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Anyone Can Intubate
or Not
Teaching & Learning Airway
Management the Antifragile Way
George Kovacs MD MHPE FRCPC
Professor, Departments of Emergency Medicine, Anaesthesia
Medical Neuroscience & Division of Medical Education
Dalhousie University, Halifax Nova Scotia
gkovacs@dal.ca
@kovacsgj
AIMEairway.ca
2
@kovacsgj
AIMEairway.ca
4
5
6
355
Anyone Can Intubate!!
16
Successful Airway
Management
First Pass
Success
Success

‱ 90 % FPS
‱ >90 % sat
‱ >90 mm Hg
‱ <90 sec
Becoming Successful
Competence
Context
ConïŹdence
Conscientiousness
Competence
Context
ConïŹdence
Conscientiousness
Avoiding Failure ?
Competence
Program
Practice
Feedback
Competence/Performance
Do
Show how
Know how
Know
Miller GE. The assessment of clinical skills/competence/performance. Acad Med.1990
Does
Competence
Performance
How Much Practice
“The greats weren’t great cause at birth they
could paint. The greats were great cause they
painted a lot.”
Practice- How often?
Math 101
‱ Owning the airway?
Math 101
‱ 75,000 Patient visits
‱ 500 ETI’s/year
‱ 9 shifts/day
‱ 15 shifts/month
‱ 2-3 resusc area/month
‱ How many tubes?
during laryngoscopy is supported by the ïŹndings of
Nouruzi-Sedeh et al., who found that the main difïŹ-
culty for novices was in obtaining a good laryngeal
view within 120 s [12]. In addition, Aziz et al. found a
65% incidence of failure involving inadequate laryngeal
views in a observational study of 2004 GlideScope
intubations [23].
The ïŹndings of this study are limited in that it
includes a small number of individuals in a single
institution, with the possibility that the ïŹndings may
not generalise to other institutions. However, the large
number of intubations studied, the statistical homoge-
neity of subjects/case difïŹculty and the gradual pro-
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 20 40 60 80 100
Probabilityofoptimalintubation
Experience
Figure 1 The probability of optimal intubation pre-
dicted by mixed-effects logistic regression model.
Cortellazzi et al. | GlideScopeĂą
tracheal intubation expertise Anaesthesia 2014
75? >100?
Resuscitation xxx (2015) xxx–xxx
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Resuscitation
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resuscitation
Review article
DeïŹning the learning curve for endotracheal intubation using direct
laryngoscopy: A systematic reviewàŹ,àŹàŹ
Maria L. Buis∗Q1 , Iscander M. Maissan, Sanne E. Hoeks, Markus Klimek, Robert J. Stolker
Department of Anaesthesiology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, OfïŹce H-1286, ’s-Gravendijkwal 230, 3015 CE Rotterdam, The NetherlandsQ2
a r t i c l e i n f o
Article history:
Received 31 July 2015
Received in revised form 4 November 2015
Accepted 11 November 2015
Keywords:
Learning curve
Direct laryngoscopy
Intubation
a b s t r a c t
More than two failed intubation attempts and failed endotracheal intubations (ETIs) are associated with
severe complications and death. The aim of this review was to determine the number of ETIs a health care
provider in training needs to perform to achieve proïŹciency within two attempts. A systematic search of
the literature was conducted covering the time frame of January 1990 through July 2014. We identiïŹed
13 studies with a total of 1462 students who had attempted to intubate 19,108 patients. This review
shows that in mostly elective circumstances, at least 50 ETIs with no more than two intubation attempts
need to be performed to reach a success rate of at least 90%. However, the evidence is heterogeneous,
and the incidence of difïŹcult airways in non-elective settings is up to 20 times higher compared to
elective settings. Taking this factor into account, training should include a variety of exposures and should
probably exceed 50 ETIs to successfully serve the most vulnerable patients.
© 2015 Published by Elsevier Ireland Ltd.
Introduction
Q3
Failed intubation is the most frequently reported complica-
tion in airway management according to a recent British survey.1,2
Numerous (>2) attempts and failed endotracheal intubations (ETIs)
are associated with oxygen desaturation, arrhythmias, cardiac
arrest, brain damage, and mortality.3–6 The most critical patients
deserve the best-skilled health care providers, and the more
experienced the physician, the higher the chance of a successful
intubation.7 As for all manual skills, ETI is subject to a learning
curve.8
ETI skills should be developed in a structured training pro-
gramme, which is especially relevant for those who intubate in
non-elective or emergency settings where the incidence of a dif-
ïŹcult or failed intubation is up to 20 times higher than in the
elective setting.3 In the Netherlands, training programmes for non-
anaesthesiologists who perform ETIs currently do not require a
minimum number of completed ETIs.9
The aim of the present study was to provide a systematic review
of the literature on the learning curve for ETIs. Because direct
àŹ A Spanish translated version of the abstract of this article appears as Appendix
in the ïŹnal online version at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2015.11.005.
àŹàŹ This review was presented at the Dutch Anaesthesiology Congress, May 29,
2015, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
∗ Corresponding author.
E-mail address: m.buis@erasmusmc.nl (M.L. Buis).
laryngoscopy (DL) is the most widely used technique pre-hospital
and in-hospital, we reviewed the learning curves for this proce-
dure. We speciïŹcally aimed to identify the number of ETIs a novice
intubator must perform to achieve proïŹciency with this procedure,
deïŹned as successfully intubating within two attempts.
Methods
Study selection
This review was performed according to the Preferred Reporting
Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) state-
ment. A search of the literature (January 1990–July 2014) was
performed using EMBASE, MEDLINE, Web of Science, Cochrane
Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and PubMed. The
following keywords were used for the search: ‘intubation’, ‘learn-
ing curve’, and ‘laryngoscopy’. The search was limited by excluding
the keywords ‘videolaryngoscopy’ and ‘paediatrics’. The full elec-
tronic searches can be found in Appendix A. In addition, we hand
searched the reference sections of all articles that were selected for
review.
Inclusion criteria were English-language only, human studies
only, DL as the sole procedure, novice participants or number of
previously performed intubations clearly identiïŹable, and speci-
ïŹed quantiïŹcation of the success rate learning curve for ETI. Studies
were excluded if they had been conducted in a simulation labora-
tory, were limited to paediatric patients only, involved ETI using a
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40-80?
Bernhard et al. 2012
Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica
Cortellazzi et al. 2015 Anaesthesia
The pursuit & consequence
of the search for easy

