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Responding to a Changing Environment - Insights from Public Service 2022 … Mark Callanan Institute of Public Administration Presentation to Diploma in Management of the Public Service 28 th November 2008
A Short History of Accelerating Change Source: Acceleration Studies Foundation Internet / E-Mail 1 Computer 2 Television 3 Radio 4 Telephone 5 Accurate Clocks 16 Printing 24 Universities 40 Libraries 400 Writing 500 Agriculture 750 Speech 100,000 Generations Ago
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Why a Futures Project? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source: Clem Bezold, IAF
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Elements within the Project ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Demographic Drivers of Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Societal Drivers of Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Environmental Drivers of Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Technological Drivers of Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Drivers of Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New Balance of Economic Activity Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers (relative to US = 100; purchasing power parity is assumed to remain constant) 143 76 China 100 30 India 61 69 EU (incl. Turkey) 100 100 US GDP 2050 GDP 2005 Country / Region
Workplace Drivers of Change ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Governance Drivers of Change(1) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Governance Drivers of Change(2) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ireland and the Public Service in 2022 – Scenarios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Perspectives (External) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Perspectives (Internal) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Orthodoxies that need challenging ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Public Service 2022 Mark Callanan

  • 1. Responding to a Changing Environment - Insights from Public Service 2022 … Mark Callanan Institute of Public Administration Presentation to Diploma in Management of the Public Service 28 th November 2008
  • 2. A Short History of Accelerating Change Source: Acceleration Studies Foundation Internet / E-Mail 1 Computer 2 Television 3 Radio 4 Telephone 5 Accurate Clocks 16 Printing 24 Universities 40 Libraries 400 Writing 500 Agriculture 750 Speech 100,000 Generations Ago
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  • 13. New Balance of Economic Activity Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers (relative to US = 100; purchasing power parity is assumed to remain constant) 143 76 China 100 30 India 61 69 EU (incl. Turkey) 100 100 US GDP 2050 GDP 2005 Country / Region
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