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Food, Fuel, Global Warming, and the RFS Nathanael Greene Director of Renewable Energy Policy September 10, 2008
Since Transportation is One-Third of Problem, It  Must  be Part of Solution 2007 US Greenhouse Gas Inventory by Sector Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2007
2050 80% Climate Stabilization Target:  Four Key Strategies Cars and Light Trucks Vehicle Efficiency (78 mpg by 2050 ) Reduced Driving (16% below  forecast) Clean Electricity (Plug-in Hybrids) Advanced Biofuels (58B gallons of etoh) 1 2 3 4 Source: NRDC analysis
RFS Environmental Details ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Traditional Biofuels Lifecycle GHG Analysis Growing feedstock Refining Driving ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Biofuels Plus  Direct  Land-use Change Growing feedstock Refining Driving Clearing new land for feedstock
Biofuels Plus  Indirect  Land-use Change Growing feedstock Refining Driving Clearing new land for feedstock Market dynamics
Searchinger et al. in  Science Growing feedstock Refining Driving Clearing new land for feedstock Market dynamics
Same dynamic that drives GHG emissions drives higher food/feed/fiber prices Increased demand for biomass and arable land for biofuels ,[object Object],[object Object],Increased rate of conversion of natural ecosystem (high carbon & high biodiversity) to managed lands to capture higher land and commodity prices
Lifecycle GHG standards + renewable biomass safeguards
States can help transition to advanced biofuels ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Food price/GHG impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Nwg Foodvfuel And The Rfs

  • 1. Food, Fuel, Global Warming, and the RFS Nathanael Greene Director of Renewable Energy Policy September 10, 2008
  • 2. Since Transportation is One-Third of Problem, It Must be Part of Solution 2007 US Greenhouse Gas Inventory by Sector Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2007
  • 3. 2050 80% Climate Stabilization Target: Four Key Strategies Cars and Light Trucks Vehicle Efficiency (78 mpg by 2050 ) Reduced Driving (16% below forecast) Clean Electricity (Plug-in Hybrids) Advanced Biofuels (58B gallons of etoh) 1 2 3 4 Source: NRDC analysis
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Biofuels Plus Direct Land-use Change Growing feedstock Refining Driving Clearing new land for feedstock
  • 7. Biofuels Plus Indirect Land-use Change Growing feedstock Refining Driving Clearing new land for feedstock Market dynamics
  • 8. Searchinger et al. in Science Growing feedstock Refining Driving Clearing new land for feedstock Market dynamics
  • 9.
  • 10. Lifecycle GHG standards + renewable biomass safeguards
  • 11.
  • 12.