SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 25
Download to read offline
[Type the company name]




         A Term Paper Presented to Meet Partial
         Requirements for Managerial Finance 300 A
         Course Professor: Mr. William Sarsfield
         L JANS and Associates, LP: Alicia (Hui Man
         Chan), Jenny, Licia, Nina, & Scott
         Friday, December 30, 2011
Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................................ 4

   Consultant Bio: ................................................................................................................................................................. 4

   Client’s Background: ........................................................................................................................................................ 4

   Client’s Proposition and Request Objective: ................................................................................................................ 5

   Consultant’s Final Analysis Report and Recommendation:....................................................................................... 5

II. Fast Facts: Netflix Corporation and Targeted Companies ....................................................................................... 6

III. Statistical DVD Rental and Streaming Market Data and Information for Consumer and Industry (As of July

    2011) ................................................................................................................................................................................. 7

   General News Current News Releases for Consumer and Industry: ....................................................................... 7

   Netflix: Content and Pricing Model ................................................................................................................................ 8

       Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: Upstream % ....... 9

       Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: Downstream % 10

       Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: % Differential

       between Upstream and Downstream ...................................................................................................................... 10

       Percentage of Subscriber Website Visitations Graph (From September 22 to September 29) ..................... 11

       Per-Subscriber Usage Overlay Graph (From September 22 to September 29) .............................................. 11

   Comcast: Content and Pricing Model.......................................................................................................................... 12

   Redbox: Content and Pricing Model............................................................................................................................ 12

   Blockbuster: Content and Pricing Model .................................................................................................................... 12

   Hulu: Content and Pricing Model ................................................................................................................................. 13
Amazon: Content and Pricing Model ........................................................................................................................... 13

IV. Du Pont Model Functionality and Utilization Analysis ............................................................................................. 14

V. Balance Sheet Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs ..................................................................................... 14

   Selected Financial Measurements and Corresponding Equation Matrix Sample, Based on Balance Sheet

   Data for Year-End 2010 ................................................................................................................................................ 14

   Equation Matrix Sample: ............................................................................................................................................... 15

   Balance Sheet Synopsis and Overview of a Few Key Performance Statistics: Firm vs. Industry ..................... 16

VI. Financial Performance Ratios and Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs ................................................... 19

   Quick and Current Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix vs. Comcast (2006-2010) ..................... 19

   NOWC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ......... 20

   TOC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010).............. 20

   NOPAT Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ........ 21

   FCF Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) .............. 22

   ROIC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ............ 22

   M/B Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010)..... 23

VII. Consultant’s Closing Comments and Final Recommendation ............................................................................ 23

   Opinions:.......................................................................................................................................................................... 23

   Recommendations: ........................................................................................................................................................ 24

VIII. Client’s Q & A Session .............................................................................................................................................. 24

Source Citations, Appendages, and Miscellany ............................................................................................................ 25
I. Executive Summary


Consultant Bio:

L JANS & Associates, LLP is an accounting consultancy firm, specializing in corporate evaluation and

due diligence for auditing purposes in areas of mergers and acquisitions, LBOs and liquidations for

Fortune 500 companies worldwide.         Established in 2001 by a 25-member team of experienced

accounting professionals and MBA graduates from SMU Cox School of Business, Wharton School of

Business, Stern School of Business, and GGU Edward Ageno School of Business our firm now staffs

over 1,500 CFA and CPA qualified consultants from those prestigious institutions in addition to

several others, specializing in various industries such as engineering, commercial and investment

banking and financial services, insurance, government, hospitality, law, manufacturing, medical and

pharmaceutical, aerospace, commercial real estate, mining and agriculture, televised sports and

entertainment, and news media.


Our unique proprietary brand of products and services allows us to consistently and effectively

execute with the highest degree of integrity and efficiency under full compliance of local, state, and

federal regulations any number of our customers’ various complex and sophisticated financial

evaluation needs, comprehensively and expediently. Since inception, we have managed to maintain

an above-average Return on Capital Investment ratio for our clients’ acquisitions in their particular

industry, a statistical performance record that is factual and irrefutable.


Client’s Background:

Our client, Netflix, Inc., is a $2.2 billion (sales revenue) subscriber-based video tape and disc rental

and Internet video streaming business for the distribution of both TV and movie content and by which

is operated by 2,180 employees. Its services span worldwide and are organized and offered in two
segments: U.S. territory and international region. Incorporated in 1997 and headquartered in Los

Gatos, California, the company is currently led by Chief Executive Officer Reed Hastings, a position

held since September 1998 - but yet also serving as Chairman of the Board since the company’s

founding in 1997. The company is publically traded on NASDAQ under the symbol NFLX and is

currently traded on the exchange at around $273 a share.


Client’s Proposition and Request Objective:

On May 16, 2011, L JANS & Associates (lead consultant) was approached by company executives of

the Netflix Corporation (client) to make a formal inquiry and request proposal to provide evaluation

analysis services on Comcast, Inc. (primary targeted competitor) to supplement and facilitate

resource allocation action plans for Netflix management team’s impending investment strategy for the

furtherance of market expansion into their existing online video content streaming business.       In

addition to the previous request, Netflix has also made a formal Merger and Acquisition proposal

request to our firm to execute preliminary due diligence and financial analysis on the Redbox

Corporation as a possible acquisition candidate. A third item presented to our firm by Netflix, to be

included in the terms of the pending agreement, is to perform a non-comprehensive M & A prospect

assessment and forecast analysis on the Blockbuster Corporation, pre- and post-Chapter 11 phases,

to examine leverage probability ratios for possible acquisition transaction long-run.


Consultant’s Final Analysis Report and Recommendation:

On this date, August 1, 2011, L JANS & Associates has fully completed all services requested by our

client, Netflix, Inc., in a written proposal submitted to us on May 16, 2011, and have formalized our

results and final conclusions, and, based on our final assessment, offer the following

recommendations in this auditing report.
II. Fast Facts: Netflix Corporation and Targeted Companies

                                                                                     Redbox Automated Retail, LLC
Companies                                                                             (Wholly-owned subsidiary of
Involved in Report           Netflix, Inc.                 Comcast Corp                      Coinstar, Inc.)                 Blockbuster, Inc.
                       100 Winchester Circle            One Comcast Center             One Tower Lane Suite 1200
Headquarters           Los Gatos, CA 95032          Philadelphia, PA 19103-2838        Oakbrook Terrace, IL 60181        1201 Elm Street Dallas, TX
Address:                   United States                        USA                          United States                      75270 USA
Date of               August 1997 , DE, United      December 2001 , PA, United                                           October 1989 , DE, United
Incorporation:                States                           States                        Founded in 2004                      States
Number of
Employees:                      4,329                         102,000                        CoinStar: 2,585                      48,000
                                                                                        Coinstar: Paul Davis, CEO:
Chief Executive       Reed Hastings, Chairman                                            Redbox: Mr. Mitch Lowe,
Officer:                      & CEO                            Brian                             President               Bruce Lewis, SVP & CFO
Gross Revenue:              $2.2 billion                     $38 billion                   Coinstar: $1.6 billion               $3.5 billion
Exchange Listing:            NASDAQ                          NASDAQ                         Coinstar: NASDAQ                     Delisted
                                                     CMCSA-Class A Common
                                                      Stock: CMCSK-Class A
Symbol:                         NFLX                  Special Common Stock                   Coinstar: CSTR                       Delisted
Number of
Outstanding
Shares (as July 17,
2011):                       52,782,000                      20,391,697                    Coinstar: 31,355,000                 219,000,000
Number of
Institutions
Holding Shares:             539 (Up) 217                         773                          Coinstar: 275                          3
Current 52 Week
High/Low:                  $297.35/$95.33                  $27.16/$16.76                Coinstar: $67.56/$37.80                 $0.28/$0.03
                                                                                      Coinstar has never paid cash
Most Recent                                                                             dividend on capital stock.
Dividend               Netflix has never paid a                                      Coinstar is restricted to pay any
Distribution           cash dividend on capital                                      cash dividends under its current
Amount:                          stock.                 July 1, 2011 @ $0.113                  credit facility.            June 2, 2005 @ $0.02
                                                    Executed a 3-for-2 stock split
                                                    on February 22, 2007; 2-for-1
                                                     split on May 6, 1999: 3-for-2
Historical Stock       Executed a 2-for-1 stock     on February 3, 1994; 3-for-2
Splits:               split on February 12, 2004.     split on October 25, 1989.               Coinstar: None                      None
                                                                                        Coinstar purchased 47% of
                                                                                       Redbox in 2005: Later in 2009
Notable M & A                                                                          purchased the remaining 53%
Historical Events:                                                                            stake in Redbox.
                                                                                     Publically held as a wholly-owned
                                                                                        subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.-
Current Status:                 Public                         Public                         Parent Company                    Chapter 11
                                                                                     Coinstar sold their Entertainment
                                                                                       business in September 2009,
                                                                                     roughly nine months following the
Miscellaneous                                                                         purchase of the remaining stake
Notes:                                                                                  in Redbox in January 2009.
III.   Statistical DVD Rental and Streaming Market Data and Information for Consumer
                                      and Industry (As of July 2011)

