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Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
AJAERD
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay
Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
*Yadeta Bekele1
, Temesgen Hirko2
1
Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia
2
Department of Agricultural Economics, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia
This study analyzes the determinants of Teff market outlet choices in Abay chomen District of
Ethiopia. Survey of one hundred eighty-four (184) household heads was conducted in three
kebeles of the district in 2016. Multivariate Probit model was used to identify determinants of
households’ teff market outlet choice decisions. Farm gate collectors, retailers and wholesaler
marketing outlets were used by teff producing farmers in the study area. The model result
revealed that age of the households significantly determined the probability of choosing farm
gate, retailers and wholesalers market outlets. The study also revealed that sex, land size and
quantity of teff produced in 2016 significantly affected the farm gate outlet choice of the
smallholders. Additionally, the retailer outlet choice of farmers was significantly determined by
quantity of teff produced. On the other hand, the wholesale market outlet choice of farmers was
significantly determined by education level of the farmers. This implies that the need to invest on
improving the education status of farmers; improving the production capacity of farmers that
would help smallholder farmers to choose the more rewarding market outlet. Therefore, any policy
attempting to benefit smallholder farmers to link with fair market outlets should focus on their
educational status and their production capacity.
Keywords: Market outlet choices, Determinants, Multivariate probit model.
INTRODUCTION
Agriculture is still the main stay of Ethiopian economy
sharing about 43% of the GDP, 80% of employment and
90% of the export value (MoFED, 2011). Teff is the major
cereal crop of Ethiopia. It is highly adapted to diverse agro
ecological zones. Teff production is the major component
of farming in the study area. It is widely produced by
majority of the farmers and playing diverse role in the diets
of the community. It is ideal crop for reducing poverty,
improving human health, nutrition and cash generation in
the area. It is indigenous to Ethiopia and is a fundamental
part of the culture, tradition and food security of its people
(MoARD,2010). It is cultivated over 2.8 million hectares in
the country. It also accounts for 28.5 percent of land area
under cereal cultivation, the largest share of all staple
grains in Ethiopia. ‘Injera’ locally made from teff, is a major
staple food for many Ethiopians. Teff is widely consumed
by the economically better off urban residents than by rural
households. It contributes up to 600 kcal/day in urban
areas compared to only 200 kcal/day in rural areas (CSA,
2015).
Studies have shown that income elasticity of teff is the
highest among cereals, and greater than one in both urban
and rural areas: a one percent increase in income
increases demand by more than one percent. Teff is more
of a luxury food for rural households and the urban poor,
while maize and wheat are necessity food grains. As teff
prices have gone up, many urban households tend to mix
teff flour with cheaper cereals such as sorghum, maize or
rice in preparing Injera (Berhanu, 2012).
According to Agricultural Bureau of Horo Guduru Wollega
zone (2015), the share of teff in total cereal consumption
has sharply declined since 1961, moving from 31 percent
in 1961-70 to 18 percent in 2001-2007.
*Corresponding author: Yadeta Bekele, Department of
Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management,
Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia. Email:
yadeta11@gmail.com
Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development
Vol. 4(1), pp. 381-388, March, 2018. © www.premierpublishers.org, ISSN: XXXX-XXXX
Research Article
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
Bekele and Hirko 382
There has been a considerable shift from teff to maize
consumption, influenced by a number of factors. Teff is a
commercial crop mainly because of the high price it
fetches and the absence of alternative cash crops (such
as coffee, tea or cotton) in the study area. Assemblers in
village markets and wholesalers in regional markets pay
close attention to the quality of teff. Teff can provide a good
source of income and which can also have beneficial
effects on the environment. The chief agricultural cereal
crop products in Horo Guduru zone especially in Jimma
Geneti, Oromia include Maize, Teff, Wheat, Sorghum and
Barley (CSA, 2015/16). In Horo Guduru zone, of the total
land 286,631.05 in hectares under grains production teff
occupies 90,316.67 hectares followed by Maize which
occupies 57,356.09 lands in hectare.
Like in many zones of Oromia, the people of Horo Guduru
zone are largely dependent on agriculture with small
holder cultivation of cereals, pulses and oilseeds mainly
characterized by subsistence farming mixed with livestock
rearing. The yield and productivity of the sector is very low
and susceptible to fluctuations due to out-dated methods
of production, lack of improved technology and skill, and
lack of business start-up budget, high dependence on
family labor, inadequate credit institutions and
unpredictable natural factors such as rainfall (excessive or
insufficient), soil fertility and pests. Not all farmers grow
enough food to feed themselves from harvest to harvest
(Horo Guduru Zone’s Bureau, 2016).
At the national level, teff has consistently accounted for
more than 40 percent of fertilized land. In 2010/11, of the
total fertilized area of 2.31 million-hectare, 981,000
hectares were allocated to teff, which is almost75 percent
more than maize or wheat. It may seem counterintuitive
that farmers are using more fertilizer in a low-yielding crop
like teff. However, this is consistent with the fact that teff
prices have been increasing in real terms for many years.
As a result, price has become more favorable relatively for
teff than for other cereals. In addition, due to ease of
storage and long shelf life, farmers attach some intrinsic
values to teff. On the other hand, fertilizer use in other
cereals (barley, sorghum, rice, and millet) has been
minimal relative to the three major cereals and the land
allocated to them. Since 2003/04, about 2.6 million-
hectare, equivalent to 35 percent of total planted land, has
been allocated to these cereals; but only about 4 percent
of this land is fertilized implying the economics of fertilizer
use in these non-tradable cereals has not been favorable
(IFPRI, 2013).
Markets are the means for smallholder farmers to integrate
into the national economies in most developing countries.
They provide the opportunity for farm production to
contribute to poverty reduction through the cash income
realized from sales of farm produce. In turn, markets drive
production as farmers endeavor to meet the demands of
consumers and end-users in terms of quantity and quality.
But their very existence, or how effectively they function,
cannot be guaranteed in many developing countries. In
Ethiopia, there is a certain urgency to address the real
concern that, in spite of considerable investments into
restructuring the sector since 1992 and directly tackle
agrarian and land reform, poverty is still widespread and
there is the clear indication that much of this arises from
farmers not being able to sell produce at a profit. Unlocking
markets for this group of farmers is therefore considered a
crucial developmental necessity. Research and case
studies conducted in various parts of the country point to
the importance of the market access to smallholders
(Chilot et al., 2010).
Marketing outlet choice is one of the most important farm
household decisions to sell their produce in different
marketing outlets and has a great impact on household
income. Market outlets choices are household specific
decision and several drivers have to be considered as a
basis for such decision. Various empirical studies pointed
out that smallholder farmer’s decision to choose different
market outlet can be affected by household
characteristics, resource endowments and access to
different market outlets prices and transportation cost.
Lack of market knowledge or difficulties in accessing
markets that are more rewarding makes smallholder
farmers to transact their produce through outlet offering
low price.
Empirical Literature Review: Teff market outlet choice
and It’s determinants
Many researchers used logit and probit for categorical
market outlet choices for different agricultural products.
