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Cracking the Code:
Inventory Management
September 2018
For the Supply Chain Leader Who Wants to Rise Above
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 2
I Am A Social Scientist
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 3
I Write for the Supply Chain Leader
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 4
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 5
What I Believed
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 6
What I Learned:
A Balanced Metrics Portfolio Drives Value
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 7
Today’s Reality
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 8
Growing Inventory Levels
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 9
Voice of IT
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 10
Voice of Business Leaders
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 11
WHY?
5 Reasons
Planning System
Satisfaction
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 13
Planning System Effectiveness
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 14
Data
Inputs
Engines Plan
Outputs
Align Engines with Outcomes
Planning Master Data
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 15
• Engines: Modeling/Math
• Scalability
• User Interface
• Collaboration/What-if Analysis
• Partner Requirements
• Culture
• System of Record
• Integration
Selection Criteria for Planning
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 16
• Engines: Modeling/Math
• Scalability
• User Interface
• Collaboration/What-if Analysis
• Partner Requirements
• Culture
• System of Record
• Integration
Selection Criteria for Planning
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 17
• Engines: Modeling/Math
• Scalability
• User Interface
• Collaboration/What-if Analysis
• Partner Requirements
• Culture
• System of Record
• Integration
Selection Criteria for Planning
Use of Excel Spreadsheets
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 19
The Building of Excel Ghettos
Isolated, Disconnected
Decision-making
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 20
Advanced Inventory Software Makes a Difference
Holistic Thinking
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 22
Embrace the Form & Function of Inventory
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 23
Form & Function of Inventory
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 24
Need for Holistic Thinking
Alignment
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 26
Inventory: Business Pain
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 27
Gaps
Rise in Complexity
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 29
Normal
Distribution
SKU/L
SalesVolume
Anything But Normal
Consistent and Forecastable: 874
items representing 77% of the
volume and 74% net sales. 64% of
the volume is forecastable with a
55% error.
Inconsistent demand: 1723 items
representing 23% of the volume and
26% net sales.
Traditional
Optimization
Techniques
Need for Machine Learning/Pattern
Recognition: Inventory Strategy
Not Forecastable
by Conventional
Means
Client Case Study
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 30
• A pattern caused by order frequency, order quantity
or batch size.
• A type of demand: price/promotion, new product
launch, seasonal consumption, special orders.
• A product build to execute a supply chain strategy.
Life for a supply chain planner is not as easy as it used to be.
Demand Flows require aligned Inventory Strategies.
What Is a Demand Flow?
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 31
Example: Navigating Demand As A River
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 32
Correct
Diagnose
Assess
Supplier
Quality
Supplier
On-Time
Purchase
Costs
Dir Mtl
Costs
RM
Inv
Cost
Detail
Production
Schedule
Variance
Plant
Utilization
WIP + FG
Inventory
Order
Cycle
Time
Perfect
Order
Detail
AP AR
Inventory
Total
Cash-to-Cash
Demand
Forecast
SCM
Cost
Perfect
Order
Lack of Understanding of Demand
Source: AMR Research 2004
The Manifesto for
Change
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 34
Today’s Supply Chain
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 35
Tomorrow’s Supply Chain Requirements
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 36
A Need for Balance
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 37
A Balanced Metrics Portfolio Drives Value
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 38
Wrap-up
Inventory Strategy
Matters
Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 40
About Lora Cecere
• Founder of Supply Chain Insights
• “LinkedIn Influencer”
• Guest blog for Forbes
• Author of 5 books: Bricks Matter (2012), Shaman’s Journal (2014),
Supply Chain Metrics That Matter (2014), Shaman’s Journal (2015),
Shaman’s Journal (2016), Shaman’s Journal (2017)
• Partner at Altimeter Group (leader in open research)
• 7 years of Management Experience leading Analyst Teams at
Gartner
and AMR Research
• 8 years Experience in Marketing and Selling Supply Chain Software
at Descartes Systems Group and Manugistics (now JDA)
• 15 Years Leading teams in Manufacturing and Distribution
operations for Clorox, Kraft/General Foods, Nestle/Dreyers Grand
Ice Cream and Procter & Gamble.
Contact Information:
• Email: lora.cecere@supplychaininsights.com
• Blog: www.supplychainshaman.com (18,000 pageviews/month)
• Forbes: www.forbes.com/sites/loracecere
• Twitter: twitter.com/lcecere (9,300 followers)
• LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/loracecere (283,000 followers)
• LinkedIn Influencer: www.linkedin.com/today/author/446631

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Five Reasons Why We Have Not Made Progress on Inventory Management