General News Current News Releases for Consumer and Industry:

     According to Nielson Company, the average viewers spent four hours and thirty-nine minutes

      watching Internet video in

      January, up 45% from a year

      ago. According to Sandvine

      Network Analytics chart to the

      right, as of Year End 2010, it

      shows domestic data usage for

      subscribers using various

      packages during the year. In

      addition, average daily content downloading in North America for the entire year during 2010

                                                                 over the Internet for fixed access

                                                                 devices was led by Real-Time

                                                                 Entertainment traffic at 45.7%,

                                                                 which includes such companies

                                                                 like Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and

                                                                 Blockbuster, according to the

                                                                 Sandvine Network Analytics chart

                                                                 to the left.
Internet Publishing and Broadcasting in the U.S.
        90                                                                              45,000.00
                      84.8
        80                                                                              40,000.00
        70                   71.3                                                       35,000.00
        60                                                                              30,000.00
        50                          47.3                                                25,000.00
                                                                                                    Revenue $ million
        40                                                                              20,000.00
                                                                                                    Growth %
        30                                                                              15,000.00
                                                                           26.5 24.9
        20                                                20.2 20.1 17.2                10,000.00
                                                                                       18.8
        10                                 12.8 13.1 15.8                               5,000.00
         0        0                                                           0.00
             1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011



      In 2011, CEO of Netflix, Reed Hastings, has joined Facebook’s board of directors in a new

       slot, which is sometimes a precursor to an eventual initial public offering, or IPO.


      Due to SEC regulatory requirement which stipulates that any firm involving 500 or more

       investors must disclose their financial statements, Facebook who is expected to surpass that

       figure must fully comply and disclose company’s financial statements


      Broadband content provider, NBCU (NBC Universal), a subunit of Comcast Corporation, had

       been reported as formulating discussions with Netflix for a new distribution deal in 2011.


      On April 26, 2011, a U.S. Bankruptcy Court judge approved a majority sale of Blockbuster’s

       assets to Dish Network for a reported $320 million.


Netflix: Content and Pricing Model

      Netflix maintains the largest library of online content than any other service provider company

       of its kind. The following graph on the ensuing page indicates annual revenue sales from 2006

       to 2010:
Total Annual Revenues
     2,500,000,000

                                                                                      2,162,625,000
     2,000,000,000

                                                                        1,670,269,000
     1,500,000,000
                                                           1,364,661,000
                                              1,205,340,000                                       Total Annual Revenues
     1,000,000,000              996,660,000


      500,000,000


                0
                             2006       2007          2008         2009            2010



   According to Sandvine Network Analytics, Netflix ranked in the top ten in both upstream and

    downstream Internet traffic in North America’s fixed networks in 2010 (see charts below on the

    following page).


    Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America:
    Upstream %
                                Upstream Percent of Traffic: Year-End 2010
                                                 Upstream Percent of Traffic

                                                                                                         34.31%




                                                                                     11.18%   12.36%

        2.28%        2.41%      2.46%    2.47%       2.99%     3.28%       4.34%


         10.      9.    8. MGCP    7.                6. SSL   5. Skype 4. Netflix 3. Gnutella 2. HTTP       1.
      Facebook PPStream         YouTube                                                                 BitTorrent
Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America:
Downstream %
                         Downstream Percent of Traffic: Year-End 2010

       2. HTTP                                                                                       22.70%
     4. Netflix                                                                             20.61%
   7. YouTube                                          9.85%
  1. BitTorrent                                    8.39%
 0. Flash Video                            6.14%
      0. RTMP                              6.13%
     0. iTunes               2.58%
 10. Facebook               2.44%
    3. Gnutella            2.12%
   0. Xbox Live          1.61%

                                           Downstream Percent of Traffic




Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America:
% Differential between Upstream and Downstream
            Netflix: Top-Ten Internet Traffic Performance Analysis: Year-End
                                            2010
                        Percentage Difference in Ranking (Upstream vs. Downstream) ±
                                           374.88%

                                                                       298.79%




                        83.66%


                                                     0.00%     0.00%             0.00%   0.00%




                                                                                                 -0.81%
              -75.55%            -81.04%
   As of September 22, 2010, the company expanded its enterprise operations to Canada and is

    currently experiencing promising results in the early stages of market development and

    product and service integration. The following graphs indicate the percentage of subscribers

    who visited Netflix.Com and per-subscriber usage comparative analysis between Netflix and

    YouTube during a one-week span immediately following full deployment.


    Percentage of Subscriber Website Visitations Graph (From September 22 to September
    29)




    Per-Subscriber Usage Overlay Graph (From September 22 to September 29)
   Netflix will hike fees for online video streaming downloads and DVD’s by mail as high as 60%:

      Rates are scheduled to take effect on September 1.


     New monthly fee rates will consist of a dual package of online video streaming and one DVD at

      $16, and increase from current rate of $10: Monthly online streaming only rate remains @ $8.


     Blockbuster now offers thousands of movie rentals for 99¢ a day: New releases cost $2.99.


     At the end of October 2010, Blockbuster had 1.2 million mail-order subscribers, compared to

      23 million for Netflix at the time.


Comcast: Content and Pricing Model

     As a fractional part of their monthly cable subscription plan ($60 for a basic plan), Comcast

      new movie release fees run about $5 – usually offered the very same day of its DVD release,

      giving Comcast more recent movie streaming content than Netflix ; $2 for older ones.


Redbox: Content and Pricing Model

     Redbox’s kiosk each holds 200 newly-released rentals that are available no fewer than 30

      days prior to the movie’s distribution via DVD, a contractual restriction similar to Netflix’s plan.


     With over 27,000 bright-red kiosks stationed at various locations nationally in the U.S., mainly

      at grocery stores and drugstores, Redbox rent DVDs and Blu-Ray movies for $1 and $1.50 per

      night, respectively.


Blockbuster: Content and Pricing Model

     Blockbuster makes the claim that their movie downloads are available well in advance before

      they become available through Netflix.
   Currently Blockbuster has 1,700 stores remaining.


     Blockbuster does not offer a monthly plan, for which Netflix does.


     In order to compete favorably with Coinstar’s Redbox, Dish Network’s Blockbuster move to a

      per-day pricing model that introduces $3 rates for just-released films, $2 for other newly

      released movies, and $1 for each additional day thereafter.


     Blockbuster monthly mail-delivery rentals are pricier than Netflix: The company charges a

      monthly rate of $12 for one movie or game at a time and $17 for unlimited two-at-a-time

      rentals, compared to Netflix’s DVD-only monthly rental rate of $8 for one or $12 for two.


Hulu: Content and Pricing Model

     The Hulu company, owned by The Disney Company, News Corp, and Comcast, offers

      thousands of TV show episodes and movies via Hulu Plus @ $8 per month.


Amazon: Content and Pricing Model

     Amazon’s Instant Video.Com does not offer exclusive online monthly rates. It offers roughly

      3,500 online movies and television show rentals at prices ranging from $1 to $5.


     Amazon delivers about 6,000 movies and TV shows over the Internet, compared to 20,000 for

      Netflix.
IV.         Du Pont Model Functionality and Utilization Analysis

                                             Netflix versus Comcast
                             Probability Performance Comparison Chart (2006-2010)
                           25                                                                                                   70
                           20                                                                                                   60
                                                                                                                                50
                           15                                                                                                   40
                           10                                                                                                   30
                                                                                                                                20
                            5                                                                                                   10
                            0                                                                                                   0
                                    Netflix-         Netflix-         Netflix-         Netflix-         Netflix-
                                             Comcast          Comcast          Comcast          Comcast          Comcast
                                     2010             2009             2008             2007             2006
                                              -2010            -2009            -2008            -2007            -2006
                    ROE % (Net)     65.75       8.35        42.42    8.75    21.29     6.21   15.85    6.27     15.33   6.22
                    ROA % (Net)     19.36       3.14        17.86    3.22    13.09     2.24   10.66    2.31     10.08   2.37

         Comments and Remarks: Netflix shares are held by 570 institutions - accounting for 87.05%

         of all shares held. Among the top 5-10 institutions holding Netflix shares are Vanguard Group,

         Inc., American Centuries Companies, Inc., State Street Corp, Blackrock Institutional trust Corp,

         & Bank of New York Mellon Corp. In 2010 the company’s stock price increased 219%.

