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Value Capture
a Land Based Tool to Finance
Urban Development
Martim O. Smolka
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
Toronto, February 2, 2015
International Property Tax Institute &
Centre for Urban Research and Land Development at Ryerson University
Value capture around the world!
Some caveats!
Focus on the Latin American
Experience
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 2
Admit ignorance on Canadian experience
– David to cover
Transportation applications?
Topics
Antecedents
– Value capture not new and done in practically
all countries/jurisdictions - often unnoticed;
– Justification/purpose - a no brainer?
– Recent popularization
The menu of instruments: commentaries
Some notable and effective experiences
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 3
Definition of value capture
Value capture refers to the
recovery by the public of the
land value increments (unearned
income or plusvalías) generated
by actions other than the
landowner’s direct investments.
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 4
Increments resulting from the landowners
efforts are rather the exception to the rule…
Value capture
longstanding presence
in legal and planning agenda
Not new - historical precedents
– Filipines & Manuelines Ordinances of 16th century
– 1791 Arch. Mangin’s proposal - to reform Paris (then Haussmann)
– More recent in UK, Germany, France, Japan, Spain, US … Canada?
– Precedents in Latin America
• Bridge of the Commons Bogota 1809
• 1909 Sao Paulo pavement fee (idem Chile 1927/1953)
• Honduras since 1940, Guatemala 1956…
• All countries some proviso
– UN-Habitat - Vancouver declaration of 1976
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 5
El Puente del Común, en Bogotá, Colombia, fue
construido en 1809 utilizando una forma de
contribución de mejoras.
© kamilokardona/wikimedia commons
Why Value Capture?
• Marginal benefit to individual plots covering for marginal cost
imposed to whole city.
• Thus broad acceptability incl. among mainstream economists
Efficiency
• Some landowners more benefitted than others from public
interventions
• Survey among practitioners in LAC
Equity
• Financing urban development with the resulting land value
appreciation …
• No brainer - ref Shoup
Sustainability
• Generate needed local revenues - high potential
• Relevance when gauged against local investment capacityPragmatic
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 6
Nobel prized
Urbanization generates strong windfalls
(especially in third world countries)
• Typically over 400% when rural land is converted to urban uses (Mayo et
alli 1996, Bouillon 2013)Urban multiplier
• Fully serviced land US$145/m2
• Fully servicing land 10 to $35/ m2 (Vetter et allii 2012)
Land development
mark-up
• Pedestrianization of Ica Ucayali (Lima) investment of S/9.5KK => land
appreciation of S/94.5 KK (2011/13) - source new ordinance project.
Valorization from
public investment
• Developers bidding over US$500/m2 for additional FARs ref. OUFL in
SP (Sandroni 2012)
Value of building
rights
• $/M2 > 8x from 5/1992 to 11/1993 – Ciudadela Desepaz (Cali, Co) by
virtue of public announcements of to happen in the area. (Bonilla, 1997)
Expectations on new
urbanization project
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 7
Effects of Administrative Land Use
Changes on Land Prices (Stylized Facts)
Type of Land
Use Change
Price
before
Change
(US$/m2)
Increment
(%)
Price after
Change
(US$/m2)
Windfall on
5,000 m2
(US$)
Rural to Urban
Conversion
2 400 10 40,000
Building
Norms
100 80 180 400,000
Zoning
Regulations
200 100 400 1,000,000
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 8
Source: Prepared by the author.
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 9
Why is it so hard to finance the public
infrastructure that increases the value
of serviced land by much more than the
cost of the infrastructure itself?
(Shoup 1994 p. 236 236)
Value Capture a ‘no brainer’?
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
10
Absolute increment in land price (US$/m2)
due to access to infrastructure and distance to center1
vs. Urbanization Costs (US$ per 1000 m² usable area)2
Access to
additional service
Distance to center, km Investment
Cost5-10 15-20 25-30
+ Water 11.1 5.1 3.2 1.02
+ Paving 9.1 4.8 3.4 2.58
+ Plumbing 8.5 1.8 0.3 3.03
Source:
1 - M.V. Serra, D. Dowall e D.M. da Motta – Analise do Mercado de solo urbano em Metropoles do
Brasil – a RM do Recife - Agosto de 2003 – pg 65, World Bank, Cities Alliance, IPEA, and FIDEM
2 - Avaliação de Glebas. REVISTA CONSTRUÇÃO (2001) em Fev de 2001 - 1US$ = R$1.987
Growing popularization
Explicit in new national urban
development laws
– Colombia (1997), Brazil (2001), => Ec, Uy, Arg etc.
– Unjustified enrichment with no cause
-§ in most Constitutions
Multilateral agencies
– WB, IADB, UN-Habitat
Media
– Economist, Financial times etc.
Recent books – Value capture to
transport investments
– E.g. Suzuki et alli, Mathur
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 11
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 12
Value capture tools - like Pasta!
an ample menu of possibilities
Others
Regulatory
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 13
Sample of alternative LAC instruments
Type Instrument Illustration Commentary
Taxes
Land Value Tax Mexicali, Mexico
Charge exclusively on land as opposed to
buildings (thus incentivized)
Temporary property
tax rate increase
Buenos Aires subway, Argentina Benefits to all citizens!
Fees
Betterment
Contributions
Bogota over $1 billion (since 1921)
Up top cost or share of lvi
Virtually in all countries
Linkage fees Many cities in Brazil in the 90’s
Charges to additional building rights -
over and above existing maximums
Regulatory
Certificates of building
potential rights (CEPACs)
Agua Espraiada & Faria Lima Ave in SP;
Green Line, Curitiba; Porto Maravilha, RJ
Auctioning in the open market –
anticipatory, Urban Operations
Exactions Impacto Vial in Guatemala
Charges sharing of land value increment
resulting from administrative act
Partnerships
Land readjustment Simesa project in Medellin Colombia
Recovery of urbanization costs through
sales and redistribution of benefitted land
Urban operations Puerto Madero in Buenos Aires, Argentina
Partnerships, to supersede regulations in
large scale redevelopment projects
Others
Transfer of
Development Rights
3rd Perimetral Avenue in Porto Alegre, Br
Building rights as currency to acquire land
from frontage properties to new avenue
Public land
procurement
Nuevo USME Operation, Bogota Colombia
Public acquisition of land at prices before
the announcement
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 14
Value capture tools – Other regions
1. Land value increment tax – Korea, Taiwan
2. Impact and development charges and fees, US
3. Charges to building rights– PLD France (OODC )
4. Urban Operations, ZACs etc
5. Land leasing (public) - Hong King, R’dam
6. Tax Increment Financing - TIF
7. Special districts - BIDs
8. Land Banks - Territorial reserves (Mex)
9. Expropriations
10. Preemption rights
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 15
‘Common’ among instruments
Generating fact: land value increment
(current, past or future)
Associated to immediate urban
benefit
Payment not always in money
Ad-hoc, not permanent
Objectives not necessarily to raise revenues
Incidence of value capture
Incidence
Illustration
Instrument Jurisdiction
Land uses
Existing
Progressive tax on idle
land
Many cities in
Brazil
New ones Participation in Plusvalias Colombia, Co
Project/s or
plot/s
Single
Charges on building
rights (OODC)
Sao Paulo, Brazil
Multiple
Office of the Historian
revolving fund
Cuba
Payment
Voluntary Publicly owned land Puerto Madero, Ar
Negotiated
Declaratory of Priority
development
Bogota, Co
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 16
Financing Alternatives
One size DOES NOT fit all!
