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CEMENT


     Industry Snapshot
     Cement demand in the country was predominantly driven by domestic consumption in the last five
     years. Domestic cement consumption registered a CAGR of 9.9% during the period FY06 to FY10.
     In FY10, cement consumption recorded an impressive double-digit growth of 11.1%. Average
     cement prices (four metro cities) rose by about 3% on yoy basis in FY10.

     In the first nine months of FY11, cement demand grew by 5.1% on yoy basis. Average cement
     prices have dropped by about 2.2% on y-o-y basis during the same period. The industry is expected
     to register capacity addition of about 65 mn tonnes in the period FY11-12. Surplus capacity is
     expected to put pressure on cement prices.


     Duty Structure

      CUSTOMS DUTY                    PRE BUDGET            POST BUDGET               IMPACT
      OPC / PPC                               Nil                    Nil

      Coal                                   5%                      5%

      Gypsum                                 5%                     2.5%

      Pet Coke                               5%                     2.5%


      EXCISE DUTY
                                     PRE BUDGET             POST BUDGET               IMPACT
      (Rs. per tonne)

      •      Retail                                           10% ad-valorem
             • Price below Rs.190           290                  +Rs. 80
                per 50 kg bag
             • Price above Rs.190      10% ad-valorem         10% ad-valorem
                per 50 kg bag                                    +Rs. 160

                                                              10% ad-valorem
      •   Bulk                      290 or 10% ad-valorem
                                      whichever is higher
                                                              10% ad-valorem
      •   Clinker                           375
                                                                 +Rs. 200



24           _________________________________________________________________________
IMPACT OF UNION BUDGET 2011-12




Budget Proposals

   1. Provision of Rs.2,14,000 crore for the infrastructure development in the country which
       accounts for over 48.5 per cent of the Gross Budgetary Support to plan expenditure.
   2. Under Bharat Nirman, Rs.58,000 crore allocated for the rural infrastructure programmes.
   3. Scheme of one per cent interest subvention on housing loan is extended upto March 31,
       2012 for a loan amount upto Rs.15 lakh (increased from Rs.10 lakh), with the cost of the
       house not exceeding Rs.25 lakh
   4. The corpus of Rural Infrastructure Development Fund (RIDF) XVII has been raised to
       Rs.18,000 crore in 2011-12 from Rs.16,000 crore in the current year 2010-11. The additional
       allocation would be dedicated to creation of warehousing facilities.
   5. Custom duty on Gypsum and Pet Cock is proposed to be reduced to 2.5 per cent.
   6. Hike in excise duty on cement & clinker as per the details given in the duty structure above.


Impact on the industry
   •   The cement industry will remain buoyant given increased impetus of the government on
       infrastructure development. Infrastructure sector accounts for almost 25% of the total
       cement consumption in the country.

   •   The rationalisation in excise duty through composite rates will hike the cement prices by
       about Rs.8-8.5 per bag across different regions, which is likely to be passed on to the
       consumers. However, cement companies operating in the oversupply markets like South will
       find it difficult to pass on the hike in excise duty to their consumers.

   •   Reduction in custom duty of Gypsum and Pet coke will have a very negligible impact on the
       cost structure of cement companies.


Impact on companies

COMPANY NAME                             IMPACT                           COMMENTS

UltraTech                                                      With the major presence in the deficit
                                                               Western region, passing on will be
                                                               relatively easier.




_____________________________________________________________                                                   25

                                                                                    Professional Risk Opinion
COMPANY NAME                  IMPACT                     COMMENTS

     ACC                                           Pan-India presence. However, major
                                                   operations in surplus region would
                                                   make it difficult to pass on the rise in
                                                   excise duty.

     Ambuja                                        Relatively easier to pass on with the
                                                   major presence in deficit Western
                                                   region.

     Shree Cement                                  Marginally positive on cost front.
                                                   However, passing on the rise in the
                                                   excise duty will be difficult.

     India Cement                                  The Major presence in the Southern
                                                   region would make it difficult to pass
                                                   on the rise in excise duty.




26       _________________________________________________________________________

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cement

  • 1. CEMENT Industry Snapshot Cement demand in the country was predominantly driven by domestic consumption in the last five years. Domestic cement consumption registered a CAGR of 9.9% during the period FY06 to FY10. In FY10, cement consumption recorded an impressive double-digit growth of 11.1%. Average cement prices (four metro cities) rose by about 3% on yoy basis in FY10. In the first nine months of FY11, cement demand grew by 5.1% on yoy basis. Average cement prices have dropped by about 2.2% on y-o-y basis during the same period. The industry is expected to register capacity addition of about 65 mn tonnes in the period FY11-12. Surplus capacity is expected to put pressure on cement prices. Duty Structure CUSTOMS DUTY PRE BUDGET POST BUDGET IMPACT OPC / PPC Nil Nil Coal 5% 5% Gypsum 5% 2.5% Pet Coke 5% 2.5% EXCISE DUTY PRE BUDGET POST BUDGET IMPACT (Rs. per tonne) • Retail 10% ad-valorem • Price below Rs.190 290 +Rs. 80 per 50 kg bag • Price above Rs.190 10% ad-valorem 10% ad-valorem per 50 kg bag +Rs. 160 10% ad-valorem • Bulk 290 or 10% ad-valorem whichever is higher 10% ad-valorem • Clinker 375 +Rs. 200 24 _________________________________________________________________________
  • 2. IMPACT OF UNION BUDGET 2011-12 Budget Proposals 1. Provision of Rs.2,14,000 crore for the infrastructure development in the country which accounts for over 48.5 per cent of the Gross Budgetary Support to plan expenditure. 2. Under Bharat Nirman, Rs.58,000 crore allocated for the rural infrastructure programmes. 3. Scheme of one per cent interest subvention on housing loan is extended upto March 31, 2012 for a loan amount upto Rs.15 lakh (increased from Rs.10 lakh), with the cost of the house not exceeding Rs.25 lakh 4. The corpus of Rural Infrastructure Development Fund (RIDF) XVII has been raised to Rs.18,000 crore in 2011-12 from Rs.16,000 crore in the current year 2010-11. The additional allocation would be dedicated to creation of warehousing facilities. 5. Custom duty on Gypsum and Pet Cock is proposed to be reduced to 2.5 per cent. 6. Hike in excise duty on cement & clinker as per the details given in the duty structure above. Impact on the industry • The cement industry will remain buoyant given increased impetus of the government on infrastructure development. Infrastructure sector accounts for almost 25% of the total cement consumption in the country. • The rationalisation in excise duty through composite rates will hike the cement prices by about Rs.8-8.5 per bag across different regions, which is likely to be passed on to the consumers. However, cement companies operating in the oversupply markets like South will find it difficult to pass on the hike in excise duty to their consumers. • Reduction in custom duty of Gypsum and Pet coke will have a very negligible impact on the cost structure of cement companies. Impact on companies COMPANY NAME IMPACT COMMENTS UltraTech With the major presence in the deficit Western region, passing on will be relatively easier. _____________________________________________________________ 25 Professional Risk Opinion
  • 3. COMPANY NAME IMPACT COMMENTS ACC Pan-India presence. However, major operations in surplus region would make it difficult to pass on the rise in excise duty. Ambuja Relatively easier to pass on with the major presence in deficit Western region. Shree Cement Marginally positive on cost front. However, passing on the rise in the excise duty will be difficult. India Cement The Major presence in the Southern region would make it difficult to pass on the rise in excise duty. 26 _________________________________________________________________________