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Police Executive Leadership Workshop
      Police Resource Allocation
2


   What This Module is All About
• Police executives make lots of decisions, few
  are more critical than staffing.
  – How many officers do we need?
  – How should I assign and schedule these officers to
    maximize performance?
  – How can we do this efficiently? That is, getting the
    most output for our investment.



                         PELW 2012
3


Deciding how many officers we need.
• Four widely-used approaches
  – Authorized Strength
  – Population Rate
  – Minimum Staffing
  – Workload-based




                          PELW 2012
4


          Authorized Strength
• Many departments compare their actual staff
  with their authorized strength.
• This is the level of staffing that has been
  approved-typically as part of the budget
  process.
  – Largely incremental
  – May not reflect actual needs (High or Low)
  – Will typically be below authorized because of
    separations, recruitment, training.

                        PELW 2012
5


            Population Rate
• Many communities rely heavily on comparison
  by rate (number of officers per population).
• Driven in the past by the FBI that often
  suggested appropriate levels.
• These rates can be a good planning tool but
  are not well suited for critical allocation
  decisions.



                     PELW 2012
6




PELW 2012
7


     What’s Wrong With Rates?
• Says little about the nature of the community
  being served or of the organization
• Institutionalizes inefficiency
• Sends a message to the organization that “we
  do not have enough officers”.




                     PELW 2012
8


      Rates and Minimum Together
•   "Our current staffing as it relates to sworn personnel is not
    where it could be or should be for a city this size," Police Chief
    Art Acevedo said the additional officers are needed to
    maintain a ratio of two officers per 1,000 residents. That ratio
    is a kind of benchmark among many departments across the
    country to determine staffing; having two officers per 1,000 is
    considered ideal and is also city policy. The city has 2.08
    officers per 1,000 residents, according to the study by the
    Police Executive Research Forum .But Assistant Police Chief
    David Carter said that is only the ratio if the department is at
    its full authorized strength of 1,740 officers, which it is not
    because of vacancies, attrition and cadets waiting to become
    full-fledged officers." We've never been effectively ever at
    2.0,”                        PELW 2012
9


          Minimum Staffing
• Most police departments, particularly small
  ones, use this approach.
• Increasingly popular with medium and large
  agencies.
• Often tied to number of beats-but can be
  very arbitrary.
• The real problem is the overtime cost
  associated with filling vacant positions.
                     PELW 2012
10


             Problem Areas
• Incremental
• Institutionalized
• Becomes the optimal staffing level
• Often times the levels are set so high that it
  is likely that a vacancy will occur.



                      PELW 2012
11


           Some solutions
• Street Strength
• Minimum during overlap times
• Reduce the hire-back time
• Using workload-based models to identify
  staffing requirements
• Shared services

                    PELW 2012
12


            Using Workload
• We will partition these activities into two
  groups: community-generated and
  discretionary.
• If we know how much time is consumed by
  community generated work we can build a
  model that incorporates the discretionary
  activities.


                     PELW 2012
13


Workload Based Allocation




           PELW 2012
14


Allocation of Time




  Ratio is Community-Based




            PELW 2012
15


   What is Citizen Generated?
• Delaware Ohio Police
  Department :”The City prides itself
  on being one of the safest, and
  annually handles more than 60,000
  calls for service”.
• Can a city of 30,000 have 60,000 police
  calls for service?

                  PELW 2012
16


                  Not likely!
• CAD systems often record all kinds of activities as
  calls for service.
• In Delaware they would record a “call” every time
  an officer came into the station.
• Actual number of citizen generated call per year is
  16,000.
• If the average call takes 30 minutes this represents
  about 8000 hours of community generated work-
  not 30,000!
                        PELW 2012
17


            CAD Data Example
•   LOSTP 3D 13
•   LOSTP 1C 1
•   LOSTP 3B 1
•   LOSTPR 3D 16
•   LU 3D 17771
•   MEETB 4 616
•   MISION 4 746

                   PELW 2012
18


         Calls for Service (CFS)
• Best Indicator of Citizen Generated Activity
• What is included
  – Travel time
  – On-scene time
  – Number of officers assigned***
  – Follow-up?




