Why do we see new process/methodology/movement every 10 years or so? Here I explain the rationale behind this behavior using the concept of Adaptive Change Cycle.

1. Adaptive Change Cycle
Why Nothing Lasts Forever!
Naresh Jain
naresh@agilefaqs.com
twitter: @nashjain
http://nareshjain.com

2. Which
line
is
the
longest?
1
2
3
Müller-Lyer optical illusion

3. Which
Orange
Circle
is
bigger?
Ebbinghaus optical illusion

5. Count the number of
times the team in white
t-shirt pass the ball

6. Video on Selective Attention
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJG698U2Mvo

7. Selec4ve
A7en4on
The
process
by
which
a
person
can
selec4vely
pick
out
one
s4mulus
from
a
mixture
of
s4muli
occurring
simultaneously.

8. Commercial Break!

9. Copyright © 2013, AgileFAQs. All Rights Reserved.

10. Mumbai

12. Tech Talks!

15. Pet
Plant
Research
@
an
elderly
Nursing
Home

16. Student
Volunteers
@
Nursing
Home

17. Why?

18. What
would
you
prefer?
A
lo7ery
4cket
with
a
random
number
or
a
number
you’ve
picked?

19. What
would
you
prefer?
In
the
Casino,
if
you
toss
the
dice
or
someone
else
tosses
the
dice?
Do you think it will
make any difference?

20. Illusion
of
Control
Our
desire
to
control
is
so
powerful
that
the
feeling
of
being
in
control
is
so
rewarding
that
people
oLen
act
as
though
they
can
control
the
uncontrollable.

21. Electrical
Shock
Research
High
Volts
Shock
Group
vs.
Low
Volts
Shock
Group
5
shocks
of
5
volts
each
vs.
3
shocks
of
2-­‐4
volts
each
Which Group would have
sweated more, whose heart beats
would be faster and who claimed
to be more afraid?
Every
10
seconds
vs.
Random
4me
interval

22. Uncertainty
Why?
Our desire to Control

23. How
do
we
deal
with
Uncertainty?

24. Predictability
Paradox

25. How to Organize a
Children's Party?
A video by Dave Snowden
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miwb92eZaJg

26. Summary
-­‐
Cynefin
Model

29. Why is there only ONE
Toyota or Apple today?

30. Products & Processes are like haircuts
Copying someone else’s rarely works

31. Retrospec4ve
Coherence
Hindsight does not lead to foresight!

32. Will Apple or Toyota’s
success last for ever?
Why not?

33. Adaptive Change Cycle

38. Adaptive Change Cycle in the Automobile Industry

42. Every 10 Years Process Go Thru
The Adaptive Change Cycle

43. Adaptive Change Cycle

47. References
http://www.resalliance.org/
Panarchy: Understanding Transformations in Human and Natural Systems
Noah Raford - Explaining the Cycle of Adaptive Change
Copyright © 2013, AgileFAQs. All Rights Reserved.

48. Being ‘agile’
OVER
Following ‘Agile’

49. 5
Key
take-­‐aways
from
this
Session
Beware
of
Illusion
of
Control
and
Predictability
Paradox
Ac4on
Precedes
Clarity
Retrospec4ve
Coherence
-­‐
Copying
rarely
helps
Perfec4on
in
very
first
a7empt
is
impossible,
iterate
via
safe-­‐fail
experimenta4on
to
eventually
a7ain
perfec4on
Nothing
lasts
for
ever,
go
through
the
adap4ve
change
cycle
as
rapidly
as
possible
(reorganisa4on,
exploita4on,
conserva4on
&
release)
©
AgileFAQs
-­‐
All
Rights
Reserved

50. Be
careful
not
to…
Ques4ons?
Naresh Jain
naresh@agilefaqs.com
twitter: @nashjain
http://nareshjain.com