1stAttemptSuccessRates
0
25
50
75
100
Sackles 2011 Mosier 2013 Kory 2013 Michalideu 2014 Lee 2014 Silverberg 2014 Sakles 2014 Hypes 2016 Total
VL
DL 68%
80%
Total ~2500 in each DL & VL
In pursuit of easy

VL is better

1stAttemptSuccessRates
0
25
50
75
100
Sackles 2011 Mosier 2013 Kory 2013 Michalideu 2014 Lee 2014 Silverberg 2014 Sakles 2014 Hypes 2016 Total
VL
DL 68%
80%
17,000 Registry PatientsDL 84%
In pursuit of easy

VL is better than bad DL
Tell me what you see?
Do you see the posterior
cartridges?
Competence
Context
ConïŹdence
Conscientiousness
Context: materials
5 Faces
Context
7,000,000,000
43
High Acuity Low Opportunity
Challenge
Petrosoniak & Hicks. Current opinion in Anaesthesiology. 2013
High Acuity
Low Opportunity
Low Acuity
Low Opportunity
High Acuity
High Opportunity
Low Acuity
High Opportunity
Opportunity
Acuity
Sim
Zone
Overlearn
Opportunities
 Overlearn
Opportunities
 Overlearn
Context: environment
High
Stakes
These are your vitals
Times of stress
Challenge Threat
Grossman & Christensen. On Combat 2008
Don’t avoid failure

be antifragile
High Acuity Low Opportunity
Challenge
Petrosoniak & Hicks. Current opinion in Anaesthesiology. 2013
High Acuity
Low Opportunity
Low Acuity
Low Opportunity
High Acuity
High Opportunity
Low Acuity
High Opportunity
Opportunity
Acuity
Sim
Zone
Overlearn
System 1 training
System 1 training
Learn as Many/Execute as 1
Incrementalization
8
- The “secret “ of competence in crisis is to break down the
challenge into smaller parts, and then incrementalize it into its
smallest, most fundamental components.
- Operators should master a regimented series of best-practice
steps that are small, reliable, and reproducible. Expertise is the
ability to do each task well, transforming incrementalized steps
into one fluid, apparently easy, and effortless movement.
- Slow is smooth and smooth is fast. Rushing deteriorates
performance.  Multi-tasking is a myth.
- Procedures should be engineered for crisis performance, by
flattening the slope, and lightening the load.
- Slope: Incrementalization
- Load: Cognition
System 1 training:
Avoid Insanity
I can’t see %$^&!!!
System 1 training:
Cued Response
‱ Epiglottoscopy
‱ Valleculoscopy
‱ Laryngoscopy
‱ Intubation
AIMEairway.ca: SMACC Byte- Airway Management Kata
Epiglottis only response
Cued Response:
Psychomotor rehearsal
EVLI
Learn as Many/Execute as 1
Best Look DL&I
Cued Response:
Psychomotor rehearsal
Learn as Many/Execute as 1
Competence
Context
ConïŹdence
Conscientiousness
Confidence
“we all got plans, til you get
punched in the mouth”
Confidence
Number Needed to be