Multivariate probit estimation has been used in many
studies to identify factors affecting adoption of agricultural
technologies. Gillespie, et al., 2004; Jenkins et al., 2011
used this approach to identify factors that affect cotton
producers’ adoption pattern of different information
sources i.e. private, extension and media and to estimate
factors that affect adoption of four breeding technologies.
Jari and Fraser (2009) identified that market information,
expertise on grades and standards, contractual
agreements, social capital, market infrastructure, group
participation and tradition significantly influence household
marketing behavior. The study uses multivariate probit
model to investigate the factors that influence marketing
choices among smallholder farmers.
Padmanand et al. (2015) used multivariate probit model
and confirmed that, income, education, employment
status, household size, and distance influence shopping
frequency in all five outlet types selected. Income had
positive effect whereas household size was negatively
associated with supper marketing channel choices.
A multivariate probit model was used to analyze the
diversification of the marketing chains and channel
choices among oil seed producers. The results suggest
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
J. Agric. Econ. Rural Devel. 383
Fig 1: Map of the study area
that farmers’ personal characteristics influence their
choice, and that more educated and skilled farmers are
less likely to choose traditional marketing chains and more
likely to engage in the new marketing chains (Corsi et al.,
2009).
This study intended to address the following specific
objectives: (i) identify different teff marketing channels; (ii)
determine factors determining households’ choice of teff
market channels. Thus, factors affecting market outlet
choices of smallholder teff farmers become essential to
provide vital information for effective research planning
and intervention.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The study was conducted in three kebeles (Achane, Ganji
Qare and Gutane) of Abay Chomen district, Horo guduru
Wollega zone. Abay Chomen District is one of the 9
districts in Horro Guduru Wollega zone of Oromia regional
state of Ethiopia, containing 19 kebeles, located at 9o 31’
42” to 9o 59’ 48” N latitude and 37o 10’ 03” to 37o 28’ 44” E
longitude and the capital of the district Fincha town is 289
kms far northwest of Addis Ababa. The District is bordered
on the east by Ababo Guduru district, on the southeast by
Guduru district, on the south by Fincha river, on the south
west by the Jimma Geneti district, on the northwest by
Amuru Jarte district and on the north by the Abay river
which separates it from the Amhara region. The area
receives high rainfall in one season of the year. The total
area of the District is estimated to be 801.7 km2;
approximately 45, 37, 4, 3 and 11% of the total area are
cultivated land, non-cultivated, water bodies, settlements,
and woodlands and forests, respectively (Tegbaru, 2014).
The Ethiopian population projection by CSA for 2017,
based on 2007 national census reported a total population
for this district to be 64,672, of whom 33,263 (51.43%)
were male and 31,409 (48.57%) were female; 15,232 or
23.55% of its population were urban dwellers (CSA, 2013).
The majority of the inhabitants were Protestant, (59.73%),
while 31.84% reported Ethiopian Orthodox Christianity,
5.5% reported their traditional beliefs, and 1.61% was
Muslim (CSA, 2007).
The altitude of the study area ranges from 1,061 to 2,492
meters above sea level (masl) with two agro ecological
zones, mid-highland and low land. The northern part of the
district (low land), which is mainly situated at altitude
ranging from 1,138 to 1,687 masl in the Nile River Basin,
is owned by Fincha Sugar Factory and is entirely being
used for irrigated sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum L.)
production. At altitudes ranging from 2,213 to 2,492 masl
(mid- highland), smallholder farmers practice mixed
farming systems that integrate both crops and livestock
(animals used for traction, meat and milk). These areas are
under intensive cultivation and maize (Zea mays L.), teff
(Eragrostis tef (Zucc.) Trotter), bread wheat (Triticum
aestivum L.), niger seed (Guizotia abyssinica), barley
(Hordeum vulgare L.) and faba bean (Vicia faba L.) are the
major crops grown by rain-fed agriculture (CSA, 2013).
Areas situated at altitude ranging from 1,061 to 1,138 and
1,687 to 2,213 masl are mainly woodlands and forests, and
non-cultivated escarpments (Tegbaru, 2014).
The recent years meteorological data of the nearby
representative stations, Fincha Sugar Factory and
Shambu Meteorological Stations showed that the mean
annual minimum and maximum temperatures of the district
are 13.4 and 27.2 0C, respectively, and the mean annual
rainfall is 1,399 mm (Tegbaru, 2014). The area has a uni-
modal rainfall pattern and the highest intensity of rainfall is
recorded in the month of July. The area is characterized
as hot to warm moist lowland and tepid to cool moist mid-
highlands based on the classification of agro-ecological
zones of Ethiopia (Alemayehu, 2006).
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
Bekele and Hirko 384
Combinations of qualitative and quantitative methods were
used for primary data collection. For household
questionnaire survey, 184 households were interviewed.
Data Source and Type
Both primary and secondary data sources were used. Teff
producing households were interviewed using structured
questionnaire. The questionnaire was designed to explore
the teff production, marketing, and market channels. To
complement the structured survey, personal observation
and secondary data collection were conducted.
Sampling Procedure and Methods of Data Collection
A simple random sampling procedure was used for this
study. Three kebeles had been selected, based on their
production potential. 184 teff producing households were
randomly selected from three kebeles according to
population proportion to size.
The study was applied a simplified equation: n =
N
1+N(e)2
where n is sample size, N is population size and e is level
of precision provided by Yamane (1967) to determine the
required sample size at 95% confident level.
Data were generated from a survey of 184 households by
multistage sampling procedure. Abay Chomen district was
purposively selected based on the potential of teff
production. Three kebeles from the district were selected
randomly. A probability proportional to sample size
sampling procedure was employed to select a total of 184
households.
Primary data were collected using three enumerators from
each kebeles office of agriculture under the supervision of
the researcher. Before the actual data collection,
orientation was given to the enumerators on the content of
questionnaire.
Data Analysis
Primary data were entered in the SPSS spread sheet and
cleaned for irregularities. STATA software was used to
analysis the data collected.
Econometric Model specification
The outcome is nominal because the categories are
assumed to be unordered. Therefore, the most appropriate
model to estimate farmers’ decision to sell in one of these
three different market channels is a strategy choice model,
specifically a Multivariate probit Model (MvProbit). This
model was used because it is the standard method for
estimating unordered, multi category dependent variables.
It also assumes independence across the choices, that is,
it does not allow correlation or substitution between them
(Wooldridge, 2008). On top of this, when individuals can
participate in more than one choice at the same time,
multivariate probit model is more appropriate.
Market outlet choice model
A multivariate probit model was applied to explain the
effect of different factors on the choice of market channels.
A multivariate probit was used previously in a number of
adoption studies to account for simultaneous adoption of
multiple varieties and the potential correlations among the
adoption decisions. The multivariate probit is an extension
of the probit model and used to estimate several correlated
binary outcomes jointly. With respect to the structure of the
theoretical model and the dependent variables, a
multivariate probit model is as a generalization of the
bivariate probit model as presented in Maddala (1983).
For this study the multivariate probit model was employed
to determine the market out let choice of teff producers
since farmers have more than one option to sale their
product.