         Although the company has stabilized its price point for several, since its inception, the recent

         decision to change that pricing model by restructuring the monthly subscription fee package

         and increasing its rate slightly roused investors and caused major concern, due to irrational

         expectations. However, the slight price increase is still relatively below industry standard.



                            V.         Balance Sheet Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs

Selected Financial Measurements and Corresponding Equation Matrix Sample, Based on
Balance Sheet Data for Year-End 2010
     Performance Measures
  Comparison Chart (%, unless                                                          Redbox Automated Retail, LLC
 noted otherwise), as of Year End                                                       (Wholly-owned subsidiary of
              2010                          Netflix, Inc.           Comcast Corp               Coinstar, Inc.)           Blockbuster, Inc.

NOWC (Net Operating Working
Capital)                                       116,192,000             1,880,000,000                    -125,461,000              198,800,000

TOC (Total Net Operating Capital)              244,762,000            25,395,000,000                    319,226,000               448,200,000

NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After
Tax)                                           170,185,000             4,788,000,000                     85,924,200               -213,120,000
FCF (Free Cash Flow)                      103,767,000             -463,000,000             92,174,200           -115,820,000

ROIC (Return on Investment
Capital)                                           70%                    19%                  26.92%                  -48%


Market/Book (M/B) Ratio                           50.20                   1.15                   9.54                  -2.70
Comments and Remarks: The two most notable balance sheet stats, or balance sheet-related

statistical numbers, are seen in the figures regarding return on invested capital (ROIC) and

market/book (M/B) ratios, indicating a decisively clear financial positioning for the company and its

investors. These percentage and ratio figures strongly illustrate the company’s dedication and

commitment to its capital infrastructure and investors. Netflix has long been able to secure

confidence from its investors due to its predication of its original mission and standing to be investor-

oriented and –friendly. Because the industry they service and offer products to is a niche market,

there are few competitors who provide their brand of product and services to match or even exceed

the company’s revenue and profitability performance. The following are a few business activities

which has played a crucial role for the company’s historical growth and current accelerated success:

        Product paradigm shift from DVDs to online movie and TV shows streaming

        Content obtained from studios via fixed-fee licenses, revenue-sharing pacts, & direct
         purchases.

        Added 8 million subscribers in 2010, bringing total to 20 million

        In 2010, revenue catapulted up 29%: Net income up 39%

Equation Matrix Sample:
Netflix Liquidity Measures: Year
2010

  Net Operating Working Capital            Operating Current Assets              −       Operating Current
             (2010) =                                                                        Liabilities
                =                    375,505                                     −   259,313
                =                    116,192      Conversion     116,192,000
  Net Operating Working Capital                Operating Current Assets          −       Operating Current
             (2009) =                                                                        Liabilities
                =                    171,553                                     −   124,862
                =                     46,691      Conversion      46,691,000

Total Net Operating Capital (2010)       Net Operating Working Capital           +    Net Operating Long-Term
                =                                                                             Assets
                =                    116,192                                     +   128,570
=                    244,762    Conversion    244,762,000
Total Net Operating Capital (2009)        Net Operating Working Capital                +          Net Operating Long-Term
                =                                                                                         Assets
                =                     46,691                                           +         131,653
                =                    178,344    Conversion       178,344,000

            NOPAT =                       Earnings Before Interest Taxes               X         (1 - Tax Rate)
               =                     283,641                                           X           0.60
               =                     170,185    Conversion      170,185,000
                                                                                                 New Investment in Operating Capital (Current
     Free Cash Flow (FCF) =          (NOPAT          +        Depreciation)            −         Year's Total Net Operating Capital - Previous
               =                     306,764         −           202,997                            Year's Total Net Operating Capital) +
                                                                                                                 Depreciation
                =                    103,767    Conversion       103,767,000

  Return on Investment Capital       NOPAT           ÷        Total Net Operating Capital
            (2010) =
               =                     170,185         ÷             244,762
               =                      70%



Balance Sheet Synopsis and Overview of a Few Key Performance Statistics: Firm vs. Industry


                              2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry
                                           Profit Margin: Company              Profit Margin: Industry


                                                9.58       9.6
                    7.44
                                                                                           5.7
                              4.8                                                                                         4.5
                                                                                3.55

                                                                                                                  0

                    Netflix, Inc.               Comcast Corp                 Redbox Automated                 Blockbuster, Inc.
                                                                             Retail, LLC (Wholly-
                                                                             owned subsidiary of
                                                                               Coinstar, Inc.)

         Comments and Remarks: Our original assessment of the leverage position of our two

         targeted acquisition candidates is highly illustrated in the chart above. First, because of the

         industry shift from a brick and mortar business model to an e-commerce, Redbox Automated

         Retail’s profit margin has been impacted severely and performed well below the industry

         standard in 2010. Secondly, the substantial discrepancy reported for Blockbuster, Inc. is, of

         course, prefaced by the company’s preliminary status of Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Nonetheless,

         in spite of the recent purchase of Blockbuster, Inc. by the Dish Network Corp, to aid
Blockbuster’s current restructuring efforts, we, L JANS & Associates, remain optimistic that

Blockbuster, once removed from U.S. Chapter 11 bankruptcy, will still be a viable acquisition

target in the near future. The following few statistical graphs further support our original

acquisition recommendation proposal:

                  2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry
                            Debt Ratio: Company     Debt Ratio: Industry

                                                                           120.4%

       70.5%                                         63.4%                          65.2%
               51.9%                  53.9%                  51.9%
                              33.4%



        Netflix, Inc.         Comcast Corp        Redbox Automated         Blockbuster, Inc.
                                                  Retail, LLC (Wholly-
                                                  owned subsidiary of
                                                    Coinstar, Inc.)

Comments and Remarks: The company’s noticeable above-industry standard debt ratio is

described as modest and reflects the company current migration and transformational activity

of hybrid business model incorporating both legacy operational infrastructure (i.e., brick and

mortar product and services) to a contemporary model strictly involving e-retail and e-

commerce. The legacy operations are currently in phase one of the migration stage and full

and complete e-commerce migration efforts are expected to exceed 90% prominence in

operational activity. Although Redbox has a lower debt ratio spread, the company’s business

model is considered antiquated and stagnant and growth potential is highly restricted and

limited, as previously noted. This fact and future forecast of Redbox future financial leverage

and positioning is a going concern, and we now would suggest a defocus of Redbox

Automated Retail as a primary, secondary, and tertiary acquisition targets and shift full

commitment to Blockbuster as sole candidate.
2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry
                             Current Ratio: Industry    Current Ratio: Company


                                 Blockbuster, Inc.                                          1.4
                                                                                   1.13
 Redbox Automated Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned                                       1.1
         subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.)                                    0.77

                                   Comcast Corp                                   1.1
                                                                                  1.08

                                      Netflix, Inc.                               1.1
                                                                                                        1.65

Comments and Remarks: Ancillary and aligned with previous stated concerns, liquidity ratios

indicated above is strongly suggest that proposal recommendation is viable and on target.

                 2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry
                        Total Asset Turnover: Company      Total Asset Turnover: Industry
        2.6
                                                                                     2.21         2.1

                  1                                         1.15      1
                                    0.33      0.3

        Netflix, Inc.              Comcast Corp          Redbox Automated           Blockbuster, Inc.
                                                         Retail, LLC (Wholly-
                                                         owned subsidiary of
                                                           Coinstar, Inc.)

Comments and Remarks: The company’s 160% spread demonstrates management’s

efficient utility and performance of current assets and cost-effectiveness.
2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry
                             Return on Equity: Industry          Return on Equity: Company


                                                                                   26.9
                                    Blockbuster, Inc.
                                                          0

 Redbox Automated Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned                             11.4
         subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.)                                  11.92

                                                                     7.2
                                        Comcast Corp
                                                                      8.35

                                                                         14.06
                                          Netflix, Inc.
                                                                                                               65.75


Comments and Remarks: Re-investitures of company earnings in product and services

expansion exclusively and entirely have exponentially raised share value for investors.



