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Barry Bluestone
Director
Dukakis Center for Urban and Regional
Policy
Massachusetts Association of Planning Directors
UMass Lowell
June 6, 2013
Staying Power II
A New Assessment
• In the Spring of this year … five years after the research began for
our original manufacturing report, we began a follow-up study
supported by the Massachusetts Technology Collaborative, the Greater
Boston Manufacturing Partnership, RBS Citizens, and The Boston
Foundation
• It would involve a careful consideration of what had happened in
Massachusetts manufacturing since 2007
– Review of existing data on employment, output, and productivity
– A new survey of nearly 700 manufacturers in the Commonwealth
– Face-to-face interviews with nearly 60 manufacturing CEOs and owner-
managers
Here is What We Found
Massachusetts Manufacturing Employment
(in thousands) January 2007–December 2009
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
298.2
291.6
289.2
252.7
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
310
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
-36,500 jobs
Massachusetts Manufacturing Employment
(in thousands, seasonally adjusted)
January 2008-June 2012
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
290.8
252.7
250.4
220
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
300
Jan-08
Mar-08
May-08
Jul-08
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-09
Mar-09
May-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
Nov-09
Jan-10
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-11
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Stable employment since
November 2009 … despite
Great Recession
December 2012: 249.3
April 2013: 250.0
Projected Massachusetts Manufacturing
Employment (in thousands) (1996-2018)
Source: Calculations based on Massachusetts Department of Labor
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
5-Year
Projected Change
-12,000 jobs
2,400 per year
1996-2012
-160,000 jobs:
10,000 per year
Massachusetts Employment by
Sector (in thousands) June 2012
Source: Massachusetts Executive Officer of Labor and Workforce Development, Current
Employment Statistics (CES 790 Series), July 2012.
38.2
42.6
46.7
58.4
85.9
85.9
102.2
121.4
123.5
125.1
158.2
165.8
172.1
250.4
260.4
267.6
269.3
350.6
514.9
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Real Estate and Rental & Leasing
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Federal Government
Management of Companies and Enterprises
Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities
Information Services
Construction
Other Services
State Government
Wholesale Trade
Education Services
Finance & Insurance
Administration & Support Services
Manufacturing
Local Government
Accommodation and Food Services
Professional, Scientific and Technical Servicess
Retail Trade
Health Care & Social Assistance
6th Largest Employer in
the Commonwealth
Change in the Number of Massachusetts
Manufacturing Establishments (2002-2011)
Source: Massachusetts Department of Labor and Workforce Development, ES-202 Employment
and Wage Statistics
-326
-188 -197
-524
-267
-169
-150
-244
-81
43
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Top Ten Manufacturing Industries in
Massachusetts (2010)
4-Digit Industry (2010) Employees
Navigation, measuring, medical, and control instruments 26,139
Semiconductor and other electronic components 17,022
Printing and related support activities 12.532
Computer and peripheral equipment 12,253
Aerospace product and parts 11,978
Plastics products 11,309
Medical equipment and supplies 10,759
Machine shops, turned product and screw, nut & bolt 9,957
Bakeries and tortilla 9,356
Pharmaceutical and medicine 9,136
Source: Massachusetts Department of Labor and Workforce Development, ES-202 Employment
and Wage Statistics
Manufacturing Share of Private Industry
Output (% of GSP) (1997-2011)
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
15.0%
14.5%
14.1% 14.2%
12.1% 12.1% 12.2%
11.3% 11.1% 11.2% 11.1%
10.8% 10.8%
12.0% 12.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Productivity in Massachusetts
All Industries vs. Manufacturing
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Updated June 5, 2012 with revised estimates for
1997-2010) (Gross State Product (GSP) is in $millions of chained (real) 2005 dollars)
$83,839 $86,058
$94,096
$104,936 $107,025
$114,568
$48,666
$53,042
$72,589
$101,141
$127,739
$178,625
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
$180,000
$200,000
1997 1998 2000 2004 2007 2011
GSP/Worker – Private Sector GSP/Worker - Manufacturing
Productivity in Massachusetts
All Industries vs. Manufacturing
Productivity
1997-2007
Annual Growth
Rate
2007-2011
Annual Growth
Rate
GSP/Worker – Private
Sector
+2.3% +1.7%
GSP/Worker -
Manufacturing
+9.7% +8.7%
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Updated June 5, 2012 with revised estimates for
1997-2010) (Gross State Product (GSP) is in $millions of chained (real) 2005 dollars)
Educational Attainment
Manufacturing Full-Year Workers
Massachusetts vs. U.S. (2010)
2.4%
0.9%
11.3%
24.0%
6.9%
15.9%
30.0%
8.5%
1.0%
0.5%
6.6%
18.2%
8.0%
21.1%
33.2%
11.4%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
PhD
Professional Degree
Masters
BA
Assoc Degree
Some College, No degree
HS Grad
Less Than HS
2010 MA
2010 U.S.
Source: American Community Survey
61.3% Require Less
Than College B.A.
Share of Massachusetts Payroll (2011:3rd Quarter)
Top 4 Sectors
Employment
Sector
Total
Employment
Percent of
Massachusetts
Workforce
Percent of
Massachusetts Total
Payroll
Health Care 532,934 16.6% 15.3%
Retail Trade 344,751 10.8% 5.3%
Education 282,818 8.8% 8.7%
Manufacturing 254,300 8.0% 10.1%
Source: Massachusetts Office of Labor and Workforce Development, Employment and Wages
http://lmi2.detma.org/lmi/lmi_es_asp#IND_LOCATION
Massachusetts Manufacturing
A Diverse Workforce
2005 2010
Source: 2010 American Community Survey
[i] Hispanic includes Hispanics that are foreign-born and native. The same with Asians and African-Americans.