                       PELW 2012
Example of CFS Computation
                      Travel      6 min.   10.min.
• Domestic
  Disturbance (Two-   On-Scene    24       20
  officers)
                      Arrest      30       0

                      Sub         60       30

                      Total       90




                      PELW 2012                      19
20


        CFS as Obligated Time
• Once we have this CFS time we can begin the
  process of estimating the number of officers
  to handle this demand.
• We can do it by shift or for the entire day.
• Let’s do it first by shift.




                     PELW 2012
21


               Shift example
• Total CFS for one year for swing shift (3-11pm)
  is 30,000 hours.
• If an officer worked every day in a year they
  would work 2920 hours a year (8 X 385).
• So in order to handle 30,000 hours of CFS we
  would need 10.27 officers (30,000 / 2920).



                      PELW 2012
22


        Calculating Relief Factor
• Relief Factor = Tells us the number of officers
  that we have to assign to a shift in order to
  provide the appropriate staffing
• Will be different depending on whether
  officers work 8, 10, or 12 hour shifts.
• May differ by shift or work group.



                       PELW 2012
23


          Relief Factor Example

   Regular days off           104
   Vacation                   15
   Holidays                   10
   Training                   2
   Court                      7
   Sick                       12
   Total Benefit Days Off          150


                        PELW 2012
24


               Relief Factor
• 365/365-150
• 365/ 215 or 1.7
• This means that to staff on position you need
  1.7 employees.




                      PELW 2012
25


           Using Relief Factor
• Our RF was 1.7.
• We need 10.27 officers to handle CFS.
• Thus the total staffing required is 17.46
  officers (1.7 X 10.27).




                       PELW 2012
26


 But officers do more than handle CFS
• Based on what we have done thus far our 17.5
  officers would spend all day answering calls
  for service. Lots of other stuff to do!
• The question now is how we will spend our
  discretionary (unobligated) time.




                     PELW 2012
27


         Performance Objectives
• Let’s say we want our officers to spend 50% of their
  time on CFS and 50% on other activities (officer
  initiated, patrol, community policing, administrative).
• We could simply multiply the number required for CFS
  times 2.
• Thus we would need 34.92 or 35 officers (17.46 X 2)
• For 1/3 patrol, 1/3 admin, and 1/3 CFS multiply X 3 ( 52
  officers).




                          PELW 2012
28


     Performance Objectives (2)
• Your assumptions are important.
• You may not have enough staff to meet a
  performance objective. That does not mean
  you do not have enough officers!




                    PELW 2012
29




PELW 2012
30




PELW 2012
31




PELW 2012
32


            Work Schedules
• Work Schedules are an important component
  of resource allocation.
• Tendency to separate them, but this can have
  serious consequences for management.
• Let’s talk first about general scheduling
  properties.



                     PELW 2012
33
  What is a good work schedule-depends
              where you sit!
• Management Objectives
  – Maintain staffing levels
  – Proper supervision
  – Effective policing
• Officer Objectives
  – Should help them do their job
  – Compatible with personal life
  – Equity

                         PELW 2012
34


Why are work schedules problematic?
• Appear to be complex and difficult to analyze!
• Work schedules are viewed as “traditional” or
  at least idiosyncratic to the agency.
• Change is always tough- work schedule
  changes can be paralyzing.
• Most agencies build a work schedule around
  the number officers they have-not what they
  need!

                      PELW 2012
35


             Scheduling Issues
•   Length of work periods
•   Shift Rotation
•   Time-off Periods
•   Staffing levels
•   Holidays and Vacation time
•   Overtime


                       PELW 2012
36


                Shift Analysis
• Duty Cycle: Repeating of On and Off days.
• Four Properties
  – Duty cycle length
  – Number of on and off duty patterns in the cycle
  – Staffing level by day of week
  – Average work week




                        PELW 2012
Analysis 5-2 with uniform staffing
  M T W T F S S
                                          • Number of days off in
1 X X
                                            each weekly cycle are
1   X X                                     same
1     X X                                 • Equal staffing by day of
1       X X                                 week (71 %)
1         X X                             • Fixed days off
1           X X
1 X           X
  71   71   71   71   71   71   71
  %

                                     PELW 2012                37
6 on / 3 off repeated 7 times over a 9 week period
        M      T      W         T      F    S     S
1                                                 X
2       X      X
3              X      X         X
4                               X      X    X
5                                           X     X
6       X
7       X      X      X
8                     X         X      X
9                                      X    X     X
%       67     67     67        67     67   67    67


