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Global AI Hub?
The V Factors Powering China’s Rise
July 2017
Source: Vertex Ventures China | This is why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | Baidu Embraces Artificial Intelligence to Build a Better Search Engine by Bloomberg |
Tim Cook Says Apple Focused on Autonomous Systems in Cars Push by Bloomberg | Apple's Cook Says China Is a Huge Opportunity Over Time by Bloomberg
The V factors driving China’s global AI hub evolution
“Whoever wins artificial intelligence will
win the Internet in China and around the
world....”- Andrew Ng
The principal factors enabling China’s as a global AI hub include: [1] the presence of industries keen to employ AI for digital transformation, [2] the
breadth and depth of talent pool [3] significant mobile internet market, [4] access to high-performance computing as well as [5] supportive
government policies. Importantly, factors [1] & [2] avail China with a distinct competitive advantage in its evolution as a global AI hub.
and
initiatives
Significant
mobile internet
market
High
performance
computing
Supportive
government
policies
Industries keen to
employ AI for digital
transformation
Breadth and
depth of
talent pool
“I see mega-trends that make China an
incredible market…….…its an incredible
marketplace for talent and in terms of the
size of the marketplace…..we’re focusing
on autonomous systems. It’s a core
technology that we view as very
important…. (it’s) the mother of all AI
projects” – Tim Cook
• According to McKinsey, China has
benefited greatly from a
“demographic dividend” in the past
few decades but is expected to lose
that momentum as its population
ages.
• Going forward, AI-led automation
can provide the Chinese economy a
productivity injection that could add
0.8 to 1.4 percentage points to GDP
growth annually, contingent on the
speed of adoption.
• The rise of AI is also likely to create
new products and services as well as
new occupations and businesses.
• When non-AI technology
companies grow to a certain size,
they typically need to explore using
AI in order to upgrade and scale.
There are also many traditional
Chinese companies lagging behind
US enterprises in terms of the level
of technological adoption.
• According to a McKinsey survey, AI
is not yet a strategic priority for
more than 40 percent of companies
in traditional industries in China.
Consequently, many of them are
not yet capturing the data they
need to support future AI adoption.
• For example, agriculture firms
seldom consider recording detailed
information about issues such as
planting schedules or the impact of
weather on output.
• These companies have data and
financial heft, and are eager to
invest once AI experts present them
with business growth opportunities
or substantial cost-savings.
• Demand for AI is expected to be
broad-based including State-
Owned Enterprises (SOEs) in
traditional industries including
finance, telecoms, agriculture that
favor domestic AI solutions and
service providers.
• Other sectors (e.g. education) are
also expected be a major potential
beneficiary given AI’s efficacy. For
instance, edtech startup Xuebajun’s
AI (i.e. Aidam) beat most of the top
human students in the math
college entrance exam.
• Aidam also offers machine-marking,
personalized guidance and learning,
lesson planning and other functional
capabilities to assist private tutors,
having the potential to transform
the entire educational experience.
• The country’s tech giants are racing
to ramp up their efforts in AI. For
instance, Baidu is developing its
own autonomous driving system
with an AI team of more than 1,300
experts, while Alibaba Cloud’s
machine-learning platform, PAI is
offering AI services to help
businesses with data analysis.
• Tencent has also established a
dedicated team of 250 scientists
and engineers, and invested in
Chinese healthcare AI start-up
iCarbonX.
• Although many Chinese tech
companies have made
technological breakthroughs within
their fields of expertise, it will take
years before the practical
application of AI technology is
realized.
• Scientists often refer to AI as the
core of the next wave of
industrialization, and whoever leads
the frontier in the AI industry will
have an edge in future growth.
Economic MultiplierAI as Strategic LeverMulti-Industry Application(s)Growth Catalyst
Factor I: Industries keen to use AI for digital
transformation
Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai
Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG |
McKinsey
Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai
Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG |
Google Goes to China, Making Play for Talent and Attention by Fox Business
• At the application level, China is on a
par with other countries in algorithm
development.
• In particular, China’s AI scientists are
disproportionately specialized in areas
such as computer vision and voice
recognition, creating gaps in some
other areas.
• On the other hand, China lags behind
in fundamental research – it has less
experienced data scientists and fewer
than 30 university research labs
focused on AI.
• Chinese scholars are actively
involved in AI research, and
approximately 43% of top-notch
academic papers relating to AI were
published with one or more
Chinese authors.
• Chinese researchers are perceived
to be pragmatic and look to
discovering new use cases for AI vs.
fundamental research by their
counterparts in the US.
• Experienced, top AI talent in China
also appears to be uncommon. Of
the 250,000 AI professionals listed
on LinkedIn, nearly 50% of those
with 10 years of experience or more
are in the US. China's share is less
than 25%.
• China may need to focus on
developing more elite data
scientists, particularly in areas of AI
where shortages are becoming
apparent. At the same time, more
business leaders and middle
managers may need to acquire
technology skills and hone their
ability to understand and apply
data.
• On the other hand, China has a
deep pool of engineering talent – an
important consideration for the
development of AI applications.
• Chinese companies such as Baidu
have hired some high-profile AI
experts from the US, and they see
an unprecedented opportunity to
hire more talent from Silicon Valley
in the wake of US President Donald
Trump’s immigration policy.
• Some practitioners in the AI
industry are paid salaries deemed
unfairly high and experts are
leaving companies to establish AI
startups (e.g. NetPosa).
• About a quarter of US high-tech
firms are founded by immigrants.
AI SpecializationTalent Cost & MigrationExperience & ExpertiseApplied Research
Factor II: Breadth and depth of talent pool
Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai
Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG |
McKinsey | The China Internet Network Information Center
• Chinese tech companies enjoy
barriers to entry, given that much of
China’s internet sector is off-limits to
foreign companies such as Google
and Facebook.
• Chinese tech companies also have
exclusive access to Chinese internet
users’ data, enabling them to test
algorithms and consolidate customer
cluster(s) - further strengthening their
dominant position(s).
• According to the January 2017
China Internet Network Center
report, China had 731M internet
users, 95.1 % of which are
smartphone users as of December
2016.
• 496M Internet users made digital
payments with their smartphones,
and 168M users used
smartphones to hail taxi services.
• The growth rate of both
categories of internet users have
exceeded 30% annually.
• With millions of customers, the
sheer volume of internet user data
provides China’s tech companies
with a massive amount of raw
material to run their algorithms and
refine their AI programs.
• Baidu, Didi and Tencent have all set
up their own AI research labs.
• Existing internet users constitute a
massive market for AI adoption in
the future.
• When AI applications are ready,
apps such as the Chinese search
engine Baidu, the third-party
payment app Alipay, the mobile
messaging service WeChat, and the
chinese pinyin input system Sougou
Input will be able to apply AI
technologies through their services.
