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The Changing
    Consumer Landscape
    What We Look Like Now


                                                       May 7, 2010




Jack Griffin, President, Meredith National Media Group             1
DEMOGRAPHICS: Population by Generation

   Millennials and Baby Boomers are the Dominant Population Segments
      •  310 Million = 10% growth in population from 10 years ago
      •  Millennials and Boomers are about equal, with Gen X sandwiched in the middle



   Population Size by Generation (Census 2008)
      Millennials:           Age 14-32   81.6MM
      Gen X:                 Age 33-45   57.3MM
      Baby Boomers:          Age 46-64   81.0MM




Source: U.S. Census Bureau                                                              2
DEMOGRAPHICS: Why Millennials Matter Now

   Their Sheer Size will Greatly Impact Culture, Social Behavior and Economics
       1.    Millennials represent the biggest shift in U.S. workforce since baby boomers
       2.  Millennials were the first generation with soccer moms, doting dads, PC’s and trophies
       3.  Millennials now account for 79% of first births and 68% of second births




Source: U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. National Center fro Health Statistics; BNET/CBSNews               3
Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the
   Consumer Landscape

   America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse
   •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the
      majority in 2042:




Source: U.S. Census Bureau                                            4
Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the
   Consumer Landscape

   America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse
   •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the
      majority in 2042:
       −  Blacks, Asians, Hispanics, Native Americans and Pacific
          Islanders will outnumber Whites by 2042




Source: U.S. Census Bureau                                            5
Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the
   Consumer Landscape

   America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse
   •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the
      majority in 2042:
       −  Blacks, Asians, Hispanics, Native Americans and Pacific
          Islanders will outnumber Whites by 2042
       −  There will be 49 million Hispanics in 2010, up 40% from
          2000
       −  Hispanic population will exceed 110 million by 2050




Source: U.S. Census Bureau                                            6
Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the
   Consumer Landscape

   America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse
   •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the
      majority in 2042:
       −  Blacks, Asians, Hispanics, Native Americans and Pacific
          Islanders will outnumber Whites by 2042
       −  There will be 49 million Hispanics in 2010, up 40% from
          2000
       −  Hispanic population will exceed 110 million by 2050



   •  The 65+ age group will double in size to 88.5 million by 2050
       −  The 85+ group will more than triple to 19 million




Source: U.S. Census Bureau                                            7
Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values
   and Lifestyles

   1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing




Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics;
Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                                                                    8
Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values
   and Lifestyles

   1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing
   2.  High Unemployment




Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics;
Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                                                                    9
Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values
   and Lifestyles

   1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing
   2.  High Unemployment
   3.  Household Net Worth Declining




Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics;
Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                                                                    10
Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values
   and Lifestyles

   1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing
   2.  High Unemployment
   3.  Household Net Worth Declining
   4.  Per Capita Consumption Expenditure Declining




Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics;
Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                                                                    11
Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values
   and Lifestyles

   1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing
   2.  High Unemployment
   3.  Household Net Worth Declining
   4.  Per Capita Consumption Expenditure Declining
   5.  Retirement Stalled




Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics;
Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                                                                    12
Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values
   and Lifestyles

   1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing
   2.  High Unemployment
   3.  Household Net Worth Declining
   4.  Per Capita Consumption Expenditure Declining
   5.  Retirement Stalled
   6.  Return of the Multi-Generational Household




Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics;
Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                                                                    13
The New Normal: Conservative Consumer Behavior

   1.  Frugal Behavior is Now the Norm
   2.  Switching to Lower-priced Brands is Common
   3.  Share Shift to Private-label Products has Accelerated
   4.  Consumers’ Outlook is Modestly Conservative




Source: Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”                   14
“Perkonomics:” The New Spending Driver

   Consumers are more frugal post-recession, placing a greater focus on value that is
   likely to stick for the next few years.
      •  Consumers expect to see coupons, discounts, promotions, etc.
      •  Price sensitivity is impacting all categories
      •  Value is the dominant purchase driver
      •  Discretionary purchases postponed




Source: Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”; Trendwatching.com                         15
Implications for Marketers and Survivor Tips

   1.  Integrate “Perkonomics” into Tactical Advertising Plan
   2.  Use Messaging that Targets Diversity and Generational Differences
   3.  Balance Brand Value with Promotional Practices
   4.  Develop Marketing Strategies Based on Consumer Insights