Confident
Confidence
Experience
Confidence
Good judgment is the
result of experience and
experience the result of
bad judgment
Conscientiousness
Competence
Confidence
Context
64

 work ethically
Conscientiousness
It’s not about you
Its about the patient
67
Conscientiousness

 work ethic
68
Conscientiousness

 work ethic
69
Conscientiousness
Doing
Knowing

 work ethic
Plan A
Plan CPlan B
Airway Tool Box
Do
Know
Plan A
Plan CPlan B
Airway Tool Box
Do
Know
Fear of Failure
Competence
Context
ConïŹdence
Conscientiousness
Anybody can intubate
Anybody can intubate
Competence
Context
ConïŹdence
Conscientiousness
Anyone can intubate
Thank You

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Anyone Can Intubate, or Not: Teaching airway skills the antifragile way

  • 1. Anyone Can Intubate or Not Teaching & Learning Airway Management the Antifragile Way George Kovacs MD MHPE FRCPC Professor, Departments of Emergency Medicine, Anaesthesia Medical Neuroscience & Division of Medical Education Dalhousie University, Halifax Nova Scotia gkovacs@dal.ca @kovacsgj AIMEairway.ca
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  • 23. Success
 ‱ 90 % FPS ‱ >90 % sat ‱ >90 mm Hg ‱ <90 sec
  • 27. Competence/Performance Do Show how Know how Know Miller GE. The assessment of clinical skills/competence/performance. Acad Med.1990
  • 30. “The greats weren’t great cause at birth they could paint. The greats were great cause they painted a lot.”
  • 32. Math 101 ‱ Owning the airway?
  • 33. Math 101 ‱ 75,000 Patient visits ‱ 500 ETI’s/year ‱ 9 shifts/day ‱ 15 shifts/month ‱ 2-3 resusc area/month ‱ How many tubes?
  • 34. during laryngoscopy is supported by the ïŹndings of Nouruzi-Sedeh et al., who found that the main difïŹ- culty for novices was in obtaining a good laryngeal view within 120 s [12]. In addition, Aziz et al. found a 65% incidence of failure involving inadequate laryngeal views in a observational study of 2004 GlideScope intubations [23]. The ïŹndings of this study are limited in that it includes a small number of individuals in a single institution, with the possibility that the ïŹndings may not generalise to other institutions. However, the large number of intubations studied, the statistical homoge- neity of subjects/case difïŹculty and the gradual pro- 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 20 40 60 80 100 Probabilityofoptimalintubation Experience Figure 1 The probability of optimal intubation pre- dicted by mixed-effects logistic regression model. Cortellazzi et al. | GlideScopeĂą tracheal intubation expertise Anaesthesia 2014 75? >100? Resuscitation xxx (2015) xxx–xxx Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Resuscitation journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/resuscitation Review article DeïŹning the learning curve for endotracheal intubation using direct laryngoscopy: A systematic reviewàŹ,àŹàŹ Maria L. Buis∗Q1 , Iscander M. Maissan, Sanne E. Hoeks, Markus Klimek, Robert J. Stolker Department of Anaesthesiology, Erasmus University Medical Centre, OfïŹce H-1286, ’s-Gravendijkwal 230, 3015 CE Rotterdam, The NetherlandsQ2 a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 31 July 2015 Received in revised form 4 November 2015 Accepted 11 November 2015 Keywords: Learning curve Direct laryngoscopy Intubation a b s t r a c t More than two failed intubation attempts and failed endotracheal intubations (ETIs) are associated with severe complications and death. The aim of this review was to determine the number of ETIs a health care provider in training needs to perform to achieve proïŹciency within two attempts. A systematic search of the literature was conducted covering the time frame of January 1990 through July 2014. We identiïŹed 13 studies with a total of 1462 students who had attempted to intubate 19,108 patients. This review shows that in mostly elective circumstances, at least 50 ETIs with no more than two intubation attempts need to be performed to reach a success rate of at least 90%. However, the evidence is heterogeneous, and the incidence of difïŹcult airways in non-elective settings is up to 20 times higher compared to elective settings. Taking this factor into account, training should include a variety of exposures and should probably exceed 50 ETIs to successfully serve the most vulnerable patients. © 2015 Published by Elsevier Ireland Ltd. Introduction Q3 Failed intubation is the most frequently reported complica- tion in airway management according to a recent British survey.1,2 Numerous (>2) attempts and failed endotracheal intubations (ETIs) are associated with oxygen desaturation, arrhythmias, cardiac arrest, brain damage, and mortality.3–6 The most critical patients deserve the best-skilled health care providers, and the more experienced the physician, the higher the chance of a successful intubation.7 As for all manual skills, ETI is subject to a learning curve.8 ETI skills should be developed in a structured training pro- gramme, which is especially relevant for those who intubate in non-elective or emergency settings where the incidence of a dif- ïŹcult or failed intubation is up to 20 times higher than in the elective setting.3 In the Netherlands, training programmes for non- anaesthesiologists who perform ETIs currently do not require a minimum number of completed ETIs.9 The aim of the present study was to provide a systematic review of the literature on the learning curve for ETIs. Because direct àŹ A Spanish translated version of the abstract of this article appears as Appendix in the ïŹnal online version at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2015.11.005. àŹàŹ This review was presented at the Dutch Anaesthesiology Congress, May 29, 2015, Maastricht, The Netherlands. ∗ Corresponding author. E-mail address: m.buis@erasmusmc.nl (M.L. Buis). laryngoscopy (DL) is the most widely used technique pre-hospital and in-hospital, we reviewed the learning curves for this proce- dure. We speciïŹcally aimed to identify the number of ETIs a novice intubator must perform to achieve proïŹciency with this procedure, deïŹned as successfully intubating within two attempts. Methods Study selection This review was performed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) state- ment. A search of the literature (January 1990–July 2014) was performed using EMBASE, MEDLINE, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and PubMed. The following keywords were used for the search: ‘intubation’, ‘learn- ing curve’, and ‘laryngoscopy’. The search was limited by excluding the keywords ‘videolaryngoscopy’ and ‘paediatrics’. The full elec- tronic searches can be found in Appendix A. In addition, we hand searched the reference sections of all articles that were selected for review. Inclusion criteria were English-language only, human studies only, DL as the sole procedure, novice participants or number of previously performed intubations clearly identiïŹable, and speci- ïŹed quantiïŹcation of the success rate learning curve for ETI. Studies were excluded if they had been conducted in a simulation labora- tory, were limited to paediatric patients only, involved ETI using a 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 40-80? Bernhard et al. 2012 Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica Cortellazzi et al. 2015 Anaesthesia
  • 35. The pursuit & consequence of the search for easy