Infra
structure
Land Use
Existing New
Existing Property Tax OODC
(charge on building rights)
New
Betterment
Contribution
Land
Readjustment
17Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
Some notable experiences
Betterment Contribution
– Colombia
– Ecuador (Cuenca)
Charges on Building rights in Brazil
– OODC
– CEPACs
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 18
Betterment Contribution in the
municipality of Cuenca, Ecuador
• Last 10 years 1,800 public works
projectsRegularity
• US$200 p/capita (> Bogotá’s US$150)
• ~ US$106 M=> paving 270 km of roads.
Revenues
• 90% of households – paying < 4 years,
• 95% of projects collecting 60% in BC
• only 3% noncompliant contributors.
Performance
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 19
Antecedents/landmarks for OODC
• Solo CriadoFrench - ‘Plafond Legal de
Densite’
1976
• Linkage Operations1980’s
• Urban Operations1990’s
• Brazilian New Constitution
• Articles 182 and 183
1988
• The ‘City Statute’ - land development act
• Selling of Building Rights – OODC
2001
20
SP - $150 million 1988/1998
15,000 social housings
Charge for building rights
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 21
In Curitiba, Brazil, the taller
building on the left graphically
illustrates the area above the basic
FAR of about six stories for which
building rights were charged. The
taller building on the right also paid
for additional building rights, but
did not dramatize that fact in its
design. © Gislene Pereira
Basic FAR
Max FAR
Additional
building
rights
charged for
City of São Paulo = About $762 million, since 2004
(US$130 million in 2013)
Note:
The City of São Paulo
recently reduced all
basic FAR to = 1!
What are CEPACs?
Certificates of Additional Development Potential
A bond issued by the Municipality – yet not
implying in public debt – ref. legal issues
Sold by electronic auction in the São Paulo Stock
Exchange Market and controlled by CVM (=SEC)
Created in 1995, sanctioned by the ‘City Statute’
(Brazilian Land Development Act) of 2001
22Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O.
CEPACs - overview
Innovative instrument of Value Capture
Applied in Urban Operations (UOs)
CEPACs is a Bond used to acquire
– Additional building rights
– Changes in land uses
In SP, 2004/12, in 2 major UOs
– Faria Lima and Agua Espraiada
– Over $2,5 Billions of revenues
– Ref: 22.5% of Property Taxes
Other applications in Rio, Curitiba etc.
23Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
Notable cases: CEPACs in S. Paulo
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 24
From : Paulo Sandroni “Certificados de Potencial Adicional de
Construcción (CEPAC) en la financiación de grandes proyectos de
desarrollo urbano: El caso de São Paulo” Presentación in the Forum on
Notable tools of Urban Policy – Quito May 2013.
Jardim Edith slum
occupants resettled in
new building in the same
area funded by CEPACs
Additional FARs licensed
against CEPACs auctioned
in the market
Lessons from LAC experience
• Still short of potential - yet relevant
if compared to enhancement of local
investment capacity;
Revenues
• Associated to spin given to address
local needs (rather that direct
emulation)
Successes
• The 4 I’s (Ideology, Interest, Inertia
and … Ignorance)Resistance
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 25
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
Martim Oscar Smolka
Senior Fellow and Director of the
Latin America and the Caribbean Program
Lincoln Institute of Land Policy
113 Brattle Street
Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Tel: 1- (617) 503 2155
Fax: 1- (617) 661-7235
e-mail: msmolka@lincolninst.edu
http:www.lincolninst.edu
26
Tool Incidence Context
Process for
Capturing Value
Advantages Cautions
Pre-Existing
Capacity
Procurement ESC
Land needed for new
public projects, such
as low-income housing
Confiscation of
changes in land
value from prior use
Public investments
made prior to
development
Arbitrary
decisions from
unprepared
courts
Legitimate public
utilities to
participate in the
process
Property or
Land Value
Tax
EMC
Properties benefiting
from citywide
improvements
Rate imposed on
land value
component
Universality and
regularity
Land vs. building
component of
property value
Continuous updating
of value maps and
cadastres
Exactions NSV
Public concessions on
new developments
In-kind or monetary
compensation
Flexibility allowing
for unanticipated
developments
Manipulation or
stakeholder
influence
Access to
information about
private gains and
public impacts
Betterment
Contribution
EMC
Provision of local
public works
Cost recovery or
sharing
Beneficiaries
invest in the
project
Accurate
assessment of
potential
benefits
Capacity of
beneficiaries to
participate and pay
Transfer of
Development
Rights
ESC
Public interest in
designated property
Compensation with
rights given in
other properties
Building rights
used as currency
to fund public
projects
Accuracy of
conversion rates
for development
rights
Availability of
building rights in
the transfer areas
Land
Readjustment
NMV
Urbanization of a new
area or reconfiguring
of existing parcels
of shares in the
redeveloped land
Funding of new
urban
infrastructure
Obstructions
from unwilling
landowners
Power to negotiate
with all affected
participants
Charges for
Building Rights
NSC Single building license
Land assessment
techniques
Compensation to
the public for
existing
infrastructure
Allegations of
acquired rights
Land monitoring and
cadastral systems
CEPACs NMC
New or redeveloped
projects with broader
urban impacts
Public auction
Transparency and
accuracy in
transactions and
Market volatility;
gentrification
Public credibility
and capacity for
financial
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 27
.
Porto Maravilha, Rio de Janeiro - Illustrative
image old harbour : US$ 4 billions project
28Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
29
Additional Building Potential to be converted
into CEPACs (in millions of sqm per sector
Bogota, Nov 2014 Martim O. Smolka
Rio de Janeiro Porto
Maravilha revitalization project
Single buyer/bidder in 6/13/2011
– the Real Estate Development Fund Porto
Maravilha) created by CEF - pension funds (FGTS).