Ethnicity
Share of Non-
Manufacturing
Workforce
Share of
Manufacturing
Workforce
Share of Non-
Manufacturing
Workforce
Share of
Manufacturing
Workforce
Foreign Born 15.9% 24.4% 18.3% 26.0%
Hispanic 5.8% 8.3% 7.3% 9.3%
Asian 4.1% 6.5% 5.0% 8.9%
African-American 4.9% 3.8% 5.8% 3.4%
Proportion of Workforce
Age 45 or Older
40.5%
49.6%
53.9%
36.1%
41.4%
44.6%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
2000 2006 2010
Manufacturing All other industries
Source: American Community Survey, Public Use Files, 2006, 2010, Tabulations by Center for Labor Market
Studies and Dukakis Center for Urban and Regional Policy, Northeastern University
The 2012 Staying Power
Massachusetts Manufacturing
Survey
The Continuing Evolution of
Massachusetts Manufacturing
• Structure of Manufacturing in
Massachusetts
• Manufacturing Labor Force
• Source of Capital
• Changes in Economic Environment for
Massachusetts Manufacturers
Manufacturing Firms by Size of
Employment (2011)
Source: Info USA Database; Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2011
Size of Firm (Employees)
Share of
Manufacturing Firms
Share of Total
Manufacturing Workforce
1-4 36.1% 2.7%
5-19 35.7% 10.3%
20-99 21.4% 25.6%
100-499 6.1% 34.3%
500+ 0.9% 27.1%
More than 70%
employ fewer
than 20 workers
Ownership Structure of Massachusetts
Manufacturers (2012)
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
72.2%
14.1%
6.2% 7.4%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Private Family Owner-Operated Private Investor-owned Publicly Owned Stock
Corporation
Other
Real Wage Increases for Production Workers in
Massachusetts Manufacturing Firms (2007 – 2012)
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Surveys, 2007 and 2012
Real Wages adjusted for U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers 1st Half 2007 (205.7)
vs. 1st Half 2012 (228.85) (1982-1984 = 100.0)
Employee Level
Real Wages (2012$)
Difference % Difference
2007 2012
Unskilled Production Workers $13.51 $13.95 $0.44 3.3%
Skilled Production Workers $22.05 $25.83 $3.78 17.1%
Sources of Capital
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
83.3%
77.8%
49.5%
37.1%
26.6%
15.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Commercial Banks Personal Funds Leasing Companies to
obtain equipment
Small Business Loan (SBA) Private Investment/Equity Issuers of
Mezzanine/Subordinated
Debt
“Very Important” or “Extremely
Important” Sources of Capital
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Source All 1-19 20-100 101+
Commercial Banks 59.7% 50.7% 73.1% 63.3%
Personal Funds 46.6% 55.2% 42.0% 15.9%
Leasing Companies to obtain
equipment
17.7% 19.2% 18.6% 10.5%
Small Business Loan (SBA) 12.3% 14.7% 13.0% 0.0%
Private Investment/Equity 10.1% 7.7% 9.6% 18.2%
Issuers of
Mezzanine/Subordinated Debt
3.6% 2.7% 3.0% 7.5%
Likelihood of Changes in Primary
Suppliers, Customers, and Competitors
Field Not Likely
Very +
Extremely
Likely
Suppliers
More MA Suppliers 39.7% 11.5%
More US Suppliers 20.8% 23.5%
More Global Suppliers 46.3% 16.9%
Customers
More MA Customers 30.0% 22.3%
More US Customers 15.0% 36.4%
More Global Customers 42.1% 27.8%
Competitors
More MA Competitors 50.0% 9.2%
More US Competitors 23.2% 20.7%
More Global Competitors 28.5% 37.2%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
“Large Extent” or “Great Extent” Expectations about
Customer Demands, Technology, and Workforce
Deployment by Firm Size
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Large or Great Extent 1-19 20-100 101+
Increased customer demand for lower prices 38.3% 48.3% 70.5%
Increased customer demand for improved service delivery 34.2% 44.0% 59.0%
Increased customer demand for better product quality 26.2% 40.6% 61.5%
Substantial increase in the use of new technology 21.1% 26.0% 51.3%
Substantial increase in productivity due to improved technology 19.1% 26.3% 42.3%
Shift from local markets to national markets 15.5% 23.8% 28.2%
Shift from national markets to global markets 14.8% 25.7% 42.3%
Shortage of critical materials 8.6% 9.7% 12.9%
Substitution of skilled labor for less skilled labor 5.6% 5.6% 3.8%
Substitution of less skilled labor for skilled labor 4.2% 6.1% 12.8%
Reduction of employment due to improved technology 2.9% 6.6% 6.4%
Increased off-shoring of internal operations 2.6% 4.2% 5.2%
Increased outsourcing of previous internal operations to other
MA firms
2.3% 3.3% 1.3%
Increased outsourcing of previous internal operations to firms in
other states
1.9% 1.8% 3.9%
Manufacturing’s Survival in
Massachusetts
• Why Massachusetts Manufacturers are
staying in the Commonwealth
• Why they might relocate
• Innovation Activity
• Use of State Assistance
• Capital Access in the Future
Reasons for “Staying” in Massachusetts
Reason Very or Extremely Important
Work Ethic of workforce 55.0%
Inertia (too hard to relocate) 44.0%
Future availability of appropriately skilled labor 43.2%
Current availability of appropriately skilled labor 42.4%
Current proximity to customers 42.0%
Future proximity to customers 37.4%
Quality of life (e.g. public schools, recreation, and cultural institutions) 33.3%
Access to transportation for shipping/commuting 31.7%
Monetary or in-kind incentives from state or local governments 30.9%
