Protection and Promotion of Investments in the Mediterranean: The Case of Turkey

N
Necmettin KaymazChief Project Director at Invest in Turkey um Invest in Turkey
Investment Support and Promotion Agency of Turkey 
(ISPAT) 
REPUBLIC OF TURKEY 
PRIME MINISTRY 
“Protection and promotion of investments in the Mediterranean: 
The Case of Turkey” 
Necmettin KAYMAZ 
Chief Project Director 
The Parliamentary Assembly of the Union for the Mediterranean, Meeting of the Committee on Economic & Financial Affairs, Social Affairs & Education 
Ankara, 01 December 2014
AGENDA 
Global FDI Landscape 
FDI potential of UfM 
The Case of Turkey: 
Positioning itself as an attractive FDI destination 
Improving Investment Climate in Turkey 
Improving Investment & Trade Relations with UfM
Global FDI Landscape
Global FDI Landscape 
Source: UNCTAD 
Fierce Competition 
Global FDI Flows 
($ Trillion) 
0,6 
0,7 
1,0 
1,5 
2,0 
1,8 
1,2 
1,4 
1,7 
1,3 
1,5 
0,0 
0,5 
1,0 
1,5 
2,0 
2,5 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Advanced Economies 
Developing Economies 
Around $1,5 trillion FDI is being circulated annually in the world over the past decade 
Fierce competition between advanced and developing economies to attract FDI 
61% of Global FDI went to developing economies in 2013, up from 34% in 2007
Global FDI Landscape 
Source: UNCTAD 
Main Benefits of FDI 
Long-term capital inflow 
Employment 
Integrating local companies into Global Value Chain, hence increasing their competitiveness 
Technology transfer 
Improving labor skills 
Improving exports 
Benefits of FDI 
Why are countries competing to attract FDI?
Global FDI Landscape 
Source: UNCTAD World Investment Report 1998: Trends and Determinants. 
Determinants of FDI 
Host country determinants 
1.Policy Framework 
•Economic, political & social stability 
•Rules regarding entry & operations 
•Policies on functioning and structure of markets 
•International agreements on FDI 
•Privatization policy 
•Trade policy 
•Tax policy 
2.Economic determinants 
3.Business facilitation 
•Investment promotion & facilitation 
•Investment incentives 
•Hassle costs (related corruption, administrative efficiency, etc.) 
•Social amenities (bilingual schools, quality of life, etc.) 
•After-investment services 
Motives of TNCs 
Principal economic determinants in the host countries 
A. Market- seeking 
•Market size, income per capita 
•Market growth 
•Access to regional & global markets 
•Country-specific consumer preferences 
•Structure of markets 
B. Recourse/asset seeking 
•Raw materials 
•Low-cost unskilled labor 
•Skilled labor 
•Technological, innovatory & other created assets (e.g. brand name), including as embodied in individuals, firms and clusters 
•Physical infrastructure (port, roads..) 
C. Efficiency-seeking 
•Cost of resources & assets listed under B, adjusted for productivity for labor resources 
•Other input costs , eg. Transport & communication costs to/from /within host economy and cost of other intermediate goods 
•Membership of a regional integration agreements conducive to the establishment of regional corporate networks 
Host country determinants of FDI
FDI Potential of UfM
FDI potential of UfM 
FDI Flows into UfM Countries 2003-2013 
Destination 
$ Billion 
EU 28 
4.721,8 
Turkey 
136,5 
Israel 
88,2 
Egypt 
63,9 
Lebanon 
38,6 
Morocco 
24,8 
Jordan 
21,3 
Algeria 
19,7 
Tunisia 
16,7 
Syria* 
9,2 
Albania 
7,7 
Montenegro 
7,0 
Bosnia and Herzegovina 
6,5 
Mauritania 
5,2 
Palestine 
1,3 
TOTAL 
5.168,6 
UfM attracted 35% of Global FDI (32% to EU28) 
Source: UNCTAD Note: No data available for Monaco *Self-suspended 
UfM attracted over $5 trillion FDI between 2003-2013 
FDI Flows 
300 
244 
535 
650 
923 
611 
402 
420 
532 
260 
291 
0 
200 
400 
600 
800 
1000 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Other UfM 
EU28 
FDI Flows into UfM 
($ Billion)
Outward FDI Flows from UfM 2003-2013 
Source 
$ Billion 
EU 28 
6.143,2 
Israel 
63,9 
Turkey 
20,5 
Lebanon 
8,5 
Egypt 
5,9 
Morocco 
3,6 
Algeria 
1,4 
Other UfM countries 
1,8 
TOTAL 
6.248,8 
Over 41% of Global FDI was done by UfM, led by EU with 40% 
Source: UNCTAD 
FDI Inflows 
UfM invested over $6 trillion abroad between 2003-2013 
298 
381 
609 
706 
1272 
997 
390 
496 
595 
246 
260 
0 
150 
300 
450 
600 
750 
900 
1050 
1200 
1350 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Other UfM 
EU28 
FDI Flows from UfM 
($ Billion) 
FDI potential of UfM
Greenfield FDI Projects in UfM 2003-2013 
Destination 
$ Billion 
EU28 
1.944,0 
Turkey 
119,8 
Egypt 
111,0 
Algeria 
69,8 
Morocco 
51,3 
Tunisia 
45,4 
Jordan 
42,5 
Syria* 
33,7 
Israel 
17,4 
Bosnia & Herzegovina 
14,1 
Lebanon 
11,6 
Albania 
10,6 
Mauritania 
4,2 
Montenegro 
3,9 
Palestine 
1,2 
TOTAL 
2.480,5 
UfM attracts 27% of Global Greenfield FDI, (21% by EU28) 
Source: fDi Intelligence 
UfM attracted c. $2,5 trillion Greenfield FDI between 2003-2013 
Greenfield Investment 
156 
158 
212 
269 
288 
409 
268 
199 
203 
164 
155 
0 
50 
100 
150 
200 
250 
300 
350 
400 
450 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Other UfM 
EU28 
Greenfield FDI Projects in UfM 
($ Billion) 
FDI potential of UfM
Greenfield FDI Projects in UfM 2003-2013 
Source 
$ Billion 
EU 28 
3.536,1 
Israel 
53,2 
Turkey 
41,8 
Egypt 
18,2 
Lebanon 
7,5 
Jordan 
4,7 
Tunisia 
1,8 
Algeria 
1,7 
Morocco 
1,6 
Rest of UfM 
1,7 
TOTAL 
3.668,1 
39% of Global Greenfield FDI is done by UfM (38% by EU28) 
Source: fDi Intelligence 
UfM invested $3,7 trillion Greenfield FDI abroad between 2003-2013 
Potential 
293 
236 
255 
336 
385 
573 
424 
366 
335 
225 
241 
0 
100 
200 
300 
400 
500 
600 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Other UfM 
EU28 
Greenfield FDI Projects by UfM ($ Billion) 
Greenfield Investment 
FDI potential of UfM
The Case of Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI destination in the region
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook April 2014, Eurostat, OECD, TurkStat, OECD Economic Outlook No.93, May 2013 
4,9 
4,6 
4,3 
4,1 
4,0 
3,7 
3,5 
3,4 
3,4 
2,6 
2,6 
1,8 
1,1 
1,1 
0,9 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
Average Annual Real GDP Growth (%) 2002-2013 
5,1 
5,0 
4,6 
4,1 
3,8 
3,7 
3,5 
3,3 
3,3 
3,2 
3,2 
3,0 
2,9 
2,7 
2,7 
2,6 
2,4 
2,1 
2,1 
2,0 
2,0 
1,9 
1,7 
1,7 
1,5 
1,5 
1,5 
1,4 
1,4 
1,3 
1,2 
1,1 
1,0 
1,0 
0,8 
0,8 
0,8 
0,2 
0,1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
Turkey 
Chile 
South Africa 
Korea 
Argentina 
Brazil 
Israel 
Australia 
Russia 
Slovakia 
Mexico 
Estonia 
Poland 
Norway 
Sweden 
Luxembourg 
New Zealand 
Czech Rep. 
