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The Economic
Value of Tourism
in Ontario’s Southwest
March 20, 2014
Aileen Murray
• Economic development consultant
• 25+ years helping businesses and communities grow
• Clients include municipalities, counties, BIAs,
workforce development councils, economic
development agencies and the private sector
• Specializing in strategic planning, marketing and
communication
What’s the ROI?
Source: http://www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/research/quick_facts/facts.shtml
Goals for today’s
presentation
• Review economic development
terminology and concepts
• Prepare credible statements on the
contribution tourism makes to the
community
• Apply economic development goals to
tourism programming.
http://www.psdgraphics.com/backgrounds/bulls-eye-target/
Economic Development
“Improving the economic well being
of a community through efforts that
entail job creation, job retention, tax
base enhancements and quality of
life.”
The International Economic Development Council
Why Measure Economic Impact?
• Accountability
• Sponsorship
• Funding Programs
• Government support
• Community support
• Compare event performance
o To previous events
o To similar events in other regions
o To other events in the community
The Economic Impact
Statement
Tourism brought ______
visitors to the community.
These tourists generated
$_______ in economic
impact, ______ jobs for the
community and added
$______ to the local coffers.
Photo: http://allareoneplus.blogspot.ca/2012/03/quote-58-pride-megaphone.html
The Leaky Bucket
Photoshttp://www.flickr.com/photos/kelehen/6219220797/sizes/z/in/photostream/
Photoshttp://www.flickr.com/photos/kelehen/6219220797/sizes/z/in/photostream/
Local Economy
The Leaky Bucket
Local Economy
Exports of Goods
and Services
Tourism
Foreign
Investment
Goods and
services
purchased
outside region
Payments for
Imports
Photoshttp://www.flickr.com/photos/kelehen/6219220797/sizes/z/in/photostream/
Local Economy
Maximize Inputs
Minimize Outputs
(Leakage)
Economic Development Goals
The History of
Economic Development
Industrial
Development
Investment
Readiness
Business Retention
& Expansion
Economic
Gardening
Creative
Economy
Knowledge
Workers
Free Agent
Economy
Net Change in Cdn. Employment
2007 - 2012
-245,400
805,800
-400,000
-200,000
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
Manufacturing Service Sector
13
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, table 282-0008 and Catalogue no. 71F0004XCB.
Supply & Demand
Tourism System
POPULATION
Interest in Travel
Ability to Travel
TRANSPORTATION
ATTRACTIONS
INFORMATION &
PROMOTION
SERVICES
• Hotels/Motels
• Restaurant
• Retailing
Demand
Supply
Economic Development
Definitions
• Basic Industry – industries that
produce goods and services
sold to consumers outside the
region
• Non-basic industry – industries
that produce goods and
services consumed locally
Photo: http://www.sfl2000.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Export-box.jpg
Tourism Economic Impact
Change in sales, income and jobs because tourists
came to the community and spent money there.
Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact assessment of Ungated or Open Access Events and Festivals
The Multiplier
The ripple effect from the contribution of new
money to the community.
Photo: http://beta.images.theglobeandmail.com/b19/migration_catalog/article3966214
The Multiplier Effect
Photos: http://maytermthailand.files.wordpress.com/, http://www.crucell.com http://fourteenip.com
Direct Indirect Induced
Sales of goods &
services to tourists
ie. restaurants &
accommodation
Increased demand by
tourism businesses
ie. Food suppliers
Respending labour income
Ie. Shelter, food, clothing
The Multiplier
• Most impact at the centre
• Larger communities have larger multipliers
• Smaller communities have smaller multipliers
• Manufacturing multipliers are typically larger than
service industry multipliers
• Manufacturing multipliers ~ 2 to 3 net jobs for
every 1 new job
• Service industries <1.2 jobs for every 1 new job
created
Tourism
Economic Impact Model
Sector
Transportation
Entertainment
Recreation
Retail
Food & Beverage
Accommodation
Impact
Direct
Indirect
Induced
Effect
Production
Jobs
Wages
Taxes
Tourist
Spending
What is a tourist?
Photo: http://blog.vegas.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/tacky.jpg
Same Day Domestic Tourist
• Out of town trip that takes the traveller at
least 40 km. (25 mi.) one way from home
• Not for commuting or a routine trip
Source: Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Assessment of On-Site Spending at Gated Events and Festivals p. 90
Overnight Domestic Tourist
• Out of town trip of at
least one night away
from home
• Not for commuting or
a routine trip
Source: Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Assessment of On-Site Spending at Gated Events and Festivals p.