• For example, Alibaba has applied a
face recognition tool in its Alipay
app, and 150M users have already
started to use this function.
Barriers to EntryApp-Based AI AdoptionData DelugeLarge Mobile Internet Market
Factor III: Significant mobile internet market
Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai
Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG
• All aspects of the AI value chain, from
fundamental research to application
development to hardware
manufacturing, involve global
collaboration.
• In addition to building its own data
ecosystem, pipeline of data science
research talent and semiconductor
industry, China may also need to
ensure that its AI industry is built on
an open system that is globally
integrated.
• China’s tech industry continues to
find breakthroughs in this field with
cities like Shenzhen building an
ecosystem that supports AI
hardware technologies.
• In particular, specialized processors
such as graphics processing units
are expected to be increasingly
important to AI development given
their ability to carry out massive
complex computations.
• Stronger control over the supply of
core technologies can potentially
improve China’s future ability to
deploy AI systems more widely.
• Sunway TaihuLight is a massive
supercomputer developed by
National Research Center of Parallel
Computer Engineering and
Technology (NRCPC) capable of
delivering 93 petaflops of
performance.
• This is more than the next five
systems combined, and 5.2 times
faster than the top US
supercomputer - the Titan system
based on Cray and AMD
technologies.
• It is powered by ShenWei’s
SW26010 many-core processor, a
chip developed in China.
• Computing power is part of the
basic infrastructure underlying AI
and hence of significant strategic
importance. China has historically
been heavily on foreign supplies for
microchips.
• For some types of high-value
semiconductors, China must rely on
imports for virtually all of its needs.
• In 2015, US regulators barred
vendors like Intel and Nvidia from
selling products to four
supercomputing centers in China
over concerns that the facilities
were working on nuclear programs.
• China understands the importance
of developing its own advanced
semiconductor, microprocessor and
high-performance computing
technologies and Chinese officials
have promised to spend USD 150B
over 10 years to grow the country’s
chip-making capabilities.
Global Value ChainChip-Making CapabilitiesRapid HPC DevelopmentHardware Technologies
Factor IV: Access to high performance computing
Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai
Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG |
McKinsey
Factor V: Supportive government policies
• The Chinese government published
its National Guidelines for
Development and Promotion of the
Integrated Circuit (IC) Industry in
2014 and the “Made in China 2025”
policy.
• The government also launched a
national IC investment fund with
more than USD 20B raised so far.
• These initiatives are beginning to
yield results: in June 2016, China
unveiled Sunway TaihuLight, which
broke records as the world’s fastest
supercomputer and contained no US-
developed processors.
• The government’s up-front
investment is a long-term bet that
should have a significant ripple effect
as it encourages private companies
to play an active role.
• China’s policy efforts to accelerate
AI development began in 2014,
when President Xi Jinping called
for innovation and breakthroughs
in science and technology (i.e.
including AI) at the opening
ceremony of the 17th Congress of
the Chinese Academy of Sciences.
• Following 2014, a series of national
economic initiatives, including the
13th Five Year Plan (March 2015),
Made in China 2025 (May
2016), Robotics Industry
Development Plan (April 2016), and
Three-year Guidance for Internet
Plus Artificial Intelligence Plan (May
2016), all provided guidelines to
boost AI R&D.
• On 5 March 2017 - China’s highest
national meeting included AI in
the Government Work Report for
the first time signalling Beijing’s
resolve and prioritization of the AI
industry in its economic agenda.
• China’s success in AI has been
partly fueled by the government’s
overall investment in scientific
research at its universities. Over the
past decade, government spending
on research has grown by double
digits on average every year.
• China’s top economic planner, the
National Development and
Research Commission (NDRC),
launched a national engineering
laboratory for the research and
application of ‘deep learning’,
appointing Baidu to lead the lab.
• The creation of a national AI
laboratory is just one step taken by
NDRC to boost R&D in AI.
• Despite the fact that US companies
are now leading AI development
around the globe, there are visible
barriers to entering the Chinese
market. The Chinese market will
need local solutions and providers.
China is lagging behind in creating
a data-friendly ecosystem with
unified standards and cross-
platform sharing.
• Opening government data sets
spurs private-sector innovation. But
China has relatively little public-
sector data accessible for
exploration - China ranks 93rd
globally for the openness of
government data by Open
Knowledge International in 2015.
• Limitations on cross-border data
flows is a disadvantage for global
collaboration. In contrast, policy
around AI in China is relatively
more open for experimentation and
solutions.
Integrated Circuit Industry PromotionBarriers to EntryInvestment in R&DPolicy and Plans
• China internet giants Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent are leading the China AI market,
while hundreds of start-ups are also establishing services in various AI segments and
application areas.
• Voice and visual recognition currently accounts for 60% and 12.5% of the total China
AI market respectively.
• Manufacturing companies have started to adopt AI to reduce their costs.
• iResearch expects the value of China’s AI market to reach USD 9.1B in 2020 by
growing at a 50% compound rate annually.
• New industry segments (e.g. drones, robots) and traditional ones (i.e. home
appliance, auto and toys) are being transformed by AI innovations.
• As the biggest auto market (21.1M passenger cars sold in 2015), the largest home
appliance manufacturer, the largest drone maker (DJI - 70% market share), China is
expected to be amongst the most attractive ecosystems for AI startups.
China’s AI Industry at a Glance
1.2
9.1
2015 2020
Market Size (USD billion)
(Estimate)
Voice
recognition
60%
Visual
recognition
12%
Others
28%
Composition (%)
Source: Vertex Ventures China | Wuzhen Institute | China Daily | US National Science and Technology Council | China’s Artificial Intelligence in Danger of Becoming a ‘Bubble’, Experts
Warn by the SCMP | IFR | National Bureau of Statistics of China | Juniper Research | CITIC Research | Microsoft | Digi-Capital
China’s AI market is expected to grow significantly
with the potential to impact many industries
CAGR = 50% p.a.
Advanced Driver Assisted Systems (ADAS) market is
expected to reach USD 37B* in 2020. Autopilot
vehicles is forecasted to create another market of
USD 87B before 2030.
USD 210B* market for China manufacturers. IHS
expects 700M units of smart appliance shipped out
2020.
In 2014, service robots accounted for 16.7% of the
USD 35B* global robot market.
Market size of drones is expected to reach USD
12B* in 2020.
Global market for toys was USD 80B* in 2015.
30% penetration would create a USD 26B market
for smart toys.
Goldman Sachs expects the market for AR|VR to
touch USD 80B, with hardware accounting for USD
45B.