Switzerland 
US 
Canada 
OECD 
Austria 
UK 
France 
Finland 
Belgium 
Netherlands 
Ireland 
Hungary 
Germany 
Slovenia 
Euro area 
Denmark 
Japan 
Iceland 
Spain 
Portugal 
Italy 
Average Annual Real GDP Growth (%) 2012-2017 
Strong record, bright future 
Economic Performance 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: Indicators are based on the compilations of OECD and Turkstat data 
Quarterly Real GDP Growth (Index: Q1-2009=100) Seasonally adjusted 
Fastest growing economy in Europe and one of the fastest growing economies in the world 
The fastest recovering economy since the onset of global financial crisis in 2009 
95 
100 
105 
110 
115 
120 
125 
130 
135 
140 
Q1-2009 
Q2-2009 
Q3-2009 
Q4-2009 
Q1-2010 
Q2-2010 
Q3-2010 
Q4-2010 
Q1-2011 
Q2-2011 
Q3-2011 
Q4-2011 
Q1-2012 
Q2-2012 
Q3-2012 
Q4-2012 
Q1-2013 
Q2-2013 
Q3-2013 
Q4-2013 
Q1-2014 
Q2-2014 
Turkey 
Russia 
Brazil 
Poland 
Czech Rep. 
Hungary 
Economic Performance 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: TurkStat 
Main Drivers of the Economic Growth 
67,6% 
29,7% 
29,7% 
10,1% 
5,5% 
-1,8% 
-40,9% 
-45% 
-25% 
-05% 
15% 
35% 
55% 
75% 
Contribution to Real GDP Growth 
2002-2013 
An economy driven by entrepreneurial spirit of private sector, robust domestic market and lucrative export opportunities 
Manufacturing; 27,1% 
Financial intermediation; 18,3% 
Transport, storage & communication; 17,1% 
Wholesale & retail trade; 14,3% 
Other; 23,3% 
Contribution to Real GDP Growth 
2002-2013 
Economic Performance 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Gross Public Debt Stock (% of GDP) 
Strong macroeconomic fundamentals 
Maastricht Criteria: 60 % 
Maastricht Criteria: -3 %, 
74 
36,3 
60,3 
89,4 
30 
35 
40 
45 
50 
55 
60 
65 
70 
75 
80 
85 
90 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
TURKEY 
EU 
Source: Treasury, European Commission, 
-10,2 
-1,6 
-2,5 
-3,3 
-12 
-9 
-6 
-3 
0 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
TURKEY 
EU 
Central Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) 
Economic Performance 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: UN, IMF, national sources 
2013 Ranking of Countries with Population over 70 million 
1.367 
1.261 
319 
252 
203 
188 
179 
157 
146 
127 
120 
100 
90 
88 
87 
81 
78 
77 
- 
300 
600 
900 
1.200 
1.500 
China (1) 
India (2) 
US (3) 
Indonesia (4) 
Brazil (5) 
Pakistan (6) 
Nigeria (7) 
Bangladesh (8) 
Russia (9) 
Japan (10) 
Mexico (11) 
Philippines (12) 
Vietnam (13) 
Ethiopia (14) 
Egypt (15) 
Germany (16) 
Iran (17) 
Turkey (18) 
Population 
(Million) 
16.768 
9.469 
4.899 
3.636 
2.246 
2.097 
1.877 
1.261 
870 
822 
522 
367 
272 
271 
233 
171 
162 
46 
- 
5.000 
10.000 
15.000 
20.000 
US (1) 
China (2) 
Japan (3) 
Germany (4) 
Brazil (5) 
Russia (6) 
India (7) 
Mexico (8) 
Indonesia (9) 
Turkey (10) 
Nigeria (11) 
Iran (12) 
Philippines (13) 
Egypt (14) 
Pakistan (15) 
Vietnam (16) 
Bangladesh (17) 
Ethiopia (18) 
GDP ($ Billion) 
52,6 
45,0 
38,5 
14,4 
11,1 
10,8 
10,5 
6,9 
4,7 
3,5 
3,1 
2,9 
2,7 
1,9 
1,5 
1,2 
1,0 
0,5 
0 
10 
20 
30 
40 
50 
US (1) 
Germany (2) 
Japan (3) 
Russia (4) 
Brazil (5) 
Turkey (6) 
Mexico (7) 
China (8) 
Iran (9) 
Indonesia (10) 
Egypt (11) 
Nigeria (12) 
Philippines (13) 
Vietnam (14) 
India (15) 
Pakistan (16) 
Bangladesh (17) 
Ethiopia (18) 
GDP per capita ($K) 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination 
Domestic Market
Source: TURKSTAT, OECD 
30,3 
23,8 
20,9 
16,4 
13,3 
8,4 
6,8 
4,4 
3,7 
2,8 
2,3 
2,1 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
30 
35 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Percentage (%) of Poor People Living on Less than $4,3 Per Day 
63,6 
47,4 
40,5 
40,2 
39,8 
39,2 
34,3 
30,8 
25,1 
7,3 
0 
10 
20 
30 
40 
50 
60 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
8 
9 
10 
Lowest 
income 
top 
income 
group 
Real Increase (%) in Household Income 2002-2012 
Income Decile Groups (10%) 
-0,1 
-0,08 
-0,06 
-0,04 
-0,02 
0 
0,02 
0,04 
0,06 
Turkey 
Mexico 
Ireland 
Greece 
Belgium 
Spain 
Hungary 
Italy 
Slovakia 
Portugal 
UK 
Poland 
Czech Rep. 