90
Photo: http://www.journeyetc.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/bellboy.jpg
Special Event Tourists
Ministry of Tourism does not
include:
o Locals
o Time switchers
o Casuals
Source: Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact Assessments of Gated Events and Festivals p. 19
Tourist Spending
≠
Tourism
Economic Impact
• Remember the leaky bucket
• Not all purchases are made locally
• Not all businesses source locally
15.8 Million VisitsRTO 1 in 2011
4.3million overnight11.4million same day
Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism, Culture and Recreation with data from Statistics Canada
Tourism’s Contribution to
Ontario’s Southwest
$1.46 Billion
Source: Statistics Canada Travel Survey of Residents 2011
Cdn Total Tourism
Receipts 2011
Average Visitor
Spending
$92per person
Source: Ministry of Tourism & Culture Regional Tourism Profile RTO 1, Statistics Canada Travel Survey of Residents & International Travel Survey 2011
Average Visitor
Spending
$160
per overnight visitor
$ 67
per same day visitor
Source: Ministry of Tourism & Culture Regional Tourism Profile RTO 1, Statistics Canada Travel Survey of Residents & International Travel Survey 2011
TREIM
Tourism Region Economic Impact Model
• Direct, Indirect &
Induced impacts
• Gross Domestic
Product
• Labour Income
• Employment
• Tax Impacts
What does it measure?
Economic Impact of:
• Visitor Spending
• Operational Expenses
• Investment Expenditures
• Convention Centre
Activity
Sample Scenario
• Visitor Spending
• 100 Day trip visitors
Economic Impact
For 100 Same Day Visitors
Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism and Culture Tourism Region Economic Impact Model
Haldimand-Norfolk
Oxford
Middlesex
Elgin
Chatham-Kent
Lambton
Essex
Labour Income GDP
Economic Impact
For 100 Same Day Visitors RTO 1
Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism and Culture Tourism Region Economic Impact Model
$3,400 GDP
$2,100 Labour Income
Hotel Investment Scenario
$10 Million Investment in RTO 1
Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism and Culture Tourism Region Economic Impact Model
2,631,577
1,678,037
460,555
325,468
696,520
434,437
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
GDP Labour Income
Induced
Indirect
Direct
3,788,653 2,437,942
Jobs in the Tourism Sector
• The largest share of jobs in the tourism sector is in
food and beverage services at 46%
Source : http://discovertourism.ca/en/about_tourism/industry_information
EMSI Analyst
Web-based labour market
analysis tool
• Canadian Business Patterns
• Census data
• Employment, payroll & hours
• Labour Force Surveys
• Demographics
• Occupation Projections
Census divisions, census subdivisions, census metropolitan areas
Arrange for access from the Ontario Ministry of Agriculture and Food
Traveller Accommodation
RTO 1  NAICS 7211
• $18,835
Average earnings per job
• LQ .79
Provincial Location Quotient
2,110
2,319
2009 2013
Employment
Source: EMSI Analyst Employees 2013.3
RV Parks & Recreational Camps
RTO 1  NAICS 7212
• $33,755
Average earnings per job
• LQ 1.81
Provincial Location Quotient
469
533
2009 2013
Employment
Source: EMSI Analyst Employees 2013.3
Tourism Related
Businesses
14,000 tourism related businesses in Ontario’s Southwest
Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Patterns, December 2011
- 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
Retail
Other Services
Food & Beverage Services
Recreation & Entertainment
Transportation
Accommodation
Travel Services
Other Measurement Tools
• Festival and Events Ontario
Economic Impact Study Grants
• Sport Tourism Economic
Assessment Model
• Motor Coach Estimates
• DIY
D.I.Y.
Case Study:
Elvis Festival Collingwood
Photo: http://0.tqn.com/d/gocanada/1/0/k/F/-/-/Elvis_impersonators.jpg
Common Goals
• More Tourists
• Higher spend per tourist
• Greater local share
Higher Spend per Tourist
• Greater length of stay
• Serve and target high
spending tourists
• Tourists need help to spend
money
• Increased availability of
goods & services
Greater Local Share
• Create links between food
and accommodation sector
and retailers
• SME support
o Entrepreneurship training
o Customer service
o Tourism education
Boost Local Inputs
in the Supply Chain
• Networking events hoteliers, attractions,
retailers, restaurants & producers
• Regular communication
• Encourage established businesses to mentor
start ups
It’s Your Move
Source: http://www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/research/quick_facts/facts.shtml
Further
information
• Ontario Tourism Research Resources including TREIM
http://www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/tourism/research.shtml
• Ontario Ministry of Agricuture and Food Analyst Tool
http://www.omaf.gov.on.ca/english/rural/edr/edar/index.html
• Ontario Major Festivals and Events Attraction Research Study, PKF Consulting 2009
• Measuring the Economic Impact of Park and Recreation Services, National Recreation and Park
Association
• Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact assessment of Ungated or Open
Access Events and Festivals
• Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact Assessment of Gated Events and
Festivals
• Sport Tourism Planning Template
www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/publications/sport_tourism_planning_template.pdf