6,436,722 CEPACs for 4,089,502 sqm of additional
building rights
Paid $1.75 Billion to the Mayor’s office of Rio.
– US$271 per CEPACs
In 10/22/2012 CEF offered 100.000 CEPACs
– Revenues of US$15 million from sale of 26.086, at min price
of US$ 575 each
Appretiation of 112%
30Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
Curitiba Linha Verde
Linha Verde = conversion Highway BR116 into an
urban avenue
– City expansion and cutting across 22 neighborhoods of the city.
– The project includes the extension of a BRT line, opening green areas and higher
density land uses.
$600 million investment
4,830,000 CEPACs at initial price of $100,-
– Municipal - Decree 134 of 26/01/2012
June 2012 first auction in SP Bovespa
– 18 bidders to 141.588 bonds in offer.
– A group of 3 bidders - ref shopping center acquired 70% of the CEPACs
– Expected $30 million, but only $14.2 million - CEPACs at $100! minimum legal
– $100 = estimated market value by a private consultant - feasibility study
31Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
Linha Verde
32
Southern track – 2010
From Saffioti 2012
Gazeta do Povo
27/06/2012
Site Curitiba
Mayor’s office
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
-
Urban Operations (UOs) in São paulo
-
33
13 on-going UOs in São Paulo
- 4 from 1990 to 2002
- 5 currently functioning (103 Km2)
- 8 proposed Master Plan of 2002 yet
to be approved (200 Km2)
.20% of city area (300/1,500Km2)
or 30% of urbanized area
CEPACs used in 2 of them
- Faria Lima and
- Agua Espraiada
Most recent (new): Agua Branca UO
Source: "Land Readjustment and Joint Urban
Operations", Montandon, Daniel T. and De Sousa,
Felipe F. Romano Guerra Editora, São Paulo, 2007
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
III Perimetral Ave in Porto Alegre
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 34
Funding Mun + IDB
Execution cost U$ 53.0 millions
Land acquisition U$20.0 millions
Consensual public
acquisition
US$ 3.2 millions
Contested acquisition US$ 4.0 millions
Acquired w/TDRs (65%
of the total)
US$ 9.8 millions
12,3km of ext and 40m wide
Exclusive track for BRTs
Source: UZON, Néia. Uso de la transferencia del potencial constructivo para la adquisición de inmuebles: la experiencia de Porto Alegre.
132,000 m2 acquired
w/TDR as currency
Foto de Gilberto Simon
In Furtado et alli 2012
The Haussmann System
Sell back the land expropriated at the value
warranted for lots along newly created avenues
Financial benefits were limited by high
expropriation costs - determined by a jury of
property owners - at skyrocket prices
How did you make your fortune? … I was
expropriated
=> only 20% total costs were offset
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 35
Source: Kirkland, Stephane, “Paris Reborn: Napoléon III,
Baron Haussmann, and the Quest to Build a Modern City St.
Martin’s Press, NY 2013, pg 138
Proposal submitted to the Nat’l Assembly to reform Paris:
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 36
The acquisition and resale of houses and land would
yield a continuous profit that could be gathered in a
fund for the improvement of Paris and used to pay for
the squares and public monuments in the proposed plan.
Source: Charles Mangin, “Expose et analyse du plan et projet presénté à
l’Assemblée nationale avec les moyens d’en opérer l’éxécution” Paris 1791, pp10- 11
. Cited in Kirkland, Stephane, “Paris Reborn: Napoléon III, Baron Haussmann,
and the Quest to Build a Modern City St. Martin’s Press, NY 2013, pg 138
1791, Architect Charles Mangin’s
Build a new square where the place du Chatelet
stands today and then publically redevelop all of
central Paris piece by piece, using the proceeds
from previous development.
Haussmann strongly influenced by Mangin.
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 37
Financial Times - January 23, 2015 2:45 pm
Why Britain’s ‘broken’ planning system means local people miss out
By Anna Minton
Why speculators are benefiting from rising land values instead of local communities as
was originally intended
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/0f72b534-9ccb-11e4-971b-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3PkTldas
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 38
The Economist, January 11th 2014, pg 12
Vancouver Declaration (UN-Habitat 1976)
Recommendation D3.b:
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 39
The Report of Habitat:
United Nations Conference on Human Settlements,
Vancouver, Canada, May 31-June 11, 1976;
Declaration of Principles, in its section II, Item 10.
The unearned increment resulting from the rise in land
values resulting from change in use of land, from public
investment or decision, or due to general growth of the
community must be subject to appropriate recapture by
public bodies (the community), unless the situation calls
for other additional measures such as new patterns of
ownership, the general acquisition of land by public bodies.
Recent books
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 40
“Suzuki, Hiroaki; Murakami, Jin; Hong, Yu-Hung; Tamayose,
Beth. 2015. Financing Transit-Oriented Development
with Land Values : Adapting Land Value Capture in
Developing Countries. Washington, DC: World Bank. ©
World Bank.
https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/2128
6 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.”
Mathur, Shishir, 2014-5 Innovation in Public Transport
Finance: Property Value Capture, Ashgate Publishing
Limited, United Kingdom, 228 p
http://www.ashgate.com/isbn/9781409462606
Taxing land value
Consensus among Nobel prized economists!
• Pure land rent is in the nature of a 'surplus' which can be taxed heavily without distorting
production incentives or efficiency.
Paul Samuelson
(1970)
• I think in principle it's a good idea to tax unimproved land, and particularly capital gains
(windfalls) on it
James Tobin
(1981)
• It is important that the rent of land be retained as a source of government revenue.
Franco Modigliani
(1985)
• The landowner who withdraws land from productive use to a purely private use should be
required to pay higher, not lower, taxes.
James Buchanan
(1986)
• For efficiency, for adequate revenue and for justice, every user of land should be required to
make an annual payment to the local government equal to the current rental value of the land …
Robert Solow
(1987)
• Applying a tax to land values also means removing other taxes. This would so improve the
efficiency of a city that land values would go up more than the increase in taxes on land."
William Vickrey
(1996)
• … using land rents as the basis of taxation is an argument that I think makes an awful lot of
sense because it is a non-distortionary source of income and wealth
Joseph Stiglitz,
(2001)
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 41
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 42
Alejo Carpentier
(1904-1980)
Two mechanisms move the
world: sex and ‘plusvalías’
Surplus-value
Cuban novelist, essayist and musicologist - with heavy in the development of
Latin-American literature – one of the most important writers of the XX century
Winner of the Cervantes Prize in 1977
Agua Branca - Urban Operation
1989 - 1.2 million of m2 of (cautionary) additional building
area proposed – later (optimist) increase to 1.8 million m2
2015 - 2.190.000 CEPACs divided as
– 1.605.000 - residential w/ initial price at ~$600/CEPAC
– 585.000 non residential w/ initial price at ~$700/CEPAC
Potentially over $1,4 Billion! revenues depending on bids
Area under deep transformations
Property market declining with economic recession –
Negative GDP for 2015!
Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Brazil Martim O. Smolka 43
OPERATION
44
The ‘mechanics’ of CEPACs – 1
Total amount of CEPACs in an UO is predetermined
– According to what present and future infrastructure can support
Possible uses of CEPACs
– Mainly additional FAR
– But also to change land uses, footprint, etc
– To pay contractors if they accept
Variations of m2 per CEPAC in different areas compensate
for land value differences
– e.g. from .8m2 to 2.8m2 in OUFL - see map
Once the stock of buildable m2 in a sector is exhausted
undeveloped lot in the area can no longer use CEPACs
– Developer better link ones CEPACS immediately to the lot
45
The ‘mechanics’ of CEPACs – 2
Private and public auctions
– Public – to acquire development rights
– Private - as a ‘currency’ to pay contractors
Face value
– Realized value from previous auction
– (Note: exception for outlier in 2008!)
Revenues in excess can be invested in financial
market
– Up to 2013 => financial revenues of $300,000,000
Specific uses for revenues
46
Auctions of CEPACs
CEPACs issued by EMURB (the urban development agency)
for the Municipality
– EMURB also responsible for management and information on
investment program for the UO
Fiscalizations by CEF (a social federal bank)
Each auction linked to defined investments
– Infrastructure, social housing etc
CVM (Brazilian equivalent to SEC)
– Authorizes auctions in the Stock Market
– Registers UO to which CEPACs are linked
– Is informed of any initiative to change the Master Plan
47
Auctions highlights
Offered values per CEPACs ranged:
– In Faria Lima UO - US$550- in 2004 up
to US$2,100- in 2010
– In Agua Espraiada UO - from US$172.- in
2004 up to US$636.- last one in 2012
Ratio of # of CEPACs offered and
effectively sold
– In 8 out of the 15 auctions total amount of
CEPACs offered were entirely sold
Premiums in 9/15 auctions
48
Public and Private Auctions of CEPACs in Faria Lima UO, São
Paulo, 2004–2010
Year and
Type
# CEPACs
Offered
# CEPACs
Sold
Price
(US$)
Income (US$)
2004
Public 90,000 9,091 550 5,000,050
Private na 24,991 550 13,745,050
2005
Public 0
Private na 9,778 550 5,377,900
2006
Public 10,000 2,729 550 1,500,950
Private na 6,241 550 3,432,550
2007
Public 156,730 156,730 620 97,172,600
Private na 72,942 620 45,224,040
2008
Public 83,788 83,788 769 64,432,972
Private na 2,500 863 2,156,250
2009
Public 100,000 55,612 850 47,270,200
Public 30,000 1,521 858 1,304,258
Public 120,000 120,000 2,100 252,000,000
2010 Public 92,151 92,151 2,000 184,302,000
Total 682,669 638,074 722,918,820
49
Source: Sandroni (2012).
CEPACs Authorized for the Agua Espraiada UO, São
Paulo, (through January 31, 2013)
Authorized distributions by
CVM
CEPACs US$
US$ per CEPAC
(average)
14/7/2004 299,368 51,404,360 172
10/1/2007 317,781 65,304,996 206
23/12/2008 186,740 103,640,520 555
5/9/2008 1,099,880 386,461,945 351
9/2/2012 1,360,338 865,676,658 636
Total 3,263,907 1,447,488,659 443
Private Offers 127,092 25,664,266 202
Grand Total 3,390,999 1,473,152,925 434
Used for a License /
Completed Projects
-2,333,897
Remaining in Circulation 1,057,102
Total CEPACs 3,750,000
Balance 359,001
50
Source: Municipality of São Paulo,
Secretariat of Urban Development
Auctions: explaining volatility
(variable results over the 20 auctions)
Pre-existing building/development rights charges
– CEPACs implied in >350% raise of $/m2
Real estate business cycle
– e.g. 2004 and economic crisis in late 2008
Ratio of stock of CEPACs in private hands to actual use
Political instability - changes in public administrations
– Uncertainty w.r.to continuity of tool
Irrational(?) speculative behavior by private agents
– Developer paid 140% overprice only to observe price dropping
50% in a subsequent auction!
51
EVALUATION
52
Risks with CEPACs – 1
Prices may float as with any other bond
– Real estate market
– Systemic – financial market
Public transferring development rights to the
buyer
– No financial claims against the public administration
– No public liability (due compensations to private) with fall in
land prices or exhaustion of buildable m2 in a given sector
Legal injunctions affecting the UO
– E.g. non-removal of slums - (Jardim Edith ZEIS)
53
Risks with CEPACs – 2
Changes in supra municipality conditions
– E.g. new environmental restrictions affecting the UO
– In Rio no land use plan approved by City Council!
Timing of auctions at public adm. Discretion
– Eager developers may depend on secondary market
No guarantee of public expenditures in items
auction linked to
– If given auction does not generate sufficient revenues
54
Advantages of CEPACs
Auction overcomes need for calculation
of land value increment
Anticipation of funds for public
administration to invest - economies
with urban infrastructure and services
Selling by ‘tranches’ – allows monitoring
and fine calibration of the market
Earmarked – confidence of developers
55
Benefits
City benefitting from investments in UOs
– E.g Stayed Bridge and access to Imigrantes highway
– Social inclusion
• ZEIS in Jardim Edith
• In neighborhood relocation of slums dwellers
Establishing a culture of value capture
– Citizen pedagogy regarding unearned LVI
New revenues
– Release of public revenues for other uses
56
Problems with existing instruments
Minimum of 50%
– Negotiations above
Calculation of the benefit
– The actual value of the additional building
rights – (otherwise land value increment)
Form of payment
– in works (infra) or social housing elsewhere
Timing
– Infrastructure tied to developers projects
57
Criticisms
Support from a relative sophisticated capital
market
– credibility of the bonds - access and disposal.
– limited use in less developed areas;
Two cases FL and AE: cherry of the cake
– Other UOs not so attractive to investors
In UO FL revenues in excess with no major
investment pending
– May generate wasteful/superfluous expenditures
– Ref Ponte Estaiada (needed …but, could be cheaper)
58
Criticisms
Its ‘preferential option’ for high-end projects.
– In low-income housing and areas .
• lower payment capacity on the one side and
• perceived negative externalities on the other may draw
building rights bids below the public investment threshold
costs.