Japan 
Norway 
Korea 
France 
USA 
Austria 
Australia 
Germany 
Finland 
Denmark 
Canada 
Sweden 
Percentage point changes in the Gini coefficient 
(Mid-1990s to Mid-2000s) 
Increasing income 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Rise of the middle-class in Turkey 
Source: Euromonitor International; Credit Suisse, Adults are defined to be individuals aged 20 or above 
0 
2 
4 
6 
8 
10 
12 
14 
16 
18 
2002 
2013 
10,6 
2,3 
5,3 
18,0 
1,0 
9,5 
Income < $10K 
Income > $10K 
Income > $25K 
Number of Households by Annual Disposable Income (million) 
5000 
10000 
15000 
20000 
25000 
30000 
2002 
2013 
11.141 
25.909 
Wealth per Adult ($) 
Increasing income 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: TurkStat 
Changing consumption culture with increasing purchasing power and lower liabilities 
Food & Housing 54% 
Other 46% 
2002 
Allocation of Household Consumption Expenditures (%) 
Increasing Income 
21 
65 
85 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
Turkey 
Euro Area 
USA 
Household Liability % of GDP (2012) 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination 
Food & Housing 45% 
Other 55% 
2013
Source: TURKSTAT 
Increasing export 
Export (US$ Billion) 
36,1 
47,3 
63,2 
73,5 
85,5 
107,3 
132 
102,2 
114 
135 
152 
152 
35 
50 
65 
80 
95 
110 
125 
140 
155 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
Export Opportunities 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
 Customs Union with the European Union 
 Free Trade Agreements with 25 countries 
Source: Ministry of Economy, * In ratification process * 
1. Albania 
14. Tunisia 
2. Bosnia & Herzegovina 
15. Montenegro 
3. Egypt 
16. Serbia 
4. Georgia 
17. Chile 
5. Iceland 
18. Jordan 
6. Israel 
19. Mauritius 
7. Lichtenstein 
20. South Korea 
8. Macedonia 
21. Lebanon* 
9. Morocco 
22. Kosovo* 
10. Norway 
23. Ghana* 
11. Palestine 
24. Malaysia* 
12. Switzerland 
25. Moldavia* 
13. Syria 
Free Trade 
Export Opportunities 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook and WTO; GDP, Imports and population figures as of 2013 
Access to Multiple Markets 
1,5 Billion People $26 Trillion GDP, over $8 trillion trade (45% global trade) at a 4-hour flight distance 
Strategic Location 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination 
EUROPE GDP: $19.7 trillion Import: $6,6 trillion Population: 670 million 
RUSSIA 
GDP – $2.1 trillion 
Import: $344 billion 
Population: 143 million 
CENTRAL ASIA & CAUCASUS GDP: $433 billion Import: $106 billion Population: 84 million 
MENA GDP: $3,7 trillion Import: $1 trillion Population: 665 million
A Manufacturing Hub 
Source: Deloitte, oica, worldsteel, turkbesd 
TURKEY TURKEY TURKEY 
T U R K E Y 
Turkey will be the 16th manufacturing hub in the world and 2nd in Europe 
Strategic Location 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination 
Turkey is already; 
17th largest automotive manufacturer in the world & the largest commercial vehicle manufacturer in Europe (2013) 
8th largest steel manufacturer in the world & 2nd in Europe (2013) 
Largest TV & white goods manufacturer in Europe (2013)
Turkey emerges as a regional manufacturing hub for global firms 
SOURCE: TSKB 
PCs and peripherals 
•Tripling production with new investment 
•To export 90% of total production 
Heavy commercial vehicles 
•New model to be manufactured in Turkey and exported to 65 countries 
Energy 
•Tripling production to export to countries in Europe, North Africa, and South America 
FMCG 
•Production base for the Middle Eastern and North African markets 
Filters and generators 
•85% of total production to be exported 
Textile 
•Moving all production volume to Turkey 
New line of trucks 
•Regional manufacturing hub for new line of trucks 
•Annual production capacity of 150K units 
•Total FDI 1.6 Bn USD 
• Exports to 30 countries 
Strategic Location 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Turkey is also becoming a regional management hub for global firms 
Company 
Regions managed from Turkey 
Rationale behind chosing Turkey as a management hub 
90 countries 
•Eurasia 
•Africa 
“Turkey is a strong country due to its dynamic economy and young population” -Ahmet Bozer, Executive Vice President and President of Coca Cola International, 2011 
79 countries 
•Middle East 
•Africa 
“Besides, the business opportunities Istanbul offers, its educated workforce and infrastructure supporting expats are important” -Ala Faramawy, VP Microsoft International, 2011 
64 countries 
•Middle East 
•Africa 
"Turkish managers have the European business ethics and discipline and the strong communication skills of Eastern managers" –Intel's Business Dev.Manager, Burak Aydın, 2012 
20 countries 
•Caucasus 
•Central Asia 
•Eastern Europe 
"Pfizer Turkey is referred to as 'A School of Leaders', since it continuously transfers successful executives to Pfizer companies worldwide. Today, more than 35 Turkish senior executives are appointed to Pfizer affiliates all around the world. " –ISPAT website, 2012 
Source: Press releases 
Strategic Location 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Largest youth population as compared to EU; half of the population is under age 30 
Population Pyramid (%) 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
0-4 
5-9 
10-14 
15-19 
20-24 
25-29 
30-34 
35-39 
40-44 
45-49 
50-54 
55-59 
60-64 
65-69 
70-74 
75-79 
80-84 
85-89 
90+ 
Female 
Male 
% 
Age Group 
TURKEY 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
0-4 
5-9 
10-14 
15-19 
20-24 
25-29 
30-34 
35-39 
40-44 
45-49 
50-54 
55-59 
60-64 
65-69 
70-74 
75-79 
80-84 
85-89 
90+ 
Female 
Male 
% 
Age Group 
EUROPE 
Source: Turkstat, Eurostat, UN, 2013 
77 million young & dynamic people 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
0-4 
5-9 
10-14 
15-19 
20-24 
25-29 
30-34 
35-39 
40-44 
45-49 
50-54 
55-59 
60-64 
65-69 
70-74 
75-79 
80-84 
85-89 
90+ 
Female 
Male 
% 
Age Group 
ASIA 
Demographics 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: UN 
Favorable Demographic Trend 
80 
85 
90 
95 
100 
105 
110 
115 
120 
125 
2013 
2016 
2019 
2022 
2025 
2028 
2031 
2034 
2037 
2040 
2043 
2046 
2049 
Working Age Population (15-64), 2013=100 
Europe 
Turkey 
40 
50 
60 
70 
80 
90 
100 
2013 
2016 
2019 
2022 
2025 
2028 
2031 
2034 
2037 
2040 
2043 
2046 
2049 
Total Dependency Ratio (%) (Age 0-14 & Age 65+) / Age 15-64 
Europe 
Turkey 
Labor Force 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2014, IMD WCY Executive Opinion Survey based on an index from 0 to 10 (0 = Not available 10 = Readily available) 
Skilled Labor Force 2014 
6,0 
5,9 
5,8 
5,4 
5,0 
4,7 
3,1 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
Turkey 
Romania 
Czech Rep. 
