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10/3/11                                                               Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good thing

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          Android is the new
          Linux — and that s not a good                                                                      Stocks tumble into the fourth-quarter                                            210



          thing                                                                                              Is Morgan Stanley the next Lehman?                                                41


          By John S. Wilson, Policy Diary October 02, 2011: 03:00 PM ET                                      Minimum wage to rise in eight states                                              90


              Recommend          58 people recommend this. Be the first of our friends.                      25 highest-paid women                                                             26


                                                                                                             American Air stock loses 32% on bankruptcy fear                                   19
          (gigaom.com) --

          Google s mobile operating system Android is the new Linux: open, free
          (aside from patent issues), and just a utility. It s completely worthless as a
          brand in which to build upon. Unfortunately for Google, Android means
          different things to different companies. For HTC and Samsung it s
          beginning to be a patent mess. And for Amazon, it s just a customizable
          layer that doesn t even deserve branding, acknowledgment, or universal
          support. And ultimately this will be Android s downfall into irrelevance.

                                                             Android, based originally on a kernel
                 28           16              8              of Linux, and backed by 84 hardware
                                                             and software partners, as part of the
                                                             Open Handset Alliance, was first
                                                             envisioned to be the next open
                                                             mobile standard. Google presumed,
                 Print
                                                             with good reason, that if they were             Tech Blogs
                                                             able to get industry consensus there
                                                                                                             APPLE 2.0
                                                             would be less compatibility issues,
          Sponsored Links
                                                             more sales, and a much higher                   Ticonderoga on the new iPhone: Prepare for media blitz,
                                                             chance of long-term success. Well,              long lines, unprecedented demand
          2550% Penny Stock Gains?
          Our last pick jumped 2550% - Join our              one out of three ain t bad.
                                                                                                             TECH TUMBLR
          newsletter for Free Stock Picks!
                                                             Sales we can t argue with. According            Farewell, ancient gadgets
                                                             to Nielsen in their latest report,
          Computers on eBay®                                 Android accounts for a 43% share of             BIG TECH
          Find great deals on Computers. eBay -                                                              Is Netflix losing its soul?
                                                             the smartphone market. And the
          It's where you go to save!
                                                             recent purchase of Motorola Mobility
                                                                                                             TODAY IN TECH
                                      Buy a link here        (MMI) by Google has led many
                                                             analysts to believe that Google is              Today in Tech: Why Facebook's automatic sharing is the
                                                                                                             future
            More from                                        saying to the world two critical things:
                                                             (1) We re all in on Android; and (2)
            gigaom.com
                                                             Securing more patents will help
                                                             buttress Android from patent suits.             Tech Jobs
                                                             But it also showed a significant
                                                             weakness. “The MMI purchase is the              job title or company                location
                                                             result of Google s miscalculations
                                                                                                             Graphic Designer jobs Project Management           Engineering jobs
                                                             about the way value is captured in                                    jobs                         Technical Writer jobs
                                                             mobile computing. These strategic
                                                             missteps placed Google in a position            Software jobs            Product Management
                                                                                                                                      jobs
                                                             of weakness and forced it into a
                                                             costly and desperate move,” said




…cnn.com/…/mobile_android_is_the_new_linux__e2_80_94_and_thats_not_a…                                                                                                                               1/7
10/3/11                                                   Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good thing

                                                  Horace Dediu, noted mobile                SEE ALL JOBS
           A database to help the
           military share its airwaves            industry analyst.