Key industries expected to be transformed by AI include:
* Exchange rate of 1USD: 6.817 RMB
Research Capability
Source: Wuzhen Institute | China Daily | US National Science and Technology Council | Artificial Intelligence: Implications for China by McKinsey Global Institute | Baidu Embraces
Artificial Intelligence to Build a Better Search Engine by Bloomberg | SCImago Journal Rank 2015
Journal articles cited at least once, mentioning
“deep learning” or “deep neural network”
China ranks first for absolute AI citations and third
based on publication influence
• China has been making rapid progress in AI research. An October 2016 White House report indicated that in 2016, the number of academic research papers
published in China in the field of deep learning exceeded the number published by U.S. researchers. China is ranked first for absolute AI citations and third
based on publication influence.
• A recent Nikkei Asian Review study finds that Chinese patent applications in the segment of AI grew to 8,410 between 2010 and 2014, a 186% increase from
the previous five-year period between 2005 and 2009.
• In some cases, AI inventions reported by the US were invented in China first and then later developed overseas. China is quickly catching up in the field of deep
learning research. With increasing R&D investment from China’s tech giants, this growth rate is expected to continue in the future.
26,891
15,745 14,604
4,386 4,053 2,459 2,310 1,803 597 578
Number of Patents
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
China US India UK Spain
Number of AI Publications Cited
Other citations Self citations
Self-citation occurs when a journal cites another article
published in the same journal.
373
190
168
153 152
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
US UK China Germany Canada
Publication Influence - H-index
The H-index ranks the productivity of scholars and the
citation impact their publications. A higher H-index
indicates that more publications that are widely cited.
Abundance in Funding
2 3 2 1 5
40
31 52 30
68
38
120
44
369
143
259
130
470
12
6 6
4
12
7
12
10
20 20
24
29 29
54 58
35
44
65
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
100
200
300
400
500
Funding surge in China’s AI startups
Total Funding (USD million) Total Deals
Source: Vertex Ventures China | Wuzhen Institute | China Daily | US National Science and Technology Council | China’s Artificial Intelligence in Danger of Becoming a ‘Bubble’, Experts
Warn by the SCMP
China’s AI industry growth is expected to be
underpinned by an abundance of funding
• The Chinese market has witnessed a deluge of venture funding in AI startups in
recent years. According to Netease, 202 Chinese AI startups raised a total of
approximately USD 1B in 2016.
• KPMG’s studies also show that venture capital has already shifted from big data
towards AI in 2016, and the momentum of investment in the AI industry is
projected to continue to grow in the coming years.
• According to Wuzhen Institute, China’s total investments in AI enterprises
reached USD 2.6B last year, with the US topping that list with an estimated USD
17.9B in investments in the same period.
• Research funding appears to be shrinking in the U.S. and Europe, while
expanding in China. There have been reports of researchers receiving grants 6x
larger than what he might have gotten in Europe or America, enabling them to
establish a full artificial intelligence lab with an assistant, a technician and a
group of PhD students.
• Numerous provinces and cities are spending billions on developing robotics,
and a part of that funding is likely to go to AI research. For instance, the city of
Xiangtan, in China’s Hunan province, has pledged USD 2B toward developing
robots and artificial intelligence.
• Other places have direct incentives for the AI industry. In Suzhou, leading AI
firms can receive approximately USD 800,000 in subsidies for establishing a local
presence, while Shenzhen is offering USD 1M to support any AI project
established there.
• More money is flowing to AI startups especially for angel and series A rounds
comprising 90% of all the deals in 2016.
• Valuations appear lofty fuelling concerns that AI is on the verge of becoming a
‘bubble’ in China as a large influx of money and talent heat the market.
17.9
2.6
0.8 0.64 0.63 0.4 0.3 0.28 0.25 0.21
Cumulative Financing Scale (USD billion)
2,905
709
366 233 228 173 160 136 132 83
Number of Companies
The distribution of AI startups and patent
applications in China
• Robotics, neural network, voice and image recognition account for the vast
majority of patent applications.
• Since 2011, China has achieved faster patent application progress in the areas
of robotics and computer vision.
Robotics
38%
Neural network
18%
Voice
recognition
8%
Image
recognition
11%
Face
recognition
5%
Computer
vision
6%
Intelligent
systems…
Machine
learning…
Others
9%
Sales
• China’s AI start-ups are principally concentrated in the economic hubs
of Beijing, Guangdong and the Yangtze River Delta area.
• Companies from these three regions account for approximately 85% of
all AI companies in China.
Distribution of AI start-ups AI patent applications
Source: Wuzhen Institute
Beijing
Guangdong
Shanghai
Application Layer
China’s AI ecosystem includes large internet
enterprises, emerging AI and vertical-focused firms
Autonomous DrivingRobotics Drones Personal Assistant Business Intelligence Customer Service Industrial Applications
Machine & Deep Learning AI Platform Computer VisionSpeech Recognition & NLP
Sensors AI Chips Data Computing
Technology Layer
Infrastructure Layer
• Aispeech
• Baidu
• iFlytek
• Mobvoi
• Geek+
• Rokid
• Turing Robot
• UBTECH
• Baidu
• CALMCAR
• Horizon Robotics
• UISEE
• DJI
• EHang
• Hover Camera
• Zerotech
• Baidu
• Mobvoi
• Yonghong Tech
• DataKM
• AiKF • iCarbonX
• Maxent Inc
• Toutiao
• Xuebajun
• Yitu
• DeepGlint
• Megvii
• Sensetime
• CloudMinds
• 4Paradigm
• DeePhi Tech
• SeetaTech
• SinoVoice
• Tencent
• Trio.ai
• Unisound
• Alibaba
• Baidu
• DataDouDou.com
• Shujutang
• Cambricon
• Horizon Robotics
• ICE DRINK
• LeiShen Intelligent systems
• SLAMTEC
• Benewake
Source: Vertex Ventures China
Application Layer: AI augmented with vertical domain
expertise can be a meaningful barrier to entry
AI has broad-based applications with rapidly growing adoption across an array of industry verticals. As AI becomes increasingly commoditized with value migration
to deep learning, there are certain domains that are specific enough that human capital and vertical domain expertise can be a meaningful barrier to entry.
Vertical Applications Selected Vertex Portfolio Companies in China
Source: Systems of Intelligence: Is This the VC Meta-Thesis We’ve Been Looking For? By Gil Dibner on Medium
Dynamic Yield delivers an end-to-end platform for personalization in
eCommerce, media, travel industry using machine learning to improve
targeting capabilities
(www.dynamicyield.com)
Agriculture
• Optimizing seed planting, fertilization, irrigation, spraying, and harvesting
• Sorting fruits and vegetables to reduce labor costs
• Identifying sick livestock based on changes in audio data
Taranis is a precision agriculture intelligence platform that helps farmers
increase their yields and cut costs using deep learning on proprietary data
sets to predict and prevent losses from crop disease and pests.