   VI.     Financial Performance Ratios and Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs

Quick and Current Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix vs. Comcast
(2006-2010)
                                    Netflix versus Comcast
                     Liquidity Performance Comparison Chart (2006-2010)
             2.5                                                                                                 2.5

               2                                                                                                 2

             1.5                                                                                                 1.5

               1                                                                                                 1

             0.5                                                                                                 0.5

               0                                                                                                 0
                     Netflix-          Netflix-          Netflix-          Netflix-          Netflix-
                              Comcast-          Comcast-          Comcast-          Comcast-          Comcast-
                      2010              2009              2008              2007              2006
                                2010              2009              2008              2007              2006
     Quick Ratio      0.88       0.96     1.38    0.34        1.34      0.32     1.78     0.34   1.99   0.59
     Current Ratio    1.65       1.08     1.82    0.44        1.67      0.42     1.96     0.46   2.21   0.7

Comments and Remarks: Five-year deal reached with Paramount, Liongates, and MGM

worth nearly $1 billion to stream movies during 2010 has marginally contributed to a slight

increase in liabilities, thus reducing both liquidity ratios, indicated above. As a result of the
deal, annual expenses related to new deal expected to increase to $200 million from $117

million a year earlier. Acid Test Ratio slid ▼36.2% in 2010 from a year ago, because of the

addition to current liabilities

NOWC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster
(2006-2010)
                           NOWC (Net Operating Working Capital)

                          Blockbuster, Inc.
Redbox Automated Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned…
                             Comcast Corp
                               Netflix, Inc.

                          -500,000             0       500,000      1,000,000          1,500,000      2,000,000
                                                                                             Thousands

                                     NOWC (Net Operating Working Capital)

Comments and Remarks: Rapid growth of E-Commerce compared to traditional brick-and-

mortar facilities has impacted companies like Redbox, Inc. because of product design and

limited distribution channel.

TOC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster
(2006-2010)
                               TOC (Total Net Operating Capital)
                                        TOC (Total Net Operating Capital)

                                     25,395,000




           244,762                                               319,226                           448,200

          Netflix, Inc.           Comcast Corp         Redbox Automated Retail,             Blockbuster, Inc.
                                                          LLC (Wholly-owned
                                                       subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.)
Comments and Remarks: Blockbuster offers “Total Access” which enables customers to rent

movies online, reducing accrual cost liabilities associated with enhanced inventory control and

decreased wages

NOPAT Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster
(2006-2010)
                                      NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Tax)

             6,000,000
 Thousands




             5,000,000                     4,788,000

             4,000,000

             3,000,000
                                                                                              NOPAT (Net
             2,000,000                                                                        Operating Profit
                                                                                              After Tax)
             1,000,000
                           170,185                           85,924
                     0
                          Netflix, Inc.   Comcast Corp       Redbox       Blockbuster, Inc.
             -1,000,000                                    Automated
                                                                             -213,120
                                                           Retail, LLC
                                                         (Wholly-owned
                                                          subsidiary of
                                                          Coinstar, Inc.)
Comments and Remarks: Netflix reported positive net operating profit after taxes and free

cash flow for 2010. Although business status is active, Blockbuster incurred negative output

for both NOPAT and FCF (see following chart), as a direct result of preliminary stage of

Chapter 11.
FCF Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster
(2006-2010)

          200,000,000          103,767,000
           100,000,000                                          92,174,200

                        0
          -100,000,000      Netflix, Inc.
                                            Comcast Corp
           -200,000,000                                        Redbox
                                                                                 Blockbuster,
                                                             Automated
           -300,000,000                                                              Inc.
                                                                                   -115,820,000
                                                             Retail, LLC
           -400,000,000                                    (Wholly-owned
           -500,000,000                                     subsidiary of
                                              -463,000,000
                                                            Coinstar, Inc.)




                                                FCF (Free Cash Flow)

Comments and Remarks: Conversely, Comcast saw a significant negative total in FCF;

nearly half was attributed to an aggregate of new acquisitions during 2010.

ROIC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster
(2006-2010)
                              ROIC (Return on Investment Capital)
 80%

 60%        70%

 40%

 20%                                        26.92%
                            19%                                               ROIC (Return on Investment Capital)
  0%
        Netflix, Inc.   Comcast Corp        Redbox       Blockbuster,
 -20%                                     Automated           Inc.
                                          Retail, LLC
 -40%                                   (Wholly-owned        -48%
                                         subsidiary of
 -60%                                    Coinstar, Inc.)

Comments and Remarks: In reiteration, the chart above indicates Netflix’ strongest and
decisive capital structure position compared to both competitor (s) and acquisition targets.
M/B Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and
      Blockbuster (2006-2010)
                                         Market/Book (M/B) Ratio
                                                 Market/Book (M/B) Ratio
                 50.20




                                                                       9.54
                                          1.15

              Netflix, Inc.           Comcast Corp         Redbox Automated Retail,        Blockbuster, Inc.
                                                              LLC (Wholly-owned                  -2.70
                                                           subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.)

      Comments and Remarks: The pro-growth capital infrastructure has created very favorable

      returns for the organization’s investors, which is indicated by a 5 to 1 ratio from its closest

      competitor. This advantageous capital position will help the firm seize future financing

      opportunities, when needed, and also leverage marketing efforts for future M & A activity.


                   VII.       Consultant’s Closing Comments and Final Recommendation


Opinions:

     Liquidity and profitability positions are moderately conservative to proactive aggressive and

      comfortably aligned with corporate business model.


     Current integration measures for existing by-mail subscription services to VOD long-run is

      plausible and should be accelerated.


     Because online subscription service over the Internet is experiencing steady yet substantial

      growth well above industry average, existing short- and long-range migration strategic planning

      should maintain current course directive for global expansion.
Recommendations:

     The company’s new migration directive to boost its online presence, in conjunction with a

      waning DVD rental market, is not conducive to the functionality of a brick-and-mortar business

      model. Therefore, we recommend that management should not move forward with its

      acquisition plan of Redbox Automated Retail, LLC.


     Because substantial increases in online product and marketability leverage is projected long-

      run, we highly suggest that all current considerations and long-range plans to acquire

      Blockbuster, Inc., upon a successful emergence from Chapter 11, should move beyond the

      exploratory phase to tactical, to specifically capitalize on Blockbuster’s elaborate and

      expansive distribution network



                                       VIII.   Client’s Q & A Session
Source Citations, Appendages, and Miscellany


Literary Sources:

Strategy + Business Magazine (Spring 2011, Issue 62- ). The Coming Wave of Social Apponomics.

    New York: Booz & Company

Troy, L. Ph.D. (2010 Edition). Almanac of Business and Industry Financial Ratios. Chicago: CCH

    Group

Web Sources:

Charlie Rose.com (N/A). Guest Interviews: Reed Hastings, CEO of Netflix. Retrieved June 06, 2011,

    from http://www.charlierose.com

Businessweek.com (N/A). Investing. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://investing.businessweek.com

Sagepub.com (N/A). Sage Online Search. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://0-

    online.sagepub.com.library.ggu.edu

ReferenceUSA.com (N/A). Reference USA Search. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://0-

    www.referenceusa.com.library.ggu.edu

More Related Content

Similar to Fin300 Final Team Project Term Paper

Elastic Stack keynote
Elastic Stack keynoteElastic Stack keynote
Elastic Stack keynoteElasticsearch
 
White paper warranty_management
White paper warranty_managementWhite paper warranty_management
White paper warranty_managementSreeram Yegappan
 
Intrapreneurial business proposal
Intrapreneurial business proposalIntrapreneurial business proposal
Intrapreneurial business proposalHollyFaust1
 
Final Case Study (Complete)
Final Case Study (Complete)Final Case Study (Complete)
Final Case Study (Complete)Zach Aldrich
 
Solicitation number jp14001_cisco_response
Solicitation number jp14001_cisco_responseSolicitation number jp14001_cisco_response
Solicitation number jp14001_cisco_response~Eric Principe
 
Advantages of Software as a Service over ASP Hosting
Advantages of Software as a Service over ASP HostingAdvantages of Software as a Service over ASP Hosting
Advantages of Software as a Service over ASP Hostingcorncrew1
 