Poland 
China 
Hungary 
Bulgaria 
Availability of Skilled Labor Force 
6,0 
5,2 
5,2 
5,2 
4,8 
4,1 
2,7 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
Turkey 
Czech Rep. 
Romania 
Poland 
China 
Hungary 
Bulgaria 
Availability of Competent Senior Managers 
7,1 
6,8 
6,7 
6,22 
6,0 
5,6 
3,9 
0 
2 
4 
6 
8 
Turkey 
Hungary 
Romania 
Czech Rep. 
China 
Poland 
Bulgaria 
Availability of Qualified Engineers 
Labor Force 
7,0 
6,5 
5,7 
5,4 
5,4 
5,2 
3,6 
0 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
Turkey 
Poland 
Romania 
China 
Hungary 
Czech Rep. 
Bulgaria 
Availability of Finance Skills 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Source: Eurostat , TurkStat, Mercer 
4,6 
5,5 
5,7 
6,6 
6,7 
7,8 
8,3 
8,3 
8,3 
9,7 
10,8 
11,9 
22 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
Annual average number of sick days per employee, 2008 
52,0 
42,7 
41,9 
41,9 
41,7 
41,5 
41,5 
41,5 
40,8 
40,4 
40,1 
40,0 
39,6 
38,8 
30 
35 
40 
45 
50 
55 
Productive and Cost-effective Labor Force 
Annual Average Hours worked per week, 2013 
95 
110 
125 
140 
155 
2001 
2002 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
Turkey 
Poland 
Czech Rep. 
Hungary 
Productivity: Real GDP per hour worked (Index: 2001=100) 
45,8 
45,0 
39,2 
28,8 
27,2 
18,8 
12,4 
11,5 
9,7 
8,8 
6,9 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
30 
35 
40 
45 
50 
France 
Germany 
Ireland 
Spain 
UK 
Slovenia 
Czech Rep. 
Slovakia 
Hungary 
Poland 
Turkey 
Labor Cost Per Hour in Manufacturing ($), 2012 
Labor Force 
Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
Improving Investment Climate in Turkey
National Treatment 
Guarantee of Transfers 
International Arbitration 
Purchase of Real Estate 
Employment of Expats 
International standards (IFRS & IAS) 
Transparency & Accountability 
Institutionalization of companies 
Opportunity to perform board meetings online 
27 
29 
30 
30 
31 
36 
37 
38 
39 
25 
30 
35 
40 
Romania 
Russia 
Bangladesh 
Bulgaria 
Poland 
Morocco 
Cameroon 
Turkey 
Guatemala 
6,5 
8,0 
11,2 
13,0 
19,0 
28,4 
30,0 
31,4 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
30 
35 
Turkey 
Romania 
Russia 
Spain 
Czech Rep. 
India 
Poland 
China 
Reforms 
Number of Days to Establish a Company in 2013 
Number of Days to Establish a Company in 2003 
New FDI Law in 2003 
CIT reduced to 20% in 2006 
New Commercial Code in 2012 
Source: World Bank 
Improving Investment Climate
Source: OECD 
-0,1 
0 
0,1 
0,2 
0,3 
0,4 
0,5 
0,6 
China 
Indonesia 
India 
New Zealand 
Malaysia 
Mexico 
Russia 
Canada 
Iceland 
Korea 
Australia 
Israel 
Austria 
Brazil 
United States 
Norway 
Switzerland 
Poland 
OECD - Average 
UK 
Turkey 
Sweden 
Japan 
Italy 
Slovakia 
France 
Ireland 
Argentina 
Denmark 
Greece 
Hungary 
Germany 
Spain 
Finland 
Netherlands 
Czech Rep. 
Luxembourg 
Drop in Index Score from 2003 to 2013 2013 Score 
TOP REFORMERS 
1.Turkey 
2.Malaysia 
3.Finland 
4.India 
5.Russia 
------ OECD Average Score in 2013 
Index Score: 1=Closed to FDI, 0=Open to FDI 
More Restrictive 
Less Restrictive 
Reforms 
FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index 
Turkey has emerged as the biggest reformer 
Improving Investment Climate
Investment Zones (Technology Development Zones, Organized Industrial Zones, Free Zones) 
Corporate and Personal Income Tax allowances 
Exemption from custom duties 
VAT exemption 
Social Security Premiums Support 
 R&D and Innovation Support Law 
R&D allowances and Enhanced Tax allowances 
Income Withholding Tax Deduction 
Cash support for entrepreneurial scientists 
 New incentive system (General, Regional, Large-scale, Priority, Strategic Investment) 
Reduced corporate tax rates 
Social security premium support 
Allocation of state land 
Interest support 
Withholding tax support 
INVESTMENT INCENTIVES IN TURKEY 
Incentives 
Improving Investment Climate
Bilateral Agreements for the Promotion and Protection of Investments 
Turkey signed bilateral treaties with 76 countries to promote and protect investments 
•Afghanistan 
•Albania 
•Argentina 
•Australia 
•Austria 
•Azerbaijan 
•Bangladesh 
•Belarus 
•Belgium 
•Bosnia and Herzegovina 
•Bulgaria 
•China 
•Croatia 
•Cuba 
•Czech Republic 
•Denmark 
•Egypt 
•Estonia 
•Ethiopia 
•Finland 
•France 
•Georgia 
•Germany 
•Greece 
•Hungary 
•India 
•Indonesia 
•Iran 
•Israel 
•Italy 
•Japan 
•Jordan 
•Kazakhstan 
•Kuwait 
•Kyrgyzstan 
•Latvia 
•Lebanon 
•Libya 
•Lithuania 
•Luxembourg 
•Macedonia 
•Malaysia 
•Malta 
•Moldova 
•Mongolia 
•Morocco 
•Netherlands 
•Oman 
•Pakistan 
•Philippines 
•Poland 
•Portugal 
•Qatar 
•Romania 
•Russia 
•Saudi Arabia 
•Senegal 
•Serbia 
•Singapore 
•Slovakia 
•Slovenia 
•South Korea 
•Spain 
•Sweden 
•Switzerland 
•Syria 
•Tajikistan 
•Thailand 
•Tunisia 
•Turkmenistan 
•Ukraine 
•Uzbekistan 
•UAE 
•USA 
•UK 
•Yemen 
Improving Investment Climate
Source: A.T. Kearney 
Likelihood of investment in a market over the next 3 years 
Confidence 
0 
0,5 
1 
1,5 
2 
2,5 
3 
USA (1) 
China (2) 
Canada (3) 
UK(4) 
Brazil (5) 
Germany (6) 
India (7) 
Australia (8) 
Singapore (9) 
France (10) 
UAE (11) 
Mexico (12) 
South Africa (13) 
Switzerland (14) 
Malaysia (15) 
Sweden (16) 
Chile (17) 
Spain (18) 
Japan (19) 
Italy (20) 
Belgium (21) 
Netherlands (22) 
Denmark (23) 
Turkey (24) 
Indonesia (25) 
Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index 2014 (0=Low Confidence; 3=High Confidence) 
Low Confidence 
High Confidence 
Improving Investment Climate 
Increasing Confidence in Turkey: FDI Confidence Index based on 300 companies’ responses 
The Index examines overarching trends and ranks countries on how changes in their political, economic, and regulatory systems are likely to affect FDI inflows in the coming years.