• need to add a subsidy for the low-income housing => noises in
the auction process;
gentrifying UO likely to be more successfully
– intra-urban differentiation and with that social
segregation.
– The acid test: UO precedes CEPACs or opportunity
to use CEPACs define UO
59
Conclusion
CEPACs – an evolving, ingenious and
effective tool
– Learning by doing
– Overcome problems with previous tools
– Growing effectiveness
– Generate non-trivial revenues
Not the silver bullet - relevance to well-
defined and specific situations
– Requires sophisticated financial and planning institutions
Handle with care when attempting replication
60

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Value Capture: A Land Based Tool to Finance Urban Development

  • 1. 1 Value Capture a Land Based Tool to Finance Urban Development Martim O. Smolka Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka Toronto, February 2, 2015 International Property Tax Institute & Centre for Urban Research and Land Development at Ryerson University
  • 2. Value capture around the world! Some caveats! Focus on the Latin American Experience Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 2 Admit ignorance on Canadian experience – David to cover Transportation applications?
  • 3. Topics Antecedents – Value capture not new and done in practically all countries/jurisdictions - often unnoticed; – Justification/purpose - a no brainer? – Recent popularization The menu of instruments: commentaries Some notable and effective experiences Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 3
  • 4. Definition of value capture Value capture refers to the recovery by the public of the land value increments (unearned income or plusvalías) generated by actions other than the landowner’s direct investments. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 4 Increments resulting from the landowners efforts are rather the exception to the rule…
  • 5. Value capture longstanding presence in legal and planning agenda Not new - historical precedents – Filipines & Manuelines Ordinances of 16th century – 1791 Arch. Mangin’s proposal - to reform Paris (then Haussmann) – More recent in UK, Germany, France, Japan, Spain, US … Canada? – Precedents in Latin America • Bridge of the Commons Bogota 1809 • 1909 Sao Paulo pavement fee (idem Chile 1927/1953) • Honduras since 1940, Guatemala 1956… • All countries some proviso – UN-Habitat - Vancouver declaration of 1976 Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 5 El Puente del Común, en Bogotá, Colombia, fue construido en 1809 utilizando una forma de contribución de mejoras. © kamilokardona/wikimedia commons
  • 6. Why Value Capture? • Marginal benefit to individual plots covering for marginal cost imposed to whole city. • Thus broad acceptability incl. among mainstream economists Efficiency • Some landowners more benefitted than others from public interventions • Survey among practitioners in LAC Equity • Financing urban development with the resulting land value appreciation … • No brainer - ref Shoup Sustainability • Generate needed local revenues - high potential • Relevance when gauged against local investment capacityPragmatic Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 6 Nobel prized
  • 7. Urbanization generates strong windfalls (especially in third world countries) • Typically over 400% when rural land is converted to urban uses (Mayo et alli 1996, Bouillon 2013)Urban multiplier • Fully serviced land US$145/m2 • Fully servicing land 10 to $35/ m2 (Vetter et allii 2012) Land development mark-up • Pedestrianization of Ica Ucayali (Lima) investment of S/9.5KK => land appreciation of S/94.5 KK (2011/13) - source new ordinance project. Valorization from public investment • Developers bidding over US$500/m2 for additional FARs ref. OUFL in SP (Sandroni 2012) Value of building rights • $/M2 > 8x from 5/1992 to 11/1993 – Ciudadela Desepaz (Cali, Co) by virtue of public announcements of to happen in the area. (Bonilla, 1997) Expectations on new urbanization project Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 7
  • 8. Effects of Administrative Land Use Changes on Land Prices (Stylized Facts) Type of Land Use Change Price before Change (US$/m2) Increment (%) Price after Change (US$/m2) Windfall on 5,000 m2 (US$) Rural to Urban Conversion 2 400 10 40,000 Building Norms 100 80 180 400,000 Zoning Regulations 200 100 400 1,000,000 Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 8 Source: Prepared by the author.
  • 9. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 9 Why is it so hard to finance the public infrastructure that increases the value of serviced land by much more than the cost of the infrastructure itself? (Shoup 1994 p. 236 236) Value Capture a ‘no brainer’?
  • 10. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 10 Absolute increment in land price (US$/m2) due to access to infrastructure and distance to center1 vs. Urbanization Costs (US$ per 1000 m² usable area)2 Access to additional service Distance to center, km Investment Cost5-10 15-20 25-30 + Water 11.1 5.1 3.2 1.02 + Paving 9.1 4.8 3.4 2.58 + Plumbing 8.5 1.8 0.3 3.03 Source: 1 - M.V. Serra, D. Dowall e D.M. da Motta – Analise do Mercado de solo urbano em Metropoles do Brasil – a RM do Recife - Agosto de 2003 – pg 65, World Bank, Cities Alliance, IPEA, and FIDEM 2 - Avaliação de Glebas. REVISTA CONSTRUÇÃO (2001) em Fev de 2001 - 1US$ = R$1.987
  • 11. Growing popularization Explicit in new national urban development laws – Colombia (1997), Brazil (2001), => Ec, Uy, Arg etc. – Unjustified enrichment with no cause -§ in most Constitutions Multilateral agencies – WB, IADB, UN-Habitat Media – Economist, Financial times etc. Recent books – Value capture to transport investments – E.g. Suzuki et alli, Mathur Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 11
  • 12. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 12 Value capture tools - like Pasta! an ample menu of possibilities Others Regulatory
  • 13. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 13 Sample of alternative LAC instruments Type Instrument Illustration Commentary Taxes Land Value Tax Mexicali, Mexico Charge exclusively on land as opposed to buildings (thus incentivized) Temporary property tax rate increase Buenos Aires subway, Argentina Benefits to all citizens! Fees Betterment Contributions Bogota over $1 billion (since 1921) Up top cost or share of lvi Virtually in all countries Linkage fees Many cities in Brazil in the 90’s Charges to additional building rights - over and above existing maximums Regulatory Certificates of building potential rights (CEPACs) Agua Espraiada & Faria Lima Ave in SP; Green Line, Curitiba; Porto Maravilha, RJ Auctioning in the open market – anticipatory, Urban Operations Exactions Impacto Vial in Guatemala Charges sharing of land value increment resulting from administrative act Partnerships Land readjustment Simesa project in Medellin Colombia Recovery of urbanization costs through sales and redistribution of benefitted land Urban operations Puerto Madero in Buenos Aires, Argentina Partnerships, to supersede regulations in large scale redevelopment projects Others Transfer of Development Rights 3rd Perimetral Avenue in Porto Alegre, Br Building rights as currency to acquire land from frontage properties to new avenue Public land procurement Nuevo USME Operation, Bogota Colombia Public acquisition of land at prices before the announcement