           955 Dreams tackles music                 It s fitting that Android was birthed   Galleries
           discovery with Band of the               from Linux. Long thought to be the
           Day                                      crown jewel of the “open software                                               Sprint's 4G winner
                                                    approach,” Linux is an operating                                                Sprint's bestselling smartphone -- a
            10 ways to deal with                    system that is completely free and                                              big overseas hit -- is now available in
            cybersecurity in a smart                the source code may be modified at                                              the United States. BGR's Todd
            grid world                                                                                                              Haselton put the Samsung Galaxy S
                                                    will and given away or sold. It was
                                                                                                                                    II through its paces. More
               Subscribe to gigaom.com              going to herald in a new era of
                                                    desktop computing and conquer
                                                    Microsoft in the 80s, claimed
                                                                                                                                    Stop apps from sharing
          fanboys. Of course, no such thing happened. In case you hadn t heard
          Microsoft went on to have a little bit of success, and Linux pretty much                                                  Facebook's new "social" apps are
          became destined for servers, where it mostly resides today. In fact, the                                                  designed to broadcast what you read,
          competitive advantages that Linux held over other operating systems —                                                     watch and listen to. Getting them to
                                                                                                                                    quit it requires diving deep into
          free to use, easy and legal to modify, and can work on nearly any device —
                                                                                                                                    Facebook's privacy settings. More
          led to its being relegated to being just a utility to be manipulated by any
          manufacturer s fancy, and an even smaller brand identity among
          mainstream consumers. Turned out people didn t really care if their
                                                                                                                                    Wall Street protest
          operating system was open or not; they just wanted it to work well.
                                                                                            A social-media fueled plan to #OccupyWallStreet brought hundreds of
          Android is heading in the same direction. Fragmentation is a big issue (One       protesters to Manhattan's financial center, where they have remained for 12
                                                                                                                                     days. More
          that Google has acknowledged). Because so many partners are using
          different versions of Android, updating them when they see fit (as opposed
          to on a unified schedule), and naturally have different hardware limitations,
          the Android that developers are expecting isn t necessarily the Android that
          their apps can play well with. A recent poll of 250 Android developers                                                    Cool vending machines
          found that 86% were concerned about fragmentation, and 56% said it was
          a meaningful or “huge” problem, an increase over the previous 3 months.                                                   Pop in some change and catch a
                                                                                                                                    soda can. That's so yesterday. Now
                                                                                                                                    innovation has produced vending
          If that weren t bad enough, Amazon s new tablet, the Kindle Fire, which is                                                machines that spin cotton candy,
          built on Android — though you d be hard-pressed to know — won t officially                                                "gift" a soda to a friend miles away
          support Android apps outside of Amazon App Store. It s the equivalent of                                                  and make Ramen Noodles in three
          buying a Windows PC at Best Buy and not being able to use Excel on it                                                     minutes. More
          unless, of course — you guessed it — Excel was also purchased at Best
          Buy. I don t fault Amazon for this. It s actually a stroke of genius                                                      How to survive a zombie
          guaranteeing that Kindle Fire users will only be buying their matches from                                                apocalypse
          Amazon. Users, or detractors, can put the blame squarely where it                                                         Halloween is just around the corner:
          deserves to be — on Google. By making Android so open as to become a                                                      Prime time for an outbreak. Are you
          brand-less utility free to be consumed, modified, reimagined, and devoid of                                               ready? Here's what you'll need to
          the competitive advantage it was born of — namely, openness — Google                                                      assemble your apocalyptic go-
          has allowed Pandora s box to be opened.                                                                                   bag. More

                                                                                            SEE ALL GALLERIES
          And what s awaiting inside? Amazon, in a bid to make it “easier” to surf the
          web on the Fire, has decided to pre-cache user web browsing, meaning
          use their servers to communicate user information to the site destination.
          The implications? “Amazon will capture and control every Web transaction          CNNMoney Sponsors
          performed by Fire users. Every page they see, every link they follow, every
          click they make, every ad they see is going to be intermediated by one of
          the largest server farms on the planet, said Apple engineer Chris
          Espinosa. How s that for open?