Opportunity for physical expansion 28.1%
Availability of reasonably priced land for expansion 27.9%
Current proximity to key suppliers 24.9%
Future proximity to key suppliers 24.1%
Strategic partnerships with community colleges and vocational education
programs
16.8%
Proximity to universities and colleges 12.6%
Massachusetts weather and climate 11.8%
Critical mass of similar firms in region 11.3%
Proximity to European markets 2.6%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Reasons for Possibly “Leaving” Massachusetts
Reason Very or Extremely Important
Health care costs 84.2%
Cost of worker's compensation 75.5%
Taxes and Fees 74.6%
Cost of unemployment insurance 73.1%
Future energy costs 72.0%
Environmental regulations 68.9%
Current energy costs 68.8%
Labor costs 68.1%
Trade Unions 67.7%
Time to obtain permits and licenses 60.9%
Future availability of appropriately skilled labor 57.8%
Current availability of appropriately skilled labor 54.2%
Cost-of-living 54.2%
Cost of construction 47.1%
Availability of reasonably priced land for expansion 46.1%
Opportunity for physical expansion 43.4%
Future proximity to key suppliers 38.7%
Future proximity to customers 37.5%
Current proximity to key suppliers 33.3%
Massachusetts weather and climate 28.0%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Innovative Activity of Massachusetts
Manufacturers and “Innovation Score”
Initiative Innovation Points
Invested in new manufacturing equipment 10
Expanded total workforce 5
Invested more in product research and development 10
Expanded sales and marketing workforce 5
Opened sales office abroad 5
Invested in education and training 10
Secured at least one new patent 10
Entered into a formal partnership 10
Hired consultant 5
Implemented performance improvement program 5
Source: Dukakis Manufacturing Study Staff
Distribution of Innovation Scores Across
Massachusetts Manufacturing Firms
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Very Low
22%
Low
17%
Average
27%
High
21%
Very High
13%
Distribution of Innovation Scores across
Massachusetts Manufacturing by Firm Size
34.9%
21.1%
25.5%
12.8%
5.7%
8.8%
14.6%
32.2%
29.3%
15.1%
2.9%
4.3%
20.0%
32.9%
40.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
Very Low Low Average High Very High
1-19 20-100 101+
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
The largest firms are the Major Innovators
Innovation and Expected Future
Production Levels
Innovation
Level
Production at
increased levels
Production at
current levels
Production at
reduced levels
Cessation of
production in
MA
Very Low 29.1% 48.9% 17.0% 5.0%
Low 65.1% 28.4% 5.5% 0.9%
Average 69.8% 21.3% 7.1% 1.8%
High 88.0% 6.8% 3.8% 1.5%
Very High 85.0% 10.0% 2.5% 2.5%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Expected Massachusetts Employment
Growth by Innovation Score
Innovation
Level
Expansion of Massachusetts
Employment by No
Change
Reduction of Massachusetts
Employment by
>25% 11-25% 1-10% 1-10% 11-25% >25%
Very Low 2.2% 8.6% 25.9% 51.8% 5.8% 0.7% 5.0%
Low 8.3% 15.6% 44.0% 26.6% 3.7% 0.0% 1.8%
Average 11.8% 26.0% 37.9% 15.4% 4.1% 3.6% 1.2%
High 18.8% 33.1% 36.8% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 2.3%
Very High 30.0% 31.3% 26.3% 11.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
State Incentive and Grant Programs
used by Massachusetts Manufacturers
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
25.3%
25.2%
12.5%
9.5%
6.3%
5.1%
2.0%
1.3%
25.7%
26.7%
18.1%
13.3%
7.7%
6.1%
2.4%
1.0%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0%
Workforce Training Grants
Investment Tax Credits
R&D Tax Credits
Low Interest Loans
Tax Increment Financing
Loan Guarantees
Equity Financing
Site Finder Assistance
2007
2012
State Incentive and Grant Programs used by
Massachusetts Manufacturers by Firm Size
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Program 1-19 20-100 101+
Workforce Training Grants 10.2%` 37.7% 66.7%
Investment Tax Credits 14.6% 36.5% 53.1%
R&D Tax Credits 7.0% 26.9% 51.6%
Low Interest Loans 12.2% 15.8% 11.5%
Tax Increment Financing 3.3% 11.2% 22.2%
Loan Guarantees 3.3% 11.0% 3.3%
Equity Financing 1.3% 4.6% 1.7%
Site Finder Assistance 0.7% 0.5% 1.6%
Access to Capital
Over the last five years, to what extent has access to capital ever been an impediment to
growth?
Not at All To Some Extent To a Fair Extent To a Large Extent To a Great Extent
50.1% 20.0% 12.4% 9.4% 8.1%
Access to Capital has been an Impediment to Growth to a Large or Great Extent
All Firms 1-19 20-100 101+
17.5% 21.0% 13.5% 11.7%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Access to Capital by Region within
Massachusetts
Over the last five years, to what extent has access to capital ever been an impediment to
growth?
Extent
Inside
495
Central
MA
Northeastern
MA
Southeastern
MA
Western
MA
Not at All 46.9% 56.0% 63.0% 51.1% 49.5%
To Some Extent 20.7% 21.0% 18.5% 18.2% 19.6%
To a Fair Extent 13.6% 7.0% 7.4% 14.8% 14.0%
To a Large
Extent
10.2% 6.0% 11.1% 10.2% 9.3%
To a Great
Extent
8.6% 10.0% 0.0% 5.7% 7.5%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Ability to Finance Future Growth
To what extent are you concerned about your company's ability to finance future
growth?
