Addressing Irregular Migration through Principled Programmatic Approaches: Examining the West Africa Route

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Addressing Irregular Migration through
Principled Programmatic Approaches:
Examining the West Africa Route
Discussant: Ganesh K. Seshan (World Bank)
July 20th 2023
Key takeaways
• Irregular migrants that cross borders are mostly relatively well-educated, males and
originate from urban areas, less food insecure households, had resources to pay
smugglers - not among the poorest
• Most West Africans move within the region rather than leave it (1/3rd)
• Economic factors (wage differentials, seeking jobs, etc.) are the primary reasons for
moving irregularly.
• Food insecurity isn’t a primary driver but may be experienced during the journey
• Reports of food insecurity appear high in Libya (20% went without food for a whole day,
27% didn’t have food at times, 37 worried about not having enough food)
• Recommendations: facilitate economic/employment opportunities at origin; consider
cash transfers for essential needs during transit; address food/humanitarian needs of
host populations as well; food aid for returning migrants
Analytical challenges
• Very difficult to generate representative sample of irregular migrants
• Selection issue: Libya sample are mainly of those who decided to remain in the
country or are planning to return
• We are missing the profile of irregular migrants who moved onwards to
Europe
• Sample may consist of individuals that were ‘less or not’ successful that could
contribute to higher reports of food insecurity
WDR 2023: MIGRANTS, REFUGEES & SOCIETIES, WDR 2023
THE MATCH-MOTIVE MATRIX
WHEN THE MATCH IS WEAKER AND MIGRANTS ARE NOT DRIVEN
BY FEAR
Reduce need for
movements –
absorb or return
humanely
DISTRESSED MIGRATION
• Current trends – demographic, climate, conflict – are increasing the
pressures for distressed migration
• We know very little about distressed migrants – it is undocumented,
responds rapidly to enforcement, managed by criminal enterprises
• It endangers legal entry channels for economic migrants and refugees
• Economic development provide the long-term solution but, in the
short/medium term we need:
expanded legal entry pathways
complementary protection
humane return
regional cooperation
DISTRESSED MIGRATION
• Current trends – demographic, climate, conflict – are increasing the
pressures for distressed migration
• We know very little about distressed migrants – it is undocumented,
responds rapidly to enforcement, managed by criminal enterprises
• It endangers legal entry channels for economic migrants and refugees
• Economic development provide the long-term solution but, in the
short/medium term we need:
expanded legal entry pathways
complementary protection
humane return
regional cooperation
What should the aid look like?
• Should it be in-kind, cash, or both?
• Should it be targeted?
• Eg: food aid for returning migrants, those in detention or aid for all in need (hosts,
irregular migrants, detainees, returnees)
• Should it be conditional?
• Eg: aid in exchange for returning to origin
• How much or how often should it be distributed?
Is there a risk that food aid might induce/facilitate more
irregular migration?
• Perhaps but human dignity should be upheld no matter who or where one
is
• Analogy of development-migration hump: should development aid be
reduced/eliminated similarly?
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Addressing Irregular Migration through Principled Programmatic Approaches: Examining the West Africa Route

  • 1. Addressing Irregular Migration through Principled Programmatic Approaches: Examining the West Africa Route Discussant: Ganesh K. Seshan (World Bank) July 20th 2023
  • 2. Key takeaways • Irregular migrants that cross borders are mostly relatively well-educated, males and originate from urban areas, less food insecure households, had resources to pay smugglers - not among the poorest • Most West Africans move within the region rather than leave it (1/3rd) • Economic factors (wage differentials, seeking jobs, etc.) are the primary reasons for moving irregularly. • Food insecurity isn’t a primary driver but may be experienced during the journey • Reports of food insecurity appear high in Libya (20% went without food for a whole day, 27% didn’t have food at times, 37 worried about not having enough food) • Recommendations: facilitate economic/employment opportunities at origin; consider cash transfers for essential needs during transit; address food/humanitarian needs of host populations as well; food aid for returning migrants
  • 3. Analytical challenges • Very difficult to generate representative sample of irregular migrants • Selection issue: Libya sample are mainly of those who decided to remain in the country or are planning to return • We are missing the profile of irregular migrants who moved onwards to Europe • Sample may consist of individuals that were ‘less or not’ successful that could contribute to higher reports of food insecurity
  • 4. WDR 2023: MIGRANTS, REFUGEES & SOCIETIES, WDR 2023 THE MATCH-MOTIVE MATRIX
  • 5. WHEN THE MATCH IS WEAKER AND MIGRANTS ARE NOT DRIVEN BY FEAR Reduce need for movements – absorb or return humanely
  • 6. DISTRESSED MIGRATION • Current trends – demographic, climate, conflict – are increasing the pressures for distressed migration • We know very little about distressed migrants – it is undocumented, responds rapidly to enforcement, managed by criminal enterprises • It endangers legal entry channels for economic migrants and refugees • Economic development provide the long-term solution but, in the short/medium term we need: expanded legal entry pathways complementary protection humane return regional cooperation
  • 7. DISTRESSED MIGRATION • Current trends – demographic, climate, conflict – are increasing the pressures for distressed migration • We know very little about distressed migrants – it is undocumented, responds rapidly to enforcement, managed by criminal enterprises • It endangers legal entry channels for economic migrants and refugees • Economic development provide the long-term solution but, in the short/medium term we need: expanded legal entry pathways complementary protection humane return regional cooperation
  • 8. What should the aid look like? • Should it be in-kind, cash, or both? • Should it be targeted? • Eg: food aid for returning migrants, those in detention or aid for all in need (hosts, irregular migrants, detainees, returnees) • Should it be conditional? • Eg: aid in exchange for returning to origin • How much or how often should it be distributed?
  • 9. Is there a risk that food aid might induce/facilitate more irregular migration? • Perhaps but human dignity should be upheld no matter who or where one is • Analogy of development-migration hump: should development aid be reduced/eliminated similarly?