Source: Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”; Trendwatching.com           16

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The Changing Consumer Landscape What We Look Like Now

  • 1. The Changing Consumer Landscape What We Look Like Now May 7, 2010 Jack Griffin, President, Meredith National Media Group 1
  • 2. DEMOGRAPHICS: Population by Generation Millennials and Baby Boomers are the Dominant Population Segments •  310 Million = 10% growth in population from 10 years ago •  Millennials and Boomers are about equal, with Gen X sandwiched in the middle Population Size by Generation (Census 2008) Millennials: Age 14-32 81.6MM Gen X: Age 33-45 57.3MM Baby Boomers: Age 46-64 81.0MM Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2
  • 3. DEMOGRAPHICS: Why Millennials Matter Now Their Sheer Size will Greatly Impact Culture, Social Behavior and Economics 1.  Millennials represent the biggest shift in U.S. workforce since baby boomers 2.  Millennials were the first generation with soccer moms, doting dads, PC’s and trophies 3.  Millennials now account for 79% of first births and 68% of second births Source: U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. National Center fro Health Statistics; BNET/CBSNews 3
  • 4. Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the Consumer Landscape America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the majority in 2042: Source: U.S. Census Bureau 4
  • 5. Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the Consumer Landscape America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the majority in 2042: −  Blacks, Asians, Hispanics, Native Americans and Pacific Islanders will outnumber Whites by 2042 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 5
  • 6. Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the Consumer Landscape America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the majority in 2042: −  Blacks, Asians, Hispanics, Native Americans and Pacific Islanders will outnumber Whites by 2042 −  There will be 49 million Hispanics in 2010, up 40% from 2000 −  Hispanic population will exceed 110 million by 2050 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 6
  • 7. Diversity and an Aging Population will Change the Consumer Landscape America is Becoming More Racially & Ethnically Diverse •  Minorities, now one-third of the U.S. population, will be the majority in 2042: −  Blacks, Asians, Hispanics, Native Americans and Pacific Islanders will outnumber Whites by 2042 −  There will be 49 million Hispanics in 2010, up 40% from 2000 −  Hispanic population will exceed 110 million by 2050 •  The 65+ age group will double in size to 88.5 million by 2050 −  The 85+ group will more than triple to 19 million Source: U.S. Census Bureau 7
  • 8. Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values and Lifestyles 1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 8
  • 9. Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values and Lifestyles 1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing 2.  High Unemployment Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 9
  • 10. Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values and Lifestyles 1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing 2.  High Unemployment 3.  Household Net Worth Declining Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 10
  • 11. Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values and Lifestyles 1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing 2.  High Unemployment 3.  Household Net Worth Declining 4.  Per Capita Consumption Expenditure Declining Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 11
  • 12. Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values and Lifestyles 1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing 2.  High Unemployment 3.  Household Net Worth Declining 4.  Per Capita Consumption Expenditure Declining 5.  Retirement Stalled Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 12
  • 13. Socio-economic Factors Re-define American Values and Lifestyles 1.  Delayed Motherhood and Single Moms Growing 2.  High Unemployment 3.  Household Net Worth Declining 4.  Per Capita Consumption Expenditure Declining 5.  Retirement Stalled 6.  Return of the Multi-Generational Household Source: New Strategist; Pew Research Center; Population Reference Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 13
  • 14. The New Normal: Conservative Consumer Behavior 1.  Frugal Behavior is Now the Norm 2.  Switching to Lower-priced Brands is Common 3.  Share Shift to Private-label Products has Accelerated 4.  Consumers’ Outlook is Modestly Conservative Source: Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives” 14
  • 15. “Perkonomics:” The New Spending Driver Consumers are more frugal post-recession, placing a greater focus on value that is likely to stick for the next few years. •  Consumers expect to see coupons, discounts, promotions, etc. •  Price sensitivity is impacting all categories •  Value is the dominant purchase driver •  Discretionary purchases postponed Source: Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”; Trendwatching.com 15
  • 16. Implications for Marketers and Survivor Tips 1.  Integrate “Perkonomics” into Tactical Advertising Plan 2.  Use Messaging that Targets Diversity and Generational Differences 3.  Balance Brand Value with Promotional Practices 4.  Develop Marketing Strategies Based on Consumer Insights Source: Booz&Co. “New Marketing Imperatives”; Trendwatching.com 16