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3 reasons you should
NOT be making
blockchain games
2 reasons you should
NOT be investing in
blockchain games
1/ You are not making a
game
You are making a (probably
very unstable) economy
The plan
arbitrage international reply coupons
The sizzle
He promised 50% profit within 45 days
or 100% profit within 90 days
Charles Ponzi
● In the first month, 18 people invested $1,800
● By May 1920, he had made $420,000
● By June 1920, people had invested $2.5 million
● By July, he was raking in a million dollars per week
● By the end of July, it was a million dollars per day
People were mortgaging their homes and investing their
life savings. Most did not take their profits, but reinvested.
One-time chairman of
the NASDAQ stock
exchange, Bernie
Madoff ran the largest
Ponzi scheme in
history, worth about
$65 billion.
Bernie Madoff
2/ You are not in control of
the game economy
But everyone will blame you
Someone puts $100 million into your economy
Someone removes $100 million from your economy
Either way your economy is (maybe) permanently destroyed
What happens when someone loses their life savings
in an economy crash in 'your' game?
3/ You will not make
enough money
Especially in the early stages
The games business shifts
from a direct sale revenue
business into a margins-
driven transactional
business
2 reasons you should
NOT be investing in
blockchain games
4/ Everyone is an investor
Money is a commodity
You can't move as fast as crypto
$3.75 million raised from 16 VCs and 8 angels
5/ Valuations are
now (even more) insane
Risk/reward is off-the-scale
You will not return your fund!
Yeah, I'm making a
blockchain game
on Solana.
Raising $10M on a $100M valuation.
Never made a game before.
Can I put you down for $2M?
AND
YET
3 reasons you should
be making
blockchain game
economies
1/ Blockchain game
economies are changing
the world
Do you want to reshape the global
economy for the better?
2/ Blockchain game
economies are
more equitable
Devs and community are
fully aligned wrt incentives
3/ Blockchain game
economies are more
creative
User-generated content rules
2 reasons you should
be investing in
blockchain game
economies
4/ A handful of blockchain
game economies will be
insanely valuable
ROI is king
Winners take all
5/ Niche blockchain game
economies will be highly
profitable long-term
New ways of monetizing
small communities
Challenges
NOW
● Hardcore backlash
● Scams and failures
● Over-supply of investment
● High level of technical uncertainty
● Platforms restrictions
2022
● Massive over-supply of games
● Collapsing economics
● Developers not being able to hand over sufficient control
● Legal/regulatory pressure
99% will fail
this is a feature
not a bug
jon@hiro.capital
@blockchaingmg

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CoinOp 2021 | Why you shouldn't make blockchain games

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. 3 reasons you should NOT be making blockchain games
  • 4. 2 reasons you should NOT be investing in blockchain games
  • 5. 1/ You are not making a game You are making a (probably very unstable) economy
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. The plan arbitrage international reply coupons The sizzle He promised 50% profit within 45 days or 100% profit within 90 days Charles Ponzi
  • 12. ● In the first month, 18 people invested $1,800 ● By May 1920, he had made $420,000 ● By June 1920, people had invested $2.5 million ● By July, he was raking in a million dollars per week ● By the end of July, it was a million dollars per day People were mortgaging their homes and investing their life savings. Most did not take their profits, but reinvested.
  • 13. One-time chairman of the NASDAQ stock exchange, Bernie Madoff ran the largest Ponzi scheme in history, worth about $65 billion. Bernie Madoff
  • 14. 2/ You are not in control of the game economy But everyone will blame you
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Someone puts $100 million into your economy Someone removes $100 million from your economy Either way your economy is (maybe) permanently destroyed What happens when someone loses their life savings in an economy crash in 'your' game?
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. 3/ You will not make enough money Especially in the early stages
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. The games business shifts from a direct sale revenue business into a margins- driven transactional business
  • 29.
  • 30. 2 reasons you should NOT be investing in blockchain games
  • 31. 4/ Everyone is an investor Money is a commodity You can't move as fast as crypto
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36. $3.75 million raised from 16 VCs and 8 angels
  • 37. 5/ Valuations are now (even more) insane Risk/reward is off-the-scale You will not return your fund!
  • 38. Yeah, I'm making a blockchain game on Solana. Raising $10M on a $100M valuation. Never made a game before. Can I put you down for $2M?
  • 40. 3 reasons you should be making blockchain game economies
  • 41. 1/ Blockchain game economies are changing the world Do you want to reshape the global economy for the better?
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. 2/ Blockchain game economies are more equitable Devs and community are fully aligned wrt incentives
  • 47. 3/ Blockchain game economies are more creative User-generated content rules
  • 48. 2 reasons you should be investing in blockchain game economies
  • 49. 4/ A handful of blockchain game economies will be insanely valuable ROI is king Winners take all
  • 50. 5/ Niche blockchain game economies will be highly profitable long-term New ways of monetizing small communities
  • 51. Challenges NOW ● Hardcore backlash ● Scams and failures ● Over-supply of investment ● High level of technical uncertainty ● Platforms restrictions 2022 ● Massive over-supply of games ● Collapsing economics ● Developers not being able to hand over sufficient control ● Legal/regulatory pressure
  • 52. 99% will fail this is a feature not a bug