(www.taranis.ag)
Maxent provides anti-fraud software as a service based on machine learning
techniques
(www.maxent-inc.com)
Finance
• Scrubbing and packaging satellite images that can be used to inform
economic/market forecasts (e.g., images of oil inventory, retail traffic)
• Identifying credit risk and executing limit reductions/closures on
accounts that could go delinquent
Retail
• Enabling image-based product searches
• Enhancing recommendation engine capabilities by leveraging large data
sets on sales, inventory, and customer preferences
• Improving online search and customer support
• Predicting product demand and optimizing pricing
Xuebajun is a mobile application that helps students solve homework
questions using Scene Text Recognition (STR) Technology and deep learning
to improve character recognition rate
(www.xueba100.com)
Education
• Automate tedious, basic activities like grading
• Enabling individualized learning through customized courses
• Iidentify areas where courses need to improve
Logistics
• AI can be seen in the use of robotics and sensors for conveying, stacking
and retrieval systems, order picking, checking on stock level
• Algorithms also allow AI to automatically adapt in real-time to events in
the supply chains (e.g. the arrival of new orders over the Internet for
delivery in a few hours)
Geek+ designs and manufactures robots for warehouse automation.
Similar to Amazon’s Kiva, Geek+ helps customers to improve their order
fulfilment efficiency and accuracy, save cost and handle flooding in
orders during peak season.
(www.geekplus.com.cn)
Selected Vertex Portfolio Companies Outside China
Technology Layer: 26% of all China AI firms. Mainly
engaged in computer vision, machine learning, NLP
Application layer
71%
Technology layer
26%
Infrastructure layer
3%
AI Companies in China (100%)
Computer
vision
55%
Natural
language
processing
13%
Machine
learning.
9%
Others
23%
Technology Layer Companies
Hardware
products
17%
Software and
services
83%
Application Layer Companies
China’s companies and AI scientists are especially specialized in areas such as
computer vision and speech recognition. Selected examples include:
• Mobvoi which is expert in Chinese voice recognition and natural language
processing is also developing its self-designed hardware.
• In China, iFlytek’s voice assistants that are powering household devices and
business software. The Anhui-based company, which specializes in voice
and speech technologies, has won many international competitions in
speech synthesis and in translation between Chinese and other languages.
It also beat Apple in speech recognition in the Chinese language, according
to the Chinese Academy of Sciences.
• Baidu is a leader in China’s AI efforts. It is working on driverless cars. It has
turned an app that started as a visual dictionary — take a picture of an
object, and your cell phone will tell you what it is — into a site that uses
facial recognition to find missing people, a major problem in a country
where child kidnapping has been persistent. It helped a family find a child
kidnapped 27 years earlier. DNA testing confirmed the family connection.
• Baidu’s speech-recognition software can accomplish the challenging task
of deciphering tonal differences in Chinese dialects, and is generally
considered best-in-class.
Source: iResearch | 中国人工智能产业链分析 | Is China Outsmarting the US in A.I.? By The New York Times
Technology Layer – Specialization
Machine & Deep Learning Computer VisionSpeech Recognition & NLP
Distribution of AI Specialization – by Companies
Nvidia
• 200-300w
• Chip Business
• For servers
Horizon Robotics
• 0.5-2w
• Turn-key solution: chip + algorithm
• On devices
Horizon Robotics is dedicated to providing integrated and openly
embedded AI solutions. The Company envisions world’s more than
1,000 devices, such as autonomous vehicles, to be equipped with
"brains“.
Horizon Robotics is a Vertex Portfolio Company
(www.horizon-robotics.com)
OPEN AI LAB officially established by the ARM Ecosystem Accelerator,
Allwinner Technology and Horizon Robotics in Beijing in December 2016.
OPEN AI LAB aims at exploring a new model for cooperation to advance the
embedded systems applied in AI in both software and hardware as well as
the coordinated development of industrialization of application
implementations.
• The next wave of compute workloads, including 5G, AI, autonomous
vehicles, cloud computing and federated learning, is expected to be a
disruptive force in driving tectonic shifts in compute architectures.
• We see a wide range of computing architectures, including a shift from
homogenous to heterogeneous computing, and from centralized to edge
computing.
• In China, edge computing is gaining more traction. The Edge
Computing Consortium was officially established in November 2016
jointly by Huawei Technologies, Shenyang Institute of Automation of
Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Academy of Information and
Communications Technology, Intel Corporation, ARM and iSoftStone.
• Government, SOEs and state controlled industries are the biggest tech
consumers in China.
• Most technological advancements are funded by the government. With
the government’s participation, developments in edge computing are
expected to gain increasing momentum in China.
Infrastructure Layer: Rise of mobile edge computing
is expected to drive demand for AI embedded chips
Source: Vertex Ventures China | Barron’s | Company Information | AllChinaTech | Google is Testing a New Way of Training its AI algorithms Directly on your Phone by the Verge
The Rise of Mobile Edge Computing AI Embedded Chips
Autonomous Driving Drones Personal Assistant Smart Home
The Vertex View
With strong incentives from the Chinese government, we may well be peering at the golden age for
investing in China’s AI industry. Looking ahead, it will be important to understand the drivers
underpinning China’s evolution as a global AI hub and the longer term investment considerations.
As AI becomes commoditized with value migration to deep learning, AI augmented with vertical domain
expertise will be an increasingly critical “moat”. In the final analysis, barriers to entry truly define a firm’s
differentiation - its distinct opportunity to create, protect and sustain value.
This is a core consideration in our AI investments at Vertex and our portfolio companies include
Xuebajun in education, Horizon Robotics in autonomous cars and smart homes, Maxent in fraud
detection, Dynamic Yield in customer personalization and optimization, Taranis in precision agriculture
and Geek+ in logistics.
Over the next decade, we believe some of these opportunities may well turn out to be Systems of
Intelligence companies. So do reach out to us if you’ve got a plan to create, protect and sustain value
behind some highly defensible barriers.
Source: Systems of Intelligence: Is This the VC Meta-Thesis We’ve Been Looking For? By Gil Dibner on Medium
Thanks for reading!
Disclaimer
This presentation has been compiled for informational purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation to any party. The presentation relies on data and
insights from a wide range of sources including public and private companies, market research firms, government agencies and industry professionals. We cite
specific sources where information is public. The presentation is also informed by non-public information and insights.
Information provided by third parties may not have been independently verified. Vertex Holdings believes such information to be reliable and adequately
comprehensive but does not represent that such information is in all respects accurate or complete. Vertex Holdings shall not be held liable for any information
provided.
Any information or opinions provided in this report are as of the date of the report and Vertex Holdings is under no obligation to update the information or
communicate that any updates have been made.