The equation can be written as follows:
𝑦𝑖𝑚=
∗
𝛽 𝑚 𝑋 𝑚 + 𝜀𝑖𝑚 ............................ (1)
Where 𝑦𝑖𝑚 (m= 1... k) represent the dependent variable of
teff market outlet selected by the ith farmer (i = 1… n). The
dependent variables are the polychotomous variable
indicating whether sales are made through the relevant
marketing outlet. The outlet has been aggregated into
many groups: farm gate, retailers and wholesalers. Each
farmer can use one or more marketing outlet. Xim is a 1 ×
k independent variables that affect the choice of marketing
outlet decisions and βm is a k × 1 vector of unknown
parameters to be estimated εim, m = 1, …, m are the error
terms distributed as multivariate normal, each with a mean
of zero, and variance-covariance matrix V, where V has
values of 1 on the leading diagonal and `correlations. The
system of multivariate probit equations has been shown in
the following ways.
𝑦1𝑖
∗
= 𝛽1
′
𝑋1𝑖 + 𝜀1𝑖 ............................ (2)
𝑦2𝑖
∗
= 𝛽2
′
𝑋2𝑖 + 𝜀2𝑖 ............................ (3)
𝑦3𝑖
∗
= 𝛽3
′
𝑋3𝑖 + 𝜀3𝑖 ............................ (4)
The latent dependent variables are observed through the
decision to choose outlet or not (yki).
Yim = {1 if * >0 k=1, 2, 3 ………………..….. (5)
0, Otherwise
There are six joint probabilities corresponding to six
possible combinations of choosing and not choosing each
of the three outlets. The probability that all three
components of the Teff market outlet have been selected
by household ’i’ is given as:
Pr(y1i=1, y2i=1, y3i=1)
=Pr (𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1
′
𝑥1𝑖, 𝜀2𝑖 < 𝛽2
′
𝑋2𝑖 𝜀3𝑖 < 𝛽3
′
𝑋3𝑖 … … … … … = 1, 𝑦
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
J. Agric. Econ. Rural Devel. 385
Pr(y1i=1, y2i=1, y3i=1)
=pr (𝜀3𝑖 < 𝛽3
′
𝑋3𝑖, 𝜀2𝑖 < 𝛽2
′
𝑋2𝑖, 𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1
′
𝑋1𝑖)………………(7)
Pr (y1i=1, y2i=1, y3i=1)
=Xpr (𝜀2𝑖 < 𝛽2
′
𝑋2𝑖, 𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1
′
𝑋1𝑖, 𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1
′
𝑋1𝑖)𝑖 (, … … … (, 𝑦
Where:
Y1i= for household who choose farm gate outlet, 0 other
wise
Y2i= for household who choose retailers outlet, 0 otherwise
Y3i= for household who choose Wholesalers out let, 0
otherwise
𝑋1𝑖, 𝑋2𝑖 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑋3𝑖 =are Vectors of explanatory variables X’ for
each outlet
𝛽1
′
, 𝛽2
′
, 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝛽3
′
= are vector of parameters to be estimated for
each channel
𝜀1𝑖, 𝜀2𝑖,𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝜀3𝑖 =are Error term for each outlet.
The system of equations is jointly estimated using
maximum likelihood method. The estimation was done
using the user-written STATA mv.probit procedure
(Capellari and Jenkins, 2003) that employs the Gewek-
Hajivassiliour-keane smooth recursive conditioning
simulator to evaluate the multivariate normal distribution
(Train, 2003). The simulator was indicated (Capellari and
Jenkins, 2003) to have desirable properties in the context
of multivariate normal limited dependent variables that
stimulated probabilities are unbiased, they are bounded
within (0,1) interval and the simulator is a continuous and
differentiable function of the model parameters.
RESULT AND DISCUSSION
Demographic characteristics of households
This study is based on cross-sectional data collected from
184 teff producing households selected from three kebeles
of Abay chomen district. Table 1 below shows summary
statistics for some variables in the data collected. In this
study, the age of all respondents was between 36 and 67
years with mean of 44.625 years and a standard deviation
of 6.25. The average family size of sampled respondents
was found to be 3.658 with standard deviation of 1.346.
The minimum and maximum family sizes were found to be
2 and 8, respectively. The study also revealed that the
mean landholding size of the sampled households in the
study area was 2.563 hectares with standard deviation of
1.165. The minimum and maximum landholding sizes
were 1 ha and 7 ha respectively. To reach to the main road
from their home in the study area, it was found that the
farmers walked on average 3.141kms with standard
deviation of 1.523.
Table 1: Demographic characteristics of sample households
Variable Obs Mean Std.
Dev.
Min Max
Age(years) 184 44.625 6.247 36 67
Experience (years) 184 13.630 2.596 9 20
Sex (1=male, 0=female 184 0.511 0.501 0 1
Family size(number) 184 3.658 1.346 2 8
Land size(hectare) 184 2.563 1.165 1 7
Oxen owned (number) 184 2.717 0.921 2 4
Extension contact (number
per month)
184 4.739 1.292 2 8
Residence distance (km) 184 3.141 1.523 1 10
Education status(grade) 184 2.174 1.057 1 8
Teff produced (quintal i.e
100kg)
184 5.332 2.164 1 13
Source: Survey result, 2016
Table 2 presents the characteristics of sample households
by market outlets participation status. About 102
households were reported that they sold their teff at farm
gate, about 105 of them sold at retailer and 126 of them
sold their teff at wholesaler.
Table 2: Characteristics of sample households by market outlet choices
Variables Farm gate Retailer Wholesaler
Yes(102) No(82) Yes(105) No(79) Yes(126) No(58)
Age(years) 46.108 42.780 46.038 42.747 43.929 46.138
Experience (years) 13.853 13.354 13.695 13.544 13.730 13.414
Family size(number) 3.598 3.732 3.610 3.722 3.683 3.603
Land size(hectare) 2.417 2.744 2.510 2.633 2.556 2.578
Oxen owned (number) 2.706 2.732 2.638 2.823 2.754 2.637
Extension contact(per month) 4.745 4.732 4.733 4.747 4.675 4.879
Residence distance (km) 0.647 0.646 0.638 0.658 0.643 0.655
Education status(grade) 3.108 3.183 2.971 3.367 3.103 3.224
Teff produced (quintal i.e 100kg) 2.176 2.171 2.229 2.101 2.087 2.362
Source: Survey result, 2016
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
Bekele and Hirko 386
Marketing Channels of Teff
Teff is a cash crop that passes through the hands of many
intermediaries. Based on the direction of flow and volume
of Teff transacted, seven marketing channels were
identified. The channel starts from the producers (farmers)
and ends in the terminal market. According to producers
survey which involves 184 respondents in the three study
kebeles in the year 2016 about 506 quintals of Teff was
marketed.
A marketing channel is a business structure of
interdependent organizations that reach from the point of
product origin to the consumer with the purpose of moving
products to their final destination. The result revealed that,
from the total of 982qt. produced, 51.58 %( 506qt) was
supplied to the market through the seven identified
channels.
The major Marketing channel known in the study area is
described as follows.
