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Trophic Downgrading of
     Planet Earth

      Sofia Olivero Lora

     November 29, 2012

                           Estes et al. 2011
Mass extinction events




               (http://evolution.berkeley.edu)
(http://evolution.berkeley.edu)
6th mass extinction
• Early to middle stages

• Differences
  – Homo sapiens
  – Loos larger-bodied animals in general, apex
    consumers in particular


• Global occurrence
Apex consumers
• Global and perpetual

• Effects on processes
  – Carbon sequestration, invasive species,
    biogeochemical exchanges, etc.


• Removal-trophic downgrading
Trophic cascade




         http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3099/
http://www.ucc.ie/staff/memmers/Lough%20Hyne.htm
Alternative stable states
• Sets of unique biotic and abiotic conditions

• Basins of attraction
   – Set of individual conditions lead to long-time behavior
   – Collection of all possible initial conditions of a
     dynamical state


• ASS- perturbations push ecosystem from one
  basin to another
Alternative stable states
• Tipping points
  – Phase shifts – abrupt changes in ecosystem
    structure and function.


• Hysteresis
  – Multiple states persist under equal environmental
    conditions
  – Example: Tropical cloud forests
Connectivity
• Ecosystems are built around interaction webs

• Every species can potentially influence many
  others

• Interactions
  – Biological processes
  – Physicochemical processes
  – Highly complex network
Ecological Society of America
http://phys.org/news/2012-10-scientists-greenbelts-wildlife-sanctuaries.html
Trophic Downgrading
• Not widely appreciated, difficult to observe

• Need for perturbation, to be perceived

• Time scales
  – When noticed, too late

• Space scales
• Sea Otter (nutria)
   – Population collapse
   – -herbivorous sea urchins
   – +kelp abundance

• Seastar
   – Prevents dominance mussels
     (mejillon)

• Bass (robalo)
   – Reduce phytoplankton
   – Eats zooplanktivorous

• Large reef fish
   – Fisheries (left)

• Bass
   – Eats minnows
   – Promotes benthic algae
• Artic fox (zorro)
   – Eat seabirds
   – Reduces nutrients inputs
     from sea to land

• Jaguar
   – Herbivore guild
   – Reduction plant
     recruitment and survival

• Wolf
   – Elk (alce) browsing

• Wildebeest (gorgon)
   – Rinderpest (virus)
   – Increase biomass-fire
• Kelp increase
  enhances
  abundance of
  kelp forest fish

• Increases
  organic carbon-
  +growth rate of
  mussels

• Gulls (gaviotas)
   – Fish-
     invertebrates

• Fish, mammals,
  birds
Discussion
• Management solution: restoration of apex
  consumers.

• Ecological surprises
  – Pandemics, loss valuable sp., shifts ecosystem
    states, loss ES
  – Altered top-down regimes
  – Apex loss or introduction of exotics
Discussion
• What about other anthropogenic threats?

• Do present conservation strategies
  contemplate this new paradigm?
Surrogate species?
Species used to represent other species or
 aspects of the environment to obtain a
   conservation objective. (Caro, 2010)

  Indicator
  Umbrella
  Keystone
  Flagship
Thanks for your attention!

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Estes et al. 2011 paper discussion

  • 1. Trophic Downgrading of Planet Earth Sofia Olivero Lora November 29, 2012 Estes et al. 2011
  • 2. Mass extinction events (http://evolution.berkeley.edu)
  • 4. 6th mass extinction • Early to middle stages • Differences – Homo sapiens – Loos larger-bodied animals in general, apex consumers in particular • Global occurrence
  • 5. Apex consumers • Global and perpetual • Effects on processes – Carbon sequestration, invasive species, biogeochemical exchanges, etc. • Removal-trophic downgrading
  • 6. Trophic cascade http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3099/
  • 8. Alternative stable states • Sets of unique biotic and abiotic conditions • Basins of attraction – Set of individual conditions lead to long-time behavior – Collection of all possible initial conditions of a dynamical state • ASS- perturbations push ecosystem from one basin to another
  • 9. Alternative stable states • Tipping points – Phase shifts – abrupt changes in ecosystem structure and function. • Hysteresis – Multiple states persist under equal environmental conditions – Example: Tropical cloud forests
  • 10. Connectivity • Ecosystems are built around interaction webs • Every species can potentially influence many others • Interactions – Biological processes – Physicochemical processes – Highly complex network
  • 11. Ecological Society of America http://phys.org/news/2012-10-scientists-greenbelts-wildlife-sanctuaries.html
  • 12. Trophic Downgrading • Not widely appreciated, difficult to observe • Need for perturbation, to be perceived • Time scales – When noticed, too late • Space scales
  • 13. • Sea Otter (nutria) – Population collapse – -herbivorous sea urchins – +kelp abundance • Seastar – Prevents dominance mussels (mejillon) • Bass (robalo) – Reduce phytoplankton – Eats zooplanktivorous • Large reef fish – Fisheries (left) • Bass – Eats minnows – Promotes benthic algae
  • 14. • Artic fox (zorro) – Eat seabirds – Reduces nutrients inputs from sea to land • Jaguar – Herbivore guild – Reduction plant recruitment and survival • Wolf – Elk (alce) browsing • Wildebeest (gorgon) – Rinderpest (virus) – Increase biomass-fire
  • 15. • Kelp increase enhances abundance of kelp forest fish • Increases organic carbon- +growth rate of mussels • Gulls (gaviotas) – Fish- invertebrates • Fish, mammals, birds
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Discussion • Management solution: restoration of apex consumers. • Ecological surprises – Pandemics, loss valuable sp., shifts ecosystem states, loss ES – Altered top-down regimes – Apex loss or introduction of exotics
  • 19. Discussion • What about other anthropogenic threats? • Do present conservation strategies contemplate this new paradigm?
  • 20. Surrogate species? Species used to represent other species or aspects of the environment to obtain a conservation objective. (Caro, 2010) Indicator Umbrella Keystone Flagship
  • 21. Thanks for your attention!