                           PELW 2012                     38
10 Hour Shift (Equal staffing by day of week)
     M      T      W        T       F    S      S
1    X      X      X
2           X      X        X
3                  X        X       X
4                           X       X    X
5                                   X    X      X
6    X                                   X      X
7    X      X                                   XX
%    57     57     57       57      57   57     57




                        PELW 2012                    39
10 Hour Shift: Holland Michigan

      M    T    W        T       F    S    S
1     X    X    X
2                                X    X    X
%     50   50   50       100     50   50   50




                     PELW 2012                  40
10 hours unequal by day of week
       M    T    W        T       F    S    S
1           X    X        X
2                X        X       X
3                                 X    X    X
4      X                               X    X
5      X    X                               X
%      60   60   60       60      60   60   40

                      PELW 2012                  41
42



4/11 Plan
•Two Teams                       M         T    W    T    F    S    S
•Several Start Times and   1     X         X    X    X
Overlap
                           2               X    X    X    X
•38.5 AWW
                           3                    X    X    X    X
•Training Days
                           4                         X    X    X    X
                           5                              X    X    X
                           6     X                             X    X
                           7     X         X                        X
                           8     X         X    X
                           %     50        50   50   50   50   50   50



                               PELW 2012
12 Hour Schedule
    M      T    W        T       F    S    S
1   D      D    X        X       D    D    D
2   X      X    D        D       X    X    X
3   N      N    X        X       N    N    N
4   X      X    N        N       X    X    X
%   50**   50   50       50      50   50   50

                     PELW 2012                  43
8 vs. 10 vs. 12
               12             10      8

Work days      182            218     273

Days Off       182            146     91

Potential      26             21      13
weekends off
% holidays     50%            60%     75%
worked




                          PELW 2012         44
45


              How about staffing.
• 10 hour shifts result in overlaps in 24 hour coverage.
  You are providing 30 hours of coverage a day!
   – May be inefficient
   – Will be costly
• 8 and 12 hour shifts are nominally the same for
  coverage
   – Three shifts of 30 officer- 2/3 on each day= 60
   – Two Shifts of forty five- ½ on each day 45 for 12 hours is the
     same 60
   – Each officer works 1.5 days




                                PELW 2012
PELW 2012   46
Minimum Staffing and Ten Hour Shifts


• Of particular concern is the combination
  of ten hour shifts and minimum staffing.
• Consider the more traditional eight hour
  shift. 71% of personnel are assigned to
  work each day.



                    PELW 2012                47
48


               From 8 to 10 Hours
• There are three squads-each with seven officers.

• Minimum staffing is four per shift

• In the 5-2 (8 hour schedule) each day 5 are assigned, so it is
  likely that at least 4 will be there.
• The department switches to 10 hour days but maintains the
  same minimum staffing level.

• In the 4-10 plan only 4 of the 7 are assigned each day-any
  absence will require a hire-back, and that may be a 10 hour
  hire back.
                              PELW 2012
49




PELW 2012
50


RPD Overtime Costs 2004-2009




            PELW 2012
51


       Attributes of 12 hour shifts
•   Average work week is 42 hours
•   Longest workweek 48 hours
•   Fewer shift changes
•   HR policies must be changed
•   Absence management can be tough
•   Fatigue


                     PELW 2012
52


         Schedules and Fatigue
• Lots of concern about fatigue among shift
  workers and others
• Fatigue can lead to officer injury, accidents,
  and citizen complaints. It may impair
  judgment.
• It is still hard to make strong, reliable
  statements about schedule and fatigue.


                       PELW 2012
53


            Here is what we know!
•   Officers on 10 and 12 hour shifts report less fatigue.
•   Fatigue is worse for older officers
•   Officers with small children reported more fatigue
•   Long commutes contribute to fatigue
•   Officers with regular hours (limited overtime and
    special assignments) reported less fatigue.




                            PELW 2012
54


       What does this all mean?
• Fatigue is more related to what officers do on
  their off-duty time than their work schedule!
• What to do:
  – Look at policy and work schedule focusing on off
    duty time.
  – Let officers participate in work schedule process
  – Integrate discussion of fatigue with other wellness
    and safety discussions.