I. Producers Consumers (14qt.)
II. Producers Collectors Rural wholesalers
Broker Consumers (59qt)
III. Producers Collectors Wholesalers
Broker Urban wholesaler Retailers
Consumers (123qt)
IV. Producers Rural wholesalers Brokers
Urban wholesalers Retailers Consumers (102qt)
V. Producers Rural wholesalers Broker
Consumers (98qt).
VI. Producers Cooperatives Union
Consumers(67qt)
VII. Producers Cooperatives Rural wholesalers
Urban wholesalers Retailers Consumers (43.qt).
Source: Authors survey result 2016
Determinants of Teff market outlet choices
A Multivariate probit model was used to estimate three
binary dependent variables namely farm gate, retailers
and wholesalers market out let because of these are the
dominant outlets. The commodity is mainly produced for
both sale and consumption. The P-value of the Wald test
statistics for the overall significance of the regression is low
(p value=0.0000) indicating that the multivariate probit is
significant. Further, the likelihood ratio test of rho is
significant (P- value = 0.0001) indicating that a multivariate
probit specification fits the data. The significance of the off-
diagonal elements of the covariance matrix shows that
there are unobserved heterogeneities that influence the
choice decisions on the different market outlets.
The correlation coefficients among the error terms are
significant indicating that the decision to choose one
market outlet affects the decision of choosing the other.
The correlation coefficients between the farm gate and
retailers and farm gate and wholesaler market outlets is
negative and significant at 5% level indicating that farmers
who choose one market outlet are less likely to choose
another. All of the interpretation for the multivariate probit
model result for Teff outlet choice is presented in the next
table.
Table 3: Multivariate probit model results for determinants of market outlet choices of smallholder teff producers
Variables Farm gate Retailer Wholesaler
Coef. Std. Err. P>z Coef. Std. Err. P>z Coef. Std. Err. P>z
Age (years) 0.067*** 0.018 0.000 -0.058*** 0.017 0.000 0.032** 0.016 0.043
Experience (years) 0.005 0.039 0.899 0.015 0.038 0.699 -0.051 0.039 0.182
Sex (0=female, 1=male) 0.479** 0.208 0.021 -0.067 0.203 0.740 0.031 0.199 0.877
Family size (number) -0.046 0.076 0.543 0.018 0.070 0.800 -0.026 0.075 0.724
Land size (hectare) -0.193** 0.086 0.025 0.112 0.084 0.183 -0.061 0.087 0.485
Oxen (number) 0.002 0.110 0.987 0.136 0.107 0.202 -0.058 0.108 0.589
Extension contact (number) -0.039 0.078 0.618 0.053 0.078 0.499 0.095 0.079 0.227
Market information
(0=no,1=yes)
-0.191 0.218 0.381 0.111 0.210 0.596 -0.019 0.208 0.927
Residence distance(Km) -0.048 0.068 0.473 0.086 0.066 0.192 0.024 0.068 0.727
Education level(Grade) 0.093 0.096 0.328 -0.134 0.092 0.148 0.188* 0.096 0.051
Teff produced(quintal) -0.151*** 0.049 0.002 0.092** 0.045 0.040 -0.025 0.049 0.614
_cons -1.422 1.127 0.207 0.742 1.089 0.495 -1.592 1.069 0.136
Rho21 -0.752***
Rho31 0.165
Rho32 -0.571***
N=184, Wald chi2 (33) = 62.23, Prob > chi2 = 0.0015, Likelihood = -286.30878, rho21 = rho31 = rho32 = 0: Where, 1, 2, 3, stands for
farm gate, retailer and wholesalers respectively and ***, **,*, represents level of significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% respectively.
Source: Mvpt model result, 2016
Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia
J. Agric. Econ. Rural Devel. 387
The result implies that, the probability of choosing farm
gate market outlet was influenced by age, sex, land size
and quantity of teff produced at different level of
significance.
The probability of choosing farm gate market outlet was
determined by age at 1% significance level. This implies
that older households prefer to sell their product to farm
gate market outlets than retailers and wholesalers as
compared to younger households.
The probability of choosing cooperatives, market outlet
was determined by quantity of Teff produced at 1%
significance level. This is due to the fact that farmers those
who produce large quantity of Teff increase the probability
to choose cooperative outlet rather than collectors since
the price of cooperative is greater than collector price in
the study area. The study by Emana et al. (2015) also
indicated that large volume of sales motivates households
to prioritize the channels and decide to use the best
alternative.
The probability of choosing wholesaler outlet is positively
affected by quantity produced and times of sale at 1%
significance level. This explained that, those farmers who
produce large quantity of Teff, the probability to sale his
product to wholesalers also increase by increasing their
bargaining power. This result is consistent with the result
from a study by Emana et al. (2015) has positive
relationship with the likelihood of choosing wholesalers
channel. At the same time, those farmers who store Teff in
his/her home until price rise or to sale late of the year also
choose wholesaler outlet than other outlet and get high
benefit from the sale of Teff. Again, the probability to
choose wholesaler market outlet were influenced by
frequency of extension contact and market information
positively at 5% significance level. Implies that as
producers regularly contact with DA’s he/she improve
his/her knowledge and skill on Teff production and
marketing thus increase volume of Teff produced and
strengthen their bargaining power thus increase the
probability to choose wholesaler market outlet choice.
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The result of multivariate probit model indicated that the
probability to choose farm gate collector outlet was
affected by age, sex, land size and quantity of teff
produced compared to retailers and wholesaler outlet.
Similarly, the probability of choosing retailer market outlet
was affected by quantity produced, and age of the
households at 1% significance level compared to farm
gate collectors and wholesaler outlet. The probability of
choosing wholesaler market outlet was affected by age
and education level at 5% significance level compared to
farm gate collectors and retailers market outlet.
The recommendations are drawn from this study based on
the significant variables from the analysis. Strong
intervention could be taken by government to upgrade
producers through improving trade regulation of teff and
shorten its marketing channels.
Determinants of teff market outlets choice were analyzed
by Multivariate probit model. The result indicated that the
outlet choice of farm gate was positively and significantly
determined by age and sex and positively influenced by
land size and quantity of teff produced.
REFERENCES
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May 2012, Addis Ababa.
Berhanu A.(2012)- Economic effects of cash Crops
production on farmers welfare: Giving Farmers a
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regression using simulated maximum likelihood. The
Stata Journal, 3(3), pp.278-294.
Central Statistical Authority, 2015. Agricultural Sample
Survey Series, 2014/2015: Report on Area and
Production of Major Crops (Private Holdings, Main
Season). Statistical Bulletin No. 578.
Central Statistical Agency and World Bank, 2013.Ethiopia
Rural Socioeconomic Survey (ERSS) Survey Report.
Central Statistical Agency, 2007. Population and Housing
Census of Ethiopia: Results for Oromia Region, Vol. 1
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Distribution Research, 42(2), p.1.
Jari, B. and Fraser, G.C.G., 2009. An analysis of
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Variable in Econometrics. Cambridge University Press,
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Bekele and Hirko 388
Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, 2011.
Macroeconomic development in Ethiopia. Annual report
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Padmanand Madhavan Nambiar, Wojciech J. Florkowski,
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334p.