About Vertex Holdings
Vertex Holdings, a member of Temasek Holdings, focuses on venture capital investment opportunities in the information
technology and healthcare markets, primarily through our global family of direct investment venture funds. Headquartered
in Singapore, we collaborate with a network of global investors who specialize in local markets. The Vertex Global Network
encompasses Silicon Valley, China, Israel, India, Taiwan and Southeast Asia.
About the Authors
Xia Zhi Jin
Partner
Vertex Ventures China
xiazj@vertexventures.com
Zhao Yu Jie
Investment Associate
Vertex Ventures China
zhaoyj@vertexventures.com
Brian Toh
Director, Partnership Group
Vertex Holdings
btoh@vertexholdings.com
Tracy Jin
Senior Research Analyst
Vertex Holdings
tjin@vertexholdings.com

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Vertex Perspectives - Artificial Intelligence in China (Jul 2017)

  • 1. Global AI Hub? The V Factors Powering China’s Rise July 2017
  • 2. Source: Vertex Ventures China | This is why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | Baidu Embraces Artificial Intelligence to Build a Better Search Engine by Bloomberg | Tim Cook Says Apple Focused on Autonomous Systems in Cars Push by Bloomberg | Apple's Cook Says China Is a Huge Opportunity Over Time by Bloomberg The V factors driving China’s global AI hub evolution “Whoever wins artificial intelligence will win the Internet in China and around the world....”- Andrew Ng The principal factors enabling China’s as a global AI hub include: [1] the presence of industries keen to employ AI for digital transformation, [2] the breadth and depth of talent pool [3] significant mobile internet market, [4] access to high-performance computing as well as [5] supportive government policies. Importantly, factors [1] & [2] avail China with a distinct competitive advantage in its evolution as a global AI hub. and initiatives Significant mobile internet market High performance computing Supportive government policies Industries keen to employ AI for digital transformation Breadth and depth of talent pool “I see mega-trends that make China an incredible market…….…its an incredible marketplace for talent and in terms of the size of the marketplace…..we’re focusing on autonomous systems. It’s a core technology that we view as very important…. (it’s) the mother of all AI projects” – Tim Cook
  • 3. • According to McKinsey, China has benefited greatly from a “demographic dividend” in the past few decades but is expected to lose that momentum as its population ages. • Going forward, AI-led automation can provide the Chinese economy a productivity injection that could add 0.8 to 1.4 percentage points to GDP growth annually, contingent on the speed of adoption. • The rise of AI is also likely to create new products and services as well as new occupations and businesses. • When non-AI technology companies grow to a certain size, they typically need to explore using AI in order to upgrade and scale. There are also many traditional Chinese companies lagging behind US enterprises in terms of the level of technological adoption. • According to a McKinsey survey, AI is not yet a strategic priority for more than 40 percent of companies in traditional industries in China. Consequently, many of them are not yet capturing the data they need to support future AI adoption. • For example, agriculture firms seldom consider recording detailed information about issues such as planting schedules or the impact of weather on output. • These companies have data and financial heft, and are eager to invest once AI experts present them with business growth opportunities or substantial cost-savings. • Demand for AI is expected to be broad-based including State- Owned Enterprises (SOEs) in traditional industries including finance, telecoms, agriculture that favor domestic AI solutions and service providers. • Other sectors (e.g. education) are also expected be a major potential beneficiary given AI’s efficacy. For instance, edtech startup Xuebajun’s AI (i.e. Aidam) beat most of the top human students in the math college entrance exam. • Aidam also offers machine-marking, personalized guidance and learning, lesson planning and other functional capabilities to assist private tutors, having the potential to transform the entire educational experience. • The country’s tech giants are racing to ramp up their efforts in AI. For instance, Baidu is developing its own autonomous driving system with an AI team of more than 1,300 experts, while Alibaba Cloud’s machine-learning platform, PAI is offering AI services to help businesses with data analysis. • Tencent has also established a dedicated team of 250 scientists and engineers, and invested in Chinese healthcare AI start-up iCarbonX. • Although many Chinese tech companies have made technological breakthroughs within their fields of expertise, it will take years before the practical application of AI technology is realized. • Scientists often refer to AI as the core of the next wave of industrialization, and whoever leads the frontier in the AI industry will have an edge in future growth. Economic MultiplierAI as Strategic LeverMulti-Industry Application(s)Growth Catalyst Factor I: Industries keen to use AI for digital transformation Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG | McKinsey
  • 4. Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG | Google Goes to China, Making Play for Talent and Attention by Fox Business • At the application level, China is on a par with other countries in algorithm development. • In particular, China’s AI scientists are disproportionately specialized in areas such as computer vision and voice recognition, creating gaps in some other areas. • On the other hand, China lags behind in fundamental research – it has less experienced data scientists and fewer than 30 university research labs focused on AI. • Chinese scholars are actively involved in AI research, and approximately 43% of top-notch academic papers relating to AI were published with one or more Chinese authors. • Chinese researchers are perceived to be pragmatic and look to discovering new use cases for AI vs. fundamental research by their counterparts in the US. • Experienced, top AI talent in China also appears to be uncommon. Of the 250,000 AI professionals listed on LinkedIn, nearly 50% of those with 10 years of experience or more are in the US. China's share is less than 25%. • China may need to focus on developing more elite data scientists, particularly in areas of AI where shortages are becoming apparent. At the same time, more business leaders and middle managers may need to acquire technology skills and hone their ability to understand and apply data. • On the other hand, China has a deep pool of engineering talent – an important consideration for the development of AI applications. • Chinese companies such as Baidu have hired some high-profile AI experts from the US, and they see an unprecedented opportunity to hire more talent from Silicon Valley in the wake of US President Donald Trump’s immigration policy. • Some practitioners in the AI industry are paid salaries deemed unfairly high and experts are leaving companies to establish AI startups (e.g. NetPosa). • About a quarter of US high-tech firms are founded by immigrants. AI SpecializationTalent Cost & MigrationExperience & ExpertiseApplied Research Factor II: Breadth and depth of talent pool
  • 5. Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG | McKinsey | The China Internet Network Information Center • Chinese tech companies enjoy barriers to entry, given that much of China’s internet sector is off-limits to foreign companies such as Google and Facebook. • Chinese tech companies also have exclusive access to Chinese internet users’ data, enabling them to test algorithms and consolidate customer cluster(s) - further strengthening their dominant position(s). • According to the January 2017 China Internet Network Center report, China had 731M internet users, 95.1 % of which are smartphone users as of December 2016. • 496M Internet users made digital payments with their smartphones, and 168M users used smartphones to hail taxi services. • The growth rate of both categories of internet users have exceeded 30% annually. • With millions of customers, the sheer volume of internet user data provides China’s tech companies with a massive amount of raw material to run their algorithms and refine their AI programs. • Baidu, Didi and Tencent have all set up their own AI research labs. • Existing internet users constitute a massive market for AI adoption in the future. • When AI applications are ready, apps such as the Chinese search engine Baidu, the third-party payment app Alipay, the mobile messaging service WeChat, and the chinese pinyin input system Sougou Input will be able to apply AI technologies through their services. • For example, Alibaba has applied a face recognition tool in its Alipay app, and 150M users have already started to use this function. Barriers to EntryApp-Based AI AdoptionData DelugeLarge Mobile Internet Market Factor III: Significant mobile internet market