Photo: http://mikeduran.com/2011/02/should-everyone-get-you/
Thank you
Aileen Murray Ec.D. (F)
Mellor Murray Consulting
amurray@mellormurray.ca
519-784-7944
mellormurray

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Communicating the Economic Value of Tourism

  • 1. The Economic Value of Tourism in Ontario’s Southwest March 20, 2014
  • 2. Aileen Murray • Economic development consultant • 25+ years helping businesses and communities grow • Clients include municipalities, counties, BIAs, workforce development councils, economic development agencies and the private sector • Specializing in strategic planning, marketing and communication
  • 3. What’s the ROI? Source: http://www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/research/quick_facts/facts.shtml
  • 4. Goals for today’s presentation • Review economic development terminology and concepts • Prepare credible statements on the contribution tourism makes to the community • Apply economic development goals to tourism programming. http://www.psdgraphics.com/backgrounds/bulls-eye-target/
  • 5. Economic Development “Improving the economic well being of a community through efforts that entail job creation, job retention, tax base enhancements and quality of life.” The International Economic Development Council
  • 6. Why Measure Economic Impact? • Accountability • Sponsorship • Funding Programs • Government support • Community support • Compare event performance o To previous events o To similar events in other regions o To other events in the community
  • 7. The Economic Impact Statement Tourism brought ______ visitors to the community. These tourists generated $_______ in economic impact, ______ jobs for the community and added $______ to the local coffers. Photo: http://allareoneplus.blogspot.ca/2012/03/quote-58-pride-megaphone.html
  • 10. Local Economy Exports of Goods and Services Tourism Foreign Investment Goods and services purchased outside region Payments for Imports
  • 12. The History of Economic Development Industrial Development Investment Readiness Business Retention & Expansion Economic Gardening Creative Economy Knowledge Workers Free Agent Economy
  • 13. Net Change in Cdn. Employment 2007 - 2012 -245,400 805,800 -400,000 -200,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 Manufacturing Service Sector 13 Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM, table 282-0008 and Catalogue no. 71F0004XCB.
  • 14. Supply & Demand Tourism System POPULATION Interest in Travel Ability to Travel TRANSPORTATION ATTRACTIONS INFORMATION & PROMOTION SERVICES • Hotels/Motels • Restaurant • Retailing Demand Supply
  • 15. Economic Development Definitions • Basic Industry – industries that produce goods and services sold to consumers outside the region • Non-basic industry – industries that produce goods and services consumed locally Photo: http://www.sfl2000.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/Export-box.jpg
  • 16. Tourism Economic Impact Change in sales, income and jobs because tourists came to the community and spent money there. Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact assessment of Ungated or Open Access Events and Festivals
  • 17. The Multiplier The ripple effect from the contribution of new money to the community. Photo: http://beta.images.theglobeandmail.com/b19/migration_catalog/article3966214
  • 18. The Multiplier Effect Photos: http://maytermthailand.files.wordpress.com/, http://www.crucell.com http://fourteenip.com Direct Indirect Induced Sales of goods & services to tourists ie. restaurants & accommodation Increased demand by tourism businesses ie. Food suppliers Respending labour income Ie. Shelter, food, clothing
  • 19. The Multiplier • Most impact at the centre • Larger communities have larger multipliers • Smaller communities have smaller multipliers • Manufacturing multipliers are typically larger than service industry multipliers • Manufacturing multipliers ~ 2 to 3 net jobs for every 1 new job • Service industries <1.2 jobs for every 1 new job created
  • 20. Tourism Economic Impact Model Sector Transportation Entertainment Recreation Retail Food & Beverage Accommodation Impact Direct Indirect Induced Effect Production Jobs Wages Taxes Tourist Spending
  • 21. What is a tourist? Photo: http://blog.vegas.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/tacky.jpg
  • 22. Same Day Domestic Tourist • Out of town trip that takes the traveller at least 40 km. (25 mi.) one way from home • Not for commuting or a routine trip Source: Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Assessment of On-Site Spending at Gated Events and Festivals p. 90
  • 23. Overnight Domestic Tourist • Out of town trip of at least one night away from home • Not for commuting or a routine trip Source: Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Assessment of On-Site Spending at Gated Events and Festivals p. 90 Photo: http://www.journeyetc.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/bellboy.jpg
  • 24. Special Event Tourists Ministry of Tourism does not include: o Locals o Time switchers o Casuals Source: Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact Assessments of Gated Events and Festivals p. 19