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Chomen districts, Western Oromia, Ethiopia.
Wooldridge J. 2008. Recent Developments in the
Econometrics of Program Evaluation
Accepted 30 January 2018
Citation: Bekele Y, Hirko T (2018). Determinants of Teff
Market Channel Choice in Abay chomen district, Western
Ethiopia. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural
Development, 4(1): 381-388.
Copyright: © 2018 Bekele and Hirko. This is an open-
access article distributed under the terms of the Creative
Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted
use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium,
provided the original author and source are cited.

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Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Ethiopia

  • 1. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia AJAERD Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia *Yadeta Bekele1 , Temesgen Hirko2 1 Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia 2 Department of Agricultural Economics, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia This study analyzes the determinants of Teff market outlet choices in Abay chomen District of Ethiopia. Survey of one hundred eighty-four (184) household heads was conducted in three kebeles of the district in 2016. Multivariate Probit model was used to identify determinants of households’ teff market outlet choice decisions. Farm gate collectors, retailers and wholesaler marketing outlets were used by teff producing farmers in the study area. The model result revealed that age of the households significantly determined the probability of choosing farm gate, retailers and wholesalers market outlets. The study also revealed that sex, land size and quantity of teff produced in 2016 significantly affected the farm gate outlet choice of the smallholders. Additionally, the retailer outlet choice of farmers was significantly determined by quantity of teff produced. On the other hand, the wholesale market outlet choice of farmers was significantly determined by education level of the farmers. This implies that the need to invest on improving the education status of farmers; improving the production capacity of farmers that would help smallholder farmers to choose the more rewarding market outlet. Therefore, any policy attempting to benefit smallholder farmers to link with fair market outlets should focus on their educational status and their production capacity. Keywords: Market outlet choices, Determinants, Multivariate probit model. INTRODUCTION Agriculture is still the main stay of Ethiopian economy sharing about 43% of the GDP, 80% of employment and 90% of the export value (MoFED, 2011). Teff is the major cereal crop of Ethiopia. It is highly adapted to diverse agro ecological zones. Teff production is the major component of farming in the study area. It is widely produced by majority of the farmers and playing diverse role in the diets of the community. It is ideal crop for reducing poverty, improving human health, nutrition and cash generation in the area. It is indigenous to Ethiopia and is a fundamental part of the culture, tradition and food security of its people (MoARD,2010). It is cultivated over 2.8 million hectares in the country. It also accounts for 28.5 percent of land area under cereal cultivation, the largest share of all staple grains in Ethiopia. ‘Injera’ locally made from teff, is a major staple food for many Ethiopians. Teff is widely consumed by the economically better off urban residents than by rural households. It contributes up to 600 kcal/day in urban areas compared to only 200 kcal/day in rural areas (CSA, 2015). Studies have shown that income elasticity of teff is the highest among cereals, and greater than one in both urban and rural areas: a one percent increase in income increases demand by more than one percent. Teff is more of a luxury food for rural households and the urban poor, while maize and wheat are necessity food grains. As teff prices have gone up, many urban households tend to mix teff flour with cheaper cereals such as sorghum, maize or rice in preparing Injera (Berhanu, 2012). According to Agricultural Bureau of Horo Guduru Wollega zone (2015), the share of teff in total cereal consumption has sharply declined since 1961, moving from 31 percent in 1961-70 to 18 percent in 2001-2007. *Corresponding author: Yadeta Bekele, Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Management, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia. Email: yadeta11@gmail.com Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development Vol. 4(1), pp. 381-388, March, 2018. © www.premierpublishers.org, ISSN: XXXX-XXXX Research Article
  • 2. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia Bekele and Hirko 382 There has been a considerable shift from teff to maize consumption, influenced by a number of factors. Teff is a commercial crop mainly because of the high price it fetches and the absence of alternative cash crops (such as coffee, tea or cotton) in the study area. Assemblers in village markets and wholesalers in regional markets pay close attention to the quality of teff. Teff can provide a good source of income and which can also have beneficial effects on the environment. The chief agricultural cereal crop products in Horo Guduru zone especially in Jimma Geneti, Oromia include Maize, Teff, Wheat, Sorghum and Barley (CSA, 2015/16). In Horo Guduru zone, of the total land 286,631.05 in hectares under grains production teff occupies 90,316.67 hectares followed by Maize which occupies 57,356.09 lands in hectare. Like in many zones of Oromia, the people of Horo Guduru zone are largely dependent on agriculture with small holder cultivation of cereals, pulses and oilseeds mainly characterized by subsistence farming mixed with livestock rearing. The yield and productivity of the sector is very low and susceptible to fluctuations due to out-dated methods of production, lack of improved technology and skill, and lack of business start-up budget, high dependence on family labor, inadequate credit institutions and unpredictable natural factors such as rainfall (excessive or insufficient), soil fertility and pests. Not all farmers grow enough food to feed themselves from harvest to harvest (Horo Guduru Zone’s Bureau, 2016). At the national level, teff has consistently accounted for more than 40 percent of fertilized land. In 2010/11, of the total fertilized area of 2.31 million-hectare, 981,000 hectares were allocated to teff, which is almost75 percent more than maize or wheat. It may seem counterintuitive that farmers are using more fertilizer in a low-yielding crop like teff. However, this is consistent with the fact that teff prices have been increasing in real terms for many years. As a result, price has become more favorable relatively for teff than for other cereals. In addition, due to ease of storage and long shelf life, farmers attach some intrinsic values to teff. On the other hand, fertilizer use in other cereals (barley, sorghum, rice, and millet) has been minimal relative to the three major cereals and the land allocated to them. Since 2003/04, about 2.6 million- hectare, equivalent to 35 percent of total planted land, has been allocated to these cereals; but only about 4 percent of this land is fertilized implying the economics of fertilizer use in these non-tradable cereals has not been favorable (IFPRI, 2013). Markets are the means for smallholder farmers to integrate into the national economies in most developing countries. They provide the opportunity for farm production to contribute to poverty reduction through the cash income realized from sales of farm produce. In turn, markets drive production as farmers endeavor to meet the demands of consumers and end-users in terms of quantity and quality. But their very existence, or how effectively they function, cannot be guaranteed in many developing countries. In Ethiopia, there is a certain urgency to address the real concern that, in spite of considerable investments into restructuring the sector since 1992 and directly tackle agrarian and land reform, poverty is still widespread and there is the clear indication that much