Source: Central Bank of Republic of Turkey, *as of 2014 September, Ministry of Economy 
Increasing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) 
15 
146 
0 
30 
60 
90 
120 
150 
1923-2002 (80 years) 
2003-2014* 
FDI Inflows 
($ billion) 
Investment Climate 
FDI 
5,6 
40,9 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
30 
35 
40 
45 
Number of Foreign Companies (Thousand)
Improving Investment & Trade Relations with UfM
Source: Central Bank of Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Economy, *as of 2014 September 
71% of FDI in Turkey is done by UfM (EU:70%) 
Investment & Trade relations with UfM 
Investment 
0 
3000 
6000 
9000 
12000 
15000 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
2014* 
Other UfM 
EU 28 
FDI Flows from UfM into Turkey ($ million) 
FDI Flows from UfM into Turkey 
Source 
Cumulative Value 2003-2014* ($ Million) 
EU 28 
82.624 
Lebanon 
1.135 
Israel 
384 
Jordan 
215 
Albania 
5 
TOTAL 
84.363 
Number of UfM companies in Turkey 2014* 
EU 
19.186 
Syria** 
1.503 
Israel 
306 
Jordan 
297 
Egypt 
277 
Lebanon 
276 
Algeria 
91 
Palestine 
86 
Tunisia 
71 
Bosnia-Herzegovina 
65 
Morocco 
63 
Albania 
57 
Monaco 
9 
Montenegro 
7 
Mauritania 
2 
TOTAL 
22.296
Source: Central Bank of Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Economy, *as of 2014 September **self-suspended 
Turkey has invested c.$16 billion in UfM countries since 2003 
0 
500 
1000 
1500 
2000 
2500 
3000 
3500 
2003 
2004 
2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
2012 
2013 
2014* 
Other UfM 
EU28 
FDI Flows from Turkey into UfM ($ million) 
FDI Flows from Turkey into UfM 
Cumulative Value 2003-2014* 
Destination 
($ Million) 
EU 28 
14.860 
Tunisia 
220 
Egypt 
174 
Bosnia -Herzegovina 
148 
Macedonia 
110 
Morocco 
68 
Albania 
67 
Lebanon 
31 
Algeria 
29 
Lebanon 
31 
Syria** 
18 
Israel 
6 
Jordan 
4 
TOTAL 
15.757 
Investment & Trade relations with UfM 
Investment
Source: TurkStat 
Turkey’s foreign trade with UfM exponentially increased and reached $175 bn in 2013, up from $50bn in 2002 
Investment & Trade relations with UfM 
Trade 
23 
54 
64 
76 
- 
20 
40 
60 
80 
2002 
2006 
2010 
2013 
Othe UfM 
EU28 
Export ($ Billion) 
27 
62 
77 
99 
- 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
2002 
2006 
2010 
2013 
Other UfM 
EU28 
Import ($ Billion) 
50 
116 
141 
175 
0 
25 
50 
75 
100 
125 
150 
175 
2002 
2006 
2010 
2013 
Export 
Import 
Turkey’s Foreign Trade with UfM ($ Billion)
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Protection and Promotion of Investments in the Mediterranean: The Case of Turkey

  • 1. Investment Support and Promotion Agency of Turkey (ISPAT) REPUBLIC OF TURKEY PRIME MINISTRY “Protection and promotion of investments in the Mediterranean: The Case of Turkey” Necmettin KAYMAZ Chief Project Director The Parliamentary Assembly of the Union for the Mediterranean, Meeting of the Committee on Economic & Financial Affairs, Social Affairs & Education Ankara, 01 December 2014
  • 2. AGENDA Global FDI Landscape FDI potential of UfM The Case of Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI destination Improving Investment Climate in Turkey Improving Investment & Trade Relations with UfM
  • 4. Global FDI Landscape Source: UNCTAD Fierce Competition Global FDI Flows ($ Trillion) 0,6 0,7 1,0 1,5 2,0 1,8 1,2 1,4 1,7 1,3 1,5 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Advanced Economies Developing Economies Around $1,5 trillion FDI is being circulated annually in the world over the past decade Fierce competition between advanced and developing economies to attract FDI 61% of Global FDI went to developing economies in 2013, up from 34% in 2007
  • 5. Global FDI Landscape Source: UNCTAD Main Benefits of FDI Long-term capital inflow Employment Integrating local companies into Global Value Chain, hence increasing their competitiveness Technology transfer Improving labor skills Improving exports Benefits of FDI Why are countries competing to attract FDI?
  • 6. Global FDI Landscape Source: UNCTAD World Investment Report 1998: Trends and Determinants. Determinants of FDI Host country determinants 1.Policy Framework •Economic, political & social stability •Rules regarding entry & operations •Policies on functioning and structure of markets •International agreements on FDI •Privatization policy •Trade policy •Tax policy 2.Economic determinants 3.Business facilitation •Investment promotion & facilitation •Investment incentives •Hassle costs (related corruption, administrative efficiency, etc.) •Social amenities (bilingual schools, quality of life, etc.) •After-investment services Motives of TNCs Principal economic determinants in the host countries A. Market- seeking •Market size, income per capita •Market growth •Access to regional & global markets •Country-specific consumer preferences •Structure of markets B. Recourse/asset seeking •Raw materials •Low-cost unskilled labor •Skilled labor •Technological, innovatory & other created assets (e.g. brand name), including as embodied in individuals, firms and clusters •Physical infrastructure (port, roads..) C. Efficiency-seeking •Cost of resources & assets listed under B, adjusted for productivity for labor resources •Other input costs , eg. Transport & communication costs to/from /within host economy and cost of other intermediate goods •Membership of a regional integration agreements conducive to the establishment of regional corporate networks Host country determinants of FDI
  • 8. FDI potential of UfM FDI Flows into UfM Countries 2003-2013 Destination $ Billion EU 28 4.721,8 Turkey 136,5 Israel 88,2 Egypt 63,9 Lebanon 38,6 Morocco 24,8 Jordan 21,3 Algeria 19,7 Tunisia 16,7 Syria* 9,2 Albania 7,7 Montenegro 7,0 Bosnia and Herzegovina 6,5 Mauritania 5,2 Palestine 1,3 TOTAL 5.168,6 UfM attracted 35% of Global FDI (32% to EU28) Source: UNCTAD Note: No data available for Monaco *Self-suspended UfM attracted over $5 trillion FDI between 2003-2013 FDI Flows 300 244 535 650 923 611 402 420 532 260 291 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Other UfM EU28 FDI Flows into UfM ($ Billion)
  • 9. Outward FDI Flows from UfM 2003-2013 Source $ Billion EU 28 6.143,2 Israel 63,9 Turkey 20,5 Lebanon 8,5 Egypt 5,9 Morocco 3,6 Algeria 1,4 Other UfM countries 1,8 TOTAL 6.248,8 Over 41% of Global FDI was done by UfM, led by EU with 40% Source: UNCTAD FDI Inflows UfM invested over $6 trillion abroad between 2003-2013 298 381 609 706 1272 997 390 496 595 246 260 0 150 300 450 600 750 900 1050 1200 1350 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Other UfM EU28 FDI Flows from UfM ($ Billion) FDI potential of UfM
