Monthly hotel forecasts for key UK and German markets. New reports launched as result of predictive intelligence collaboration between e-forecasting.com and HotStats. Hotel market forecasts highlights for April for following markets: Berlin, Birmingham, Bristol, Cardiff, Frankfurt, Glasgow, Liverpool, London, Manchester, Munich, Newcastle, Provincial UK and Total UK. This month's new addtional focus feature is the 'myhotel' customization which provides property level forecasts.

1. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next
UK & German Monthly Hotel
Market Forecast
June Highlights
Presented by
E-forecasting.com

2. Client-tailored solutions for what’s next
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Monthly Hotel Forecasts
 Launched in June 2013,
e−forecasting.com released market
Monthly Hotel Forecasts of key UK
and German markets using HotStats
historical data
 More markets in Europe and MENA to
follow in the coming months

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Current Forecast Markets
 Berlin
 Birmingham
 Bristol
 Cardiff
 Frankfurt
 Glasgow
 Liverpool
 London
 Manchester
 Munich
 Newcastle
 Provincial UK
 Total UK

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Monthly Hotel Forecast
Reports
 Historic hotel market data from powerful HotStats database
 24 month forecast, 8 quarters out, 2 years out
 Key metrics: occupancy, ADR, RevPAR
 Proprietary hotel metrics:
– HIP - hotel industry pulse
– HIL - hotel industry leading indicator
– FTLI – foreign travel leading indicator
– Monthly GDP
 Additional econometric insights:
– Labor market conditions
– Inflation
– Exchange and interest rates
– Energy prices
– Special events

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Monthly Hotel Forecast
Reports – UPDATED FEATURE
 ‘myhotel’ add-on customization
provides property level forecasts
 Properties individual data is analyzed
within market forecasts and each
month clients receive these forecasts
in addition to market level details

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UK Hotel Market Forecast
June Report Highlights
 UK countrywide 2 year forecast:
– Increase 2% in 2014 and 2.2% in 2015
– Long term economic growth = 2.2%
 Monetary policy: no policy changes in
previous month, all other key rates on
hold
 Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering
 Financial futures: US dollar and British
Pound mixed

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UK Hotel Market Forecast
June Data Highlights
 UK HIP – up 2.5%
 UK HIL – up 0.1%
 Probability of upcoming recession: 33.1%
 UK Monthly GDP – up 0.2%
 UK FTLI up 0.1%
 Consumer prices up 2.9%
 Unemployment rate at 7.8%
 Consumer confidence up
 Business executives less optimistic
 Builders showing lower expectations

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UK Hotel Forecast Highlights
Market 2014 RevPAR
Forecast
2015 RevPAR
Forecast
Birmingham (0.2%) 1.9%
Bristol 0.2% 1.5%
Cardiff 1.3% 2%
Glasgow (1.8%) (4.2%)
Liverpool 4.4% 0.2%
London 0.2% (5.1%)
Manchester (1.9%) (1.6%)
Newcastle 6.9% 2.5%
Provincial UK (0.2%) (1.2%)
Total UK (2.3%) (1.7%)

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German Hotel Market Forecast
June Report Highlights
 German countrywide 2 year forecast:
– Increase 1.7% in 2014 and 1.9% in 2015
– Long term economic growth = 1.7%
 Monetary policy: no policy changes in
previous month, all other key rates on
hold
 Oil prices: WTI & Brent prices lowering
 Financial futures: US dollar and Euro
mixed

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German Hotel Market Forecast
June Data Highlights
 German HIP – up 0.5%
 German HIL – up 0.1%
 Probability of upcoming recession: 22.5%
 German Monthly GDP – up 0.4%
 German FTLI up 0.2%
 Consumer prices up 2%
 Unemployment rate at 5.3%
 Consumer confidence up
 Business executives less optimistic
 Builders showing lower expectations

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German Hotel Forecast
June Report Highlights
Market 2014 RevPAR
Forecast
2015 RevPAR
Forecast
Berlin (8.3%) 0.3%
Frankfurt (4%) (1.1%)
Munich (14.5%) 1.5%

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For More Information
 Monthly hotel forecast highlights
were taken from the June issue of
Monthly Hotel Forecasts, please visit:
– http://www.e-forecasting.com or email
info@e-forecasting.com for subscription
rates and queries on additional markets