  • 6. Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG • All aspects of the AI value chain, from fundamental research to application development to hardware manufacturing, involve global collaboration. • In addition to building its own data ecosystem, pipeline of data science research talent and semiconductor industry, China may also need to ensure that its AI industry is built on an open system that is globally integrated. • China’s tech industry continues to find breakthroughs in this field with cities like Shenzhen building an ecosystem that supports AI hardware technologies. • In particular, specialized processors such as graphics processing units are expected to be increasingly important to AI development given their ability to carry out massive complex computations. • Stronger control over the supply of core technologies can potentially improve China’s future ability to deploy AI systems more widely. • Sunway TaihuLight is a massive supercomputer developed by National Research Center of Parallel Computer Engineering and Technology (NRCPC) capable of delivering 93 petaflops of performance. • This is more than the next five systems combined, and 5.2 times faster than the top US supercomputer - the Titan system based on Cray and AMD technologies. • It is powered by ShenWei’s SW26010 many-core processor, a chip developed in China. • Computing power is part of the basic infrastructure underlying AI and hence of significant strategic importance. China has historically been heavily on foreign supplies for microchips. • For some types of high-value semiconductors, China must rely on imports for virtually all of its needs. • In 2015, US regulators barred vendors like Intel and Nvidia from selling products to four supercomputing centers in China over concerns that the facilities were working on nuclear programs. • China understands the importance of developing its own advanced semiconductor, microprocessor and high-performance computing technologies and Chinese officials have promised to spend USD 150B over 10 years to grow the country’s chip-making capabilities. Global Value ChainChip-Making CapabilitiesRapid HPC DevelopmentHardware Technologies Factor IV: Access to high performance computing
  • 7. Source: Vertex Ventures China | How China is Becoming a World Leader in Artificial Intelligence by China Briefing | This is Why China has the Edge in Artificial Intelligence by Lee Kai Fu | China to Lead the World in Artificial Intelligence, Says Top Microsoft Executive by the SCMP | China’s Artificial-Intelligence Boom by The Atlantic | China Outlook 2016 by KPMG | McKinsey Factor V: Supportive government policies • The Chinese government published its National Guidelines for Development and Promotion of the Integrated Circuit (IC) Industry in 2014 and the “Made in China 2025” policy. • The government also launched a national IC investment fund with more than USD 20B raised so far. • These initiatives are beginning to yield results: in June 2016, China unveiled Sunway TaihuLight, which broke records as the world’s fastest supercomputer and contained no US- developed processors. • The government’s up-front investment is a long-term bet that should have a significant ripple effect as it encourages private companies to play an active role. • China’s policy efforts to accelerate AI development began in 2014, when President Xi Jinping called for innovation and breakthroughs in science and technology (i.e. including AI) at the opening ceremony of the 17th Congress of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. • Following 2014, a series of national economic initiatives, including the 13th Five Year Plan (March 2015), Made in China 2025 (May 2016), Robotics Industry Development Plan (April 2016), and Three-year Guidance for Internet Plus Artificial Intelligence Plan (May 2016), all provided guidelines to boost AI R&D. • On 5 March 2017 - China’s highest national meeting included AI in the Government Work Report for the first time signalling Beijing’s resolve and prioritization of the AI industry in its economic agenda. • China’s success in AI has been partly fueled by the government’s overall investment in scientific research at its universities. Over the past decade, government spending on research has grown by double digits on average every year. • China’s top economic planner, the National Development and Research Commission (NDRC), launched a national engineering laboratory for the research and application of ‘deep learning’, appointing Baidu to lead the lab. • The creation of a national AI laboratory is just one step taken by NDRC to boost R&D in AI. • Despite the fact that US companies are now leading AI development around the globe, there are visible barriers to entering the Chinese market. The Chinese market will need local solutions and providers. China is lagging behind in creating a data-friendly ecosystem with unified standards and cross- platform sharing. • Opening government data sets spurs private-sector innovation. But China has relatively little public- sector data accessible for exploration - China ranks 93rd globally for the openness of government data by Open Knowledge International in 2015. • Limitations on cross-border data flows is a disadvantage for global collaboration. In contrast, policy around AI in China is relatively more open for experimentation and solutions. Integrated Circuit Industry PromotionBarriers to EntryInvestment in R&DPolicy and Plans
  • 8. • China internet giants Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent are leading the China AI market, while hundreds of start-ups are also establishing services in various AI segments and application areas. • Voice and visual recognition currently accounts for 60% and 12.5% of the total China AI market respectively. • Manufacturing companies have started to adopt AI to reduce their costs. • iResearch expects the value of China’s AI market to reach USD 9.1B in 2020 by growing at a 50% compound rate annually. • New industry segments (e.g. drones, robots) and traditional ones (i.e. home appliance, auto and toys) are being transformed by AI innovations. • As the biggest auto market (21.1M passenger cars sold in 2015), the largest home appliance manufacturer, the largest drone maker (DJI - 70% market share), China is expected to be amongst the most attractive ecosystems for AI startups. China’s AI Industry at a Glance 1.2 9.1 2015 2020 Market Size (USD billion) (Estimate) Voice recognition 60% Visual recognition 12% Others 28% Composition (%) Source: Vertex Ventures China | Wuzhen Institute | China Daily | US National Science and Technology Council | China’s Artificial Intelligence in Danger of Becoming a ‘Bubble’, Experts Warn by the SCMP | IFR | National Bureau of Statistics of China | Juniper Research | CITIC Research | Microsoft | Digi-Capital China’s AI market is expected to grow significantly with the potential to impact many industries CAGR = 50% p.a. Advanced Driver Assisted Systems (ADAS) market is expected to reach USD 37B* in 2020. Autopilot vehicles is forecasted to create another market of USD 87B before 2030. USD 210B* market for China manufacturers. IHS expects 700M units of smart appliance shipped out 2020. In 2014, service robots accounted for 16.7% of the USD 35B* global robot market. Market size of drones is expected to reach USD 12B* in 2020. Global market for toys was USD 80B* in 2015. 30% penetration would create a USD 26B market for smart toys. Goldman Sachs expects the market for AR|VR to touch USD 80B, with hardware accounting for USD 45B. Key industries expected to be transformed by AI include: * Exchange rate of 1USD: 6.817 RMB
  • 9. Research Capability Source: Wuzhen Institute | China Daily | US National Science and Technology Council | Artificial Intelligence: Implications for China by McKinsey Global Institute | Baidu Embraces Artificial Intelligence to Build a Better Search Engine by Bloomberg | SCImago Journal Rank 2015 Journal articles cited at least once, mentioning “deep learning” or “deep neural network” China ranks first for absolute AI citations and third based on publication influence • China has been making rapid progress in AI research. An October 2016 White House report indicated that in 2016, the number of academic research papers published in China in the field of deep learning exceeded the number published by U.S. researchers. China is ranked first for absolute AI citations and third based on publication influence. • A recent Nikkei Asian Review study finds that Chinese patent applications in the segment of AI grew to 8,410 between 2010 and 2014, a 186% increase from the previous five-year period between 2005 and 2009. • In some cases, AI inventions reported by the US were invented in China first and then later developed overseas. China is quickly catching up in the field of deep learning research. With increasing R&D investment from China’s tech giants, this growth rate is expected to continue in the future. 26,891 15,745 14,604 4,386 4,053 2,459 2,310 1,803 597 578 Number of Patents 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 China US India UK Spain Number of AI Publications Cited Other citations Self citations Self-citation occurs when a journal cites another article published in the same journal. 373 190 168 153 152 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 US UK China Germany Canada Publication Influence - H-index The H-index ranks the productivity of scholars and the citation impact their publications. A higher H-index indicates that more publications that are widely cited.