of this arises from farmers not being able to sell produce at a profit. Unlocking markets for this group of farmers is therefore considered a crucial developmental necessity. Research and case studies conducted in various parts of the country point to the importance of the market access to smallholders (Chilot et al., 2010). Marketing outlet choice is one of the most important farm household decisions to sell their produce in different marketing outlets and has a great impact on household income. Market outlets choices are household specific decision and several drivers have to be considered as a basis for such decision. Various empirical studies pointed out that smallholder farmer’s decision to choose different market outlet can be affected by household characteristics, resource endowments and access to different market outlets prices and transportation cost. Lack of market knowledge or difficulties in accessing markets that are more rewarding makes smallholder farmers to transact their produce through outlet offering low price. Empirical Literature Review: Teff market outlet choice and It’s determinants Many researchers used logit and probit for categorical market outlet choices for different agricultural products. Multivariate probit estimation has been used in many studies to identify factors affecting adoption of agricultural technologies. Gillespie, et al., 2004; Jenkins et al., 2011 used this approach to identify factors that affect cotton producers’ adoption pattern of different information sources i.e. private, extension and media and to estimate factors that affect adoption of four breeding technologies. Jari and Fraser (2009) identified that market information, expertise on grades and standards, contractual agreements, social capital, market infrastructure, group participation and tradition significantly influence household marketing behavior. The study uses multivariate probit model to investigate the factors that influence marketing choices among smallholder farmers. Padmanand et al. (2015) used multivariate probit model and confirmed that, income, education, employment status, household size, and distance influence shopping frequency in all five outlet types selected. Income had positive effect whereas household size was negatively associated with supper marketing channel choices. A multivariate probit model was used to analyze the diversification of the marketing chains and channel choices among oil seed producers. The results suggest
  • 3. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia J. Agric. Econ. Rural Devel. 383 Fig 1: Map of the study area that farmers’ personal characteristics influence their choice, and that more educated and skilled farmers are less likely to choose traditional marketing chains and more likely to engage in the new marketing chains (Corsi et al., 2009). This study intended to address the following specific objectives: (i) identify different teff marketing channels; (ii) determine factors determining households’ choice of teff market channels. Thus, factors affecting market outlet choices of smallholder teff farmers become essential to provide vital information for effective research planning and intervention. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY The study was conducted in three kebeles (Achane, Ganji Qare and Gutane) of Abay Chomen district, Horo guduru Wollega zone. Abay Chomen District is one of the 9 districts in Horro Guduru Wollega zone of Oromia regional state of Ethiopia, containing 19 kebeles, located at 9o 31’ 42” to 9o 59’ 48” N latitude and 37o 10’ 03” to 37o 28’ 44” E longitude and the capital of the district Fincha town is 289 kms far northwest of Addis Ababa. The District is bordered on the east by Ababo Guduru district, on the southeast by Guduru district, on the south by Fincha river, on the south west by the Jimma Geneti district, on the northwest by Amuru Jarte district and on the north by the Abay river which separates it from the Amhara region. The area receives high rainfall in one season of the year. The total area of the District is estimated to be 801.7 km2; approximately 45, 37, 4, 3 and 11% of the total area are cultivated land, non-cultivated, water bodies, settlements, and woodlands and forests, respectively (Tegbaru, 2014). The Ethiopian population projection by CSA for 2017, based on 2007 national census reported a total population for this district to be 64,672, of whom 33,263 (51.43%) were male and 31,409 (48.57%) were female; 15,232 or 23.55% of its population were urban dwellers (CSA, 2013). The majority of the inhabitants were Protestant, (59.73%), while 31.84% reported Ethiopian Orthodox Christianity, 5.5% reported their traditional beliefs, and 1.61% was Muslim (CSA, 2007). The altitude of the study area ranges from 1,061 to 2,492 meters above sea level (masl) with two agro ecological zones, mid-highland and low land. The northern part of the district (low land), which is mainly situated at altitude ranging from 1,138 to 1,687 masl in the Nile River Basin, is owned by Fincha Sugar Factory and is entirely being used for irrigated sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum L.) production. At altitudes ranging from 2,213 to 2,492 masl (mid- highland), smallholder farmers practice mixed farming systems that integrate both crops and livestock (animals used for traction, meat and milk). These areas are under intensive cultivation and maize (Zea mays L.), teff (Eragrostis tef (Zucc.) Trotter), bread wheat (Triticum aestivum L.), niger seed (Guizotia abyssinica), barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) and faba bean (Vicia faba L.) are the major crops grown by rain-fed agriculture (CSA, 2013). Areas situated at altitude ranging from 1,061 to 1,138 and 1,687 to 2,213 masl are mainly woodlands and forests, and non-cultivated escarpments (Tegbaru, 2014). The recent years meteorological data of the nearby representative stations, Fincha Sugar Factory and Shambu Meteorological Stations showed that the mean annual minimum and maximum temperatures of the district are 13.4 and 27.2 0C, respectively, and the mean annual rainfall is 1,399 mm (Tegbaru, 2014). The area has a uni- modal rainfall pattern and the highest intensity of rainfall is recorded in the month of July. The area is characterized as hot to warm moist lowland and tepid to cool moist mid- highlands based on the classification of agro-ecological zones of Ethiopia (Alemayehu, 2006).
  • 4. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia Bekele and Hirko 384 Combinations of qualitative and quantitative methods were used for primary data collection. For household questionnaire survey, 184 households were interviewed. Data Source and Type Both primary and secondary data sources were used. Teff producing households were interviewed using structured questionnaire. The questionnaire was designed to explore the teff production, marketing, and market channels. To complement the structured survey, personal observation and secondary data collection were conducted. Sampling Procedure and Methods of Data Collection A simple random sampling procedure was used for this study. Three kebeles had been selected, based on their production potential. 