  • 14. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 14 Value capture tools – Other regions 1. Land value increment tax – Korea, Taiwan 2. Impact and development charges and fees, US 3. Charges to building rights– PLD France (OODC ) 4. Urban Operations, ZACs etc 5. Land leasing (public) - Hong King, R’dam 6. Tax Increment Financing - TIF 7. Special districts - BIDs 8. Land Banks - Territorial reserves (Mex) 9. Expropriations 10. Preemption rights
  • 15. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 15 ‘Common’ among instruments Generating fact: land value increment (current, past or future) Associated to immediate urban benefit Payment not always in money Ad-hoc, not permanent Objectives not necessarily to raise revenues
  • 16. Incidence of value capture Incidence Illustration Instrument Jurisdiction Land uses Existing Progressive tax on idle land Many cities in Brazil New ones Participation in Plusvalias Colombia, Co Project/s or plot/s Single Charges on building rights (OODC) Sao Paulo, Brazil Multiple Office of the Historian revolving fund Cuba Payment Voluntary Publicly owned land Puerto Madero, Ar Negotiated Declaratory of Priority development Bogota, Co Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 16
  • 17. Financing Alternatives One size DOES NOT fit all! Infra structure Land Use Existing New Existing Property Tax OODC (charge on building rights) New Betterment Contribution Land Readjustment 17Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 18. Some notable experiences Betterment Contribution – Colombia – Ecuador (Cuenca) Charges on Building rights in Brazil – OODC – CEPACs Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 18
  • 19. Betterment Contribution in the municipality of Cuenca, Ecuador • Last 10 years 1,800 public works projectsRegularity • US$200 p/capita (> Bogotá’s US$150) • ~ US$106 M=> paving 270 km of roads. Revenues • 90% of households – paying < 4 years, • 95% of projects collecting 60% in BC • only 3% noncompliant contributors. Performance Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 19
  • 20. Antecedents/landmarks for OODC • Solo CriadoFrench - ‘Plafond Legal de Densite’ 1976 • Linkage Operations1980’s • Urban Operations1990’s • Brazilian New Constitution • Articles 182 and 183 1988 • The ‘City Statute’ - land development act • Selling of Building Rights – OODC 2001 20 SP - $150 million 1988/1998 15,000 social housings
  • 21. Charge for building rights Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 21 In Curitiba, Brazil, the taller building on the left graphically illustrates the area above the basic FAR of about six stories for which building rights were charged. The taller building on the right also paid for additional building rights, but did not dramatize that fact in its design. © Gislene Pereira Basic FAR Max FAR Additional building rights charged for City of São Paulo = About $762 million, since 2004 (US$130 million in 2013) Note: The City of São Paulo recently reduced all basic FAR to = 1!
  • 22. What are CEPACs? Certificates of Additional Development Potential A bond issued by the Municipality – yet not implying in public debt – ref. legal issues Sold by electronic auction in the São Paulo Stock Exchange Market and controlled by CVM (=SEC) Created in 1995, sanctioned by the ‘City Statute’ (Brazilian Land Development Act) of 2001 22Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O.
  • 23. CEPACs - overview Innovative instrument of Value Capture Applied in Urban Operations (UOs) CEPACs is a Bond used to acquire – Additional building rights – Changes in land uses In SP, 2004/12, in 2 major UOs – Faria Lima and Agua Espraiada – Over $2,5 Billions of revenues – Ref: 22.5% of Property Taxes Other applications in Rio, Curitiba etc. 23Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 24. Notable cases: CEPACs in S. Paulo Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 24 From : Paulo Sandroni “Certificados de Potencial Adicional de Construcción (CEPAC) en la financiación de grandes proyectos de desarrollo urbano: El caso de São Paulo” Presentación in the Forum on Notable tools of Urban Policy – Quito May 2013. Jardim Edith slum occupants resettled in new building in the same area funded by CEPACs Additional FARs licensed against CEPACs auctioned in the market
  • 25. Lessons from LAC experience • Still short of potential - yet relevant if compared to enhancement of local investment capacity; Revenues • Associated to spin given to address local needs (rather that direct emulation) Successes • The 4 I’s (Ideology, Interest, Inertia and … Ignorance)Resistance Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 25
  • 26. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka Martim Oscar Smolka Senior Fellow and Director of the Latin America and the Caribbean Program Lincoln Institute of Land Policy 113 Brattle Street Cambridge, MA 02138, USA Tel: 1- (617) 503 2155 Fax: 1- (617) 661-7235 e-mail: msmolka@lincolninst.edu http:www.lincolninst.edu 26
  • 27. Tool Incidence Context Process for Capturing Value Advantages Cautions Pre-Existing Capacity Procurement ESC Land needed for new public projects, such as low-income housing Confiscation of changes in land value from prior use Public investments made prior to development Arbitrary decisions from unprepared courts Legitimate public utilities to participate in the process Property or Land Value Tax EMC Properties benefiting from citywide improvements Rate imposed on land value component Universality and regularity Land vs. building component of property value Continuous updating of value maps and cadastres Exactions NSV Public concessions on new developments In-kind or monetary compensation Flexibility allowing for unanticipated developments Manipulation or stakeholder influence Access to information about private gains and public impacts Betterment Contribution EMC Provision of local public works Cost recovery or sharing Beneficiaries invest in the project Accurate assessment of potential benefits Capacity of beneficiaries to participate and pay Transfer of Development Rights ESC Public interest in designated property Compensation with rights given in other properties Building rights used as currency to fund public projects Accuracy of conversion rates for development rights Availability of building rights in the transfer areas Land Readjustment NMV Urbanization of a new area or reconfiguring of existing parcels of shares in the redeveloped land Funding of new urban infrastructure Obstructions from unwilling landowners Power to negotiate with all affected participants Charges for Building Rights NSC Single building license Land assessment techniques Compensation to the public for existing infrastructure Allegations of acquired rights Land monitoring and cadastral systems CEPACs NMC New or redeveloped projects with broader urban impacts Public auction Transparency and accuracy in transactions and Market volatility; gentrification Public credibility and capacity for financial Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 27
  • 28. . Porto Maravilha, Rio de Janeiro - Illustrative image old harbour : US$ 4 billions project 28Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 29. 29 Additional Building Potential to be converted into CEPACs (in millions of sqm per sector Bogota, Nov 2014 Martim O. Smolka