Not Concerned
Somewhat
Concerned
Fairly
Concerned
Very Concerned
Extremely
concerned
32.7% 29.2% 15.7% 12.2% 10.2%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
A Manufacturing Workforce for the
Future
• Difficulty in Recruiting Labor
• Recruiting Methods
• Training Institutions
Difficulty in Recruiting Labor for
Massachusetts Manufacturers (2012)
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Employment Type Not Difficult
Very or
Extremely
Difficult
Skilled craftsmen 18.4% 43.1%
R & D Staff 36.7% 24.1%
Executive management 40.9% 15.6%
Middle management 40.3% 11.0%
Entry level employees 49.9% 8.0%
Sources Used for Recruiting and
Hiring Shop Floor Employees
Source Used
Very or
Extremely Successful
Employee Referrals 83.2% 32.6%
Temporary Employment Agencies 55.3% 12.4%
Vocational High Schools/High Schools 50.2% 10.2%
Internet Advertisements 49.6% 9.1%
Internet Job Search Sites
(e.g. Monster.com)
46.0% 7.1%
Newspaper Advertisements 59.2% 7.1%
Private Employment or Recruiting
Agencies
36.8% 6.9%
Industry Networking Events 24.4% 3.2%
One Stop Career Centers 15.9% 1.8%
Career and Technology Fairs 16.6% 1.4%
Community Colleges 21.1% 1.2%
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Importance of Institutions in Preparing
the Manufacturing Job Floor Workforce
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Institution Not Important
Very or Extremely
Important
Vocational/Technical High Schools 24.5% 38.1%
Comprehensive High Schools 35.5% 21.7%
Four Year Colleges/Universities 52.1% 17.5%
Community Colleges 46.5% 13.4%
Private Training Companies 70.8% 5.7%
The Military 70.2% 5.6%
Workforce Investment Board 87.2% 3.1%
The Future of Manufacturing in
Massachusetts
• Investments in Manufacturing
• Projected Production Levels
• Projected Employment Levels
• Mergers & Acquisitions
• Geographic Expansion
• Exports & Export Potential
Initiatives Pursued over Past 5 Years to Grow
Manufacturing Operations in Massachusetts
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Initiative All Firms 1-19 20-100 101+
Invested in new manufacturing equipment and/or manufacturing
process software
82.6% 73.7% 91.2% 98.6%
Invested in education and training for manufacturing workforce 49.5% 34.5% 60.5% 87.1%
Expanded manufacturing sales and marketing workforce 47.2% 31.5% 65.0% 70.0%
Invested more in product research and development than in the
previous five years
45.1% 34.0% 55.1% 72.9%
Implemented or strengthened a performance improvement program 41.6% 25.7% 57.6% 69.6%
Expand overall square footage of existing manufacturing floor space 36.7% 27.3% 43.3% 59.4%
Developed a succession plan for ownership 29.4% 22.0% 43.2% 21.7%
Developed a succession plan for senior executives 25.4% 14.6% 36.4% 52.2%
Hired consultants to help grow business 24.8% 17.6% 29.6% 38.6%
Entered into a formal partnership and/or joint venture with another
manufacturing firm
17.8% 13.2% 21.8% 30.0%
Secured at least one new patent for a new product 16.6% 10.8% 16.6% 47.1%
Opened a new manufacturing location in Massachusetts 8.8% 6.7% 9.5% 20.0%
Opened a sales office abroad 8.6% 2.7% 10.9% 31.4%
Expected Production Levels of Massachusetts Manufacturing
Firms over the Next Five Years (2012 - 2017)
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Continued
production at
increased
levels, 65.4%
Continued production
at current
levels, 24.4%
Continued production
but at reduced
levels, 7.7%
Cessation of
production in
Massachusetts, 2.5%
5 Year Employment Projections of Massachusetts
Manufacturing Firms (2012 – 2017)
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Expansion of
Massachusetts
Employment by >25%
13%
Expansion of
Massachusetts
Employment by 11-25%
22%
Expansion of
Massachusetts
Employment by 1-10%
35%
Maintenance of Current
Employment Levels
23%
Reduction of
Massachusetts
Employment by 1-10%
4%
Reduction of
Massachusetts
Employment by 11-25%
1%
Reduction of
Massachusetts
Employment by >25%
2%
70% of manufacturers
expect to increase
employment over the next
5 years
Business Expansion Plans of Massachusetts
Manufacturers by Firm Size (2012 – 2017)
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Expansion Location All 1-19 20-100 101+
Massachusetts 66.7% 67.7% 67.6% 55.6%
New England (Excluding MA) 26.5% 23.6% 28.6% 23.4%
Other states in the U.S. 31.3% 22.5% 38.2% 51.0%
Outside the U.S. 17.3% 5.7% 20.2% 49.0%
No expansion plans 47.9% 55.4% 38.5% 35.6%
What Could Help Manufacturing’s
Success?
• Reducing Barriers to Growth
• Closer Cooperation with Vocational
Schools and Community Colleges
• Promotion of Manufacturing
Recommendations for Promoting
Manufacturing in Massachusetts
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Recommendation
Very Important or
Extremely Important
Working with School or Community College Instructors to
Incorporate Industry Standards into Curriculum
30.3%
Creating a certificate in manufacturing technology 27.5%
Serving as mentors/advisors at selected vocational schools or
community colleges
27.4%
Speaking to Parent Organizations/Student Groups About Careers
in Manufacturing
24.7%
Contributing Machinery, Tools, or Other Materials to Schools 21.0%
Exhibiting at Education, Career, and Technology Fairs 19.7%
Instituting company-sponsored educational scholarships 14.2%
Hiring vocational/community college teachers to train your
employees
11.6%
Company Assessment of Broad-Based Initiatives to
Strengthen Manufacturing in Massachusetts
Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
Initiative
Very or Extremely
Important
Continued alignment of the vocational and community
college curricula with industry needs
42.8%
Programs to increase school, student, and parent awareness
of careers in manufacturing
40.5%
State-wide marketing campaign to promote manufacturing
industry
33.9%
Expand professional development/continuous improvement
programs for existing employees
29.6%
Create an employee applicant referral system 22.5%
Conclusions
• Manufacturing is alive and well in the
Commonwealth and has a healthy future
• Closer cooperation between training
institutions and manufacturing can fulfill
the sector’s need to replace an aging
workforce
• Continuing to promote the industry will
help secure the Commonwealth’s
prosperity for years to come

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Staying Power II: A Report Card on Manufacturing in MA 2012