184 teff producing households were randomly selected from three kebeles according to population proportion to size. The study was applied a simplified equation: n = N 1+N(e)2 where n is sample size, N is population size and e is level of precision provided by Yamane (1967) to determine the required sample size at 95% confident level. Data were generated from a survey of 184 households by multistage sampling procedure. Abay Chomen district was purposively selected based on the potential of teff production. Three kebeles from the district were selected randomly. A probability proportional to sample size sampling procedure was employed to select a total of 184 households. Primary data were collected using three enumerators from each kebeles office of agriculture under the supervision of the researcher. Before the actual data collection, orientation was given to the enumerators on the content of questionnaire. Data Analysis Primary data were entered in the SPSS spread sheet and cleaned for irregularities. STATA software was used to analysis the data collected. Econometric Model specification The outcome is nominal because the categories are assumed to be unordered. Therefore, the most appropriate model to estimate farmers’ decision to sell in one of these three different market channels is a strategy choice model, specifically a Multivariate probit Model (MvProbit). This model was used because it is the standard method for estimating unordered, multi category dependent variables. It also assumes independence across the choices, that is, it does not allow correlation or substitution between them (Wooldridge, 2008). On top of this, when individuals can participate in more than one choice at the same time, multivariate probit model is more appropriate. Market outlet choice model A multivariate probit model was applied to explain the effect of different factors on the choice of market channels. A multivariate probit was used previously in a number of adoption studies to account for simultaneous adoption of multiple varieties and the potential correlations among the adoption decisions. The multivariate probit is an extension of the probit model and used to estimate several correlated binary outcomes jointly. With respect to the structure of the theoretical model and the dependent variables, a multivariate probit model is as a generalization of the bivariate probit model as presented in Maddala (1983). For this study the multivariate probit model was employed to determine the market out let choice of teff producers since farmers have more than one option to sale their product. The equation can be written as follows: 𝑦𝑖𝑚= ∗ 𝛽 𝑚 𝑋 𝑚 + 𝜀𝑖𝑚 ............................ (1) Where 𝑦𝑖𝑚 (m= 1... k) represent the dependent variable of teff market outlet selected by the ith farmer (i = 1… n). The dependent variables are the polychotomous variable indicating whether sales are made through the relevant marketing outlet. The outlet has been aggregated into many groups: farm gate, retailers and wholesalers. Each farmer can use one or more marketing outlet. Xim is a 1 × k independent variables that affect the choice of marketing outlet decisions and βm is a k × 1 vector of unknown parameters to be estimated εim, m = 1, …, m are the error terms distributed as multivariate normal, each with a mean of zero, and variance-covariance matrix V, where V has values of 1 on the leading diagonal and `correlations. The system of multivariate probit equations has been shown in the following ways. 𝑦1𝑖 ∗ = 𝛽1 ′ 𝑋1𝑖 + 𝜀1𝑖 ............................ (2) 𝑦2𝑖 ∗ = 𝛽2 ′ 𝑋2𝑖 + 𝜀2𝑖 ............................ (3) 𝑦3𝑖 ∗ = 𝛽3 ′ 𝑋3𝑖 + 𝜀3𝑖 ............................ (4) The latent dependent variables are observed through the decision to choose outlet or not (yki). Yim = {1 if * >0 k=1, 2, 3 ………………..….. (5) 0, Otherwise There are six joint probabilities corresponding to six possible combinations of choosing and not choosing each of the three outlets. The probability that all three components of the Teff market outlet have been selected by household ’i’ is given as: Pr(y1i=1, y2i=1, y3i=1) =Pr (𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1 ′ 𝑥1𝑖, 𝜀2𝑖 < 𝛽2 ′ 𝑋2𝑖 𝜀3𝑖 < 𝛽3 ′ 𝑋3𝑖 … … … … … = 1, 𝑦
  • 5. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia J. Agric. Econ. Rural Devel. 385 Pr(y1i=1, y2i=1, y3i=1) =pr (𝜀3𝑖 < 𝛽3 ′ 𝑋3𝑖, 𝜀2𝑖 < 𝛽2 ′ 𝑋2𝑖, 𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1 ′ 𝑋1𝑖)………………(7) Pr (y1i=1, y2i=1, y3i=1) =Xpr (𝜀2𝑖 < 𝛽2 ′ 𝑋2𝑖, 𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1 ′ 𝑋1𝑖, 𝜀1𝑖 < 𝛽1 ′ 𝑋1𝑖)𝑖 (, … … … (, 𝑦 Where: Y1i= for household who choose farm gate outlet, 0 other wise Y2i= for household who choose retailers outlet, 0 otherwise Y3i= for household who choose Wholesalers out let, 0 otherwise 𝑋1𝑖, 𝑋2𝑖 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑋3𝑖 =are Vectors of explanatory variables X’ for each outlet 𝛽1 ′ , 𝛽2 ′ , 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝛽3 ′ = are vector of parameters to be estimated for each channel 𝜀1𝑖, 𝜀2𝑖,𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝜀3𝑖 =are Error term for each outlet. The system of equations is jointly estimated using maximum likelihood method. The estimation was done using the user-written STATA mv.probit procedure (Capellari and Jenkins, 2003) that employs the Gewek- Hajivassiliour-keane smooth recursive conditioning simulator to evaluate the multivariate normal distribution (Train, 2003). The simulator was indicated (Capellari and Jenkins, 2003) to have desirable properties in the context of multivariate normal limited dependent variables that stimulated probabilities are unbiased, they are bounded within (0,1) interval and the simulator is a continuous and differentiable function of the model parameters. RESULT AND DISCUSSION Demographic characteristics of households This study is based on cross-sectional data collected from 184 teff producing households selected from three kebeles of Abay chomen district. Table 1 below shows summary statistics for some variables in the data collected. In this study, the age of all respondents was between 36 and 67 years with mean of 44.625 years and a standard deviation of 6.25. The average family size of sampled respondents was found to be 3.658 with standard deviation of 1.346. The minimum and maximum family sizes were found to be 2 and 8, respectively. The study also revealed that the mean landholding size of the sampled households in the study area was 2.563 hectares with standard deviation of 1.165. The minimum and maximum landholding sizes were 1 ha and 7 ha respectively. To reach to the main road from their home in the study area, it was found that the farmers walked on average 3.141kms with standard deviation of 1.523. Table 1: Demographic characteristics of sample households Variable Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max Age(years) 184 44.625 6.247 36 67 Experience (years) 184 13.630 2.596 9 20 Sex (1=male, 0=female 184 0.511 0.501 0 1 Family size(number) 184 3.658 1.346 2 8 Land size(hectare) 184 2.563 1.165 1 7 Oxen owned (number) 184 2.717 0.921 2 4 Extension contact (number per month) 184 4.739 1.292 2 8 Residence distance (km) 184 3.141 1.523 1 10 Education status(grade) 184 2.174 1.057 1 8 Teff produced (quintal i.e 100kg) 184 5.332 2.164 1 13 Source: Survey result, 2016 Table 2 presents the characteristics of sample households by market outlets participation status. About 102 households were reported that they sold their teff at farm gate, about 105 of them sold at retailer and 126 of them sold their teff at wholesaler. Table 2: Characteristics of sample households by market outlet choices Variables Farm gate Retailer Wholesaler Yes(102) No(82) Yes(105) No(79) Yes(126) No(58) Age(years) 46.108 42.780 46.038 42.747 43.929 46.138 Experience (years) 13.853 13.354 13.695 13.544 13.730 13.414 Family size(number) 3.598 3.732 3.610 3.722 3.683 3.603 Land size(hectare) 2.417 2.744 2.510 2.633 2.556 2.578 Oxen owned (number) 2.706 2.732 2.638 2.823 2.754 2.637 Extension contact(per month) 4.745 4.732 4.733 4.747 4.675 4.879 Residence distance (km) 0.647 0.646 0.638 0.658 0.643 0.655 Education status(grade) 3.108 3.183 2.971 3.367 3.103 3.224 Teff produced (quintal i.e 100kg) 2.176 2.171 2.229 2.101 2.087 2.362 Source: Survey result, 2016