  • 10. Abundance in Funding 2 3 2 1 5 40 31 52 30 68 38 120 44 369 143 259 130 470 12 6 6 4 12 7 12 10 20 20 24 29 29 54 58 35 44 65 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 100 200 300 400 500 Funding surge in China’s AI startups Total Funding (USD million) Total Deals Source: Vertex Ventures China | Wuzhen Institute | China Daily | US National Science and Technology Council | China’s Artificial Intelligence in Danger of Becoming a ‘Bubble’, Experts Warn by the SCMP China’s AI industry growth is expected to be underpinned by an abundance of funding • The Chinese market has witnessed a deluge of venture funding in AI startups in recent years. According to Netease, 202 Chinese AI startups raised a total of approximately USD 1B in 2016. • KPMG’s studies also show that venture capital has already shifted from big data towards AI in 2016, and the momentum of investment in the AI industry is projected to continue to grow in the coming years. • According to Wuzhen Institute, China’s total investments in AI enterprises reached USD 2.6B last year, with the US topping that list with an estimated USD 17.9B in investments in the same period. • Research funding appears to be shrinking in the U.S. and Europe, while expanding in China. There have been reports of researchers receiving grants 6x larger than what he might have gotten in Europe or America, enabling them to establish a full artificial intelligence lab with an assistant, a technician and a group of PhD students. • Numerous provinces and cities are spending billions on developing robotics, and a part of that funding is likely to go to AI research. For instance, the city of Xiangtan, in China’s Hunan province, has pledged USD 2B toward developing robots and artificial intelligence. • Other places have direct incentives for the AI industry. In Suzhou, leading AI firms can receive approximately USD 800,000 in subsidies for establishing a local presence, while Shenzhen is offering USD 1M to support any AI project established there. • More money is flowing to AI startups especially for angel and series A rounds comprising 90% of all the deals in 2016. • Valuations appear lofty fuelling concerns that AI is on the verge of becoming a ‘bubble’ in China as a large influx of money and talent heat the market. 17.9 2.6 0.8 0.64 0.63 0.4 0.3 0.28 0.25 0.21 Cumulative Financing Scale (USD billion) 2,905 709 366 233 228 173 160 136 132 83 Number of Companies
  • 11. The distribution of AI startups and patent applications in China • Robotics, neural network, voice and image recognition account for the vast majority of patent applications. • Since 2011, China has achieved faster patent application progress in the areas of robotics and computer vision. Robotics 38% Neural network 18% Voice recognition 8% Image recognition 11% Face recognition 5% Computer vision 6% Intelligent systems… Machine learning… Others 9% Sales • China’s AI start-ups are principally concentrated in the economic hubs of Beijing, Guangdong and the Yangtze River Delta area. • Companies from these three regions account for approximately 85% of all AI companies in China. Distribution of AI start-ups AI patent applications Source: Wuzhen Institute Beijing Guangdong Shanghai
  • 12. Application Layer China’s AI ecosystem includes large internet enterprises, emerging AI and vertical-focused firms Autonomous DrivingRobotics Drones Personal Assistant Business Intelligence Customer Service Industrial Applications Machine & Deep Learning AI Platform Computer VisionSpeech Recognition & NLP Sensors AI Chips Data Computing Technology Layer Infrastructure Layer • Aispeech • Baidu • iFlytek • Mobvoi • Geek+ • Rokid • Turing Robot • UBTECH • Baidu • CALMCAR • Horizon Robotics • UISEE • DJI • EHang • Hover Camera • Zerotech • Baidu • Mobvoi • Yonghong Tech • DataKM • AiKF • iCarbonX • Maxent Inc • Toutiao • Xuebajun • Yitu • DeepGlint • Megvii • Sensetime • CloudMinds • 4Paradigm • DeePhi Tech • SeetaTech • SinoVoice • Tencent • Trio.ai • Unisound • Alibaba • Baidu • DataDouDou.com • Shujutang • Cambricon • Horizon Robotics • ICE DRINK • LeiShen Intelligent systems • SLAMTEC • Benewake Source: Vertex Ventures China
  • 13. Application Layer: AI augmented with vertical domain expertise can be a meaningful barrier to entry AI has broad-based applications with rapidly growing adoption across an array of industry verticals. As AI becomes increasingly commoditized with value migration to deep learning, there are certain domains that are specific enough that human capital and vertical domain expertise can be a meaningful barrier to entry. Vertical Applications Selected Vertex Portfolio Companies in China Source: Systems of Intelligence: Is This the VC Meta-Thesis We’ve Been Looking For? By Gil Dibner on Medium Dynamic Yield delivers an end-to-end platform for personalization in eCommerce, media, travel industry using machine learning to improve targeting capabilities (www.dynamicyield.com) Agriculture • Optimizing seed planting, fertilization, irrigation, spraying, and harvesting • Sorting fruits and vegetables to reduce labor costs • Identifying sick livestock based on changes in audio data Taranis is a precision agriculture intelligence platform that helps farmers increase their yields and cut costs using deep learning on proprietary data sets to predict and prevent losses from crop disease and pests. (www.taranis.ag) Maxent provides anti-fraud software as a service based on machine learning techniques (www.maxent-inc.com) Finance • Scrubbing and packaging satellite images that can be used to inform economic/market forecasts (e.g., images of oil inventory, retail traffic) • Identifying credit risk and executing limit reductions/closures on accounts that could go delinquent Retail • Enabling image-based product searches • Enhancing recommendation engine capabilities by leveraging large data sets on sales, inventory, and customer preferences • Improving online search and customer support • Predicting product demand and optimizing pricing Xuebajun is a mobile application that helps students solve homework questions using Scene Text Recognition (STR) Technology and deep learning to improve character recognition rate (www.xueba100.com) Education • Automate tedious, basic activities like grading • Enabling individualized learning through customized courses • Iidentify areas where courses need to improve Logistics • AI can be seen in the use of robotics and sensors for conveying, stacking and retrieval systems, order picking, checking on stock level • Algorithms also allow AI to automatically adapt in real-time to events in the supply chains (e.g. the arrival of new orders over the Internet for delivery in a few hours) Geek+ designs and manufactures robots for warehouse automation. Similar to Amazon’s Kiva, Geek+ helps customers to improve their order fulfilment efficiency and accuracy, save cost and handle flooding in orders during peak season. (www.geekplus.com.cn) Selected Vertex Portfolio Companies Outside China