How we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous search
How we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous searchHow we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous search
How we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous searchElasticsearch
 
Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010
Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010
Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010MMMTechLaw
 
Big Data Analytics Infrastructure for Dummies
Big Data Analytics Infrastructure for DummiesBig Data Analytics Infrastructure for Dummies
Big Data Analytics Infrastructure for DummiesLilian Strassacappa
 
Strategic Audit (Final Draft)
Strategic Audit (Final Draft)Strategic Audit (Final Draft)
Strategic Audit (Final Draft)Yali Wen
 
Iese vcpe index_annual_2009
Iese vcpe index_annual_2009Iese vcpe index_annual_2009
Iese vcpe index_annual_2009Jose Gonzalez
 
Opening keynote | EMEA
Opening keynote | EMEAOpening keynote | EMEA
Opening keynote | EMEAElasticsearch
 
Opening keynote | Asia Pacific
Opening keynote | Asia PacificOpening keynote | Asia Pacific
Opening keynote | Asia PacificElasticsearch
 
Opening keynote | Americas
Opening keynote | AmericasOpening keynote | Americas
Opening keynote | AmericasElasticsearch
 
Mc donald's 2014 annual report
Mc donald's 2014 annual reportMc donald's 2014 annual report
Mc donald's 2014 annual reportWeziKandawire
 
Fall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final Report
Fall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final ReportFall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final Report
Fall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final ReportAlexis Marino
 
Project Description and Use Case Package
Project Description and Use Case PackageProject Description and Use Case Package
Project Description and Use Case PackageHeather Swisher
 
Net Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The Market
Net Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The MarketNet Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The Market
Net Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The Marketskripnikov
 

Similar to Fin300 Final Team Project Term Paper (20)

Elastic Stack keynote
Elastic Stack keynoteElastic Stack keynote
Elastic Stack keynote
 
White paper warranty_management
White paper warranty_managementWhite paper warranty_management
White paper warranty_management
 
Intrapreneurial business proposal
Intrapreneurial business proposalIntrapreneurial business proposal
Intrapreneurial business proposal
 
Final Case Study (Complete)
Final Case Study (Complete)Final Case Study (Complete)
Final Case Study (Complete)
 
Party merge
Party mergeParty merge
Party merge
 
Solicitation number jp14001_cisco_response
Solicitation number jp14001_cisco_responseSolicitation number jp14001_cisco_response
Solicitation number jp14001_cisco_response
 
Advantages of Software as a Service over ASP Hosting
Advantages of Software as a Service over ASP HostingAdvantages of Software as a Service over ASP Hosting
Advantages of Software as a Service over ASP Hosting
 
10 k final report 2016 netflix
10 k final report 2016 netflix10 k final report 2016 netflix
10 k final report 2016 netflix
 
How we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous search
How we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous searchHow we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous search
How we built this: Data tiering, snapshots, and asynchronous search
 
Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010
Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010
Pitch book decade_investments_2001_2010
 
Big Data Analytics Infrastructure for Dummies
Big Data Analytics Infrastructure for DummiesBig Data Analytics Infrastructure for Dummies
Big Data Analytics Infrastructure for Dummies
 
Strategic Audit (Final Draft)
Strategic Audit (Final Draft)Strategic Audit (Final Draft)
Strategic Audit (Final Draft)
 
Iese vcpe index_annual_2009
Iese vcpe index_annual_2009Iese vcpe index_annual_2009
Iese vcpe index_annual_2009
 
Opening keynote | EMEA
Opening keynote | EMEAOpening keynote | EMEA
Opening keynote | EMEA
 
Opening keynote | Asia Pacific
Opening keynote | Asia PacificOpening keynote | Asia Pacific
Opening keynote | Asia Pacific
 
Opening keynote | Americas
Opening keynote | AmericasOpening keynote | Americas
Opening keynote | Americas
 
Mc donald's 2014 annual report
Mc donald's 2014 annual reportMc donald's 2014 annual report
Mc donald's 2014 annual report
 
Fall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final Report
Fall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final ReportFall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final Report
Fall 2016 PM007 Team 04 P2 Final Report
 
Project Description and Use Case Package
Project Description and Use Case PackageProject Description and Use Case Package
Project Description and Use Case Package
 
Net Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The Market
Net Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The MarketNet Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The Market
Net Neutrality 2.0 - Lubricate The Market
 

More from Independent Contractor

More from Independent Contractor (8)

Investment Policy Statement
Investment Policy StatementInvestment Policy Statement
Investment Policy Statement
 
Final Monster Ppt Presentation
Final Monster Ppt PresentationFinal Monster Ppt Presentation
Final Monster Ppt Presentation
 
Monster Term Paper Final Draft (Recovered)
Monster Term Paper Final Draft (Recovered)Monster Term Paper Final Draft (Recovered)
Monster Term Paper Final Draft (Recovered)
 
Academic letterofrecommendationhowardbernstein
Academic letterofrecommendationhowardbernsteinAcademic letterofrecommendationhowardbernstein
Academic letterofrecommendationhowardbernstein
 
Academic letterofrecommendationwilliamsarsfield
Academic letterofrecommendationwilliamsarsfieldAcademic letterofrecommendationwilliamsarsfield
Academic letterofrecommendationwilliamsarsfield
 
Corporate Finance Final Final Term Paper
Corporate Finance Final Final Term PaperCorporate Finance Final Final Term Paper
Corporate Finance Final Final Term Paper
 
Term Paper: American International Bank Proposal
Term Paper: American International Bank ProposalTerm Paper: American International Bank Proposal
Term Paper: American International Bank Proposal
 