  • 1. Cracking the Code: Inventory Management September 2018 For the Supply Chain Leader Who Wants to Rise Above
  • 2. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 2 I Am A Social Scientist
  • 3. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 3 I Write for the Supply Chain Leader
  • 4. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 4
  • 5. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 5 What I Believed
  • 6. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 6 What I Learned: A Balanced Metrics Portfolio Drives Value
  • 7. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 7 Today’s Reality
  • 8. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 8 Growing Inventory Levels
  • 9. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 9 Voice of IT
  • 10. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 10 Voice of Business Leaders
  • 11. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 11 WHY? 5 Reasons
  • 13. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 13 Planning System Effectiveness
  • 14. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 14 Data Inputs Engines Plan Outputs Align Engines with Outcomes Planning Master Data
  • 15. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 15 • Engines: Modeling/Math • Scalability • User Interface • Collaboration/What-if Analysis • Partner Requirements • Culture • System of Record • Integration Selection Criteria for Planning
  • 16. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 16 • Engines: Modeling/Math • Scalability • User Interface • Collaboration/What-if Analysis • Partner Requirements • Culture • System of Record • Integration Selection Criteria for Planning
  • 17. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 17 • Engines: Modeling/Math • Scalability • User Interface • Collaboration/What-if Analysis • Partner Requirements • Culture • System of Record • Integration Selection Criteria for Planning
  • 18. Use of Excel Spreadsheets
  • 19. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 19 The Building of Excel Ghettos Isolated, Disconnected Decision-making
  • 20. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 20 Advanced Inventory Software Makes a Difference
  • 22. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 22 Embrace the Form & Function of Inventory
  • 23. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 23 Form & Function of Inventory
  • 24. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 24 Need for Holistic Thinking
  • 26. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 26 Inventory: Business Pain
  • 27. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 27 Gaps
  • 29. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 29 Normal Distribution SKU/L SalesVolume Anything But Normal Consistent and Forecastable: 874 items representing 77% of the volume and 74% net sales. 64% of the volume is forecastable with a 55% error. Inconsistent demand: 1723 items representing 23% of the volume and 26% net sales. Traditional Optimization Techniques Need for Machine Learning/Pattern Recognition: Inventory Strategy Not Forecastable by Conventional Means Client Case Study
  • 30. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 30 • A pattern caused by order frequency, order quantity or batch size. • A type of demand: price/promotion, new product launch, seasonal consumption, special orders. • A product build to execute a supply chain strategy. Life for a supply chain planner is not as easy as it used to be. Demand Flows require aligned Inventory Strategies. What Is a Demand Flow?
  • 31. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 31 Example: Navigating Demand As A River
  • 32. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 32 Correct Diagnose Assess Supplier Quality Supplier On-Time Purchase Costs Dir Mtl Costs RM Inv Cost Detail Production Schedule Variance Plant Utilization WIP + FG Inventory Order Cycle Time Perfect Order Detail AP AR Inventory Total Cash-to-Cash Demand Forecast SCM Cost Perfect Order Lack of Understanding of Demand Source: AMR Research 2004
  • 34. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 34 Today’s Supply Chain
  • 35. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 35 Tomorrow’s Supply Chain Requirements
  • 36. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 36 A Need for Balance
  • 37. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 37 A Balanced Metrics Portfolio Drives Value
  • 38. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 38 Wrap-up Inventory Strategy Matters
  • 39.
  • 40. Supply Chain Insights LLC Copyright © 2018, p. 40 About Lora Cecere • Founder of Supply Chain Insights • “LinkedIn Influencer” • Guest blog for Forbes • Author of 5 books: Bricks Matter (2012), Shaman’s Journal (2014), Supply Chain Metrics That Matter (2014), Shaman’s Journal (2015), Shaman’s Journal (2016), Shaman’s Journal (2017) • Partner at Altimeter Group (leader in open research) • 7 years of Management Experience leading Analyst Teams at Gartner and AMR Research • 8 years Experience in Marketing and Selling Supply Chain Software at Descartes Systems Group and Manugistics (now JDA) • 15 Years Leading teams in Manufacturing and Distribution operations for Clorox, Kraft/General Foods, Nestle/Dreyers Grand Ice Cream and Procter & Gamble. Contact Information: • Email: lora.cecere@supplychaininsights.com • Blog: www.supplychainshaman.com (18,000 pageviews/month) • Forbes: www.forbes.com/sites/loracecere • Twitter: twitter.com/lcecere (9,300 followers) • LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/loracecere (283,000 followers) • LinkedIn Influencer: www.linkedin.com/today/author/446631

Editor's Notes

  1. Why the long tail is getting bigger