  • 1. Barry Bluestone Director Dukakis Center for Urban and Regional Policy Massachusetts Association of Planning Directors UMass Lowell June 6, 2013
  • 2. Staying Power II A New Assessment • In the Spring of this year … five years after the research began for our original manufacturing report, we began a follow-up study supported by the Massachusetts Technology Collaborative, the Greater Boston Manufacturing Partnership, RBS Citizens, and The Boston Foundation • It would involve a careful consideration of what had happened in Massachusetts manufacturing since 2007 – Review of existing data on employment, output, and productivity – A new survey of nearly 700 manufacturers in the Commonwealth – Face-to-face interviews with nearly 60 manufacturing CEOs and owner- managers
  • 3. Here is What We Found
  • 4. Massachusetts Manufacturing Employment (in thousands) January 2007–December 2009 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 298.2 291.6 289.2 252.7 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 290 300 310 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 -36,500 jobs
  • 5. Massachusetts Manufacturing Employment (in thousands, seasonally adjusted) January 2008-June 2012 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 290.8 252.7 250.4 220 230 240 250 260 270 280 290 300 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09 Nov-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Stable employment since November 2009 … despite Great Recession December 2012: 249.3 April 2013: 250.0
  • 6. Projected Massachusetts Manufacturing Employment (in thousands) (1996-2018) Source: Calculations based on Massachusetts Department of Labor 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 5-Year Projected Change -12,000 jobs 2,400 per year 1996-2012 -160,000 jobs: 10,000 per year
  • 7. Massachusetts Employment by Sector (in thousands) June 2012 Source: Massachusetts Executive Officer of Labor and Workforce Development, Current Employment Statistics (CES 790 Series), July 2012. 38.2 42.6 46.7 58.4 85.9 85.9 102.2 121.4 123.5 125.1 158.2 165.8 172.1 250.4 260.4 267.6 269.3 350.6 514.9 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Real Estate and Rental & Leasing Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Federal Government Management of Companies and Enterprises Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities Information Services Construction Other Services State Government Wholesale Trade Education Services Finance & Insurance Administration & Support Services Manufacturing Local Government Accommodation and Food Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Servicess Retail Trade Health Care & Social Assistance 6th Largest Employer in the Commonwealth
  • 8. Change in the Number of Massachusetts Manufacturing Establishments (2002-2011) Source: Massachusetts Department of Labor and Workforce Development, ES-202 Employment and Wage Statistics -326 -188 -197 -524 -267 -169 -150 -244 -81 43 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 0 100 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 9. Top Ten Manufacturing Industries in Massachusetts (2010) 4-Digit Industry (2010) Employees Navigation, measuring, medical, and control instruments 26,139 Semiconductor and other electronic components 17,022 Printing and related support activities 12.532 Computer and peripheral equipment 12,253 Aerospace product and parts 11,978 Plastics products 11,309 Medical equipment and supplies 10,759 Machine shops, turned product and screw, nut & bolt 9,957 Bakeries and tortilla 9,356 Pharmaceutical and medicine 9,136 Source: Massachusetts Department of Labor and Workforce Development, ES-202 Employment and Wage Statistics
  • 10. Manufacturing Share of Private Industry Output (% of GSP) (1997-2011) Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 15.0% 14.5% 14.1% 14.2% 12.1% 12.1% 12.2% 11.3% 11.1% 11.2% 11.1% 10.8% 10.8% 12.0% 12.2% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 11. Productivity in Massachusetts All Industries vs. Manufacturing Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Updated June 5, 2012 with revised estimates for 1997-2010) (Gross State Product (GSP) is in $millions of chained (real) 2005 dollars) $83,839 $86,058 $94,096 $104,936 $107,025 $114,568 $48,666 $53,042 $72,589 $101,141 $127,739 $178,625 $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $160,000 $180,000 $200,000 1997 1998 2000 2004 2007 2011 GSP/Worker – Private Sector GSP/Worker - Manufacturing
  • 12. Productivity in Massachusetts All Industries vs. Manufacturing Productivity 1997-2007 Annual Growth Rate 2007-2011 Annual Growth Rate GSP/Worker – Private Sector +2.3% +1.7% GSP/Worker - Manufacturing +9.7% +8.7% Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Updated June 5, 2012 with revised estimates for 1997-2010) (Gross State Product (GSP) is in $millions of chained (real) 2005 dollars)
  • 13. Educational Attainment Manufacturing Full-Year Workers Massachusetts vs. U.S. (2010) 2.4% 0.9% 11.3% 24.0% 6.9% 15.9% 30.0% 8.5% 1.0% 0.5% 6.6% 18.2% 8.0% 21.1% 33.2% 11.4% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% PhD Professional Degree Masters BA Assoc Degree Some College, No degree HS Grad Less Than HS 2010 MA 2010 U.S. Source: American Community Survey 61.3% Require Less Than College B.A.
  • 14.
  • 15. Share of Massachusetts Payroll (2011:3rd Quarter) Top 4 Sectors Employment Sector Total Employment Percent of Massachusetts Workforce Percent of Massachusetts Total Payroll Health Care 532,934 16.6% 15.3% Retail Trade 344,751 10.8% 5.3% Education 282,818 8.8% 8.7% Manufacturing 254,300 8.0% 10.1% Source: Massachusetts Office of Labor and Workforce Development, Employment and Wages http://lmi2.detma.org/lmi/lmi_es_asp#IND_LOCATION
  • 16. Massachusetts Manufacturing A Diverse Workforce 2005 2010 Source: 2010 American Community Survey [i] Hispanic includes Hispanics that are foreign-born and native. The same with Asians and African-Americans. Ethnicity Share of Non- Manufacturing Workforce Share of Manufacturing Workforce Share of Non- Manufacturing Workforce Share of Manufacturing Workforce Foreign Born 15.9% 24.4% 18.3% 26.0% Hispanic 5.8% 8.3% 7.3% 9.3% Asian 4.1% 6.5% 5.0% 8.9% African-American 4.9% 3.8% 5.8% 3.4%
  • 17.