Accenture
AccentureAccenture
Accenture
 

Fin300 Final Team Project Term Paper

  • 1. [Type the company name] A Term Paper Presented to Meet Partial Requirements for Managerial Finance 300 A Course Professor: Mr. William Sarsfield L JANS and Associates, LP: Alicia (Hui Man Chan), Jenny, Licia, Nina, & Scott Friday, December 30, 2011
  • 2. Table of Contents I. Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 Consultant Bio: ................................................................................................................................................................. 4 Client’s Background: ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 Client’s Proposition and Request Objective: ................................................................................................................ 5 Consultant’s Final Analysis Report and Recommendation:....................................................................................... 5 II. Fast Facts: Netflix Corporation and Targeted Companies ....................................................................................... 6 III. Statistical DVD Rental and Streaming Market Data and Information for Consumer and Industry (As of July 2011) ................................................................................................................................................................................. 7 General News Current News Releases for Consumer and Industry: ....................................................................... 7 Netflix: Content and Pricing Model ................................................................................................................................ 8 Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: Upstream % ....... 9 Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: Downstream % 10 Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: % Differential between Upstream and Downstream ...................................................................................................................... 10 Percentage of Subscriber Website Visitations Graph (From September 22 to September 29) ..................... 11 Per-Subscriber Usage Overlay Graph (From September 22 to September 29) .............................................. 11 Comcast: Content and Pricing Model.......................................................................................................................... 12 Redbox: Content and Pricing Model............................................................................................................................ 12 Blockbuster: Content and Pricing Model .................................................................................................................... 12 Hulu: Content and Pricing Model ................................................................................................................................. 13
  • 3. Amazon: Content and Pricing Model ........................................................................................................................... 13 IV. Du Pont Model Functionality and Utilization Analysis ............................................................................................. 14 V. Balance Sheet Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs ..................................................................................... 14 Selected Financial Measurements and Corresponding Equation Matrix Sample, Based on Balance Sheet Data for Year-End 2010 ................................................................................................................................................ 14 Equation Matrix Sample: ............................................................................................................................................... 15 Balance Sheet Synopsis and Overview of a Few Key Performance Statistics: Firm vs. Industry ..................... 16 VI. Financial Performance Ratios and Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs ................................................... 19 Quick and Current Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix vs. Comcast (2006-2010) ..................... 19 NOWC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ......... 20 TOC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010).............. 20 NOPAT Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ........ 21 FCF Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) .............. 22 ROIC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ............ 22 M/B Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010)..... 23 VII. Consultant’s Closing Comments and Final Recommendation ............................................................................ 23 Opinions:.......................................................................................................................................................................... 23 Recommendations: ........................................................................................................................................................ 24 VIII. Client’s Q & A Session .............................................................................................................................................. 24 Source Citations, Appendages, and Miscellany ............................................................................................................ 25
  • 4. I. Executive Summary Consultant Bio: L JANS & Associates, LLP is an accounting consultancy firm, specializing in corporate evaluation and due diligence for auditing purposes in areas of mergers and acquisitions, LBOs and liquidations for Fortune 500 companies worldwide. Established in 2001 by a 25-member team of experienced accounting professionals and MBA graduates from SMU Cox School of Business, Wharton School of Business, Stern School of Business, and GGU Edward Ageno School of Business our firm now staffs over 1,500 CFA and CPA qualified consultants from those prestigious institutions in addition to several others, specializing in various industries such as engineering, commercial and investment banking and financial services, insurance, government, hospitality, law, manufacturing, medical and pharmaceutical, aerospace, commercial real estate, mining and agriculture, televised sports and entertainment, and news media. Our unique proprietary brand of products and services allows us to consistently and effectively execute with the highest degree of integrity and efficiency under full compliance of local, state, and federal regulations any number of our customers’ various complex and sophisticated financial evaluation needs, comprehensively and expediently. Since inception, we have managed to maintain an above-average Return on Capital Investment ratio for our clients’ acquisitions in their particular industry, a statistical performance record that is factual and irrefutable. Client’s Background: Our client, Netflix, Inc., is a $2.2 billion (sales revenue) subscriber-based video tape and disc rental and Internet video streaming business for the distribution of both TV and movie content and by which is operated by 2,180 employees. Its services span worldwide and are organized and offered in two
  • 5. segments: U.S. territory and international region. Incorporated in 1997 and headquartered in Los Gatos, California, the company is currently led by Chief Executive Officer Reed Hastings, a position held since September 1998 - but yet also serving as Chairman of the Board since the company’s founding in 1997. The company is publically traded on NASDAQ under the symbol NFLX and is currently traded on the exchange at around $273 a share. Client’s Proposition and Request Objective: On May 16, 2011, L JANS & Associates (lead consultant) was approached by company executives of the Netflix Corporation (client) to make a formal inquiry and request proposal to provide evaluation analysis services on Comcast, Inc. (primary targeted competitor) to supplement and facilitate resource allocation action plans for Netflix management team’s impending investment strategy for the furtherance of market expansion into their existing online video content streaming business. In addition to the previous request, Netflix has also made a formal Merger and Acquisition proposal request to our firm to execute preliminary due diligence and financial analysis on the Redbox Corporation as a possible acquisition candidate. A third item presented to our firm by Netflix, to be included in the terms of the pending agreement, is to perform a non-comprehensive M & A prospect assessment and forecast analysis on the Blockbuster Corporation, pre- and post-Chapter 11 phases, to examine leverage probability ratios for possible acquisition transaction long-run. Consultant’s Final Analysis Report and Recommendation: On this date, August 1, 2011, L JANS & Associates has fully completed all services requested by our client, Netflix, Inc., in a written proposal submitted to us on May 16, 2011, and have formalized our results and final conclusions, and, based on our final assessment, offer the following recommendations in this auditing report.
  • 6. II. Fast Facts: Netflix Corporation and Targeted Companies Redbox Automated Retail, LLC Companies (Wholly-owned subsidiary of Involved in Report Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Coinstar, Inc.) Blockbuster, Inc. 100 Winchester Circle One Comcast Center One Tower Lane Suite 1200 Headquarters Los Gatos, CA 95032 Philadelphia, PA 19103-2838 Oakbrook Terrace, IL 60181 1201 Elm Street Dallas, TX Address: United States USA United States 75270 USA Date of August 1997 , DE, United December 2001 , PA, United October 1989 , DE, United Incorporation: States States Founded in 2004 States Number of Employees: 4,329 102,000 CoinStar: 2,585 48,000 Coinstar: Paul Davis, CEO: Chief Executive Reed Hastings, Chairman Redbox: Mr. Mitch Lowe, Officer: & CEO Brian President Bruce Lewis, SVP & CFO Gross Revenue: $2.2 billion $38 billion Coinstar: $1.6 billion $3.5 billion Exchange Listing: NASDAQ NASDAQ Coinstar: NASDAQ Delisted CMCSA-Class A Common Stock: CMCSK-Class A Symbol: NFLX Special Common Stock Coinstar: CSTR Delisted Number of Outstanding Shares (as July 17, 2011): 52,782,000 20,391,697 Coinstar: 31,355,000 219,000,000 Number of Institutions Holding Shares: 539 (Up) 217 773 Coinstar: 275 3 Current 52 Week High/Low: $297.35/$95.33 $27.16/$16.76 Coinstar: $67.56/$37.80 $0.28/$0.03 Coinstar has never paid cash Most Recent dividend on capital stock. Dividend Netflix has never paid a Coinstar is restricted to pay any Distribution cash dividend on capital cash dividends under its current Amount: stock. July 1, 2011 @ $0.113 credit facility. June 2, 2005 @ $0.02 Executed a 3-for-2 stock split on February 22, 2007; 2-for-1 split on May 6, 1999: 3-for-2 Historical Stock Executed a 2-for-1 stock on February 3, 1994; 3-for-2 Splits: split on February 12, 2004. split on October 25, 1989. Coinstar: None None Coinstar purchased 47% of Redbox in 2005: Later in 2009 Notable M & A purchased the remaining 53% Historical Events: stake in Redbox. Publically held as a wholly-owned subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.- Current Status: Public Public Parent Company Chapter 11 Coinstar sold their Entertainment business in September 2009, roughly nine months following the Miscellaneous purchase of the remaining stake Notes: in Redbox in January 2009.
