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Traffic Analysis and
   Improvements for the
‘Legends’ Development Area
     by   Yifeng Chen, Ph.D. Cand.

          Zheng Luo, Ph.D. Cand.


  ITS Heartland’s 2012 Annual Meeting
          March 26 -28 2012
Study Area
       Study Area                  I-435



‘Legends’
Development
                                  Parallel Pkwy
Area
                                                  State Ave

                                                              Kansas
                                                               City
              I-70




                     K-7
Selection of Study Segments
       Study Area                          I-435



‘Legends’
Development                        A
                                             Parallel
Area                                          Pkwy
                                       C                          State Ave



                               D       E
              I-70


                     B

                         K-7




                                                   Direction of Traffic on
                                                   a Roadway Segment
Study Objective
Evaluation of current traffic situation with
 respect to traffic speeds and travel times in
 2009 and 2011, to see if there are any
 changes
Evaluation of impact of NASCAR race event
 traffic on the study area
Data Processing

 INRIX Archive speed data in                      Speed distributions
    5 min aggregation (24h):                        2009 vs. 2011
  from May01 – July02, 2009                      (mean, median, max,
  from May 01 – July 02, 2011   Five segments         min etc.)

INRIX Archive speed data in 5
   min aggregation (24h):
 Sun, June 05, 2011 NASCAR                       Hourly travel time:
           race day                              race day vs. normal
Sun, June 12,2011 normal day                             day

                                      Four segments
  Average travel time in 1h
      aggregation (24h)                           Hourly travel time
 Sun, June 05, 2011 NASCAR       Four segments
                                                      reliability:
           race day                              race day vs. normal
Sun, June 12,2011 normal day                              day
Sun, June 05, 2011 NASCAR race day!
Segment Speed Distributions (5 mins)
Segment Speed Distributions (5 mins)

Speed Limit
Segment A,B




Speed Limit
Segment D



Speed Limit
Segment C,E




               T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.01
                2009<2011        2009>2011        2009<2011        2009>2011        2009<2011


              Null Hypothesis: mean speed in 2009=mean speed in 2011
Segment Speed Distributions (5 mins)

Speed Limit
Segment A,B



Speed Limit
Segment D




Speed Limit
Segment C,E




               T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.02   T test: p<0.01   T test: p<0.01
                2009<2011        2009>2011        2009<2011        2009>2011        2009<2011


              Null Hypothesis: mean speed in 2009=mean speed in 2011
Segment Travel Time

  NAS                 NAS
  CAR                 CAR
  race                race
  1pm                 1pm
    -                   -
  4pm                 4pm




                      NAS
  NAS
                      CAR
  CAR
                      race
  race
                      1pm
                             Gap
  1pm
                        -
    -
                      4pm
  4pm
Travel Time Reliability
 Different definitions from different viewpoints
 Simple Definition: How do travel times vary for a
  certain time interval
 90th or 95th percentile travel times, buffer index and
  planning time index
 Buffer Index= (95 % TT- meanTT)/mean TT
• Route Specific: A measure of how much more time in
  percentage a traveler should prepare in advance to
  ensure on-time arrival, with respect to the mean travel
  time
• Segment specific: The amount of extra time a driver
  should plan for traversing the segment
Segment Buffer Index Values

                              NAS
      NAS
                              CAR
      CAR
                              race
      race
                              1pm
      1pm
                                -
        -
                              4pm
      4pm




              Valley   Peak




       NAS                    NAS
       CAR                    CAR
                              race   Gap
       race
       1pm                    1pm
         -                      -
       4pm                    4pm
Conclusions
 Statistically significant difference in speed distributions
  on 5 studied segments between 2009 and 2011
 Operation speeds close to speed limits
 Sufficient capacity for current traffic demand on both
  race days and normal days based on limited study of 5
  segments
 Event traffic has increased on both mean and buffer
  travel times for the Outbound State Ave.
 Travel time reliability (e.g. Buffer index) is a more
  informative parameter for the impact of event traffic
  than mean travel time
Recommendations
 Future research: more comprehensive study
• Average buffer index values on different segments/routes
  for the same time interval
• Buffer index on the same segments/routes in 2009 and
  2011
• Use other parameters: 95% travel time, planning time index
 Advance Traveler Information System for ‘Legends’
  Development Area
 For Travelers: Mean Travel time, Range of Travel time,
  Reliable Routes for peak hours or race days
Thank you!

   Questions?


