anaesthetics – not enough to account for increasing veneration of Snow during last century Cholera - But why did Snow bother?
  • 12. John Snow Pub But he was teetotal
  • 13.
  • 14. London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine John Snow Lecture Theatre
  • 15. College of the University of Durham Founded 2001
  • 16.
  • 17. Waves of cholera/deaths E & W IOW 1832 22k 2 1848/9 53k 188 1854 20k 35 1866 14k 125 (Snow) Apprentice in Sunderland Used IOW data Broad Street South London water supply Dead
  • 18. Snow • Had a strong conviction that cholera was transmissible by water, food and person-to-person • Applied the science then available • But his findings not endorsed by the medical or political establishment
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. 1850: JS founding member of the Epidemiological Society of London
  • 24. Snow called in Hassall
  • 25. Hassall’s 1854 illustration of rice-water evacuations Great missed opportunity
  • 26. Filippo Pacini Pacini now acknowledged as discoverer of cholera organism Work of Louis Pasteur and Robert Koch was to follow
  • 27. Broad Street Pump Rev Henry Whitehead
  • 28. Context provided by modern historians Paper 1990: ‘Who made John Snow a hero’
  • 29. Charles Creighton 1894 ‘History of epidemics in Great Britain’ Two volumes 16 000 pages One sentence on Snow
  • 30. Major Greenwood 1934 ‘Epidemics and Crowd Diseases’ Chapter on Cholera But no mention of Snow
  • 31. Historians point out: • in the 1840s and 50s there was much confusion over cholera • Many ‘pet theories’ were published • Snow’s work did not lead to a scientific revolution
  • 32. Snow was made famous by Hampton Frost • 1936 republished second edition of ‘Snow on Cholera’ • Used Snow’s outbreak maps as a John Hopkins class exercise • Hampton’s pupils wrote the textbooks of the second half of the 20th century
  • 33. Good story: • Poor boy made good • Solitary medical genius • Public Health hero
  • 34. Good scientist? Tom Koch: John Snow – • Rushed to print • Misused data (Snow did not endear himself to Thomas Wakley) But he was right!
  • 35. First 1848/49 IOW death from cholera 20th Dec 1848: The surgeon of the Cowes District reported to the Guardians of the Poor that a case of malignant Cholera he had under his care had terminated fatally. The name of the Individual was Charles Nutkins, a sailor, 27 years of age who returned on the evening of the 15th December from Rotterdam via London and Southampton and died in the night of the 16th.
  • 36. National enquiry conducted in 1849 of previous year’s outbreak by Provincial Medical and Surgical Association Published a questionnaire in its Journal Few responded but Mr Bloxam of Newport did
  • 37. Read by Snow who contacted Mr Bloxam for more detail
  • 38. Snow published the Carisbrooke cluster in the second edition of his ‘On the Mode’ as an example of the transmission of Cholera via food
  • 39. 12 January 2010: Haitian Earthquake Moment magnitude scale 7.0 Depth 8 to 10 Km 15 Km southwest of Port-au-Prince 220,000 killed
  • 41.
  • 42. 2010 Haitian outbreak of Cholera No evidence of cholera in Haiti before 2010 Since Oct 2010, has killed 8,361 (17 Oct 2013)
  • 43. Haitian outbreak of Cholera: Sudden, and initially localised Artibonite District
  • 44. UN: ‘the main task is to control the outbreak not look for the source’
  • 45. Jan 2011 New England Journal of Medicine ‘Haitian outbreak strain shares ancestry with recent South Asian strains and not those circulating in Latin America and East Africa’
  • 46. UN independent panel report ‘The sanitation conditions at the (Nepalese) camp were not sufficient to prevent faecal contamination’
  • 47. UN independent panel report The outbreak could not have occurred ‘without simultaneous water, sanitation and health care system deficiencies’ ‘Outbreak caused by the confluence of circumstances - not the fault of or deliberate action of a group or individual’ (Oct 2013: Haitian strain found in Mexico)
  • 48. Tom Koch ‘Science is not about being right but convincing others you are right’
  • 49. Tom Koch ‘When in the thick of another epidemic, raise a glass of lemonade to John Snow, but follow it with a chaser for all the other alcoholics who laboured in the field’
  • 50. Questions/Conclusion • John Snow is venerated by the specialty of public health – but should he be? Should science have heroes? • As a scientist, is it enough just to be right? • The Isle of Wight’s connection with cholera and Snow’s bicentenary (Carisbrooke cluster/Hassall at Ventnor/Queen Victoria) have been commemorated - just in time. • Organism genetics (bacteria ‘fingerprinting’) is revolutionising outbreak investigation.
  • 51. "You and I", he (Snow) would say to me, "may not live to see the day, and my name may be forgotten when it comes, but the time will arrive when great outbreaks of cholera will be things of the past; and it is the knowledge of the way in which the disease is propagated which will cause them to disappear.“ Rev Henry Whitehead at his farewell dinner