          And it gets better. Not only is Amazon changing the purpose of Android –—
          to proliferate an open mobile operating system — they re also changing the
          profit model on which it was created. Espinosa goes on to say:

          “[Amazon doesn't] use Google s web browser; they can intermediate user
          click through on Google search results so Google doesn t see the actual
          user behavior. Google s whole play of promoting Android in order to
          aggregate user behavior patterns to sell to advertisers is completely
          subverted by Amazon s intermediation.”

          Google gave Android away for free because the more services they could
          bake into Android, the more advertising revenue they could generate. In

          the first quarter of this year ad revenue accounted for 97% of Google s



…cnn.com/…/mobile_android_is_the_new_linux__e2_80_94_and_thats_not_a…                                                                                                         2/7
10/3/11                                                              Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good thing

          the first quarter of this year ad revenue accounted for 97% of Google s
          profit (a typical percentage). So Google can t afford for Amazon s Kindle
          Fire to be successful. Not only would that kill the notion that open is the
          future of the mobile space as much as Linux was the future of the desktop,
          it would also set a precedent: while Google may need Android, Android
          definitely doesn t need Google.

          John S. Wilson is a health polic anal st and editor of Polic Diar , a
          weekl health polic blog. He can be reached at john@polic diar .com or
          on Twitter: @johnswilson1

          Related research and analysis from GigaOM Pro:
          Subscriber content. Sign up for a free trial.

             Tablets wars: Apple is from Venus, Amazon is from Mars
             Disruptapalooza 2011: how Amazon s Kindle is changing the portable media game
             Mobile Q1: All Eyes on Tablets, T-Mobile and AT&T


                                                                        Sha e          Email         Print


          Sponsored Links
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          Join the Conversation (21 of 21 comments)

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                      LiadsOlderBrother, 4 hours ago


                         I enjoy your crack-smoking. Please don't stop pretending Linux is
                         some lying-down beast only servers use. It's been eroding
                         Microsoft's Desktop share for half a decade. Android is fragmented,
                         and the many pieces are also eroding Microsoft's share and Nokia's
                         share. In short, nothing in this article is accurate except for the
                         cute numbers ending with a % sign.



                        4 people liked this.


                                    Nathan Scandella, 3 hours ago in reply
                                    to LiadsOlderBrother




…cnn.com/…/mobile_android_is_the_new_linux__e2_80_94_and_thats_not_a…                                                         3/7

