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A Data-Centric
Perspective of
the Crypto Bull
Market
Agenda
❖ Overview of Crypto Bull Markets
❖ Key Bitcoin Indicators
❖ Ethereum & Smart Contract Platforms
❖ Emerging Sectors
2
A quick update about ITB…
4
4
Thodex
5
5
Bitcoin Kurier
6
6
Dash Exchange Flows
Q1 Overview & Q2 Roadmap
Q1
▸ ITB Pro subscribers doubled
▸ 20 new partners
▸ Growth in quant services
Q2
▸ Ownership indicators v2
▸ Social analytics v2
▸ NFT Insights
▸ More DeFi protocol support
1
Overview of
Crypto Bull
Markets
8
9
Previous Bull Markets
▸ 2011 - Bitcoin’s first
▹ Price: $0.01 to $30 to $2
▸ 2013 - Bitcoin ‘double bubble’,
▹ Price: $2 to $270 to $65 to $1,200
▹ Emergence of altcoins (Litecoin, Ripple, Peercoin)
▸ 2017 - Bitcoin $20k & ICO Bubble
▹ Price: $265 to $20,000
▹ Creation of ERC-20, ICO speculation, altcoins > 70% share
Sources: BraveNewCoin, CoinMarketCap
Crypto Price-Innovation Cycle
Source: a16z
▸ Price → attention → build new ideas → price
2021 Bull Market
Sources: CoinMarketCap, Google Trends
▸ $100B to $2T+ ▸ Broader adoption ▸ Emergence of dapps
Key Bitcoin Indicators
13
13
On-Chain: Bitcoin Cycles
▸ Record holders of 1Y+ ▸ Cycle restarts
▸ Short-term interest renews
Bitcoin 2021 Bull Market Driving Forces
1. Broader Adoption
2. Bitcoin as Digital Gold
3. Institutional Dominance
14
15
15
Macro Perspective - Covid Recession
▸ US dollar supply reaches all-time highs
▸ Has not led to inflation yet
Source: Federal Reserve Bank
16
16
Macro Perspective
▸ Debt is worryingly high
▸ USD drops to lows
▸ Increased demand to hedge
▸ Increased speculative activity
▸ Digitization Acceleration
Source: Financial Times
17
17
Broader Bitcoin Adoption
▸ Number of holders* hits new highs
▸ Bull market momentum attracting new holders
18
18
Bitcoin as Digital Gold
▸ Long-term investing and value retention
▸ Hodlers’ unaffected by short-term volatility
19
19
Institutional Adoption
▸ Volume in $100k transactions surpasses $100b/day
▸ Avg transaction size > $300k vs ~ $100k in Dec ’17
20
20
Institutional Dominance
21
21
Derivatives Growth
▸ Options open interest 10x ▸ Perpetual swaps 8x
Sources: TheBlock, Bybt
Smart Contract Platforms
Smart Contract Platforms Driving Forces
1. Adoption & Usage
2. Store of Value Potential
3. Growing Ecosystems
23
24
24
Ethereum Adoption & Usage
▸ Growing and steady use of Ethereum (despite high fees)
▸ Decreasing correlation between price and DAAs
25
25
Ethereum Adoption & Usage
26
26
Store of Value Potential
▸ Long-term investing and value retention
▸ Most credibly-neutral asset within its ecosystem
▸ Decreasing supply with EIP 1559
27
27
Ethereum Adoption & Usage
28
28
Growing Ecosystems
▸ Launches in 2019 and 2020
▸ Bridges and forks
▸ Lower fees, higher throughput
▸ Early adoption of dapps
29
29
Growing Ecosystems
30
30
Growing Ecosystems
Emerging Sectors
32
32
Defining Asset Classes
Sources: David Hoffman, Placeholder Ventures
Leading Sectors
▸ Stablecoins
▸ Oracles
▸ Decentralized Finance (DeFi)
▸ Non-fungible tokens (NFTs)/digital art
▸ Decentralized storage
▸ Gaming
33
34
34
Decentralization’s Growing Proposition
Sources: Google Trends, Twitter
35
35
DeFi’s Growth
Sources: Dune Analytics, DeFiPulse, DeFi Llama
▸ Over 2M addresses
▸ TVL 60x in Ethereum
▸ Growth in BSC, Solana, Cosmos
▸ TVL over $100 billion
36
36
NFTs Go Viral
Sources: TheBlock, DappRadar, CryptoSlam
▸ Artists, athletes, celebrities
▸ Beeple’s $69 million
▸ Dapper Labs
▸ Nifty Gateway
▸ OpenSea
Differences vs 2017
▸ Products that actually work
▸ Broader use-cases
▸ Updated ‘tokenomics’
▸ Institutional adoption
37
What Comes Next…
▸ Coinbase IPO
▸ Bitcoin ETF (?)
▸ Ethereum layer 2 & EIP 1559
▸ Multi-chain
▸ Bubble and restart
38
39
39
INTRODUCING
CONTACT INFORMATION
Lucas Outumuro
Senior Analyst
Twitter: @LucasOutumuro
Email: loutumuro@intotheblock.io
Thank you! Do you have any
Questions/Feedback?

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