  • 18. Proportion of Workforce Age 45 or Older 40.5% 49.6% 53.9% 36.1% 41.4% 44.6% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 2000 2006 2010 Manufacturing All other industries Source: American Community Survey, Public Use Files, 2006, 2010, Tabulations by Center for Labor Market Studies and Dukakis Center for Urban and Regional Policy, Northeastern University
  • 19. The 2012 Staying Power Massachusetts Manufacturing Survey
  • 20. The Continuing Evolution of Massachusetts Manufacturing • Structure of Manufacturing in Massachusetts • Manufacturing Labor Force • Source of Capital • Changes in Economic Environment for Massachusetts Manufacturers
  • 21. Manufacturing Firms by Size of Employment (2011) Source: Info USA Database; Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2011 Size of Firm (Employees) Share of Manufacturing Firms Share of Total Manufacturing Workforce 1-4 36.1% 2.7% 5-19 35.7% 10.3% 20-99 21.4% 25.6% 100-499 6.1% 34.3% 500+ 0.9% 27.1% More than 70% employ fewer than 20 workers
  • 22. Ownership Structure of Massachusetts Manufacturers (2012) Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 72.2% 14.1% 6.2% 7.4% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% Private Family Owner-Operated Private Investor-owned Publicly Owned Stock Corporation Other
  • 23. Real Wage Increases for Production Workers in Massachusetts Manufacturing Firms (2007 – 2012) Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Surveys, 2007 and 2012 Real Wages adjusted for U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers 1st Half 2007 (205.7) vs. 1st Half 2012 (228.85) (1982-1984 = 100.0) Employee Level Real Wages (2012$) Difference % Difference 2007 2012 Unskilled Production Workers $13.51 $13.95 $0.44 3.3% Skilled Production Workers $22.05 $25.83 $3.78 17.1%
  • 24. Sources of Capital Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 83.3% 77.8% 49.5% 37.1% 26.6% 15.3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Commercial Banks Personal Funds Leasing Companies to obtain equipment Small Business Loan (SBA) Private Investment/Equity Issuers of Mezzanine/Subordinated Debt
  • 25. “Very Important” or “Extremely Important” Sources of Capital Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Source All 1-19 20-100 101+ Commercial Banks 59.7% 50.7% 73.1% 63.3% Personal Funds 46.6% 55.2% 42.0% 15.9% Leasing Companies to obtain equipment 17.7% 19.2% 18.6% 10.5% Small Business Loan (SBA) 12.3% 14.7% 13.0% 0.0% Private Investment/Equity 10.1% 7.7% 9.6% 18.2% Issuers of Mezzanine/Subordinated Debt 3.6% 2.7% 3.0% 7.5%
  • 26. Likelihood of Changes in Primary Suppliers, Customers, and Competitors Field Not Likely Very + Extremely Likely Suppliers More MA Suppliers 39.7% 11.5% More US Suppliers 20.8% 23.5% More Global Suppliers 46.3% 16.9% Customers More MA Customers 30.0% 22.3% More US Customers 15.0% 36.4% More Global Customers 42.1% 27.8% Competitors More MA Competitors 50.0% 9.2% More US Competitors 23.2% 20.7% More Global Competitors 28.5% 37.2% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 27. “Large Extent” or “Great Extent” Expectations about Customer Demands, Technology, and Workforce Deployment by Firm Size Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Large or Great Extent 1-19 20-100 101+ Increased customer demand for lower prices 38.3% 48.3% 70.5% Increased customer demand for improved service delivery 34.2% 44.0% 59.0% Increased customer demand for better product quality 26.2% 40.6% 61.5% Substantial increase in the use of new technology 21.1% 26.0% 51.3% Substantial increase in productivity due to improved technology 19.1% 26.3% 42.3% Shift from local markets to national markets 15.5% 23.8% 28.2% Shift from national markets to global markets 14.8% 25.7% 42.3% Shortage of critical materials 8.6% 9.7% 12.9% Substitution of skilled labor for less skilled labor 5.6% 5.6% 3.8% Substitution of less skilled labor for skilled labor 4.2% 6.1% 12.8% Reduction of employment due to improved technology 2.9% 6.6% 6.4% Increased off-shoring of internal operations 2.6% 4.2% 5.2% Increased outsourcing of previous internal operations to other MA firms 2.3% 3.3% 1.3% Increased outsourcing of previous internal operations to firms in other states 1.9% 1.8% 3.9%
  • 28. Manufacturing’s Survival in Massachusetts • Why Massachusetts Manufacturers are staying in the Commonwealth • Why they might relocate • Innovation Activity • Use of State Assistance • Capital Access in the Future
  • 29. Reasons for “Staying” in Massachusetts Reason Very or Extremely Important Work Ethic of workforce 55.0% Inertia (too hard to relocate) 44.0% Future availability of appropriately skilled labor 43.2% Current availability of appropriately skilled labor 42.4% Current proximity to customers 42.0% Future proximity to customers 37.4% Quality of life (e.g. public schools, recreation, and cultural institutions) 33.3% Access to transportation for shipping/commuting 31.7% Monetary or in-kind incentives from state or local governments 30.9% Opportunity for physical expansion 28.1% Availability of reasonably priced land for expansion 27.9% Current proximity to key suppliers 24.9% Future proximity to key suppliers 24.1% Strategic partnerships with community colleges and vocational education programs 16.8% Proximity to universities and colleges 12.6% Massachusetts weather and climate 11.8% Critical mass of similar firms in region 11.3% Proximity to European markets 2.6% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 30. Reasons for Possibly “Leaving” Massachusetts Reason Very or Extremely Important Health care costs 84.2% Cost of worker's compensation 75.5% Taxes and Fees 74.6% Cost of unemployment insurance 73.1% Future energy costs 72.0% Environmental regulations 68.9% Current energy