  • 30. Rio de Janeiro Porto Maravilha revitalization project Single buyer/bidder in 6/13/2011 – the Real Estate Development Fund Porto Maravilha) created by CEF - pension funds (FGTS). 6,436,722 CEPACs for 4,089,502 sqm of additional building rights Paid $1.75 Billion to the Mayor’s office of Rio. – US$271 per CEPACs In 10/22/2012 CEF offered 100.000 CEPACs – Revenues of US$15 million from sale of 26.086, at min price of US$ 575 each Appretiation of 112% 30Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 31. Curitiba Linha Verde Linha Verde = conversion Highway BR116 into an urban avenue – City expansion and cutting across 22 neighborhoods of the city. – The project includes the extension of a BRT line, opening green areas and higher density land uses. $600 million investment 4,830,000 CEPACs at initial price of $100,- – Municipal - Decree 134 of 26/01/2012 June 2012 first auction in SP Bovespa – 18 bidders to 141.588 bonds in offer. – A group of 3 bidders - ref shopping center acquired 70% of the CEPACs – Expected $30 million, but only $14.2 million - CEPACs at $100! minimum legal – $100 = estimated market value by a private consultant - feasibility study 31Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 32. Linha Verde 32 Southern track – 2010 From Saffioti 2012 Gazeta do Povo 27/06/2012 Site Curitiba Mayor’s office Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 33. - Urban Operations (UOs) in São paulo - 33 13 on-going UOs in São Paulo - 4 from 1990 to 2002 - 5 currently functioning (103 Km2) - 8 proposed Master Plan of 2002 yet to be approved (200 Km2) .20% of city area (300/1,500Km2) or 30% of urbanized area CEPACs used in 2 of them - Faria Lima and - Agua Espraiada Most recent (new): Agua Branca UO Source: "Land Readjustment and Joint Urban Operations", Montandon, Daniel T. and De Sousa, Felipe F. Romano Guerra Editora, São Paulo, 2007 Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka
  • 34. III Perimetral Ave in Porto Alegre Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 34 Funding Mun + IDB Execution cost U$ 53.0 millions Land acquisition U$20.0 millions Consensual public acquisition US$ 3.2 millions Contested acquisition US$ 4.0 millions Acquired w/TDRs (65% of the total) US$ 9.8 millions 12,3km of ext and 40m wide Exclusive track for BRTs Source: UZON, Néia. Uso de la transferencia del potencial constructivo para la adquisición de inmuebles: la experiencia de Porto Alegre. 132,000 m2 acquired w/TDR as currency Foto de Gilberto Simon In Furtado et alli 2012
  • 35. The Haussmann System Sell back the land expropriated at the value warranted for lots along newly created avenues Financial benefits were limited by high expropriation costs - determined by a jury of property owners - at skyrocket prices How did you make your fortune? … I was expropriated => only 20% total costs were offset Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 35 Source: Kirkland, Stephane, “Paris Reborn: Napoléon III, Baron Haussmann, and the Quest to Build a Modern City St. Martin’s Press, NY 2013, pg 138
  • 36. Proposal submitted to the Nat’l Assembly to reform Paris: Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 36 The acquisition and resale of houses and land would yield a continuous profit that could be gathered in a fund for the improvement of Paris and used to pay for the squares and public monuments in the proposed plan. Source: Charles Mangin, “Expose et analyse du plan et projet presénté à l’Assemblée nationale avec les moyens d’en opérer l’éxécution” Paris 1791, pp10- 11 . Cited in Kirkland, Stephane, “Paris Reborn: Napoléon III, Baron Haussmann, and the Quest to Build a Modern City St. Martin’s Press, NY 2013, pg 138 1791, Architect Charles Mangin’s Build a new square where the place du Chatelet stands today and then publically redevelop all of central Paris piece by piece, using the proceeds from previous development. Haussmann strongly influenced by Mangin.
  • 37. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 37 Financial Times - January 23, 2015 2:45 pm Why Britain’s ‘broken’ planning system means local people miss out By Anna Minton Why speculators are benefiting from rising land values instead of local communities as was originally intended http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/0f72b534-9ccb-11e4-971b-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3PkTldas
  • 38. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 38 The Economist, January 11th 2014, pg 12
  • 39. Vancouver Declaration (UN-Habitat 1976) Recommendation D3.b: Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 39 The Report of Habitat: United Nations Conference on Human Settlements, Vancouver, Canada, May 31-June 11, 1976; Declaration of Principles, in its section II, Item 10. The unearned increment resulting from the rise in land values resulting from change in use of land, from public investment or decision, or due to general growth of the community must be subject to appropriate recapture by public bodies (the community), unless the situation calls for other additional measures such as new patterns of ownership, the general acquisition of land by public bodies.
  • 40. Recent books Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 40 “Suzuki, Hiroaki; Murakami, Jin; Hong, Yu-Hung; Tamayose, Beth. 2015. Financing Transit-Oriented Development with Land Values : Adapting Land Value Capture in Developing Countries. Washington, DC: World Bank. © World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/2128 6 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.” Mathur, Shishir, 2014-5 Innovation in Public Transport Finance: Property Value Capture, Ashgate Publishing Limited, United Kingdom, 228 p http://www.ashgate.com/isbn/9781409462606
  • 41. Taxing land value Consensus among Nobel prized economists! • Pure land rent is in the nature of a 'surplus' which can be taxed heavily without distorting production incentives or efficiency. Paul Samuelson (1970) • I think in principle it's a good idea to tax unimproved land, and particularly capital gains (windfalls) on it James Tobin (1981) • It is important that the rent of land be retained as a source of government revenue. Franco Modigliani (1985) • The landowner who withdraws land from productive use to a purely private use should be required to pay higher, not lower, taxes. James Buchanan (1986) • For efficiency, for adequate revenue and for justice, every user of land should be required to make an annual payment to the local government equal to the current rental value of the land … Robert Solow (1987) • Applying a tax to land values also means removing other taxes. This would so improve the efficiency of a city that land values would go up more than the increase in taxes on land." William Vickrey (1996) • … using land rents as the basis of taxation is an argument that I think makes an awful lot of sense because it is a non-distortionary source of income and wealth Joseph Stiglitz, (2001) Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 41
  • 42. Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Martim O. Smolka 42 Alejo Carpentier (1904-1980) Two mechanisms move the world: sex and ‘plusvalías’ Surplus-value Cuban novelist, essayist and musicologist - with heavy in the development of Latin-American literature – one of the most important writers of the XX century Winner of the Cervantes Prize in 1977