                        PELW 2012
55

           Police Foundation Study

– Compared 8, 10, and 12 hour shifts
– No difference in performance
– No impact on health
– 10 hour shift=more sleep and higher quality of life
– No examination of deployment




                      PELW 2012
56


     Some Concluding Thoughts
• Policing is a labor-intensive activity
• Budget cuts will almost always result in fewer
  people
• Watch overtime and other structural costs
• Pay attention to benefits
• Don’t insist that fewer people will lead to
  Armageddon!

                      PELW 2012
57


                    Contact
• Alexander Weiss
  – alexanderweiss@ymail.com
  – 847-332-1160
  – 847-644-3930 (mobile)




                      PELW 2012

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Police Executive Leadership Workshop Police Resource Allocation 2012

  • 1. Police Executive Leadership Workshop Police Resource Allocation
  • 2. 2 What This Module is All About • Police executives make lots of decisions, few are more critical than staffing. – How many officers do we need? – How should I assign and schedule these officers to maximize performance? – How can we do this efficiently? That is, getting the most output for our investment. PELW 2012
  • 3. 3 Deciding how many officers we need. • Four widely-used approaches – Authorized Strength – Population Rate – Minimum Staffing – Workload-based PELW 2012
  • 4. 4 Authorized Strength • Many departments compare their actual staff with their authorized strength. • This is the level of staffing that has been approved-typically as part of the budget process. – Largely incremental – May not reflect actual needs (High or Low) – Will typically be below authorized because of separations, recruitment, training. PELW 2012
  • 5. 5 Population Rate • Many communities rely heavily on comparison by rate (number of officers per population). • Driven in the past by the FBI that often suggested appropriate levels. • These rates can be a good planning tool but are not well suited for critical allocation decisions. PELW 2012
  • 7. 7 What’s Wrong With Rates? • Says little about the nature of the community being served or of the organization • Institutionalizes inefficiency • Sends a message to the organization that “we do not have enough officers”. PELW 2012
  • 8. 8 Rates and Minimum Together • "Our current staffing as it relates to sworn personnel is not where it could be or should be for a city this size," Police Chief Art Acevedo said the additional officers are needed to maintain a ratio of two officers per 1,000 residents. That ratio is a kind of benchmark among many departments across the country to determine staffing; having two officers per 1,000 is considered ideal and is also city policy. The city has 2.08 officers per 1,000 residents, according to the study by the Police Executive Research Forum .But Assistant Police Chief David Carter said that is only the ratio if the department is at its full authorized strength of 1,740 officers, which it is not because of vacancies, attrition and cadets waiting to become full-fledged officers." We've never been effectively ever at 2.0,” PELW 2012
  • 9. 9 Minimum Staffing • Most police departments, particularly small ones, use this approach. • Increasingly popular with medium and large agencies. • Often tied to number of beats-but can be very arbitrary. • The real problem is the overtime cost associated with filling vacant positions. PELW 2012
  • 10. 10 Problem Areas • Incremental • Institutionalized • Becomes the optimal staffing level • Often times the levels are set so high that it is likely that a vacancy will occur. PELW 2012
  • 11. 11 Some solutions • Street Strength • Minimum during overlap times • Reduce the hire-back time • Using workload-based models to identify staffing requirements • Shared services PELW 2012
  • 12. 12 Using Workload • We will partition these activities into two groups: community-generated and discretionary. • If we know how much time is consumed by community generated work we can build a model that incorporates the discretionary activities. PELW 2012
  • 14. 14 Allocation of Time Ratio is Community-Based PELW 2012