  • 10. Greenfield FDI Projects in UfM 2003-2013 Destination $ Billion EU28 1.944,0 Turkey 119,8 Egypt 111,0 Algeria 69,8 Morocco 51,3 Tunisia 45,4 Jordan 42,5 Syria* 33,7 Israel 17,4 Bosnia & Herzegovina 14,1 Lebanon 11,6 Albania 10,6 Mauritania 4,2 Montenegro 3,9 Palestine 1,2 TOTAL 2.480,5 UfM attracts 27% of Global Greenfield FDI, (21% by EU28) Source: fDi Intelligence UfM attracted c. $2,5 trillion Greenfield FDI between 2003-2013 Greenfield Investment 156 158 212 269 288 409 268 199 203 164 155 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Other UfM EU28 Greenfield FDI Projects in UfM ($ Billion) FDI potential of UfM
  • 11. Greenfield FDI Projects in UfM 2003-2013 Source $ Billion EU 28 3.536,1 Israel 53,2 Turkey 41,8 Egypt 18,2 Lebanon 7,5 Jordan 4,7 Tunisia 1,8 Algeria 1,7 Morocco 1,6 Rest of UfM 1,7 TOTAL 3.668,1 39% of Global Greenfield FDI is done by UfM (38% by EU28) Source: fDi Intelligence UfM invested $3,7 trillion Greenfield FDI abroad between 2003-2013 Potential 293 236 255 336 385 573 424 366 335 225 241 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Other UfM EU28 Greenfield FDI Projects by UfM ($ Billion) Greenfield Investment FDI potential of UfM
  • 12. The Case of Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI destination in the region
  • 13. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook April 2014, Eurostat, OECD, TurkStat, OECD Economic Outlook No.93, May 2013 4,9 4,6 4,3 4,1 4,0 3,7 3,5 3,4 3,4 2,6 2,6 1,8 1,1 1,1 0,9 0 1 2 3 4 5 Average Annual Real GDP Growth (%) 2002-2013 5,1 5,0 4,6 4,1 3,8 3,7 3,5 3,3 3,3 3,2 3,2 3,0 2,9 2,7 2,7 2,6 2,4 2,1 2,1 2,0 2,0 1,9 1,7 1,7 1,5 1,5 1,5 1,4 1,4 1,3 1,2 1,1 1,0 1,0 0,8 0,8 0,8 0,2 0,1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Turkey Chile South Africa Korea Argentina Brazil Israel Australia Russia Slovakia Mexico Estonia Poland Norway Sweden Luxembourg New Zealand Czech Rep. Switzerland US Canada OECD Austria UK France Finland Belgium Netherlands Ireland Hungary Germany Slovenia Euro area Denmark Japan Iceland Spain Portugal Italy Average Annual Real GDP Growth (%) 2012-2017 Strong record, bright future Economic Performance Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 14. Source: Indicators are based on the compilations of OECD and Turkstat data Quarterly Real GDP Growth (Index: Q1-2009=100) Seasonally adjusted Fastest growing economy in Europe and one of the fastest growing economies in the world The fastest recovering economy since the onset of global financial crisis in 2009 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 Q1-2009 Q2-2009 Q3-2009 Q4-2009 Q1-2010 Q2-2010 Q3-2010 Q4-2010 Q1-2011 Q2-2011 Q3-2011 Q4-2011 Q1-2012 Q2-2012 Q3-2012 Q4-2012 Q1-2013 Q2-2013 Q3-2013 Q4-2013 Q1-2014 Q2-2014 Turkey Russia Brazil Poland Czech Rep. Hungary Economic Performance Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 15. Source: TurkStat Main Drivers of the Economic Growth 67,6% 29,7% 29,7% 10,1% 5,5% -1,8% -40,9% -45% -25% -05% 15% 35% 55% 75% Contribution to Real GDP Growth 2002-2013 An economy driven by entrepreneurial spirit of private sector, robust domestic market and lucrative export opportunities Manufacturing; 27,1% Financial intermediation; 18,3% Transport, storage & communication; 17,1% Wholesale & retail trade; 14,3% Other; 23,3% Contribution to Real GDP Growth 2002-2013 Economic Performance Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 16. Gross Public Debt Stock (% of GDP) Strong macroeconomic fundamentals Maastricht Criteria: 60 % Maastricht Criteria: -3 %, 74 36,3 60,3 89,4 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 TURKEY EU Source: Treasury, European Commission, -10,2 -1,6 -2,5 -3,3 -12 -9 -6 -3 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 TURKEY EU Central Government Budget Balance (% of GDP) Economic Performance Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 17. Source: UN, IMF, national sources 2013 Ranking of Countries with Population over 70 million 1.367 1.261 319 252 203 188 179 157 146 127 120 100 90 88 87 81 78 77 - 300 600 900 1.200 1.500 China (1) India (2) US (3) Indonesia (4) Brazil (5) Pakistan (6) Nigeria (7) Bangladesh (8) Russia (9) Japan (10) Mexico (11) Philippines (12) Vietnam (13) Ethiopia (14) Egypt (15) Germany (16) Iran (17) Turkey (18) Population (Million) 16.768 9.469 4.899 3.636 2.246 2.097 1.877 1.261 870 822 522 367 272 271 233 171 162 46 - 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 US (1) China (2) Japan (3) Germany (4) Brazil (5) Russia (6) India (7) Mexico (8) Indonesia (9) Turkey (10) Nigeria (11) Iran (12) Philippines (13) Egypt (14) Pakistan (15) Vietnam (16) Bangladesh (17) Ethiopia (18) GDP ($ Billion) 52,6 45,0 38,5 14,4 11,1 10,8 10,5 6,9 4,7 3,5 3,1 2,9 2,7 1,9 1,5 1,2 1,0 0,5 0 10 20 30 40 50 US (1) Germany (2) Japan (3) Russia (4) Brazil (5) Turkey (6) Mexico (7) China (8) Iran (9) Indonesia (10) Egypt (11) Nigeria (12) Philippines (13) Vietnam (14) India (15) Pakistan (16) Bangladesh (17) Ethiopia (18) GDP per capita ($K) Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination Domestic Market
  • 18. Source: TURKSTAT, OECD 30,3 23,8 20,9 16,4 13,3 8,4 6,8 4,4 3,7 2,8 2,3 2,1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Percentage (%) of Poor People Living on Less than $4,3 Per Day 63,6 47,4 40,5 40,2 39,8 39,2 34,3 30,8 25,1 7,3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Lowest income top income group Real Increase (%) in Household Income 2002-2012 Income Decile Groups (10%) -0,1 -0,08 -0,06 -0,04 -0,02 0 0,02 0,04 0,06 Turkey Mexico Ireland Greece Belgium Spain Hungary Italy Slovakia Portugal UK Poland Czech Rep. Japan Norway Korea France USA Austria Australia Germany Finland Denmark Canada Sweden Percentage point changes in the Gini coefficient (Mid-1990s to Mid-2000s) Increasing income Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 19. Rise of the middle-class in Turkey Source: Euromonitor International; Credit Suisse, Adults are defined to be individuals aged 20 or above 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 2002 2013 10,6 2,3 5,3 18,0 1,0 9,5 Income < $10K Income > $10K Income > $25K Number of Households by Annual Disposable Income (million) 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 2002 2013 11.141 25.909 Wealth per Adult ($) Increasing income Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 20. Source: TurkStat Changing consumption culture with increasing purchasing power and lower liabilities Food & Housing 54% Other 46% 2002 Allocation of Household Consumption Expenditures (%) Increasing Income 21 65 85 0 20 40 60 80 100 Turkey Euro Area USA Household Liability % of GDP (2012) Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination Food & Housing 45% Other 55% 2013