  • 43. Agua Branca - Urban Operation 1989 - 1.2 million of m2 of (cautionary) additional building area proposed – later (optimist) increase to 1.8 million m2 2015 - 2.190.000 CEPACs divided as – 1.605.000 - residential w/ initial price at ~$600/CEPAC – 585.000 non residential w/ initial price at ~$700/CEPAC Potentially over $1,4 Billion! revenues depending on bids Area under deep transformations Property market declining with economic recession – Negative GDP for 2015! Toronto Feb 2, 2015 Brazil Martim O. Smolka 43
  • 45. The ‘mechanics’ of CEPACs – 1 Total amount of CEPACs in an UO is predetermined – According to what present and future infrastructure can support Possible uses of CEPACs – Mainly additional FAR – But also to change land uses, footprint, etc – To pay contractors if they accept Variations of m2 per CEPAC in different areas compensate for land value differences – e.g. from .8m2 to 2.8m2 in OUFL - see map Once the stock of buildable m2 in a sector is exhausted undeveloped lot in the area can no longer use CEPACs – Developer better link ones CEPACS immediately to the lot 45
  • 46. The ‘mechanics’ of CEPACs – 2 Private and public auctions – Public – to acquire development rights – Private - as a ‘currency’ to pay contractors Face value – Realized value from previous auction – (Note: exception for outlier in 2008!) Revenues in excess can be invested in financial market – Up to 2013 => financial revenues of $300,000,000 Specific uses for revenues 46
  • 47. Auctions of CEPACs CEPACs issued by EMURB (the urban development agency) for the Municipality – EMURB also responsible for management and information on investment program for the UO Fiscalizations by CEF (a social federal bank) Each auction linked to defined investments – Infrastructure, social housing etc CVM (Brazilian equivalent to SEC) – Authorizes auctions in the Stock Market – Registers UO to which CEPACs are linked – Is informed of any initiative to change the Master Plan 47
  • 48. Auctions highlights Offered values per CEPACs ranged: – In Faria Lima UO - US$550- in 2004 up to US$2,100- in 2010 – In Agua Espraiada UO - from US$172.- in 2004 up to US$636.- last one in 2012 Ratio of # of CEPACs offered and effectively sold – In 8 out of the 15 auctions total amount of CEPACs offered were entirely sold Premiums in 9/15 auctions 48
  • 49. Public and Private Auctions of CEPACs in Faria Lima UO, São Paulo, 2004–2010 Year and Type # CEPACs Offered # CEPACs Sold Price (US$) Income (US$) 2004 Public 90,000 9,091 550 5,000,050 Private na 24,991 550 13,745,050 2005 Public 0 Private na 9,778 550 5,377,900 2006 Public 10,000 2,729 550 1,500,950 Private na 6,241 550 3,432,550 2007 Public 156,730 156,730 620 97,172,600 Private na 72,942 620 45,224,040 2008 Public 83,788 83,788 769 64,432,972 Private na 2,500 863 2,156,250 2009 Public 100,000 55,612 850 47,270,200 Public 30,000 1,521 858 1,304,258 Public 120,000 120,000 2,100 252,000,000 2010 Public 92,151 92,151 2,000 184,302,000 Total 682,669 638,074 722,918,820 49 Source: Sandroni (2012).
  • 50. CEPACs Authorized for the Agua Espraiada UO, São Paulo, (through January 31, 2013) Authorized distributions by CVM CEPACs US$ US$ per CEPAC (average) 14/7/2004 299,368 51,404,360 172 10/1/2007 317,781 65,304,996 206 23/12/2008 186,740 103,640,520 555 5/9/2008 1,099,880 386,461,945 351 9/2/2012 1,360,338 865,676,658 636 Total 3,263,907 1,447,488,659 443 Private Offers 127,092 25,664,266 202 Grand Total 3,390,999 1,473,152,925 434 Used for a License / Completed Projects -2,333,897 Remaining in Circulation 1,057,102 Total CEPACs 3,750,000 Balance 359,001 50 Source: Municipality of São Paulo, Secretariat of Urban Development
  • 51. Auctions: explaining volatility (variable results over the 20 auctions) Pre-existing building/development rights charges – CEPACs implied in >350% raise of $/m2 Real estate business cycle – e.g. 2004 and economic crisis in late 2008 Ratio of stock of CEPACs in private hands to actual use Political instability - changes in public administrations – Uncertainty w.r.to continuity of tool Irrational(?) speculative behavior by private agents – Developer paid 140% overprice only to observe price dropping 50% in a subsequent auction! 51
  • 53. Risks with CEPACs – 1 Prices may float as with any other bond – Real estate market – Systemic – financial market Public transferring development rights to the buyer – No financial claims against the public administration – No public liability (due compensations to private) with fall in land prices or exhaustion of buildable m2 in a given sector Legal injunctions affecting the UO – E.g. non-removal of slums - (Jardim Edith ZEIS) 53
  • 54. Risks with CEPACs – 2 Changes in supra municipality conditions – E.g. new environmental restrictions affecting the UO – In Rio no land use plan approved by City Council! Timing of auctions at public adm. Discretion – Eager developers may depend on secondary market No guarantee of public expenditures in items auction linked to – If given auction does not generate sufficient revenues 54
  • 55. Advantages of CEPACs Auction overcomes need for calculation of land value increment Anticipation of funds for public administration to invest - economies with urban infrastructure and services Selling by ‘tranches’ – allows monitoring and fine calibration of the market Earmarked – confidence of developers 55
  • 56. Benefits City benefitting from investments in UOs – E.g Stayed Bridge and access to Imigrantes highway – Social inclusion • ZEIS in Jardim Edith • In neighborhood relocation of slums dwellers Establishing a culture of value capture – Citizen pedagogy regarding unearned LVI New revenues – Release of public revenues for other uses 56
  • 57. Problems with existing instruments Minimum of 50% – Negotiations above Calculation of the benefit – The actual value of the additional building rights – (otherwise land value increment) Form of payment – in works (infra) or social housing elsewhere Timing – Infrastructure tied to developers projects 57
  • 58. Criticisms Support from a relative sophisticated capital market – credibility of the bonds - access and disposal. – limited use in less developed areas; Two cases FL and AE: cherry of the cake – Other UOs not so attractive to investors In UO FL revenues in excess with no major investment pending – May generate wasteful/superfluous expenditures – Ref Ponte Estaiada (needed …but, could be cheaper) 58
  • 59. Criticisms Its ‘preferential option’ for high-end projects. – In low-income housing and areas . • lower payment capacity on the one side and • perceived negative externalities on the other may draw building rights bids below the public investment threshold costs. • need to add a subsidy for the low-income housing => noises in the auction process; gentrifying UO likely to be more successfully – intra-urban differentiation and with that social segregation. – The acid test: UO precedes CEPACs or opportunity to use CEPACs define UO 59
  • 60. Conclusion CEPACs – an evolving, ingenious and effective tool – Learning by doing – Overcome problems with previous tools – Growing effectiveness – Generate non-trivial revenues Not the silver bullet - relevance to well- defined and specific situations – Requires sophisticated financial and planning institutions Handle with care when attempting replication 60