  • 15. 15 What is Citizen Generated? • Delaware Ohio Police Department :”The City prides itself on being one of the safest, and annually handles more than 60,000 calls for service”. • Can a city of 30,000 have 60,000 police calls for service? PELW 2012
  • 16. 16 Not likely! • CAD systems often record all kinds of activities as calls for service. • In Delaware they would record a “call” every time an officer came into the station. • Actual number of citizen generated call per year is 16,000. • If the average call takes 30 minutes this represents about 8000 hours of community generated work- not 30,000! PELW 2012
  • 17. 17 CAD Data Example • LOSTP 3D 13 • LOSTP 1C 1 • LOSTP 3B 1 • LOSTPR 3D 16 • LU 3D 17771 • MEETB 4 616 • MISION 4 746 PELW 2012
  • 18. 18 Calls for Service (CFS) • Best Indicator of Citizen Generated Activity • What is included – Travel time – On-scene time – Number of officers assigned*** – Follow-up? PELW 2012
  • 19. Example of CFS Computation Travel 6 min. 10.min. • Domestic Disturbance (Two- On-Scene 24 20 officers) Arrest 30 0 Sub 60 30 Total 90 PELW 2012 19
  • 20. 20 CFS as Obligated Time • Once we have this CFS time we can begin the process of estimating the number of officers to handle this demand. • We can do it by shift or for the entire day. • Let’s do it first by shift. PELW 2012
  • 21. 21 Shift example • Total CFS for one year for swing shift (3-11pm) is 30,000 hours. • If an officer worked every day in a year they would work 2920 hours a year (8 X 385). • So in order to handle 30,000 hours of CFS we would need 10.27 officers (30,000 / 2920). PELW 2012
  • 22. 22 Calculating Relief Factor • Relief Factor = Tells us the number of officers that we have to assign to a shift in order to provide the appropriate staffing • Will be different depending on whether officers work 8, 10, or 12 hour shifts. • May differ by shift or work group. PELW 2012
  • 23. 23 Relief Factor Example  Regular days off 104  Vacation 15  Holidays 10  Training 2  Court 7  Sick 12  Total Benefit Days Off 150 PELW 2012
  • 24. 24 Relief Factor • 365/365-150 • 365/ 215 or 1.7 • This means that to staff on position you need 1.7 employees. PELW 2012
  • 25. 25 Using Relief Factor • Our RF was 1.7. • We need 10.27 officers to handle CFS. • Thus the total staffing required is 17.46 officers (1.7 X 10.27). PELW 2012
  • 26. 26 But officers do more than handle CFS • Based on what we have done thus far our 17.5 officers would spend all day answering calls for service. Lots of other stuff to do! • The question now is how we will spend our discretionary (unobligated) time. PELW 2012
  • 27. 27 Performance Objectives • Let’s say we want our officers to spend 50% of their time on CFS and 50% on other activities (officer initiated, patrol, community policing, administrative). • We could simply multiply the number required for CFS times 2. • Thus we would need 34.92 or 35 officers (17.46 X 2) • For 1/3 patrol, 1/3 admin, and 1/3 CFS multiply X 3 ( 52 officers). PELW 2012
  • 28. 28 Performance Objectives (2) • Your assumptions are important. • You may not have enough staff to meet a performance objective. That does not mean you do not have enough officers! PELW 2012
  • 32. 32 Work Schedules • Work Schedules are an important component of resource allocation. • Tendency to separate them, but this can have serious consequences for management. • Let’s talk first about general scheduling properties. PELW 2012
  • 33. 33 What is a good work schedule-depends where you sit! • Management Objectives – Maintain staffing levels – Proper supervision – Effective policing • Officer Objectives – Should help them do their job – Compatible with personal life – Equity PELW 2012
  • 34. 34 Why are work schedules problematic? • Appear to be complex and difficult to analyze! • Work schedules are viewed as “traditional” or at least idiosyncratic to the agency. • Change is always tough- work schedule changes can be paralyzing. • Most agencies build a work schedule around the number officers they have-not what they need! PELW 2012
  • 35. 35 Scheduling Issues • Length of work periods • Shift Rotation • Time-off Periods • Staffing levels • Holidays and Vacation time • Overtime PELW 2012
  • 36. 36 Shift Analysis • Duty Cycle: Repeating of On and Off days. • Four Properties – Duty cycle length – Number of on and off duty patterns in the cycle – Staffing level by day of week – Average work week PELW 2012