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Android is the new linux

  • 1. 10/3/11 Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good thing Subscribe to Money Register Log In CNN Enter symbol or keyw ord Home Video Business News Markets Term Sheet Economy Tech Personal Finance Small Business Leadership Like 47K Apple 2.0 Big Tech Tech Tumblr Innovation Nation Startups Brainstorm Tech Video Tablet View Most Popular Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good Stocks tumble into the fourth-quarter 210 thing Is Morgan Stanley the next Lehman? 41 By John S. Wilson, Policy Diary October 02, 2011: 03:00 PM ET Minimum wage to rise in eight states 90 Recommend 58 people recommend this. Be the first of our friends. 25 highest-paid women 26 American Air stock loses 32% on bankruptcy fear 19 (gigaom.com) -- Google s mobile operating system Android is the new Linux: open, free (aside from patent issues), and just a utility. It s completely worthless as a brand in which to build upon. Unfortunately for Google, Android means different things to different companies. For HTC and Samsung it s beginning to be a patent mess. And for Amazon, it s just a customizable layer that doesn t even deserve branding, acknowledgment, or universal support. And ultimately this will be Android s downfall into irrelevance. Android, based originally on a kernel 28 16 8 of Linux, and backed by 84 hardware and software partners, as part of the Open Handset Alliance, was first envisioned to be the next open mobile standard. Google presumed, Print with good reason, that if they were Tech Blogs able to get industry consensus there APPLE 2.0 would be less compatibility issues, Sponsored Links more sales, and a much higher Ticonderoga on the new iPhone: Prepare for media blitz, chance of long-term success. Well, long lines, unprecedented demand 2550% Penny Stock Gains? Our last pick jumped 2550% - Join our one out of three ain t bad. TECH TUMBLR newsletter for Free Stock Picks! Sales we can t argue with. According Farewell, ancient gadgets to Nielsen in their latest report, Computers on eBay® Android accounts for a 43% share of BIG TECH Find great deals on Computers. eBay - Is Netflix losing its soul? the smartphone market. And the It's where you go to save! recent purchase of Motorola Mobility TODAY IN TECH Buy a link here (MMI) by Google has led many analysts to believe that Google is Today in Tech: Why Facebook's automatic sharing is the future More from saying to the world two critical things: (1) We re all in on Android; and (2) gigaom.com Securing more patents will help buttress Android from patent suits. Tech Jobs But it also showed a significant weakness. “The MMI purchase is the job title or company location result of Google s miscalculations Graphic Designer jobs Project Management Engineering jobs about the way value is captured in jobs Technical Writer jobs mobile computing. These strategic missteps placed Google in a position Software jobs Product Management jobs of weakness and forced it into a costly and desperate move,” said …cnn.com/…/mobile_android_is_the_new_linux__e2_80_94_and_thats_not_a… 1/7
  • 2. 10/3/11 Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good thing Horace Dediu, noted mobile SEE ALL JOBS A database to help the military share its airwaves industry analyst. 955 Dreams tackles music It s fitting that Android was birthed Galleries discovery with Band of the from Linux. Long thought to be the Day crown jewel of the “open software Sprint's 4G winner approach,” Linux is an operating Sprint's bestselling smartphone -- a 10 ways to deal with system that is completely free and big overseas hit -- is now available in cybersecurity in a smart the source code may be modified at the United States. BGR's Todd grid world Haselton put the Samsung Galaxy S will and given away or sold. It was II through its paces. More Subscribe to gigaom.com going to herald in a new era of desktop computing and conquer Microsoft in the 80s, claimed Stop apps from sharing fanboys. Of course, no such thing happened. In case you hadn t heard Microsoft went on to have a little bit of success, and Linux pretty much Facebook's new "social" apps are became destined for servers, where it mostly resides today. In fact, the designed to broadcast what you read, competitive advantages that Linux held over other operating systems — watch and listen to. Getting them to quit it requires diving deep into free to use, easy and legal to modify, and can work on nearly any device — Facebook's privacy settings. More led to its being relegated to being just a utility to be manipulated by any manufacturer s fancy, and an even smaller brand identity among mainstream consumers. Turned out people didn t really care if their Wall Street protest operating system was open or not; they just wanted it to work well. A social-media fueled plan to #OccupyWallStreet brought hundreds of Android is heading in the same direction. Fragmentation is a big issue (One protesters to Manhattan's financial center, where they have remained for 12 days. More that Google has acknowledged). Because so many partners are using different versions of Android, updating them when they see fit (as opposed to on a unified schedule), and naturally have different hardware limitations, the Android that developers are