  • 21. Source: TURKSTAT Increasing export Export (US$ Billion) 36,1 47,3 63,2 73,5 85,5 107,3 132 102,2 114 135 152 152 35 50 65 80 95 110 125 140 155 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Export Opportunities Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 22.  Customs Union with the European Union  Free Trade Agreements with 25 countries Source: Ministry of Economy, * In ratification process * 1. Albania 14. Tunisia 2. Bosnia & Herzegovina 15. Montenegro 3. Egypt 16. Serbia 4. Georgia 17. Chile 5. Iceland 18. Jordan 6. Israel 19. Mauritius 7. Lichtenstein 20. South Korea 8. Macedonia 21. Lebanon* 9. Morocco 22. Kosovo* 10. Norway 23. Ghana* 11. Palestine 24. Malaysia* 12. Switzerland 25. Moldavia* 13. Syria Free Trade Export Opportunities Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 23. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook and WTO; GDP, Imports and population figures as of 2013 Access to Multiple Markets 1,5 Billion People $26 Trillion GDP, over $8 trillion trade (45% global trade) at a 4-hour flight distance Strategic Location Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination EUROPE GDP: $19.7 trillion Import: $6,6 trillion Population: 670 million RUSSIA GDP – $2.1 trillion Import: $344 billion Population: 143 million CENTRAL ASIA & CAUCASUS GDP: $433 billion Import: $106 billion Population: 84 million MENA GDP: $3,7 trillion Import: $1 trillion Population: 665 million
  • 24. A Manufacturing Hub Source: Deloitte, oica, worldsteel, turkbesd TURKEY TURKEY TURKEY T U R K E Y Turkey will be the 16th manufacturing hub in the world and 2nd in Europe Strategic Location Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination Turkey is already; 17th largest automotive manufacturer in the world & the largest commercial vehicle manufacturer in Europe (2013) 8th largest steel manufacturer in the world & 2nd in Europe (2013) Largest TV & white goods manufacturer in Europe (2013)
  • 25. Turkey emerges as a regional manufacturing hub for global firms SOURCE: TSKB PCs and peripherals •Tripling production with new investment •To export 90% of total production Heavy commercial vehicles •New model to be manufactured in Turkey and exported to 65 countries Energy •Tripling production to export to countries in Europe, North Africa, and South America FMCG •Production base for the Middle Eastern and North African markets Filters and generators •85% of total production to be exported Textile •Moving all production volume to Turkey New line of trucks •Regional manufacturing hub for new line of trucks •Annual production capacity of 150K units •Total FDI 1.6 Bn USD • Exports to 30 countries Strategic Location Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 26. Turkey is also becoming a regional management hub for global firms Company Regions managed from Turkey Rationale behind chosing Turkey as a management hub 90 countries •Eurasia •Africa “Turkey is a strong country due to its dynamic economy and young population” -Ahmet Bozer, Executive Vice President and President of Coca Cola International, 2011 79 countries •Middle East •Africa “Besides, the business opportunities Istanbul offers, its educated workforce and infrastructure supporting expats are important” -Ala Faramawy, VP Microsoft International, 2011 64 countries •Middle East •Africa "Turkish managers have the European business ethics and discipline and the strong communication skills of Eastern managers" –Intel's Business Dev.Manager, Burak Aydın, 2012 20 countries •Caucasus •Central Asia •Eastern Europe "Pfizer Turkey is referred to as 'A School of Leaders', since it continuously transfers successful executives to Pfizer companies worldwide. Today, more than 35 Turkish senior executives are appointed to Pfizer affiliates all around the world. " –ISPAT website, 2012 Source: Press releases Strategic Location Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 27. Largest youth population as compared to EU; half of the population is under age 30 Population Pyramid (%) 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Female Male % Age Group TURKEY 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Female Male % Age Group EUROPE Source: Turkstat, Eurostat, UN, 2013 77 million young & dynamic people 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Female Male % Age Group ASIA Demographics Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 28. Source: UN Favorable Demographic Trend 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031 2034 2037 2040 2043 2046 2049 Working Age Population (15-64), 2013=100 Europe Turkey 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 2028 2031 2034 2037 2040 2043 2046 2049 Total Dependency Ratio (%) (Age 0-14 & Age 65+) / Age 15-64 Europe Turkey Labor Force Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 29. Source: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2014, IMD WCY Executive Opinion Survey based on an index from 0 to 10 (0 = Not available 10 = Readily available) Skilled Labor Force 2014 6,0 5,9 5,8 5,4 5,0 4,7 3,1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Turkey Romania Czech Rep. Poland China Hungary Bulgaria Availability of Skilled Labor Force 6,0 5,2 5,2 5,2 4,8 4,1 2,7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Turkey Czech Rep. Romania Poland China Hungary Bulgaria Availability of Competent Senior Managers 7,1 6,8 6,7 6,22 6,0 5,6 3,9 0 2 4 6 8 Turkey Hungary Romania Czech Rep. China Poland Bulgaria Availability of Qualified Engineers Labor Force 7,0 6,5 5,7 5,4 5,4 5,2 3,6 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Turkey Poland Romania China Hungary Czech Rep. Bulgaria Availability of Finance Skills Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 30. Source: Eurostat , TurkStat, Mercer 4,6 5,5 5,7 6,6 6,7 7,8 8,3 8,3 8,3 9,7 10,8 11,9 22 0 5 10 15 20 25 Annual average number of sick days per employee, 2008 52,0 42,7 41,9 41,9 41,7 41,5 41,5 41,5 40,8 40,4 40,1 40,0 39,6 38,8 30 35 40 45 50 55 Productive and Cost-effective Labor Force Annual Average Hours worked per week, 2013 95 110 125 140 155 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Turkey Poland Czech Rep. Hungary Productivity: Real GDP per hour worked (Index: 2001=100) 45,8 45,0 39,2 28,8 27,2 18,8 12,4 11,5 9,7 8,8 6,9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 France Germany Ireland Spain UK Slovenia Czech Rep. Slovakia Hungary Poland Turkey Labor Cost Per Hour in Manufacturing ($), 2012 Labor Force Turkey: Positioning itself as an attractive FDI Destination