Slide design © 2009, The Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska,
       and Mid-America Transportation Center. All rights reserved.
Segment Travel Time Reliability
                     Peak
        NAS                 NAS
        CAR                 CAR
        race                race
        1pm                 1pm
          -                   -
        4pm                 4pm




                                   Valley



        NAS                 NAS    Gap
        CAR                 CAR
        race                race
        1pm                 1pm
          -                   -
        4pm                 4pm
Segment Travel Time


  NAS                 NAS
  CAR                 CAR
  race                race
  1pm                 1pm
    -                   -
  4pm                 4pm




  NAS                  NAS
  CAR                  CAR
  race                 race
  1pm                  1pm
    -                    -
  4pm                  4pm

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Student Presentation - UNL

  • 1. Traffic Analysis and Improvements for the ‘Legends’ Development Area by Yifeng Chen, Ph.D. Cand. Zheng Luo, Ph.D. Cand. ITS Heartland’s 2012 Annual Meeting March 26 -28 2012
  • 2. Study Area Study Area I-435 ‘Legends’ Development Parallel Pkwy Area State Ave Kansas City I-70 K-7
  • 3. Selection of Study Segments Study Area I-435 ‘Legends’ Development A Parallel Area Pkwy C State Ave D E I-70 B K-7 Direction of Traffic on a Roadway Segment
  • 4. Study Objective Evaluation of current traffic situation with respect to traffic speeds and travel times in 2009 and 2011, to see if there are any changes Evaluation of impact of NASCAR race event traffic on the study area
  • 5. Data Processing INRIX Archive speed data in Speed distributions 5 min aggregation (24h): 2009 vs. 2011 from May01 – July02, 2009 (mean, median, max, from May 01 – July 02, 2011 Five segments min etc.) INRIX Archive speed data in 5 min aggregation (24h): Sun, June 05, 2011 NASCAR Hourly travel time: race day race day vs. normal Sun, June 12,2011 normal day day Four segments Average travel time in 1h aggregation (24h) Hourly travel time Sun, June 05, 2011 NASCAR Four segments reliability: race day race day vs. normal Sun, June 12,2011 normal day day
  • 6. Sun, June 05, 2011 NASCAR race day!
  • 8. Segment Speed Distributions (5 mins) Speed Limit Segment A,B Speed Limit Segment D Speed Limit Segment C,E T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.01 2009<2011 2009>2011 2009<2011 2009>2011 2009<2011 Null Hypothesis: mean speed in 2009=mean speed in 2011
  • 9. Segment Speed Distributions (5 mins) Speed Limit Segment A,B Speed Limit Segment D Speed Limit Segment C,E T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.02 T test: p<0.01 T test: p<0.01 2009<2011 2009>2011 2009<2011 2009>2011 2009<2011 Null Hypothesis: mean speed in 2009=mean speed in 2011
  • 10. Segment Travel Time NAS NAS CAR CAR race race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm NAS NAS CAR CAR race race 1pm Gap 1pm - - 4pm 4pm
  • 11. Travel Time Reliability  Different definitions from different viewpoints  Simple Definition: How do travel times vary for a certain time interval  90th or 95th percentile travel times, buffer index and planning time index  Buffer Index= (95 % TT- meanTT)/mean TT • Route Specific: A measure of how much more time in percentage a traveler should prepare in advance to ensure on-time arrival, with respect to the mean travel time • Segment specific: The amount of extra time a driver should plan for traversing the segment
  • 12. Segment Buffer Index Values NAS NAS CAR CAR race race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm Valley Peak NAS NAS CAR CAR race Gap race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm
  • 13. Conclusions  Statistically significant difference in speed distributions on 5 studied segments between 2009 and 2011  Operation speeds close to speed limits  Sufficient capacity for current traffic demand on both race days and normal days based on limited study of 5 segments  Event traffic has increased on both mean and buffer travel times for the Outbound State Ave.  Travel time reliability (e.g. Buffer index) is a more informative parameter for the impact of event traffic than mean travel time
  • 14. Recommendations  Future research: more comprehensive study • Average buffer index values on different segments/routes for the same time interval • Buffer index on the same segments/routes in 2009 and 2011 • Use other parameters: 95% travel time, planning time index  Advance Traveler Information System for ‘Legends’ Development Area  For Travelers: Mean Travel time, Range of Travel time, Reliable Routes for peak hours or race days
  • 15. Thank you! Questions? Slide design © 2009, The Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska, and Mid-America Transportation Center. All rights reserved.
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  • 17. Segment Travel Time Reliability Peak NAS NAS CAR CAR race race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm Valley NAS NAS Gap CAR CAR race race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm
  • 18. Segment Travel Time NAS NAS CAR CAR race race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm NAS NAS CAR CAR race race 1pm 1pm - - 4pm 4pm