  • 7. III. Statistical DVD Rental and Streaming Market Data and Information for Consumer and Industry (As of July 2011) General News Current News Releases for Consumer and Industry:  According to Nielson Company, the average viewers spent four hours and thirty-nine minutes watching Internet video in January, up 45% from a year ago. According to Sandvine Network Analytics chart to the right, as of Year End 2010, it shows domestic data usage for subscribers using various packages during the year. In addition, average daily content downloading in North America for the entire year during 2010 over the Internet for fixed access devices was led by Real-Time Entertainment traffic at 45.7%, which includes such companies like Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster, according to the Sandvine Network Analytics chart to the left.
  • 8. Internet Publishing and Broadcasting in the U.S. 90 45,000.00 84.8 80 40,000.00 70 71.3 35,000.00 60 30,000.00 50 47.3 25,000.00 Revenue $ million 40 20,000.00 Growth % 30 15,000.00 26.5 24.9 20 20.2 20.1 17.2 10,000.00 18.8 10 12.8 13.1 15.8 5,000.00 0 0 0.00 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011  In 2011, CEO of Netflix, Reed Hastings, has joined Facebook’s board of directors in a new slot, which is sometimes a precursor to an eventual initial public offering, or IPO.  Due to SEC regulatory requirement which stipulates that any firm involving 500 or more investors must disclose their financial statements, Facebook who is expected to surpass that figure must fully comply and disclose company’s financial statements  Broadband content provider, NBCU (NBC Universal), a subunit of Comcast Corporation, had been reported as formulating discussions with Netflix for a new distribution deal in 2011.  On April 26, 2011, a U.S. Bankruptcy Court judge approved a majority sale of Blockbuster’s assets to Dish Network for a reported $320 million. Netflix: Content and Pricing Model  Netflix maintains the largest library of online content than any other service provider company of its kind. The following graph on the ensuing page indicates annual revenue sales from 2006 to 2010:
  • 9. Total Annual Revenues 2,500,000,000 2,162,625,000 2,000,000,000 1,670,269,000 1,500,000,000 1,364,661,000 1,205,340,000 Total Annual Revenues 1,000,000,000 996,660,000 500,000,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010  According to Sandvine Network Analytics, Netflix ranked in the top ten in both upstream and downstream Internet traffic in North America’s fixed networks in 2010 (see charts below on the following page). Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: Upstream % Upstream Percent of Traffic: Year-End 2010 Upstream Percent of Traffic 34.31% 11.18% 12.36% 2.28% 2.41% 2.46% 2.47% 2.99% 3.28% 4.34% 10. 9. 8. MGCP 7. 6. SSL 5. Skype 4. Netflix 3. Gnutella 2. HTTP 1. Facebook PPStream YouTube BitTorrent
  • 10. Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: Downstream % Downstream Percent of Traffic: Year-End 2010 2. HTTP 22.70% 4. Netflix 20.61% 7. YouTube 9.85% 1. BitTorrent 8.39% 0. Flash Video 6.14% 0. RTMP 6.13% 0. iTunes 2.58% 10. Facebook 2.44% 3. Gnutella 2.12% 0. Xbox Live 1.61% Downstream Percent of Traffic Sandvine Networks Analytics Top-Ten Internet Traffic Analysis Chart for North America: % Differential between Upstream and Downstream Netflix: Top-Ten Internet Traffic Performance Analysis: Year-End 2010 Percentage Difference in Ranking (Upstream vs. Downstream) ± 374.88% 298.79% 83.66% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -0.81% -75.55% -81.04%
  • 11. As of September 22, 2010, the company expanded its enterprise operations to Canada and is currently experiencing promising results in the early stages of market development and product and service integration. The following graphs indicate the percentage of subscribers who visited Netflix.Com and per-subscriber usage comparative analysis between Netflix and YouTube during a one-week span immediately following full deployment. Percentage of Subscriber Website Visitations Graph (From September 22 to September 29) Per-Subscriber Usage Overlay Graph (From September 22 to September 29)
  • 12. Netflix will hike fees for online video streaming downloads and DVD’s by mail as high as 60%: Rates are scheduled to take effect on September 1.  New monthly fee rates will consist of a dual package of online video streaming and one DVD at $16, and increase from current rate of $10: Monthly online streaming only rate remains @ $8.  Blockbuster now offers thousands of movie rentals for 99¢ a day: New releases cost $2.99.  At the end of October 2010, Blockbuster had 1.2 million mail-order subscribers, compared to 23 million for Netflix at the time. Comcast: Content and Pricing Model  As a fractional part of their monthly cable subscription plan ($60 for a basic plan), Comcast new movie release fees run about $5 – usually offered the very same day of its DVD release, giving Comcast more recent movie streaming content than Netflix ; $2 for older ones. Redbox: Content and Pricing Model  Redbox’s kiosk each holds 200 newly-released rentals that are available no fewer than 30 days prior to the movie’s distribution via DVD, a contractual restriction similar to Netflix’s plan.  With over 27,000 bright-red kiosks stationed at various locations nationally in the U.S., mainly at grocery stores and drugstores, Redbox rent DVDs and Blu-Ray movies for $1 and $1.50 per night, respectively. Blockbuster: Content and Pricing Model  Blockbuster makes the claim that their movie downloads are available well in advance before they become available through Netflix.
  • 13. Currently Blockbuster has 1,700 stores remaining.  Blockbuster does not offer a monthly plan, for which Netflix does.  In order to compete favorably with Coinstar’s Redbox, Dish Network’s Blockbuster move to a per-day pricing model that introduces $3 rates for just-released films, $2 for other newly released movies, and $1 for each additional day thereafter.  Blockbuster monthly mail-delivery rentals are pricier than Netflix: The company charges a monthly rate of $12 for one movie or game at a time and $17 for unlimited two-at-a-time rentals, compared to Netflix’s DVD-only monthly rental rate of $8 for one or $12 for two. Hulu: Content and Pricing Model  The Hulu company, owned by The Disney Company, News Corp, and Comcast, offers thousands of TV show episodes and movies via Hulu Plus @ $8 per month. Amazon: Content and Pricing Model  Amazon’s Instant Video.Com does not offer exclusive online monthly rates. It offers roughly 3,500 online movies and television show rentals at prices ranging from $1 to $5.  Amazon delivers about 6,000 movies and TV shows over the Internet, compared to 20,000 for Netflix.
  • 14. IV. Du Pont Model Functionality and Utilization Analysis Netflix versus Comcast Probability Performance Comparison Chart (2006-2010) 25 70 20 60 50 15 40 10 30 20 5 10 0 0 Netflix- Netflix- Netflix- Netflix- Netflix- Comcast Comcast Comcast Comcast Comcast 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 -2010 -2009 -2008 -2007 -2006 ROE % (Net) 65.75 8.35 42.42 8.75 21.29 6.21 15.85 6.27 15.33 6.22 ROA % (Net) 19.36 3.14 17.86 3.22 13.09 2.24 10.66 2.31 10.08 2.37 Comments and Remarks: Netflix shares are held by 570 institutions - accounting for 87.05% of all shares held. Among the top 5-10 institutions holding Netflix shares are Vanguard Group, Inc., American Centuries Companies, Inc., State Street Corp, Blackrock Institutional trust Corp, & Bank of New York Mellon Corp. In 2010 the company’s stock price increased 219%. Although the company has stabilized its price point for several, since its inception, the recent decision to change that pricing model by restructuring the monthly subscription fee package and increasing its rate slightly roused investors and caused major concern, due to irrational expectations. However, the slight price increase is still relatively below industry standard. V. Balance Sheet Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs Selected Financial Measurements and Corresponding Equation Matrix Sample, Based on Balance Sheet Data for Year-End 2010 Performance Measures Comparison Chart (%, unless Redbox Automated Retail, LLC noted otherwise), as of Year End (Wholly-owned subsidiary of 2010 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Coinstar, Inc.) Blockbuster, Inc. NOWC (Net Operating Working Capital) 116,192,000 1,880,000,000 -125,461,000 198,800,000 TOC (Total Net Operating Capital) 244,762,000 25,395,000,000 319,226,000 448,200,000 NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Tax) 170,185,000 4,788,000,000 85,924,200 -213,120,000
  • 15. FCF (Free Cash Flow) 103,767,000 -463,000,000 92,174,200 -115,820,000 ROIC (Return on Investment Capital) 70% 19% 26.92% -48% Market/Book (M/B) Ratio 50.20 1.15 9.54 -2.70 Comments and Remarks: The two most notable balance sheet stats, or balance sheet-related statistical numbers, are seen in the figures regarding return on invested capital (ROIC) and market/book (M/B) ratios, indicating a decisively clear financial positioning for the company and its investors. These percentage and ratio figures strongly illustrate the company’s dedication and commitment to its capital infrastructure and investors. Netflix has long been able to secure confidence from its investors due to its predication of its original mission and standing to be investor- oriented and –friendly. Because the industry they service and offer products to is a niche market, there are few competitors who provide their brand of product and services to match or even exceed the company’s revenue and profitability performance. The following are a few business activities which has played a crucial role for the company’s historical growth and current accelerated success:  Product paradigm shift from DVDs to online movie and TV shows streaming  Content obtained from studios via fixed-fee licenses, revenue-sharing pacts, & direct purchases.  Added 8 million subscribers in 2010, bringing total to 20 million  In 2010, revenue catapulted up 29%: Net income up 39% Equation Matrix Sample: Netflix Liquidity Measures: Year 2010 Net Operating Working Capital Operating Current Assets − Operating Current (2010) = Liabilities = 375,505 − 259,313 = 116,192 Conversion 116,192,000 Net Operating Working Capital Operating Current Assets − Operating Current (2009) = Liabilities = 171,553 − 124,862 = 46,691 Conversion 46,691,000 Total Net Operating Capital (2010) Net Operating Working Capital + Net Operating Long-Term = Assets = 116,192 + 128,570