  • 14. Technology Layer: 26% of all China AI firms. Mainly engaged in computer vision, machine learning, NLP Application layer 71% Technology layer 26% Infrastructure layer 3% AI Companies in China (100%) Computer vision 55% Natural language processing 13% Machine learning. 9% Others 23% Technology Layer Companies Hardware products 17% Software and services 83% Application Layer Companies China’s companies and AI scientists are especially specialized in areas such as computer vision and speech recognition. Selected examples include: • Mobvoi which is expert in Chinese voice recognition and natural language processing is also developing its self-designed hardware. • In China, iFlytek’s voice assistants that are powering household devices and business software. The Anhui-based company, which specializes in voice and speech technologies, has won many international competitions in speech synthesis and in translation between Chinese and other languages. It also beat Apple in speech recognition in the Chinese language, according to the Chinese Academy of Sciences. • Baidu is a leader in China’s AI efforts. It is working on driverless cars. It has turned an app that started as a visual dictionary — take a picture of an object, and your cell phone will tell you what it is — into a site that uses facial recognition to find missing people, a major problem in a country where child kidnapping has been persistent. It helped a family find a child kidnapped 27 years earlier. DNA testing confirmed the family connection. • Baidu’s speech-recognition software can accomplish the challenging task of deciphering tonal differences in Chinese dialects, and is generally considered best-in-class. Source: iResearch | 中国人工智能产业链分析 | Is China Outsmarting the US in A.I.? By The New York Times Technology Layer – Specialization Machine & Deep Learning Computer VisionSpeech Recognition & NLP Distribution of AI Specialization – by Companies
  • 15. Nvidia • 200-300w • Chip Business • For servers Horizon Robotics • 0.5-2w • Turn-key solution: chip + algorithm • On devices Horizon Robotics is dedicated to providing integrated and openly embedded AI solutions. The Company envisions world’s more than 1,000 devices, such as autonomous vehicles, to be equipped with "brains“. Horizon Robotics is a Vertex Portfolio Company (www.horizon-robotics.com) OPEN AI LAB officially established by the ARM Ecosystem Accelerator, Allwinner Technology and Horizon Robotics in Beijing in December 2016. OPEN AI LAB aims at exploring a new model for cooperation to advance the embedded systems applied in AI in both software and hardware as well as the coordinated development of industrialization of application implementations. • The next wave of compute workloads, including 5G, AI, autonomous vehicles, cloud computing and federated learning, is expected to be a disruptive force in driving tectonic shifts in compute architectures. • We see a wide range of computing architectures, including a shift from homogenous to heterogeneous computing, and from centralized to edge computing. • In China, edge computing is gaining more traction. The Edge Computing Consortium was officially established in November 2016 jointly by Huawei Technologies, Shenyang Institute of Automation of Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Academy of Information and Communications Technology, Intel Corporation, ARM and iSoftStone. • Government, SOEs and state controlled industries are the biggest tech consumers in China. • Most technological advancements are funded by the government. With the government’s participation, developments in edge computing are expected to gain increasing momentum in China. Infrastructure Layer: Rise of mobile edge computing is expected to drive demand for AI embedded chips Source: Vertex Ventures China | Barron’s | Company Information | AllChinaTech | Google is Testing a New Way of Training its AI algorithms Directly on your Phone by the Verge The Rise of Mobile Edge Computing AI Embedded Chips Autonomous Driving Drones Personal Assistant Smart Home
  • 16. The Vertex View With strong incentives from the Chinese government, we may well be peering at the golden age for investing in China’s AI industry. Looking ahead, it will be important to understand the drivers underpinning China’s evolution as a global AI hub and the longer term investment considerations. As AI becomes commoditized with value migration to deep learning, AI augmented with vertical domain expertise will be an increasingly critical “moat”. In the final analysis, barriers to entry truly define a firm’s differentiation - its distinct opportunity to create, protect and sustain value. This is a core consideration in our AI investments at Vertex and our portfolio companies include Xuebajun in education, Horizon Robotics in autonomous cars and smart homes, Maxent in fraud detection, Dynamic Yield in customer personalization and optimization, Taranis in precision agriculture and Geek+ in logistics. Over the next decade, we believe some of these opportunities may well turn out to be Systems of Intelligence companies. So do reach out to us if you’ve got a plan to create, protect and sustain value behind some highly defensible barriers. Source: Systems of Intelligence: Is This the VC Meta-Thesis We’ve Been Looking For? By Gil Dibner on Medium
  • 17. Thanks for reading! Disclaimer This presentation has been compiled for informational purposes only. It does not constitute a recommendation to any party. The presentation relies on data and insights from a wide range of sources including public and private companies, market research firms, government agencies and industry professionals. We cite specific sources where information is public. The presentation is also informed by non-public information and insights. Information provided by third parties may not have been independently verified. Vertex Holdings believes such information to be reliable and adequately comprehensive but does not represent that such information is in all respects accurate or complete. Vertex Holdings shall not be held liable for any information provided. Any information or opinions provided in this report are as of the date of the report and Vertex Holdings is under no obligation to update the information or communicate that any updates have been made. About Vertex Holdings Vertex Holdings, a member of Temasek Holdings, focuses on venture capital investment opportunities in the information technology and healthcare markets, primarily through our global family of direct investment venture funds. Headquartered in Singapore, we collaborate with a network of global investors who specialize in local markets. The Vertex Global Network encompasses Silicon Valley, China, Israel, India, Taiwan and Southeast Asia. About the Authors Xia Zhi Jin Partner Vertex Ventures China xiazj@vertexventures.com Zhao Yu Jie Investment Associate Vertex Ventures China zhaoyj@vertexventures.com Brian Toh Director, Partnership Group Vertex Holdings btoh@vertexholdings.com Tracy Jin Senior Research Analyst Vertex Holdings tjin@vertexholdings.com