expecting isn t necessarily the Android that their apps can play well with. A recent poll of 250 Android developers Cool vending machines found that 86% were concerned about fragmentation, and 56% said it was a meaningful or “huge” problem, an increase over the previous 3 months. Pop in some change and catch a soda can. That's so yesterday. Now innovation has produced vending If that weren t bad enough, Amazon s new tablet, the Kindle Fire, which is machines that spin cotton candy, built on Android — though you d be hard-pressed to know — won t officially "gift" a soda to a friend miles away support Android apps outside of Amazon App Store. It s the equivalent of and make Ramen Noodles in three buying a Windows PC at Best Buy and not being able to use Excel on it minutes. More unless, of course — you guessed it — Excel was also purchased at Best Buy. I don t fault Amazon for this. It s actually a stroke of genius How to survive a zombie guaranteeing that Kindle Fire users will only be buying their matches from apocalypse Amazon. Users, or detractors, can put the blame squarely where it Halloween is just around the corner: deserves to be — on Google. By making Android so open as to become a Prime time for an outbreak. Are you brand-less utility free to be consumed, modified, reimagined, and devoid of ready? Here's what you'll need to the competitive advantage it was born of — namely, openness — Google assemble your apocalyptic go- has allowed Pandora s box to be opened. bag. More SEE ALL GALLERIES And what s awaiting inside? Amazon, in a bid to make it “easier” to surf the web on the Fire, has decided to pre-cache user web browsing, meaning use their servers to communicate user information to the site destination. The implications? “Amazon will capture and control every Web transaction CNNMoney Sponsors performed by Fire users. Every page they see, every link they follow, every click they make, every ad they see is going to be intermediated by one of the largest server farms on the planet, said Apple engineer Chris Espinosa. How s that for open? And it gets better. Not only is Amazon changing the purpose of Android –— to proliferate an open mobile operating system — they re also changing the profit model on which it was created. Espinosa goes on to say: “[Amazon doesn't] use Google s web browser; they can intermediate user click through on Google search results so Google doesn t see the actual user behavior. Google s whole play of promoting Android in order to aggregate user behavior patterns to sell to advertisers is completely subverted by Amazon s intermediation.” Google gave Android away for free because the more services they could bake into Android, the more advertising revenue they could generate. In the first quarter of this year ad revenue accounted for 97% of Google s …cnn.com/…/mobile_android_is_the_new_linux__e2_80_94_and_thats_not_a… 2/7
  • 3. 10/3/11 Android is the new Linux — and that s not a good thing the first quarter of this year ad revenue accounted for 97% of Google s profit (a typical percentage). So Google can t afford for Amazon s Kindle Fire to be successful. Not only would that kill the notion that open is the future of the mobile space as much as Linux was the future of the desktop, it would also set a precedent: while Google may need Android, Android definitely doesn t need Google. John S. Wilson is a health polic anal st and editor of Polic Diar , a weekl health polic blog. He can be reached at john@polic diar .com or on Twitter: @johnswilson1 Related research and analysis from GigaOM Pro: Subscriber content. Sign up for a free trial. Tablets wars: Apple is from Venus, Amazon is from Mars Disruptapalooza 2011: how Amazon s Kindle is changing the portable media game Mobile Q1: All Eyes on Tablets, T-Mobile and AT&T Sha e Email Print Sponsored Links 2550% Penny Stock Gains? Our last pick jumped 2550% - Join our newsletter for Free Stock Picks! w w w .PennyStocksExpert.com Computers on eBay® Find great deals on Computers. eBay - It's where you go to save! w w w .ebay.com Invest in Gold Today Diversify your investment portfolio with Gold and Silver. Get a Free Investor Kit. GoldSavingsofAmerica.com Mortgage Rate at 2.63% $200,000 loan for $803/month. See New Payment - No SSN Rqd. Save Now! Refinance.LeadSteps.com Buy a link here Join the Conversation (21 of 21 comments) Sort by Oldest first Subscribe by RSS John S. Wilson Log out CNNMoney w elcomes a lively and courteous discussion as long as you follow the Rules of Conduct set forth in our Terms of Service. Comments are not pre-screened before they post. You agree that anything you post may be used, along w ith your name and profile picture, in accordance w ith our Privacy Policy and the license you have granted pursuant to our Terms of Service. LiadsOlderBrother, 4 hours ago I enjoy your crack-smoking. Please don't stop pretending Linux is some lying-down beast only servers use. It's been eroding Microsoft's Desktop share for half a decade. Android is fragmented, and the many pieces are also eroding Microsoft's share and Nokia's share. In short, nothing in this article is accurate except for the cute numbers ending with a % sign. 4 people liked this. Nathan Scandella, 3 hours ago in reply to LiadsOlderBrother …cnn.com/…/mobile_android_is_the_new_linux__e2_80_94_and_thats_not_a… 3/7