costs 68.8% Labor costs 68.1% Trade Unions 67.7% Time to obtain permits and licenses 60.9% Future availability of appropriately skilled labor 57.8% Current availability of appropriately skilled labor 54.2% Cost-of-living 54.2% Cost of construction 47.1% Availability of reasonably priced land for expansion 46.1% Opportunity for physical expansion 43.4% Future proximity to key suppliers 38.7% Future proximity to customers 37.5% Current proximity to key suppliers 33.3% Massachusetts weather and climate 28.0% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 31. Innovative Activity of Massachusetts Manufacturers and “Innovation Score” Initiative Innovation Points Invested in new manufacturing equipment 10 Expanded total workforce 5 Invested more in product research and development 10 Expanded sales and marketing workforce 5 Opened sales office abroad 5 Invested in education and training 10 Secured at least one new patent 10 Entered into a formal partnership 10 Hired consultant 5 Implemented performance improvement program 5 Source: Dukakis Manufacturing Study Staff
  • 32. Distribution of Innovation Scores Across Massachusetts Manufacturing Firms Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Very Low 22% Low 17% Average 27% High 21% Very High 13%
  • 33. Distribution of Innovation Scores across Massachusetts Manufacturing by Firm Size 34.9% 21.1% 25.5% 12.8% 5.7% 8.8% 14.6% 32.2% 29.3% 15.1% 2.9% 4.3% 20.0% 32.9% 40.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% Very Low Low Average High Very High 1-19 20-100 101+ Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 The largest firms are the Major Innovators
  • 34. Innovation and Expected Future Production Levels Innovation Level Production at increased levels Production at current levels Production at reduced levels Cessation of production in MA Very Low 29.1% 48.9% 17.0% 5.0% Low 65.1% 28.4% 5.5% 0.9% Average 69.8% 21.3% 7.1% 1.8% High 88.0% 6.8% 3.8% 1.5% Very High 85.0% 10.0% 2.5% 2.5% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 35. Expected Massachusetts Employment Growth by Innovation Score Innovation Level Expansion of Massachusetts Employment by No Change Reduction of Massachusetts Employment by >25% 11-25% 1-10% 1-10% 11-25% >25% Very Low 2.2% 8.6% 25.9% 51.8% 5.8% 0.7% 5.0% Low 8.3% 15.6% 44.0% 26.6% 3.7% 0.0% 1.8% Average 11.8% 26.0% 37.9% 15.4% 4.1% 3.6% 1.2% High 18.8% 33.1% 36.8% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 2.3% Very High 30.0% 31.3% 26.3% 11.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 36. State Incentive and Grant Programs used by Massachusetts Manufacturers Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 25.3% 25.2% 12.5% 9.5% 6.3% 5.1% 2.0% 1.3% 25.7% 26.7% 18.1% 13.3% 7.7% 6.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Workforce Training Grants Investment Tax Credits R&D Tax Credits Low Interest Loans Tax Increment Financing Loan Guarantees Equity Financing Site Finder Assistance 2007 2012
  • 37. State Incentive and Grant Programs used by Massachusetts Manufacturers by Firm Size Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Program 1-19 20-100 101+ Workforce Training Grants 10.2%` 37.7% 66.7% Investment Tax Credits 14.6% 36.5% 53.1% R&D Tax Credits 7.0% 26.9% 51.6% Low Interest Loans 12.2% 15.8% 11.5% Tax Increment Financing 3.3% 11.2% 22.2% Loan Guarantees 3.3% 11.0% 3.3% Equity Financing 1.3% 4.6% 1.7% Site Finder Assistance 0.7% 0.5% 1.6%
  • 38. Access to Capital Over the last five years, to what extent has access to capital ever been an impediment to growth? Not at All To Some Extent To a Fair Extent To a Large Extent To a Great Extent 50.1% 20.0% 12.4% 9.4% 8.1% Access to Capital has been an Impediment to Growth to a Large or Great Extent All Firms 1-19 20-100 101+ 17.5% 21.0% 13.5% 11.7% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 39. Access to Capital by Region within Massachusetts Over the last five years, to what extent has access to capital ever been an impediment to growth? Extent Inside 495 Central MA Northeastern MA Southeastern MA Western MA Not at All 46.9% 56.0% 63.0% 51.1% 49.5% To Some Extent 20.7% 21.0% 18.5% 18.2% 19.6% To a Fair Extent 13.6% 7.0% 7.4% 14.8% 14.0% To a Large Extent 10.2% 6.0% 11.1% 10.2% 9.3% To a Great Extent 8.6% 10.0% 0.0% 5.7% 7.5% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 40. Ability to Finance Future Growth To what extent are you concerned about your company's ability to finance future growth? Not Concerned Somewhat Concerned Fairly Concerned Very Concerned Extremely concerned 32.7% 29.2% 15.7% 12.2% 10.2% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 41. A Manufacturing Workforce for the Future • Difficulty in Recruiting Labor • Recruiting Methods • Training Institutions
  • 42. Difficulty in Recruiting Labor for Massachusetts Manufacturers (2012) Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Employment Type Not Difficult Very or Extremely Difficult Skilled craftsmen 18.4% 43.1% R & D Staff 36.7% 24.1% Executive management 40.9% 15.6% Middle management 40.3% 11.0% Entry level employees 49.9% 8.0%
  • 43. Sources Used for Recruiting and Hiring Shop Floor Employees Source Used Very or Extremely Successful Employee Referrals 83.2% 32.6% Temporary Employment Agencies 55.3% 12.4% Vocational High Schools/High Schools 50.2% 10.2% Internet Advertisements 49.6% 9.1% Internet Job Search Sites (e.g. Monster.com) 46.0% 7.1% Newspaper Advertisements 59.2% 7.1% Private Employment or Recruiting Agencies 36.8% 6.9% Industry Networking Events 24.4% 3.2% One Stop Career Centers 15.9% 1.8% Career and Technology Fairs 16.6% 1.4% Community Colleges 21.1% 1.2% Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012