  • 6. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia Bekele and Hirko 386 Marketing Channels of Teff Teff is a cash crop that passes through the hands of many intermediaries. Based on the direction of flow and volume of Teff transacted, seven marketing channels were identified. The channel starts from the producers (farmers) and ends in the terminal market. According to producers survey which involves 184 respondents in the three study kebeles in the year 2016 about 506 quintals of Teff was marketed. A marketing channel is a business structure of interdependent organizations that reach from the point of product origin to the consumer with the purpose of moving products to their final destination. The result revealed that, from the total of 982qt. produced, 51.58 %( 506qt) was supplied to the market through the seven identified channels. The major Marketing channel known in the study area is described as follows. I. Producers Consumers (14qt.) II. Producers Collectors Rural wholesalers Broker Consumers (59qt) III. Producers Collectors Wholesalers Broker Urban wholesaler Retailers Consumers (123qt) IV. Producers Rural wholesalers Brokers Urban wholesalers Retailers Consumers (102qt) V. Producers Rural wholesalers Broker Consumers (98qt). VI. Producers Cooperatives Union Consumers(67qt) VII. Producers Cooperatives Rural wholesalers Urban wholesalers Retailers Consumers (43.qt). Source: Authors survey result 2016 Determinants of Teff market outlet choices A Multivariate probit model was used to estimate three binary dependent variables namely farm gate, retailers and wholesalers market out let because of these are the dominant outlets. The commodity is mainly produced for both sale and consumption. The P-value of the Wald test statistics for the overall significance of the regression is low (p value=0.0000) indicating that the multivariate probit is significant. Further, the likelihood ratio test of rho is significant (P- value = 0.0001) indicating that a multivariate probit specification fits the data. The significance of the off- diagonal elements of the covariance matrix shows that there are unobserved heterogeneities that influence the choice decisions on the different market outlets. The correlation coefficients among the error terms are significant indicating that the decision to choose one market outlet affects the decision of choosing the other. The correlation coefficients between the farm gate and retailers and farm gate and wholesaler market outlets is negative and significant at 5% level indicating that farmers who choose one market outlet are less likely to choose another. All of the interpretation for the multivariate probit model result for Teff outlet choice is presented in the next table. Table 3: Multivariate probit model results for determinants of market outlet choices of smallholder teff producers Variables Farm gate Retailer Wholesaler Coef. Std. Err. P>z Coef. Std. Err. P>z Coef. Std. Err. P>z Age (years) 0.067*** 0.018 0.000 -0.058*** 0.017 0.000 0.032** 0.016 0.043 Experience (years) 0.005 0.039 0.899 0.015 0.038 0.699 -0.051 0.039 0.182 Sex (0=female, 1=male) 0.479** 0.208 0.021 -0.067 0.203 0.740 0.031 0.199 0.877 Family size (number) -0.046 0.076 0.543 0.018 0.070 0.800 -0.026 0.075 0.724 Land size (hectare) -0.193** 0.086 0.025 0.112 0.084 0.183 -0.061 0.087 0.485 Oxen (number) 0.002 0.110 0.987 0.136 0.107 0.202 -0.058 0.108 0.589 Extension contact (number) -0.039 0.078 0.618 0.053 0.078 0.499 0.095 0.079 0.227 Market information (0=no,1=yes) -0.191 0.218 0.381 0.111 0.210 0.596 -0.019 0.208 0.927 Residence distance(Km) -0.048 0.068 0.473 0.086 0.066 0.192 0.024 0.068 0.727 Education level(Grade) 0.093 0.096 0.328 -0.134 0.092 0.148 0.188* 0.096 0.051 Teff produced(quintal) -0.151*** 0.049 0.002 0.092** 0.045 0.040 -0.025 0.049 0.614 _cons -1.422 1.127 0.207 0.742 1.089 0.495 -1.592 1.069 0.136 Rho21 -0.752*** Rho31 0.165 Rho32 -0.571*** N=184, Wald chi2 (33) = 62.23, Prob > chi2 = 0.0015, Likelihood = -286.30878, rho21 = rho31 = rho32 = 0: Where, 1, 2, 3, stands for farm gate, retailer and wholesalers respectively and ***, **,*, represents level of significance at 1%, 5%, and 10% respectively. Source: Mvpt model result, 2016
  • 7. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia J. Agric. Econ. Rural Devel. 387 The result implies that, the probability of choosing farm gate market outlet was influenced by age, sex, land size and quantity of teff produced at different level of significance. The probability of choosing farm gate market outlet was determined by age at 1% significance level. This implies that older households prefer to sell their product to farm gate market outlets than retailers and wholesalers as compared to younger households. The probability of choosing cooperatives, market outlet was determined by quantity of Teff produced at 1% significance level. This is due to the fact that farmers those who produce large quantity of Teff increase the probability to choose cooperative outlet rather than collectors since the price of cooperative is greater than collector price in the study area. The study by Emana et al. (2015) also indicated that large volume of sales motivates households to prioritize the channels and decide to use the best alternative. The probability of choosing wholesaler outlet is positively affected by quantity produced and times of sale at 1% significance level. This explained that, those farmers who produce large quantity of Teff, the probability to sale his product to wholesalers also increase by increasing their bargaining power. This result is consistent with the result from a study by Emana et al. (2015) has positive relationship with the likelihood of choosing wholesalers channel. At the same time, those farmers who store Teff in his/her home until price rise or to sale late of the year also choose wholesaler outlet than other outlet and get high benefit from the sale of Teff. Again, the probability to choose wholesaler market outlet were influenced by frequency of extension contact and market information positively at 5% significance level. Implies that as producers regularly contact with DA’s he/she improve his/her knowledge and skill on Teff production and marketing thus increase volume of Teff produced and strengthen their bargaining power thus increase the probability to choose wholesaler market outlet choice. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS The result of multivariate probit model indicated that the probability to choose farm gate collector outlet was affected by age, sex, land size and quantity of teff produced compared to retailers and wholesaler outlet. Similarly, the probability of choosing retailer market outlet was affected by quantity produced, and age of the households at 1% significance level compared to farm gate collectors and wholesaler outlet. The probability of choosing wholesaler market outlet was affected by age and education level at 5% significance level compared to farm gate collectors and retailers market outlet. The recommendations are drawn from this study based on the significant variables from the analysis. Strong intervention could be taken by government to upgrade producers through improving trade regulation of teff and shorten its marketing channels. Determinants of teff market outlets choice were analyzed by Multivariate probit model. The result indicated that the outlet choice of farm gate was positively and significantly determined by age and sex and positively influenced by land size and quantity of teff produced. REFERENCES Area and Production of Major Crops, Statistical Bulletin, May 2012, Addis Ababa. Berhanu A.(2012)- Economic effects of cash Crops production on farmers welfare: Giving Farmers a Better Deal in Oromia, Ethiopia. Cappellari, L. and Jenkins, S.P., 2003. Multivariate probit regression using simulated maximum likelihood. The Stata Journal, 3(3), pp.278-294. Central Statistical Authority, 2015. 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  • 8. Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay Chomen District, Western Ethiopia Bekele and Hirko 388 Ministry of Finance and Economic Development, 2011. Macroeconomic development in Ethiopia. Annual report Addis Ababa. Padmanand Madhavan Nambiar, Wojciech J. Florkowski, Manjeet S. Chinnan and Anna V. A. Resurrection. 2015. Shopping outlet choice and frequency in Uganda. Paper presented at the southern agricultural economic association (SAEA), Annual meeting, Atlanta, Georgia, USA. Train, K., 2003. Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation. Published by Cambridge University Press. First edition 334p. Tegbaru B. 2014. Fertility mapping of Soils of Abay Chomen districts, Western Oromia, Ethiopia. Wooldridge J. 2008. Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Program Evaluation Accepted 30 January 2018 Citation: Bekele Y, Hirko T (2018). Determinants of Teff Market Channel Choice in Abay chomen district, Western Ethiopia. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, 4(1): 381-388. Copyright: © 2018 Bekele and Hirko. This is an open- access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are cited.