  • 32. National Treatment Guarantee of Transfers International Arbitration Purchase of Real Estate Employment of Expats International standards (IFRS & IAS) Transparency & Accountability Institutionalization of companies Opportunity to perform board meetings online 27 29 30 30 31 36 37 38 39 25 30 35 40 Romania Russia Bangladesh Bulgaria Poland Morocco Cameroon Turkey Guatemala 6,5 8,0 11,2 13,0 19,0 28,4 30,0 31,4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Turkey Romania Russia Spain Czech Rep. India Poland China Reforms Number of Days to Establish a Company in 2013 Number of Days to Establish a Company in 2003 New FDI Law in 2003 CIT reduced to 20% in 2006 New Commercial Code in 2012 Source: World Bank Improving Investment Climate
  • 33. Source: OECD -0,1 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 China Indonesia India New Zealand Malaysia Mexico Russia Canada Iceland Korea Australia Israel Austria Brazil United States Norway Switzerland Poland OECD - Average UK Turkey Sweden Japan Italy Slovakia France Ireland Argentina Denmark Greece Hungary Germany Spain Finland Netherlands Czech Rep. Luxembourg Drop in Index Score from 2003 to 2013 2013 Score TOP REFORMERS 1.Turkey 2.Malaysia 3.Finland 4.India 5.Russia ------ OECD Average Score in 2013 Index Score: 1=Closed to FDI, 0=Open to FDI More Restrictive Less Restrictive Reforms FDI Regulatory Restrictiveness Index Turkey has emerged as the biggest reformer Improving Investment Climate
  • 34. Investment Zones (Technology Development Zones, Organized Industrial Zones, Free Zones) Corporate and Personal Income Tax allowances Exemption from custom duties VAT exemption Social Security Premiums Support  R&D and Innovation Support Law R&D allowances and Enhanced Tax allowances Income Withholding Tax Deduction Cash support for entrepreneurial scientists  New incentive system (General, Regional, Large-scale, Priority, Strategic Investment) Reduced corporate tax rates Social security premium support Allocation of state land Interest support Withholding tax support INVESTMENT INCENTIVES IN TURKEY Incentives Improving Investment Climate
  • 35. Bilateral Agreements for the Promotion and Protection of Investments Turkey signed bilateral treaties with 76 countries to promote and protect investments •Afghanistan •Albania •Argentina •Australia •Austria •Azerbaijan •Bangladesh •Belarus •Belgium •Bosnia and Herzegovina •Bulgaria •China •Croatia •Cuba •Czech Republic •Denmark •Egypt •Estonia •Ethiopia •Finland •France •Georgia •Germany •Greece •Hungary •India •Indonesia •Iran •Israel •Italy •Japan •Jordan •Kazakhstan •Kuwait •Kyrgyzstan •Latvia •Lebanon •Libya •Lithuania •Luxembourg •Macedonia •Malaysia •Malta •Moldova •Mongolia •Morocco •Netherlands •Oman •Pakistan •Philippines •Poland •Portugal •Qatar •Romania •Russia •Saudi Arabia •Senegal •Serbia •Singapore •Slovakia •Slovenia •South Korea •Spain •Sweden •Switzerland •Syria •Tajikistan •Thailand •Tunisia •Turkmenistan •Ukraine •Uzbekistan •UAE •USA •UK •Yemen Improving Investment Climate
  • 36. Source: A.T. Kearney Likelihood of investment in a market over the next 3 years Confidence 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 USA (1) China (2) Canada (3) UK(4) Brazil (5) Germany (6) India (7) Australia (8) Singapore (9) France (10) UAE (11) Mexico (12) South Africa (13) Switzerland (14) Malaysia (15) Sweden (16) Chile (17) Spain (18) Japan (19) Italy (20) Belgium (21) Netherlands (22) Denmark (23) Turkey (24) Indonesia (25) Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index 2014 (0=Low Confidence; 3=High Confidence) Low Confidence High Confidence Improving Investment Climate Increasing Confidence in Turkey: FDI Confidence Index based on 300 companies’ responses The Index examines overarching trends and ranks countries on how changes in their political, economic, and regulatory systems are likely to affect FDI inflows in the coming years.
  • 37. Source: Central Bank of Republic of Turkey, *as of 2014 September, Ministry of Economy Increasing Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) 15 146 0 30 60 90 120 150 1923-2002 (80 years) 2003-2014* FDI Inflows ($ billion) Investment Climate FDI 5,6 40,9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Number of Foreign Companies (Thousand)
  • 38. Improving Investment & Trade Relations with UfM
  • 39. Source: Central Bank of Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Economy, *as of 2014 September 71% of FDI in Turkey is done by UfM (EU:70%) Investment & Trade relations with UfM Investment 0 3000 6000 9000 12000 15000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* Other UfM EU 28 FDI Flows from UfM into Turkey ($ million) FDI Flows from UfM into Turkey Source Cumulative Value 2003-2014* ($ Million) EU 28 82.624 Lebanon 1.135 Israel 384 Jordan 215 Albania 5 TOTAL 84.363 Number of UfM companies in Turkey 2014* EU 19.186 Syria** 1.503 Israel 306 Jordan 297 Egypt 277 Lebanon 276 Algeria 91 Palestine 86 Tunisia 71 Bosnia-Herzegovina 65 Morocco 63 Albania 57 Monaco 9 Montenegro 7 Mauritania 2 TOTAL 22.296
  • 40. Source: Central Bank of Republic of Turkey, Ministry of Economy, *as of 2014 September **self-suspended Turkey has invested c.$16 billion in UfM countries since 2003 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* Other UfM EU28 FDI Flows from Turkey into UfM ($ million) FDI Flows from Turkey into UfM Cumulative Value 2003-2014* Destination ($ Million) EU 28 14.860 Tunisia 220 Egypt 174 Bosnia -Herzegovina 148 Macedonia 110 Morocco 68 Albania 67 Lebanon 31 Algeria 29 Lebanon 31 Syria** 18 Israel 6 Jordan 4 TOTAL 15.757 Investment & Trade relations with UfM Investment
  • 41. Source: TurkStat Turkey’s foreign trade with UfM exponentially increased and reached $175 bn in 2013, up from $50bn in 2002 Investment & Trade relations with UfM Trade 23 54 64 76 - 20 40 60 80 2002 2006 2010 2013 Othe UfM EU28 Export ($ Billion) 27 62 77 99 - 20 40 60 80 100 2002 2006 2010 2013 Other UfM EU28 Import ($ Billion) 50 116 141 175 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 2002 2006 2010 2013 Export Import Turkey’s Foreign Trade with UfM ($ Billion)