Behavioural Finance: Introduction
Behavioural Finance:
• Behavioural Finance denotes the study of finance based
on credible assumptions about how people behave, often
confirmed by psychological experiments.
• Shefrin (2005) in his book on behavioural asset pricing
states ‘Behavioural finance is the study of how psychology
phenomena impact financial behaviour’.
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
Behavioral Finance:
• It is a concept developed with the inputs taken from
the field of psychology and finance.
• It tries to understand various puzzling observations in
stock markets with better explanations.
• The behaviour of individuals, practitioners, markets
and managers is sometimes characterized as
irrational.
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
Behavioral Finance:
• Some decisions are simple choices like, which brand
of toothpaste we will use, how hard we will study in
behavioural finance.
• Other decisions such as whether we should buy a
particular stock, how should we invest in tax saving
instruments, etc impact our financial well being.
Why Behavioral Finance??????
• Conventional" or "modern" finance is based on rational and logical theories,
such as the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the efficient market
hypothesis (EMH).
• These theories assume that people, for the most part, behave rationally and
predictably.
• One of the most rudimentary assumptions that conventional economics and
finance makes is that people are rational "wealth maximizers" who seek to
increase their own well-being.
• Behavioral finance seeks to explain our actions, whereas modern finance
seeks to explain the actions of the "economic man"
Why Behavioral Finance??????
• Few of the regularly occurring anomalies in conventional finance are:
• The Winner's Curse: a tendency for the winning bid in an auction setting to
exceed the intrinsic value of the item purchased
• Equity Premium Puzzle
According to the CAPM, investors that hold riskier financial assets
should be compensated with higher rates of returns.
Studies have shown that over a 70-year period, stocks yield
average returns that exceed government bond returns by 6-7%.
Conventional economic models have determined that this premium
should be much lower
Why Behavioral Finance??????
Reasoning of Equity Premium Puzzle by Behavioral Finance:
“Myopic Loss Aversion", a situation in which investors - overly
preoccupied by the negative effects of losses in comparison
to an equivalent amount of gains - take a very short-term view
on an investment.
It is believed that equities must yield a high-enough premium
to compensate for the investor's considerable aversion to loss
due to short term volatility.
Behavioural Finance: Introduction
Nature
• Behavioral Finance is just not a part of finance.
• It is something which is much broader and wider and
includes the insights from behavioral economics,
psychology and microeconomic theory.
• The main theme of the traditional finance is to avoid all
the possible effects of individual’s personality and
mindset
Behavioural Finance: Introduction
Behavioural finance is divide it into two branches.
• Micro Behavioral Finance:
– This deals with the behaviour of individual investors.
– In this the irrational investors are compared to
rational investors (also known as homo economicus or
rational economic man)
• Macro Behavioral Finance:
– This deals with the drawbacks of efficient market
hypothesis.
– EMH is one of the models in conventional finance that
helps us understand the trend of financial markets.
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
• Behavioral Finance as a Science:
• Science is a systematic and scientific way of observing,
recording, analyzing and interpreting any event.
• Behavioural Finance has got its inputs from traditional
finance which is a systematic and well designed subject
based on various theories.
• On this basis behavioural finance can be said to be a
science .
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
• Behavioral Finance as an Art
• In art we create our own rules and not work on rules of
thumb as in science.
• Art helps us to use theoretical concepts in the practical
world.
• Behavioural finance focuses on the reasons that limit the
theories of standard finance and also the reasons for
market anomalies created.
• It provides various tailor made solutions to the investors
to be applied in their financial planning.
• Based on above behavioural finance can be said to be
an art of finance in a more practical manner.
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
Scope:
• To understand the Reasons of Market Anomalies: (Like creation of
bubbles, the effect of any event, calendar effect etc)
• To Identify Investor’s Personalities: Various new financial
instruments can be developed to hedge unwanted biases created in
financial markets.
• Helps to identify the risks and their hedging strategies
• Provides an explanation to various corporate activities: Effect of
good or bad news, stock split, dividend decision etc.
• To enhance the skill set of investment advisors: Done by better
understanding of investor’s goal, maintaining a systematic approach
to advise.
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
Objectives
• To review the debatable issues in Standard Finance
• To Protect the interest of stakeholders in volatile
investment scenario
• To examine the relationship between theories of
Standard Finance and Behavioral Finance.
• To analyse the influence of biases on the investment
process because of different personalities in the financial
markets.
• To examine the various social responsibilities of the
subject.
• To discuss emerging issues in the financial world.
Behavioral Finance: Introduction
Objectives
• To discuss the development of new financial instruments
to hedge the conventional instruments against various
market anomalies
• To get the feel of trend of changed events over years,
across various economies.
• To examine the contagion effect of various events.
• An effort towards more elaborated identification of
investor’s personalities.
• More elaborated discussion on optimum Asset Allocation
according to behavioral aspects as well as aspects like
age, gender, income etc of the investor.
Behavior
• Trend is holding – Lets Buy
• Good thing I didn’t wait
• I will use this correction to
increase my position
Greed
• Don’t want to sell at a loss,
lets wait for it to recover
• Enough, I am selling it
• Good thing I sold everything
• I should not have sold
Fear