  • 44. Importance of Institutions in Preparing the Manufacturing Job Floor Workforce Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Institution Not Important Very or Extremely Important Vocational/Technical High Schools 24.5% 38.1% Comprehensive High Schools 35.5% 21.7% Four Year Colleges/Universities 52.1% 17.5% Community Colleges 46.5% 13.4% Private Training Companies 70.8% 5.7% The Military 70.2% 5.6% Workforce Investment Board 87.2% 3.1%
  • 45. The Future of Manufacturing in Massachusetts • Investments in Manufacturing • Projected Production Levels • Projected Employment Levels • Mergers & Acquisitions • Geographic Expansion • Exports & Export Potential
  • 46. Initiatives Pursued over Past 5 Years to Grow Manufacturing Operations in Massachusetts Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Initiative All Firms 1-19 20-100 101+ Invested in new manufacturing equipment and/or manufacturing process software 82.6% 73.7% 91.2% 98.6% Invested in education and training for manufacturing workforce 49.5% 34.5% 60.5% 87.1% Expanded manufacturing sales and marketing workforce 47.2% 31.5% 65.0% 70.0% Invested more in product research and development than in the previous five years 45.1% 34.0% 55.1% 72.9% Implemented or strengthened a performance improvement program 41.6% 25.7% 57.6% 69.6% Expand overall square footage of existing manufacturing floor space 36.7% 27.3% 43.3% 59.4% Developed a succession plan for ownership 29.4% 22.0% 43.2% 21.7% Developed a succession plan for senior executives 25.4% 14.6% 36.4% 52.2% Hired consultants to help grow business 24.8% 17.6% 29.6% 38.6% Entered into a formal partnership and/or joint venture with another manufacturing firm 17.8% 13.2% 21.8% 30.0% Secured at least one new patent for a new product 16.6% 10.8% 16.6% 47.1% Opened a new manufacturing location in Massachusetts 8.8% 6.7% 9.5% 20.0% Opened a sales office abroad 8.6% 2.7% 10.9% 31.4%
  • 47. Expected Production Levels of Massachusetts Manufacturing Firms over the Next Five Years (2012 - 2017) Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Continued production at increased levels, 65.4% Continued production at current levels, 24.4% Continued production but at reduced levels, 7.7% Cessation of production in Massachusetts, 2.5%
  • 48. 5 Year Employment Projections of Massachusetts Manufacturing Firms (2012 – 2017) Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Expansion of Massachusetts Employment by >25% 13% Expansion of Massachusetts Employment by 11-25% 22% Expansion of Massachusetts Employment by 1-10% 35% Maintenance of Current Employment Levels 23% Reduction of Massachusetts Employment by 1-10% 4% Reduction of Massachusetts Employment by 11-25% 1% Reduction of Massachusetts Employment by >25% 2% 70% of manufacturers expect to increase employment over the next 5 years
  • 49. Business Expansion Plans of Massachusetts Manufacturers by Firm Size (2012 – 2017) Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Expansion Location All 1-19 20-100 101+ Massachusetts 66.7% 67.7% 67.6% 55.6% New England (Excluding MA) 26.5% 23.6% 28.6% 23.4% Other states in the U.S. 31.3% 22.5% 38.2% 51.0% Outside the U.S. 17.3% 5.7% 20.2% 49.0% No expansion plans 47.9% 55.4% 38.5% 35.6%
  • 50. What Could Help Manufacturing’s Success? • Reducing Barriers to Growth • Closer Cooperation with Vocational Schools and Community Colleges • Promotion of Manufacturing
  • 51.
  • 52. Recommendations for Promoting Manufacturing in Massachusetts Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Recommendation Very Important or Extremely Important Working with School or Community College Instructors to Incorporate Industry Standards into Curriculum 30.3% Creating a certificate in manufacturing technology 27.5% Serving as mentors/advisors at selected vocational schools or community colleges 27.4% Speaking to Parent Organizations/Student Groups About Careers in Manufacturing 24.7% Contributing Machinery, Tools, or Other Materials to Schools 21.0% Exhibiting at Education, Career, and Technology Fairs 19.7% Instituting company-sponsored educational scholarships 14.2% Hiring vocational/community college teachers to train your employees 11.6%
  • 53. Company Assessment of Broad-Based Initiatives to Strengthen Manufacturing in Massachusetts Source: Dukakis Center Manufacturing Survey, 2012 Initiative Very or Extremely Important Continued alignment of the vocational and community college curricula with industry needs 42.8% Programs to increase school, student, and parent awareness of careers in manufacturing 40.5% State-wide marketing campaign to promote manufacturing industry 33.9% Expand professional development/continuous improvement programs for existing employees 29.6% Create an employee applicant referral system 22.5%
  • 54. Conclusions • Manufacturing is alive and well in the Commonwealth and has a healthy future • Closer cooperation between training institutions and manufacturing can fulfill the sector’s need to replace an aging workforce • Continuing to promote the industry will help secure the Commonwealth’s prosperity for years to come

Editor's Notes

  1. Figure 1.1
  2. Figure 1.2
  3. Figure 1.13
  4. Figure 1.4
  5. Figure 1.5
  6. Table 1.4A
  7. Figure 1.8
  8. Table 1.7
  9. Table 1.7, continued
  10. Figure 1.9A
  11. Figure 1.10
  12. Table 1.12
  13. Table 1.13
  14. Table 1.15 turned into bar chart
  15. Table 3.1
  16. Figure 3.4
  17. Table 3.6
  18. Figure 3.5
  19. Table 3.8
  20. Table 3.10
  21. Table 3.13
  22. Table 4.1
  23. Table 4.3
  24. Table 4.5
  25. Figure 4.1
  26. Figure 4.2
  27. Table 4.10
  28. Table 4.11
  29. Figure 4.3
  30. Table 4.14
  31. Table 4.18
  32. Table 4.19
  33. Figure 5.1
  34. Table 5.2
  35. Table 5.4
  36. Table 6.1
  37. Figure 6.1
  38. Figure 6.2
  39. Table 6.6
  40. Figure 6.4
  41. Table 6.8
  42. Table 6.11