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The Changing Face of Higher Education:
How Online, Blended and Open Learning is Changing the Game
Professor Mark Brown
Director, National Centre for Teaching and Learning
Director, Distance Education and Learning Futures Alliance
Brief introductions…
1. Name
2. Position
3. Interest
About National Centre…
About DELFA…
http://delfa.massey.ac.nz
• Innovation hub
• Global think tank
• Networked community
• Interdisciplinary development
• International Advisory Board
• Engine for new learning futures
About Massey…
About Massey…
ManawatuAlbany Wellington
Distance
About Massey…
Now we can go to them…
Previously international students had to
come to us
About Massey…
• Working professionals –
postgraduate specialisations
• First year of study -
undergraduate
• Cohorts of students in
partnership with other institutions
• Specific cultural groups
• Short courses
International…
About Massey…
Off-shore Programmes
• World Bank – MVM/MPH (Biosecurity)
- South Asia
- Russia
• Singapore Food Technology | Early Childhood
• Vietnam English Language (DEEP) / Business Studies
• Brunei Defence Studies
• Asia e-University
• Open Universities Australia
• University of New Delhi
About Massey…
Over 4000 online environments
About Massey…
About Massey…
Expanding access to tertiary education has always been central
to Massey‟s mission.
About Massey…
Expanding access to tertiary education has always been central
to Massey‟s mission.
More than any modern university we are committed to promoting
development and life-long learning.
About Massey…
Expanding access to tertiary education has always been central
to Massey‟s mission.
More than any modern university we are committed to promoting
development and life-long learning.
Massey understands the transformative potential of
distance education for inspiring people to better themselves,for
building capacityfor change withincommunities and for
promoting wider societal benefits.
About Massey…
Questions…
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom.”
Francis Bacon
The Changing Face of Higher Education:
How Online, Blended and Open Learning is Changing the Game
Professor Mark Brown
Director, National Centre for Teaching and Learning
Director, Distance Education and Learning Futures Alliance
The big issues…
• What are the big issues facing higher
education providers?
- Locally
- Nationally
- Globally
1. The changing game
2. Scenarios for the future
3. From scenario to implementation
Outline…
Universities under fire…
“We use to talk more
before someone
invented fire”
1. The changing game
1. The changing game
http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/pub7203i.pdf
When was the Gloucester Rugby Club formed?
When was the Gloucester Rugby Club formed?
1873
When was the Gloucester Rugby Club formed?
To whom were these questions
addressed B.G.?
To whom were these questions
addressed B.G.?
… before Google
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3SuNx0UrnEo&feature=youtu.be
A completely new type of globally
connected learneris expecting a new type
of education for new times.
What does all this mean?
But wait
there‟s more…
1. The changing game
But wait
there‟s more…
1. The changing game
Emergence of new business models
No = 51 THE (2011)
But wait
there‟s more…
Rapid growth of open learning
1. The changing game
The economics of abundance
http://theconversation.edu.au/
http://theconversation.edu.au/
FOMO
The traditional universityis being chiseled
away by powerful global forces and new
business models as a multitude
ofalternativeproviders emerge.
What does all this mean?
Thoughts…
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom.”
Francis Bacon
2. Scenarios for
the future…
2. Scenarios for
the future…
What is the preferred future scenario
for Gloucestershire University?
http://www.jiscinfonet.ac.uk
http://akoaotearoa.ac.nz/
STEP ONE:
Identify the major trends and driving forces
• Political
• Economic
• Social
• Technology
• Legal
• Environmental
STEP ONE:
Identify the major trends and driving forces
STEP TWO:
Identify the high impact (critical) uncertainties
STEP TWO:
Identify the high impact (critical) uncertainties
Growth of newglobal online providers
Emergence of strategic alliances between universities
Increased supply reduces the cost of qualifications
Reduction of government funding to universities
Increased demand for part-time study options
Increased demand for customised study options
Increased demand from staff for flexible work conditions
Emergence of new technological innovations
STEP THREE:
Create the axes of uncertainty
STEP THREE:
Create the axes of uncertainty
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedOfferings
CustomisedOfferings
STEP FOUR:
Develop the scenario characteristics for each
quadrant
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedOfferings
CustomisedOfferings
Scenario 3 Scenario 4
Scenario 1 Scenario 2
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedOfferings
CustomisedOfferings
Gloucestershire
Online
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedOfferings
CustomisedOfferings
Gloucestershire
Online
Gloucestershire
Life
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedOfferings
CustomisedOfferings
Gloucestershire
Open
Gloucestershire
Online
Gloucestershire
Life
Disruptive Business Models
Conventional Business Models
StandardisedOfferings
CustomisedOfferings
Gloucestershire
Open
Gloucestershire
Global
Gloucestershire
Online
Gloucestershire
Life
What key assumptions about the future anchor
your preferred scenario?
• Demand for higher education will continue to grow
• University qualifications will continue to have global currency
• The university from which students graduate will continue to
matter
• Students (and other types of learners) will continue to select
universities based on their reputation and international
ranking
• Increasing numbers of learners and organisations are looking
for flexible models of study involving a mix of formal
programmes and continuing professional development
What key assumptions about the future anchor
your preferred scenario?
Be wary of predictions…
“Thirty years from now the big university
campuses will be relics. Universities won‟t
survive. It‟s as large a change as when we
first got the printed book.”
(Peter Drucker, Forbes, 1997)
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom.”
Francis Bacon
Thoughts…
3. From scenario to
implementation…
3. From scenario to
implementation…
• Discuss the options
• Identify your preferred scenario
• Articulate your vision for the future
• Establish and market a clear brand
• Clearly scope the requirements
Understand the choices…
Standalone Partnership
Niche Offerings Mass Offerings
Undergraduate Postgraduate
Centralised Leadership Decentralised Leadership
Centralised Production Decentralised Production
Blended Fully Online
Synchronous Asynchronous
Supported Technology Unsupported Technology
Quality Assurance Quality Enhancement
Formal Learning Spaces Informal Learning Spaces
Off Campus in Class
On Campus out of Class Off Campus out of Class
Where do you want learning take place?
On Campus in Class
Places
Tools
Learner-Content
Interaction
Learner-learner
Interaction
Spaces
Teacher-Learner
Interaction
Interactivity
Framework
How will you design for interaction?
…the„pump, pump,dump‟ model of online
learning?
How will you avoid…
Conceptualise
What do we want to design, who for and why?
Consolidate
Evaluate and embed your design
The
7Cs Design
Framework
I
N
T
E
R
V
E
N
T
I
O
N
S
Study Life Cycle
How will you support students?
Avoid the goulash approach!
Thoughts…
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom.”
Francis Bacon
Conclusion
A conclusion is the place
where you got tired of thinking
Conclusion
Conclusion
Where to next…
A = Access
C = Cost
T = Teaching and Learning
I = Interactivity
O =Organisational Issues
N = Novelty
S = Speed
“The greatest challenge to any thinker is
stating the problem in a way that will
allow a solution.”
Bertrand Russell
Conclusion
http://opac.acer.edu.au:8080/drde/
Thoughts…
“A prudent question is one-half of wisdom.”
Francis Bacon

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Changing Face of Higher Education: How Online, Blended and Open Learning is Changing the Game

Editor's Notes

  1. • Access to the first year• Access to mid career professionals• Access to second chance learners• Access for cultural reasons
  2. • Access to the first year• Access to mid career professionals• Access to second chance learners• Access for cultural reasons
  3. • Access to the first year• Access to mid career professionals• Access to second chance learners• Access for cultural reasons