  • 36. 1stAttemptSuccessRates 0 25 50 75 100 Sackles 2011 Mosier 2013 Kory 2013 Michalideu 2014 Lee 2014 Silverberg 2014 Sakles 2014 Hypes 2016 Total VL DL 68% 80% Total ~2500 in each DL & VL In pursuit of easy
 VL is better

  • 37. 1stAttemptSuccessRates 0 25 50 75 100 Sackles 2011 Mosier 2013 Kory 2013 Michalideu 2014 Lee 2014 Silverberg 2014 Sakles 2014 Hypes 2016 Total VL DL 68% 80% 17,000 Registry PatientsDL 84% In pursuit of easy
 VL is better than bad DL
  • 38. Tell me what you see?
  • 39. Do you see the posterior cartridges?
  • 43. 43
  • 44. High Acuity Low Opportunity Challenge Petrosoniak & Hicks. Current opinion in Anaesthesiology. 2013 High Acuity Low Opportunity Low Acuity Low Opportunity High Acuity High Opportunity Low Acuity High Opportunity Opportunity Acuity Sim Zone Overlearn
  • 48. These are your vitals
  • 50. Grossman & Christensen. On Combat 2008
  • 52. High Acuity Low Opportunity Challenge Petrosoniak & Hicks. Current opinion in Anaesthesiology. 2013 High Acuity Low Opportunity Low Acuity Low Opportunity High Acuity High Opportunity Low Acuity High Opportunity Opportunity Acuity Sim Zone Overlearn System 1 training
  • 53. System 1 training Learn as Many/Execute as 1 Incrementalization 8 - The “secret “ of competence in crisis is to break down the challenge into smaller parts, and then incrementalize it into its smallest, most fundamental components. - Operators should master a regimented series of best-practice steps that are small, reliable, and reproducible. Expertise is the ability to do each task well, transforming incrementalized steps into one fluid, apparently easy, and effortless movement. - Slow is smooth and smooth is fast. Rushing deteriorates performance.  Multi-tasking is a myth. - Procedures should be engineered for crisis performance, by flattening the slope, and lightening the load. - Slope: Incrementalization - Load: Cognition
  • 54. System 1 training: Avoid Insanity I can’t see %$^&!!!
  • 55. System 1 training: Cued Response ‱ Epiglottoscopy ‱ Valleculoscopy ‱ Laryngoscopy ‱ Intubation AIMEairway.ca: SMACC Byte- Airway Management Kata Epiglottis only response
  • 57. Best Look DL&I Cued Response: Psychomotor rehearsal Learn as Many/Execute as 1
  • 59. “we all got plans, til you get punched in the mouth” Confidence
  • 60. Number Needed to be
 Confident
  • 62. Good judgment is the result of experience and experience the result of bad judgment
  • 66. Its about the patient
  • 70. Plan A Plan CPlan B Airway Tool Box Do Know
  • 71. Plan A Plan CPlan B Airway Tool Box Do Know
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