  • 16. = 244,762 Conversion 244,762,000 Total Net Operating Capital (2009) Net Operating Working Capital + Net Operating Long-Term = Assets = 46,691 + 131,653 = 178,344 Conversion 178,344,000 NOPAT = Earnings Before Interest Taxes X (1 - Tax Rate) = 283,641 X 0.60 = 170,185 Conversion 170,185,000 New Investment in Operating Capital (Current Free Cash Flow (FCF) = (NOPAT + Depreciation) − Year's Total Net Operating Capital - Previous = 306,764 − 202,997 Year's Total Net Operating Capital) + Depreciation = 103,767 Conversion 103,767,000 Return on Investment Capital NOPAT ÷ Total Net Operating Capital (2010) = = 170,185 ÷ 244,762 = 70% Balance Sheet Synopsis and Overview of a Few Key Performance Statistics: Firm vs. Industry 2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry Profit Margin: Company Profit Margin: Industry 9.58 9.6 7.44 5.7 4.8 4.5 3.55 0 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Automated Blockbuster, Inc. Retail, LLC (Wholly- owned subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) Comments and Remarks: Our original assessment of the leverage position of our two targeted acquisition candidates is highly illustrated in the chart above. First, because of the industry shift from a brick and mortar business model to an e-commerce, Redbox Automated Retail’s profit margin has been impacted severely and performed well below the industry standard in 2010. Secondly, the substantial discrepancy reported for Blockbuster, Inc. is, of course, prefaced by the company’s preliminary status of Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Nonetheless, in spite of the recent purchase of Blockbuster, Inc. by the Dish Network Corp, to aid
  • 17. Blockbuster’s current restructuring efforts, we, L JANS & Associates, remain optimistic that Blockbuster, once removed from U.S. Chapter 11 bankruptcy, will still be a viable acquisition target in the near future. The following few statistical graphs further support our original acquisition recommendation proposal: 2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry Debt Ratio: Company Debt Ratio: Industry 120.4% 70.5% 63.4% 65.2% 51.9% 53.9% 51.9% 33.4% Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Automated Blockbuster, Inc. Retail, LLC (Wholly- owned subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) Comments and Remarks: The company’s noticeable above-industry standard debt ratio is described as modest and reflects the company current migration and transformational activity of hybrid business model incorporating both legacy operational infrastructure (i.e., brick and mortar product and services) to a contemporary model strictly involving e-retail and e- commerce. The legacy operations are currently in phase one of the migration stage and full and complete e-commerce migration efforts are expected to exceed 90% prominence in operational activity. Although Redbox has a lower debt ratio spread, the company’s business model is considered antiquated and stagnant and growth potential is highly restricted and limited, as previously noted. This fact and future forecast of Redbox future financial leverage and positioning is a going concern, and we now would suggest a defocus of Redbox Automated Retail as a primary, secondary, and tertiary acquisition targets and shift full commitment to Blockbuster as sole candidate.
  • 18. 2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry Current Ratio: Industry Current Ratio: Company Blockbuster, Inc. 1.4 1.13 Redbox Automated Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned 1.1 subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) 0.77 Comcast Corp 1.1 1.08 Netflix, Inc. 1.1 1.65 Comments and Remarks: Ancillary and aligned with previous stated concerns, liquidity ratios indicated above is strongly suggest that proposal recommendation is viable and on target. 2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry Total Asset Turnover: Company Total Asset Turnover: Industry 2.6 2.21 2.1 1 1.15 1 0.33 0.3 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Automated Blockbuster, Inc. Retail, LLC (Wholly- owned subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) Comments and Remarks: The company’s 160% spread demonstrates management’s efficient utility and performance of current assets and cost-effectiveness.
  • 19. 2010 Financial Ratio Comparison: Company vs. Industry Return on Equity: Industry Return on Equity: Company 26.9 Blockbuster, Inc. 0 Redbox Automated Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned 11.4 subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) 11.92 7.2 Comcast Corp 8.35 14.06 Netflix, Inc. 65.75 Comments and Remarks: Re-investitures of company earnings in product and services expansion exclusively and entirely have exponentially raised share value for investors. VI. Financial Performance Ratios and Comparative Analysis Charts and Graphs Quick and Current Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix vs. Comcast (2006-2010) Netflix versus Comcast Liquidity Performance Comparison Chart (2006-2010) 2.5 2.5 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 1 0.5 0.5 0 0 Netflix- Netflix- Netflix- Netflix- Netflix- Comcast- Comcast- Comcast- Comcast- Comcast- 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 Quick Ratio 0.88 0.96 1.38 0.34 1.34 0.32 1.78 0.34 1.99 0.59 Current Ratio 1.65 1.08 1.82 0.44 1.67 0.42 1.96 0.46 2.21 0.7 Comments and Remarks: Five-year deal reached with Paramount, Liongates, and MGM worth nearly $1 billion to stream movies during 2010 has marginally contributed to a slight increase in liabilities, thus reducing both liquidity ratios, indicated above. As a result of the
  • 20. deal, annual expenses related to new deal expected to increase to $200 million from $117 million a year earlier. Acid Test Ratio slid ▼36.2% in 2010 from a year ago, because of the addition to current liabilities NOWC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) NOWC (Net Operating Working Capital) Blockbuster, Inc. Redbox Automated Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned… Comcast Corp Netflix, Inc. -500,000 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 Thousands NOWC (Net Operating Working Capital) Comments and Remarks: Rapid growth of E-Commerce compared to traditional brick-and- mortar facilities has impacted companies like Redbox, Inc. because of product design and limited distribution channel. TOC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) TOC (Total Net Operating Capital) TOC (Total Net Operating Capital) 25,395,000 244,762 319,226 448,200 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Automated Retail, Blockbuster, Inc. LLC (Wholly-owned subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.)
  • 21. Comments and Remarks: Blockbuster offers “Total Access” which enables customers to rent movies online, reducing accrual cost liabilities associated with enhanced inventory control and decreased wages NOPAT Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Tax) 6,000,000 Thousands 5,000,000 4,788,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 NOPAT (Net 2,000,000 Operating Profit After Tax) 1,000,000 170,185 85,924 0 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Blockbuster, Inc. -1,000,000 Automated -213,120 Retail, LLC (Wholly-owned subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) Comments and Remarks: Netflix reported positive net operating profit after taxes and free cash flow for 2010. Although business status is active, Blockbuster incurred negative output for both NOPAT and FCF (see following chart), as a direct result of preliminary stage of Chapter 11.
  • 22. FCF Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) 200,000,000 103,767,000 100,000,000 92,174,200 0 -100,000,000 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp -200,000,000 Redbox Blockbuster, Automated -300,000,000 Inc. -115,820,000 Retail, LLC -400,000,000 (Wholly-owned -500,000,000 subsidiary of -463,000,000 Coinstar, Inc.) FCF (Free Cash Flow) Comments and Remarks: Conversely, Comcast saw a significant negative total in FCF; nearly half was attributed to an aggregate of new acquisitions during 2010. ROIC Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) ROIC (Return on Investment Capital) 80% 60% 70% 40% 20% 26.92% 19% ROIC (Return on Investment Capital) 0% Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Blockbuster, -20% Automated Inc. Retail, LLC -40% (Wholly-owned -48% subsidiary of -60% Coinstar, Inc.) Comments and Remarks: In reiteration, the chart above indicates Netflix’ strongest and decisive capital structure position compared to both competitor (s) and acquisition targets.
  • 23. M/B Ratio Performance Comparative Analysis: Netflix, Comcast, Redbox, and Blockbuster (2006-2010) Market/Book (M/B) Ratio Market/Book (M/B) Ratio 50.20 9.54 1.15 Netflix, Inc. Comcast Corp Redbox Automated Retail, Blockbuster, Inc. LLC (Wholly-owned -2.70 subsidiary of Coinstar, Inc.) Comments and Remarks: The pro-growth capital infrastructure has created very favorable returns for the organization’s investors, which is indicated by a 5 to 1 ratio from its closest competitor. This advantageous capital position will help the firm seize future financing opportunities, when needed, and also leverage marketing efforts for future M & A activity. VII. Consultant’s Closing Comments and Final Recommendation Opinions:  Liquidity and profitability positions are moderately conservative to proactive aggressive and comfortably aligned with corporate business model.  Current integration measures for existing by-mail subscription services to VOD long-run is plausible and should be accelerated.  Because online subscription service over the Internet is experiencing steady yet substantial growth well above industry average, existing short- and long-range migration strategic planning should maintain current course directive for global expansion.
  • 24. Recommendations:  The company’s new migration directive to boost its online presence, in conjunction with a waning DVD rental market, is not conducive to the functionality of a brick-and-mortar business model. Therefore, we recommend that management should not move forward with its acquisition plan of Redbox Automated Retail, LLC.  Because substantial increases in online product and marketability leverage is projected long- run, we highly suggest that all current considerations and long-range plans to acquire Blockbuster, Inc., upon a successful emergence from Chapter 11, should move beyond the exploratory phase to tactical, to specifically capitalize on Blockbuster’s elaborate and expansive distribution network VIII. Client’s Q & A Session
  • 25. Source Citations, Appendages, and Miscellany Literary Sources: Strategy + Business Magazine (Spring 2011, Issue 62- ). The Coming Wave of Social Apponomics. New York: Booz & Company Troy, L. Ph.D. (2010 Edition). Almanac of Business and Industry Financial Ratios. Chicago: CCH Group Web Sources: Charlie Rose.com (N/A). Guest Interviews: Reed Hastings, CEO of Netflix. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://www.charlierose.com Businessweek.com (N/A). Investing. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://investing.businessweek.com Sagepub.com (N/A). Sage Online Search. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://0- online.sagepub.com.library.ggu.edu ReferenceUSA.com (N/A). Reference USA Search. Retrieved June 06, 2011, from http://0- www.referenceusa.com.library.ggu.edu