  • 25. Tourist Spending ≠ Tourism Economic Impact • Remember the leaky bucket • Not all purchases are made locally • Not all businesses source locally
  • 26. 15.8 Million VisitsRTO 1 in 2011 4.3million overnight11.4million same day Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism, Culture and Recreation with data from Statistics Canada
  • 27. Tourism’s Contribution to Ontario’s Southwest $1.46 Billion Source: Statistics Canada Travel Survey of Residents 2011 Cdn Total Tourism Receipts 2011
  • 28. Average Visitor Spending $92per person Source: Ministry of Tourism & Culture Regional Tourism Profile RTO 1, Statistics Canada Travel Survey of Residents & International Travel Survey 2011
  • 29. Average Visitor Spending $160 per overnight visitor $ 67 per same day visitor Source: Ministry of Tourism & Culture Regional Tourism Profile RTO 1, Statistics Canada Travel Survey of Residents & International Travel Survey 2011
  • 30. TREIM Tourism Region Economic Impact Model • Direct, Indirect & Induced impacts • Gross Domestic Product • Labour Income • Employment • Tax Impacts
  • 31. What does it measure? Economic Impact of: • Visitor Spending • Operational Expenses • Investment Expenditures • Convention Centre Activity
  • 32. Sample Scenario • Visitor Spending • 100 Day trip visitors
  • 33. Economic Impact For 100 Same Day Visitors Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism and Culture Tourism Region Economic Impact Model Haldimand-Norfolk Oxford Middlesex Elgin Chatham-Kent Lambton Essex Labour Income GDP
  • 34. Economic Impact For 100 Same Day Visitors RTO 1 Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism and Culture Tourism Region Economic Impact Model $3,400 GDP $2,100 Labour Income
  • 35. Hotel Investment Scenario $10 Million Investment in RTO 1 Source: Ontario Ministry of Tourism and Culture Tourism Region Economic Impact Model 2,631,577 1,678,037 460,555 325,468 696,520 434,437 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 GDP Labour Income Induced Indirect Direct 3,788,653 2,437,942
  • 36. Jobs in the Tourism Sector • The largest share of jobs in the tourism sector is in food and beverage services at 46% Source : http://discovertourism.ca/en/about_tourism/industry_information
  • 37. EMSI Analyst Web-based labour market analysis tool • Canadian Business Patterns • Census data • Employment, payroll & hours • Labour Force Surveys • Demographics • Occupation Projections Census divisions, census subdivisions, census metropolitan areas Arrange for access from the Ontario Ministry of Agriculture and Food
  • 38. Traveller Accommodation RTO 1  NAICS 7211 • $18,835 Average earnings per job • LQ .79 Provincial Location Quotient 2,110 2,319 2009 2013 Employment Source: EMSI Analyst Employees 2013.3
  • 39. RV Parks & Recreational Camps RTO 1  NAICS 7212 • $33,755 Average earnings per job • LQ 1.81 Provincial Location Quotient 469 533 2009 2013 Employment Source: EMSI Analyst Employees 2013.3
  • 40. Tourism Related Businesses 14,000 tourism related businesses in Ontario’s Southwest Source: Statistics Canada, Canadian Business Patterns, December 2011 - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Retail Other Services Food & Beverage Services Recreation & Entertainment Transportation Accommodation Travel Services
  • 41. Other Measurement Tools • Festival and Events Ontario Economic Impact Study Grants • Sport Tourism Economic Assessment Model • Motor Coach Estimates • DIY
  • 42. D.I.Y. Case Study: Elvis Festival Collingwood Photo: http://0.tqn.com/d/gocanada/1/0/k/F/-/-/Elvis_impersonators.jpg
  • 43. Common Goals • More Tourists • Higher spend per tourist • Greater local share
  • 44. Higher Spend per Tourist • Greater length of stay • Serve and target high spending tourists • Tourists need help to spend money • Increased availability of goods & services
  • 45. Greater Local Share • Create links between food and accommodation sector and retailers • SME support o Entrepreneurship training o Customer service o Tourism education
  • 46. Boost Local Inputs in the Supply Chain • Networking events hoteliers, attractions, retailers, restaurants & producers • Regular communication • Encourage established businesses to mentor start ups
  • 47. It’s Your Move Source: http://www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/research/quick_facts/facts.shtml
  • 48. Further information • Ontario Tourism Research Resources including TREIM http://www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/tourism/research.shtml • Ontario Ministry of Agricuture and Food Analyst Tool http://www.omaf.gov.on.ca/english/rural/edr/edar/index.html • Ontario Major Festivals and Events Attraction Research Study, PKF Consulting 2009 • Measuring the Economic Impact of Park and Recreation Services, National Recreation and Park Association • Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact assessment of Ungated or Open Access Events and Festivals • Guidelines: Survey Procedures for Tourism Economic Impact Assessment of Gated Events and Festivals • Sport Tourism Planning Template www.mtc.gov.on.ca/en/publications/sport_tourism_planning_template.pdf Photo: http://mikeduran.com/2011/02/should-everyone-get-you/
  • 49. Thank you Aileen Murray Ec.D. (F) Mellor Murray Consulting amurray@mellormurray.ca 519-784-7944 mellormurray