  • 37. Analysis 5-2 with uniform staffing M T W T F S S • Number of days off in 1 X X each weekly cycle are 1 X X same 1 X X • Equal staffing by day of 1 X X week (71 %) 1 X X • Fixed days off 1 X X 1 X X 71 71 71 71 71 71 71 % PELW 2012 37
  • 38. 6 on / 3 off repeated 7 times over a 9 week period M T W T F S S 1 X 2 X X 3 X X X 4 X X X 5 X X 6 X 7 X X X 8 X X X 9 X X X % 67 67 67 67 67 67 67 PELW 2012 38
  • 39. 10 Hour Shift (Equal staffing by day of week) M T W T F S S 1 X X X 2 X X X 3 X X X 4 X X X 5 X X X 6 X X X 7 X X XX % 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 PELW 2012 39
  • 40. 10 Hour Shift: Holland Michigan M T W T F S S 1 X X X 2 X X X % 50 50 50 100 50 50 50 PELW 2012 40
  • 41. 10 hours unequal by day of week M T W T F S S 1 X X X 2 X X X 3 X X X 4 X X X 5 X X X % 60 60 60 60 60 60 40 PELW 2012 41
  • 42. 42 4/11 Plan •Two Teams M T W T F S S •Several Start Times and 1 X X X X Overlap 2 X X X X •38.5 AWW 3 X X X X •Training Days 4 X X X X 5 X X X 6 X X X 7 X X X 8 X X X % 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 PELW 2012
  • 43. 12 Hour Schedule M T W T F S S 1 D D X X D D D 2 X X D D X X X 3 N N X X N N N 4 X X N N X X X % 50** 50 50 50 50 50 50 PELW 2012 43
  • 44. 8 vs. 10 vs. 12 12 10 8 Work days 182 218 273 Days Off 182 146 91 Potential 26 21 13 weekends off % holidays 50% 60% 75% worked PELW 2012 44
  • 45. 45 How about staffing. • 10 hour shifts result in overlaps in 24 hour coverage. You are providing 30 hours of coverage a day! – May be inefficient – Will be costly • 8 and 12 hour shifts are nominally the same for coverage – Three shifts of 30 officer- 2/3 on each day= 60 – Two Shifts of forty five- ½ on each day 45 for 12 hours is the same 60 – Each officer works 1.5 days PELW 2012
  • 46. PELW 2012 46
  • 47. Minimum Staffing and Ten Hour Shifts • Of particular concern is the combination of ten hour shifts and minimum staffing. • Consider the more traditional eight hour shift. 71% of personnel are assigned to work each day. PELW 2012 47
  • 48. 48 From 8 to 10 Hours • There are three squads-each with seven officers. • Minimum staffing is four per shift • In the 5-2 (8 hour schedule) each day 5 are assigned, so it is likely that at least 4 will be there. • The department switches to 10 hour days but maintains the same minimum staffing level. • In the 4-10 plan only 4 of the 7 are assigned each day-any absence will require a hire-back, and that may be a 10 hour hire back. PELW 2012
  • 50. 50 RPD Overtime Costs 2004-2009 PELW 2012
  • 51. 51 Attributes of 12 hour shifts • Average work week is 42 hours • Longest workweek 48 hours • Fewer shift changes • HR policies must be changed • Absence management can be tough • Fatigue PELW 2012
  • 52. 52 Schedules and Fatigue • Lots of concern about fatigue among shift workers and others • Fatigue can lead to officer injury, accidents, and citizen complaints. It may impair judgment. • It is still hard to make strong, reliable statements about schedule and fatigue. PELW 2012
  • 53. 53 Here is what we know! • Officers on 10 and 12 hour shifts report less fatigue. • Fatigue is worse for older officers • Officers with small children reported more fatigue • Long commutes contribute to fatigue • Officers with regular hours (limited overtime and special assignments) reported less fatigue. PELW 2012
  • 54. 54 What does this all mean? • Fatigue is more related to what officers do on their off-duty time than their work schedule! • What to do: – Look at policy and work schedule focusing on off duty time. – Let officers participate in work schedule process – Integrate discussion of fatigue with other wellness and safety discussions. PELW 2012
  • 55. 55 Police Foundation Study – Compared 8, 10, and 12 hour shifts – No difference in performance – No impact on health – 10 hour shift=more sleep and higher quality of life – No examination of deployment PELW 2012
  • 56. 56 Some Concluding Thoughts • Policing is a labor-intensive activity • Budget cuts will almost always result in fewer people • Watch overtime and other structural costs • Pay attention to benefits • Don’t insist that fewer people will lead to Armageddon! PELW 2012
  • 57. 57 Contact • Alexander Weiss – alexanderweiss@ymail.com – 847-332-1160 – 847-644-3930 (mobile) PELW 2012